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Serie A · Matchweek 2

Momentum

FiorentinaFrosinone
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
2

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Artemio Franchi, Firenze
Capacity
43,147
Surface
grass
Attendance
23,132

Teams

Coaches
Fabio Grosso · Massimiliano Alvini
Position
20 · 14
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Giuseppe Collu

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
26.8° (feels 27.2°)
Wind
5.0
Humidity
50%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Roma 4400 12111 12 WWWW
2 Inter 4400 1367 12 WWWW
3 Como 4310 945 10 DWWW
4 Lazio 4310 633 10 WWWD
5 Cagliari 4301 422 9 WLWW
6 AC Milan 4220 743 8 WWDD
7 Frosinone 4211 743 7 LWWD
8 Juventus 4211 642 7 WWDL
9 Sassuolo 5212 990 7 LWDWL
10 Napoli 4202 651 6 WLLW
11 Atalanta 4202 550 6 WWLL
12 Lecce 4202 57-2 6 WLLW
13 Udinese 4112 810-2 4 DWLL
14 Monza 5113 812-4 4 LLDLW
15 Torino 4103 47-3 3 LLWL
16 Fiorentina 4103 511-6 3 LLLW
17 Bologna 4013 25-3 1 LLDL
18 Parma 4013 26-4 1 LLDL
19 Genoa 4013 28-6 1 LLLD
20 Venezia 4004 411-7 0 LLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Fiorentina

LDWDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 9 · xG 2.96–10.0 · xPts 3.14

  • L A Roma 0–4 xG 0.32–3.1 ITA SA
  • D H Atalanta 1–1 xG 0.79–1.67 ITA SA
  • W A Juventus 2–0 xG 0.65–2.15 ITA SA
  • D H Genoa 0–0 xG 1.06–0.73 ITA SA
  • L A Roma 0–4 xG 0.14–2.35 ITA SA

Frosinone

L 0W 0D 1L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 0 GA 1 · xG 0.55–1.77 · xPts 0.54

  • L H Juventus 0–1 xG 0.55–1.77 ITA SA

All meetings · 7 matches since 2015

Fiorentina 23 draws2 Frosinone

Goals 11–8 · 2.71 per match · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 43%

Last 10 · 7 matches

Fiorentina 23 draws2 Frosinone

Goals 11–8 · 2.71 per match · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 43%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Fiorentina 12 draws2 Frosinone

Goals 7–7 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Fiorentina 0–3 Frosinone ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Fiorentina 5–1 Frosinone ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Frosinone 1–1 Fiorentina ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Fiorentina 0–1 Frosinone ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Frosinone 1–1 Fiorentina ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Frosinone 0–0 Fiorentina neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Fiorentina 4–1 Frosinone ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricFiorentina all · 4Fiorentina at home · 2Frosinone all · 4Frosinone away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Fiorentina · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.17) · stands out: 10 min after conceding +0.33

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.174
Early press (0-15, level)+0.094

Game state

When ahead+0.082
When level+0.224
When behind+0.194
10 min after conceding+0.334
10 min after scoring+0.492

Situations

At home+0.192
Away+0.152
4+ days rest+0.174

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.422
As favourite+0.192

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.244
Conceded when ahead+0.202
Conceded late (76+)+0.192

Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level -0.03

Frosinone · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.27

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.184
Early press (0-15, level)+0.164
Late push (76+, level)+0.242

Game state

When ahead-0.243
When level+0.094
10 min after conceding-0.273
10 min after scoring-0.123

Situations

At home-0.312
Away-0.012
4+ days rest-0.184

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.082
Evenly matched-0.082
As underdog-0.292

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.294
Conceded when ahead+0.353
Conceded late (76+)-0.493

Ahead vs level -0.33 · Behind vs level -0.63

Fiorentina

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-32 50%0.00.52.51.71.15
4-3-2-11 25%0.00.04.00.323.1
4-2-3-11 25%3.04.02.02.990.64

Frosinone

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 100%1.751.751.01.291.96

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 30m before kick-off · biggest step: home +1.0 pts at 4.1d

1.7Home 57% ▼ -1.2 ptsopened 1.664.03Draw 24% · +0.5 ptsopened 4.115.07Away 19% · +0.7 ptsopened 5.25
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 20%30%40%50%60%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.7 ▼ -1.24.03 · +0.55.07 · +0.730m
bet3651.66 · +0.04.1 ▲ +1.24.75 ▼ -1.330m
Betfair1.65 · -0.33.9 ▼ -1.15.0 ▲ +1.430m
BetVictor1.65 · -0.34.0 · -0.95.0 ▲ +1.230m
Coral1.7 ▼ -1.73.9 · +0.04.6 ▲ +1.630m
Ladbrokes1.7 ▼ -1.73.9 · +0.04.6 ▲ +1.630m
Unibet1.66 ▼ -1.33.8 · +0.24.8 ▲ +1.130m
WilliamHill1.67 ▼ -1.73.8 · +0.04.6 ▲ +1.630m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.5h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.66Home 57% P 57%4.1Draw 23% P 24%4.75Away 20% P 19%

Double Chance

1.18Fiorentina or Draw 40%1.22Fiorentina or Frosinone 38%2.1Draw or Frosinone 22%

Draw No Bet

1.281 73%3.52 27%

Both Teams To Score

1.7Yes 55%2.05No 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 54%2.1Under 45% P 46%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.52.1Over 44% P 41%1.66Under 56% P 59%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 17.5–20% · 762 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home57%56%53%-2.8
Draw24%25%26%+1.0
Away19%19%21%+1.8

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 52%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.554%54%55%+0.8

Giuseppe Collu

Career
22 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
4.45 (4.27 yellow · 0.14 red)
Fouls / match
24.7 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 22 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.364.48-0.1839
Fouls / match24.725.1-0.27
Fouls per card5.75.6-0.17 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.230.31-0.7822
Time added6.76.4+0.5871
First card
32' on average
Card timing
18% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.09

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-20 60 180 24'9
2026-02-08 42 240 22'11
2026-01-25 30 270 32'6
2026-01-03 30 131 61'8
2025-11-29 70 220 26'6
2025-11-09 30 271 28'8
2025-10-28 30 241 26'9
2025-10-19 40 150 29'6
2025-09-29 60 221 16'8
2025-09-20 60 271 8'10