Rating 6.99 (75th pct) · G+A 8 + 3 (23% of team goals) · 91% of minutes
Serie A · Matchweek 1
Momentum
– TorinoAC Milan –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Torino | at home | Stat | league | away | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52.2 #8 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 58.5 #5 |
| 8.2 #20 | – | Shots total | 14.6 | – | 13.5 #11 |
| 3.0 #18 | – | Shots on target | 4.9 | – | 4.2 #11 |
| 2.8 #18 | – | Corners | 4.8 | – | 3.0 #16 |
| 8.8 #18 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 10.5 #12 |
| 0.5 #20 | – | Offsides | 2.0 | – | 0.8 #18 |
| 14.0 #17 | – | Tackles | 16.2 | – | 14.2 #15 |
| 92.2 #11 | – | Attacks | 93.0 | – | 92.0 #12 |
| 36.8 #14 | – | Dangerous attacks | 44.7 | – | 45.2 #10 |
| 492.5 #7 | – | Passes | 460.1 | – | 541.0 #4 |
| 0.2 #20 | – | Yellowcards | 1.5 | – | 2.0 #5 |
| 1.0 #13 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 1.5 #5 |
| – #5 | – | Btts | 60.0 | – | – #5 |
| – #11 | – | Cleansheet | 20.0 | – | – #6 |
| – #12 | – | Draw | 14.5 | – | – #1 |
| 1.0 #18 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.6 #8 |
| 0.0 #10 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.0 | – | 0.1 #8 |
| – #7 | – | Failed to score | 20.0 | – | – #10 |
| 1.0 #15 | 0.5 | Goals | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.8 #6 |
| 1.8 #7 | 2.0 | Goals conceded | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 #14 |
| 0.8 #2 | – | Injury time goals | 0.4 | – | 0.5 #4 |
| 5.0 #20 | – | Interceptions | 8.4 | – | 7.5 #13 |
| – #2 | – | Lost | 42.5 | – | – #16 |
| 6.7 #15 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.9 #6 |
| 2.0 #18 | – | Shots blocked | 3.6 | – | 3.2 #10 |
| 5.5 #19 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.6 | – | 10.5 #4 |
| 3.2 #20 | – | Shots off target | 6.0 | – | 6.0 #8 |
| 2.8 #20 | – | Shots outsidebox | 5.0 | – | 3.0 #18 |
| – #13 | – | Win | 43.0 | – | – #6 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 37 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.92 (home 1.41 · away 1.51)
- Home / draw / away
- 41% · 16% · 43%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 59% · 57%
- Cards / match
- 3.19 (reds 0.03)
Trends
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Lineups
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Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Torino · Last 365 days
Rating 6.87 (55th pct) · G+A 8 + 2 (21% of team goals) · 57% of minutes
Team 1.52 ppg with (21) · 0.67 without (18)
Rating 6.89 (71th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (4% of team goals) · 89% of minutes
AC Milan · Last 365 days
Rating 7.21 (87th pct) · G+A 7 + 6 (23% of team goals) · 75% of minutes
Team 1.9 ppg with (29) · 1.55 without (11)
Rating 7.23 (88th pct) · G+A 1 + 2 (5% of team goals) · 78% of minutes
Team 1.94 ppg with (32) · 1.25 without (8)
Rating 7.08 (90th pct) · G+A 3 + 3 (11% of team goals) · 75% of minutes
Team 1.68 ppg with (31) · 2.22 without (9)
Absences
Torino
- injury Franco Israel #19 key player goalkeeper · Shoulder Injury · 7 missed · until 2026-12-04
- injury Pietro Pellegri attacker · Cruciate Ligament Tear · 19 missed · until 2026-09-01
- injury Tino Anjorin midfielder · Hip Bruise · 4 missed · until 2026-08-28
Commentary
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In-Play Odds
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Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 1
Venue
- Stadium
- Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Torino
- Capacity
- 28,177
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 24,285
Teams
- Coaches
- Ignazio Abate · Ruben Amorim
- Position
- 9 · 12
- Formation
- 3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Referee
Luca Zufferli
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 23.1° (feels 23.3°)
- Wind
- 4.1
- Humidity
- 70%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Roma |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 |  Inter |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 | WWWW |
| 3 |  Como |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 | DWWW |
| 4 |  Lazio |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 | WWWD |
| 5 |  Cagliari |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WLWW |
| 6 |  AC Milan |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 | WWDD |
| 7 |  Frosinone |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | LWWD |
| 8 |  Juventus |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | WWDL |
| 9 |  Sassuolo |
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 | LWDWL |
| 10 |  Napoli |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 | WLLW |
| 11 |  Atalanta |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | WWLL |
| 12 |  Lecce |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 | WLLW |
| 13 |  Udinese |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 4 | DWLL |
| 14 |  Monza |
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 | LLDLW |
| 15 |  Torino |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | LLWL |
| 16 |  Fiorentina |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 | LLLW |
| 17 |  Bologna |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | LLDL |
| 18 |  Parma |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 | LLDL |
| 19 |  Genoa |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 | LLLD |
| 20 |  Venezia |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 9 | WWWW |
| 2 | Roma |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Sassuolo |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | LWDWL |
| 4 | Atalanta |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | WWLL |
| 5 | Juventus |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | WWDL |
| 6 | Lazio |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | WWWD |
| 7 | AC Milan |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | WWDD |
| 8 | Como |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | DWWW |
| 9 | Monza |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | LLDLW |
| 10 | Frosinone |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | LWWD |
| 11 | Napoli |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | WLLW |
| 12 | Cagliari |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | WLWW |
| 13 | Lecce |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 | WLLW |
| 14 | Bologna |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | LLDL |
| 15 | Udinese |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | DWLL |
| 16 | Parma |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 | LLDL |
| 17 | Genoa |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLD |
| 18 | Torino |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LLWL |
| 19 | Venezia |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 | LLLL |
| 20 | Fiorentina |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | LLLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Como |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 | DWWW |
| 2 | Roma |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Cagliari |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WLWW |
| 4 | Lazio |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WWWD |
| 5 | AC Milan |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | WWDD |
| 6 | Frosinone |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | LWWD |
| 7 | Napoli |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | WLLW |
| 8 | Lecce |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | WLLW |
| 9 | Inter |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | WWWW |
| 10 | Juventus |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | WWDL |
| 11 | Torino |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | LLWL |
| 12 | Udinese |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | DWLL |
| 13 | Fiorentina |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 | LLLW |
| 14 | Sassuolo |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 | LWDWL |
| 15 | Monza |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 1 | LLDLW |
| 16 | Atalanta |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | WWLL |
| 17 | Genoa |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | LLLD |
| 18 | Bologna |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | LLDL |
| 19 | Venezia |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLLL |
| 20 | Parma |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LLDL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Torino
DLWLD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 9 · xG 7.15–8.87 · xPts 5.9
- D
H
Juventus
2–2
xG 1.01–2.3
ITA SA
- L
A
Cagliari
1–2
xG 1.11–1.28
ITA SA
- W
H
Sassuolo
2–1
xG 1.98–1.51
ITA SA
- L
A
Udinese
0–2
xG 0.69–2.2
ITA SA
- D
H
Inter
2–2
xG 2.36–1.58
ITA SA
DLWLD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 9 · xG 7.15–8.87 · xPts 5.9
- D
H
Juventus
2–2
xG 1.01–2.3
ITA SA
- L
A
Cagliari
1–2
xG 1.11–1.28
ITA SA
- W
H
Sassuolo
2–1
xG 1.98–1.51
ITA SA
- L
A
Udinese
0–2
xG 0.69–2.2
ITA SA
- D
H
Inter
2–2
xG 2.36–1.58
ITA SA
AC Milan
DLLWL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 8 · xG 6.51–8.04 · xPts 6.03
- L
H
Cagliari
1–2
xG 1.77–2.53
ITA SA
- W
A
Genoa
2–1
xG 1.79–1.55
ITA SA
- L
H
Atalanta
2–3
xG 2.02–1.24
ITA SA
- L
A
Sassuolo
0–2
xG 0.37–2.2
ITA SA
- D
H
Juventus
0–0
xG 0.58–0.51
ITA SA
DLLWL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 8 · xG 6.51–8.04 · xPts 6.03
- L
H
Cagliari
1–2
xG 1.77–2.53
ITA SA
- W
A
Genoa
2–1
xG 1.79–1.55
ITA SA
- L
H
Atalanta
2–3
xG 2.02–1.24
ITA SA
- L
A
Sassuolo
0–2
xG 0.37–2.2
ITA SA
- D
H
Juventus
0–0
xG 0.58–0.51
ITA SA
All meetings · 35 matches since 2006
Goals 34–59 · 2.66 per match · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 49%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 15–18 · 3.3 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 9–11 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%
Recent meetings
- L Torino 1–2 AC Milan ITA SA · Regular Season
- L AC Milan 3–2 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Torino 2–3 AC Milan ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Torino 2–1 AC Milan ITA SA · Regular Season
- D AC Milan 2–2 Torino ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Torino 3–1 AC Milan ITA SA · Regular Season
- L AC Milan 4–1 Torino neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
- L AC Milan 1–0 Torino neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Torino 2–1 AC Milan ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Torino 0–0 AC Milan ITA SA · Regular Season
| Metric | Torino all · 4 | Torino at home · 2 | AC Milan all · 4 | AC Milan away · 3 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Torino · 4 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.68
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.024
Early press (0-15, level)-0.184
Late push (76+, level)+0.302
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.093
Game state
When level+0.044
When behind-0.154
10 min after conceding-0.384
10 min after scoring+0.683
Situations
At home-0.192
Away+0.142
4+ days rest-0.024
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.192
v mid-tier opponents+0.142
As underdog-0.053
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.364
Conceded late (76+)+0.244
Ahead vs level +0.29 · Behind vs level -0.19
AC Milan · 5 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.45) · stands out: as favourite +0.68
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.455
Early press (0-15, level)+0.485
Late push (76+, level)+0.022
Game state
When ahead-0.083
When level+0.485
When behind+0.712
10 min after conceding+0.404
10 min after scoring+0.574
Situations
At home+0.472
Away+0.433
4+ days rest+0.455
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.102
As favourite+0.683
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.175
Conceded when ahead-0.003
Conceded late (76+)-0.055
Ahead vs level -0.56 · Behind vs level +0.23
Torino
Current: winless 1 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-3-2 | 2 50% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.94 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 25% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.06 | 2.24 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 1 25% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.84 | 1.41 |
AC Milan
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 100% | 2.0 | 1.75 | 1.0 | 1.59 | 1.29 |
| Metric | Torino all · 10 | Torino at home · 10 | AC Milan all · 10 | AC Milan away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.90 | 1.70 | 1.20 | 1.70 |
| W / D / L | 2 / 3 / 5 | 5 / 2 / 3 | 3 / 3 / 4 | 5 / 2 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 1.10 | 1.70 | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals against / match | 1.60 | 1.30 | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 10% | 30% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 70% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 70% | 50% | 40% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.12 | 1.35 | 1.42 | 1.35 |
| xG against / match | 1.75 | 1.59 | 1.41 | 1.18 |
| xG difference | -0.63 | -0.24 | 0.01 | 0.17 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.02 | 0.35 | -0.22 | -0.15 |
| xPts / match | 0.96 | 1.25 | 1.36 | 1.45 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.06 | 0.45 | -0.16 | 0.25 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 10% | 40% | 50% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 0.00 | 3.00 | 2.00 | 2.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | 0.83 | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| Came back from behind | 44% | 50% | 20% | 25% |
| Leads held | 67% | 100% | 60% | 83% |
| Minutes leading | 3% | 31% | 14% | 19% |
| Minutes level | 58% | 43% | 49% | 56% |
| Minutes trailing | 39% | 27% | 37% | 24% |
| First goal (min) | 63 | 45 | 58 | 59 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 41 | 39 | 40 | 57 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 82% | 76% | 92% | 83% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 56% | 62% | 50% | 60% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 47% | 45% | 53% | 53% |
| Shots | 10.0 | 12.3 | 13.0 | 11.0 |
| On target | 2.8 | 3.5 | 4.1 | 3.4 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 14% | 9% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 64% | 64% | 65% | 74% |
| Big chances created | 2.4 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 2.1 |
| Corners | 3.3 | 3.9 | 3.7 | 3.8 |
| xG from set plays | 23% | 26% | 30% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 36% | 24% | 8% | 8% |
| Pressure index | 10.1 | 10.6 | 14.4 | 12.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 40.6 | 40.7 | 53.8 | 50.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 80% | 87% | 86% |
| Fouls | 11.0 | 12.1 | 11.7 | 11.7 |
| Cards | 1.20 | 1.70 | 2.50 | 2.20 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Torino
0–15'00
16–30'02
31–45'25
46–60'14
61–75'43
76–90'42
AC Milan
0–15'13
16–30'03
31–45'01
46–60'14
61–75'60
76–90'43
Torino
Current: winless 1 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 40% | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.75 | 1.63 | 1.65 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 2 20% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.59 | 1.68 |
| 5-3-2 | 2 20% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.94 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.84 | 1.41 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.69 | 2.2 |
AC Milan
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 5 50% | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.61 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 5 50% | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.53 | 1.21 |
| Metric | Torino all · 39 | Torino at home · 20 | AC Milan all · 40 | AC Milan away · 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 39 | 20 | 40 | 21 |
| Points per game | 1.13 | 1.35 | 1.80 | 1.90 |
| W / D / L | 12 / 8 / 19 | 8 / 3 / 9 | 20 / 12 / 8 | 11 / 7 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 1.21 | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.48 |
| Goals against / match | 1.67 | 1.65 | 0.97 | 0.86 |
| Clean sheets | 26% | 20% | 35% | 33% |
| Failed to score | 26% | 15% | 20% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 65% | 50% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 70% | 45% | 43% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.23 | 1.36 | 1.58 | 1.34 |
| xG against / match | 1.51 | 1.65 | 1.30 | 1.29 |
| xG difference | -0.29 | -0.29 | 0.28 | 0.05 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.02 | 0.04 | -0.18 | 0.14 |
| xPts / match | 1.21 | 1.22 | 1.54 | 1.40 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.08 | 0.13 | 0.26 | 0.50 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 36% | 40% | 58% | 62% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.07 | 2.25 | 2.43 | 2.38 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.55 | 0.75 | 0.93 | 1.14 |
| Came back from behind | 30% | 36% | 53% | 57% |
| Leads held | 71% | 80% | 74% | 73% |
| Minutes leading | 18% | 26% | 27% | 27% |
| Minutes level | 47% | 42% | 53% | 55% |
| Minutes trailing | 35% | 32% | 20% | 18% |
| First goal (min) | 46 | 44 | 47 | 48 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 32 | 34 | 44 | 50 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 62% | 57% | 66% | 68% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 52% | 54% | 51% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.36 | 0.30 | 0.35 | 0.33 |
| Late goals against | 0.26 | 0.25 | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 46% | 46% | 53% | 51% |
| Shots | 11.7 | 12.3 | 13.0 | 10.5 |
| On target | 3.9 | 4.0 | 4.3 | 3.8 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 11% | 11% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 64% | 69% | 72% |
| Big chances created | 2.1 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.4 |
| Corners | 3.6 | 3.9 | 4.1 | 3.5 |
| xG from set plays | 29% | 30% | 29% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 23% | 21% | 9% | 6% |
| Pressure index | 9.8 | 11.0 | 15.8 | 12.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 38.6 | 40.5 | 51.8 | 46.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 80% | 87% | 86% |
| Fouls | 13.3 | 12.7 | 10.1 | 10.2 |
| Cards | 1.77 | 1.60 | 1.85 | 1.86 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Torino
0–15'45
16–30'712
31–45'714
46–60'712
61–75'812
76–90'1410
AC Milan
0–15'56
16–30'37
31–45'116
46–60'137
61–75'105
76–90'148
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Torino · 38 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.38
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0638
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1338
Late push (76+, level)+0.0613
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0819
Game state
When ahead-0.0117
When level-0.0638
When behind-0.1026
10 min after conceding-0.3028
10 min after scoring+0.3828
Situations
With ten men+1.012
At home-0.0820
Away-0.0518
3 days rest or fewer-0.283
4+ days rest-0.0435
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.2513
v mid-tier opponents-0.0111
v bottom-tier opponents+0.124
As favourite+0.157
Evenly matched+0.0710
As underdog-0.2021
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2738
Conceded when ahead+0.2417
Conceded late (76+)+0.0836
Congested vs rested -0.23 · Ahead vs level +0.06 · Behind vs level -0.04
AC Milan · 40 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.23) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.92
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2340
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0540
Late push (76+, level)+0.0719
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.6410
Game state
When ahead+0.0927
When level+0.1740
When behind+0.6117
10 min after conceding+0.0726
10 min after scoring+0.6432
Situations
With ten men-0.035
Against ten men-0.782
At home+0.3119
Away+0.1721
3 days rest or fewer+0.722
4+ days rest+0.2138
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1412
v mid-tier opponents+0.2510
v bottom-tier opponents+0.924
As favourite+0.4725
Evenly matched-0.1313
As underdog-0.322
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0540
Conceded when ahead+0.0927
Conceded late (76+)-0.0636
Congested vs rested +0.52 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.43
Torino
Current: winless 1 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 16 41% | 1.0 | 1.38 | 1.88 | 1.28 | 1.51 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 9 23% | 1.89 | 1.56 | 0.89 | 1.26 | 1.18 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 5 13% | 0.8 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1.57 | 1.63 |
| 5-3-2 | 4 10% | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.09 | 1.62 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 3 8% | 1.0 | 0.67 | 3.0 | 0.69 | 2.04 |
AC Milan
Current: winless 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 33 82% | 1.91 | 1.42 | 0.85 | 1.56 | 1.31 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 5 12% | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.53 | 1.21 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.38 | 1.5 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 1 2% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.66 | 1.14 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 3.2d before kick-off · 77 snapshots · last 45m before kick-off · biggest step: away -1.6 pts at 9.8h
4.4Home 22% ▲ +1.4 ptsopened 4.683.45Draw 28% ▲ +3.1 ptsopened 3.871.95Away 50% ▼ -4.5 ptsopened 1.78
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 4.4 ▲ +1.4 | 3.45 ▲ +3.1 | 1.95 ▼ -4.5 | 45m |
| bet365 | 4.33 · +0.7 | 3.3 ▲ +2.3 | 1.9 ▼ -3.0 | 45m |
| Betfair | 4.5 · -0.3 | 3.4 ▲ +2.5 | 1.85 ▼ -2.2 | 45m |
| BetVictor | 4.5 · +0.1 | 3.3 ▲ +3.1 | 1.91 ▼ -3.2 | 45m |
| Coral | 4.4 · +0.5 | 3.4 ▲ +2.3 | 1.85 ▼ -2.8 | 45m |
| Ladbrokes | 4.33 · +0.8 | 3.4 ▲ +2.2 | 1.85 ▼ -3.0 | 45m |
| Unibet | 4.6 · +0.0 | 3.4 ▲ +1.9 | 1.79 ▼ -2.0 | 45m |
| WilliamHill | 4.2 · +0.1 | 3.3 ▲ +2.5 | 1.85 ▼ -2.6 | 45m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 3.2d before kick-off · 77 snapshots · last 45m before kick-off · biggest step: no +2.0 pts at 5.8h
1.95Yes 48% ▼ -4.0 ptsopened 1.81.8No 52% ▲ +4.0 ptsopened 1.95
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.95 ▼ -4.0 | 1.8 ▲ +4.0 | 45m |
| Betfair | 1.87 ▼ -1.1 | 1.87 ▲ +1.1 | 45m |
| BetVictor | 1.91 ▼ -3.8 | 1.78 ▲ +3.8 | 45m |
| Unibet | 1.83 ▼ -1.5 | 1.91 ▲ +1.5 | 45m |
| WilliamHill | 1.91 ▼ -4.1 | 1.85 ▲ +4.1 | 45m |
Pinnacle · opened 3.2d before kick-off · 77 snapshots · last 45m before kick-off · biggest step: over -3.1 pts at 12.8h
2.27Over 43% ▼ -7.6 ptsopened 1.931.69Under 57% ▲ +7.6 ptsopened 1.95
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.27 ▼ -7.6 | 1.69 ▲ +7.6 | 45m |
| bet365 | 2.1 ▼ -5.0 | 1.72 ▲ +5.0 | 45m |
| Betfair | 2.1 ▼ -6.0 | 1.65 ▲ +6.0 | 45m |
| BetVictor | 2.09 ▼ -6.0 | 1.63 ▲ +6.0 | 45m |
| Unibet | 2.0 ▼ -3.7 | 1.79 ▲ +3.7 | 45m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.8h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
4.33Home 22% P 22%3.3Draw 29% P 28%1.9Away 50% P 50%
Double Chance
1.9Torino or Draw 25%1.3Torino or AC Milan 36%1.18Draw or AC Milan 40%
Draw No Bet
3.251 29%1.332 71%
Both Teams To Score
1.95Yes 48%1.8No 52%
Goals Over/Under
2.52.1Over 45% P 43%1.72Under 55% P 57%
Total Corners
5.5Under 6 16%2.56 - 8 35%2.879 - 11 30%6.512 - 14 13%15.0Over 14 6%
Number of Cards
2.51.66Over 56% P 60%2.1Under 44% P 40%
3.52.25Over 41% P 40%1.57Under 59% P 60%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 20–25% · away 45–50% · 672 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 22% | 24% | 21% | -2.5 |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 29% | +0.4 |
| Away | 50% | 48% | 50% | +2.2 |
In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 44%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,474 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 44% | 43% | -1.2 |
Luca Zufferli
- Career
- 44 matches · 5 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.11 (3.0 yellow · 0.09 red)
- Fouls / match
- 23.6 · 7.6 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.29
- Cards to home side
- 43%
Style in Serie A (5-year window · 41 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.1 | 4.48 | -1.97 | 2 |
| Fouls / match | 23.6 | 25.1 | -0.95 | |
| Fouls per card | 8.0 | 5.6 | +2.17 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.29 | 0.31 | -0.25 | 46 |
| Time added | 6.8 | 6.4 | +0.79 | 80 |
- First card
- 36' on average
- Card timing
- 20% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 44% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.4
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 8' | 6 |
| 2026-05-24 · Torino | 3 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 64' | 28 |
| 2026-05-17 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 65' | 7 |
| 2026-05-10 · AC Milan | 6 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 34' | 9 |
| 2026-05-04 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 25' | 3 |
| 2026-04-18 | 4 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 29' | 6 |
| 2026-04-05 · Torino | 1 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 14' | 5 |
| 2026-03-08 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 61' | 6 |
| 2026-01-30 | 5 | 0 | 24 | 3 | 64' | 8 |
| 2026-01-18 · AC Milan | 2 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 21' | 5 |