Rating 7.23 (95th pct) · G+A 21 + 4 (29% of team goals) · 45% of minutes
Team 1.92 ppg with (25) · 1.96 without (25)
Serie A · Matchweek 1
Momentum
– RomaFiorentina –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Roma | at home | Stat | league | away | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59.8 #3 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 43.8 #14 |
| 21.2 #3 | – | Shots total | 14.6 | – | 16.8 #5 |
| 7.8 #2 | – | Shots on target | 4.9 | – | 6.0 #5 |
| 6.2 #4 | – | Corners | 4.7 | – | 4.5 #11 |
| 13.0 #6 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 11.0 #9 |
| 4.0 #2 | – | Offsides | 2.1 | – | 1.2 #13 |
| 22.8 #1 | – | Tackles | 16.0 | – | 15.8 #10 |
| 118.2 #1 | – | Attacks | 92.8 | – | 97.0 #7 |
| 75.5 #1 | – | Dangerous attacks | 44.7 | – | 46.8 #6 |
| 567.5 #3 | – | Passes | 459.1 | – | 362.5 #19 |
| 1.2 #12 | – | Yellowcards | 1.5 | – | 1.5 #10 |
| 1.8 #2 | – | Assists | 1.2 | – | 1.2 #8 |
| – #17 | – | Btts | 60.0 | – | – #9 |
| – #1 | – | Cleansheet | 20.0 | – | – #11 |
| – #12 | – | Draw | 15.0 | – | – #12 |
| 2.7 #2 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.8 #5 |
| 0.3 #6 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.0 | – | -0.5 #18 |
| – #10 | – | Failed to score | 20.0 | – | – #2 |
| 3.0 #2 | 3.0 | Goals | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.2 #12 |
| 0.2 #20 | 0.5 | Goals conceded | 1.5 | 3.0 | 2.8 #1 |
| 0.5 #4 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | – |
| 13.8 #1 | – | Interceptions | 8.5 | – | 10.2 #4 |
| – #16 | – | Lost | 42.5 | – | – #2 |
| 7.2 #1 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.7 #17 |
| 3.2 #10 | – | Shots blocked | 3.6 | – | 3.2 #10 |
| 15.8 #2 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.6 | – | 10.5 #5 |
| 10.2 #1 | – | Shots off target | 6.0 | – | 7.5 #5 |
| 5.5 #6 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.9 | – | 6.2 #5 |
| – #1 | – | Win | 42.5 | – | – #13 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 20.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 37 of 380
- Goals / match
- 2.92 (home 1.41 · away 1.51)
- Home / draw / away
- 41% · 16% · 43%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 59% · 57%
- Cards / match
- 3.19 (reds 0.03)
Trends
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Lineups
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Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Roma · Last 365 days
Rating 7.05 (84th pct) · G+A 8 + 8 (18% of team goals) · 60% of minutes
Team 1.94 ppg with (36) · 1.93 without (14)
Rating 7.44 (100th pct) · G+A 3 + 12 (17% of team goals) · 41% of minutes
Team 2.1 ppg with (21) · 1.83 without (29)
Fiorentina · Last 365 days
Rating 7.12 (80th pct) · G+A 3 + 4 (11% of team goals) · 67% of minutes
Team 1.36 ppg with (36) · 1.0 without (15)
Rating 6.87 (67th pct) · G+A 1 + 3 (6% of team goals) · 77% of minutes
Team 1.2 ppg with (41) · 1.5 without (10)
Rating 7.39 (96th pct) · G+A 3 + 0 (5% of team goals) · 6% of minutes
Absences
Roma
- injury Lorenzo Pellegrini #4 key player midfielder · Hamstring Injury · 4 missed · until 2026-08-31
Fiorentina
- injury Fabiano Parisi #5 key player defender · Cruciate Ligament Injury · 8 missed · until 2026-10-19
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 1
Venue
- Stadium
- Stadio Olimpico, Roma
- Capacity
- 72,698
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 67,598
Teams
- Coaches
- Gian Gasperini · Fabio Grosso
- Position
- 10 · 12
- Formation
- 3-4-2-1 · 4-3-2-1
Referee
Matteo Marcenaro
Weather
- Conditions
- scattered clouds
- Temperature
- 28.2° (feels 30.0°)
- Wind
- 1.5
- Humidity
- 62%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Roma |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 12 | WWWW |
| 2 |  Inter |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 | WWWW |
| 3 |  Como |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 | DWWW |
| 4 |  Lazio |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 | WWWD |
| 5 |  Cagliari |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WLWW |
| 6 |  AC Milan |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 8 | WWDD |
| 7 |  Frosinone |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 | LWWD |
| 8 |  Juventus |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | WWDL |
| 9 |  Sassuolo |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | LWDW |
| 10 |  Napoli |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 | WLLW |
| 11 |  Atalanta |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | WWLL |
| 12 |  Lecce |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 | WLLW |
| 13 |  Udinese |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 4 | DWLL |
| 14 |  Torino |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | LLWL |
| 15 |  Fiorentina |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 | LLLW |
| 16 |  Bologna |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | LLDL |
| 17 |  Parma |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 | LLDL |
| 18 |  Monza |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 1 | LLDL |
| 19 |  Genoa |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 | LLLD |
| 20 |  Venezia |
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 9 | WWWW |
| 2 | Roma |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Sassuolo |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 6 | LWDW |
| 4 | Atalanta |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | WWLL |
| 5 | Juventus |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | WWDL |
| 6 | Lazio |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | WWWD |
| 7 | AC Milan |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | WWDD |
| 8 | Como |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | DWWW |
| 9 | Frosinone |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | LWWD |
| 10 | Napoli |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | WLLW |
| 11 | Cagliari |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | WLWW |
| 12 | Lecce |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 | WLLW |
| 13 | Bologna |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | LLDL |
| 14 | Udinese |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | DWLL |
| 15 | Parma |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 | LLDL |
| 16 | Genoa |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLD |
| 17 | Monza |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | LLDL |
| 18 | Torino |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LLWL |
| 19 | Venezia |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 0 | LLLL |
| 20 | Fiorentina |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 0 | LLLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Como |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 | DWWW |
| 2 | Roma |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | WWWW |
| 3 | Cagliari |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WLWW |
| 4 | Lazio |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | WWWD |
| 5 | AC Milan |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | WWDD |
| 6 | Frosinone |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | LWWD |
| 7 | Napoli |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | WLLW |
| 8 | Lecce |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | WLLW |
| 9 | Inter |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | WWWW |
| 10 | Juventus |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | WWDL |
| 11 | Torino |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | LLWL |
| 12 | Udinese |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | DWLL |
| 13 | Fiorentina |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 | LLLW |
| 14 | Sassuolo |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | LWDW |
| 15 | Monza |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 1 | LLDL |
| 16 | Atalanta |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | WWLL |
| 17 | Genoa |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 | LLLD |
| 18 | Bologna |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | LLDL |
| 19 | Venezia |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLLL |
| 20 | Parma |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LLDL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation
Roma
WWWW 4W 0D 0L · 12 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 11 GA 2 · xG 9.11–2.25 · xPts 9.68
- W
A
Hellas Verona
2–0
xG 2.78–0.44
ITA SA - W
H
Lazio
2–0
xG 1.57–0.6
ITA SA
- W
A
Parma
3–2
xG 2.42–1.07
ITA SA
- W
H
Fiorentina
4–0
xG 2.35–0.14
ITA SA
WWWW 4W 0D 0L · 12 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 11 GA 2 · xG 9.11–2.25 · xPts 9.68
- W
A
Hellas Verona
2–0
xG 2.78–0.44
ITA SA
- W
H
Lazio
2–0
xG 1.57–0.6
ITA SA
- W
A
Parma
3–2
xG 2.42–1.07
ITA SA
- W
H
Fiorentina
4–0
xG 2.35–0.14
ITA SA
Fiorentina
DLDWD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 3 GA 5 · xG 4.64–8.06 · xPts 4.93
- D
H
Atalanta
1–1
xG 0.79–1.67
ITA SA
- W
A
Juventus
2–0
xG 0.65–2.15
ITA SA
- D
H
Genoa
0–0
xG 1.06–0.73
ITA SA
- L
A
Roma
0–4
xG 0.14–2.35
ITA SA
- D
H
Sassuolo
0–0
xG 2.0–1.16
ITA SA
DLDWD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 3 GA 5 · xG 4.64–8.06 · xPts 4.93
- D
H
Atalanta
1–1
xG 0.79–1.67
ITA SA
- W
A
Juventus
2–0
xG 0.65–2.15
ITA SA
- D
H
Genoa
0–0
xG 1.06–0.73
ITA SA
- L
A
Roma
0–4
xG 0.14–2.35
ITA SA
- D
H
Sassuolo
0–0
xG 2.0–1.16
ITA SA
All meetings · 45 matches since 2005
Goals 80–54 · 2.98 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 58%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 18–13 · 3.1 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 12–6 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 80%
Recent meetings
- W Roma 4–0 Fiorentina ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Roma 4–0 Fiorentina ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Fiorentina 1–2 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Roma 1–0 Fiorentina ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Fiorentina 5–1 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Fiorentina 2–2 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
- D Roma 1–1 Fiorentina ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Fiorentina 2–1 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
- W Roma 2–0 Fiorentina ITA SA · Regular Season
- L Fiorentina 2–0 Roma ITA SA · Regular Season
| Metric | Roma all · 4 | Roma at home · 2 | Fiorentina all · 4 | Fiorentina away · 2 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Roma · 5 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.66) · stands out: when level +0.82
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.665
Early press (0-15, level)+0.385
Late push (76+, level)+0.042
Game state
When ahead+0.365
When level+0.825
10 min after conceding-0.312
10 min after scoring+0.545
Situations
At home+1.332
Away+0.173
4+ days rest+0.665
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.912
As favourite+0.665
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.195
Conceded when ahead-0.195
Conceded late (76+)-0.563
Ahead vs level -0.46 · Behind vs level -0.11
Fiorentina · 4 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.17) · stands out: 10 min after conceding +0.33
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.174
Early press (0-15, level)+0.094
Game state
When ahead+0.082
When level+0.224
When behind+0.194
10 min after conceding+0.334
10 min after scoring+0.492
Situations
At home+0.192
Away+0.152
4+ days rest+0.174
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.422
As favourite+0.192
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.244
Conceded when ahead+0.202
Conceded late (76+)+0.192
Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level -0.03
Roma
Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 1 · scoring 22 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 75% | 3.0 | 3.33 | 0.0 | 2.63 | 0.62 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 25% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.31 | 0.88 |
Fiorentina
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 2 50% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 1.7 | 1.15 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 25% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.99 | 0.64 |
| 4-3-2-1 | 1 25% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.32 | 3.1 |
| Metric | Roma all · 10 | Roma at home · 10 | Fiorentina all · 10 | Fiorentina away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.80 | 2.30 | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| W / D / L | 9 / 1 / 0 | 7 / 2 / 1 | 2 / 4 / 4 | 5 / 1 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 2.60 | 2.60 | 0.90 | 1.40 |
| Goals against / match | 0.40 | 0.90 | 1.70 | 1.90 |
| Clean sheets | 70% | 60% | 30% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | 50% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 70% | 50% | 70% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.22 | 2.05 | 1.24 | 1.00 |
| xG against / match | 0.69 | 0.73 | 1.61 | 1.90 |
| xG difference | 1.53 | 1.32 | -0.37 | -0.90 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.38 | 0.55 | -0.34 | 0.40 |
| xPts / match | 2.24 | 2.14 | 1.20 | 0.88 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.56 | 0.16 | -0.20 | 0.72 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 90% | 70% | 40% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.78 | 2.71 | 1.25 | 2.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 3.00 | 1.33 | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Came back from behind | 100% | 67% | 20% | 33% |
| Leads held | 90% | 88% | 40% | 83% |
| Minutes leading | 53% | 41% | 25% | 26% |
| Minutes level | 42% | 45% | 50% | 39% |
| Minutes trailing | 5% | 14% | 24% | 35% |
| First goal (min) | 34 | 40 | 36 | 45 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 47 | 32 | 45 | 34 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | 62% | 44% | 57% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 100% | 62% | 59% | 58% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.70 | 0.60 | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.10 | 0.30 | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 58% | 58% | 45% | 47% |
| Shots | 16.4 | 18.5 | 13.2 | 10.4 |
| On target | 6.4 | 6.3 | 4.2 | 3.8 |
| Shot conversion | 16% | 14% | 7% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 74% | 78% | 62% | 62% |
| Big chances created | 3.8 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| Corners | 5.9 | 6.7 | 4.1 | 3.1 |
| xG from set plays | 23% | 25% | 11% | 16% |
| Goals from headers | 19% | 31% | 11% | 7% |
| Pressure index | 19.1 | 21.6 | 11.2 | 9.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 59.1 | 69.6 | 40.3 | 37.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 86% | 82% | 82% |
| Fouls | 13.2 | 12.0 | 11.4 | 10.9 |
| Cards | 1.60 | 1.50 | 1.70 | 2.30 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Roma
0–15'30
16–30'50
31–45'50
46–60'43
61–75'20
76–90'71
Fiorentina
0–15'01
16–30'34
31–45'22
46–60'13
61–75'13
76–90'24
Roma
Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 1 · scoring 22 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 9 90% | 2.78 | 2.67 | 0.33 | 2.1 | 0.67 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.31 | 0.88 |
Fiorentina
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 8 80% | 0.88 | 0.63 | 1.37 | 1.13 | 1.54 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.99 | 0.64 |
| 4-3-2-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.32 | 3.1 |
| Metric | Roma all · 50 | Roma at home · 24 | Fiorentina all · 51 | Fiorentina away · 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 50 | 24 | 51 | 25 |
| Points per game | 1.94 | 2.13 | 1.25 | 1.24 |
| W / D / L | 30 / 7 / 13 | 16 / 3 / 5 | 17 / 13 / 21 | 9 / 4 / 12 |
| Goals for / match | 1.74 | 1.92 | 1.24 | 1.28 |
| Goals against / match | 0.86 | 0.75 | 1.41 | 1.64 |
| Clean sheets | 44% | 50% | 24% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 14% | 12% | 29% | 36% |
| Both teams scored | 42% | 38% | 55% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 46% | 61% | 72% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.62 | 1.81 | 1.48 | 1.29 |
| xG against / match | 1.02 | 0.80 | 1.40 | 1.76 |
| xG difference | 0.60 | 1.01 | 0.08 | -0.46 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.12 | 0.10 | -0.25 | -0.01 |
| xPts / match | 1.74 | 1.97 | 1.44 | 1.14 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.20 | 0.16 | -0.19 | 0.10 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 64% | 67% | 43% | 44% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.72 | 2.88 | 1.91 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.56 | 0.63 | 0.72 | 0.62 |
| Came back from behind | 35% | 38% | 32% | 25% |
| Leads held | 88% | 94% | 59% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 41% | 39% | 24% | 24% |
| Minutes level | 41% | 41% | 50% | 49% |
| Minutes trailing | 18% | 20% | 26% | 27% |
| First goal (min) | 37 | 41 | 43 | 37 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 46 | 43 | 43 | 44 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 53% | 61% | 61% | 59% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 64% | 53% | 61% | 68% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.34 | 0.50 | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| Late goals against | 0.26 | 0.25 | 0.33 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 55% | 58% | 50% | 48% |
| Shots | 13.9 | 16.7 | 13.7 | 11.2 |
| On target | 4.9 | 5.8 | 4.2 | 3.7 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 12% | 9% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 74% | 75% | 65% | 67% |
| Big chances created | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 2.2 |
| Corners | 5.2 | 6.2 | 4.7 | 3.6 |
| xG from set plays | 29% | 29% | 31% | 32% |
| Goals from headers | 21% | 24% | 10% | 6% |
| Pressure index | 18.4 | 21.6 | 13.7 | 9.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 61.0 | 68.3 | 48.6 | 40.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 84% | 84% | 82% |
| Fouls | 14.3 | 13.2 | 12.6 | 12.6 |
| Cards | 1.94 | 1.54 | 2.39 | 2.36 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Roma
0–15'126
16–30'123
31–45'176
46–60'1312
61–75'163
76–90'1712
Fiorentina
0–15'56
16–30'1312
31–45'610
46–60'1416
61–75'1111
76–90'1216
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Roma · 50 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.68
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.3850
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3250
Late push (76+, level)+0.3014
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.2815
Game state
When ahead+0.3734
When level+0.4650
When behind+0.2020
10 min after conceding-0.0628
10 min after scoring+0.6843
Situations
With ten men-0.094
Against ten men-0.154
At home+0.4824
Away+0.2826
3 days rest or fewer+0.2910
4+ days rest+0.4040
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.2914
v mid-tier opponents+0.2412
v bottom-tier opponents+0.546
As favourite+0.4633
Evenly matched+0.3113
As underdog-0.094
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2050
Conceded when ahead-0.2634
Conceded late (76+)-0.3044
Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level -0.26
Fiorentina · 51 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.11) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.43
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1151
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0251
Late push (76+, level)+0.0722
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0218
Game state
When ahead-0.0429
When level+0.1551
When behind+0.1730
10 min after conceding+0.0538
10 min after scoring+0.4335
Situations
With ten men+0.054
Against ten men-0.404
At home+0.2426
Away-0.0225
3 days rest or fewer+0.0012
4+ days rest+0.1439
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.2012
v mid-tier opponents+0.1810
v bottom-tier opponents+0.166
As favourite+0.3224
Evenly matched+0.0014
As underdog-0.1513
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0951
Conceded when ahead+0.0629
Conceded late (76+)+0.0145
Congested vs rested -0.14 · Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level +0.02
Roma
Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 1 · scoring 22 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 40 80% | 1.98 | 1.85 | 0.88 | 1.55 | 1.0 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 6 12% | 2.17 | 1.33 | 0.5 | 2.07 | 0.81 |
| 3-5-2 | 4 8% | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.66 | 1.57 |
Fiorentina
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 18 35% | 1.5 | 1.11 | 1.22 | 1.18 | 1.51 |
| 3-5-2 | 12 24% | 1.0 | 1.17 | 1.25 | 1.67 | 1.12 |
| 4-4-2 | 4 8% | 1.5 | 2.75 | 1.75 | 1.78 | 1.19 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 6% | 1.33 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.52 | 1.38 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 6% | 3.0 | 2.33 | 1.0 | 2.48 | 0.94 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 4.2d before kick-off · 101 snapshots · last 45m before kick-off · biggest step: home -1.4 pts at 45.8h
1.74Home 56% ▼ -4.7 ptsopened 1.593.91Draw 25% ▲ +1.7 ptsopened 4.165.06Away 19% ▲ +3.0 ptsopened 5.92
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.74 ▼ -4.7 | 3.91 ▲ +1.7 | 5.06 ▲ +3.0 | 45m |
| bet365 | 1.72 ▼ -5.5 | 3.75 ▲ +2.1 | 4.75 ▲ +3.4 | 45m |
| Betfair | 1.67 ▼ -3.8 | 3.75 ▲ +1.0 | 5.0 ▲ +2.8 | 45m |
| BetVictor | 1.67 ▼ -4.0 | 3.7 ▲ +1.4 | 5.0 ▲ +2.5 | 45m |
| Coral | 1.73 ▼ -4.9 | 3.7 ▲ +2.2 | 4.8 ▲ +2.7 | 45m |
| Ladbrokes | 1.7 ▼ -4.5 | 3.7 ▲ +1.9 | 4.8 ▲ +2.5 | 45m |
| Unibet | 1.66 ▼ -5.7 | 3.65 ▲ +2.3 | 5.1 ▲ +3.4 | 45m |
| WilliamHill | 1.7 ▼ -4.6 | 3.7 ▲ +1.3 | 4.6 ▲ +3.3 | 45m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 4.2d before kick-off · 101 snapshots · last 45m before kick-off · biggest step: no -2.0 pts at 2.8h
1.8Yes 52% ▲ +4.0 ptsopened 1.951.95No 48% ▼ -4.0 ptsopened 1.8
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.8 ▲ +4.0 | 1.95 ▼ -4.0 | 45m |
| Betfair | 1.87 · +0.0 | 1.87 · +0.0 | 45m |
| BetVictor | 1.85 ▲ +1.1 | 1.83 ▼ -1.1 | 45m |
| Unibet | 1.88 · +0.5 | 1.86 · -0.5 | 45m |
| WilliamHill | 1.83 ▲ +2.4 | 1.95 ▼ -2.4 | 45m |
Pinnacle · opened 4.2d before kick-off · 101 snapshots · last 45m before kick-off · biggest step: under -1.4 pts at 4.8h
1.89Over 52% ▲ +1.3 ptsopened 1.932.02Under 48% ▼ -1.3 ptsopened 1.96
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.89 ▲ +1.3 | 2.02 ▼ -1.3 | 45m |
| bet365 | 1.8 ▲ +2.6 | 2.0 ▼ -2.6 | 45m |
| Betfair | 1.91 ▼ -1.5 | 1.8 ▲ +1.5 | 45m |
| BetVictor | 1.88 ▼ -1.5 | 1.79 ▲ +1.5 | 45m |
| Unibet | 1.94 ▼ -2.9 | 1.85 ▲ +2.9 | 45m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.8h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.72Home 55% P 56%3.75Draw 25% P 25%4.75Away 20% P 19%
Double Chance
1.18Roma or Draw 40%1.25Roma or Fiorentina 38%2.1Draw or Fiorentina 22%
Draw No Bet
1.281 73%3.52 27%
Both Teams To Score
1.8Yes 52%1.95No 48%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.8Over 53% P 52%2.0Under 47% P 48%
Total Corners
7.0Under 6 13%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.512 - 14 16%13.0Over 14 7%
Number of Cards
4.51.83Over 50% P 51%1.83Under 50% P 49%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 17.5–20% · 762 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 56% | 56% | 53% | -2.8 |
| Draw | 25% | 25% | 26% | +1.0 |
| Away | 19% | 19% | 21% | +1.8 |
In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 52%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 51% | 51% | -0.1 |
Matteo Marcenaro
- Career
- 53 matches · 6 seasons
- Cards / match
- 5.3 (4.96 yellow · 0.28 red)
- Fouls / match
- 24.7 · 4.7 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.3
- Cards to home side
- 48%
Style in Serie A (5-year window · 49 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 5.0 | 4.49 | +0.72 | 76 |
| Fouls / match | 24.3 | 25.2 | -0.50 | |
| Fouls per card | 4.9 | 5.6 | -0.96 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.33 | 0.31 | +0.03 | 58 |
| Time added | 6.3 | 6.4 | -0.24 | 27 |
- First card
- 30' on average
- Card timing
- 17% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 48% (league 46%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.17
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | 5 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 20' | 5 |
| 2026-07-29 | 6 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 9' | 7 |
| 2026-04-18 · Roma | 3 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 65' | 5 |
| 2026-04-04 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 27' | 7 |
| 2026-02-23 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 62' | 15 |
| 2026-02-09 · Roma | 6 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 5' | 5 |
| 2026-01-23 | 5 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 15' | 8 |
| 2026-01-10 · Roma | 4 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 22' | 8 |
| 2025-11-30 · Fiorentina | 4 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 59' | 5 |
| 2025-11-07 | 6 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 17' | 5 |