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Serie A · Matchweek 1

Momentum

BolognaLazio
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
1

Venue

Stadium
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna
Capacity
36,532
Surface
grass
Attendance
28,211

Teams

Coaches
Domenico Tedesco · Gennaro Gattuso
Position
16 · 9
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Fabio Maresca

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
21.4° (feels 21.7°)
Wind
4.0
Humidity
79%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Roma 4400 12111 12 WWWW
2 Inter 4400 1367 12 WWWW
3 Como 4310 945 10 DWWW
4 Lazio 4310 633 10 WWWD
5 Cagliari 4301 422 9 WLWW
6 AC Milan 4220 743 8 WWDD
7 Frosinone 4211 743 7 LWWD
8 Juventus 4211 642 7 WWDL
9 Sassuolo 5212 990 7 LWDWL
10 Napoli 4202 651 6 WLLW
11 Atalanta 4202 550 6 WWLL
12 Lecce 4202 57-2 6 WLLW
13 Udinese 4112 810-2 4 DWLL
14 Monza 5113 812-4 4 LLDLW
15 Torino 4103 47-3 3 LLWL
16 Fiorentina 4103 511-6 3 LLLW
17 Bologna 4013 25-3 1 LLDL
18 Parma 4013 26-4 1 LLDL
19 Genoa 4013 28-6 1 LLLD
20 Venezia 4004 411-7 0 LLLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation

Bologna

DWWD 2W 2D 0L · 8 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 5 · xG 4.5–4.2 · xPts 5.61

  • D H Inter 3–3 xG 1.49–1.49 ITA SA
  • W A Atalanta 1–0 xG 0.84–0.89 ITA SA
  • W A Napoli 3–2 xG 1.32–1.03 ITA SA
  • D H Cagliari 0–0 xG 0.85–0.8 ITA SA

Lazio

DWLLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 10 · xG 5.55–7.3 · xPts 5.53

  • W H Pisa 2–1 xG 1.25–1.49 ITA SA
  • L A Roma 0–2 xG 0.6–1.57 ITA SA
  • L H Inter 0–3 xG 0.64–1.31 ITA SA
  • W A Cremonese 2–1 xG 0.84–0.8 ITA SA
  • D H Udinese 3–3 xG 2.21–2.12 ITA SA

All meetings · 35 matches since 2008

Bologna 810 draws17 Lazio

Goals 39–54 · 2.66 per match · BTTS 46% · over 2.5 51%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Bologna 32 draws5 Lazio

Goals 10–13 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Bologna 11 draws3 Lazio

Goals 6–7 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Bologna 0–1 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Bologna 0–2 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Lazio 1–1 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Bologna 5–0 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Lazio 3–0 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Lazio 1–2 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • W Bologna 1–0 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • D Bologna 0–0 Lazio ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Lazio 2–1 Bologna ITA SA · Regular Season
  • L Lazio 3–0 Bologna neutral ITA SA · Regular Season
MetricBologna all · 4Bologna at home · 2Lazio all · 4Lazio away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Bologna · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.21) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.62

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.214
Early press (0-15, level)+0.624
Late push (76+, level)+0.202
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.234

Game state

When level+0.394
When behind-0.104
10 min after conceding+0.384

Situations

At home+0.092
Away+0.342
4+ days rest+0.214

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.342
v mid-tier opponents+0.092
As underdog+0.342

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104
Conceded late (76+)-0.144

Behind vs level -0.48

Lazio · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.62

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.034
Early press (0-15, level)+0.254
Late push (76+, level)-0.102

Game state

When ahead+0.134
When level-0.104
10 min after conceding-0.612
10 min after scoring+0.624

Situations

At home-0.172
Away+0.232
4+ days rest+0.034

Opposition

Evenly matched+0.173

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.004
Conceded when ahead-0.064
Conceded late (76+)-0.244

Ahead vs level +0.23 · Behind vs level +0.30

Bologna

Current: winless 5 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 100%0.250.51.251.451.07

Lazio

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-34 100%2.51.50.751.371.29

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 4.1d before kick-off · 99 snapshots · last 30m before kick-off · biggest step: away -1.2 pts at 3.0d

2.36Home 41% ▼ -1.6 ptsopened 2.263.11Draw 31% ▲ +1.5 ptsopened 3.253.54Away 27% · +0.1 ptsopened 3.54
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 25%30%35%40%45%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle2.36 ▼ -1.63.11 ▲ +1.53.54 · +0.130m
bet3652.35 ▼ -2.33.1 ▲ +1.33.4 ▲ +1.130m
Betfair2.25 · -0.83.0 ▲ +2.33.4 ▼ -1.430m
BetVictor2.3 ▼ -2.23.2 · +0.53.25 ▲ +1.730m
Coral2.3 ▼ -2.13.0 ▲ +2.33.4 · -0.230m
Ladbrokes2.3 ▼ -2.53.0 ▲ +2.23.4 · +0.230m
Unibet2.23 ▼ -1.33.1 · +0.53.35 · +0.830m
WilliamHill2.25 · -1.03.0 · +1.03.3 · -0.030m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.5h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.35Home 41% P 41%3.1Draw 31% P 31%3.4Away 28% P 27%

Double Chance

1.3Bologna or Draw 36%1.36Bologna or Lazio 34%1.57Draw or Lazio 30%

Draw No Bet

1.611 58%2.22 42%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50%1.9No 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.3Over 41% P 41%1.61Under 59% P 59%

Total Corners

5.5Under 6 16%2.56 - 8 35%2.879 - 11 30%6.512 - 14 13%17.0Over 14 5%

Number of Cards

4.51.72Over 54% P 52%2.0Under 46% P 48%
5.52.1Over 44% P 36%1.66Under 56% P 64%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 25–27.5% · 232 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home41%42%47%+5.0
Draw31%32%29%-2.8
Away27%27%25%-2.2

In those fixtures: 2.3 goals a game · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 41%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.541%41%41%-0.4

Fabio Maresca

Career
165 matches · 14 seasons
Cards / match
5.7 (5.35 yellow · 0.2 red)
Fouls / match
25.0 · 4.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Serie A (5-year window · 67 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.394.48+1.2893
Fouls / match25.525.1+0.28
Fouls per card4.75.6-1.10 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.280.31-0.3244
Time added7.26.4+1.6195
First card
31' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
51% (league 46%)
VAR events / match
1.29

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-05-24 63 262 20'8
2026-05-17 · Lazio 52 320 21'9
2026-05-03 81 320 9'7
2026-04-20 50 210 62'9
2026-04-11 40 180 66'8
2026-04-06 50 220 50'6
2026-03-13 40 300 59'12
2026-01-25 · Bologna 41 310 56'7
2026-01-14 30 250 17'8
2026-01-07 30 240 11'6