Rating 7.26 (83th pct) · G+A 3 + 1 (33% of team goals) · 96% of minutes
Eredivisie · Matchweek 7
Momentum
– FC TwentePSV –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Waiting for statistics…
Season context
| FC Twente | at home | Stat | league | away | PSV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60.8 #4 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 64.3 #1 |
| 21.3 #4 | – | Shots total | 15.0 | – | 22.7 #2 |
| 7.8 #2 | – | Shots on target | 5.4 | – | 9.2 #1 |
| 7.7 #4 | – | Corners | 5.3 | – | 8.0 #2 |
| 10.2 #9 | – | Fouls | 10.3 | – | 8.2 #17 |
| 1.3 #9 | – | Offsides | 1.4 | – | 1.3 #9 |
| 12.5 #15 | – | Tackles | 14.7 | – | 17.2 #4 |
| 126.2 #1 | – | Attacks | 94.5 | – | 125.5 #2 |
| 76.8 #3 | – | Dangerous attacks | 48.9 | – | 78.7 #1 |
| 562.2 #3 | – | Passes | 445.6 | – | 617.2 #1 |
| 0.8 #14 | – | Yellowcards | 1.3 | – | 1.7 #4 |
| 1.5 #8 | – | Assists | 1.5 | – | 2.5 #1 |
| – #15 | – | Btts | 74.1 | – | – #1 |
| – #1 | – | Cleansheet | 13.9 | – | – #10 |
| – #9 | – | Draw | 25.9 | – | – #9 |
| 2.5 #5 | – | Expected goals | 1.8 | – | 2.9 #1 |
| -0.5 #18 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.2 | – | 0.7 #3 |
| – #5 | – | Failed to score | 13.9 | – | – #11 |
| 2.0 #7 | 2.0 | Goals | 2.0 | 3.7 | 3.7 #1 |
| 0.8 #18 | 0.3 | Goals conceded | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 #13 |
| – | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.7 #2 |
| 9.2 #7 | – | Interceptions | 8.5 | – | 9.7 #4 |
| – #13 | – | Lost | 37.0 | – | – #16 |
| 0.2 #3 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #3 |
| 7.0 #5 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 7.1 #1 |
| 4.0 #8 | – | Shots blocked | 4.0 | – | 5.5 #3 |
| 14.5 #4 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.9 | – | 15.7 #2 |
| 9.5 #1 | – | Shots off target | 5.7 | – | 8.0 #4 |
| 6.8 #5 | – | Shots outsidebox | 5.0 | – | 7.0 #4 |
| – #3 | – | Win | 37.0 | – | – #1 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 53 of 306
- Goals / match
- 3.91 (home 1.64 · away 2.26)
- Home / draw / away
- 26% · 26% · 47%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 74% · 79%
- Cards / match
- 2.75 (reds 0.06)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
FC Twente · 2026/2027 · Eredivisie
Rating 7.28 (84th pct) · G+A 0 + 1 (8% of team goals) · 98% of minutes
Rating 7.58 (94th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (17% of team goals) · 71% of minutes
PSV · 2026/2027 · Eredivisie
Rating 7.81 (100th pct) · G+A 2 + 2 (18% of team goals) · 83% of minutes
Rating 7.64 (94th pct) · G+A 2 + 2 (18% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Rating 7.24 (93th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (9% of team goals) · 94% of minutes
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 7
Venue
- Stadium
- De Grolsch Veste, Enschede
- Capacity
- 30,205
- Surface
- grass
Teams
- Coaches
- John van den Brom · Peter Bosz
- Position
- 5 · 1
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Referee
Serdar Gozubuyuk
Weather
- Conditions
- light rain
- Temperature
- 18.3° (feels 17.9°)
- Wind
- 7.5
- Humidity
- 66%
Where to watch · 3
Netherlands
Canal+ · ESPN Extra · Watch ESPN
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 7 | 15 | 16 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  AZ Alkmaar |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 16 | WWWWD |
| 3 |  Feyenoord |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 14 | DWDWW |
| 4 |  Ajax |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 13 | DWLWW |
| 5 |  FC Twente |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 13 | WWDWW |
| 6 |  Excelsior |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 10 | LWWDL |
| 7 |  Fortuna Sittard |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 | WLWWL |
| 8 |  Go Ahead Eagles |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 9 | DWLDD |
| 9 |  FC Groningen |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 8 | WLLDD |
| 10 |  NEC Nijmegen |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 7 | WWLDL |
| 11 |  SC Heerenveen |
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 6 | DLDLD |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 5 | WDLDL |
| 13 |  Telstar |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 5 | LLDLD |
| 14 |  FC Utrecht |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 5 | LDLDW |
| 15 |  SC Cambuur |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 4 | LLLDW |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 17 |  Willem II |
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 18 |  ADO Den Haag |
6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Twente |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 9 | WWDWW |
| 2 | PSV |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 7 | WWWWW |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 7 | WWWWD |
| 4 | Go Ahead Eagles |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 7 | DWLDD |
| 5 | Ajax |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 4 | DWLWW |
| 6 | FC Groningen |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 | WLLDD |
| 7 | SC Heerenveen |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | DLDLD |
| 8 | Excelsior |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 | LWWDL |
| 9 | Fortuna Sittard |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | WLWWL |
| 10 | SC Cambuur |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LLLDW |
| 11 | Feyenoord |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DWDWW |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 2 | WDLDL |
| 13 | NEC Nijmegen |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 | WWLDL |
| 14 | Telstar |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LLDLD |
| 15 | Willem II |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LDLDL |
| 16 | FC Utrecht |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 1 | LDLDW |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 0 | LLDLL |
| 18 | PEC Zwolle |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | -11 | 0 | LWLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 12 | DWDWW |
| 2 | Ajax |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 9 | DWLWW |
| 3 | PSV |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 4 | AZ Alkmaar |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 9 | WWWWD |
| 5 | Excelsior |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 7 | LWWDL |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 7 | WLWWL |
| 7 | NEC Nijmegen |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 6 | WWLDL |
| 8 | FC Twente |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 | WWDWW |
| 9 | FC Utrecht |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 | LDLDW |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 11 | Telstar |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | LLDLD |
| 12 | FC Groningen |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 4 | WLLDD |
| 13 | Sparta Rotterdam |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 | WDLDL |
| 14 | SC Heerenveen |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DLDLD |
| 15 | Go Ahead Eagles |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 2 | DWLDD |
| 16 | SC Cambuur |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 1 | LLLDW |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LLDLL |
| 18 | Willem II |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 | LDLDL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
FC Twente
WWDWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 13 GA 4 · xG 13.71–3.54 · xPts 12.36
- W
H
ADO Den Haag
2–0
xG 3.26–0.53
NLD E
- W
H
Telstar
1–0
xG 3.01–0.15
NLD E
- D
A
FC Groningen
2–2
xG 2.39–1.69
NLD E
- W
A
SC Cambuur
4–1
xG 1.96–0.61
NLD E
- W
A
Qarabağ
4–1 aet
xG 3.08–0.56
UEFA ECL
WLDWLWWDWW 6W 2D 2L · 20 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 25 GA 10 · xG 24.14–7.18 · xPts 23.52
- W
H
ADO Den Haag
2–0
xG 3.26–0.53
NLD E
- W
H
Telstar
1–0
xG 3.01–0.15
NLD E
- D
A
FC Groningen
2–2
xG 2.39–1.69
NLD E
- W
A
SC Cambuur
4–1
xG 1.96–0.61
NLD E
- W
A
Qarabağ
4–1 aet
xG 3.08–0.56
UEFA ECL
- L
H
Qarabağ
0–1
xG 1.3–0.46
UEFA ECL
- W
H
PEC Zwolle
3–1
xG 2.69–0.56
NLD E
- D
A
Dunajská Streda
3–3
xG 2.0–1.56
UEFA ECL - L
A
SC Heerenveen
0–1
xG 2.01–0.58
NLD E
- W
H
Dunajská Streda
6–0
xG 2.43–0.49
UEFA ECL
PSV
WWWDW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 19 GA 5 · xG 13.76–5.57 · xPts 10.73
- W
H
Sparta Rotterdam
4–1
xG 3.8–1.91
NLD E
- D
H
Shakhtar Donetsk
1–1
xG 0.52–0.53
UEFA CL - W
A
Ajax
3–1
xG 2.41–1.97
NLD E
- W
A
FC Utrecht
6–1
xG 3.16–0.22
NLD E
- W
H
FC Groningen
5–1
xG 3.87–0.94
NLD E
DWWWWDW 5W 2D 0L · 17 pts (2.43 ppg) · GF 23 GA 8 · xG 18.37–6.96 · xPts 15.46
- W
H
Sparta Rotterdam
4–1
xG 3.8–1.91
NLD E
- D
H
Shakhtar Donetsk
1–1
xG 0.52–0.53
UEFA CL
- W
A
Ajax
3–1
xG 2.41–1.97
NLD E
- W
A
FC Utrecht
6–1
xG 3.16–0.22
NLD E
- W
H
FC Groningen
5–1
xG 3.87–0.94
NLD E
- W
A
Excelsior
2–1
xG 1.96–0.68
NLD E
- D
H
Fortuna Sittard
2–2
xG 2.65–0.71
NLD E
full sample 10 meetings 2021–2026
Recurring referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie · 3 of these meetings
Last 10
Goals 11–32 · FC Twente hosting: 1W 1D 3L · PSV hosting: 5W 0D 0L
At De Grolsch Veste: 4 meetings · FC Twente 1 · draws 0 · PSV 3 · 3.0 goals per match · last away win Aug 2025
All-time since 2005: 40 meetings · FC Twente 6 · draws 15 · PSV 19
- FC Twente haven't beaten PSV since Sep 2022
- PSV have won the last 7 meetings
This fixture vs the league league = last 365 days
| Metric | Fixture | League | Δ | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals per match | 4.30 | 3.29 | +1.01 | 10 |
| Both teams score | 70% | 66% | +4% | 10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 64% | +16% | 10 |
| Corners | 10.3 | 10.5 | -0.2 | 10 |
| Cards | 3.3 | 3.6 | -0.3 | 10 |
6 with 4+ goals · 2.20 first-half goals per match · red card in 1
How these games go · 10 with event data
| FC Twente | PSV | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 5 of 10 | 5 of 10 |
| Scored first and won | 1 | 5 |
| Won from behind | 0 | 3 |
first goal on average in minute 22 · a side came back in 4 · goal after the 75th minute in 5 · penalty scored in 1
When the goals come · all goals, 10 meetings
0-15'9
16-30'7
31-45'6
46-60'13
61-75'3
76-90'5
7 equalisers · 1 penalty · 2 own goals · 2 headers
Expected goals · last 4 with xG
Deserved on xG: FC Twente 0 · level 0 · PSV 4 — actual wins in those games 0 / 4
Against the market · 10 with closing odds
Favourite won 8 (80%), drew 1, upset 1 · market favoured FC Twente 0×, PSV 10× · avg favourite 58%, avg price of the actual result 53%
Fixture specialists
- 3 Guus Til PSV · in 3 games · last May 2026
- 3 Ricardo Pepi PSV · in 3 games · last May 2026
- 3 Ricky van Wolfswinkel FC Twente · in 2 games · last Apr 2025
- 2 Luuk de Jong PSV · in 2 games · last Apr 2025
- 2 Ismael Saibari PSV · last Dec 2024
Last meeting · 2026-05-17 · NLD E
PSV 5-1 FC Twente · ref Jeroen Manschot
- 15' Ryan Flamingo assist Ivan Perišić 1–0
- 16' Sondre Ørjasæter assist Daouda Weidmann 1–1
- 44' Noah Fernandez assist Kiliann Sildillia 2–1
- 53' Dennis Man assist Ivan Perišić 3–1
- 56' Guus Til assist Dennis Man 4–1
- 84' Ricardo Pepi (pen) 5–1
xG 2.35 – 1.64 · corners 20 · cards 2
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·
Match result
35.5%FC Twente P 33%22.2%Draw P 23%42.3%PSV P 44%
Over / under 2.5
69.7%Over 2.5 P 74%30.3%Under 2.5 P 26%
Both teams to score
69.7%Yes30.3%No
Expected
- FC Twente goals
- 1.71 (0–3)
- PSV goals
- 1.88 (0–4)
- Corners
- 9.87 (6–14)
- Cards
- 3.41 (1–6)
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
38.9%FC Twente21.9%Draw39.2%PSV
Over / under 2.5
66.1%Over 2.533.9%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
64.8%Yes35.2%No
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 40 matches since 2005
Goals 47–82 · 3.22 per match · BTTS 62% · over 2.5 50%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 11–32 · 4.3 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 80%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 3–17 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- L PSV 5–1 FC Twente NLD E · Regular Season
- L FC Twente 0–2 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
- L FC Twente 1–3 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
- L PSV 6–1 FC Twente NLD E · Regular Season
- L PSV 1–0 FC Twente NLD E · Regular Season
- L FC Twente 0–3 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
- L PSV 3–1 FC Twente NLD E · Regular Season
- W FC Twente 2–1 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
- D FC Twente 3–3 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
- L PSV 5–2 FC Twente NLD E · Regular Season
| Metric | FC Twente all · 6 | FC Twente at home · 3 | PSV all · 6 | PSV away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | 6 | – |
| Points per game | 2.17 | – | 2.67 | – |
| W / D / L | 4 / 1 / 1 | – | 5 / 1 / 0 | – |
| Goals for / match | 2.00 | – | 3.67 | – |
| Goals against / match | 0.83 | – | 1.17 | – |
| Clean sheets | 33% | – | 0% | – |
| Failed to score | 17% | – | 0% | – |
| Both teams scored | 50% | – | 100% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | – | 100% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.55 | – | 2.98 | – |
| xG against / match | 0.69 | – | 1.07 | – |
| xG difference | 1.87 | – | 1.90 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.55 | – | 0.69 | – |
| xPts / match | 2.43 | – | 2.37 | – |
| Points vs xPts | -0.27 | – | 0.30 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 67% | – | 33% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.50 | – | 3.00 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.50 | – | 2.50 | – |
| Came back from behind | 67% | – | 100% | – |
| Leads held | 80% | – | 83% | – |
| Minutes leading | 31% | – | 58% | – |
| Minutes level | 57% | – | 37% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 12% | – | 5% | – |
| First goal (min) | 38 | – | 18 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 45 | – | 25 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 58% | – | 54% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 40% | – | 29% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.17 | – | 1.00 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.17 | – | 0.17 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 61% | – | 64% | – |
| Shots | 21.7 | – | 22.7 | – |
| On target | 8.0 | – | 9.2 | – |
| Shot conversion | 9% | – | 16% | – |
| Shots inside box | 68% | – | 69% | – |
| Big chances created | 3.7 | – | 5.0 | – |
| Corners | 7.7 | – | 8.0 | – |
| xG from set plays | 28% | – | 23% | – |
| Goals from headers | 9% | – | 14% | – |
| Pressure index | 21.6 | – | 26.0 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 68.3 | – | 71.5 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | – | 89% | – |
| Fouls | 9.8 | – | 7.7 | – |
| Cards | 0.83 | – | 1.67 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
FC Twente
0–15'10
16–30'23
31–45'20
46–60'21
61–75'40
76–90'11
PSV
0–15'43
16–30'11
31–45'51
46–60'41
61–75'20
76–90'61
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
FC Twente · 12 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.46) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.79
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.4612
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3612
Late push (76+, level)+0.545
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.586
Game state
When ahead+0.687
When level+0.3812
When behind+0.458
10 min after conceding+0.018
10 min after scoring+0.7910
Situations
At home+0.616
Away+0.326
3 days rest or fewer+0.735
4+ days rest+0.287
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.735
As favourite+0.5010
Evenly matched+0.312
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.3212
Conceded when ahead-0.217
Conceded late (76+)-0.5310
Congested vs rested +0.45 · Ahead vs level +0.31 · Behind vs level +0.08
PSV · 7 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.66) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.23
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.667
Early press (0-15, level)+0.077
Late push (76+, level)-0.192
Game state
When ahead+0.566
When level+0.787
When behind+0.335
10 min after conceding+0.467
10 min after scoring+1.237
Situations
At home+0.604
Away+0.723
4+ days rest+0.616
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.122
v mid-tier opponents+0.933
v bottom-tier opponents+0.882
As favourite+0.726
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.327
Conceded when ahead-0.386
Conceded late (76+)-0.466
Congested vs rested +0.34 · Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level -0.44
FC Twente
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 2 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 100% | 2.17 | 2.0 | 0.83 | 2.55 | 0.69 |
PSV
Current: unbeaten 13 · wins 1 · scoring 23 · conceding 11
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 3 50% | 3.0 | 3.67 | 1.0 | 3.21 | 1.18 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 33% | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2.53 | 1.34 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 3.16 | 0.22 |
| Metric | FC Twente all · 10 | FC Twente at home · 10 | PSV all · 10 | PSV away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.90 | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| W / D / L | 6 / 2 / 2 | 6 / 1 / 3 | 7 / 3 / 0 | 7 / 1 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 2.50 | 2.00 | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals against / match | 1.00 | 0.80 | 1.20 | 1.30 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 40% | 0% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 40% | 100% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 50% | 90% | 90% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.41 | 2.49 | 2.53 | 2.52 |
| xG against / match | 0.72 | 0.71 | 1.09 | 1.14 |
| xG difference | 1.70 | 1.77 | 1.44 | 1.38 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.09 | -0.38 | 0.87 | 0.08 |
| xPts / match | 2.35 | 2.31 | 2.14 | 2.14 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.35 | -0.20 | 0.26 | 0.06 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 60% | 60% | 50% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.33 | 2.67 | 2.60 | 2.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.50 | 0.75 | 2.20 | 1.50 |
| Came back from behind | 67% | 25% | 100% | 50% |
| Leads held | 75% | 86% | 78% | 88% |
| Minutes leading | 36% | 35% | 48% | 45% |
| Minutes level | 50% | 49% | 48% | 44% |
| Minutes trailing | 14% | 16% | 3% | 11% |
| First goal (min) | 36 | 35 | 19 | 29 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 49 | 38 | 25 | 37 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 65% | 65% | 56% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 70% | 50% | 25% | 54% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.70 | 0.20 | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 61% | 61% | 60% | 59% |
| Shots | 22.4 | 21.0 | 19.1 | 18.9 |
| On target | 8.5 | 8.6 | 7.6 | 7.7 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 10% | 18% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 69% | 69% | 71% |
| Big chances created | 3.7 | 3.4 | 4.9 | 4.5 |
| Corners | 7.9 | 6.6 | 7.0 | 7.0 |
| xG from set plays | 26% | 26% | 24% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 17% | 22% | 21% | 31% |
| Pressure index | 21.5 | 22.0 | 20.9 | 19.2 |
| Dominant minutes | 72.5 | 69.8 | 62.6 | 61.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 84% | 88% | 87% |
| Fouls | 11.2 | 9.5 | 8.8 | 9.3 |
| Cards | 1.40 | 1.10 | 1.60 | 2.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
FC Twente
0–15'40
16–30'23
31–45'20
46–60'54
61–75'51
76–90'52
PSV
0–15'64
16–30'23
31–45'72
46–60'71
61–75'30
76–90'92
FC Twente
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 2 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 8 80% | 2.13 | 2.38 | 1.13 | 2.55 | 0.78 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2.43 | 0.49 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.46 |
PSV
Current: unbeaten 13 · wins 1 · scoring 23 · conceding 11
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 50% | 2.2 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 1.33 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 40% | 2.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.54 | 1.02 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 3.16 | 0.22 |
| Metric | FC Twente all · 41 | FC Twente at home · 21 | PSV all · 43 | PSV away · 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 41 | 21 | 43 | 22 |
| Points per game | 1.83 | 2.05 | 2.26 | 2.32 |
| W / D / L | 20 / 15 / 6 | 13 / 4 / 4 | 30 / 7 / 6 | 16 / 3 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 2.02 | 1.90 | 2.84 | 2.41 |
| Goals against / match | 1.15 | 0.76 | 1.35 | 1.14 |
| Clean sheets | 27% | 48% | 14% | 18% |
| Failed to score | 12% | 19% | 2% | 4% |
| Both teams scored | 66% | 43% | 84% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 48% | 86% | 77% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.20 | 2.31 | 2.18 | 1.88 |
| xG against / match | 1.05 | 0.78 | 1.19 | 1.18 |
| xG difference | 1.16 | 1.53 | 0.98 | 0.71 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.15 | -0.36 | 0.66 | 0.53 |
| xPts / match | 2.02 | 2.18 | 1.91 | 1.76 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.12 | -0.03 | 0.34 | 0.55 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 58% | 57% | 56% | 59% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.21 | 2.58 | 2.63 | 2.85 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.33 | 1.43 | 1.79 | 1.56 |
| Came back from behind | 68% | 50% | 71% | 67% |
| Leads held | 67% | 87% | 86% | 94% |
| Minutes leading | 34% | 35% | 44% | 42% |
| Minutes level | 51% | 54% | 40% | 44% |
| Minutes trailing | 15% | 11% | 15% | 14% |
| First goal (min) | 38 | 38 | 29 | 31 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 44 | 45 | 33 | 32 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 63% | 62% | 54% | 55% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 64% | 62% | 45% | 44% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.46 | 0.29 | 0.79 | 0.73 |
| Late goals against | 0.22 | 0.10 | 0.21 | 0.14 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 56% | 60% | 60% | 58% |
| Shots | 19.1 | 20.0 | 16.7 | 15.2 |
| On target | 7.1 | 7.7 | 6.8 | 6.5 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 10% | 17% | 16% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 66% | 68% | 70% |
| Big chances created | 3.4 | 3.2 | 4.3 | 4.0 |
| Corners | 6.1 | 6.1 | 6.8 | 6.4 |
| xG from set plays | 24% | 22% | 24% | 26% |
| Goals from headers | 15% | 18% | 20% | 23% |
| Pressure index | 19.4 | 23.7 | 21.5 | 19.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 62.2 | 71.5 | 64.0 | 59.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 83% | 86% | 86% |
| Fouls | 10.5 | 9.8 | 9.8 | 9.7 |
| Cards | 1.39 | 1.19 | 1.84 | 1.86 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
FC Twente
0–15'84
16–30'127
31–45'106
46–60'2213
61–75'128
76–90'179
PSV
0–15'1910
16–30'179
31–45'2013
46–60'197
61–75'1310
76–90'349
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
FC Twente · 41 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.44) · stands out: 3 days rest or fewer +0.73
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.4441
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3641
Late push (76+, level)+0.3219
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.4612
Game state
When ahead+0.4829
When level+0.4541
When behind+0.3219
10 min after conceding-0.0329
10 min after scoring+0.6236
Situations
With ten men+0.312
Against ten men-0.073
At home+0.5821
Away+0.2820
3 days rest or fewer+0.735
4+ days rest+0.4036
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.537
v mid-tier opponents+0.2310
v bottom-tier opponents+0.6113
As favourite+0.4929
Evenly matched+0.1811
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2241
Conceded when ahead-0.2429
Conceded late (76+)-0.3234
Congested vs rested +0.33 · Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level -0.13
PSV · 43 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.56) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.88
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.5643
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2843
Late push (76+, level)+0.3814
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.317
Game state
When ahead+0.6335
When level+0.5443
When behind+0.4721
10 min after conceding+0.2436
10 min after scoring+0.8841
Situations
With ten men+0.023
Against ten men+0.132
At home+0.5521
Away+0.5722
3 days rest or fewer+0.675
4+ days rest+0.5538
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0614
v mid-tier opponents+0.7111
v bottom-tier opponents+0.8110
As favourite+0.7832
Evenly matched-0.047
As underdog-0.064
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2543
Conceded when ahead-0.3635
Conceded late (76+)-0.3634
Congested vs rested +0.12 · Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level -0.07
FC Twente
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 2 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 29 71% | 1.79 | 1.97 | 1.21 | 2.33 | 1.04 |
| 4-3-3 | 10 24% | 2.3 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1.12 |
| 4-2-1-3 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | – | – |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.46 |
PSV
Current: unbeaten 13 · wins 1 · scoring 23 · conceding 11
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 25 58% | 2.32 | 2.92 | 1.32 | 2.15 | 1.09 |
| 4-3-3 | 11 26% | 2.36 | 2.73 | 1.45 | 2.33 | 1.31 |
| 4-4-2 | 6 14% | 1.67 | 2.17 | 1.33 | 1.83 | 1.54 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 3.16 | 0.22 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 76 snapshots · last 44.5h before kick-off · biggest step: away -2.5 pts at 3.4d
2.88Home 33% · +0.3 ptsopened 2.914.11Draw 23% ▼ -1.1 ptsopened 3.932.17Away 44% · +0.8 ptsopened 2.21
Home Draw Away consensus of 7 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.88 · +0.3 | 4.11 ▼ -1.1 | 2.17 · +0.8 | 44.5h |
| bet365 | 2.87 ▼ -1.2 | 4.0 ▲ +1.1 | 2.2 · +0.1 | 44.5h |
| Betfair | 2.8 · +0.3 | 4.0 · +0.2 | 2.15 · -0.6 | 44.5h |
| BetVictor | 2.75 · +0.0 | 4.1 · +0.0 | 2.15 · +0.0 | 44.5h |
| Coral | 2.8 ▼ -1.1 | 4.0 · +0.8 | 2.15 · +0.3 | 44.5h |
| Ladbrokes | 2.8 ▼ -1.1 | 4.0 · +0.8 | 2.15 · +0.3 | 44.5h |
| WilliamHill | 2.75 · +0.1 | 3.7 · +0.7 | 2.2 · -0.8 | 44.5h |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 76 snapshots · last 44.5h before kick-off · biggest step: yes +2.7 pts at 2.8d
1.28Yes 73% · +0.9 ptsopened 1.33.5No 27% · -0.9 ptsopened 3.4
Yes No consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.28 · +0.9 | 3.5 · -0.9 | 44.5h |
| Betfair | 1.22 · +0.0 | 4.1 · +0.0 | 44.5h |
| BetVictor | 1.25 · +0.0 | 3.5 · +0.0 | 44.5h |
| WilliamHill | 1.25 ▲ +1.9 | 3.5 ▼ -1.9 | 44.5h |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 76 snapshots · last 44.5h before kick-off · biggest step: over -1.7 pts at 3.4d
1.28Over 74% ▲ +1.5 ptsopened 1.313.63Under 26% ▼ -1.5 ptsopened 3.45
Over Under consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.28 ▲ +1.5 | 3.63 ▼ -1.5 | 44.5h |
| bet365 | 1.28 · +0.0 | 3.6 · +0.0 | 44.5h |
| Betfair | 1.22 · +0.0 | 4.1 · +0.0 | 44.5h |
| BetVictor | 1.25 ▲ +1.1 | 3.7 ▼ -1.1 | 44.5h |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 44.5h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.87Home 33% P 33%4.0Draw 24% P 23%2.2Away 43% P 44%
Double Chance
1.66FC Twente or Draw 28%1.22FC Twente or PSV 38%1.4Draw or PSV 33%
Draw No Bet
2.11 44%1.662 56%
Both Teams To Score
1.28Yes 73%3.5No 27%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.28Over 74% P 74%3.6Under 26% P 26%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%
Number of Cards
3.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 30–35% · away 40–45% · 975 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 33% | 32% | 30% | -1.1 |
| Draw | 23% | 27% | 25% | -1.8 |
| Away | 44% | 42% | 44% | +2.8 |
In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 58%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 72.5–75% · 217 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 74% | 73% | 74% | +0.3 |
Serdar Gozubuyuk
- Career
- 18 matches · 3 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.28 (3.17 yellow · 0.11 red)
- Fouls / match
- 21.2 · 6.5 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.11
- Cards to home side
- 44%
Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 17 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.41 | 3.32 | +0.10 | 50 |
| Fouls / match | 21.4 | 20.3 | +0.40 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.3 | 6.2 | -0.20 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.06 | 0.24 | -2.20 | 0 |
| Time added | 6.3 | 6.4 | -0.28 | 50 |
- First card
- 33' on average
- Card timing
- 22% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 41% (league 44%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.0
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 69' | 4 |
| 2026-09-10 | 5 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 2' | 4 |
| 2026-08-29 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 20' | 4 |
| 2026-08-22 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 5' | 6 |
| 2026-08-18 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 65' | 7 |
| 2026-08-15 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 16' | 6 |
| 2026-05-10 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 27' | 5 |
| 2026-05-03 | 6 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 6' | 9 |
| 2026-04-25 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 78' | 6 |
| 2026-04-12 | 7 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 40' | 10 |