KickoffDNA
0 live
Eredivisie · Matchweek 7

Momentum

NEC NijmegenGAE
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
7

Venue

Stadium
Goffertstadion, Nijmegen
Capacity
12,500
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Dick Schreuder · Joseph Oosting
Position
10 · 8
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Martijn Vos

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
18.2° (feels 17.8°)
Wind
6.7
Humidity
67%

Where to watch · 3

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 6510 22715 16 WWWWW
2 AZ Alkmaar 6510 17611 16 WWWWD
3 Feyenoord 6420 20713 14 DWDWW
4 Ajax 6411 19712 13 DWLWW
5 FC Twente 6411 1257 13 WWDWW
6 Excelsior 6312 1376 10 LWWDL
7 Fortuna Sittard 6312 1214-2 10 WLWWL
8 Go Ahead Eagles 6231 15132 9 DWLDD
9 FC Groningen 6222 1213-1 8 WLLDD
10 NEC Nijmegen 6213 1112-1 7 WWLDL
11 SC Heerenveen 6132 79-2 6 DLDLD
12 Sparta Rotterdam 6123 1013-3 5 WDLDL
13 Telstar 6123 511-6 5 LLDLD
14 FC Utrecht 6123 1119-8 5 LDLDW
15 SC Cambuur 6114 918-9 4 LLLDW
16 PEC Zwolle 6114 617-11 4 LWLDL
17 Willem II 6024 619-13 2 LDLDL
18 ADO Den Haag 6015 616-10 1 LLDLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

NEC Nijmegen

WLDLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 14 · xG 5.97–11.49 · xPts 4.21

  • L A Juventus 0–5 xG 0.77–3.23 UEFA EL
  • L A SC Cambuur 0–3 xG 0.7–3.03 NLD E
  • D H Excelsior 2–2 xG 1.21–1.84 NLD E
  • L H Feyenoord 1–3 xG 1.19–1.35 NLD E
  • W A PEC Zwolle 3–1 xG 2.09–2.04 NLD E

Go Ahead Eagles

DWLDD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 11 GA 12 · xG 8.22–9.27 · xPts 6.62

  • D H FC Groningen 1–1 xG 2.32–0.25 NLD E
  • D A FC Utrecht 3–3 xG 2.06–2.67 NLD E
  • L A AZ Alkmaar 2–5 xG 1.54–2.8 NLD E
  • W H ADO Den Haag 3–1 xG 0.99–0.84 NLD E
  • D A Feyenoord 2–2 xG 1.32–2.72 NLD E

full sample 10 meetings 2022–2026 · 1 on neutral ground

Recurring referee: Sander van der Eijk · 2 of these meetings

Last 10

NEC Nijmegen 24 draws4 Go Ahead Eagles

Goals 13–19 · NEC Nijmegen hosting: 2W 1D 2L · Go Ahead Eagles hosting: 2W 2D 0L

At Goffertstadion: 2 meetings · NEC Nijmegen 1 · draws 1 · Go Ahead Eagles 0 · 2.5 goals per match

All-time since 2013: 15 meetings · NEC Nijmegen 3 · draws 6 · Go Ahead Eagles 6

  • Both teams have scored in the last 3 meetings

This fixture vs the league league = last 365 days

MetricFixtureLeagueΔn
Goals per match3.203.29-0.0910
Both teams score70%66%+4%10
Over 2.5 goals60%64%-4%10
Corners12.310.5+1.810
Cards4.43.6+0.810

4 with 4+ goals · 1.30 first-half goals per match · red card in 2

How these games go · 10 with event data

NEC NijmegenGo Ahead Eagles
Scored first6 of 104 of 10
Scored first and won23
Won from behind01

first goal on average in minute 41 · a side came back in 5 · goal after the 75th minute in 7 · penalty scored in 1

When the goals come · all goals, 10 meetings

0-15'6
16-30'2
31-45'5
46-60'4
61-75'4
76-90'11

7 equalisers · 2 penalties · 1 own goal · 4 headers

Expected goals · last 4 with xG

NEC Nijmegen 1.97 xGper match1.58 xG Go Ahead Eagles

Deserved on xG: NEC Nijmegen 1 · level 1 · Go Ahead Eagles 2 — actual wins in those games 1 / 2

Against the market · 10 with closing odds

Favourite won 4 (40%), drew 4, upset 2 · market favoured NEC Nijmegen 7×, Go Ahead Eagles 3× · avg favourite 47%, avg price of the actual result 37%

Fixture specialists

  • 3 Oliver Edvardsen Go Ahead Eagles · last Dec 2024
  • 2 Noé Lebreton NEC Nijmegen · last May 2026
  • 2 Dean James Go Ahead Eagles · in 2 games · last Mar 2025
  • 2 Finn Stokkers Go Ahead Eagles · in 2 games · last May 2024
  • 2 Magnus Mattsson NEC Nijmegen · in 2 games · last Jan 2024

Last meeting · 2026-05-17 · NLD E

NEC Nijmegen 2-1 Go Ahead Eagles · ref Sander van der Eijk

  • 12' Noé Lebreton assist Başar Önal  1–0
  • 27' Noé Lebreton 2–0
  • 55' Søren Tengstedt assist Victor Edvardsen 2–1

xG 5.12 – 0.69 · corners 17 · cards 3

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·

Match result

49.2%NEC Nijmegen P 48%21.0%Draw P 25%29.8%Go Ahead Eagles P 28%

Over / under 2.5

73.1%Over 2.5 P 70%26.9%Under 2.5 P 30%

Both teams to score

71.5%Yes28.5%No

Expected

NEC Nijmegen goals
2.15 (0–4)
Go Ahead Eagles goals
1.65 (0–3)
Corners
8.95 (5–13)
Cards
3.65 (1–6)

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

59.4%NEC Nijmegen21.9%Draw18.7%Go Ahead Eagles

Over / under 2.5

58.0%Over 2.542.0%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

55.8%Yes44.2%No

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 15 matches since 2013

NEC Nijmegen 36 draws6 Go Ahead Eagles

Goals 22–28 · 3.33 per match · BTTS 73% · over 2.5 60%

Last 10 · 10 matches

NEC Nijmegen 24 draws4 Go Ahead Eagles

Goals 13–19 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

NEC Nijmegen 11 draws3 Go Ahead Eagles

Goals 6–12 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W NEC Nijmegen 2–1 Go Ahead Eagles NLD E · Regular Season
  • D Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 NEC Nijmegen NLD E · Regular Season
  • L NEC Nijmegen 2–3 Go Ahead Eagles NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Go Ahead Eagles 5–0 NEC Nijmegen NLD E · Regular Season
  • L NEC Nijmegen 1–2 Go Ahead Eagles NLD E · Conference League Play-offs - Semi-finals
  • D Go Ahead Eagles 2–2 NEC Nijmegen NLD E · Regular Season
  • D NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Go Ahead Eagles NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Go Ahead Eagles 1–0 NEC Nijmegen NLD E · Regular Season
  • D NEC Nijmegen 3–3 Go Ahead Eagles neutral NLD E · Regular Season
  • W NEC Nijmegen 1–0 Go Ahead Eagles NLD E · Regular Season
MetricNEC Nijmegen all · 6NEC Nijmegen at home · 3Go Ahead Eagles all · 6Go Ahead Eagles away · 3
Results
Matches66
Points per game1.171.50
W / D / L2 / 1 / 32 / 3 / 1
Goals for / match1.832.50
Goals against / match2.002.17
Clean sheets0%0%
Failed to score17%0%
Both teams scored83%100%
Over 2.5100%83%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.751.77
xG against / match1.841.81
xG difference-0.10-0.04
Finishing vs xG0.090.73
xPts / match1.351.42
Points vs xPts-0.190.08
Game state
Scored first50%33%
PPG when scoring first2.332.00
PPG when conceding first0.001.25
Came back from behind25%75%
Leads held67%67%
Minutes leading30%28%
Minutes level32%37%
Minutes trailing38%34%
First goal (min)3942
First goal conceded (min)4038
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half64%73%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.500.67
Late goals against0.330.67
Style
Possession64%53%
Shots14.815.3
On target4.06.3
Shot conversion12%16%
Shots inside box60%68%
Big chances created2.73.3
Corners5.05.3
xG from set plays24%25%
Goals from headers18%13%
Pressure index14.615.1
Dominant minutes57.246.3
Pass accuracy81%82%
Fouls11.57.7
Cards1.830.83

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

NEC Nijmegen

0–15'21
16–30'12
31–45'12
46–60'22
61–75'23
76–90'32

Go Ahead Eagles

0–15'02
16–30'30
31–45'14
46–60'21
61–75'52
76–90'44

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

NEC Nijmegen · 10 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.11) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.1110
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1410
Late push (76+, level)+0.172
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.245

Game state

When ahead+0.093
When level-0.1810
When behind+0.398
10 min after conceding+0.029
10 min after scoring+0.537

Situations

At home+0.195
Away+0.015
3 days rest or fewer+0.022
4+ days rest+0.148

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.054
v bottom-tier opponents+0.284
As favourite+0.185
Evenly matched+0.083
As underdog-0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.0510
Conceded when ahead-0.033
Conceded late (76+)-0.427

Congested vs rested -0.12 · Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level +0.57

Go Ahead Eagles · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.16) · stands out: at home +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.166
Early press (0-15, level)+0.096
Late push (76+, level)+0.293
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.072

Game state

When ahead-0.033
When level+0.236
When behind+0.234
10 min after conceding-0.366
10 min after scoring+0.326

Situations

At home+0.533
Away-0.213
4+ days rest+0.166

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.362
v mid-tier opponents+0.462
v bottom-tier opponents+0.342
As favourite+0.342
As underdog-0.213

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.206
Conceded when ahead+0.323
Conceded late (76+)+0.014

Ahead vs level -0.26 · Behind vs level -0.00

NEC Nijmegen

Current: winless 4 · conceding 15

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-14 67%1.01.752.01.81.91
3-4-1-22 33%1.52.02.01.641.7

Go Ahead Eagles

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 9 · conceding 9

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-16 100%1.52.52.171.771.81

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 74 snapshots · last 46.8h before kick-off · biggest step: home -2.4 pts at 3.1d

2.0Home 48% ▼ -5.2 ptsopened 1.83.88Draw 25% · +0.6 ptsopened 3.973.41Away 28% ▲ +4.6 ptsopened 4.08
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 20%30%40%50%

Home Draw Away consensus of 7 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle2.0 ▼ -5.23.88 · +0.63.41 ▲ +4.646.8h
bet3651.95 ▼ -3.74.0 · +0.73.5 ▲ +3.046.8h
Betfair1.95 ▼ -5.24.0 ▲ +1.23.25 ▲ +4.046.8h
BetVictor1.93 ▼ -4.84.1 ▲ +1.33.25 ▲ +3.646.8h
Coral1.95 ▼ -4.64.2 ▲ +1.13.4 ▲ +3.446.8h
Ladbrokes1.91 ▼ -4.54.2 · +0.73.3 ▲ +3.846.8h
WilliamHill1.91 ▼ -4.73.8 · +0.43.2 ▲ +4.346.8h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 46.8h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.95Home 49% P 48%4.0Draw 24% P 25%3.5Away 27% P 28%

Double Chance

1.28NEC or Draw 36%1.22NEC or Go Ahead Eagles 38%1.8Draw or Go Ahead Eagles 26%

Draw No Bet

1.441 65%2.622 35%

Both Teams To Score

1.33Yes 71%3.25No 29%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.36Over 70% P 70%3.1Under 30% P 30%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 24%2.629 - 11 33%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 12%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–50% · away 25–30% · 1,582 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home48%47%46%-0.5
Draw25%27%28%+1.1
Away28%27%26%-0.5

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 52%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 70–72.5% · 477 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.570%71%70%-1.4

Martijn Vos

Career
20 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
4.4 (4.0 yellow · 0.15 red)
Fouls / match
23.5 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.3
Cards to home side
42%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 20 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.73.32+2.82100
Fouls / match23.520.3+1.55
Fouls per card5.06.2-2.09 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.30.24+0.8786
Time added6.46.4-0.1055
First card
36' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 44% in last 15'
Cards to home side
42% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.29

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-28 60 160 4'10
2026-08-08 · NEC Nijmegen 40 260 57'7
2026-05-03 · Go Ahead Eagles 61 200 35'6
2026-04-12 10 230 53'5
2026-03-22 20 241 79'3
2026-02-28 50 160 7'5
2026-02-01 · Go Ahead Eagles 101 230 13'6
2025-12-05 52 191 21'7
2025-11-07 62 170 33'10
2025-10-05 · NEC Nijmegen · Go Ahead Eagles 61 310 29'9