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Eredivisie · Matchweek 7

Momentum

AZ AlkmaarTelstar
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
7

Venue

Stadium
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
Capacity
19,500
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Leeroy Echteld · Hendrikus Albertus Brugge
Position
2 · 13
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Sander van der Eijk

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
16.2° (feels 15.8°)
Wind
9.9
Humidity
73%

Where to watch · 3

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 6510 22715 16 WWWWW
2 AZ Alkmaar 6510 17611 16 WWWWD
3 Feyenoord 6420 20713 14 DWDWW
4 Ajax 6411 19712 13 DWLWW
5 FC Twente 6411 1257 13 WWDWW
6 Excelsior 6312 1376 10 LWWDL
7 Fortuna Sittard 6312 1214-2 10 WLWWL
8 Go Ahead Eagles 6231 15132 9 DWLDD
9 FC Groningen 6222 1213-1 8 WLLDD
10 NEC Nijmegen 6213 1112-1 7 WWLDL
11 SC Heerenveen 6132 79-2 6 DLDLD
12 Sparta Rotterdam 6123 1013-3 5 WDLDL
13 Telstar 6123 511-6 5 LLDLD
14 FC Utrecht 6123 1119-8 5 LDLDW
15 SC Cambuur 6114 918-9 4 LLLDW
16 PEC Zwolle 6114 617-11 4 LWLDL
17 Willem II 6024 619-13 2 LDLDL
18 ADO Den Haag 6015 616-10 1 LLDLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

AZ Alkmaar

WWWDL 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 11 GA 6 · xG 12.98–7.25 · xPts 9.38

  • L A Sunderland 0–1 xG 1.53–2.93 UEFA EL
  • D H Willem II 1–1 xG 2.5–1.12 NLD E
  • W A SC Heerenveen 3–2 xG 1.49–1.38 NLD E
  • W H Go Ahead Eagles 5–2 xG 2.8–1.54 NLD E
  • W A Fortuna Sittard 2–0 xG 4.65–0.28 NLD E

Telstar

LLDLD 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 3 GA 10 · xG 5.82–10.07 · xPts 4.75

  • D A SC Heerenveen 0–0 xG 1.03–1.63 NLD E
  • L A FC Twente 0–1 xG 0.15–3.01 NLD E
  • D H SC Cambuur 2–2 xG 2.33–1.15 NLD E
  • L H Ajax 0–4 xG 0.88–2.14 NLD E
  • L H Sparta Rotterdam 1–3 xG 1.43–2.13 NLD E

thin sample 2 meetings 2025–2026

Last 2

AZ Alkmaar 20 draws0 Telstar

Goals 3–1 · AZ Alkmaar hosting: 1W 0D 0L · Telstar hosting: 0W 0D 1L

At AFAS Stadion: 1 meeting · AZ Alkmaar 1 · draws 0 · Telstar 0 · 3.0 goals per match

All-time since 2025: 2 meetings · AZ Alkmaar 2 · draws 0 · Telstar 0

This fixture vs the league league = last 365 days

MetricFixtureLeagueΔn
Goals per match2.003.29-1.292
Both teams score50%66%-16%2
Over 2.5 goals50%64%-14%2
Corners8.010.5-2.52
Cards4.03.6+0.42

1.00 first-half goals per match

How these games go · 2 with event data

AZ AlkmaarTelstar
Scored first2 of 20 of 2
Scored first and won20
Won from behind00

first goal on average in minute 46 · goal after the 75th minute in 1 · penalty scored in 1

When the goals come · all goals, 2 meetings

0-15'1
16-30'0
31-45'1
46-60'0
61-75'1
76-90'1

1 penalty

Expected goals · last 2 with xG

AZ Alkmaar 2.93 xGper match0.95 xG Telstar

Deserved on xG: AZ Alkmaar 2 · level 0 · Telstar 0 — actual wins in those games 2 / 0

Fixture specialists

  • 1 Isak Jensen AZ Alkmaar · last Jan 2026
  • 1 Mexx Meerdink AZ Alkmaar · last Oct 2025
  • 1 Tyrese Noslin Telstar · last Oct 2025
  • 1 Matej Sin AZ Alkmaar · last Oct 2025

Last meeting · 2026-01-25 · NLD E

Telstar 0-1 AZ Alkmaar · ref Robin Hensgens

  • 78' Isak Jensen assist Troy Parrott 0–1

xG 0.79 – 1.33 · corners 6 · cards 3

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·

Match result

70.7%AZ Alkmaar P 76%17.0%Draw P 14%12.4%Telstar P 10%

Over / under 2.5

67.0%Over 2.5 P 74%33.0%Under 2.5 P 26%

Both teams to score

56.7%Yes43.3%No

Expected

AZ Alkmaar goals
2.49 (1–5)
Telstar goals
0.96 (0–2)
Corners
12.78 (8–18)
Cards
3.38 (1–6)

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

70.4%AZ Alkmaar18.9%Draw10.7%Telstar

Over / under 2.5

55.4%Over 2.544.6%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

46.7%Yes53.3%No

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

AZ Alkmaar 20 draws0 Telstar

Goals 3–1 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

AZ Alkmaar 20 draws0 Telstar

Goals 3–1 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

AZ Alkmaar 20 draws0 Telstar

Goals 3–1 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • W Telstar 0–1 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
  • W AZ Alkmaar 2–1 Telstar NLD E · Regular Season
MetricAZ Alkmaar all · 6AZ Alkmaar at home · 3Telstar all · 6Telstar away · 3
Results
Matches66
Points per game2.670.83
W / D / L5 / 1 / 01 / 2 / 3
Goals for / match2.830.83
Goals against / match1.001.83
Clean sheets33%17%
Failed to score0%50%
Both teams scored67%50%
Over 2.550%67%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.781.20
xG against / match1.052.09
xG difference1.73-0.89
Finishing vs xG0.06-0.37
xPts / match2.220.92
Points vs xPts0.45-0.09
Game state
Scored first100%17%
PPG when scoring first2.673.00
PPG when conceding first0.25
Came back from behind100%25%
Leads held83%100%
Minutes leading46%16%
Minutes level47%47%
Minutes trailing7%37%
First goal (min)3551
First goal conceded (min)4649
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half71%60%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%82%
Late goals for (76'+)0.670.33
Late goals against0.330.50
Style
Possession58%39%
Shots19.88.7
On target7.52.3
Shot conversion14%10%
Shots inside box64%78%
Big chances created3.01.2
Corners9.24.5
xG from set plays21%52%
Goals from headers0%0%
Pressure index22.17.3
Dominant minutes66.831.3
Pass accuracy86%77%
Fouls10.211.2
Cards0.831.67

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

AZ Alkmaar

0–15'20
16–30'03
31–45'30
46–60'40
61–75'41
76–90'42

Telstar

0–15'11
16–30'10
31–45'01
46–60'05
61–75'11
76–90'23

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

AZ Alkmaar · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.37) · stands out: at home +0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.377
Early press (0-15, level)-0.017
Late push (76+, level)+0.702

Game state

When ahead+0.366
When level+0.327
When behind+0.632
10 min after conceding+0.305
10 min after scoring+0.396

Situations

At home+0.573
Away+0.224
4+ days rest+0.377

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.223
v bottom-tier opponents+0.464
As favourite+0.465

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.177
Conceded when ahead-0.286
Conceded late (76+)-0.316

Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level +0.31

Telstar · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.47

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.076
Early press (0-15, level)-0.476
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.052

Game state

When level-0.026
When behind+0.084
10 min after conceding+0.015
10 min after scoring+0.532

Situations

At home+0.263
Away-0.303
4+ days rest+0.055

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.402
v bottom-tier opponents+0.293
As underdog-0.284

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.296
Conceded late (76+)+0.354

Congested vs rested -0.60 · Ahead vs level -0.39 · Behind vs level +0.11

AZ Alkmaar

Current: winless 2 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-16 100%2.672.831.02.781.05

Telstar

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-14 67%0.50.51.751.11.98
4-2-3-12 33%1.51.52.01.42.31

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 82 snapshots · last 38.5h before kick-off

1.24Home 76% · +1.0 ptsopened 1.256.77Draw 14% · -0.4 ptsopened 6.569.49Away 10% · -0.6 ptsopened 8.9
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 10%20%30%40%50%60%70%

Home Draw Away consensus of 7 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.24 · +1.06.77 · -0.49.49 · -0.638.5h
bet3651.25 ▲ +1.66.0 · -0.610.0 · -1.038.5h
Betfair1.22 · +0.06.5 · +0.09.5 · +0.038.5h
BetVictor1.22 · +0.76.5 · +0.110.5 · -0.838.5h
Coral1.25 · +0.96.5 · -0.29.0 · -0.738.5h
Ladbrokes1.25 ▲ +1.46.5 · -0.19.0 ▼ -1.438.5h
WilliamHill1.22 ▲ +1.76.0 · -0.59.5 ▼ -1.138.5h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 38.5h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.25Home 75% P 76%6.0Draw 16% P 14%10.0Away 9% P 10%

Double Chance

1.06AZ or Draw 45%1.12AZ or Telstar 42%3.75Draw or Telstar 13%

Draw No Bet

1.071 89%9.02 11%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59%2.25No 41%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.28Over 74% P 74%3.6Under 26% P 26%

Total Corners

21.0Under 6 4%5.56 - 8 16%2.879 - 11 30%3.112 - 14 28%4.0Over 14 22%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 75–77.5% · away 7.5–10% · 515 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home76%76%77%+0.9
Draw14%15%15%-0.5
Away10%9%8%-0.4

In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 66%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 72.5–75% · 217 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.574%73%74%+0.3

Sander van der Eijk

Career
117 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
3.73 (3.4 yellow · 0.2 red)
Fouls / match
21.2 · 5.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 82 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.783.32+0.8891
Fouls / match20.620.3+0.01
Fouls per card5.56.2-1.31 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.20.24-0.4723
Time added6.56.4+0.0859
First card
37' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.52

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-09-13 20 170 71'6
2026-09-05 90 160 16'9
2026-08-27 10 190 44'7
2026-08-23 30 230 44'5
2026-08-13 10 180 34'4
2026-08-09 40 190 39'9
2026-05-17 30 200 48'8
2026-05-11 20 231 80'2
2026-05-03 · AZ Alkmaar 23 6
2026-04-26 31 200 29'6