Willem II v Fortuna Sittard

Eredivisie · Matchweek 7

Willem IIWillem II

–

Fortuna SittardFOR

Momentum

– Willem IIFOR –

now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Stats

Waiting for statistics…

Season context

Willem II	at home	Stat	league	away	Fortuna Sittard
37.3 #17	–	Ball possession	50.0	–	32.8 #18
11.3 #14	–	Shots total	15.0	–	9.0 #17
2.7 #17	–	Shots on target	5.4	–	4.8 #11
3.8 #13	–	Corners	5.3	–	2.0 #18
9.0 #12	–	Fouls	10.3	–	9.0 #12
1.2 #13	–	Offsides	1.4	–	1.7 #4
13.2 #12	–	Tackles	14.7	–	11.3 #17
80.5 #13	–	Attacks	94.5	–	67.2 #18
33.0 #15	–	Dangerous attacks	48.9	–	24.2 #18
338.8 #16	–	Passes	445.6	–	292.8 #18
0.8 #14	–	Yellowcards	1.3	–	1.7 #4
–	–	Redcards	0.2	–	0.2 #1
1.0 #12	–	Assists	1.5	–	1.2 #10
– #5	–	Btts	74.1	–	– #5
– #10	–	Cleansheet	13.9	–	– #10
– #3	–	Draw	25.9	–	– #9
1.4 #13	–	Expected goals	1.8	–	0.9 #17
-0.4 #16	–	Expected goals difference	0.2	–	1.1 #1
– #5	–	Failed to score	13.9	–	– #5
1.0 #15	1.0	Goals	2.0	2.7	2.0 #7
3.2 #1	3.0	Goals conceded	2.0	2.0	2.3 #6
0.2 #13	–	Injury time goals	0.5	–	0.8 #1
9.7 #4	–	Interceptions	8.5	–	7.3 #14
– #2	–	Lost	37.0	–	– #9
6.6 #18	–	Rating	6.8	–	6.7 #13
3.8 #9	–	Shots blocked	4.0	–	2.3 #17
7.8 #14	–	Shots insidebox	9.9	–	5.3 #18
4.8 #10	–	Shots off target	5.7	–	1.8 #18
3.5 #16	–	Shots outsidebox	5.0	–	3.7 #13
– #17	–	Win	37.0	–	– #6

Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.

League this season · 2026/2027

Played: 53 of 306
Goals / match: 3.91 (home 1.64 · away 2.26)
Home / draw / away: 26% · 26% · 47%
BTTS · over 2.5: 74% · 79%
Cards / match: 2.75 (reds 0.06)

Lineups

Waiting for lineups…

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Willem II · 2026/2027 · Eredivisie

Devin Haen 9 · Centre Forward

Rating 6.89 (36th pct) · G+A 3 + 0 (50% of team goals) · 100% of minutes

Uriël van Aalst 19 · Attacking Midfield

Rating 6.88 (39th pct) · G+A 1 + 2 (50% of team goals) · 100% of minutes

Nathan Tjoe-A-On 24 · Left Back

Rating 6.8 (54th pct) · G+A 0 + 2 (33% of team goals) · 95% of minutes

All key players

Fortuna Sittard · 2026/2027 · Eredivisie

Mohamed Ihattaren 52 · Attacking Midfield

Rating 7.15 (70th pct) · G+A 3 + 2 (42% of team goals) · 75% of minutes

Lequincio Zeefuik 25 · Centre Forward

Rating 6.95 (53th pct) · G+A 3 + 1 (33% of team goals) · 86% of minutes

Edouard Michut 20 · Central Midfield

Rating 7.07 (64th pct) · G+A 1 + 2 (25% of team goals) · 79% of minutes

All key players

Competition

Stage: Regular Season
Round: 7

Venue

Stadium: Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg
Capacity: 14,700
Surface: grass

Teams

Coaches: John Stegeman · Danny Buijs
Position: 17 · 7
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · 5-4-1

Referee

Dennis Higler

Weather

Conditions: light rain
Temperature: 19.6° (feels 19.5°)
Wind: 6.9
Humidity: 70%

Where to watch · 3

Netherlands Canal+ · ESPN Extra · Watch ESPN

2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	PSV	6	5	1	0	22	7	15	16	WWWWW
2	AZ Alkmaar	6	5	1	0	17	6	11	16	WWWWD
3	Feyenoord	6	4	2	0	20	7	13	14	DWDWW
4	Ajax	6	4	1	1	19	7	12	13	DWLWW
5	FC Twente	6	4	1	1	12	5	7	13	WWDWW
6	Excelsior	6	3	1	2	13	7	6	10	LWWDL
7	Fortuna Sittard	6	3	1	2	12	14	-2	10	WLWWL
8	Go Ahead Eagles	6	2	3	1	15	13	2	9	DWLDD
9	FC Groningen	6	2	2	2	12	13	-1	8	WLLDD
10	NEC Nijmegen	6	2	1	3	11	12	-1	7	WWLDL
11	SC Heerenveen	6	1	3	2	7	9	-2	6	DLDLD
12	Sparta Rotterdam	6	1	2	3	10	13	-3	5	WDLDL
13	Telstar	6	1	2	3	5	11	-6	5	LLDLD
14	FC Utrecht	6	1	2	3	11	19	-8	5	LDLDW
15	SC Cambuur	6	1	1	4	9	18	-9	4	LLLDW
16	PEC Zwolle	6	1	1	4	6	17	-11	4	LWLDL
17	Willem II	6	0	2	4	6	19	-13	2	LDLDL
18	ADO Den Haag	6	0	1	5	6	16	-10	1	LLDLL

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	FC Twente	3	3	0	0	6	1	5	9	WWDWW
2	PSV	3	2	1	0	11	4	7	7	WWWWW
3	AZ Alkmaar	3	2	1	0	8	3	5	7	WWWWD
4	Go Ahead Eagles	3	2	1	0	8	3	5	7	DWLDD
5	Ajax	3	1	1	1	8	6	2	4	DWLWW
6	FC Groningen	3	1	1	1	6	6	0	4	WLLDD
7	SC Heerenveen	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4	DLDLD
8	Excelsior	3	1	0	2	4	5	-1	3	LWWDL
9	Fortuna Sittard	3	1	0	2	4	8	-4	3	WLWWL
10	SC Cambuur	4	1	0	3	6	13	-7	3	LLLDW
11	Feyenoord	2	0	2	0	4	4	0	2	DWDWW
12	Sparta Rotterdam	3	0	2	1	5	6	-1	2	WDLDL
13	NEC Nijmegen	3	0	1	2	4	7	-3	1	WWLDL
14	Telstar	3	0	1	2	3	9	-6	1	LLDLD
15	Willem II	3	0	1	2	3	9	-6	1	LDLDL
16	FC Utrecht	3	0	1	2	5	13	-8	1	LDLDW
17	ADO Den Haag	2	0	0	2	3	7	-4	0	LLDLL
18	PEC Zwolle	3	0	0	3	1	12	-11	0	LWLDL

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Feyenoord	4	4	0	0	16	3	13	12	DWDWW
2	Ajax	3	3	0	0	11	1	10	9	DWLWW
3	PSV	3	3	0	0	11	3	8	9	WWWWW
4	AZ Alkmaar	3	3	0	0	9	3	6	9	WWWWD
5	Excelsior	3	2	1	0	9	2	7	7	LWWDL
6	Fortuna Sittard	3	2	1	0	8	6	2	7	WLWWL
7	NEC Nijmegen	3	2	0	1	7	5	2	6	WWLDL
8	FC Twente	3	1	1	1	6	4	2	4	WWDWW
9	FC Utrecht	3	1	1	1	6	6	0	4	LDLDW
10	PEC Zwolle	3	1	1	1	5	5	0	4	LWLDL
11	Telstar	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4	LLDLD
12	FC Groningen	3	1	1	1	6	7	-1	4	WLLDD
13	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	0	2	5	7	-2	3	WDLDL
14	SC Heerenveen	2	0	2	0	4	4	0	2	DLDLD
15	Go Ahead Eagles	3	0	2	1	7	10	-3	2	DWLDD
16	SC Cambuur	2	0	1	1	3	5	-2	1	LLLDW
17	ADO Den Haag	4	0	1	3	3	9	-6	1	LLDLL
18	Willem II	3	0	1	2	3	10	-7	1	LDLDL

UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Willem II

LDLDL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 15 · xG 6.52–12.09 · xPts 4.02

L A Ajax 1–5 xG 1.23–3.29 NLD E
D A AZ Alkmaar 1–1 xG 1.12–2.5 NLD E
L H Excelsior 0–3 xG 1.06–1.69 NLD E
D H SC Heerenveen 2–2 xG 1.69–1.83 NLD E
L H NEC Nijmegen 1–4 xG 1.42–2.78 NLD E

Fortuna Sittard

WLWWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 10 GA 12 · xG 4.37–12.99 · xPts 3.41

L H Ajax 1–5 xG 0.65–3.59 NLD E
W A ADO Den Haag 3–2 xG 0.59–0.77 NLD E
W A FC Groningen 3–2 xG 0.93–1.89 NLD E
L H AZ Alkmaar 0–2 xG 0.28–4.65 NLD E
W H SC Cambuur 3–1 xG 1.92–2.08 NLD E

small sample 4 meetings 2021–2025 · 1 on neutral ground

Last 4

Willem II 02 draws2 Fortuna Sittard

Goals 1–3 · Willem II hosting: 0W 1D 0L · Fortuna Sittard hosting: 2W 0D 0L

At Koning Willem II Stadion: 1 meeting · Willem II 0 · draws 1 · Fortuna Sittard 0 · 0.0 goals per match

All-time since 2018: 10 meetings · Willem II 3 · draws 4 · Fortuna Sittard 3

Willem II haven't beaten Fortuna Sittard since May 2021
Fortuna Sittard unbeaten in the last 4 meetings

This fixture vs the league league = last 365 days

Metric	Fixture	League	Δ	n
Goals per match	1.00	3.29	-2.29	4
Both teams score	25%	66%	-41%	4
Over 2.5 goals	0%	64%	-64%	4
Corners	11.0	10.5	+0.5	4
Cards	3.7	3.6	+0.1	3

1 goalless · 0.00 first-half goals per match

How these games go · 4 with event data

	Willem II	Fortuna Sittard
Scored first	0 of 4	3 of 4
Scored first and won	0	2
Won from behind	0	0

first goal on average in minute 56 · a side came back in 1

When the goals come · all goals, 3 meetings

0-15'0

16-30'0

31-45'0

46-60'3

61-75'1

76-90'0

1 equaliser

Expected goals · last 2 with xG

Willem II 0.56 xGper match1.94 xG Fortuna Sittard

Deserved on xG: Willem II 0 · level 0 · Fortuna Sittard 2 — actual wins in those games 0 / 1

Against the market · 4 with closing odds

Favourite won 2 (50%), drew 2, upset 0 · market favoured Willem II 2×, Fortuna Sittard 2× · avg favourite 48%, avg price of the actual result 39%

Fixture specialists

1 Ezequiel Bullaude Fortuna Sittard · last Apr 2025
1 Zian Flemming Fortuna Sittard · last Mar 2022
1 Mats Köhlert Willem II · last Oct 2021
1 Tijjani Noslin Fortuna Sittard · last Oct 2021

Last meeting · 2025-04-27 · NLD E

Fortuna Sittard 1-0 Willem II · ref Serdar Gözübüyük

62' Ezequiel Bullaude assist Jasper Dahlhaus 1–0

xG 1.77 – 0.31 · corners 9

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·

Match result

35.2%Willem II P 38%24.3%Draw P 25%40.5%Fortuna Sittard P 37%

Over / under 2.5

59.5%Over 2.5 P 62%40.5%Under 2.5 P 38%

Both teams to score

61.9%Yes38.1%No

Expected

Willem II goals: 1.48 (0–3)
Fortuna Sittard goals: 1.6 (0–3)
Corners: 10.21 (6–15)
Cards: 3.84 (1–7)

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

40.7%Willem II24.5%Draw34.8%Fortuna Sittard

Over / under 2.5

55.4%Over 2.544.6%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

57.1%Yes42.9%No

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 10 matches since 2018

Willem II 34 draws3 Fortuna Sittard

Goals 15–15 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Willem II 34 draws3 Fortuna Sittard

Goals 15–15 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Willem II 12 draws2 Fortuna Sittard

Goals 3–4 · 1.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

L Fortuna Sittard 1–0 Willem II NLD E · Regular Season
D Willem II 0–0 Fortuna Sittard NLD E · Regular Season
L Fortuna Sittard 1–0 Willem II NLD E · Regular Season
D Willem II 1–1 Fortuna Sittard neutral NLD E · Regular Season
W Willem II 2–1 Fortuna Sittard NLD E · Regular Season
L Fortuna Sittard 3–2 Willem II NLD E · Regular Season
D Willem II 0–0 Fortuna Sittard NLD E · Regular Season
W Fortuna Sittard 2–3 Willem II NLD E · Regular Season
W Willem II 3–2 Fortuna Sittard NLD E · Regular Season
D Fortuna Sittard 4–4 Willem II NLD E · Regular Season

Metric	Willem II all · 6	Willem II at home · 3	Fortuna Sittard all · 6	Fortuna Sittard away · 3
Results
Matches	6	–	6	–
Points per game	0.33	–	1.67	–
W / D / L	0 / 2 / 4	–	3 / 1 / 2	–
Goals for / match	1.00	–	2.00	–
Goals against / match	3.17	–	2.33	–
Clean sheets	0%	–	0%	–
Failed to score	17%	–	17%	–
Both teams scored	83%	–	83%	–
Over 2.5	83%	–	83%	–
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.35	–	0.85	–
xG against / match	2.42	–	2.61	–
xG difference	-1.07	–	-1.76	–
Finishing vs xG	-0.35	–	1.15	–
xPts / match	0.83	–	0.63	–
Points vs xPts	-0.49	–	1.04	–
Game state
Scored first	33%	–	67%	–
PPG when scoring first	0.50	–	2.50	–
PPG when conceding first	0.25	–	0.00	–
Came back from behind	33%	–	33%	–
Leads held	0%	–	75%	–
Minutes leading	4%	–	42%	–
Minutes level	48%	–	41%	–
Minutes trailing	48%	–	17%	–
First goal (min)	62	–	28	–
First goal conceded (min)	37	–	41	–
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	83%	–	42%	–
Goals conceded in 2nd half	63%	–	79%	–
Late goals for (76'+)	0.67	–	0.33	–
Late goals against	0.50	–	0.83	–
Style
Possession	37%	–	33%	–
Shots	11.3	–	9.0	–
On target	2.7	–	4.8	–
Shot conversion	9%	–	22%	–
Shots inside box	69%	–	59%	–
Big chances created	2.2	–	1.2	–
Corners	3.8	–	2.0	–
xG from set plays	12%	–	13%	–
Goals from headers	0%	–	17%	–
Pressure index	6.3	–	4.7	–
Dominant minutes	24.3	–	25.8	–
Pass accuracy	76%	–	74%	–
Fouls	9.0	–	8.8	–
Cards	0.83	–	1.67	–

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Willem II

0–15'11

16–30'01

31–45'05

46–60'01

61–75'18

76–90'43

Fortuna Sittard

0–15'30

16–30'22

31–45'21

46–60'13

61–75'23

76–90'25

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Willem II · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.226

Early press (0-15, level)-0.406

Late push (76+, level)-0.642

Late chase (76+, behind)+0.433

Game state

When ahead+0.062

When level-0.376

When behind-0.026

10 min after conceding-0.536

10 min after scoring-0.323

Situations

At home-0.083

Away-0.363

4+ days rest-0.226

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.402

v mid-tier opponents-0.083

As underdog-0.375

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.716

Conceded when ahead+0.892

Conceded late (76+)+0.943

Ahead vs level +0.43 · Behind vs level +0.35

Fortuna Sittard · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.30) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.306

Early press (0-15, level)-0.376

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.253

Game state

When ahead-0.284

When level-0.316

When behind-0.313

10 min after conceding-0.396

10 min after scoring-0.065

Situations

At home-0.223

Away-0.373

4+ days rest-0.306

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.313

v bottom-tier opponents-0.192

As underdog-0.335

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.616

Conceded when ahead+0.524

Conceded late (76+)-0.086

Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level +0.00

Willem II

Current: winless 23 · scoring 2 · conceding 24

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	4 67%	0.5	1.0	2.75	1.28	2.33
4-4-2	1 17%	0.0	1.0	4.0	1.6	2.43
4-4-1-1	1 17%	0.0	1.0	4.0	1.42	2.78

Fortuna Sittard

Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 28

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
5-3-2	3 50%	2.33	2.67	2.0	0.74	1.77
5-4-1	1 17%	0.0	1.0	5.0	0.65	3.59
3-4-2-1	1 17%	3.0	3.0	1.0	1.92	2.08
4-3-3	1 17%	0.0	0.0	2.0	0.28	4.65

Metric	Willem II all · 10	Willem II at home · 10	Fortuna Sittard all · 10	Fortuna Sittard away · 10
Results
Matches	10	10	10	10
Points per game	0.40	0.10	1.30	1.30
W / D / L	0 / 4 / 6	0 / 1 / 9	4 / 1 / 5	4 / 1 / 5
Goals for / match	1.00	0.90	1.70	1.60
Goals against / match	2.50	2.50	2.20	2.10
Clean sheets	0%	0%	0%	0%
Failed to score	10%	30%	20%	20%
Both teams scored	90%	70%	80%	80%
Over 2.5	70%	80%	80%	80%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.20	0.99	0.86	1.08
xG against / match	2.36	2.19	2.34	1.96
xG difference	-1.16	-1.20	-1.48	-0.88
Finishing vs xG	-0.20	-0.09	0.84	0.52
xPts / match	0.77	0.73	0.70	0.86
Points vs xPts	-0.37	-0.63	0.60	0.44
Game state
Scored first	30%	30%	70%	50%
PPG when scoring first	0.67	0.33	1.86	2.00
PPG when conceding first	0.29	0.00	0.00	0.60
Came back from behind	33%	10%	17%	29%
Leads held	0%	0%	57%	67%
Minutes leading	11%	10%	37%	28%
Minutes level	45%	35%	45%	38%
Minutes trailing	44%	55%	18%	34%
First goal (min)	53	53	28	28
First goal conceded (min)	37	34	46	33
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	70%	78%	47%	31%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	60%	56%	77%	48%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.40	0.30	0.20	0.10
Late goals against	0.50	0.50	0.80	0.50
Style
Possession	41%	46%	37%	40%
Shots	11.3	11.2	10.2	10.9
On target	3.3	3.8	4.5	4.9
Shot conversion	9%	8%	17%	15%
Shots inside box	67%	61%	54%	54%
Big chances created	1.9	2.1	1.5	2.1
Corners	3.7	4.4	2.4	2.7
xG from set plays	19%	15%	20%	29%
Goals from headers	11%	11%	18%	31%
Pressure index	5.4	8.7	7.3	6.9
Dominant minutes	27.7	34.7	31.4	34.7
Pass accuracy	77%	77%	75%	74%
Fouls	8.9	9.6	9.0	10.7
Cards	1.10	1.60	1.60	2.10

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Willem II

0–15'21

16–30'04

31–45'15

46–60'11

61–75'29

76–90'45

Fortuna Sittard

0–15'40

16–30'33

31–45'22

46–60'33

61–75'36

76–90'28

Willem II

Current: winless 23 · scoring 2 · conceding 24

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	5 50%	0.4	1.0	2.6	1.17	2.33
4-3-3	3 30%	0.67	1.0	1.33	1.05	2.25
4-4-2	1 10%	0.0	1.0	4.0	1.6	2.43
4-4-1-1	1 10%	0.0	1.0	4.0	1.42	2.78

Fortuna Sittard

Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 28

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
5-3-2	3 30%	2.33	2.67	2.0	0.74	1.77
3-4-2-1	2 20%	1.5	2.0	1.5	1.33	2.27
4-2-3-1	2 20%	1.5	2.0	2.0	1.1	1.46
5-4-1	1 10%	0.0	1.0	5.0	0.65	3.59
3-4-3	1 10%	0.0	0.0	2.0	0.6	2.35

Metric	Willem II all · 6	Willem II at home · 3	Fortuna Sittard all · 35	Fortuna Sittard away · 17
Results
Matches	6	–	35	17
Points per game	0.33	–	1.20	1.06
W / D / L	0 / 2 / 4	–	12 / 6 / 17	5 / 3 / 9
Goals for / match	1.00	–	1.49	1.47
Goals against / match	3.17	–	1.94	2.06
Clean sheets	0%	–	9%	0%
Failed to score	17%	–	14%	24%
Both teams scored	83%	–	77%	76%
Over 2.5	83%	–	69%	71%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.35	–	1.30	1.07
xG against / match	2.42	–	1.93	1.96
xG difference	-1.07	–	-0.62	-0.88
Finishing vs xG	-0.35	–	0.18	0.40
xPts / match	0.83	–	1.08	0.88
Points vs xPts	-0.49	–	0.12	0.18
Game state
Scored first	33%	–	54%	35%
PPG when scoring first	0.50	–	1.84	1.83
PPG when conceding first	0.25	–	0.44	0.64
Came back from behind	33%	–	26%	36%
Leads held	0%	–	57%	62%
Minutes leading	4%	–	30%	21%
Minutes level	48%	–	39%	38%
Minutes trailing	48%	–	31%	41%
First goal (min)	62	–	33	36
First goal conceded (min)	37	–	37	29
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	83%	–	46%	44%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	63%	–	57%	43%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.67	–	0.20	0.24
Late goals against	0.50	–	0.54	0.53
Style
Possession	37%	–	42%	42%
Shots	11.3	–	11.9	10.9
On target	2.7	–	4.5	4.9
Shot conversion	9%	–	12%	13%
Shots inside box	69%	–	61%	55%
Big chances created	2.2	–	2.1	1.8
Corners	3.8	–	4.1	3.5
xG from set plays	12%	–	25%	24%
Goals from headers	0%	–	25%	28%
Pressure index	6.3	–	8.0	6.7
Dominant minutes	24.3	–	35.1	32.6
Pass accuracy	76%	–	75%	75%
Fouls	9.0	–	11.5	11.6
Cards	0.83	–	2.06	2.18

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Willem II

0–15'11

16–30'01

31–45'05

46–60'01

61–75'18

76–90'43

Fortuna Sittard

0–15'1111

16–30'710

31–45'108

46–60'910

61–75'810

76–90'719

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Willem II · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.226

Early press (0-15, level)-0.406

Late push (76+, level)-0.642

Late chase (76+, behind)+0.433

Game state

When ahead+0.062

When level-0.376

When behind-0.026

10 min after conceding-0.536

10 min after scoring-0.323

Situations

At home-0.083

Away-0.363

4+ days rest-0.226

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.402

v mid-tier opponents-0.083

As underdog-0.375

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.716

Conceded when ahead+0.892

Conceded late (76+)+0.943

Ahead vs level +0.43 · Behind vs level +0.35

Fortuna Sittard · 35 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.1835

Early press (0-15, level)-0.1635

Late push (76+, level)-0.459

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1218

Game state

When ahead-0.2121

When level-0.2035

When behind-0.1223

10 min after conceding-0.3632

10 min after scoring-0.1030

Situations

With ten men-0.114

At home-0.1918

Away-0.1617

4+ days rest-0.1734

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.3112

v mid-tier opponents-0.299

v bottom-tier opponents-0.019

As favourite+0.113

Evenly matched-0.1011

As underdog-0.2621

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.3635

Conceded when ahead+0.3121

Conceded late (76+)+0.2034

Congested vs rested -0.46 · Ahead vs level -0.01 · Behind vs level +0.08

Willem II

Current: winless 23 · scoring 2 · conceding 24

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	4 67%	0.5	1.0	2.75	1.28	2.33
4-4-2	1 17%	0.0	1.0	4.0	1.6	2.43
4-4-1-1	1 17%	0.0	1.0	4.0	1.42	2.78

Fortuna Sittard

Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 28

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	19 54%	1.16	1.42	1.79	1.45	1.75
3-4-2-1	4 11%	1.5	1.75	1.5	1.03	2.25
4-3-3	4 11%	0.75	1.0	2.25	1.12	2.34
5-3-2	4 11%	2.5	2.5	1.75	1.15	1.73
5-4-1	3 9%	0.33	1.33	3.33	1.47	2.2

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 4.0d before kick-off · 70 snapshots · last 27.0h before kick-off · biggest step: away +1.0 pts at 3.8d

2.51Home 38% · -0.9 ptsopened 2.433.75Draw 25% · -0.2 ptsopened 3.692.59Away 37% ▲ +1.1 ptsopened 2.65

Home Draw Away consensus of 7 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away	Last
Pinnacle	2.51 · -0.9	3.75 · -0.2	2.59 ▲ +1.1	27.0h
bet365	2.6 ▲ +1.0	3.75 · +0.2	2.5 ▼ -1.2	27.0h
Betfair	2.6 · +0.7	3.6 ▲ +2.2	2.5 ▼ -2.9	27.0h
BetVictor	2.55 · +1.0	3.7 · +0.3	2.45 ▼ -1.3	27.0h
Coral	2.5 ▲ +2.4	3.75 · +0.1	2.5 ▼ -2.5	27.0h
Ladbrokes	2.5 ▲ +2.3	3.7 · +0.3	2.5 ▼ -2.6	27.0h
WilliamHill	2.5 ▲ +1.2	3.5 · -0.2	2.45 ▼ -1.0	27.0h

bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 94 snapshots · last 27.0h before kick-off

1.44Yes 65% · +0.0 ptsopened 1.442.62No 35% · +0.0 ptsopened 2.62

Yes No consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Last
bet365	1.44 · +0.0	2.62 · +0.0	27.0h
Betfair	1.4 · +0.0	2.88 · +0.0	27.0h
BetVictor	1.4 · +0.0	2.7 · +0.0	27.0h
WilliamHill	1.44 · +0.0	2.5 · +0.0	27.0h

Pinnacle · opened 4.0d before kick-off · 69 snapshots · last 27.0h before kick-off · biggest step: under +1.3 pts at 35.0h

1.55Over 62% · +0.2 ptsopened 1.532.51Under 38% · -0.2 ptsopened 2.46

Over Under consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Last
Pinnacle	1.55 · +0.2	2.51 · -0.2	27.0h
bet365	1.53 · +0.0	2.4 · +0.0	27.0h
Betfair	1.47 · +0.0	2.63 · +0.0	27.0h
BetVictor	1.5 · -0.1	2.35 · +0.1	27.0h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 27.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.6Home 37% P 38%3.75Draw 25% P 25%2.5Away 38% P 37%

Double Chance

1.5Willem II or Draw 31%1.25Willem II or Fortuna Sittard 38%1.5Draw or Fortuna Sittard 31%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.44Yes 65%2.62No 35%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.53Over 61% P 62%2.4Under 39% P 38%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%11.0Over 14 8%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 35–37.5% · 153 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Home	38%	38%	42%	+3.4
Draw	25%	26%	20%	-5.4
Away	37%	36%	38%	+2.0

In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 68% · over 2.5 65%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Over 2.5	62%	61%	63%	+1.5

Dennis Higler

Career: 328 matches · 16 seasons
Cards / match: 3.25 (3.07 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match: 19.5 · 5.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match: 0.3
Cards to home side: 49%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 98 matches)

Metric	Referee	League	vs peers	pct
Cards / match	3.52	3.32	+0.33	68
Fouls / match	22.2	20.3	+0.83
Fouls per card	6.6	6.2	+0.33 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match	0.29	0.24	+0.69	73
Time added	6.7	6.4	+0.44	73

First card: 42' on average
Card timing: 11% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side: 48% (league 44%)
VAR events / match: 1.14

Recent matches

Date	Y	R	Fouls	Pens	1st card	+min
2026-09-12	1	0	18	0	90'	5
2026-08-30	–	–	24	–	–	4
2026-08-22	–	–	23	–	–	11
2026-02-21	4	0	26	0	37'	5
2026-02-08	1	0	20	0	70'	7
2026-01-24	7	0	26	0	41'	8
2026-01-17	3	0	26	0	23'	7
2025-12-21	2	1	26	0	65'	6
2025-11-08	6	1	24	0	27'	7
2025-11-01	6	0	18	0	36'	8

Momentum

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Events

Stats

Season context

League this season · 2026/2027

Trends

Lineups

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Willem II · 2026/2027 · Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard · 2026/2027 · Eredivisie

Commentary

In-Play Odds

Competition

Venue

Teams

Referee

Weather

Where to watch · 3

Willem II

Fortuna Sittard

Last 4

This fixture vs the league league = last 365 days

How these games go · 4 with event data

When the goals come · all goals, 3 meetings

Expected goals · last 2 with xG

Against the market · 4 with closing odds

Fixture specialists

Last meeting · 2025-04-27 · NLD E

Match result

Over / under 2.5

Both teams to score

Expected

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

Over / under 2.5

Both teams to score

All meetings · 10 matches since 2018

Last 10 · 10 matches

Last 5 · 5 matches

Recent meetings

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Willem II

Fortuna Sittard

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Willem II · 6 matches

Fortuna Sittard · 6 matches

Willem II

Fortuna Sittard

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Willem II

Fortuna Sittard

Willem II

Fortuna Sittard

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Willem II

Fortuna Sittard

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Willem II · 6 matches

Fortuna Sittard · 35 matches

Willem II

Fortuna Sittard

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Latest prices

Fulltime Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Both Teams To Score

Goals Over/Under

Total Corners

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 35–37.5% · 153 fixtures

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures

Dennis Higler

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 98 matches)

Recent matches