KickoffDNA
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Eredivisie · Matchweek 7

Momentum

FC GroningenPEC Zwolle
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
7

Venue

Stadium
Euroborg, Groningen
Capacity
22,525
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Dick Lukkien · Henry van der Vegt
Position
9 · 16
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Martin van den Kerkhof

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
17.2° (feels 16.8°)
Wind
6.9
Humidity
66%

Where to watch · 6

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 6510 22715 16 WWWWW
2 AZ Alkmaar 6510 17611 16 WWWWD
3 Feyenoord 6420 20713 14 DWDWW
4 Ajax 6411 19712 13 DWLWW
5 FC Twente 6411 1257 13 WWDWW
6 Excelsior 6312 1376 10 LWWDL
7 Fortuna Sittard 6312 1214-2 10 WLWWL
8 Go Ahead Eagles 6231 15132 9 DWLDD
9 FC Groningen 6222 1213-1 8 WLLDD
10 NEC Nijmegen 6213 1112-1 7 WWLDL
11 SC Heerenveen 6132 79-2 6 DLDLD
12 Sparta Rotterdam 6123 1013-3 5 WDLDL
13 Telstar 6123 511-6 5 LLDLD
14 FC Utrecht 6123 1119-8 5 LDLDW
15 SC Cambuur 6114 918-9 4 LLLDW
16 PEC Zwolle 6114 617-11 4 LWLDL
17 Willem II 6024 619-13 2 LDLDL
18 ADO Den Haag 6015 616-10 1 LLDLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

FC Groningen

WLLDD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 10 GA 12 · xG 6.87–10.54 · xPts 5.51

  • D A Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 xG 0.25–2.32 NLD E
  • D H FC Twente 2–2 xG 1.69–2.39 NLD E
  • L H Fortuna Sittard 2–3 xG 1.89–0.93 NLD E
  • L A PSV 1–5 xG 0.94–3.87 NLD E
  • W A ADO Den Haag 4–1 xG 2.09–1.03 NLD E

PEC Zwolle

LWLDL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 15 · xG 5.79–12.68 · xPts 4.01

  • L H Feyenoord 0–7 xG 0.24–3.72 NLD E
  • D A Sparta Rotterdam 2–2 xG 1.33–3.12 NLD E
  • L H NEC Nijmegen 1–3 xG 2.04–2.09 NLD E
  • W A SC Heerenveen 2–0 xG 1.62–1.06 NLD E
  • L A FC Twente 1–3 xG 0.56–2.69 NLD E

full sample 6 meetings 2021–2026 · 1 on neutral ground

Recurring referee: Alex Bos · 2 of these meetings

Last 6

FC Groningen 05 draws1 PEC Zwolle

Goals 5–7 · FC Groningen hosting: 0W 2D 0L · PEC Zwolle hosting: 1W 2D 0L

At Euroborg: 2 meetings · FC Groningen 0 · draws 2 · PEC Zwolle 0 · 2.0 goals per match

All-time since 2012: 24 meetings · FC Groningen 10 · draws 6 · PEC Zwolle 8

  • FC Groningen haven't beaten PEC Zwolle since Feb 2021
  • PEC Zwolle unbeaten in the last 7 meetings
  • Last 2 meetings all drawn

This fixture vs the league league = last 365 days

MetricFixtureLeagueΔn
Goals per match2.003.29-1.296
Both teams score67%66%+1%6
Over 2.5 goals17%64%-48%6
Corners9.710.5-0.86
Cards4.53.6+0.96

1 goalless · 1 with 4+ goals · 0.83 first-half goals per match · red card in 1

How these games go · 6 with event data

FC GroningenPEC Zwolle
Scored first1 of 64 of 6
Scored first and won01
Won from behind00

first goal on average in minute 37 · a side came back in 4 · goal after the 75th minute in 3

When the goals come · all goals, 5 meetings

0-15'2
16-30'0
31-45'3
46-60'1
61-75'2
76-90'4

5 equalisers · 1 own goal · 2 headers

Expected goals · last 4 with xG

FC Groningen 1.98 xGper match1.26 xG PEC Zwolle

Deserved on xG: FC Groningen 2 · level 2 · PEC Zwolle 0 — actual wins in those games 0 / 1

Against the market · 6 with closing odds

Favourite won 1 (17%), drew 5, upset 0 · market favoured FC Groningen 4×, PEC Zwolle 2× · avg favourite 48%, avg price of the actual result 31%

Fixture specialists

  • 3 Thom van Bergen FC Groningen · in 2 games · last Mar 2026
  • 1 Koen Kostons PEC Zwolle · last Mar 2026
  • 1 Thijs Oosting PEC Zwolle · last Nov 2025
  • 1 Sherel Floranus PEC Zwolle · last Nov 2025
  • 1 Dylan Mbayo PEC Zwolle · last May 2025

Last meeting · 2026-03-13 · NLD E

PEC Zwolle 1-1 FC Groningen · ref Alex Bos

  • 82' Koen Kostons 1–0
  • 84' Thom van Bergen assist Younes Taha 1–1

xG 2.14 – 3.01 · corners 13 · cards 3

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·

Match result

63.0%FC Groningen P 62%19.7%Draw P 22%17.3%PEC Zwolle P 16%

Over / under 2.5

64.9%Over 2.5 P 68%35.1%Under 2.5 P 32%

Both teams to score

59.8%Yes40.2%No

Expected

FC Groningen goals
2.24 (0–4)
PEC Zwolle goals
1.1 (0–2)
Corners
10.65 (6–15)
Cards
3.75 (1–6)

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

54.6%FC Groningen24.5%Draw20.9%PEC Zwolle

Over / under 2.5

52.5%Over 2.547.5%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

52.3%Yes47.7%No

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 24 matches since 2012

FC Groningen 106 draws8 PEC Zwolle

Goals 32–22 · 2.25 per match · BTTS 38% · over 2.5 29%

Last 10 · 10 matches

FC Groningen 25 draws3 PEC Zwolle

Goals 8–9 · 1.7 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 10%

Last 5 · 5 matches

FC Groningen 04 draws1 PEC Zwolle

Goals 4–6 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • D PEC Zwolle 1–1 FC Groningen NLD E · Regular Season
  • D FC Groningen 2–2 PEC Zwolle NLD E · Regular Season
  • L PEC Zwolle 2–0 FC Groningen NLD E · Regular Season
  • D FC Groningen 0–0 PEC Zwolle NLD E · Regular Season
  • D PEC Zwolle 1–1 FC Groningen NLD E · Regular Season
  • D FC Groningen 1–1 PEC Zwolle neutral NLD E · Regular Season
  • L PEC Zwolle 1–0 FC Groningen NLD E · Regular Season
  • W FC Groningen 1–0 PEC Zwolle neutral NLD E · Regular Season
  • L PEC Zwolle 1–0 FC Groningen NLD E · Regular Season
  • W FC Groningen 2–0 PEC Zwolle NLD E · Regular Season
MetricFC Groningen all · 6FC Groningen at home · 3PEC Zwolle all · 6PEC Zwolle away · 3
Results
Matches66
Points per game1.330.67
W / D / L2 / 2 / 21 / 1 / 4
Goals for / match2.001.00
Goals against / match2.172.83
Clean sheets0%17%
Failed to score0%33%
Both teams scored100%50%
Over 2.583%67%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.411.05
xG against / match2.012.44
xG difference-0.60-1.40
Finishing vs xG0.59-0.05
xPts / match1.160.74
Points vs xPts0.18-0.07
Game state
Scored first67%50%
PPG when scoring first1.751.33
PPG when conceding first0.500.00
Came back from behind33%20%
Leads held40%33%
Minutes leading41%11%
Minutes level34%49%
Minutes trailing25%39%
First goal (min)1734
First goal conceded (min)4132
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half25%50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half46%59%
Late goals for (76'+)0.330.17
Late goals against0.330.67
Style
Possession49%39%
Shots14.510.8
On target5.23.8
Shot conversion14%9%
Shots inside box71%57%
Big chances created3.01.2
Corners4.33.8
xG from set plays10%42%
Goals from headers17%17%
Pressure index12.86.3
Dominant minutes46.830.5
Pass accuracy80%74%
Fouls8.711.3
Cards1.001.33

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

FC Groningen

0–15'33
16–30'41
31–45'23
46–60'13
61–75'01
76–90'22

PEC Zwolle

0–15'01
16–30'24
31–45'12
46–60'12
61–75'14
76–90'14

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

FC Groningen · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.08) · stands out: when behind +0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.086
Early press (0-15, level)+0.316
Late push (76+, level)-0.562

Game state

When ahead-0.085
When level+0.016
When behind+0.543
10 min after conceding-0.076
10 min after scoring+0.506

Situations

At home+0.243
Away-0.133
4+ days rest+0.086

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.142
v mid-tier opponents-0.262
v bottom-tier opponents+0.662
Evenly matched-0.083
As underdog-0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.206
Conceded when ahead+0.395
Conceded late (76+)+0.105

Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.53

PEC Zwolle · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.21) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.216
Early press (0-15, level)-0.226
Late push (76+, level)+0.462
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.494

Game state

When ahead+0.003
When level-0.246
When behind-0.225
10 min after conceding-0.485
10 min after scoring+0.074

Situations

At home-0.213
Away-0.213
4+ days rest-0.216

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.453
v bottom-tier opponents-0.062
As underdog-0.216

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.476
Conceded when ahead+0.393
Conceded late (76+)+0.085

Ahead vs level +0.24 · Behind vs level +0.02

FC Groningen

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 4 · scoring 6 · conceding 11

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-16 100%1.332.02.171.412.01

PEC Zwolle

Current: winless 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-15 83%0.81.23.01.162.54
4-4-21 17%0.00.02.00.491.97

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 117 snapshots · last 4.0h before kick-off · biggest step: home +4.1 pts at 11.0h

1.55Home 62% ▲ +5.2 ptsopened 1.664.44Draw 22% ▼ -2.3 ptsopened 3.945.99Away 16% ▼ -2.9 ptsopened 4.99
5d4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 20%30%40%50%60%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.55 ▲ +5.24.44 ▼ -2.35.99 ▼ -2.94.0h
bet3651.5 ▲ +5.74.75 ▼ -2.15.75 ▼ -3.64.0h
Betfair1.5 ▲ +4.14.33 · -0.25.5 ▼ -3.94.0h
BetVictor1.5 ▲ +5.64.75 ▼ -2.65.25 ▼ -3.04.0h
Coral1.55 ▲ +4.54.6 ▼ -1.95.25 ▼ -2.54.0h
Ladbrokes1.53 ▲ +5.04.6 ▼ -2.05.25 ▼ -3.04.0h
Unibet1.45 ▲ +5.34.6 ▼ -1.46.0 ▼ -3.94.0h
WilliamHill1.5 ▲ +5.44.2 ▼ -2.65.0 ▼ -2.84.0h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 4.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.5Home 63% P 62%4.75Draw 20% P 22%5.75Away 17% P 16%

Double Chance

1.14FC Groningen or Draw 41%1.18FC Groningen or PEC Zwolle 39%2.37Draw or PEC Zwolle 20%

Draw No Bet

1.21 78%4.332 22%

Both Teams To Score

1.5Yes 62%2.5No 38%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.36Over 70% P 68%3.1Under 30% P 32%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 60–62.5% · away 15–17.5% · 649 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home62%61%62%+0.4
Draw22%23%23%+0.7
Away16%16%15%-1.1

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 58%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.568%69%69%+0.6

Martin van den Kerkhof

Career
156 matches · 14 seasons
Cards / match
3.06 (2.87 yellow · 0.16 red)
Fouls / match
18.3 · 5.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.26
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 74 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match2.783.32-1.2314
Fouls / match18.720.3-1.03
Fouls per card7.06.2+0.88 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.260.24+0.3264
Time added6.16.4-0.6427
First card
46' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
40% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.14

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-09-11 10 150 29'5
2026-09-08 30 241 44'5
2026-08-15 20 190 50'6
2026-05-10 16 4
2026-04-11 31 140 74'7
2026-03-22 17 8
2026-03-08 · PEC Zwolle 40 170 4'6
2026-02-20 20 221 53'5
2026-02-08 71 260 28'7
2026-01-24 · PEC Zwolle 30 190 38'7