Rating 7.67 (97th pct) · G+A 3 + 2 (45% of team goals) · 83% of minutes
Eredivisie · Matchweek 3
Momentum
– NEC NijmegenExcelsior –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| NEC Nijmegen | at home | Stat | league | away | Excelsior |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63.5 #2 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 44.5 #13 |
| 14.8 #7 | – | Shots total | 15.0 | – | 12.7 #11 |
| 4.0 #14 | – | Shots on target | 5.4 | – | 5.2 #8 |
| 5.0 #8 | – | Corners | 5.3 | – | 5.0 #8 |
| 11.7 #5 | – | Fouls | 10.3 | – | 12.0 #3 |
| 1.7 #4 | – | Offsides | 1.4 | – | 0.5 #18 |
| 15.7 #8 | – | Tackles | 14.7 | – | 15.7 #8 |
| 113.5 #4 | – | Attacks | 94.5 | – | 86.7 #10 |
| 64.0 #5 | – | Dangerous attacks | 48.9 | – | 38.3 #11 |
| 519.7 #5 | – | Passes | 445.6 | – | 405.2 #11 |
| 1.8 #3 | – | Yellowcards | 1.3 | – | 1.5 #6 |
| 1.0 #12 | – | Assists | 1.5 | – | 2.0 #5 |
| – #5 | – | Btts | 74.1 | – | – #9 |
| – #10 | – | Cleansheet | 13.9 | – | – #1 |
| – #9 | – | Draw | 25.9 | – | – #9 |
| 1.8 #6 | – | Expected goals | 1.8 | – | 1.6 #9 |
| -0.0 #11 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.2 | – | 0.6 #4 |
| – #5 | – | Failed to score | 13.9 | – | – #11 |
| 1.8 #10 | 1.3 | Goals | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.2 #6 |
| 2.0 #10 | 2.3 | Goals conceded | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.2 #13 |
| 0.5 #6 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.5 #6 |
| 11.3 #1 | – | Interceptions | 8.5 | – | 8.8 #8 |
| – #5 | – | Lost | 37.0 | – | – #9 |
| 0.3 #1 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | – |
| 6.8 #10 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.9 #6 |
| 4.3 #7 | – | Shots blocked | 4.0 | – | 3.7 #10 |
| 8.7 #10 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.9 | – | 9.0 #9 |
| 6.5 #6 | – | Shots off target | 5.7 | – | 3.8 #16 |
| 6.2 #6 | – | Shots outsidebox | 5.0 | – | 3.7 #13 |
| – #8 | – | Win | 37.0 | – | – #6 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 53 of 306
- Goals / match
- 3.91 (home 1.64 · away 2.26)
- Home / draw / away
- 26% · 26% · 47%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 74% · 79%
- Cards / match
- 2.75 (reds 0.06)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
NEC Nijmegen · 2026/2027 · Eredivisie
Rating 6.86 (31th pct) · G+A 0 + 1 (9% of team goals) · 81% of minutes
Rating 6.98 · G+A 2 + 0 (18% of team goals) · 43% of minutes
Excelsior · 2026/2027 · Eredivisie
Rating 7.62 (96th pct) · G+A 2 + 4 (46% of team goals) · 97% of minutes
Rating 6.95 (56th pct) · G+A 3 + 0 (23% of team goals) · 79% of minutes
Rating 6.99 (65th pct) · G+A 0 + 1 (8% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Absences
NEC Nijmegen
- injury Ahmetcan Kaplan defender · Knee Injury · 8 missed
- injury Bryan Linssen #9 key player attacker · Head Injury · 34 missed
- injury Deveron Fonville #12 key player defender · Ankle Injury · 1 missed
- injury Yassin Moslih defender · Unknown Injury · 9 missed
- suspension Freek Entius goalkeeper · No Eligibility · 1 missed · until 2027-01-29
Excelsior
- injury Noah Naujoks #14 key player midfielder · Minor Knock · 3 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 3
Venue
- Stadium
- Goffertstadion, Nijmegen
- Capacity
- 12,500
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 12,344
Teams
- Coaches
- Dick Schreuder · Ruben den Uil
- Position
- 10 · 5
- Formation
- 3-4-2-1 · 3-4-3
Referee
Erwin Blank
Weather
- Conditions
- light rain
- Temperature
- 17.1° (feels 17.3°)
- Wind
- 0.9
- Humidity
- 94%
Where to watch · 5
Netherlands
Canal+ · Canal+ Netherlands · ESPN · ESPN Extra · Watch ESPN
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 7 | 15 | 16 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  AZ Alkmaar |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 16 | WWWWD |
| 3 |  Feyenoord |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 14 | DWDWW |
| 4 |  Ajax |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 13 | DWLWW |
| 5 |  FC Twente |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 13 | WWDWW |
| 6 |  Excelsior |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 10 | LWWDL |
| 7 |  Fortuna Sittard |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 | WLWWL |
| 8 |  Go Ahead Eagles |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 9 | DWLDD |
| 9 |  FC Groningen |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 8 | WLLDD |
| 10 |  NEC Nijmegen |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 7 | WWLDL |
| 11 |  SC Heerenveen |
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 6 | DLDLD |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 5 | WDLDL |
| 13 |  Telstar |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 5 | LLDLD |
| 14 |  FC Utrecht |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 5 | LDLDW |
| 15 |  SC Cambuur |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 4 | LLLDW |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 17 |  Willem II |
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 18 |  ADO Den Haag |
6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Twente |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 9 | WWDWW |
| 2 | PSV |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 7 | WWWWW |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 7 | WWWWD |
| 4 | Go Ahead Eagles |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 7 | DWLDD |
| 5 | Ajax |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 4 | DWLWW |
| 6 | FC Groningen |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 | WLLDD |
| 7 | SC Heerenveen |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | DLDLD |
| 8 | Excelsior |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 | LWWDL |
| 9 | Fortuna Sittard |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | WLWWL |
| 10 | SC Cambuur |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LLLDW |
| 11 | Feyenoord |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DWDWW |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 2 | WDLDL |
| 13 | NEC Nijmegen |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 | WWLDL |
| 14 | Telstar |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LLDLD |
| 15 | Willem II |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LDLDL |
| 16 | FC Utrecht |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 1 | LDLDW |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 0 | LLDLL |
| 18 | PEC Zwolle |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | -11 | 0 | LWLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 12 | DWDWW |
| 2 | Ajax |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 9 | DWLWW |
| 3 | PSV |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 4 | AZ Alkmaar |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 9 | WWWWD |
| 5 | Excelsior |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 7 | LWWDL |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 7 | WLWWL |
| 7 | NEC Nijmegen |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 6 | WWLDL |
| 8 | FC Twente |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 | WWDWW |
| 9 | FC Utrecht |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 | LDLDW |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 11 | Telstar |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | LLDLD |
| 12 | FC Groningen |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 4 | WLLDD |
| 13 | Sparta Rotterdam |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 | WDLDL |
| 14 | SC Heerenveen |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DLDLD |
| 15 | Go Ahead Eagles |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 2 | DWLDD |
| 16 | SC Cambuur |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 1 | LLLDW |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LLDLL |
| 18 | Willem II |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 | LDLDL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
NEC Nijmegen
WLLWL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 9 GA 11 · xG 8.53–8.93 · xPts 6.76
- L
H
Feyenoord
1–3
xG 1.19–1.35
NLD E
- W
A
PEC Zwolle
3–1
xG 2.09–2.04
NLD E
- L
A
Bodø / Glimt
0–3
xG 0.2–2.48
UEFA CL - L
H
Bodø / Glimt
1–3
xG 2.26–1.65
UEFA CL
- W
A
Willem II
4–1
xG 2.78–1.42
NLD E
WLWWLLWL 4W 0D 4L · 12 pts (1.5 ppg) · GF 14 GA 15 · xG 18.06–11.93 · xPts 13.73
- L
H
Feyenoord
1–3
xG 1.19–1.35
NLD E
- W
A
PEC Zwolle
3–1
xG 2.09–2.04
NLD E
- L
A
Bodø / Glimt
0–3
xG 0.2–2.48
UEFA CL
- L
H
Bodø / Glimt
1–3
xG 2.26–1.65
UEFA CL
- W
A
Willem II
4–1
xG 2.78–1.42
NLD E
- W
H
Olympiacos F.C.
2–1 aet
xG 1.91–0.94
UEFA CL - L
H
Telstar
1–2
xG 2.5–1.37
NLD E
- W
H
Go Ahead Eagles
2–1
xG 5.12–0.69
NLD E
Excelsior
WWLWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 13 GA 5 · xG 8.55–6.24 · xPts 8.35
- W
A
Willem II
3–0
xG 1.69–1.06
NLD E
- W
H
Sparta Rotterdam
2–1
xG 1.71–0.8
NLD E
- L
H
PSV
1–2
xG 0.68–1.96
NLD E
- W
A
SC Cambuur
4–0
xG 2.56–0.84
NLD E
- W
A
Sparta Rotterdam
3–2
xG 1.91–1.57
NLD E
WWLWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 13 GA 5 · xG 8.55–6.24 · xPts 8.35
- W
A
Willem II
3–0
xG 1.69–1.06
NLD E
- W
H
Sparta Rotterdam
2–1
xG 1.71–0.8
NLD E
- L
H
PSV
1–2
xG 0.68–1.96
NLD E
- W
A
SC Cambuur
4–0
xG 2.56–0.84
NLD E
- W
A
Sparta Rotterdam
3–2
xG 1.91–1.57
NLD E
No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).
All meetings · 19 matches since 2006
Goals 31–21 · 2.74 per match · BTTS 32% · over 2.5 37%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 21–12 · 3.3 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 15–6 · 4.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 80%
Recent meetings
- D NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
- W Excelsior 0–2 NEC Nijmegen NLD E · Regular Season
- W NEC Nijmegen 5–0 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
- W Excelsior 0–3 NEC Nijmegen NLD E · Regular Season
- L NEC Nijmegen 3–4 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
- W Excelsior 0–3 NEC Nijmegen NLD E · Regular Season
- D NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Excelsior neutral NLD E · Regular Season
- L NEC Nijmegen 0–1 Excelsior neutral NLD E · Regular Season
- D Excelsior 2–2 NEC Nijmegen NLD E · Regular Season
- L Excelsior 2–0 NEC Nijmegen NLD E · Regular Season
| Metric | NEC Nijmegen all · 6 | NEC Nijmegen at home · 3 | Excelsior all · 6 | Excelsior away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | 6 | – |
| Points per game | 1.17 | – | 1.67 | – |
| W / D / L | 2 / 1 / 3 | – | 3 / 1 / 2 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.83 | – | 2.17 | – |
| Goals against / match | 2.00 | – | 1.17 | – |
| Clean sheets | 0% | – | 33% | – |
| Failed to score | 17% | – | 0% | – |
| Both teams scored | 83% | – | 67% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 100% | – | 100% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.75 | – | 1.56 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.84 | – | 1.22 | – |
| xG difference | -0.10 | – | 0.34 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.09 | – | 0.61 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.35 | – | 1.58 | – |
| Points vs xPts | -0.19 | – | 0.09 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | – | 50% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.33 | – | 3.00 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | – | 0.33 | – |
| Came back from behind | 25% | – | 33% | – |
| Leads held | 67% | – | 75% | – |
| Minutes leading | 30% | – | 36% | – |
| Minutes level | 32% | – | 35% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 38% | – | 29% | – |
| First goal (min) | 39 | – | 37 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | – | 25 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 64% | – | 46% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 58% | – | 57% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.50 | – | 0.50 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.33 | – | 0.33 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 64% | – | 44% | – |
| Shots | 14.8 | – | 12.5 | – |
| On target | 4.0 | – | 5.2 | – |
| Shot conversion | 12% | – | 17% | – |
| Shots inside box | 60% | – | 72% | – |
| Big chances created | 2.7 | – | 2.8 | – |
| Corners | 5.0 | – | 5.0 | – |
| xG from set plays | 24% | – | 21% | – |
| Goals from headers | 18% | – | 38% | – |
| Pressure index | 14.6 | – | 10.8 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 57.2 | – | 48.7 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | – | 78% | – |
| Fouls | 11.5 | – | 11.7 | – |
| Cards | 1.83 | – | 1.50 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
NEC Nijmegen
0–15'21
16–30'12
31–45'12
46–60'22
61–75'23
76–90'32
Excelsior
0–15'12
16–30'20
31–45'41
46–60'12
61–75'20
76–90'32
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
NEC Nijmegen · 10 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.11) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.53
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1110
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1410
Late push (76+, level)+0.172
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.245
Game state
When ahead+0.093
When level-0.1810
When behind+0.398
10 min after conceding+0.029
10 min after scoring+0.537
Situations
At home+0.195
Away+0.015
3 days rest or fewer+0.022
4+ days rest+0.148
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.054
v bottom-tier opponents+0.284
As favourite+0.185
Evenly matched+0.083
As underdog-0.142
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0510
Conceded when ahead-0.033
Conceded late (76+)-0.427
Congested vs rested -0.12 · Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level +0.57
Excelsior · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.36
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)+0.056
Late push (76+, level)+0.203
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.692
Game state
When ahead+0.114
When level+0.026
When behind-0.243
10 min after conceding-0.134
10 min after scoring+0.366
Situations
At home-0.153
Away+0.103
4+ days rest-0.025
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.072
v bottom-tier opponents+0.143
Evenly matched+0.094
As underdog-0.262
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.066
Conceded when ahead+0.194
Conceded late (76+)+0.285
Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level -0.26
NEC Nijmegen
Current: winless 4 · conceding 15
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 67% | 1.0 | 1.75 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.91 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 2 33% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.64 | 1.7 |
Excelsior
Current: winless 2 · scoring 11 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 2 33% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.38 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 17% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.89 | 1.46 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.56 | 0.84 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 17% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.84 | 1.21 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.69 | 1.06 |
| Metric | NEC Nijmegen all · 10 | NEC Nijmegen at home · 10 | Excelsior all · 10 | Excelsior away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.30 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 6 | 3 / 4 / 3 | 6 / 2 / 2 | 5 / 3 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 1.40 | 1.60 | 2.50 | 2.20 |
| Goals against / match | 2.40 | 1.60 | 1.20 | 1.30 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 10% | 30% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 90% | 70% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 100% | 80% | 90% | 80% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.56 | 2.26 | 1.69 | 1.76 |
| xG against / match | 1.93 | 1.28 | 1.12 | 1.57 |
| xG difference | -0.37 | 0.98 | 0.57 | 0.19 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.16 | -0.66 | 0.81 | 0.44 |
| xPts / match | 1.24 | 1.87 | 1.71 | 1.51 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.24 | -0.57 | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 30% | 40% | 50% | 50% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.33 | 2.00 | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.43 | 0.83 | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Came back from behind | 25% | 62% | 60% | 67% |
| Leads held | 75% | 60% | 86% | 71% |
| Minutes leading | 20% | 22% | 39% | 39% |
| Minutes level | 34% | 39% | 33% | 35% |
| Minutes trailing | 45% | 39% | 28% | 26% |
| First goal (min) | 50 | 55 | 33 | 32 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 36 | 34 | 22 | 28 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 69% | 67% | 52% | 46% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 44% | 58% | 62% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.50 | 0.60 | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 58% | 62% | 48% | 47% |
| Shots | 14.1 | 21.0 | 13.5 | 14.1 |
| On target | 4.2 | 6.6 | 5.5 | 5.3 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 8% | 18% | 16% |
| Shots inside box | 58% | 66% | 67% | 64% |
| Big chances created | 2.2 | 3.2 | 3.3 | 3.1 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 7.0 | 4.8 | 4.2 |
| xG from set plays | 17% | 10% | 22% | 25% |
| Goals from headers | 14% | 6% | 33% | 27% |
| Pressure index | 13.6 | 22.3 | 11.5 | 10.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 54.2 | 73.4 | 50.8 | 45.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 82% | 79% | 76% |
| Fouls | 12.2 | 10.6 | 11.7 | 13.4 |
| Cards | 1.90 | 1.60 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
NEC Nijmegen
0–15'22
16–30'14
31–45'16
46–60'24
61–75'35
76–90'43
Excelsior
0–15'34
16–30'20
31–45'71
46–60'34
61–75'50
76–90'53
NEC Nijmegen
Current: winless 4 · conceding 15
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 6 60% | 0.67 | 1.33 | 2.67 | 1.7 | 2.09 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 30% | 1.0 | 1.33 | 2.33 | 1.16 | 1.96 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.91 | 0.94 |
Excelsior
Current: winless 2 · scoring 11 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 6 60% | 2.17 | 2.5 | 1.33 | 1.65 | 1.1 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.89 | 1.46 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.56 | 0.84 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.84 | 1.21 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.69 | 1.06 |
| Metric | NEC Nijmegen all · 39 | NEC Nijmegen at home · 19 | Excelsior all · 35 | Excelsior away · 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 39 | 19 | 35 | 18 |
| Points per game | 1.54 | 1.58 | 1.29 | 1.50 |
| W / D / L | 16 / 12 / 11 | 8 / 6 / 5 | 12 / 9 / 14 | 7 / 6 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 1.90 | 1.95 | 1.51 | 1.72 |
| Goals against / match | 1.74 | 1.63 | 1.46 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 8% | 10% | 20% | 22% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 0% | 14% | 11% |
| Both teams scored | 82% | 90% | 69% | 72% |
| Over 2.5 | 77% | 84% | 69% | 72% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.69 | 2.00 | 1.51 | 1.58 |
| xG against / match | 1.56 | 1.39 | 1.56 | 1.70 |
| xG difference | 0.12 | 0.61 | -0.05 | -0.13 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.21 | -0.06 | 0.01 | 0.14 |
| xPts / match | 1.46 | 1.71 | 1.33 | 1.29 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.08 | -0.13 | -0.05 | 0.21 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 49% | 53% | 46% | 44% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.32 | 2.10 | 2.06 | 2.25 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.61 | 0.89 |
| Came back from behind | 56% | 62% | 39% | 54% |
| Leads held | 70% | 62% | 67% | 70% |
| Minutes leading | 28% | 28% | 29% | 32% |
| Minutes level | 44% | 42% | 43% | 41% |
| Minutes trailing | 28% | 30% | 28% | 27% |
| First goal (min) | 40 | 42 | 36 | 34 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 33 | 39 | 37 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 60% | 61% | 49% | 45% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 47% | 45% | 61% | 56% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.49 | 0.58 | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| Late goals against | 0.21 | 0.05 | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 56% | 59% | 48% | 46% |
| Shots | 16.1 | 18.2 | 12.7 | 12.7 |
| On target | 5.8 | 5.7 | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 11% | 12% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 61% | 63% | 67% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 2.8 | 3.3 | 2.8 | 2.5 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 6.5 | 4.3 | 4.4 |
| xG from set plays | 20% | 18% | 28% | 28% |
| Goals from headers | 16% | 11% | 28% | 26% |
| Pressure index | 16.9 | 19.7 | 8.9 | 7.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 60.4 | 68.5 | 41.6 | 37.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 81% | 78% | 77% |
| Fouls | 12.1 | 10.1 | 11.9 | 13.1 |
| Cards | 1.95 | 1.63 | 1.29 | 1.28 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
NEC Nijmegen
0–15'95
16–30'1010
31–45'1021
46–60'1314
61–75'1310
76–90'188
Excelsior
0–15'87
16–30'76
31–45'127
46–60'515
61–75'87
76–90'139
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
NEC Nijmegen · 39 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.30) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.70
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.3039
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1739
Late push (76+, level)+0.6017
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.5013
Game state
When ahead+0.2522
When level+0.2639
When behind+0.4425
10 min after conceding+0.1134
10 min after scoring+0.7035
Situations
With ten men-0.223
Against ten men-0.602
At home+0.3119
Away+0.3020
3 days rest or fewer+0.022
4+ days rest+0.3237
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.1713
v mid-tier opponents+0.258
v bottom-tier opponents+0.3713
As favourite+0.4120
Evenly matched+0.2111
As underdog+0.168
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1539
Conceded when ahead-0.1222
Conceded late (76+)-0.3835
Congested vs rested -0.30 · Ahead vs level -0.00 · Behind vs level +0.19
Excelsior · 35 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: v top-tier opponents -0.36
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1535
Early press (0-15, level)-0.0635
Late push (76+, level)-0.2517
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1617
Game state
When ahead-0.3018
When level-0.1535
When behind+0.0022
10 min after conceding-0.2528
10 min after scoring+0.0629
Situations
Against ten men-0.492
At home-0.1717
Away-0.1418
3 days rest or fewer-0.272
4+ days rest-0.1433
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.369
v mid-tier opponents-0.038
v bottom-tier opponents-0.0112
As favourite-0.144
Evenly matched-0.0315
As underdog-0.2616
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2035
Conceded when ahead+0.3618
Conceded late (76+)+0.2132
Congested vs rested -0.13 · Ahead vs level -0.15 · Behind vs level +0.15
NEC Nijmegen
Current: winless 4 · conceding 15
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 20 51% | 1.5 | 1.85 | 1.7 | 1.95 | 1.58 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 13 33% | 1.46 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.46 | 1.58 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 5 13% | 1.6 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 1.21 | 1.44 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.76 | 1.67 |
Excelsior
Current: winless 2 · scoring 11 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 13 37% | 1.77 | 1.46 | 1.23 | 1.42 | 1.75 |
| 4-3-3 | 11 31% | 1.27 | 1.82 | 1.64 | 1.83 | 1.45 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 4 11% | 0.5 | 1.25 | 1.75 | 1.05 | 1.52 |
| 5-4-1 | 3 9% | 1.33 | 2.0 | 1.33 | 1.55 | 1.77 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.26 | 0.87 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: draw +1.7 pts at 2.9d
1.66Home 58% ▼ -4.6 ptsopened 1.514.26Draw 23% ▲ +2.8 ptsopened 4.775.01Away 19% ▲ +1.8 ptsopened 5.42
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.66 ▼ -4.6 | 4.26 ▲ +2.8 | 5.01 ▲ +1.8 | 5m |
| bet365 | 1.8 ▼ -13.0 | 4.0 ▲ +4.4 | 4.2 ▲ +8.6 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.62 ▼ -10.4 | 4.1 ▲ +4.7 | 4.75 ▲ +5.7 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.65 ▼ -7.0 | 4.4 ▲ +1.9 | 4.6 ▲ +5.1 | 5m |
| Coral | 1.95 ▼ -18.5 | 3.6 ▲ +7.5 | 3.7 ▲ +11.1 | 5m |
| Ladbrokes | 1.95 ▼ -18.9 | 3.6 ▲ +7.3 | 3.6 ▲ +11.6 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.6 ▼ -5.6 | 4.2 ▲ +2.8 | 4.8 ▲ +2.8 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 1.6 ▼ -8.2 | 4.2 ▲ +1.5 | 4.4 ▲ +6.7 | 5m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: no -5.6 pts at 2.7d
1.5Yes 62% ▲ +3.6 ptsopened 1.572.5No 38% ▼ -3.6 ptsopened 2.25
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.5 ▲ +3.6 | 2.5 ▼ -3.6 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.57 ▼ -2.4 | 2.25 ▲ +2.4 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.44 ▲ +2.6 | 2.55 ▼ -2.6 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.5 ▲ +1.4 | 2.4 ▼ -1.4 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 1.5 ▲ +1.2 | 2.45 ▼ -1.2 | 5m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: under -3.7 pts at 2.9d
1.46Over 66% · -0.1 ptsopened 1.442.81Under 34% · +0.1 ptsopened 2.79
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.46 · -0.1 | 2.81 · +0.1 | 5m |
| bet365 | 1.44 ▼ -2.0 | 2.7 ▲ +2.0 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.4 · +0.0 | 2.75 · +0.0 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.4 · +0.0 | 2.75 · +0.0 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.48 ▼ -2.4 | 2.63 ▲ +2.4 | 5m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.8Home 53% P 58%4.0Draw 24% P 23%4.2Away 23% P 19%
Double Chance
1.16NEC or Draw 41%1.22NEC or Excelsior 39%2.25Draw or Excelsior 21%
Draw No Bet
1.281 73%3.52 27%
Both Teams To Score
1.5Yes 62%2.5No 38%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.44Over 65% P 66%2.7Under 35% P 34%
Total Corners
13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 24%2.629 - 11 33%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 12%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 57.5–60% · away 17.5–20% · 511 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 58% | 59% | 60% | +1.3 |
| Draw | 23% | 23% | 24% | +1.3 |
| Away | 19% | 18% | 16% | -2.6 |
In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 57%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 66% | 66% | 69% | +3.2 |
Erwin Blank
- Career
- 61 matches · 9 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.48 (3.41 yellow · 0.03 red)
- Fouls / match
- 23.7 · 6.8 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.2
- Cards to home side
- 44%
Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 45 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.49 | 3.32 | +0.27 | 59 |
| Fouls / match | 22.5 | 20.3 | +1.03 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.8 | 6.2 | +0.54 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.18 | 0.24 | -0.69 | 14 |
| Time added | 6.1 | 6.4 | -0.64 | 27 |
- First card
- 40' on average
- Card timing
- 10% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 43% (league 44%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.13
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 39' | 4 |
| 2026-08-08 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 74' | 7 |
| 2026-05-17 | – | – | 22 | – | – | 2 |
| 2026-04-22 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 83' | 5 |
| 2026-03-21 | 3 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 39' | 5 |
| 2026-02-28 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 62' | 6 |
| 2026-02-14 · Excelsior | 3 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 20' | 7 |
| 2026-01-25 | 4 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 28' | 14 |
| 2026-01-17 · NEC Nijmegen | 4 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 8' | 8 |
| 2025-12-07 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 42' | 5 |