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Eredivisie · Matchweek 3

Momentum

FORAZ
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
3

Venue

Stadium
Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard
Capacity
12,500
Surface
grass
Attendance
10,132

Teams

Coaches
Danny Buijs · Leeroy Echteld
Position
4 · 1
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Serdar Gozubuyuk

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
20.8° (feels 20.3°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
54%

Where to watch · 6

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 6510 22715 16 WWWWW
2 AZ Alkmaar 6510 17611 16 WWWWD
3 Feyenoord 6420 20713 14 DWDWW
4 Ajax 6411 19712 13 DWLWW
5 FC Twente 6411 1257 13 WWDWW
6 FC Groningen 7322 15132 11 LLDDW
7 Excelsior 6312 1376 10 LWWDL
8 Fortuna Sittard 6312 1214-2 10 WLWWL
9 Go Ahead Eagles 6231 15132 9 DWLDD
10 NEC Nijmegen 6213 1112-1 7 WWLDL
11 SC Heerenveen 6132 79-2 6 DLDLD
12 Sparta Rotterdam 6123 1013-3 5 WDLDL
13 Telstar 6123 511-6 5 LLDLD
14 FC Utrecht 6123 1119-8 5 LDLDW
15 SC Cambuur 6114 918-9 4 LLLDW
16 PEC Zwolle 7115 620-14 4 WLDLL
17 Willem II 6024 619-13 2 LDLDL
18 ADO Den Haag 6015 616-10 1 LLDLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Fortuna Sittard

LWLDW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 9 GA 9 · xG 5.41–10.01 · xPts 4.43

  • W H SC Cambuur 3–1 xG 1.92–2.08 NLD E
  • D A PSV 2–2 xG 0.71–2.65 NLD E
  • L A FC Utrecht 0–2 xG 0.6–2.35 NLD E
  • W H PEC Zwolle 3–2 xG 1.5–0.8 NLD E
  • L H Feyenoord 1–2 xG 0.7–2.12 NLD E

AZ

DDDWW 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 12 GA 7 · xG 9.2–6.0 · xPts 8.76

  • W A FC Utrecht 4–1 xG 2.5–0.95 NLD E
  • W H ADO Den Haag 2–0 xG 2.72–1.04 NLD E
  • D H NAC Breda 3–3 xG 1.46–2.03 NLD E
  • D A Feyenoord 1–1 xG 0.92–1.1 NLD E
  • D H FC Twente 2–2 xG 1.6–0.88 NLD E

All meetings · 16 matches since 2018

Fortuna Sittard 21 draws13 AZ

Goals 14–39 · 3.31 per match · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 69%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Fortuna Sittard 20 draws8 AZ

Goals 8–22 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Fortuna Sittard 20 draws3 AZ

Goals 5–8 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • L Fortuna Sittard 0–2 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
  • L AZ Alkmaar 2–0 Fortuna Sittard NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Fortuna Sittard 4–3 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
  • L AZ Alkmaar 1–0 Fortuna Sittard NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Fortuna Sittard 1–0 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Fortuna Sittard 1–2 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
  • L AZ Alkmaar 4–0 Fortuna Sittard NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Fortuna Sittard 0–3 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
  • L AZ Alkmaar 3–1 Fortuna Sittard NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Fortuna Sittard 1–2 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
MetricFortuna Sittard all · 6Fortuna Sittard at home · 3AZ all · 6AZ away · 3
Results
Matches66
Points per game1.672.67
W / D / L3 / 1 / 25 / 1 / 0
Goals for / match2.002.83
Goals against / match2.331.00
Clean sheets0%33%
Failed to score17%0%
Both teams scored83%67%
Over 2.583%50%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.852.78
xG against / match2.611.05
xG difference-1.761.73
Finishing vs xG1.150.06
xPts / match0.632.22
Points vs xPts1.040.45
Game state
Scored first67%100%
PPG when scoring first2.502.67
PPG when conceding first0.00
Came back from behind33%100%
Leads held75%83%
Minutes leading42%46%
Minutes level41%47%
Minutes trailing17%7%
First goal (min)2835
First goal conceded (min)4146
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half42%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half79%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.330.67
Late goals against0.830.33
Style
Possession33%58%
Shots9.019.8
On target4.87.5
Shot conversion22%14%
Shots inside box59%64%
Big chances created1.23.0
Corners2.09.2
xG from set plays13%21%
Goals from headers17%0%
Pressure index4.722.1
Dominant minutes25.866.8
Pass accuracy74%86%
Fouls8.810.2
Cards1.670.83

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Fortuna Sittard

0–15'30
16–30'22
31–45'21
46–60'13
61–75'23
76–90'25

AZ

0–15'20
16–30'03
31–45'30
46–60'40
61–75'41
76–90'42

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Fortuna Sittard · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.30) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.306
Early press (0-15, level)-0.376
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.253

Game state

When ahead-0.284
When level-0.316
When behind-0.313
10 min after conceding-0.396
10 min after scoring-0.065

Situations

At home-0.223
Away-0.373
4+ days rest-0.306

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.313
v bottom-tier opponents-0.192
As underdog-0.335

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.616
Conceded when ahead+0.524
Conceded late (76+)-0.086

Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level +0.00

AZ · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.37) · stands out: at home +0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.377
Early press (0-15, level)-0.017
Late push (76+, level)+0.702

Game state

When ahead+0.366
When level+0.327
When behind+0.632
10 min after conceding+0.305
10 min after scoring+0.396

Situations

At home+0.573
Away+0.224
4+ days rest+0.377

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.223
v bottom-tier opponents+0.464
As favourite+0.465

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.177
Conceded when ahead-0.286
Conceded late (76+)-0.316

Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level +0.31

Fortuna Sittard

Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 28

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
5-3-23 50%2.332.672.00.741.77
3-4-2-11 17%3.03.01.01.922.08
5-4-11 17%0.01.05.00.653.59
4-3-31 17%0.00.02.00.284.65

AZ

Current: winless 2 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-16 100%2.672.831.02.781.05

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 2.0d before kick-off · 50 snapshots · last 30m before kick-off

5.08Home 19% · +0.2 ptsopened 5.034.34Draw 22% ▲ +1.2 ptsopened 4.51.64Away 59% ▼ -1.4 ptsopened 1.57
2d24h12h6h1hKO 20%30%40%50%60%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle5.08 · +0.24.34 ▲ +1.21.64 ▼ -1.430m
bet3655.0 · +1.04.1 · +0.61.65 ▼ -1.630m
Betfair4.75 · -0.24.1 · +0.91.6 · -0.730m
BetVictor5.0 · +0.44.4 · +0.41.6 · -0.830m
Coral4.6 ▲ +1.54.2 · +0.51.65 ▼ -1.930m
Ladbrokes4.6 · +0.94.2 · +0.71.65 ▼ -1.630m
Unibet4.75 ▲ +1.44.2 · -0.51.61 · -0.930m
WilliamHill4.6 · +0.73.9 · +0.71.62 ▼ -1.530m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.5h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

5.0Home 19% P 19%4.1Draw 23% P 22%1.65Away 58% P 59%

Double Chance

2.2Fortuna Sittard or Draw 21%1.22Fortuna Sittard or AZ 38%1.16Draw or AZ 40%

Draw No Bet

3.751 25%1.252 75%

Both Teams To Score

1.5Yes 62%2.5No 38%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.47Over 64% P 64%2.6Under 36% P 36%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 13%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 17.5–20% · away 57.5–60% · 326 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home19%19%15%-3.2
Draw22%23%21%-1.4
Away59%59%63%+4.6

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 59%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.564%64%63%-0.4

Serdar Gozubuyuk

Career
18 matches · 3 seasons
Cards / match
3.28 (3.17 yellow · 0.11 red)
Fouls / match
21.2 · 6.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.11
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 17 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.413.32+0.1152
Fouls / match21.420.3+0.38
Fouls per card6.36.2-0.24 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.060.24-2.470
Time added6.36.4-0.1952
First card
33' on average
Card timing
22% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-18 20 220 65'7
2026-08-15 10 240 16'6
2026-05-10 41 240 27'5
2026-05-03 60 220 6'9
2026-04-25 20 170 78'6
2026-04-12 70 310 40'10
2026-04-04 10 160 71'9
2026-03-15 40 220 27'6
2026-03-07 20 120 90'7
2026-02-27 50 240 26'5