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Eredivisie · Matchweek 6

Momentum

PEC ZwolleFeyenoord
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
6

Venue

Stadium
MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle
Capacity
14,000
Surface
artificial turf
Attendance
13,826

Teams

Coaches
Henry van der Vegt · Giovanni van Bronckhorst
Position
14 · 4
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Alex Bos

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
20.0° (feels 20.1°)
Wind
4.2
Humidity
76%

Where to watch · 14

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 6510 22715 16 WWWWW
2 AZ Alkmaar 6510 17611 16 WWWWD
3 Feyenoord 6420 20713 14 DWDWW
4 Ajax 6411 19712 13 DWLWW
5 FC Twente 6411 1257 13 WWDWW
6 Excelsior 6312 1376 10 LWWDL
7 Fortuna Sittard 6312 1214-2 10 WLWWL
8 Go Ahead Eagles 6231 15132 9 DWLDD
9 FC Groningen 6222 1213-1 8 WLLDD
10 NEC Nijmegen 6213 1112-1 7 WWLDL
11 SC Heerenveen 6132 79-2 6 DLDLD
12 Sparta Rotterdam 6123 1013-3 5 WDLDL
13 Telstar 6123 511-6 5 LLDLD
14 FC Utrecht 6123 1119-8 5 LDLDW
15 SC Cambuur 6114 918-9 4 LLLDW
16 PEC Zwolle 6114 617-11 4 LWLDL
17 Willem II 6024 619-13 2 LDLDL
18 ADO Den Haag 6015 616-10 1 LLDLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

PEC Zwolle

LLWLD 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 10 · xG 6.04–10.93 · xPts 4.38

  • D A Sparta Rotterdam 2–2 xG 1.33–3.12 NLD E
  • L H NEC Nijmegen 1–3 xG 2.04–2.09 NLD E
  • W A SC Heerenveen 2–0 xG 1.62–1.06 NLD E
  • L A FC Twente 1–3 xG 0.56–2.69 NLD E
  • L H Ajax 0–2 xG 0.49–1.97 NLD E

Feyenoord

DWDWL 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 13 GA 12 · xG 9.63–6.73 · xPts 8.59

  • L A FC Barcelona 1–5 xG 0.61–2.1 UEFA CL
  • W A NEC Nijmegen 3–1 xG 1.35–1.19 NLD E
  • D H ADO Den Haag 2–2 xG 2.33–0.3 NLD E
  • W A SC Cambuur 5–2 xG 2.62–1.83 NLD E
  • D H Go Ahead Eagles 2–2 xG 2.72–1.32 NLD E

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·

Match result

20.4%PEC Zwolle P 13%20.8%Draw P 19%58.8%Feyenoord P 68%

Over / under 2.5

64.8%Over 2.5 P 67%35.2%Under 2.5 P 33%

Both teams to score

61.8%Yes38.2%No

Expected

PEC Zwolle goals
1.2 (0–3)
Feyenoord goals
2.14 (0–4)
Corners
10.18 (6–15)
Cards
3.58 (1–6)

Earlier: day before — 20.4% / 20.8% / 58.8%

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

14.4%PEC Zwolle18.0%Draw67.7%Feyenoord

Over / under 2.5

62.1%Over 2.537.9%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

52.8%Yes47.2%No

Scored

MarketObservedLog lossBrier
1x2away0.5310.255
bttsno0.9620.763
ou_2_5over0.4330.247

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 27 matches since 2012

PEC Zwolle 52 draws20 Feyenoord

Goals 25–71 · 3.56 per match · BTTS 37% · over 2.5 67%

Last 10 · 10 matches

PEC Zwolle 00 draws10 Feyenoord

Goals 3–38 · 4.1 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

PEC Zwolle 00 draws5 Feyenoord

Goals 2–24 · 5.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L PEC Zwolle 0–7 Feyenoord NLD E · Regular Season
  • L PEC Zwolle 0–2 Feyenoord NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Feyenoord 6–1 PEC Zwolle NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Feyenoord 4–0 PEC Zwolle NLD E · Regular Season
  • L PEC Zwolle 1–5 Feyenoord NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Feyenoord 5–0 PEC Zwolle NLD E · Regular Season
  • L PEC Zwolle 0–2 Feyenoord NLD E · Regular Season
  • L PEC Zwolle 1–2 Feyenoord NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Feyenoord 4–0 PEC Zwolle neutral NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Feyenoord 1–0 PEC Zwolle neutral NLD E · Regular Season
MetricPEC Zwolle all · 6PEC Zwolle at home · 3Feyenoord all · 6Feyenoord away · 4
Results
Matches66
Points per game0.672.33
W / D / L1 / 1 / 44 / 2 / 0
Goals for / match1.003.33
Goals against / match2.831.17
Clean sheets17%33%
Failed to score33%0%
Both teams scored50%67%
Over 2.567%83%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.052.75
xG against / match2.440.99
xG difference-1.401.75
Finishing vs xG-0.050.58
xPts / match0.742.27
Points vs xPts-0.070.06
Game state
Scored first50%83%
PPG when scoring first1.332.60
PPG when conceding first0.001.00
Came back from behind20%100%
Leads held33%80%
Minutes leading11%52%
Minutes level49%37%
Minutes trailing39%11%
First goal (min)3436
First goal conceded (min)3250
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half50%50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half59%86%
Late goals for (76'+)0.170.33
Late goals against0.670.33
Style
Possession39%56%
Shots10.822.2
On target3.88.0
Shot conversion9%15%
Shots inside box57%67%
Big chances created1.23.5
Corners3.86.2
xG from set plays42%24%
Goals from headers17%6%
Pressure index6.322.6
Dominant minutes30.569.0
Pass accuracy74%86%
Fouls11.38.3
Cards1.330.67

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

PEC Zwolle

0–15'01
16–30'24
31–45'12
46–60'12
61–75'14
76–90'14

Feyenoord

0–15'01
16–30'40
31–45'60
46–60'22
61–75'62
76–90'22

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

PEC Zwolle · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.21) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.216
Early press (0-15, level)-0.226
Late push (76+, level)+0.462
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.494

Game state

When ahead+0.003
When level-0.246
When behind-0.225
10 min after conceding-0.485
10 min after scoring+0.074

Situations

At home-0.213
Away-0.213
4+ days rest-0.216

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.453
v bottom-tier opponents-0.062
As underdog-0.216

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.476
Conceded when ahead+0.393
Conceded late (76+)+0.085

Ahead vs level +0.24 · Behind vs level +0.02

Feyenoord · 7 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.60) · stands out: as favourite +0.84

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.607
Early press (0-15, level)+0.487
Late push (76+, level)+0.232

Game state

When ahead+0.645
When level+0.697
When behind+0.362
10 min after conceding-0.025
10 min after scoring+0.816

Situations

At home+0.802
Away+0.495
4+ days rest+0.607

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.512
v bottom-tier opponents+0.844
As favourite+0.845

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.317
Conceded when ahead-0.295
Conceded late (76+)-0.155

Ahead vs level -0.05 · Behind vs level -0.32

PEC Zwolle

Current: winless 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-15 83%0.81.23.01.162.54
4-4-21 17%0.00.02.00.491.97

Feyenoord

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-35 83%2.23.81.42.550.97
4-2-3-11 17%3.01.00.03.751.09

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: away +3.2 pts at 35m · late move: away +1.9 pts inside the final hour

7.21Home 13% ▼ -1.9 ptsopened 6.25.08Draw 19% · -0.4 ptsopened 4.91.42Away 68% ▲ +2.4 ptsopened 1.45
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 20%30%40%50%60%70%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle7.21 ▼ -1.95.08 · -0.41.42 ▲ +2.45m
bet3656.5 ▼ -3.05.5 ▼ -1.31.38 ▲ +4.35m
Betfair6.5 · -0.14.75 · +0.81.36 · -0.65m
BetVictor7.0 ▼ -1.85.25 · -0.31.4 ▲ +2.15m
Coral7.0 ▼ -2.95.25 · -0.91.4 ▲ +3.85m
Ladbrokes7.0 ▼ -2.85.25 ▼ -1.51.4 ▲ +4.35m
Unibet6.0 · +0.24.8 · +0.41.43 · -0.65m
WilliamHill6.5 ▼ -1.94.75 · -0.91.36 ▲ +2.85m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

6.5Home 15% P 13%5.5Draw 17% P 19%1.38Away 68% P 68%

Double Chance

2.62PEC Zwolle or Draw 18%1.16PEC Zwolle or Feyenoord 41%1.14Draw or Feyenoord 41%

Draw No Bet

4.331 22%1.22 78%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61%2.37No 39%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.36Over 70% P 67%3.1Under 30% P 33%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.629 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 12.5–15% · away 67.5–70% · 116 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home13%13%18%+4.8
Draw19%18%15%-3.5
Away68%69%67%-1.3

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 61%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.567%66%69%+3.2

Alex Bos

Career
61 matches · 6 seasons
Cards / match
3.0 (2.8 yellow · 0.11 red)
Fouls / match
21.8 · 7.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 57 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.353.32-0.0341
Fouls / match21.720.3+0.59
Fouls per card7.06.2+0.99 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.350.24+1.5296
Time added6.26.4-0.4641
First card
42' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.19

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-29 15 5
2026-08-16 40 180 51'5
2026-08-08 20 150 33'4
2026-05-10 30 280 44'8
2026-05-02 21 250 35'13
2026-04-11 70 180 7'5
2026-04-04 17 4
2026-03-13 · PEC Zwolle 30 220 19'6
2026-03-08 10 161 73'5
2026-02-07 40 230 83'7