Rating 7.81 (100th pct) · G+A 2 + 2 (18% of team goals) · 83% of minutes
Eredivisie · Matchweek 6
Momentum
– PSVSPR –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| PSV | at home | Stat | league | away | Sparta Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64.3 #1 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 45.0 #12 |
| 22.7 #2 | – | Shots total | 15.0 | – | 13.5 #10 |
| 9.2 #1 | – | Shots on target | 5.4 | – | 5.0 #10 |
| 8.0 #2 | – | Corners | 5.3 | – | 6.5 #5 |
| 8.2 #17 | – | Fouls | 10.3 | – | 10.0 #10 |
| 1.3 #9 | – | Offsides | 1.4 | – | 1.0 #16 |
| 17.2 #4 | – | Tackles | 14.7 | – | 17.7 #2 |
| 125.5 #2 | – | Attacks | 94.5 | – | 82.0 #12 |
| 78.7 #1 | – | Dangerous attacks | 48.9 | – | 42.0 #10 |
| 617.2 #1 | – | Passes | 445.6 | – | 388.5 #12 |
| 1.7 #4 | – | Yellowcards | 1.3 | – | 1.0 #12 |
| 2.5 #1 | – | Assists | 1.5 | – | 1.7 #7 |
| – #1 | – | Btts | 74.1 | – | – #5 |
| – #10 | – | Cleansheet | 13.9 | – | – #10 |
| – #9 | – | Draw | 25.9 | – | – #3 |
| 2.9 #1 | – | Expected goals | 1.8 | – | 1.8 #7 |
| 0.7 #3 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.2 | – | -0.1 #14 |
| – #11 | – | Failed to score | 13.9 | – | – #5 |
| 3.7 #1 | 3.7 | Goals | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.7 #12 |
| 1.2 #13 | 1.3 | Goals conceded | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2.2 #7 |
| 0.7 #2 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.7 #2 |
| 9.7 #4 | – | Interceptions | 8.5 | – | 5.8 #18 |
| – #16 | – | Lost | 37.0 | – | – #5 |
| 0.2 #3 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | – |
| 7.1 #1 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #11 |
| 5.5 #3 | – | Shots blocked | 4.0 | – | 3.3 #11 |
| 15.7 #2 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.9 | – | 9.7 #8 |
| 8.0 #4 | – | Shots off target | 5.7 | – | 5.2 #9 |
| 7.0 #4 | – | Shots outsidebox | 5.0 | – | 3.8 #12 |
| – #1 | – | Win | 37.0 | – | – #11 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 53 of 306
- Goals / match
- 3.91 (home 1.64 · away 2.26)
- Home / draw / away
- 26% · 26% · 47%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 74% · 79%
- Cards / match
- 2.75 (reds 0.06)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
PSV · 2026/2027 · Eredivisie
Rating 7.64 (94th pct) · G+A 2 + 2 (18% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Rating 7.24 (93th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (9% of team goals) · 94% of minutes
Sparta Rotterdam · 2026/2027 · Eredivisie
Rating 6.92 (44th pct) · G+A 0 + 3 (30% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 7.0 (80th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (20% of team goals) · 98% of minutes
Rating 7.23 (81th pct) · G+A 4 + 1 (50% of team goals) · 58% of minutes
Absences
PSV
- injury Alassane Pléa attacker · Unknown Injury · 5 missed
- injury Sam Lammers attacker · Unknown Injury · 82 missed
- injury Sami Ouaissa attacker · Hamstring Injury · 5 missed
- suspension Adamo Nagalo defender · No Eligibility · 2 missed · until 2027-01-28
- suspension Mikkel Bro Hansen attacker · No Eligibility · 2 missed · until 2027-01-28
Sparta Rotterdam
- injury Max de Ligt defender · Unknown Injury · 1 missed
- injury Shunsuke Mito #4 key player midfielder · Unknown Injury
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 6
Venue
- Stadium
- Philips Stadion, Eindhoven
- Capacity
- 36,500
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 33,000
Teams
- Coaches
- Peter Bosz · Rogier Meijer
- Position
- 2 · 12
- Formation
- 4-3-3 · 3-4-2-1
Referee
Danny Desmond Makkelie
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 17.9° (feels 18.2°)
- Wind
- 1.3
- Humidity
- 93%
Where to watch · 10
Albania
SuperSport 5
Cyprus
Cablenet Sports 3 · Cablenet TV Go · Cytavision on the Go · Nova Sports Start
Greece
Nova Sports Start
Netherlands
Canal+ · ESPN · ESPN Extra · Watch ESPN
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 7 | 15 | 16 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  AZ Alkmaar |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 16 | WWWWD |
| 3 |  Feyenoord |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 14 | DWDWW |
| 4 |  Ajax |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 13 | DWLWW |
| 5 |  FC Twente |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 13 | WWDWW |
| 6 |  Excelsior |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 10 | LWWDL |
| 7 |  Fortuna Sittard |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 | WLWWL |
| 8 |  Go Ahead Eagles |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 9 | DWLDD |
| 9 |  FC Groningen |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 8 | WLLDD |
| 10 |  NEC Nijmegen |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 7 | WWLDL |
| 11 |  SC Heerenveen |
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 6 | DLDLD |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 5 | WDLDL |
| 13 |  Telstar |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 5 | LLDLD |
| 14 |  FC Utrecht |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 5 | LDLDW |
| 15 |  SC Cambuur |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 4 | LLLDW |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 17 |  Willem II |
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 18 |  ADO Den Haag |
6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Twente |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 9 | WWDWW |
| 2 | PSV |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 7 | WWWWW |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 7 | WWWWD |
| 4 | Go Ahead Eagles |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 7 | DWLDD |
| 5 | Ajax |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 4 | DWLWW |
| 6 | FC Groningen |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 | WLLDD |
| 7 | SC Heerenveen |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | DLDLD |
| 8 | Excelsior |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 | LWWDL |
| 9 | Fortuna Sittard |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | WLWWL |
| 10 | SC Cambuur |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LLLDW |
| 11 | Feyenoord |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DWDWW |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 2 | WDLDL |
| 13 | NEC Nijmegen |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 | WWLDL |
| 14 | Telstar |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LLDLD |
| 15 | Willem II |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LDLDL |
| 16 | FC Utrecht |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 1 | LDLDW |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 0 | LLDLL |
| 18 | PEC Zwolle |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | -11 | 0 | LWLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 12 | DWDWW |
| 2 | Ajax |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 9 | DWLWW |
| 3 | PSV |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 4 | AZ Alkmaar |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 9 | WWWWD |
| 5 | Excelsior |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 7 | LWWDL |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 7 | WLWWL |
| 7 | NEC Nijmegen |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 6 | WWLDL |
| 8 | FC Twente |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 | WWDWW |
| 9 | FC Utrecht |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 | LDLDW |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 11 | Telstar |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | LLDLD |
| 12 | FC Groningen |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 4 | WLLDD |
| 13 | Sparta Rotterdam |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 | WDLDL |
| 14 | SC Heerenveen |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DLDLD |
| 15 | Go Ahead Eagles |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 2 | DWLDD |
| 16 | SC Cambuur |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 1 | LLLDW |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LLDLL |
| 18 | Willem II |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 | LDLDL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
PSV
WWWWD 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 17 GA 5 · xG 11.93–4.35 · xPts 10.68
- D
H
Shakhtar Donetsk
1–1
xG 0.52–0.53
UEFA CL - W
A
Ajax
3–1
xG 2.41–1.97
NLD E
- W
A
FC Utrecht
6–1
xG 3.16–0.22
NLD E
- W
H
FC Groningen
5–1
xG 3.87–0.94
NLD E
- W
A
Excelsior
2–1
xG 1.96–0.68
NLD E
WDWWWWD 5W 2D 0L · 17 pts (2.43 ppg) · GF 24 GA 8 · xG 16.93–6.69 · xPts 14.99
- D
H
Shakhtar Donetsk
1–1
xG 0.52–0.53
UEFA CL
- W
A
Ajax
3–1
xG 2.41–1.97
NLD E
- W
A
FC Utrecht
6–1
xG 3.16–0.22
NLD E
- W
H
FC Groningen
5–1
xG 3.87–0.94
NLD E
- W
A
Excelsior
2–1
xG 1.96–0.68
NLD E
- D
H
Fortuna Sittard
2–2
xG 2.65–0.71
NLD E
- W
H
FC Twente
5–1
xG 2.35–1.64
NLD E
Sparta Rotterdam
LWDLD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 9 · xG 8.55–10.34 · xPts 6.16
- D
H
PEC Zwolle
2–2
xG 3.12–1.33
NLD E
- L
A
Excelsior
1–2
xG 0.8–1.71
NLD E
- D
H
FC Utrecht
3–3
xG 1.41–2.13
NLD E
- W
A
Telstar
3–1
xG 2.13–1.43
NLD E
- L
H
Feyenoord
0–1
xG 1.09–3.75
NLD E
LLWDLD 1W 2D 3L · 5 pts (0.83 ppg) · GF 11 GA 12 · xG 10.12–12.25 · xPts 7.34
- D
H
PEC Zwolle
2–2
xG 3.12–1.33
NLD E
- L
A
Excelsior
1–2
xG 0.8–1.71
NLD E
- D
H
FC Utrecht
3–3
xG 1.41–2.13
NLD E
- W
A
Telstar
3–1
xG 2.13–1.43
NLD E
- L
H
Feyenoord
0–1
xG 1.09–3.75
NLD E
- L
H
Excelsior
2–3
xG 1.57–1.91
NLD E
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
83.8%PSV P 81%9.9%Draw P 11%6.3%Sparta Rotterdam P 9%
Over / under 2.5
83.0%Over 2.5 P 83%17.0%Under 2.5 P 17%
Both teams to score
61.0%Yes39.0%No
Expected
- PSV goals
- 3.55 (1–6)
- Sparta Rotterdam goals
- 0.99 (0–2)
- Corners
- 13.88 (9–19)
- Cards
- 3.65 (1–6)
Earlier: day before — 84.0% / 9.8% / 6.2%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
59.3%PSV20.8%Draw19.9%Sparta Rotterdam
Over / under 2.5
67.7%Over 2.532.3%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
62.6%Yes37.4%No
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | home | 0.176 | 0.04 |
| ou_2_5 | over | 0.186 | 0.058 |
| btts | yes | 0.494 | 0.304 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 28 matches since 2005
Goals 70–20 · 3.21 per match · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 57%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 28–7 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 70%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 17–4 · 4.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%
Recent meetings
- W PSV 4–1 Sparta Rotterdam NLD E · Regular Season
- W Sparta Rotterdam 0–2 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
- W PSV 6–1 Sparta Rotterdam NLD E · Regular Season
- W Sparta Rotterdam 1–3 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
- W PSV 2–1 Sparta Rotterdam NLD E · Regular Season
- W PSV 4–2 Sparta Rotterdam NLD E · Regular Season
- W Sparta Rotterdam 0–4 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
- W Sparta Rotterdam 0–1 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
- D PSV 0–0 Sparta Rotterdam NLD E · Regular Season
- W Sparta Rotterdam 1–2 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
| Metric | PSV all · 6 | PSV at home · 3 | Sparta Rotterdam all · 6 | Sparta Rotterdam away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | 6 | – |
| Points per game | 2.67 | – | 0.83 | – |
| W / D / L | 5 / 1 / 0 | – | 1 / 2 / 3 | – |
| Goals for / match | 3.67 | – | 1.67 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.17 | – | 2.17 | – |
| Clean sheets | 0% | – | 0% | – |
| Failed to score | 0% | – | 17% | – |
| Both teams scored | 100% | – | 83% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 100% | – | 83% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.98 | – | 1.74 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.07 | – | 2.36 | – |
| xG difference | 1.90 | – | -0.61 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.69 | – | -0.08 | – |
| xPts / match | 2.37 | – | 1.13 | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.30 | – | -0.29 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 33% | – | 33% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | – | 1.50 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 2.50 | – | 0.50 | – |
| Came back from behind | 100% | – | 40% | – |
| Leads held | 83% | – | 33% | – |
| Minutes leading | 58% | – | 19% | – |
| Minutes level | 37% | – | 44% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 5% | – | 36% | – |
| First goal (min) | 18 | – | 28 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 25 | – | 35 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 54% | – | 60% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 29% | – | 54% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 1.00 | – | 0.33 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.17 | – | 0.83 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 64% | – | 48% | – |
| Shots | 22.7 | – | 13.5 | – |
| On target | 9.2 | – | 5.0 | – |
| Shot conversion | 16% | – | 12% | – |
| Shots inside box | 69% | – | 80% | – |
| Big chances created | 5.0 | – | 3.3 | – |
| Corners | 8.0 | – | 6.5 | – |
| xG from set plays | 23% | – | 26% | – |
| Goals from headers | 14% | – | 30% | – |
| Pressure index | 26.0 | – | 9.0 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 71.5 | – | 31.8 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 89% | – | 82% | – |
| Fouls | 7.7 | – | 9.5 | – |
| Cards | 1.67 | – | 1.00 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
PSV
0–15'43
16–30'11
31–45'51
46–60'41
61–75'20
76–90'61
Sparta Rotterdam
0–15'20
16–30'14
31–45'12
46–60'21
61–75'21
76–90'25
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
PSV · 7 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.66) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.23
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.667
Early press (0-15, level)+0.077
Late push (76+, level)-0.192
Game state
When ahead+0.566
When level+0.787
When behind+0.335
10 min after conceding+0.467
10 min after scoring+1.237
Situations
At home+0.604
Away+0.723
4+ days rest+0.616
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.122
v mid-tier opponents+0.933
v bottom-tier opponents+0.882
As favourite+0.726
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.327
Conceded when ahead-0.386
Conceded late (76+)-0.466
Congested vs rested +0.34 · Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level -0.44
Sparta Rotterdam · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.14) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.146
Early press (0-15, level)-0.496
Late push (76+, level)-0.483
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.314
Game state
When ahead-0.043
When level-0.086
When behind-0.245
10 min after conceding-0.315
10 min after scoring+0.485
Situations
At home-0.063
Away-0.253
4+ days rest-0.146
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.292
v mid-tier opponents-0.202
v bottom-tier opponents+0.152
Evenly matched-0.243
As underdog-0.292
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.336
Conceded when ahead-0.293
Conceded late (76+)+0.285
Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level -0.16
PSV
Current: unbeaten 13 · wins 1 · scoring 23 · conceding 11
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 3 50% | 3.0 | 3.67 | 1.0 | 3.21 | 1.18 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 33% | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2.53 | 1.34 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 3.16 | 0.22 |
Sparta Rotterdam
Current: winless 4 · scoring 5 · conceding 11
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 67% | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.79 | 2.05 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 17% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.91 | 3.8 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 17% | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.41 | 2.13 |
| Metric | PSV all · 10 | PSV at home · 10 | Sparta Rotterdam all · 10 | Sparta Rotterdam away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.40 | 2.30 | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| W / D / L | 7 / 3 / 0 | 7 / 2 / 1 | 1 / 3 / 6 | 1 / 2 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 3.40 | 3.40 | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Goals against / match | 1.20 | 1.50 | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | 20% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% | 80% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 90% | 90% | 90% | 90% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.53 | 2.62 | 1.61 | 1.13 |
| xG against / match | 1.09 | 1.18 | 2.40 | 2.07 |
| xG difference | 1.44 | 1.44 | -0.79 | -0.94 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.87 | 0.78 | -0.11 | -0.13 |
| xPts / match | 2.14 | 2.13 | 1.08 | 0.95 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.26 | 0.17 | -0.48 | -0.45 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 20% | 40% | 30% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.60 | 3.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 2.20 | 2.13 | 0.33 | 0.17 |
| Came back from behind | 100% | 88% | 25% | 12% |
| Leads held | 78% | 88% | 20% | 33% |
| Minutes leading | 48% | 36% | 15% | 10% |
| Minutes level | 48% | 42% | 50% | 57% |
| Minutes trailing | 3% | 22% | 36% | 32% |
| First goal (min) | 19 | 31 | 33 | 48 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 25 | 24 | 36 | 44 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 56% | 65% | 60% | 70% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 25% | 27% | 69% | 69% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.90 | 0.80 | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 60% | 65% | 48% | 49% |
| Shots | 19.1 | 19.1 | 14.2 | 11.0 |
| On target | 7.6 | 7.7 | 4.1 | 3.6 |
| Shot conversion | 18% | 18% | 11% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 69% | 66% | 74% | 68% |
| Big chances created | 4.9 | 4.8 | 2.5 | 1.9 |
| Corners | 7.0 | 7.4 | 5.7 | 5.3 |
| xG from set plays | 24% | 20% | 23% | 24% |
| Goals from headers | 21% | 15% | 33% | 20% |
| Pressure index | 20.9 | 20.9 | 9.8 | 8.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 62.6 | 67.1 | 36.7 | 38.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 88% | 87% | 82% | 82% |
| Fouls | 8.8 | 8.9 | 9.6 | 10.7 |
| Cards | 1.60 | 1.20 | 1.30 | 1.50 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
PSV
0–15'64
16–30'23
31–45'72
46–60'71
61–75'30
76–90'92
Sparta Rotterdam
0–15'21
16–30'14
31–45'33
46–60'45
61–75'24
76–90'39
PSV
Current: unbeaten 13 · wins 1 · scoring 23 · conceding 11
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 50% | 2.2 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 1.33 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 40% | 2.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.54 | 1.02 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 3.16 | 0.22 |
Sparta Rotterdam
Current: winless 4 · scoring 5 · conceding 11
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 0.67 | 1.33 | 2.17 | 1.56 | 2.44 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.15 | 1.36 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.31 | 2.02 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.41 | 2.13 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.91 | 3.8 |
| Metric | PSV all · 43 | PSV at home · 21 | Sparta Rotterdam all · 35 | Sparta Rotterdam away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 43 | 21 | 35 | 17 |
| Points per game | 2.26 | 2.19 | 1.11 | 1.00 |
| W / D / L | 30 / 7 / 6 | 14 / 4 / 3 | 10 / 9 / 16 | 5 / 2 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 2.84 | 3.29 | 1.23 | 1.12 |
| Goals against / match | 1.35 | 1.57 | 1.83 | 2.12 |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 10% | 26% | 24% |
| Failed to score | 2% | 0% | 26% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 84% | 90% | 51% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 | 86% | 95% | 54% | 71% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.18 | 2.48 | 1.41 | 1.22 |
| xG against / match | 1.19 | 1.21 | 1.80 | 1.95 |
| xG difference | 0.98 | 1.28 | -0.38 | -0.72 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.66 | 0.80 | -0.18 | -0.11 |
| xPts / match | 1.91 | 2.07 | 1.22 | 1.02 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.34 | 0.12 | -0.10 | -0.02 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 56% | 52% | 46% | 41% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.63 | 2.36 | 2.13 | 2.14 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.79 | 2.00 | 0.22 | 0.11 |
| Came back from behind | 71% | 75% | 20% | 9% |
| Leads held | 86% | 78% | 56% | 71% |
| Minutes leading | 44% | 47% | 23% | 20% |
| Minutes level | 40% | 37% | 50% | 49% |
| Minutes trailing | 15% | 16% | 27% | 31% |
| First goal (min) | 29 | 26 | 42 | 45 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 33 | 35 | 42 | 42 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 54% | 54% | 60% | 68% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 45% | 46% | 69% | 67% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.79 | 0.86 | 0.34 | 0.41 |
| Late goals against | 0.21 | 0.29 | 0.57 | 0.76 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 60% | 62% | 48% | 49% |
| Shots | 16.7 | 18.2 | 13.2 | 12.0 |
| On target | 6.8 | 7.1 | 4.5 | 3.9 |
| Shot conversion | 17% | 18% | 9% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 68% | 66% | 67% | 64% |
| Big chances created | 4.3 | 4.5 | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| Corners | 6.8 | 7.3 | 5.1 | 4.8 |
| xG from set plays | 24% | 23% | 24% | 24% |
| Goals from headers | 20% | 19% | 21% | 16% |
| Pressure index | 21.5 | 24.1 | 10.9 | 9.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 64.0 | 68.4 | 41.5 | 38.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 87% | 80% | 81% |
| Fouls | 9.8 | 10.0 | 10.3 | 11.0 |
| Cards | 1.84 | 1.81 | 1.91 | 2.35 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
PSV
0–15'1910
16–30'179
31–45'2013
46–60'197
61–75'1310
76–90'349
Sparta Rotterdam
0–15'63
16–30'46
31–45'711
46–60'810
61–75'614
76–90'1220
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
PSV · 43 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.56) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.88
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.5643
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2843
Late push (76+, level)+0.3814
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.317
Game state
When ahead+0.6335
When level+0.5443
When behind+0.4721
10 min after conceding+0.2436
10 min after scoring+0.8841
Situations
With ten men+0.023
Against ten men+0.132
At home+0.5521
Away+0.5722
3 days rest or fewer+0.675
4+ days rest+0.5538
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0614
v mid-tier opponents+0.7111
v bottom-tier opponents+0.8110
As favourite+0.7832
Evenly matched-0.047
As underdog-0.064
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2543
Conceded when ahead-0.3635
Conceded late (76+)-0.3634
Congested vs rested +0.12 · Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level -0.07
Sparta Rotterdam · 35 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.00) · stands out: v top-tier opponents -0.31
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0035
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0335
Late push (76+, level)-0.2511
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0713
Game state
When ahead+0.0118
When level+0.0635
When behind-0.1120
10 min after conceding-0.2025
10 min after scoring+0.2226
Situations
At home-0.0218
Away+0.0317
4+ days rest+0.0035
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.3110
v mid-tier opponents-0.159
v bottom-tier opponents+0.1810
As favourite+0.218
Evenly matched+0.1613
As underdog-0.2614
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1535
Conceded when ahead+0.1718
Conceded late (76+)+0.1829
Ahead vs level -0.06 · Behind vs level -0.17
PSV
Current: unbeaten 13 · wins 1 · scoring 23 · conceding 11
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 25 58% | 2.32 | 2.92 | 1.32 | 2.15 | 1.09 |
| 4-3-3 | 11 26% | 2.36 | 2.73 | 1.45 | 2.33 | 1.31 |
| 4-4-2 | 6 14% | 1.67 | 2.17 | 1.33 | 1.83 | 1.54 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 3.16 | 0.22 |
Sparta Rotterdam
Current: winless 4 · scoring 5 · conceding 11
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 27 77% | 1.26 | 1.15 | 1.41 | 1.4 | 1.65 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 11% | 1.0 | 1.75 | 3.25 | 1.5 | 2.22 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.41 | 2.13 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.91 | 3.8 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.15 | 1.36 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home -4.5 pts at 30m · late move: home -4.3 pts inside the final hour
1.19Home 81% · +0.3 ptsopened 1.178.88Draw 11% · -0.6 ptsopened 8.2111.18Away 9% · +0.4 ptsopened 11.48
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.19 · +0.3 | 8.88 · -0.6 | 11.18 · +0.4 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.18 ▲ +1.5 | 7.5 · -0.4 | 13.0 ▼ -1.0 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.13 ▲ +1.4 | 8.0 · -0.8 | 13.0 · -0.6 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.17 · +0.3 | 8.5 · -0.5 | 13.0 · +0.2 | 10m |
| Coral | 1.2 · +0.0 | 8.0 · +0.0 | 11.0 · +0.0 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 1.2 · +0.6 | 8.0 · -0.7 | 11.0 · +0.1 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.17 ▲ +1.5 | 7.5 · -0.9 | 12.0 · -0.7 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.12 ▲ +3.7 | 8.5 ▼ -2.4 | 13.0 ▼ -1.3 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: yes +1.9 pts at 3.5d
1.57Yes 59% · +0.0 ptsopened 1.572.25No 41% · +0.0 ptsopened 2.25
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.57 · +0.0 | 2.25 · +0.0 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.45 ▲ +2.2 | 2.55 ▼ -2.2 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.44 ▲ +4.7 | 2.55 ▼ -4.7 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.56 · +0.5 | 2.28 · -0.5 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.44 ▲ +1.9 | 2.5 ▼ -1.9 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: over -2.5 pts at 30m
1.14Over 83% ▲ +4.1 ptsopened 1.195.68Under 17% ▼ -4.1 ptsopened 4.54
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.14 ▲ +4.1 | 5.68 ▼ -4.1 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.16 ▲ +3.7 | 5.0 ▼ -3.7 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.13 ▲ +1.6 | 4.8 ▼ -1.6 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.15 ▲ +1.8 | 4.8 ▼ -1.8 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.19 ▲ +1.5 | 4.5 ▼ -1.5 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.18Home 80% P 81%7.5Draw 13% P 11%13.0Away 7% P 9%
Double Chance
1.02PSV or Draw 47%1.07PSV or Sparta Rotterdam 45%5.5Draw or Sparta Rotterdam 9%
Draw No Bet
1.041 93%13.02 7%
Both Teams To Score
1.57Yes 59%2.25No 41%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.16Over 81% P 83%5.0Under 19% P 17%
Total Corners
17.0Under 6 5%5.06 - 8 17%2.879 - 11 30%3.212 - 14 27%4.33Over 14 20%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 80–85% · away 5–10% · 702 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 81% | 82% | 83% | +1.5 |
| Draw | 11% | 12% | 11% | -1.2 |
| Away | 9% | 6% | 6% | -0.3 |
In those fixtures: 3.4 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 67%
Danny Desmond Makkelie
- Career
- 495 matches · 18 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.47 (3.26 yellow · 0.1 red)
- Fouls / match
- 18.2 · 4.9 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.34
- Cards to home side
- 44%
Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 127 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.32 | 3.32 | -0.09 | 36 |
| Fouls / match | 21.0 | 20.3 | +0.23 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.5 | 6.2 | +0.13 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.24 | 0.24 | +0.15 | 59 |
| Time added | 6.0 | 6.4 | -0.82 | 9 |
- First card
- 36' on average
- Card timing
- 19% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 43% (league 44%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.09
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 8' | 3 |
| 2026-08-27 | 8 | 1 | 50 | 3 | 50' | 7 |
| 2026-08-23 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 1 | 66' | 18 |
| 2026-08-15 | 6 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 23' | 7 |
| 2026-05-10 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 43' | 5 |
| 2026-04-29 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 78' | 9 |
| 2026-04-25 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 21' | 4 |
| 2026-04-16 | 4 | 1 | 27 | 0 | 8' | 10 |
| 2026-04-11 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 38' | 5 |
| 2026-04-05 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 36' | 3 |