Rating 7.62 (96th pct) · G+A 2 + 4 (46% of team goals) · 97% of minutes
Eredivisie · Matchweek 6
Momentum
– ExcelsiorFC Utrecht –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Excelsior | at home | Stat | league | away | FC Utrecht |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.5 #13 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 43.8 #14 |
| 12.7 #11 | – | Shots total | 15.0 | – | 11.7 #13 |
| 5.2 #8 | – | Shots on target | 5.4 | – | 4.3 #12 |
| 5.0 #8 | – | Corners | 5.3 | – | 3.3 #17 |
| 12.0 #3 | – | Fouls | 10.3 | – | 16.3 #1 |
| 0.5 #18 | – | Offsides | 1.4 | – | 1.7 #4 |
| 15.7 #8 | – | Tackles | 14.7 | – | 16.0 #6 |
| 86.7 #10 | – | Attacks | 94.5 | – | 72.3 #16 |
| 38.3 #11 | – | Dangerous attacks | 48.9 | – | 31.2 #16 |
| 405.2 #11 | – | Passes | 445.6 | – | 374.2 #14 |
| 1.5 #6 | – | Yellowcards | 1.3 | – | 2.2 #2 |
| 2.0 #5 | – | Assists | 1.5 | – | 1.0 #12 |
| – #9 | – | Btts | 74.1 | – | – #1 |
| – #1 | – | Cleansheet | 13.9 | – | – #10 |
| – #9 | – | Draw | 25.9 | – | – #3 |
| 1.6 #9 | – | Expected goals | 1.8 | – | 1.5 #11 |
| 0.6 #4 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.2 | – | 0.3 #8 |
| – #11 | – | Failed to score | 13.9 | – | – #11 |
| 2.2 #6 | 1.3 | Goals | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.8 #10 |
| 1.2 #13 | 1.7 | Goals conceded | 2.0 | 2.0 | 3.2 #1 |
| 0.5 #6 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.7 #2 |
| 8.8 #8 | – | Interceptions | 8.5 | – | 6.8 #16 |
| – #9 | – | Lost | 37.0 | – | – #5 |
| – | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #3 |
| 6.9 #6 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.6 #16 |
| 3.7 #10 | – | Shots blocked | 4.0 | – | 3.2 #13 |
| 9.0 #9 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.9 | – | 8.5 #12 |
| 3.8 #16 | – | Shots off target | 5.7 | – | 4.2 #14 |
| 3.7 #13 | – | Shots outsidebox | 5.0 | – | 3.2 #17 |
| – #6 | – | Win | 37.0 | – | – #11 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 53 of 306
- Goals / match
- 3.91 (home 1.64 · away 2.26)
- Home / draw / away
- 26% · 26% · 47%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 74% · 79%
- Cards / match
- 2.75 (reds 0.06)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Excelsior · 2026/2027 · Eredivisie
Rating 6.95 (56th pct) · G+A 3 + 0 (23% of team goals) · 79% of minutes
Rating 6.99 (65th pct) · G+A 0 + 1 (8% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
FC Utrecht · 2026/2027 · Eredivisie
Rating 6.88 (37th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (18% of team goals) · 94% of minutes
Rating 7.13 (67th pct) · G+A 5 + 0 (45% of team goals) · 75% of minutes
Rating 6.88 (36th pct) · G+A 0 + 2 (18% of team goals) · 72% of minutes
Absences
FC Utrecht
- injury Alonzo Engwanda midfielder · Hamstring Injury · 13 missed
- injury Kevin Paredes midfielder · Knee Injury · 2 missed
- injury Victor Jensen midfielder · Knee Injury · 32 missed · until 2026-10-15
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 6
Venue
- Stadium
- Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Rotterdam
- Capacity
- 4,500
- Surface
- artificial turf
- Attendance
- 4,600
Teams
- Coaches
- Ruben den Uil · Anthony Correia
- Position
- 6 · 16
- Formation
- 4-1-4-1 · 5-4-1
Referee
Sander van der Eijk
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 19.3° (feels 19.8°)
- Wind
- 2.1
- Humidity
- 95%
Where to watch · 39
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Netherlands
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Nigeria
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Senegal
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 7 | 15 | 16 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  AZ Alkmaar |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 16 | WWWWD |
| 3 |  Feyenoord |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 14 | DWDWW |
| 4 |  Ajax |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 13 | DWLWW |
| 5 |  FC Twente |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 13 | WWDWW |
| 6 |  Excelsior |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 10 | LWWDL |
| 7 |  Fortuna Sittard |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 | WLWWL |
| 8 |  Go Ahead Eagles |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 9 | DWLDD |
| 9 |  FC Groningen |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 8 | WLLDD |
| 10 |  NEC Nijmegen |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 7 | WWLDL |
| 11 |  SC Heerenveen |
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 6 | DLDLD |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 5 | WDLDL |
| 13 |  Telstar |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 5 | LLDLD |
| 14 |  FC Utrecht |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 5 | LDLDW |
| 15 |  SC Cambuur |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 4 | LLLDW |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 17 |  Willem II |
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 18 |  ADO Den Haag |
6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Twente |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 9 | WWDWW |
| 2 | PSV |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 7 | WWWWW |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 7 | WWWWD |
| 4 | Go Ahead Eagles |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 7 | DWLDD |
| 5 | Ajax |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 4 | DWLWW |
| 6 | FC Groningen |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 | WLLDD |
| 7 | SC Heerenveen |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | DLDLD |
| 8 | Excelsior |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 | LWWDL |
| 9 | Fortuna Sittard |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | WLWWL |
| 10 | SC Cambuur |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LLLDW |
| 11 | Feyenoord |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DWDWW |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 2 | WDLDL |
| 13 | NEC Nijmegen |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 | WWLDL |
| 14 | Telstar |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LLDLD |
| 15 | Willem II |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LDLDL |
| 16 | FC Utrecht |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 1 | LDLDW |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 0 | LLDLL |
| 18 | PEC Zwolle |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | -11 | 0 | LWLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 12 | DWDWW |
| 2 | Ajax |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 9 | DWLWW |
| 3 | PSV |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 4 | AZ Alkmaar |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 9 | WWWWD |
| 5 | Excelsior |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 7 | LWWDL |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 7 | WLWWL |
| 7 | NEC Nijmegen |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 6 | WWLDL |
| 8 | FC Twente |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 | WWDWW |
| 9 | FC Utrecht |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 | LDLDW |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 11 | Telstar |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | LLDLD |
| 12 | FC Groningen |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 4 | WLLDD |
| 13 | Sparta Rotterdam |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 | WDLDL |
| 14 | SC Heerenveen |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DLDLD |
| 15 | Go Ahead Eagles |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 2 | DWLDD |
| 16 | SC Cambuur |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 1 | LLLDW |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LLDLL |
| 18 | Willem II |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 | LDLDL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Excelsior
WLWWD 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 12 GA 5 · xG 8.47–5.89 · xPts 8.54
- D
A
NEC Nijmegen
2–2
xG 1.84–1.21
NLD E
- W
A
Willem II
3–0
xG 1.69–1.06
NLD E
- W
H
Sparta Rotterdam
2–1
xG 1.71–0.8
NLD E
- L
H
PSV
1–2
xG 0.68–1.96
NLD E
- W
A
SC Cambuur
4–0
xG 2.56–0.84
NLD E
WWLWWD 4W 1D 1L · 13 pts (2.17 ppg) · GF 15 GA 7 · xG 10.38–7.46 · xPts 10.14
- D
A
NEC Nijmegen
2–2
xG 1.84–1.21
NLD E
- W
A
Willem II
3–0
xG 1.69–1.06
NLD E
- W
H
Sparta Rotterdam
2–1
xG 1.71–0.8
NLD E
- L
H
PSV
1–2
xG 0.68–1.96
NLD E
- W
A
SC Cambuur
4–0
xG 2.56–0.84
NLD E
- W
A
Sparta Rotterdam
3–2
xG 1.91–1.57
NLD E
FC Utrecht
LLDLD 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 9 GA 18 · xG 7.51–10.72 · xPts 5.55
- D
H
Go Ahead Eagles
3–3
xG 2.67–2.06
NLD E
- L
H
PSV
1–6
xG 0.22–3.16
NLD E
- D
A
Sparta Rotterdam
3–3
xG 2.13–1.41
NLD E
- L
H
AZ Alkmaar
1–4
xG 0.95–2.5
NLD E
- L
A
FC Groningen
1–2
xG 1.54–1.6
NLD E
WWDLLDLD 2W 3D 3L · 9 pts (1.12 ppg) · GF 15 GA 21 · xG 16.92–17.52 · xPts 11.37
- D
H
Go Ahead Eagles
3–3
xG 2.67–2.06
NLD E
- L
H
PSV
1–6
xG 0.22–3.16
NLD E
- D
A
Sparta Rotterdam
3–3
xG 2.13–1.41
NLD E
- L
H
AZ Alkmaar
1–4
xG 0.95–2.5
NLD E
- L
A
FC Groningen
1–2
xG 1.54–1.6
NLD E
- D
A
Ajax
1–1 lost on pens None–None
xG 4.87–4.92
NLD E
- W
H
SC Heerenveen
3–2
xG 2.19–1.29
NLD E
- W
H
Fortuna Sittard
2–0
xG 2.35–0.6
NLD E
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
49.2%Excelsior P 42%22.5%Draw P 26%28.3%FC Utrecht P 32%
Over / under 2.5
65.1%Over 2.5 P 62%34.9%Under 2.5 P 38%
Both teams to score
65.1%Yes34.9%No
Expected
- Excelsior goals
- 1.93 (0–4)
- FC Utrecht goals
- 1.42 (0–3)
- Corners
- 8.95 (5–13)
- Cards
- 3.63 (1–6)
Earlier: day before — 49.2% / 22.5% / 28.3%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
32.0%Excelsior26.1%Draw41.8%FC Utrecht
Over / under 2.5
51.8%Over 2.548.2%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
55.0%Yes45.0%No
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | away | 1.263 | 0.808 |
| ou_2_5 | over | 0.429 | 0.243 |
| btts | yes | 0.429 | 0.244 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 25 matches since 2006
Goals 32–47 · 3.16 per match · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 64%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 15–16 · 3.1 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 10–9 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%
Recent meetings
- L Excelsior 1–2 FC Utrecht NLD E · Regular Season
- W Excelsior 5–0 FC Utrecht NLD E · Regular Season
- L FC Utrecht 4–1 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
- D Excelsior 1–1 FC Utrecht NLD E · Regular Season
- D FC Utrecht 2–2 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
- L FC Utrecht 1–0 Excelsior neutral NLD E · Regular Season
- L Excelsior 0–1 FC Utrecht NLD E · Regular Season
- D FC Utrecht 0–0 Excelsior neutral NLD E · Regular Season
- D Excelsior 3–3 FC Utrecht NLD E · Regular Season
- D Excelsior 2–2 FC Utrecht NLD E · Regular Season
| Metric | Excelsior all · 6 | Excelsior at home · 3 | FC Utrecht all · 6 | FC Utrecht away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | 6 | – |
| Points per game | 1.67 | – | 0.83 | – |
| W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 2 | – | 1 / 2 / 3 | – |
| Goals for / match | 2.17 | – | 1.83 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.17 | – | 3.17 | – |
| Clean sheets | 33% | – | 0% | – |
| Failed to score | 0% | – | 0% | – |
| Both teams scored | 67% | – | 100% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 100% | – | 100% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.56 | – | 1.50 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.22 | – | 1.93 | – |
| xG difference | 0.34 | – | -0.44 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.61 | – | 0.34 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.58 | – | 1.22 | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.09 | – | -0.39 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | – | 50% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | – | 1.33 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.33 | – | 0.33 | – |
| Came back from behind | 33% | – | 25% | – |
| Leads held | 75% | – | 33% | – |
| Minutes leading | 36% | – | 20% | – |
| Minutes level | 35% | – | 34% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 29% | – | 45% | – |
| First goal (min) | 37 | – | 44 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 25 | – | 34 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 46% | – | 73% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 57% | – | 68% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.50 | – | 0.83 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.33 | – | 1.17 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | – | 44% | – |
| Shots | 12.5 | – | 11.7 | – |
| On target | 5.2 | – | 4.3 | – |
| Shot conversion | 17% | – | 16% | – |
| Shots inside box | 72% | – | 73% | – |
| Big chances created | 2.8 | – | 3.0 | – |
| Corners | 5.0 | – | 2.5 | – |
| xG from set plays | 21% | – | 29% | – |
| Goals from headers | 38% | – | 27% | – |
| Pressure index | 10.8 | – | 9.8 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 48.7 | – | 38.2 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 78% | – | 78% | – |
| Fouls | 11.7 | – | 16.3 | – |
| Cards | 1.50 | – | 2.17 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Excelsior
0–15'12
16–30'20
31–45'41
46–60'12
61–75'20
76–90'32
FC Utrecht
0–15'12
16–30'11
31–45'13
46–60'15
61–75'21
76–90'57
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Excelsior · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.36
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)+0.056
Late push (76+, level)+0.203
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.692
Game state
When ahead+0.114
When level+0.026
When behind-0.243
10 min after conceding-0.134
10 min after scoring+0.366
Situations
At home-0.153
Away+0.103
4+ days rest-0.025
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.072
v bottom-tier opponents+0.143
Evenly matched+0.094
As underdog-0.262
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.066
Conceded when ahead+0.194
Conceded late (76+)+0.285
Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level -0.26
FC Utrecht · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.36
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.076
Early press (0-15, level)+0.186
Late push (76+, level)-0.253
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.364
Game state
When ahead+0.083
When level-0.206
When behind-0.034
10 min after conceding-0.116
10 min after scoring-0.096
Situations
At home-0.263
Away+0.103
4+ days rest-0.076
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.552
v mid-tier opponents+0.153
Evenly matched-0.004
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.256
Conceded when ahead-0.163
Conceded late (76+)-0.116
Ahead vs level +0.28 · Behind vs level +0.17
Excelsior
Current: winless 2 · scoring 11 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 2 33% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.38 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 17% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.89 | 1.46 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.56 | 0.84 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 17% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.84 | 1.21 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.69 | 1.06 |
FC Utrecht
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 1 · scoring 11 · conceding 8
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-3 | 3 50% | 0.67 | 2.33 | 4.0 | 1.67 | 2.21 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 17% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.95 | 2.5 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.46 | 0.89 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 17% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.54 | 1.6 |
| Metric | Excelsior all · 10 | Excelsior at home · 10 | FC Utrecht all · 10 | FC Utrecht away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 0.80 | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| W / D / L | 6 / 2 / 2 | 2 / 2 / 6 | 4 / 3 / 3 | 4 / 3 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 2.50 | 1.40 | 1.90 | 1.60 |
| Goals against / match | 1.20 | 1.50 | 2.30 | 1.80 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 10% | 10% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 20% | 0% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 70% | 90% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 90% | 70% | 80% | 70% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.69 | 1.32 | 2.01 | 1.98 |
| xG against / match | 1.12 | 1.19 | 1.97 | 1.85 |
| xG difference | 0.57 | 0.13 | 0.04 | 0.13 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.81 | 0.08 | -0.11 | -0.38 |
| xPts / match | 1.71 | 1.41 | 1.48 | 1.51 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.29 | -0.61 | 0.02 | -0.01 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 30% | 60% | 50% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 2.00 | 2.17 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | 0.29 | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Came back from behind | 60% | 25% | 40% | 40% |
| Leads held | 86% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 39% | 16% | 22% | 23% |
| Minutes level | 33% | 43% | 50% | 53% |
| Minutes trailing | 28% | 41% | 27% | 24% |
| First goal (min) | 33 | 50 | 53 | 54 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 22 | 36 | 49 | 49 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 52% | 64% | 78% | 67% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 58% | 53% | 73% | 71% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.30 | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 48% | 52% | 44% | 42% |
| Shots | 13.5 | 12.6 | 13.7 | 13.0 |
| On target | 5.5 | 4.5 | 4.9 | 5.5 |
| Shot conversion | 18% | 11% | 14% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 67% | 70% | 71% | 74% |
| Big chances created | 3.3 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 3.0 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 4.5 | 3.7 | 5.1 |
| xG from set plays | 22% | 24% | 44% | 37% |
| Goals from headers | 33% | 31% | 31% | 19% |
| Pressure index | 11.5 | 12.6 | 10.4 | 11.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 50.8 | 52.9 | 42.7 | 45.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 81% | 80% | 77% |
| Fouls | 11.7 | 9.5 | 14.3 | 11.5 |
| Cards | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.60 | 1.60 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Excelsior
0–15'34
16–30'20
31–45'71
46–60'34
61–75'50
76–90'53
FC Utrecht
0–15'12
16–30'11
31–45'23
46–60'46
61–75'31
76–90'79
Excelsior
Current: winless 2 · scoring 11 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 6 60% | 2.17 | 2.5 | 1.33 | 1.65 | 1.1 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.69 | 1.06 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.84 | 1.21 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.89 | 1.46 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.56 | 0.84 |
FC Utrecht
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 1 · scoring 11 · conceding 8
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 50% | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 2.42 | 2.12 |
| 3-4-3 | 3 30% | 0.67 | 2.33 | 4.0 | 1.67 | 2.21 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.46 | 0.89 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.54 | 1.6 |
| Metric | Excelsior all · 35 | Excelsior at home · 17 | FC Utrecht all · 45 | FC Utrecht away · 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 35 | 17 | 45 | 23 |
| Points per game | 1.29 | 1.06 | 1.20 | 0.96 |
| W / D / L | 12 / 9 / 14 | 5 / 3 / 9 | 14 / 12 / 19 | 5 / 7 / 11 |
| Goals for / match | 1.51 | 1.29 | 1.42 | 1.35 |
| Goals against / match | 1.46 | 1.41 | 1.67 | 1.87 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 18% | 16% | 9% |
| Failed to score | 14% | 18% | 20% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 69% | 65% | 67% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 65% | 53% | 61% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.51 | 1.43 | 1.53 | 1.43 |
| xG against / match | 1.56 | 1.41 | 1.54 | 1.77 |
| xG difference | -0.05 | 0.02 | -0.01 | -0.35 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.01 | -0.14 | -0.11 | -0.08 |
| xPts / match | 1.33 | 1.38 | 1.39 | 1.20 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.05 | -0.32 | -0.19 | -0.24 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 46% | 47% | 47% | 30% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.06 | 1.88 | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.61 | 0.33 | 0.48 | 0.47 |
| Came back from behind | 39% | 25% | 30% | 31% |
| Leads held | 67% | 62% | 61% | 62% |
| Minutes leading | 29% | 26% | 24% | 17% |
| Minutes level | 43% | 45% | 45% | 42% |
| Minutes trailing | 28% | 30% | 32% | 40% |
| First goal (min) | 36 | 39 | 44 | 49 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 39 | 40 | 42 | 38 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 49% | 54% | 65% | 67% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 61% | 67% | 62% | 52% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.37 | 0.35 | 0.40 | 0.48 |
| Late goals against | 0.26 | 0.29 | 0.44 | 0.39 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 48% | 50% | 45% | 45% |
| Shots | 12.7 | 12.6 | 13.7 | 11.9 |
| On target | 4.5 | 4.4 | 4.8 | 4.7 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 10% | 10% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 67% | 69% | 68% | 68% |
| Big chances created | 2.8 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2.3 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 4.1 | 4.7 | 4.8 |
| xG from set plays | 28% | 29% | 31% | 28% |
| Goals from headers | 28% | 30% | 22% | 19% |
| Pressure index | 8.9 | 10.4 | 11.1 | 10.7 |
| Dominant minutes | 41.6 | 45.9 | 41.6 | 41.4 |
| Pass accuracy | 78% | 79% | 79% | 78% |
| Fouls | 11.9 | 10.8 | 12.1 | 11.3 |
| Cards | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.69 | 1.61 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Excelsior
0–15'87
16–30'76
31–45'127
46–60'515
61–75'87
76–90'139
FC Utrecht
0–15'810
16–30'47
31–45'1011
46–60'1420
61–75'107
76–90'1719
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Excelsior · 35 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: v top-tier opponents -0.36
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1535
Early press (0-15, level)-0.0635
Late push (76+, level)-0.2517
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1617
Game state
When ahead-0.3018
When level-0.1535
When behind+0.0022
10 min after conceding-0.2528
10 min after scoring+0.0629
Situations
Against ten men-0.492
At home-0.1717
Away-0.1418
3 days rest or fewer-0.272
4+ days rest-0.1433
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.369
v mid-tier opponents-0.038
v bottom-tier opponents-0.0112
As favourite-0.144
Evenly matched-0.0315
As underdog-0.2616
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2035
Conceded when ahead+0.3618
Conceded late (76+)+0.2132
Congested vs rested -0.13 · Ahead vs level -0.15 · Behind vs level +0.15
FC Utrecht · 45 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: against ten men +0.39
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0145
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2245
Late push (76+, level)-0.1820
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1622
Game state
When ahead-0.0523
When level-0.0045
When behind+0.0826
10 min after conceding-0.1737
10 min after scoring+0.0635
Situations
With ten men-0.163
Against ten men+0.393
At home-0.1022
Away+0.1223
3 days rest or fewer+0.0211
4+ days rest+0.0134
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.2617
v mid-tier opponents+0.089
v bottom-tier opponents+0.2110
As favourite+0.2512
Evenly matched+0.0414
As underdog-0.1719
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2045
Conceded when ahead+0.3023
Conceded late (76+)+0.1143
Congested vs rested +0.01 · Ahead vs level -0.05 · Behind vs level +0.08
Excelsior
Current: winless 2 · scoring 11 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 13 37% | 1.77 | 1.46 | 1.23 | 1.42 | 1.75 |
| 4-3-3 | 11 31% | 1.27 | 1.82 | 1.64 | 1.83 | 1.45 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 4 11% | 0.5 | 1.25 | 1.75 | 1.05 | 1.52 |
| 5-4-1 | 3 9% | 1.33 | 2.0 | 1.33 | 1.55 | 1.77 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.26 | 0.87 |
FC Utrecht
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 1 · scoring 11 · conceding 8
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 26 58% | 1.54 | 1.54 | 1.46 | 1.64 | 1.56 |
| 4-3-3 | 11 24% | 0.73 | 0.82 | 1.36 | 1.37 | 1.36 |
| 3-4-3 | 4 9% | 0.5 | 2.5 | 4.0 | 1.57 | 2.34 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 4% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.17 | 1.64 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.21 | 0.53 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 4.7d before kick-off · 118 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: home -3.8 pts at 5m · late move: home -3.4 pts inside the final hour
2.28Home 42% ▲ +3.8 ptsopened 2.443.76Draw 26% · -0.6 ptsopened 3.583.04Away 32% ▼ -3.2 ptsopened 2.69
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.28 ▲ +3.8 | 3.76 · -0.6 | 3.04 ▼ -3.2 | 5m |
| bet365 | 2.0 ▲ +9.7 | 3.9 ▼ -1.8 | 3.2 ▼ -7.9 | 5m |
| Betfair | 2.15 ▲ +6.7 | 3.4 · +0.7 | 2.88 ▼ -7.4 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 2.2 ▲ +6.4 | 3.9 ▼ -1.7 | 2.9 ▼ -4.7 | 5m |
| Coral | 2.2 ▲ +6.8 | 3.7 · -0.6 | 3.0 ▼ -6.1 | 5m |
| Ladbrokes | 2.2 ▲ +7.0 | 3.7 ▼ -1.2 | 3.0 ▼ -5.9 | 5m |
| Unibet | 2.23 ▲ +5.3 | 3.7 · +0.1 | 2.8 ▼ -5.4 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 2.15 ▲ +7.1 | 3.5 · -1.0 | 2.9 ▼ -6.1 | 5m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: yes +1.9 pts at 4.6d
1.5Yes 62% ▲ +3.6 ptsopened 1.572.5No 38% ▼ -3.6 ptsopened 2.25
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.5 ▲ +3.6 | 2.5 ▼ -3.6 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.4 ▲ +2.9 | 2.7 ▼ -2.9 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.4 ▲ +4.5 | 2.7 ▼ -4.5 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.53 · +0.8 | 2.35 · -0.8 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 1.44 ▲ +4.0 | 2.5 ▼ -4.0 | 5m |
Pinnacle · opened 4.6d before kick-off · 117 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: under -3.2 pts at 4.6d
1.58Over 62% ▲ +6.0 ptsopened 1.682.6Under 38% ▼ -6.0 ptsopened 2.16
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.58 ▲ +6.0 | 2.6 ▼ -6.0 | 5m |
| bet365 | 1.57 ▲ +3.5 | 2.35 ▼ -3.5 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.5 ▲ +4.4 | 2.4 ▼ -4.4 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.49 ▲ +5.7 | 2.39 ▼ -5.7 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.63 · +0.9 | 2.2 · -0.9 | 5m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.0Home 47% P 42%3.9Draw 24% P 26%3.2Away 29% P 32%
Double Chance
1.36Excelsior or Draw 34%1.25Excelsior or FC Utrecht 37%1.66Draw or FC Utrecht 28%
Draw No Bet
1.51 62%2.52 38%
Both Teams To Score
1.5Yes 62%2.5No 38%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.57Over 60% P 62%2.35Under 40% P 38%
Total Corners
10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 30–32.5% · 701 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 42% | 41% | 41% | -0.1 |
| Draw | 26% | 28% | 26% | -1.9 |
| Away | 32% | 31% | 33% | +2.1 |
In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 52%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 61% | 63% | +1.5 |
Sander van der Eijk
- Career
- 117 matches · 8 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.73 (3.4 yellow · 0.2 red)
- Fouls / match
- 21.2 · 5.7 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.23
- Cards to home side
- 47%
Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 82 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.78 | 3.32 | +0.88 | 91 |
| Fouls / match | 20.6 | 20.3 | +0.01 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.5 | 6.2 | -1.31 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.2 | 0.24 | -0.47 | 23 |
| Time added | 6.5 | 6.4 | +0.08 | 59 |
- First card
- 37' on average
- Card timing
- 15% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 46% (league 44%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.52
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | 9 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 16' | 9 |
| 2026-08-27 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 44' | 7 |
| 2026-08-23 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 44' | 5 |
| 2026-08-13 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 34' | 4 |
| 2026-08-09 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 39' | 9 |
| 2026-05-17 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 48' | 8 |
| 2026-05-11 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 80' | 2 |
| 2026-05-03 | – | – | 23 | – | – | 6 |
| 2026-04-26 · Excelsior · FC Utrecht | 3 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 29' | 6 |
| 2026-04-04 | 6 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 41' | 7 |