Rating 7.28 (81th pct) · G+A 2 + 1 (43% of team goals) · 97% of minutes
Eredivisie · Matchweek 6
Momentum
– HEETelstar –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| SC Heerenveen | at home | Stat | league | away | Telstar |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54.0 #7 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 41.5 #15 |
| 14.7 #8 | – | Shots total | 15.0 | – | 8.5 #18 |
| 5.3 #7 | – | Shots on target | 5.4 | – | 2.3 #18 |
| 5.0 #8 | – | Corners | 5.3 | – | 4.5 #11 |
| 8.3 #16 | – | Fouls | 10.3 | – | 10.7 #7 |
| 1.3 #9 | – | Offsides | 1.4 | – | 1.2 #13 |
| 11.5 #16 | – | Tackles | 14.7 | – | 13.0 #13 |
| 107.7 #6 | – | Attacks | 94.5 | – | 82.7 #11 |
| 54.3 #7 | – | Dangerous attacks | 48.9 | – | 37.2 #12 |
| 505.0 #7 | – | Passes | 445.6 | – | 356.7 #15 |
| 1.2 #10 | – | Yellowcards | 1.3 | – | 1.5 #6 |
| – | – | Redcards | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #1 |
| 1.0 #12 | – | Assists | 1.5 | – | 0.5 #18 |
| – #15 | – | Btts | 74.1 | – | – #15 |
| – #1 | – | Cleansheet | 13.9 | – | – #7 |
| – #1 | – | Draw | 25.9 | – | – #3 |
| 1.3 #14 | – | Expected goals | 1.8 | – | 1.3 #15 |
| -0.2 #15 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.2 | – | -0.4 #17 |
| – #2 | – | Failed to score | 13.9 | – | – #1 |
| 1.2 #14 | 0.8 | Goals | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.8 #18 |
| 1.5 #12 | 1.2 | Goals conceded | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.8 #11 |
| – | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.3 #10 |
| 6.8 #16 | – | Interceptions | 8.5 | – | 7.7 #12 |
| – #9 | – | Lost | 37.0 | – | – #5 |
| – | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.3 #1 |
| 6.9 #7 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.7 #14 |
| 4.7 #4 | – | Shots blocked | 4.0 | – | 2.3 #17 |
| 8.5 #12 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.9 | – | 6.2 #15 |
| 4.7 #13 | – | Shots off target | 5.7 | – | 3.8 #16 |
| 6.2 #6 | – | Shots outsidebox | 5.0 | – | 2.3 #18 |
| – #11 | – | Win | 37.0 | – | – #11 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 53 of 306
- Goals / match
- 3.91 (home 1.64 · away 2.26)
- Home / draw / away
- 26% · 26% · 47%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 74% · 79%
- Cards / match
- 2.75 (reds 0.06)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
SC Heerenveen · 2026/2027 · Eredivisie
Rating 6.91 (44th pct) · G+A 0 + 2 (29% of team goals) · 96% of minutes
Rating 6.99 (53th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (14% of team goals) · 85% of minutes
Telstar · 2026/2027 · Eredivisie
Rating 7.4 (94th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (40% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 7.1 (87th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (40% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 6.92 (50th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (40% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Absences
SC Heerenveen
- injury Mats Egbring defender · Ankle Injury · 4 missed
- injury Mees Hilgers defender · Hamstring Injury · 71 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 6
Venue
- Stadium
- Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen
- Capacity
- 27,224
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 21,764
Teams
- Coaches
- Robin Veldman · Hendrikus Albertus Brugge
- Position
- 12 · 14
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
Referee
Serdar Gozubuyuk
Weather
- Conditions
- broken clouds
- Temperature
- 19.6° (feels 18.3°)
- Wind
- 6.0
- Humidity
- 27%
Where to watch · 7
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Arena Cloud · Arena Sport 4 · Moja TV
Netherlands
Canal+ · ESPN · ESPN Extra · Watch ESPN
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 7 | 15 | 16 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  AZ Alkmaar |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 16 | WWWWD |
| 3 |  Feyenoord |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 14 | DWDWW |
| 4 |  Ajax |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 13 | DWLWW |
| 5 |  FC Twente |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 13 | WWDWW |
| 6 |  Excelsior |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 10 | LWWDL |
| 7 |  Fortuna Sittard |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 | WLWWL |
| 8 |  Go Ahead Eagles |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 9 | DWLDD |
| 9 |  FC Groningen |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 8 | WLLDD |
| 10 |  NEC Nijmegen |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 7 | WWLDL |
| 11 |  SC Heerenveen |
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 6 | DLDLD |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 5 | WDLDL |
| 13 |  Telstar |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 5 | LLDLD |
| 14 |  FC Utrecht |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 5 | LDLDW |
| 15 |  SC Cambuur |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 4 | LLLDW |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 17 |  Willem II |
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 18 |  ADO Den Haag |
6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Twente |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 9 | WWDWW |
| 2 | PSV |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 7 | WWWWW |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 7 | WWWWD |
| 4 | Go Ahead Eagles |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 7 | DWLDD |
| 5 | Ajax |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 4 | DWLWW |
| 6 | FC Groningen |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 | WLLDD |
| 7 | SC Heerenveen |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | DLDLD |
| 8 | Excelsior |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 | LWWDL |
| 9 | Fortuna Sittard |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | WLWWL |
| 10 | SC Cambuur |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LLLDW |
| 11 | Feyenoord |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DWDWW |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 2 | WDLDL |
| 13 | NEC Nijmegen |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 | WWLDL |
| 14 | Telstar |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LLDLD |
| 15 | Willem II |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LDLDL |
| 16 | FC Utrecht |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 1 | LDLDW |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 0 | LLDLL |
| 18 | PEC Zwolle |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | -11 | 0 | LWLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 12 | DWDWW |
| 2 | Ajax |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 9 | DWLWW |
| 3 | PSV |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 4 | AZ Alkmaar |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 9 | WWWWD |
| 5 | Excelsior |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 7 | LWWDL |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 7 | WLWWL |
| 7 | NEC Nijmegen |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 6 | WWLDL |
| 8 | FC Twente |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 | WWDWW |
| 9 | FC Utrecht |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 | LDLDW |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 11 | Telstar |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | LLDLD |
| 12 | FC Groningen |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 4 | WLLDD |
| 13 | Sparta Rotterdam |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 | WDLDL |
| 14 | SC Heerenveen |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DLDLD |
| 15 | Go Ahead Eagles |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 2 | DWLDD |
| 16 | SC Cambuur |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 1 | LLLDW |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LLDLL |
| 18 | Willem II |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 | LDLDL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
SC Heerenveen
WDLDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 9 · xG 6.29–8.93 · xPts 5.25
- L
H
AZ Alkmaar
2–3
xG 1.38–1.49
NLD E
- D
A
Willem II
2–2
xG 1.83–1.69
NLD E
- L
H
PEC Zwolle
0–2
xG 1.06–1.62
NLD E
- D
A
Ajax
2–2
xG 1.45–2.11
NLD E
- W
H
FC Twente
1–0
xG 0.58–2.01
NLD E
DLWDLDL 1W 3D 3L · 6 pts (0.86 ppg) · GF 9 GA 12 · xG 9.99–12.88 · xPts 7.87
- L
H
AZ Alkmaar
2–3
xG 1.38–1.49
NLD E
- D
A
Willem II
2–2
xG 1.83–1.69
NLD E
- L
H
PEC Zwolle
0–2
xG 1.06–1.62
NLD E
- D
A
Ajax
2–2
xG 1.45–2.11
NLD E
- W
H
FC Twente
1–0
xG 0.58–2.01
NLD E
- L
A
FC Utrecht
2–3
xG 1.29–2.19
NLD E
- D
H
Ajax
0–0
xG 2.41–1.77
NLD E
Telstar
WLLDL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 11 · xG 6.16–10.94 · xPts 4.56
- L
A
FC Twente
0–1
xG 0.15–3.01
NLD E
- D
H
SC Cambuur
2–2
xG 2.33–1.15
NLD E
- L
H
Ajax
0–4
xG 0.88–2.14
NLD E
- L
H
Sparta Rotterdam
1–3
xG 1.43–2.13
NLD E
- W
A
NEC Nijmegen
2–1
xG 1.37–2.5
NLD E
WWLLDL 2W 1D 3L · 7 pts (1.17 ppg) · GF 7 GA 12 · xG 7.64–12.65 · xPts 5.79
- L
A
FC Twente
0–1
xG 0.15–3.01
NLD E
- D
H
SC Cambuur
2–2
xG 2.33–1.15
NLD E
- L
H
Ajax
0–4
xG 0.88–2.14
NLD E
- L
H
Sparta Rotterdam
1–3
xG 1.43–2.13
NLD E
- W
A
NEC Nijmegen
2–1
xG 1.37–2.5
NLD E
- W
A
FC Volendam
2–1
xG 1.48–1.72
NLD E
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
54.0%SC Heerenveen P 61%21.7%Draw P 20%24.3%Telstar P 19%
Over / under 2.5
65.3%Over 2.5 P 70%34.7%Under 2.5 P 30%
Both teams to score
64.0%Yes36.0%No
Expected
- SC Heerenveen goals
- 2.04 (0–4)
- Telstar goals
- 1.32 (0–3)
- Corners
- 10.94 (7–16)
- Cards
- 3.39 (1–6)
Earlier: day before — 54.0% / 21.7% / 24.3%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
51.7%SC Heerenveen22.4%Draw25.9%Telstar
Over / under 2.5
64.8%Over 2.535.2%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
62.4%Yes37.6%No
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | draw | 1.527 | 0.964 |
| btts | no | 1.02 | 0.818 |
| ou_2_5 | under | 1.058 | 0.853 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 3 matches since 2025
Goals 6–2 · 2.67 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 67%
Last 10 · 3 matches
Goals 6–2 · 2.67 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 67%
Last 5 · 3 matches
Goals 6–2 · 2.67 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 67%
Recent meetings
- D SC Heerenveen 0–0 Telstar NLD E · Regular Season
- W SC Heerenveen 3–0 Telstar NLD E · Regular Season
- W Telstar 2–3 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
| Metric | SC Heerenveen all · 6 | SC Heerenveen at home · 4 | Telstar all · 6 | Telstar away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | 6 | – |
| Points per game | 1.00 | – | 0.83 | – |
| W / D / L | 1 / 3 / 2 | – | 1 / 2 / 3 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.17 | – | 0.83 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.50 | – | 1.83 | – |
| Clean sheets | 33% | – | 17% | – |
| Failed to score | 33% | – | 50% | – |
| Both teams scored | 50% | – | 50% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | – | 67% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.32 | – | 1.20 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.66 | – | 2.09 | – |
| xG difference | -0.34 | – | -0.89 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.15 | – | -0.37 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.17 | – | 0.92 | – |
| Points vs xPts | -0.17 | – | -0.09 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 17% | – | 17% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | – | 3.00 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.50 | – | 0.25 | – |
| Came back from behind | 50% | – | 25% | – |
| Leads held | 33% | – | 100% | – |
| Minutes leading | 15% | – | 16% | – |
| Minutes level | 59% | – | 47% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 26% | – | 37% | – |
| First goal (min) | 46 | – | 51 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 31 | – | 49 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 57% | – | 60% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 67% | – | 82% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.33 | – | 0.33 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.33 | – | 0.50 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 54% | – | 39% | – |
| Shots | 14.8 | – | 8.7 | – |
| On target | 5.5 | – | 2.3 | – |
| Shot conversion | 8% | – | 10% | – |
| Shots inside box | 58% | – | 78% | – |
| Big chances created | 1.8 | – | 1.2 | – |
| Corners | 5.0 | – | 4.5 | – |
| xG from set plays | 17% | – | 52% | – |
| Goals from headers | 0% | – | 0% | – |
| Pressure index | 12.0 | – | 7.3 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 45.8 | – | 31.3 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | – | 77% | – |
| Fouls | 8.2 | – | 11.2 | – |
| Cards | 1.17 | – | 1.67 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
SC Heerenveen
0–15'02
16–30'20
31–45'11
46–60'11
61–75'13
76–90'22
Telstar
0–15'11
16–30'10
31–45'01
46–60'05
61–75'11
76–90'23
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
SC Heerenveen · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.36
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.046
Early press (0-15, level)+0.106
Late push (76+, level)+0.054
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.363
Game state
When ahead-0.303
When level+0.206
When behind-0.124
10 min after conceding+0.124
10 min after scoring+0.274
Situations
At home-0.064
Away+0.252
4+ days rest+0.046
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.243
v bottom-tier opponents+0.323
As favourite+0.323
As underdog-0.243
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.186
Conceded when ahead+0.933
Conceded late (76+)+0.256
Ahead vs level -0.51 · Behind vs level -0.32
Telstar · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.47
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.076
Early press (0-15, level)-0.476
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.052
Game state
When level-0.026
When behind+0.084
10 min after conceding+0.015
10 min after scoring+0.532
Situations
At home+0.263
Away-0.303
4+ days rest+0.055
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.402
v bottom-tier opponents+0.293
As underdog-0.284
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.296
Conceded late (76+)+0.354
Congested vs rested -0.60 · Ahead vs level -0.39 · Behind vs level +0.11
SC Heerenveen
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 67% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.75 | 1.38 | 1.56 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.58 | 2.01 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 17% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.83 | 1.69 |
Telstar
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 67% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.75 | 1.1 | 1.98 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 33% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 2.31 |
| Metric | SC Heerenveen all · 10 | SC Heerenveen at home · 10 | Telstar all · 10 | Telstar away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.50 | 1.20 |
| W / D / L | 2 / 4 / 4 | 6 / 2 / 2 | 4 / 3 / 3 | 3 / 3 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.10 | 1.80 | 1.50 | 1.20 |
| Goals against / match | 1.40 | 1.00 | 1.40 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 40% | 20% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 60% | 70% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.49 | 1.94 | 1.33 | 1.23 |
| xG against / match | 1.74 | 1.43 | 1.81 | 2.30 |
| xG difference | -0.26 | 0.52 | -0.48 | -1.07 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.39 | -0.14 | 0.17 | -0.03 |
| xPts / match | 1.23 | 1.64 | 1.14 | 0.83 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.23 | 0.36 | 0.36 | 0.37 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 20% | 30% | 30% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.33 | 1.75 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.33 | 1.80 | 1.17 | 0.80 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | 60% | 50% | 33% |
| Leads held | 50% | 86% | 80% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 18% | 31% | 20% | 27% |
| Minutes level | 56% | 56% | 53% | 43% |
| Minutes trailing | 26% | 13% | 27% | 30% |
| First goal (min) | 41 | 31 | 48 | 35 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 34 | 32 | 45 | 45 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 64% | 56% | 67% | 42% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 71% | 50% | 71% | 60% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 54% | 53% | 40% | 43% |
| Shots | 14.2 | 15.6 | 9.2 | 10.8 |
| On target | 5.0 | 6.3 | 3.1 | 4.4 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 12% | 16% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 64% | 76% | 71% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 2.5 |
| Corners | 5.4 | 5.8 | 3.9 | 2.8 |
| xG from set plays | 21% | 20% | 47% | 39% |
| Goals from headers | 11% | 0% | 20% | 17% |
| Pressure index | 11.2 | 11.9 | 7.7 | 7.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 47.6 | 46.6 | 35.5 | 31.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 83% | 74% | 75% |
| Fouls | 9.1 | 9.6 | 12.2 | 12.3 |
| Cards | 1.20 | 1.60 | 1.70 | 1.30 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
SC Heerenveen
0–15'12
16–30'20
31–45'12
46–60'24
61–75'14
76–90'42
Telstar
0–15'12
16–30'10
31–45'32
46–60'05
61–75'41
76–90'64
SC Heerenveen
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 8 80% | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.56 | 1.72 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.83 | 1.69 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.58 | 2.01 |
Telstar
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 7 70% | 1.29 | 1.43 | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.68 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 2.31 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.48 | 1.72 |
| Metric | SC Heerenveen all · 36 | SC Heerenveen at home · 18 | Telstar all · 35 | Telstar away · 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 36 | 18 | 35 | 18 |
| Points per game | 1.53 | 1.78 | 1.09 | 1.00 |
| W / D / L | 15 / 10 / 11 | 9 / 5 / 4 | 9 / 11 / 15 | 4 / 6 / 8 |
| Goals for / match | 1.69 | 1.78 | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals against / match | 1.58 | 1.33 | 1.63 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 19% | 22% | 14% | 17% |
| Failed to score | 25% | 28% | 26% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 61% | 61% | 66% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 61% | 63% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.70 | 1.87 | 1.41 | 1.18 |
| xG against / match | 1.64 | 1.25 | 1.99 | 2.22 |
| xG difference | 0.06 | 0.62 | -0.58 | -1.05 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.00 | -0.10 | -0.01 | -0.18 |
| xPts / match | 1.45 | 1.73 | 1.09 | 0.85 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.08 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 36% | 39% | 43% | 39% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.46 | 2.43 | 1.87 | 1.71 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | 1.44 | 0.44 | 0.44 |
| Came back from behind | 52% | 60% | 21% | 20% |
| Leads held | 68% | 75% | 53% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 26% | 28% | 23% | 19% |
| Minutes level | 47% | 50% | 46% | 50% |
| Minutes trailing | 27% | 22% | 31% | 31% |
| First goal (min) | 39 | 37 | 47 | 47 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 39 | 40 | 44 | 46 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 59% | 56% | 65% | 61% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 58% | 58% | 60% | 59% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.39 | 0.39 | 0.43 | 0.17 |
| Late goals against | 0.28 | 0.28 | 0.46 | 0.44 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 51% | 53% | 44% | 43% |
| Shots | 14.7 | 15.8 | 11.8 | 11.2 |
| On target | 5.6 | 5.9 | 4.3 | 4.0 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 11% | 12% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 65% | 65% | 67% | 65% |
| Big chances created | 2.4 | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.3 |
| Corners | 5.4 | 5.7 | 4.4 | 3.8 |
| xG from set plays | 21% | 23% | 34% | 33% |
| Goals from headers | 3% | 3% | 20% | 17% |
| Pressure index | 12.6 | 13.4 | 8.0 | 7.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 47.6 | 48.3 | 35.5 | 32.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 82% | 76% | 75% |
| Fouls | 10.5 | 9.8 | 11.1 | 12.0 |
| Cards | 1.42 | 1.50 | 1.37 | 1.56 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
SC Heerenveen
0–15'17
16–30'1010
31–45'147
46–60'1113
61–75'1110
76–90'1410
Telstar
0–15'66
16–30'47
31–45'710
46–60'68
61–75'1110
76–90'1516
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
SC Heerenveen · 36 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.07) · stands out: as favourite +0.29
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0736
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0236
Late push (76+, level)-0.0512
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1912
Game state
When ahead-0.0522
When level+0.1436
When behind+0.0723
10 min after conceding-0.1329
10 min after scoring+0.1927
Situations
At home+0.0318
Away+0.1218
4+ days rest+0.0736
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1611
v mid-tier opponents+0.099
v bottom-tier opponents+0.1711
As favourite+0.2914
Evenly matched+0.1110
As underdog-0.2112
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0636
Conceded when ahead+0.1222
Conceded late (76+)+0.0431
Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level -0.07
Telstar · 35 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: with ten men +0.52
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1535
Early press (0-15, level)-0.2335
Late push (76+, level)-0.4713
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.3114
Game state
When ahead-0.1217
When level-0.1635
When behind-0.1619
10 min after conceding-0.2730
10 min after scoring+0.1225
Situations
With ten men+0.523
At home-0.1717
Away-0.1318
4+ days rest-0.1434
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.3610
v mid-tier opponents-0.2611
v bottom-tier opponents+0.059
As favourite+0.064
Evenly matched+0.0210
As underdog-0.2721
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2535
Conceded when ahead+0.2217
Conceded late (76+)+0.2331
Congested vs rested -0.41 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level +0.00
SC Heerenveen
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 34 94% | 1.5 | 1.71 | 1.62 | 1.73 | 1.63 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.58 | 2.01 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.83 | 1.69 |
Telstar
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 27 77% | 0.93 | 1.37 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 2.03 |
| 3-4-3 | 5 14% | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.41 | 1.68 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 6% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 2.31 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.66 | 1.7 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 3.8d before kick-off · 96 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home +3.5 pts at 3.2d
1.57Home 61% ▲ +6.3 ptsopened 1.74.83Draw 20% ▼ -2.1 ptsopened 4.245.13Away 19% ▼ -4.1 ptsopened 4.09
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.57 ▲ +6.3 | 4.83 ▼ -2.1 | 5.13 ▼ -4.1 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.53 ▲ +9.0 | 4.75 ▼ -2.7 | 5.25 ▼ -6.3 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.6 ▲ +6.9 | 4.33 ▼ -2.8 | 4.75 ▼ -4.1 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.6 ▲ +6.2 | 4.6 ▼ -2.6 | 4.8 ▼ -3.5 | 10m |
| Coral | 1.61 ▲ +6.2 | 4.5 ▼ -3.2 | 4.6 ▼ -3.0 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 1.61 ▲ +5.7 | 4.4 ▼ -2.9 | 4.5 ▼ -2.8 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.67 ▲ +3.7 | 4.1 ▼ -1.2 | 4.3 ▼ -2.5 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.57 ▲ +7.5 | 4.2 ▼ -2.6 | 4.75 ▼ -4.9 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: yes +3.8 pts at 4.5h
1.44Yes 65% ▲ +2.0 ptsopened 1.52.62No 35% ▼ -2.0 ptsopened 2.5
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.44 ▲ +2.0 | 2.62 ▼ -2.0 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.4 ▼ -1.0 | 2.75 ▲ +1.0 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.4 ▲ +2.4 | 2.75 ▼ -2.4 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.46 · +0.8 | 2.5 · -0.8 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.44 ▲ +2.5 | 2.62 ▼ -2.5 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 3.6d before kick-off · 93 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: under +1.4 pts at 3.5h
1.37Over 70% ▲ +3.3 ptsopened 1.423.21Under 30% ▼ -3.3 ptsopened 2.85
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.37 ▲ +3.3 | 3.21 ▼ -3.3 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.36 ▲ +5.6 | 3.1 ▼ -5.6 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.36 ▲ +4.2 | 2.88 ▼ -4.2 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.33 ▲ +6.5 | 3.1 ▼ -6.5 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.47 ▲ +2.1 | 2.65 ▼ -2.1 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.53Home 62% P 61%4.75Draw 20% P 20%5.25Away 18% P 19%
Double Chance
1.18Heerenveen or Draw 40%1.18Heerenveen or Telstar 40%2.3Draw or Telstar 20%
Draw No Bet
1.251 75%3.752 25%
Both Teams To Score
1.44Yes 65%2.62No 35%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.36Over 70% P 70%3.1Under 30% P 30%
Total Corners
17.0Under 6 5%4.56 - 8 20%2.759 - 11 32%3.2512 - 14 27%5.5Over 14 16%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2018–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 60–62.5% · away 17.5–20% · 138 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 61% | 61% | 65% | +4.3 |
| Draw | 20% | 21% | 18% | -2.8 |
| Away | 19% | 18% | 17% | -1.5 |
In those fixtures: 3.5 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 70%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 70–72.5% · 477 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 71% | 70% | -1.4 |
Serdar Gozubuyuk
- Career
- 18 matches · 3 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.28 (3.17 yellow · 0.11 red)
- Fouls / match
- 21.2 · 6.5 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.11
- Cards to home side
- 44%
Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 17 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.41 | 3.32 | +0.10 | 50 |
| Fouls / match | 21.4 | 20.3 | +0.40 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.3 | 6.2 | -0.20 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.06 | 0.24 | -2.20 | 0 |
| Time added | 6.3 | 6.4 | -0.28 | 50 |
- First card
- 33' on average
- Card timing
- 22% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 41% (league 44%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.0
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | 5 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 2' | 4 |
| 2026-08-29 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 20' | 4 |
| 2026-08-22 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 5' | 6 |
| 2026-08-18 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 65' | 7 |
| 2026-08-15 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 16' | 6 |
| 2026-05-10 · Telstar | 4 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 27' | 5 |
| 2026-05-03 · SC Heerenveen | 6 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 6' | 9 |
| 2026-04-25 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 78' | 6 |
| 2026-04-12 | 7 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 40' | 10 |
| 2026-04-04 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 71' | 9 |