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Eredivisie · Matchweek 6

Momentum

GAEFC Groningen
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
6

Venue

Stadium
De Adelaarshorst, Deventer
Capacity
10,400
Surface
grass
Attendance
9,462

Teams

Coaches
Joseph Oosting · Dick Lukkien
Position
7 · 10
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Dennis Higler

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
19.0° (feels 19.0°)
Wind
1.1
Humidity
78%

Where to watch · 4

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 6510 22715 16 WWWWW
2 AZ Alkmaar 6510 17611 16 WWWWD
3 Feyenoord 6420 20713 14 DWDWW
4 Ajax 6411 19712 13 DWLWW
5 FC Twente 6411 1257 13 WWDWW
6 Excelsior 6312 1376 10 LWWDL
7 Fortuna Sittard 6312 1214-2 10 WLWWL
8 Go Ahead Eagles 6231 15132 9 DWLDD
9 FC Groningen 6222 1213-1 8 WLLDD
10 NEC Nijmegen 6213 1112-1 7 WWLDL
11 SC Heerenveen 6132 79-2 6 DLDLD
12 Sparta Rotterdam 6123 1013-3 5 WDLDL
13 Telstar 6123 511-6 5 LLDLD
14 FC Utrecht 6123 1119-8 5 LDLDW
15 SC Cambuur 6114 918-9 4 LLLDW
16 PEC Zwolle 6114 617-11 4 LWLDL
17 Willem II 6024 619-13 2 LDLDL
18 ADO Den Haag 6015 616-10 1 LLDLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Go Ahead Eagles

WDWLD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 14 GA 12 · xG 8.33–10.61 · xPts 5.83

  • D A FC Utrecht 3–3 xG 2.06–2.67 NLD E
  • L A AZ Alkmaar 2–5 xG 1.54–2.8 NLD E
  • W H ADO Den Haag 3–1 xG 0.99–0.84 NLD E
  • D A Feyenoord 2–2 xG 1.32–2.72 NLD E
  • W H Willem II 4–1 xG 2.43–1.6 NLD E

FC Groningen

WWLLD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 11 GA 12 · xG 8.21–9.76 · xPts 6.72

  • D H FC Twente 2–2 xG 1.69–2.39 NLD E
  • L H Fortuna Sittard 2–3 xG 1.89–0.93 NLD E
  • L A PSV 1–5 xG 0.94–3.87 NLD E
  • W A ADO Den Haag 4–1 xG 2.09–1.03 NLD E
  • W H FC Utrecht 2–1 xG 1.6–1.54 NLD E

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·

Match result

44.4%Go Ahead Eagles P 41%22.0%Draw P 25%33.6%FC Groningen P 34%

Over / under 2.5

70.4%Over 2.5 P 70%29.6%Under 2.5 P 30%

Both teams to score

70.1%Yes29.9%No

Expected

Go Ahead Eagles goals
1.95 (0–4)
FC Groningen goals
1.69 (0–3)
Corners
9.73 (6–14)
Cards
3.64 (1–6)

Earlier: day before — 44.4% / 22.0% / 33.6%

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

47.5%Go Ahead Eagles24.2%Draw28.2%FC Groningen

Over / under 2.5

63.0%Over 2.537.0%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

62.0%Yes38.0%No

Scored

MarketObservedLog lossBrier
1x2draw1.5150.919
ou_2_5under1.2170.991
bttsyes0.3560.179

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 15 matches since 2013

Go Ahead Eagles 26 draws7 FC Groningen

Goals 15–21 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 33%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Go Ahead Eagles 24 draws4 FC Groningen

Goals 9–11 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Go Ahead Eagles 23 draws0 FC Groningen

Goals 5–3 · 1.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • D Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 FC Groningen NLD E · Regular Season
  • D FC Groningen 0–0 Go Ahead Eagles NLD E · Regular Season
  • D Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 FC Groningen NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Go Ahead Eagles 2–1 FC Groningen NLD E · Regular Season
  • W FC Groningen 0–1 Go Ahead Eagles NLD E · Regular Season
  • D Go Ahead Eagles 1–1 FC Groningen NLD E · Regular Season
  • L FC Groningen 1–0 Go Ahead Eagles neutral NLD E · Regular Season
  • L FC Groningen 2–1 Go Ahead Eagles NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Go Ahead Eagles 0–1 FC Groningen NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Go Ahead Eagles 2–3 FC Groningen NLD E · Regular Season
MetricGo Ahead Eagles all · 6Go Ahead Eagles at home · 3FC Groningen all · 6FC Groningen away · 3
Results
Matches66
Points per game1.501.33
W / D / L2 / 3 / 12 / 2 / 2
Goals for / match2.502.00
Goals against / match2.172.17
Clean sheets0%0%
Failed to score0%0%
Both teams scored100%100%
Over 2.583%83%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.771.41
xG against / match1.812.01
xG difference-0.04-0.60
Finishing vs xG0.730.59
xPts / match1.421.16
Points vs xPts0.080.18
Game state
Scored first33%67%
PPG when scoring first2.001.75
PPG when conceding first1.250.50
Came back from behind75%33%
Leads held67%40%
Minutes leading28%41%
Minutes level37%34%
Minutes trailing34%25%
First goal (min)4217
First goal conceded (min)3841
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half73%25%
Goals conceded in 2nd half54%46%
Late goals for (76'+)0.670.33
Late goals against0.670.33
Style
Possession53%49%
Shots15.314.5
On target6.35.2
Shot conversion16%14%
Shots inside box68%71%
Big chances created3.33.0
Corners5.34.3
xG from set plays25%10%
Goals from headers13%17%
Pressure index15.112.8
Dominant minutes46.346.8
Pass accuracy82%80%
Fouls7.78.7
Cards0.831.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Go Ahead Eagles

0–15'02
16–30'30
31–45'14
46–60'21
61–75'52
76–90'44

FC Groningen

0–15'33
16–30'41
31–45'23
46–60'13
61–75'01
76–90'22

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Go Ahead Eagles · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.16) · stands out: at home +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.166
Early press (0-15, level)+0.096
Late push (76+, level)+0.293
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.072

Game state

When ahead-0.033
When level+0.236
When behind+0.234
10 min after conceding-0.366
10 min after scoring+0.326

Situations

At home+0.533
Away-0.213
4+ days rest+0.166

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.362
v mid-tier opponents+0.462
v bottom-tier opponents+0.342
As favourite+0.342
As underdog-0.213

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.206
Conceded when ahead+0.323
Conceded late (76+)+0.014

Ahead vs level -0.26 · Behind vs level -0.00

FC Groningen · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.08) · stands out: when behind +0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.086
Early press (0-15, level)+0.316
Late push (76+, level)-0.562

Game state

When ahead-0.085
When level+0.016
When behind+0.543
10 min after conceding-0.076
10 min after scoring+0.506

Situations

At home+0.243
Away-0.133
4+ days rest+0.086

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.142
v mid-tier opponents-0.262
v bottom-tier opponents+0.662
Evenly matched-0.083
As underdog-0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.206
Conceded when ahead+0.395
Conceded late (76+)+0.105

Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.53

Go Ahead Eagles

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 9 · conceding 9

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-16 100%1.52.52.171.771.81

FC Groningen

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 4 · scoring 6 · conceding 11

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-16 100%1.332.02.171.412.01

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: draw +1.0 pts at 15m

2.38Home 41% · -0.6 ptsopened 2.313.87Draw 25% · -0.0 ptsopened 3.812.82Away 34% · +0.6 ptsopened 2.83
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 25%30%35%40%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle2.38 · -0.63.87 · -0.02.82 · +0.65m
bet3652.25 ▲ +1.24.1 ▼ -1.12.7 · -0.15m
Betfair2.25 · -0.83.9 · +0.12.7 · +0.75m
BetVictor2.3 · -0.34.0 · -0.92.7 ▲ +1.25m
Coral2.3 · -0.04.0 · -0.62.7 · +0.65m
Ladbrokes2.3 · -0.53.9 · -0.42.7 · +0.95m
Unibet2.2 · -0.03.7 · +0.62.85 · -0.65m
WilliamHill2.25 · -0.13.7 ▼ -1.52.62 ▲ +1.65m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.25Home 42% P 41%4.1Draw 23% P 25%2.7Away 35% P 34%

Double Chance

1.44Go Ahead Eagles or Draw 33%1.22Go Ahead Eagles or FC Groningen 38%1.61Draw or FC Groningen 29%

Draw No Bet

1.721 54%2.02 46%

Both Teams To Score

1.36Yes 69%3.0No 31%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.36Over 70% P 70%3.1Under 30% P 30%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 32.5–35% · 189 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home41%41%40%-0.7
Draw25%26%22%-4.0
Away34%33%38%+4.7

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 55%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.570%69%69%+0.6

Dennis Higler

Career
328 matches · 16 seasons
Cards / match
3.25 (3.07 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match
19.5 · 5.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.3
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 98 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.523.32+0.3368
Fouls / match22.220.3+0.83
Fouls per card6.66.2+0.33 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.290.24+0.6973
Time added6.76.4+0.4473
First card
42' on average
Card timing
11% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.14

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-30 24 4
2026-08-22 23 11
2026-02-21 40 260 37'5
2026-02-08 · Go Ahead Eagles 10 200 70'7
2026-01-24 70 260 41'8
2026-01-17 30 260 23'7
2025-12-21 21 260 65'6
2025-11-08 61 240 27'7
2025-11-01 · Go Ahead Eagles 60 180 36'8
2025-10-19 30 211 4'6