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Eredivisie · Matchweek 6

Momentum

FC TwenteADO Den Haag
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
6

Venue

Stadium
De Grolsch Veste, Enschede
Capacity
30,205
Surface
grass
Attendance
29,000

Teams

Coaches
John van den Brom · Robin Peter
Position
5 · 17
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

Jannick van der Laan

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
20.7° (feels 20.7°)
Wind
4.0
Humidity
70%

Where to watch · 4

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 6510 22715 16 WWWWW
2 AZ Alkmaar 6510 17611 16 WWWWD
3 Feyenoord 6420 20713 14 DWDWW
4 Ajax 6411 19712 13 DWLWW
5 FC Twente 6411 1257 13 WWDWW
6 Excelsior 6312 1376 10 LWWDL
7 Fortuna Sittard 6312 1214-2 10 WLWWL
8 Go Ahead Eagles 6231 15132 9 DWLDD
9 FC Groningen 6222 1213-1 8 WLLDD
10 NEC Nijmegen 6213 1112-1 7 WWLDL
11 SC Heerenveen 6132 79-2 6 DLDLD
12 Sparta Rotterdam 6123 1013-3 5 WDLDL
13 Telstar 6123 511-6 5 LLDLD
14 FC Utrecht 6123 1119-8 5 LDLDW
15 SC Cambuur 6114 918-9 4 LLLDW
16 PEC Zwolle 6114 617-11 4 LWLDL
17 Willem II 6024 619-13 2 LDLDL
18 ADO Den Haag 6015 616-10 1 LLDLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

FC Twente

LWWDW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 11 GA 5 · xG 11.75–3.46 · xPts 11.65

  • W H Telstar 1–0 xG 3.01–0.15 NLD E
  • D A FC Groningen 2–2 xG 2.39–1.69 NLD E
  • W A SC Cambuur 4–1 xG 1.96–0.61 NLD E
  • W A Qarabağ 4–1 aet xG 3.08–0.56 UEFA ECL
  • L H Qarabağ 0–1 xG 1.3–0.46 UEFA ECL

ADO Den Haag

LLLDL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 14 · xG 3.97–8.72 · xPts 4.16

  • L H Fortuna Sittard 2–3 xG 0.77–0.59 NLD E
  • D A Feyenoord 2–2 xG 0.3–2.33 NLD E
  • L A Go Ahead Eagles 1–3 xG 0.84–0.99 NLD E
  • L H FC Groningen 1–4 xG 1.03–2.09 NLD E
  • L A AZ Alkmaar 0–2 xG 1.04–2.72 NLD E

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·

Match result

82.4%FC Twente P 78%11.4%Draw P 13%6.2%ADO Den Haag P 9%

Over / under 2.5

74.1%Over 2.5 P 73%25.9%Under 2.5 P 27%

Both teams to score

51.9%Yes48.1%No

Expected

FC Twente goals
3.08 (1–5)
ADO Den Haag goals
0.78 (0–2)
Corners
10.74 (6–15)
Cards
3.32 (1–6)

Earlier: day before — 82.4% / 11.4% / 6.2%

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

58.9%FC Twente21.1%Draw20.0%ADO Den Haag

Over / under 2.5

58.7%Over 2.541.3%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

56.3%Yes43.7%No

Scored

MarketObservedLog lossBrier
1x2home0.1930.048
bttsno0.7310.538
ou_2_5under1.3511.098

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 28 matches since 2005

FC Twente 166 draws6 ADO Den Haag

Goals 54–36 · 3.21 per match · BTTS 71% · over 2.5 61%

Last 10 · 10 matches

FC Twente 42 draws4 ADO Den Haag

Goals 19–17 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

FC Twente 31 draws1 ADO Den Haag

Goals 10–6 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W FC Twente 2–0 ADO Den Haag NLD E · Regular Season
  • W FC Twente 3–2 ADO Den Haag NLD E · Regular Season
  • W ADO Den Haag 2–4 FC Twente NLD E · Regular Season
  • D ADO Den Haag 0–0 FC Twente NLD E · Regular Season
  • L ADO Den Haag 2–1 FC Twente neutral NLD E · Regular Season
  • L FC Twente 2–3 ADO Den Haag NLD E · Regular Season
  • D ADO Den Haag 1–1 FC Twente neutral NLD E · Regular Season
  • W FC Twente 4–1 ADO Den Haag NLD E · Regular Season
  • L ADO Den Haag 2–1 FC Twente NLD E · Regular Season
  • L FC Twente 1–4 ADO Den Haag NLD E · Regular Season
MetricFC Twente all · 6FC Twente at home · 3ADO Den Haag all · 6ADO Den Haag away · 4
Results
Matches66
Points per game2.170.17
W / D / L4 / 1 / 10 / 1 / 5
Goals for / match2.001.00
Goals against / match0.832.67
Clean sheets33%0%
Failed to score17%33%
Both teams scored50%67%
Over 2.550%67%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.550.75
xG against / match0.692.00
xG difference1.87-1.25
Finishing vs xG-0.550.25
xPts / match2.430.72
Points vs xPts-0.27-0.56
Game state
Scored first67%17%
PPG when scoring first2.501.00
PPG when conceding first1.500.00
Came back from behind67%0%
Leads held80%0%
Minutes leading31%11%
Minutes level57%43%
Minutes trailing12%46%
First goal (min)3851
First goal conceded (min)4544
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half58%83%
Goals conceded in 2nd half40%62%
Late goals for (76'+)0.170.33
Late goals against0.170.33
Style
Possession61%47%
Shots21.710.8
On target8.03.0
Shot conversion9%9%
Shots inside box68%51%
Big chances created3.71.0
Corners7.73.7
xG from set plays28%18%
Goals from headers9%17%
Pressure index21.67.7
Dominant minutes68.336.5
Pass accuracy87%82%
Fouls9.812.3
Cards0.831.50

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

FC Twente

0–15'10
16–30'23
31–45'20
46–60'21
61–75'40
76–90'11

ADO Den Haag

0–15'11
16–30'02
31–45'03
46–60'30
61–75'08
76–90'22

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

FC Twente · 12 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.46) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.79

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.4612
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3612
Late push (76+, level)+0.545
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.586

Game state

When ahead+0.687
When level+0.3812
When behind+0.458
10 min after conceding+0.018
10 min after scoring+0.7910

Situations

At home+0.616
Away+0.326
3 days rest or fewer+0.735
4+ days rest+0.287

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.735
As favourite+0.5010
Evenly matched+0.312

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.3212
Conceded when ahead-0.217
Conceded late (76+)-0.5310

Congested vs rested +0.45 · Ahead vs level +0.31 · Behind vs level +0.08

ADO Den Haag · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.14) · stands out: v top-tier opponents -0.32

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.146
Early press (0-15, level)-0.206
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.145

Game state

When level-0.296
When behind+0.075
10 min after conceding-0.166
10 min after scoring+0.224

Situations

At home-0.092
Away-0.174
4+ days rest-0.146

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.323
v mid-tier opponents+0.052
As underdog-0.174

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.276
Conceded late (76+)+0.136

Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level +0.36

FC Twente

Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 2 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-16 100%2.172.00.832.550.69

ADO Den Haag

Current: winless 6 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-24 67%0.00.52.750.862.27
4-2-3-12 33%0.52.02.50.531.46

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 2.9d before kick-off · 75 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home -3.6 pts at 9.5h

1.23Home 78% · +0.9 ptsopened 1.217.29Draw 13% · -0.2 ptsopened 6.9610.75Away 9% · -0.7 ptsopened 9.68
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.23 · +0.97.29 · -0.210.75 · -0.710m
bet3651.22 ▲ +1.67.0 ▼ -2.610.0 ▲ +1.010m
Betfair1.2 · -0.36.5 · -0.110.5 · +0.410m
BetVictor1.22 · +0.87.0 · -0.712.0 · -0.110m
Coral1.25 · +0.77.0 ▼ -2.19.5 ▲ +1.410m
Ladbrokes1.25 · -0.56.5 ▼ -1.39.0 ▲ +1.810m
Unibet1.22 · -0.56.5 · +0.010.5 · +0.410m
WilliamHill1.22 · +0.46.0 ▼ -1.310.0 · +0.910m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.22Home 77% P 78%7.0Draw 13% P 13%10.0Away 9% P 9%

Double Chance

1.06FC Twente or Draw 45%1.1FC Twente or ADO Den Haag 43%4.0Draw or ADO Den Haag 12%

Draw No Bet

1.081 88%8.02 12%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.3Over 73% P 73%3.5Under 27% P 27%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 24%2.629 - 11 33%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 12%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 77.5–80% · away 7.5–10% · 182 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home78%78%79%+0.7
Draw13%13%14%+0.2
Away9%8%7%-0.9

In those fixtures: 3.6 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 73%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 72.5–75% · 217 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.573%73%74%+0.3

Jannick van der Laan

Career
63 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
3.22 (3.08 yellow · 0.14 red)
Fouls / match
22.1 · 6.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 56 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.113.32-0.5423
Fouls / match21.720.3+0.59
Fouls per card7.26.2+1.27 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.180.24-0.6718
Time added7.06.4+0.9886
First card
41' on average
Card timing
12% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-30 14 5
2026-08-09 41 220 33'12
2026-05-21 10 170 49'6
2026-05-10 · FC Twente 20 150 17'4
2026-04-26 10 280 87'16
2026-04-04 30 220 12'10
2026-03-06 20 300 61'7
2026-03-01 20 170 28'7
2026-02-17 70 300 28'
2026-02-01 30 210 47'7