Rating 7.84 (99th pct) · G+A 4 + 0 (24% of team goals) · 95% of minutes
Eredivisie · Matchweek 6
Momentum
– AZ AlkmaarWillem II –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| AZ Alkmaar | at home | Stat | league | away | Willem II |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58.7 #5 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 37.3 #17 |
| 20.0 #5 | – | Shots total | 15.0 | – | 11.3 #14 |
| 7.5 #5 | – | Shots on target | 5.4 | – | 2.7 #17 |
| 9.2 #1 | – | Corners | 5.3 | – | 3.8 #13 |
| 10.3 #8 | – | Fouls | 10.3 | – | 9.0 #12 |
| 2.0 #1 | – | Offsides | 1.4 | – | 1.2 #13 |
| 16.0 #6 | – | Tackles | 14.7 | – | 13.2 #12 |
| 113.0 #5 | – | Attacks | 94.5 | – | 80.5 #13 |
| 77.5 #2 | – | Dangerous attacks | 48.9 | – | 33.0 #15 |
| 533.2 #4 | – | Passes | 445.6 | – | 338.8 #16 |
| 0.8 #14 | – | Yellowcards | 1.3 | – | 0.8 #14 |
| 2.2 #3 | – | Assists | 1.5 | – | 1.0 #12 |
| – #9 | – | Btts | 74.1 | – | – #5 |
| – #1 | – | Cleansheet | 13.9 | – | – #10 |
| – #9 | – | Draw | 25.9 | – | – #3 |
| 2.8 #2 | – | Expected goals | 1.8 | – | 1.4 #13 |
| 0.0 #10 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.2 | – | -0.4 #16 |
| – #11 | – | Failed to score | 13.9 | – | – #5 |
| 2.8 #4 | 2.7 | Goals | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 #15 |
| 1.0 #17 | 1.0 | Goals conceded | 2.0 | 3.3 | 3.2 #1 |
| 0.5 #6 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.2 #13 |
| 7.2 #15 | – | Interceptions | 8.5 | – | 9.7 #4 |
| – #16 | – | Lost | 37.0 | – | – #2 |
| 7.0 #4 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.6 #18 |
| 4.7 #4 | – | Shots blocked | 4.0 | – | 3.8 #9 |
| 12.8 #5 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.9 | – | 7.8 #14 |
| 7.8 #5 | – | Shots off target | 5.7 | – | 4.8 #10 |
| 7.2 #2 | – | Shots outsidebox | 5.0 | – | 3.5 #16 |
| – #1 | – | Win | 37.0 | – | – #17 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 53 of 306
- Goals / match
- 3.91 (home 1.64 · away 2.26)
- Home / draw / away
- 26% · 26% · 47%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 74% · 79%
- Cards / match
- 2.75 (reds 0.06)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
AZ Alkmaar · 2026/2027 · Eredivisie
Rating 7.13 (69th pct) · G+A 2 + 2 (24% of team goals) · 91% of minutes
Rating 7.3 (96th pct) · G+A 1 + 3 (24% of team goals) · 87% of minutes
Willem II · 2026/2027 · Eredivisie
Rating 6.89 (36th pct) · G+A 3 + 0 (50% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 6.88 (39th pct) · G+A 1 + 2 (50% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 6.8 (54th pct) · G+A 0 + 2 (33% of team goals) · 95% of minutes
Absences
AZ Alkmaar
- injury Denso Kasius defender · Groin Injury · 7 missed
- injury Kees Smit #10 key player midfielder · Groin Injury · 1 missed
Willem II
- injury Amine Lachkar midfielder · Groin Injury · 54 missed
- injury Anass Zarrouk midfielder · Surgery · 20 missed
- injury Armin Culum attacker · Foot Injury · 8 missed
- injury Jari Schuurman midfielder · Back Injury · 34 missed
- injury Justin Hoogma #16 key player defender · Knee Injury · 1 missed
- injury Thijs Muller midfielder · Broken Toe · 2 missed
- injury Thomas Didillon-Hödl goalkeeper · Hamstring Injury · 3 missed
- injury Vito van Crooij midfielder · Ankle Injury · 1 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 6
Venue
- Stadium
- AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
- Capacity
- 19,500
- Surface
- grass
Teams
- Coaches
- Leeroy Echteld · John Stegeman
- Position
- 1 · 17
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Martin van den Kerkhof
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 15.7° (feels 15.5°)
- Wind
- 2.9
- Humidity
- 85%
Where to watch · 18
Austria
Sportdigital Fussball 2
Cyprus
Nova Sports 2
Germany
Sportdigital Fussball 2
Greece
Nova Sports 2
Liechtenstein
Blue Sport
Montenegro
Arena Cloud · Arena Sport 4
Netherlands
Canal+ · ESPN 2 · ESPN Extra · Watch ESPN
North Macedonia
Arena Cloud · Arena Sport 4
Serbia
Arena Cloud · Arena Sport 4
Spain
DAZN
Switzerland
Blue Sport · Sportdigital Fussball 2
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 7 | 15 | 16 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  AZ Alkmaar |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 16 | WWWWD |
| 3 |  Feyenoord |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 14 | DWDWW |
| 4 |  Ajax |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 13 | DWLWW |
| 5 |  FC Twente |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 13 | WWDWW |
| 6 |  Excelsior |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 10 | LWWDL |
| 7 |  Fortuna Sittard |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 | WLWWL |
| 8 |  Go Ahead Eagles |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 9 | DWLDD |
| 9 |  FC Groningen |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 8 | WLLDD |
| 10 |  NEC Nijmegen |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 7 | WWLDL |
| 11 |  SC Heerenveen |
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 6 | DLDLD |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 5 | WDLDL |
| 13 |  Telstar |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 5 | LLDLD |
| 14 |  FC Utrecht |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 5 | LDLDW |
| 15 |  SC Cambuur |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 4 | LLLDW |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 17 |  Willem II |
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 18 |  ADO Den Haag |
6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Twente |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 9 | WWDWW |
| 2 | PSV |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 7 | WWWWW |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 7 | WWWWD |
| 4 | Go Ahead Eagles |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 7 | DWLDD |
| 5 | Ajax |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 4 | DWLWW |
| 6 | FC Groningen |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 | WLLDD |
| 7 | SC Heerenveen |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | DLDLD |
| 8 | Excelsior |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 | LWWDL |
| 9 | Fortuna Sittard |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | WLWWL |
| 10 | SC Cambuur |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LLLDW |
| 11 | Feyenoord |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DWDWW |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 2 | WDLDL |
| 13 | NEC Nijmegen |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 | WWLDL |
| 14 | Telstar |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LLDLD |
| 15 | Willem II |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LDLDL |
| 16 | FC Utrecht |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 1 | LDLDW |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 0 | LLDLL |
| 18 | PEC Zwolle |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | -11 | 0 | LWLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 12 | DWDWW |
| 2 | Ajax |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 9 | DWLWW |
| 3 | PSV |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 4 | AZ Alkmaar |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 9 | WWWWD |
| 5 | Excelsior |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 7 | LWWDL |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 7 | WLWWL |
| 7 | NEC Nijmegen |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 6 | WWLDL |
| 8 | FC Twente |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 | WWDWW |
| 9 | FC Utrecht |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 | LDLDW |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 11 | Telstar |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | LLDLD |
| 12 | FC Groningen |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 4 | WLLDD |
| 13 | Sparta Rotterdam |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 | WDLDL |
| 14 | SC Heerenveen |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DLDLD |
| 15 | Go Ahead Eagles |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 2 | DWLDD |
| 16 | SC Cambuur |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 1 | LLLDW |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LLDLL |
| 18 | Willem II |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 | LDLDL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
AZ Alkmaar
WWWWW 5W 0D 0L · 15 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 16 GA 5 · xG 14.16–5.19 · xPts 11.12
- W
A
SC Heerenveen
3–2
xG 1.49–1.38
NLD E
- W
H
Go Ahead Eagles
5–2
xG 2.8–1.54
NLD E
- W
A
Fortuna Sittard
2–0
xG 4.65–0.28
NLD E
- W
A
FC Utrecht
4–1
xG 2.5–0.95
NLD E
- W
H
ADO Den Haag
2–0
xG 2.72–1.04
NLD E
DWWWWW 5W 1D 0L · 16 pts (2.67 ppg) · GF 19 GA 8 · xG 15.62–7.23 · xPts 12.16
- W
A
SC Heerenveen
3–2
xG 1.49–1.38
NLD E
- W
H
Go Ahead Eagles
5–2
xG 2.8–1.54
NLD E
- W
A
Fortuna Sittard
2–0
xG 4.65–0.28
NLD E
- W
A
FC Utrecht
4–1
xG 2.5–0.95
NLD E
- W
H
ADO Den Haag
2–0
xG 2.72–1.04
NLD E
- D
H
NAC Breda
3–3
xG 1.46–2.03
NLD E
Willem II
LLDL 0W 1D 3L · 1 pts (0.25 ppg) · GF 4 GA 13 · xG 5.77–8.73 · xPts 3.89
- L
H
Excelsior
0–3
xG 1.06–1.69
NLD E
- D
H
SC Heerenveen
2–2
xG 1.69–1.83
NLD E
- L
H
NEC Nijmegen
1–4
xG 1.42–2.78
NLD E
- L
A
Go Ahead Eagles
1–4
xG 1.6–2.43
NLD E
LLDL 0W 1D 3L · 1 pts (0.25 ppg) · GF 4 GA 13 · xG 5.77–8.73 · xPts 3.89
- L
H
Excelsior
0–3
xG 1.06–1.69
NLD E
- D
H
SC Heerenveen
2–2
xG 1.69–1.83
NLD E
- L
H
NEC Nijmegen
1–4
xG 1.42–2.78
NLD E
- L
A
Go Ahead Eagles
1–4
xG 1.6–2.43
NLD E
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
83.9%AZ Alkmaar P 83%10.4%Draw P 10%5.6%Willem II P 6%
Over / under 2.5
76.7%Over 2.5 P 75%23.3%Under 2.5 P 25%
Both teams to score
52.8%Yes47.2%No
Expected
- AZ Alkmaar goals
- 3.24 (1–6)
- Willem II goals
- 0.8 (0–2)
- Corners
- 12.09 (7–17)
- Cards
- 3.58 (1–6)
Earlier: day before — 83.9% / 10.4% / 5.6%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
61.7%AZ Alkmaar22.9%Draw15.3%Willem II
Over / under 2.5
52.4%Over 2.547.6%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
48.9%Yes51.1%No
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | draw | 2.262 | 1.51 |
| ou_2_5 | under | 1.459 | 1.178 |
| btts | yes | 0.638 | 0.445 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 33 matches since 2005
Goals 64–36 · 3.03 per match · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 54%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 19–15 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 10–6 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- D AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Willem II NLD E · Regular Season
- W Willem II 0–2 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
- L AZ Alkmaar 1–2 Willem II NLD E · Regular Season
- D Willem II 2–2 AZ Alkmaar neutral NLD E · Regular Season
- W AZ Alkmaar 4–1 Willem II NLD E · Regular Season
- W Willem II 0–1 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
- W AZ Alkmaar 5–3 Willem II NLD E · Regular Season
- L AZ Alkmaar 1–3 Willem II NLD E · Regular Season
- D Willem II 1–1 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
- L Willem II 2–1 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
| Metric | AZ Alkmaar all · 6 | AZ Alkmaar at home · 3 | Willem II all · 6 | Willem II away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | 6 | – |
| Points per game | 2.67 | – | 0.33 | – |
| W / D / L | 5 / 1 / 0 | – | 0 / 2 / 4 | – |
| Goals for / match | 2.83 | – | 1.00 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.00 | – | 3.17 | – |
| Clean sheets | 33% | – | 0% | – |
| Failed to score | 0% | – | 17% | – |
| Both teams scored | 67% | – | 83% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | – | 83% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.78 | – | 1.35 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.05 | – | 2.42 | – |
| xG difference | 1.73 | – | -1.07 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.06 | – | -0.35 | – |
| xPts / match | 2.22 | – | 0.83 | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.45 | – | -0.49 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 100% | – | 33% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.67 | – | 0.50 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | – | – | 0.25 | – |
| Came back from behind | 100% | – | 33% | – |
| Leads held | 83% | – | 0% | – |
| Minutes leading | 46% | – | 4% | – |
| Minutes level | 47% | – | 48% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 7% | – | 48% | – |
| First goal (min) | 35 | – | 62 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 46 | – | 37 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 71% | – | 83% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | – | 63% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.67 | – | 0.67 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.33 | – | 0.50 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 58% | – | 37% | – |
| Shots | 19.8 | – | 11.3 | – |
| On target | 7.5 | – | 2.7 | – |
| Shot conversion | 14% | – | 9% | – |
| Shots inside box | 64% | – | 69% | – |
| Big chances created | 3.0 | – | 2.2 | – |
| Corners | 9.2 | – | 3.8 | – |
| xG from set plays | 21% | – | 12% | – |
| Goals from headers | 0% | – | 0% | – |
| Pressure index | 22.1 | – | 6.3 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 66.8 | – | 24.3 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | – | 76% | – |
| Fouls | 10.2 | – | 9.0 | – |
| Cards | 0.83 | – | 0.83 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
AZ Alkmaar
0–15'20
16–30'03
31–45'30
46–60'40
61–75'41
76–90'42
Willem II
0–15'11
16–30'01
31–45'05
46–60'01
61–75'18
76–90'43
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
AZ Alkmaar · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.37) · stands out: at home +0.57
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.377
Early press (0-15, level)-0.017
Late push (76+, level)+0.702
Game state
When ahead+0.366
When level+0.327
When behind+0.632
10 min after conceding+0.305
10 min after scoring+0.396
Situations
At home+0.573
Away+0.224
4+ days rest+0.377
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.223
v bottom-tier opponents+0.464
As favourite+0.465
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.177
Conceded when ahead-0.286
Conceded late (76+)-0.316
Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level +0.31
Willem II · 6 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.53
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.226
Early press (0-15, level)-0.406
Late push (76+, level)-0.642
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.433
Game state
When ahead+0.062
When level-0.376
When behind-0.026
10 min after conceding-0.536
10 min after scoring-0.323
Situations
At home-0.083
Away-0.363
4+ days rest-0.226
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.402
v mid-tier opponents-0.083
As underdog-0.375
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.716
Conceded when ahead+0.892
Conceded late (76+)+0.943
Ahead vs level +0.43 · Behind vs level +0.35
AZ Alkmaar
Current: winless 2 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 100% | 2.67 | 2.83 | 1.0 | 2.78 | 1.05 |
Willem II
Current: winless 23 · scoring 2 · conceding 24
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 67% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.75 | 1.28 | 2.33 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 17% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 2.43 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 17% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.42 | 2.78 |
| Metric | AZ Alkmaar all · 10 | AZ Alkmaar at home · 10 | Willem II all · 10 | Willem II away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.90 | 2.20 | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| W / D / L | 5 / 4 / 1 | 6 / 4 / 0 | 0 / 4 / 6 | 0 / 4 / 6 |
| Goals for / match | 2.30 | 2.60 | 1.00 | 0.70 |
| Goals against / match | 1.30 | 1.10 | 2.50 | 2.20 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 0% | 10% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 60% | 90% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 70% | 70% | 40% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.22 | 2.17 | 1.20 | 0.91 |
| xG against / match | 1.33 | 1.15 | 2.36 | 2.34 |
| xG difference | 0.89 | 1.02 | -1.16 | -1.44 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.08 | 0.43 | -0.20 | -0.21 |
| xPts / match | 1.81 | 1.97 | 0.77 | 0.58 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.09 | 0.23 | -0.37 | -0.18 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 90% | 90% | 30% | 20% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.11 | 2.33 | 0.67 | 0.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.29 | 0.38 |
| Came back from behind | 75% | 100% | 33% | 33% |
| Leads held | 56% | 60% | 0% | 0% |
| Minutes leading | 43% | 56% | 11% | 11% |
| Minutes level | 46% | 38% | 45% | 50% |
| Minutes trailing | 11% | 6% | 44% | 39% |
| First goal (min) | 26 | 25 | 53 | 53 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 50 | 51 | 37 | 45 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 61% | 50% | 70% | 57% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 69% | 82% | 60% | 64% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.40 | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 58% | 56% | 41% | 40% |
| Shots | 17.7 | 17.5 | 11.3 | 9.0 |
| On target | 6.4 | 6.4 | 3.3 | 2.8 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 15% | 9% | 8% |
| Shots inside box | 63% | 68% | 67% | 64% |
| Big chances created | 2.9 | 3.8 | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| Corners | 7.4 | 7.3 | 3.7 | 3.1 |
| xG from set plays | 20% | 23% | 19% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 0% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
| Pressure index | 18.8 | 17.3 | 5.4 | 2.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 60.1 | 59.2 | 27.7 | 19.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 83% | 77% | 79% |
| Fouls | 10.3 | 10.1 | 8.9 | 9.1 |
| Cards | 0.80 | 0.70 | 1.10 | 1.20 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
AZ Alkmaar
0–15'60
16–30'03
31–45'31
46–60'42
61–75'44
76–90'63
Willem II
0–15'21
16–30'04
31–45'15
46–60'11
61–75'29
76–90'45
AZ Alkmaar
Current: winless 2 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 1.9 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 2.22 | 1.33 |
Willem II
Current: winless 23 · scoring 2 · conceding 24
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 50% | 0.4 | 1.0 | 2.6 | 1.17 | 2.33 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 30% | 0.67 | 1.0 | 1.33 | 1.05 | 2.25 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 2.43 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.42 | 2.78 |
| Metric | AZ Alkmaar all · 49 | AZ Alkmaar at home · 25 | Willem II all · 6 | Willem II away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 49 | 25 | 6 | – |
| Points per game | 1.59 | 1.96 | 0.33 | – |
| W / D / L | 22 / 12 / 15 | 13 / 10 / 2 | 0 / 2 / 4 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.73 | 2.16 | 1.00 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.39 | 1.24 | 3.17 | – |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 36% | 0% | – |
| Failed to score | 18% | 4% | 17% | – |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 64% | 83% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 61% | 64% | 83% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.93 | 2.14 | 1.35 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.29 | 1.07 | 2.42 | – |
| xG difference | 0.64 | 1.07 | -1.07 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.20 | 0.02 | -0.35 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.72 | 1.95 | 0.83 | – |
| Points vs xPts | -0.13 | 0.01 | -0.49 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 61% | 80% | 33% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.37 | 2.30 | 0.50 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.29 | 0.50 | 0.25 | – |
| Came back from behind | 32% | 71% | 33% | – |
| Leads held | 65% | 59% | 0% | – |
| Minutes leading | 34% | 46% | 4% | – |
| Minutes level | 45% | 43% | 48% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 21% | 11% | 48% | – |
| First goal (min) | 36 | 31 | 62 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 44 | 50 | 37 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 55% | 48% | 83% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 60% | 68% | 63% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.39 | 0.48 | 0.67 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.39 | 0.40 | 0.50 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 55% | 55% | 37% | – |
| Shots | 15.9 | 17.5 | 11.3 | – |
| On target | 5.9 | 6.4 | 2.7 | – |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 12% | 9% | – |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 69% | 69% | – |
| Big chances created | 3.0 | 3.6 | 2.2 | – |
| Corners | 6.2 | 6.7 | 3.8 | – |
| xG from set plays | 24% | 23% | 12% | – |
| Goals from headers | 7% | 8% | 0% | – |
| Pressure index | 17.0 | 19.2 | 6.3 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 55.9 | 61.0 | 24.3 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 83% | 76% | – |
| Fouls | 10.7 | 10.3 | 9.0 | – |
| Cards | 1.73 | 1.52 | 0.83 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
AZ Alkmaar
0–15'178
16–30'68
31–45'1511
46–60'1212
61–75'1610
76–90'1919
Willem II
0–15'11
16–30'01
31–45'05
46–60'01
61–75'18
76–90'43
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
AZ Alkmaar · 49 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.28) · stands out: as favourite +0.48
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2849
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1749
Late push (76+, level)+0.3519
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.3717
Game state
When ahead+0.3933
When level+0.2549
When behind+0.1922
10 min after conceding-0.1233
10 min after scoring+0.3740
Situations
With ten men-0.042
Against ten men+0.064
At home+0.2925
Away+0.2724
3 days rest or fewer+0.2211
4+ days rest+0.3038
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1610
v mid-tier opponents+0.2413
v bottom-tier opponents+0.3915
As favourite+0.4829
Evenly matched+0.0413
As underdog-0.107
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0849
Conceded when ahead-0.1933
Conceded late (76+)-0.3442
Congested vs rested -0.08 · Ahead vs level +0.15 · Behind vs level -0.06
Willem II · 6 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.53
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.226
Early press (0-15, level)-0.406
Late push (76+, level)-0.642
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.433
Game state
When ahead+0.062
When level-0.376
When behind-0.026
10 min after conceding-0.536
10 min after scoring-0.323
Situations
At home-0.083
Away-0.363
4+ days rest-0.226
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.402
v mid-tier opponents-0.083
As underdog-0.375
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.716
Conceded when ahead+0.892
Conceded late (76+)+0.943
Ahead vs level +0.43 · Behind vs level +0.35
AZ Alkmaar
Current: winless 2 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 27 55% | 1.52 | 1.93 | 1.63 | 2.06 | 1.38 |
| 4-3-3 | 15 31% | 1.87 | 1.67 | 1.07 | 2.05 | 1.1 |
| 3-4-3 | 3 6% | 1.33 | 0.67 | 1.0 | 1.27 | 1.14 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.09 | 1.04 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 2% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.76 | 1.72 |
Willem II
Current: winless 23 · scoring 2 · conceding 24
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 67% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.75 | 1.28 | 2.33 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 17% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 2.43 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 17% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.42 | 2.78 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home -1.4 pts at 32.0h
1.15Home 83% ▼ -1.2 ptsopened 1.139.14Draw 10% · +0.6 ptsopened 9.6315.52Away 6% · +0.6 ptsopened 17.14
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.15 ▼ -1.2 | 9.14 · +0.6 | 15.52 · +0.6 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.16 ▼ -1.3 | 8.0 · +0.2 | 13.0 ▲ +1.1 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.11 · +0.0 | 9.0 · +0.0 | 17.0 · +0.0 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.13 · +0.4 | 9.0 · -0.5 | 17.0 · +0.1 | 10m |
| Coral | 1.17 · -0.8 | 8.5 · -0.1 | 13.0 · +0.9 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 1.17 · -0.3 | 8.5 · +0.2 | 13.0 · +0.1 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.13 ▲ +1.2 | 8.5 · -0.7 | 15.0 · -0.5 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.14 · -0.8 | 8.0 · -0.1 | 13.0 · +0.9 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: no -2.0 pts at 30m · late move: no -2.0 pts inside the final hour
1.8Yes 52% ▲ +4.0 ptsopened 1.951.95No 48% ▼ -4.0 ptsopened 1.8
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.8 ▲ +4.0 | 1.95 ▼ -4.0 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.9 · -0.4 | 1.87 · +0.4 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.75 ▲ +2.4 | 1.95 ▼ -2.4 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.81 · +0.3 | 1.89 · -0.3 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.75 ▲ +1.6 | 1.95 ▼ -1.6 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: over -1.8 pts at 13.0h
1.28Over 75% · +0.8 ptsopened 1.283.82Under 25% · -0.8 ptsopened 3.66
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.28 · +0.8 | 3.82 · -0.8 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.25 ▲ +2.4 | 4.0 ▼ -2.4 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.25 ▲ +1.0 | 3.8 ▼ -1.0 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.22 ▲ +1.9 | 3.9 ▼ -1.9 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.26 · +0.4 | 3.7 · -0.4 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.16Home 81% P 83%8.0Draw 12% P 10%13.0Away 7% P 6%
Double Chance
1.03AZ or Draw 47%1.08AZ or Willem II 45%5.5Draw or Willem II 9%
Draw No Bet
1.041 93%13.02 7%
Both Teams To Score
1.8Yes 52%1.95No 48%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.25Over 76% P 75%4.0Under 24% P 25%
Total Corners
19.0Under 6 5%4.756 - 8 19%2.759 - 11 32%3.2512 - 14 27%5.0Over 14 18%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 82.5–85% · away 5–7.5% · 243 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 83% | 84% | 86% | +2.5 |
| Draw | 10% | 11% | 9% | -1.4 |
| Away | 6% | 6% | 5% | -1.1 |
In those fixtures: 3.7 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 70%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 72.5–75% · 217 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 73% | 74% | +0.3 |
Martin van den Kerkhof
- Career
- 156 matches · 14 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.06 (2.87 yellow · 0.16 red)
- Fouls / match
- 18.3 · 5.9 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.26
- Cards to home side
- 43%
Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 74 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 2.78 | 3.32 | -1.23 | 14 |
| Fouls / match | 18.7 | 20.3 | -1.03 | |
| Fouls per card | 7.0 | 6.2 | +0.88 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.26 | 0.24 | +0.32 | 64 |
| Time added | 6.1 | 6.4 | -0.64 | 27 |
- First card
- 46' on average
- Card timing
- 14% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 40% (league 44%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.14
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 44' | 5 |
| 2026-08-15 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 50' | 6 |
| 2026-05-10 | – | – | 16 | – | – | 4 |
| 2026-04-11 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 74' | 7 |
| 2026-03-22 | – | – | 17 | – | – | 8 |
| 2026-03-08 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 4' | 6 |
| 2026-02-20 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 53' | 5 |
| 2026-02-08 | 7 | 1 | 26 | 0 | 28' | 7 |
| 2026-01-24 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 38' | 7 |
| 2025-12-20 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 24' | 8 |