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Eredivisie · Matchweek 5

Momentum

ADO Den HaagFOR
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
5

Venue

Stadium
WerkTalent Stadion, Den Haag
Capacity
15,000
Surface
artificial turf
Attendance
13,596

Teams

Coaches
Robin Peter · Danny Buijs
Position
15 · 8
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 5-3-2

Referee

Ingmar Oostrom

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
23.4° (feels 23.2°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
54%

Where to watch · 4

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 6510 22715 16 WWWWW
2 AZ Alkmaar 6510 17611 16 WWWWD
3 Feyenoord 6420 20713 14 DWDWW
4 Ajax 6411 19712 13 DWLWW
5 FC Twente 6411 1257 13 WWDWW
6 Excelsior 6312 1376 10 LWWDL
7 Fortuna Sittard 6312 1214-2 10 WLWWL
8 Go Ahead Eagles 6231 15132 9 DWLDD
9 FC Groningen 6222 1213-1 8 WLLDD
10 NEC Nijmegen 6213 1112-1 7 WWLDL
11 SC Heerenveen 6132 79-2 6 DLDLD
12 Sparta Rotterdam 6123 1013-3 5 WDLDL
13 Telstar 6123 511-6 5 LLDLD
14 FC Utrecht 6123 1119-8 5 LDLDW
15 SC Cambuur 6114 918-9 4 LLLDW
16 PEC Zwolle 6114 617-11 4 LWLDL
17 Willem II 6024 619-13 2 LDLDL
18 ADO Den Haag 6015 616-10 1 LLDLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

ADO Den Haag

LLLD 0W 1D 3L · 1 pts (0.25 ppg) · GF 4 GA 11 · xG 3.2–8.13 · xPts 2.69

  • D A Feyenoord 2–2 xG 0.3–2.33 NLD E
  • L A Go Ahead Eagles 1–3 xG 0.84–0.99 NLD E
  • L H FC Groningen 1–4 xG 1.03–2.09 NLD E
  • L A AZ Alkmaar 0–2 xG 1.04–2.72 NLD E

Fortuna Sittard

LDWLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 9 · xG 4.43–13.62 · xPts 2.84

  • W A FC Groningen 3–2 xG 0.93–1.89 NLD E
  • L H AZ Alkmaar 0–2 xG 0.28–4.65 NLD E
  • W H SC Cambuur 3–1 xG 1.92–2.08 NLD E
  • D A PSV 2–2 xG 0.71–2.65 NLD E
  • L A FC Utrecht 0–2 xG 0.6–2.35 NLD E

No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).

All meetings · 6 matches since 2018

ADO Den Haag 11 draws4 Fortuna Sittard

Goals 5–10 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 6 matches

ADO Den Haag 11 draws4 Fortuna Sittard

Goals 5–10 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

ADO Den Haag 01 draws4 Fortuna Sittard

Goals 2–9 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L ADO Den Haag 2–3 Fortuna Sittard NLD E · Regular Season
  • L ADO Den Haag 0–3 Fortuna Sittard NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Fortuna Sittard 2–0 ADO Den Haag NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Fortuna Sittard 1–0 ADO Den Haag NLD E · Regular Season
  • D Fortuna Sittard 0–0 ADO Den Haag NLD E · Regular Season
  • W ADO Den Haag 3–1 Fortuna Sittard NLD E · Regular Season
MetricADO Den Haag all · 6ADO Den Haag at home · 2Fortuna Sittard all · 6Fortuna Sittard away · 3
Results
Matches66
Points per game0.171.67
W / D / L0 / 1 / 53 / 1 / 2
Goals for / match1.002.00
Goals against / match2.672.33
Clean sheets0%0%
Failed to score33%17%
Both teams scored67%83%
Over 2.567%83%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.750.85
xG against / match2.002.61
xG difference-1.25-1.76
Finishing vs xG0.251.15
xPts / match0.720.63
Points vs xPts-0.561.04
Game state
Scored first17%67%
PPG when scoring first1.002.50
PPG when conceding first0.000.00
Came back from behind0%33%
Leads held0%75%
Minutes leading11%42%
Minutes level43%41%
Minutes trailing46%17%
First goal (min)5128
First goal conceded (min)4441
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half83%42%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%79%
Late goals for (76'+)0.330.33
Late goals against0.330.83
Style
Possession47%33%
Shots10.89.0
On target3.04.8
Shot conversion9%22%
Shots inside box51%59%
Big chances created1.01.2
Corners3.72.0
xG from set plays18%13%
Goals from headers17%17%
Pressure index7.74.7
Dominant minutes36.525.8
Pass accuracy82%74%
Fouls12.38.8
Cards1.501.67

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

ADO Den Haag

0–15'11
16–30'02
31–45'03
46–60'30
61–75'08
76–90'22

Fortuna Sittard

0–15'30
16–30'22
31–45'21
46–60'13
61–75'23
76–90'25

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

ADO Den Haag · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.14) · stands out: v top-tier opponents -0.32

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.146
Early press (0-15, level)-0.206
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.145

Game state

When level-0.296
When behind+0.075
10 min after conceding-0.166
10 min after scoring+0.224

Situations

At home-0.092
Away-0.174
4+ days rest-0.146

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.323
v mid-tier opponents+0.052
As underdog-0.174

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.276
Conceded late (76+)+0.136

Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level +0.36

Fortuna Sittard · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.30) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.306
Early press (0-15, level)-0.376
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.253

Game state

When ahead-0.284
When level-0.316
When behind-0.313
10 min after conceding-0.396
10 min after scoring-0.065

Situations

At home-0.223
Away-0.373
4+ days rest-0.306

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.313
v bottom-tier opponents-0.192
As underdog-0.335

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.616
Conceded when ahead+0.524
Conceded late (76+)-0.086

Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level +0.00

ADO Den Haag

Current: winless 6 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-24 67%0.00.52.750.862.27
4-2-3-12 33%0.52.02.50.531.46

Fortuna Sittard

Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 28

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
5-3-23 50%2.332.672.00.741.77
3-4-2-11 17%3.03.01.01.922.08
5-4-11 17%0.01.05.00.653.59
4-3-31 17%0.00.02.00.284.65

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: home +2.4 pts at 9.8h

2.03Home 48% ▲ +1.4 ptsopened 2.054.01Draw 24% · +0.3 ptsopened 3.993.47Away 28% ▼ -1.7 ptsopened 3.21
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 30%40%50%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle2.03 ▲ +1.44.01 · +0.33.47 ▼ -1.75m
bet3651.9 ▲ +3.54.0 · -0.73.5 ▼ -2.85m
Betfair2.0 · -0.24.0 · +0.53.2 · -0.35m
BetVictor1.95 ▲ +3.24.0 · -0.23.5 ▼ -3.05m
Coral2.0 ▲ +1.33.8 ▲ +1.33.4 ▼ -2.65m
Ladbrokes2.0 ▲ +1.23.8 · +0.63.3 ▼ -1.85m
Unibet2.05 ▲ +2.33.75 · +0.33.15 ▼ -2.65m
WilliamHill1.95 ▲ +1.13.6 · +0.73.3 ▼ -1.85m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.9Home 50% P 48%4.0Draw 24% P 24%3.5Away 27% P 28%

Double Chance

1.3ADO Den Haag or Draw 36%1.22ADO Den Haag or Fortuna Sittard 38%1.8Draw or Fortuna Sittard 26%

Draw No Bet

1.441 65%2.622 35%

Both Teams To Score

1.44Yes 65%2.62No 35%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.5Over 62% P 63%2.5Under 38% P 37%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 24%2.629 - 11 33%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 12%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–50% · away 25–30% · 1,582 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home48%47%46%-0.5
Draw24%27%28%+1.1
Away28%27%26%-0.5

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 52%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.563%64%63%-0.4

Ingmar Oostrom

Career
56 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
3.34 (3.21 yellow · 0.11 red)
Fouls / match
22.8 · 6.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.21
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 48 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.383.32+0.0346
Fouls / match22.720.3+1.14
Fouls per card7.06.2+0.94 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.230.24-0.0446
Time added6.86.4+0.6282
First card
38' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 27% in last 15'
Cards to home side
42% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.09

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-14 20 300 55'3
2026-05-17 · Fortuna Sittard 10 160 55'3
2026-05-02 15 9
2026-04-05 20 221 45'5
2026-03-21 · Fortuna Sittard 20 210 22'6
2026-02-15 10 140 31'5
2026-01-25 · Fortuna Sittard 50 270 25'7
2025-12-21 30 230 41'4
2025-11-29 60 221 26'6
2025-11-02 31 271 15'4