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Eredivisie · Matchweek 5

Momentum

TelstarSC Cambuur
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
5

Venue

Stadium
BUKO Stadion, Velsen
Capacity
3,200
Surface
artificial turf
Attendance
5,002

Teams

Coaches
Hendrikus Albertus Brugge · Johan Plat
Position
14 · 18
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Joey Kooij

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
22.4° (feels 22.1°)
Wind
5.1
Humidity
55%

Where to watch · 4

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 6510 22715 16 WWWWW
2 AZ Alkmaar 6510 17611 16 WWWWD
3 Feyenoord 6420 20713 14 DWDWW
4 Ajax 6411 19712 13 DWLWW
5 FC Twente 6411 1257 13 WWDWW
6 Excelsior 6312 1376 10 LWWDL
7 Fortuna Sittard 6312 1214-2 10 WLWWL
8 Go Ahead Eagles 6231 15132 9 DWLDD
9 FC Groningen 6222 1213-1 8 WLLDD
10 NEC Nijmegen 6213 1112-1 7 WWLDL
11 SC Heerenveen 6132 79-2 6 DLDLD
12 Sparta Rotterdam 6123 1013-3 5 WDLDL
13 Telstar 6123 511-6 5 LLDLD
14 FC Utrecht 6123 1119-8 5 LDLDW
15 SC Cambuur 6114 918-9 4 LLLDW
16 PEC Zwolle 6114 617-11 4 LWLDL
17 Willem II 6024 619-13 2 LDLDL
18 ADO Den Haag 6015 616-10 1 LLDLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Telstar

WWWLL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 8 GA 9 · xG 7.35–9.28 · xPts 5.86

  • L H Ajax 0–4 xG 0.88–2.14 NLD E
  • L H Sparta Rotterdam 1–3 xG 1.43–2.13 NLD E
  • W A NEC Nijmegen 2–1 xG 1.37–2.5 NLD E
  • W A FC Volendam 2–1 xG 1.48–1.72 NLD E
  • W H Heracles Almelo 3–0 xG 2.2–0.8 NLD E

SC Cambuur

LLLL 0W 0D 4L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 16 · xG 5.36–9.06 · xPts 3.44

  • L H FC Twente 1–4 xG 0.61–1.96 NLD E
  • L H Feyenoord 2–5 xG 1.83–2.62 NLD E
  • L A Fortuna Sittard 1–3 xG 2.08–1.92 NLD E
  • L H Excelsior 0–4 xG 0.84–2.56 NLD E

No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).

All meetings · 1 match since 2026

Telstar 01 draws0 SC Cambuur

Goals 2–2 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 1 match

Telstar 01 draws0 SC Cambuur

Goals 2–2 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 1 match

Telstar 01 draws0 SC Cambuur

Goals 2–2 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • D Telstar 2–2 SC Cambuur NLD E · Regular Season
MetricTelstar all · 6Telstar at home · 3SC Cambuur all · 6SC Cambuur away · 2
Results
Matches66
Points per game0.830.67
W / D / L1 / 2 / 31 / 1 / 4
Goals for / match0.831.50
Goals against / match1.833.00
Clean sheets17%17%
Failed to score50%17%
Both teams scored50%67%
Over 2.567%100%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.201.59
xG against / match2.092.01
xG difference-0.89-0.42
Finishing vs xG-0.37-0.09
xPts / match0.921.13
Points vs xPts-0.09-0.46
Game state
Scored first17%33%
PPG when scoring first3.002.00
PPG when conceding first0.250.00
Came back from behind25%0%
Leads held100%50%
Minutes leading16%20%
Minutes level47%25%
Minutes trailing37%55%
First goal (min)5151
First goal conceded (min)4925
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half60%78%
Goals conceded in 2nd half82%39%
Late goals for (76'+)0.330.50
Late goals against0.500.67
Style
Possession39%48%
Shots8.712.5
On target2.34.3
Shot conversion10%12%
Shots inside box78%71%
Big chances created1.22.5
Corners4.53.8
xG from set plays52%21%
Goals from headers0%0%
Pressure index7.311.0
Dominant minutes31.343.5
Pass accuracy77%81%
Fouls11.211.3
Cards1.671.50

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Telstar

0–15'11
16–30'10
31–45'01
46–60'05
61–75'11
76–90'23

SC Cambuur

0–15'02
16–30'25
31–45'04
46–60'31
61–75'12
76–90'34

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Telstar · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.47

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.076
Early press (0-15, level)-0.476
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.052

Game state

When level-0.026
When behind+0.084
10 min after conceding+0.015
10 min after scoring+0.532

Situations

At home+0.263
Away-0.303
4+ days rest+0.055

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.402
v bottom-tier opponents+0.293
As underdog-0.284

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.296
Conceded late (76+)+0.354

Congested vs rested -0.60 · Ahead vs level -0.39 · Behind vs level +0.11

SC Cambuur · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.83

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)-0.106
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.142

Game state

When ahead-0.092
When level-0.286
When behind+0.184
10 min after conceding-0.285
10 min after scoring+0.834

Situations

At home-0.074
Away-0.022
4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.282
v mid-tier opponents+0.072
v bottom-tier opponents-0.022
As underdog-0.015

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.246
Conceded when ahead+0.452
Conceded late (76+)+0.024

Ahead vs level +0.19 · Behind vs level +0.46

Telstar

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-14 67%0.50.51.751.11.98
4-2-3-12 33%1.51.52.01.42.31

SC Cambuur

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-32 33%0.01.54.01.962.27
4-2-3-12 33%2.02.51.02.091.51
3-4-1-21 17%0.00.04.00.842.56
5-4-11 17%0.01.04.00.611.96

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home -1.7 pts at 4.7d · late move: home -1.9 pts inside the final hour

1.72Home 56% ▼ -2.7 ptsopened 1.64.26Draw 23% ▲ +1.8 ptsopened 4.54.68Away 21% · +0.9 ptsopened 4.78
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 20%30%40%50%60%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.72 ▼ -2.74.26 ▲ +1.84.68 · +0.910m
bet3651.66 ▼ -1.64.33 · -0.54.33 ▲ +2.110m
Betfair1.6 ▼ -1.74.33 · +0.44.75 ▲ +1.310m
BetVictor1.62 ▼ -1.34.5 · -0.64.4 ▲ +1.910m
Coral1.73 ▼ -3.74.2 · +0.84.2 ▲ +2.910m
Ladbrokes1.7 ▼ -2.84.2 · +0.84.2 ▲ +2.010m
Unibet1.62 ▼ -2.24.1 · +0.84.75 ▲ +1.410m
WilliamHill1.65 ▼ -2.34.0 · +0.24.33 ▲ +2.110m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.66Home 57% P 56%4.33Draw 22% P 23%4.33Away 22% P 21%

Double Chance

1.18Telstar or Draw 40%1.2Telstar or Cambuur Leeuwarden 39%2.25Draw or Cambuur Leeuwarden 21%

Draw No Bet

1.251 75%3.752 25%

Both Teams To Score

1.5Yes 62%2.5No 38%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.4Over 67% P 69%2.87Under 33% P 31%

Total Corners

17.0Under 6 5%4.336 - 8 20%2.759 - 11 32%3.412 - 14 26%5.5Over 14 16%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 20–22.5% · 298 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home56%56%60%+4.1
Draw23%23%21%-1.7
Away21%21%18%-2.4

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 59%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.569%69%69%+0.6

Joey Kooij

Career
121 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
3.59 (3.38 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match
22.4 · 6.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.28
Cards to home side
42%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 75 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.613.32+0.5282
Fouls / match20.920.3+0.15
Fouls per card6.36.2-0.11 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.270.24+0.4568
Time added6.66.4+0.2668
First card
38' on average
Card timing
19% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.23

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-29 40 294 63'7
2026-08-16 11 5
2026-08-09 20 290 84'9
2026-08-06 41 290 21'7
2026-07-28 70 321 68'2
2026-05-17 30 170 26'6
2026-05-03 51 290 45'10
2026-04-25 30 220 18'4
2026-04-11 10 5
2026-03-20 30 320 14'7