Momentum
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| SC Heerenveen | at home | Stat | league | away | AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54.0 #7 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 58.7 #5 |
| 14.7 #8 | – | Shots total | 15.0 | – | 20.0 #5 |
| 5.3 #7 | – | Shots on target | 5.4 | – | 7.5 #5 |
| 5.0 #8 | – | Corners | 5.3 | – | 9.2 #1 |
| 8.3 #16 | – | Fouls | 10.3 | – | 10.3 #8 |
| 1.3 #9 | – | Offsides | 1.4 | – | 2.0 #1 |
| 11.5 #16 | – | Tackles | 14.7 | – | 16.0 #6 |
| 107.7 #6 | – | Attacks | 94.5 | – | 113.0 #5 |
| 54.3 #7 | – | Dangerous attacks | 48.9 | – | 77.5 #2 |
| 505.0 #7 | – | Passes | 445.6 | – | 533.2 #4 |
| 1.2 #10 | – | Yellowcards | 1.3 | – | 0.8 #14 |
| 1.0 #12 | – | Assists | 1.5 | – | 2.2 #3 |
| – #15 | – | Btts | 74.1 | – | – #9 |
| – #1 | – | Cleansheet | 13.9 | – | – #1 |
| – #1 | – | Draw | 25.9 | – | – #9 |
| 1.3 #14 | – | Expected goals | 1.8 | – | 2.8 #2 |
| -0.2 #15 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.2 | – | 0.0 #10 |
| – #2 | – | Failed to score | 13.9 | – | – #11 |
| 1.2 #14 | 0.8 | Goals | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.8 #4 |
| 1.5 #12 | 1.2 | Goals conceded | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 #17 |
| – | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.5 #6 |
| 6.8 #16 | – | Interceptions | 8.5 | – | 7.2 #15 |
| – #9 | – | Lost | 37.0 | – | – #16 |
| 6.9 #7 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 7.0 #4 |
| 4.7 #4 | – | Shots blocked | 4.0 | – | 4.7 #4 |
| 8.5 #12 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.9 | – | 12.8 #5 |
| 4.7 #13 | – | Shots off target | 5.7 | – | 7.8 #5 |
| 6.2 #6 | – | Shots outsidebox | 5.0 | – | 7.2 #2 |
| – #11 | – | Win | 37.0 | – | – #1 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 53 of 306
- Goals / match
- 3.91 (home 1.64 · away 2.26)
- Home / draw / away
- 26% · 26% · 47%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 74% · 79%
- Cards / match
- 2.75 (reds 0.06)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
SC Heerenveen · 2026/2027 · Eredivisie
AZ Alkmaar · 2026/2027 · Eredivisie
Absences
SC Heerenveen
- injury Marcus Linday #11 key player midfielder · Knee Injury · 1 missed
- injury Mats Egbring defender · Ankle Injury · 3 missed
AZ Alkmaar
- injury Denso Kasius defender · Groin Injury · 6 missed
- injury Kees Smit #10 key player midfielder · Groin Injury
- suspension Hobie Verhulst goalkeeper · No Eligibility · until 2027-01-29
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 5
Venue
- Stadium
- Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen
- Capacity
- 27,224
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 22,164
Teams
- Coaches
- Robin Veldman · Leeroy Echteld
- Position
- 12 · 2
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Jeroen Manschot
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 21.7° (feels 21.4°)
- Wind
- 2.5
- Humidity
- 57%
Where to watch · 7
Cyprus
Nova Sports Prime
Greece
Nova Sports Prime
Israel
Sport 4
Netherlands
Canal+ · ESPN · ESPN Extra · Watch ESPN
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 7 | 15 | 16 | WWWWW |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 16 | WWWWD |
| 3 | Feyenoord |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 14 | DWDWW |
| 4 | Ajax |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 13 | DWLWW |
| 5 | FC Twente |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 13 | WWDWW |
| 6 | Excelsior |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 10 | LWWDL |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 | WLWWL |
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 9 | DWLDD |
| 9 | FC Groningen |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 8 | WLLDD |
| 10 | NEC Nijmegen |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 7 | WWLDL |
| 11 | SC Heerenveen |
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 6 | DLDLD |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 5 | WDLDL |
| 13 | Telstar |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 5 | LLDLD |
| 14 | FC Utrecht |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 5 | LDLDW |
| 15 | SC Cambuur |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 4 | LLLDW |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 17 | Willem II |
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 18 | ADO Den Haag |
6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Twente |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 9 | WWDWW |
| 2 | PSV |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 7 | WWWWW |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 7 | WWWWD |
| 4 | Go Ahead Eagles |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 7 | DWLDD |
| 5 | Ajax |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 4 | DWLWW |
| 6 | FC Groningen |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 | WLLDD |
| 7 | SC Heerenveen |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | DLDLD |
| 8 | Excelsior |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 | LWWDL |
| 9 | Fortuna Sittard |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | WLWWL |
| 10 | SC Cambuur |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LLLDW |
| 11 | Feyenoord |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DWDWW |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 2 | WDLDL |
| 13 | NEC Nijmegen |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 | WWLDL |
| 14 | Telstar |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LLDLD |
| 15 | Willem II |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LDLDL |
| 16 | FC Utrecht |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 1 | LDLDW |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 0 | LLDLL |
| 18 | PEC Zwolle |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | -11 | 0 | LWLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 12 | DWDWW |
| 2 | Ajax |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 9 | DWLWW |
| 3 | PSV |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 4 | AZ Alkmaar |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 9 | WWWWD |
| 5 | Excelsior |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 7 | LWWDL |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 7 | WLWWL |
| 7 | NEC Nijmegen |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 6 | WWLDL |
| 8 | FC Twente |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 | WWDWW |
| 9 | FC Utrecht |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 | LDLDW |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 11 | Telstar |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | LLDLD |
| 12 | FC Groningen |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 4 | WLLDD |
| 13 | Sparta Rotterdam |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 | WDLDL |
| 14 | SC Heerenveen |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DLDLD |
| 15 | Go Ahead Eagles |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 2 | DWLDD |
| 16 | SC Cambuur |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 1 | LLLDW |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LLDLL |
| 18 | Willem II |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 | LDLDL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
SC Heerenveen
LWDLD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 9 · xG 6.21–9.62 · xPts 4.81
- D
A
Willem II
2–2
xG 1.83–1.69
NLD E - L
H
PEC Zwolle
0–2
xG 1.06–1.62
NLD E - D
A
Ajax
2–2
xG 1.45–2.11
NLD E - W
H
FC Twente
1–0
xG 0.58–2.01
NLD E - L
A
FC Utrecht
2–3
xG 1.29–2.19
NLD E
LDLWDLD 1W 3D 3L · 6 pts (0.86 ppg) · GF 7 GA 11 · xG 9.86–13.57 · xPts 7.4
- D
A
Willem II
2–2
xG 1.83–1.69
NLD E - L
H
PEC Zwolle
0–2
xG 1.06–1.62
NLD E - D
A
Ajax
2–2
xG 1.45–2.11
NLD E - W
H
FC Twente
1–0
xG 0.58–2.01
NLD E - L
A
FC Utrecht
2–3
xG 1.29–2.19
NLD E - D
H
Ajax
0–0
xG 2.41–1.77
NLD E - L
A
NAC Breda
0–2
xG 1.24–2.18
NLD E
AZ Alkmaar
DWWWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 16 GA 6 · xG 14.13–5.85 · xPts 10.7
- W
H
Go Ahead Eagles
5–2
xG 2.8–1.54
NLD E - W
A
Fortuna Sittard
2–0
xG 4.65–0.28
NLD E - W
A
FC Utrecht
4–1
xG 2.5–0.95
NLD E - W
H
ADO Den Haag
2–0
xG 2.72–1.04
NLD E - D
H
NAC Breda
3–3
xG 1.46–2.03
NLD E
DDWWWW 4W 2D 0L · 14 pts (2.33 ppg) · GF 17 GA 7 · xG 15.05–6.95 · xPts 11.91
- W
H
Go Ahead Eagles
5–2
xG 2.8–1.54
NLD E - W
A
Fortuna Sittard
2–0
xG 4.65–0.28
NLD E - W
A
FC Utrecht
4–1
xG 2.5–0.95
NLD E - W
H
ADO Den Haag
2–0
xG 2.72–1.04
NLD E - D
H
NAC Breda
3–3
xG 1.46–2.03
NLD E - D
A
Feyenoord
1–1
xG 0.92–1.1
NLD E
No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).
All meetings · 48 matches since 2005
Goals 78–110 · 3.92 per match · BTTS 69% · over 2.5 79%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 13–29 · 4.2 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 80%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 9–12 · 4.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 100%
Recent meetings
- L SC Heerenveen 2–3 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
- L AZ Alkmaar 3–0 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
- W SC Heerenveen 3–1 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
- L AZ Alkmaar 4–1 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Conference League Play-offs - Semi-finals
- W SC Heerenveen 3–1 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
- L AZ Alkmaar 9–1 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
- D SC Heerenveen 2–2 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
- L AZ Alkmaar 3–0 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
- D AZ Alkmaar 1–1 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
- L SC Heerenveen 0–2 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
| Metric | SC Heerenveen all · 6 | SC Heerenveen at home · 4 | AZ Alkmaar all · 6 | AZ Alkmaar away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | 6 | – |
| Points per game | 1.00 | – | 2.67 | – |
| W / D / L | 1 / 3 / 2 | – | 5 / 1 / 0 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.17 | – | 2.83 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.50 | – | 1.00 | – |
| Clean sheets | 33% | – | 33% | – |
| Failed to score | 33% | – | 0% | – |
| Both teams scored | 50% | – | 67% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | – | 50% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.32 | – | 2.78 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.66 | – | 1.05 | – |
| xG difference | -0.34 | – | 1.73 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.15 | – | 0.06 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.17 | – | 2.22 | – |
| Points vs xPts | -0.17 | – | 0.45 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 17% | – | 100% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | – | 2.67 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.50 | – | – | – |
| Came back from behind | 50% | – | 100% | – |
| Leads held | 33% | – | 83% | – |
| Minutes leading | 15% | – | 46% | – |
| Minutes level | 59% | – | 47% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 26% | – | 7% | – |
| First goal (min) | 46 | – | 35 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 31 | – | 46 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 57% | – | 71% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 67% | – | 50% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.33 | – | 0.67 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.33 | – | 0.33 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 54% | – | 58% | – |
| Shots | 14.8 | – | 19.8 | – |
| On target | 5.5 | – | 7.5 | – |
| Shot conversion | 8% | – | 14% | – |
| Shots inside box | 58% | – | 64% | – |
| Big chances created | 1.8 | – | 3.0 | – |
| Corners | 5.0 | – | 9.2 | – |
| xG from set plays | 17% | – | 21% | – |
| Goals from headers | 0% | – | 0% | – |
| Pressure index | 12.0 | – | 22.1 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 45.8 | – | 66.8 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | – | 86% | – |
| Fouls | 8.2 | – | 10.2 | – |
| Cards | 1.17 | – | 0.83 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
SC Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
SC Heerenveen · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.36
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Ahead vs level -0.51 · Behind vs level -0.32
AZ Alkmaar · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.37) · stands out: at home +0.57
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level +0.31
SC Heerenveen
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 67% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.75 | 1.38 | 1.56 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.58 | 2.01 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 17% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.83 | 1.69 |
AZ Alkmaar
Current: winless 2 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 100% | 2.67 | 2.83 | 1.0 | 2.78 | 1.05 |
| Metric | SC Heerenveen all · 10 | SC Heerenveen at home · 10 | AZ Alkmaar all · 10 | AZ Alkmaar away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.90 | 1.40 |
| W / D / L | 2 / 4 / 4 | 6 / 2 / 2 | 5 / 4 / 1 | 4 / 2 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.10 | 1.80 | 2.30 | 1.50 |
| Goals against / match | 1.40 | 1.00 | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 40% | 20% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 30% | 10% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 50% | 70% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 60% | 50% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.49 | 1.94 | 2.22 | 1.83 |
| xG against / match | 1.74 | 1.43 | 1.33 | 1.56 |
| xG difference | -0.26 | 0.52 | 0.89 | 0.27 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.39 | -0.14 | 0.08 | -0.33 |
| xPts / match | 1.23 | 1.64 | 1.81 | 1.46 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.23 | 0.36 | 0.09 | -0.07 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 20% | 30% | 90% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.11 | 2.17 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.33 | 1.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | 60% | 75% | 20% |
| Leads held | 50% | 86% | 56% | 67% |
| Minutes leading | 18% | 31% | 43% | 30% |
| Minutes level | 56% | 56% | 46% | 55% |
| Minutes trailing | 26% | 13% | 11% | 15% |
| First goal (min) | 41 | 31 | 26 | 22 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 34 | 32 | 50 | 51 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 64% | 56% | 61% | 67% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 71% | 50% | 69% | 69% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 54% | 53% | 58% | 54% |
| Shots | 14.2 | 15.6 | 17.7 | 16.6 |
| On target | 5.0 | 6.3 | 6.4 | 5.7 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 12% | 13% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 64% | 63% | 60% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 2.4 |
| Corners | 5.4 | 5.8 | 7.4 | 7.2 |
| xG from set plays | 21% | 20% | 20% | 18% |
| Goals from headers | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Pressure index | 11.2 | 11.9 | 18.8 | 13.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 47.6 | 46.6 | 60.1 | 49.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 83% | 86% | 84% |
| Fouls | 9.1 | 9.6 | 10.3 | 10.1 |
| Cards | 1.20 | 1.60 | 0.80 | 1.40 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
SC Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar
SC Heerenveen
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 8 80% | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.56 | 1.72 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.58 | 2.01 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.83 | 1.69 |
AZ Alkmaar
Current: winless 2 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 1.9 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 2.22 | 1.33 |
| Metric | SC Heerenveen all · 36 | SC Heerenveen at home · 18 | AZ Alkmaar all · 49 | AZ Alkmaar away · 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 36 | 18 | 49 | 24 |
| Points per game | 1.53 | 1.78 | 1.59 | 1.21 |
| W / D / L | 15 / 10 / 11 | 9 / 5 / 4 | 22 / 12 / 15 | 9 / 2 / 13 |
| Goals for / match | 1.69 | 1.78 | 1.73 | 1.29 |
| Goals against / match | 1.58 | 1.33 | 1.39 | 1.54 |
| Clean sheets | 19% | 22% | 33% | 29% |
| Failed to score | 25% | 28% | 18% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 61% | 61% | 53% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 61% | 61% | 58% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.70 | 1.87 | 1.93 | 1.72 |
| xG against / match | 1.64 | 1.25 | 1.29 | 1.51 |
| xG difference | 0.06 | 0.62 | 0.64 | 0.20 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.00 | -0.10 | -0.20 | -0.42 |
| xPts / match | 1.45 | 1.73 | 1.72 | 1.48 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.08 | 0.05 | -0.13 | -0.27 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 36% | 39% | 61% | 42% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.46 | 2.43 | 2.37 | 2.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | 1.44 | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| Came back from behind | 52% | 60% | 32% | 13% |
| Leads held | 68% | 75% | 65% | 75% |
| Minutes leading | 26% | 28% | 34% | 21% |
| Minutes level | 47% | 50% | 45% | 48% |
| Minutes trailing | 27% | 22% | 21% | 31% |
| First goal (min) | 39 | 37 | 36 | 43 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 39 | 40 | 44 | 39 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 59% | 56% | 55% | 68% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 58% | 58% | 60% | 54% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.39 | 0.39 | 0.39 | 0.29 |
| Late goals against | 0.28 | 0.28 | 0.39 | 0.38 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 51% | 53% | 55% | 55% |
| Shots | 14.7 | 15.8 | 15.9 | 14.3 |
| On target | 5.6 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 5.4 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 11% | 11% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 65% | 65% | 66% | 61% |
| Big chances created | 2.4 | 2.6 | 3.0 | 2.5 |
| Corners | 5.4 | 5.7 | 6.2 | 5.7 |
| xG from set plays | 21% | 23% | 24% | 24% |
| Goals from headers | 3% | 3% | 7% | 6% |
| Pressure index | 12.6 | 13.4 | 17.0 | 14.7 |
| Dominant minutes | 47.6 | 48.3 | 55.9 | 50.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 82% | 83% | 83% |
| Fouls | 10.5 | 9.8 | 10.7 | 11.2 |
| Cards | 1.42 | 1.50 | 1.73 | 1.96 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
SC Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
SC Heerenveen · 36 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.07) · stands out: as favourite +0.29
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level -0.07
AZ Alkmaar · 49 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.28) · stands out: as favourite +0.48
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Congested vs rested -0.08 · Ahead vs level +0.15 · Behind vs level -0.06
SC Heerenveen
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 34 94% | 1.5 | 1.71 | 1.62 | 1.73 | 1.63 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.83 | 1.69 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.58 | 2.01 |
AZ Alkmaar
Current: winless 2 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 27 55% | 1.52 | 1.93 | 1.63 | 2.06 | 1.38 |
| 4-3-3 | 15 31% | 1.87 | 1.67 | 1.07 | 2.05 | 1.1 |
| 3-4-3 | 3 6% | 1.33 | 0.67 | 1.0 | 1.27 | 1.14 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 2% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.76 | 1.72 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.42 | 3.06 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: away +3.4 pts at 20m · late move: away -1.1 pts inside the final hour
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.74 · +0.7 | 4.04 ▲ +1.6 | 1.93 ▼ -2.3 | 10m |
| bet365 | 3.5 ▲ +1.4 | 4.1 · +0.0 | 1.9 ▼ -1.4 | 10m |
| Betfair | 3.8 ▲ +1.2 | 4.2 · -0.6 | 1.75 · -0.7 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 3.5 ▲ +2.7 | 4.33 · -0.8 | 1.91 ▼ -1.9 | 10m |
| Coral | 3.5 ▲ +2.6 | 4.0 · +0.9 | 1.91 ▼ -3.5 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 3.5 ▲ +2.5 | 4.0 · +0.9 | 1.85 ▼ -3.4 | 10m |
| Unibet | 3.9 ▲ +1.1 | 3.95 · +0.8 | 1.78 ▼ -1.9 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 3.4 ▲ +2.5 | 3.9 · -0.3 | 1.8 ▼ -2.1 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: no -1.7 pts at 4.5h
Yes No consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.4 ▲ +1.7 | 2.75 ▼ -1.7 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.33 ▲ +3.4 | 3.0 ▼ -3.4 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.43 · -0.3 | 2.63 · +0.3 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.36 ▲ +4.6 | 2.9 ▼ -4.6 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: over +1.2 pts at 3.5h
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.39 ▲ +3.8 | 3.12 ▼ -3.8 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.4 ▲ +2.0 | 2.87 ▼ -2.0 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.4 · +0.0 | 2.88 · +0.0 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.33 ▲ +3.7 | 3.1 ▼ -3.7 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.43 · -0.6 | 2.75 · +0.6 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
Double Chance
Draw No Bet
Both Teams To Score
Goals Over/Under
Total Corners
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 25–30% · away 50–55% · 108 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 26% | 26% | 20% | -5.5 |
| Draw | 24% | 23% | 24% | +1.0 |
| Away | 50% | 51% | 56% | +4.5 |
In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 64%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 69% | 69% | +0.6 |
Jeroen Manschot
- Career
- 232 matches · 14 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.43 (3.31 yellow · 0.09 red)
- Fouls / match
- 20.1 · 5.4 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.26
- Cards to home side
- 49%
Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 114 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.58 | 3.32 | +0.46 | 73 |
| Fouls / match | 19.1 | 20.3 | -0.80 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.4 | 6.2 | -1.44 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.3 | 0.24 | +0.84 | 82 |
| Time added | 6.7 | 6.4 | +0.44 | 73 |
- First card
- 37' on average
- Card timing
- 16% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 52% (league 44%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.28
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | 6 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 15' | 4 |
| 2026-08-16 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 83' | 6 |
| 2026-05-17 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 33' | 3 |
| 2026-05-10 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 4' | 7 |
| 2026-05-02 | 5 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 21' | 26 |
| 2026-04-23 · AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 15' | 6 |
| 2026-04-12 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 3' | 7 |
| 2026-03-22 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 45' | 5 |
| 2026-03-08 | 5 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 45' | 15 |
| 2026-02-21 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 23' | 9 |

PSV
Excelsior
FC Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
Sparta Rotterdam
Telstar
SC Cambuur