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Eredivisie · Matchweek 5

Momentum

FC GroningenFC Twente
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
5

Venue

Stadium
Euroborg, Groningen
Capacity
22,525
Surface
grass
Attendance
21,435

Teams

Coaches
Dick Lukkien · John van den Brom
Position
10 · 8
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Danny Desmond Makkelie

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
21.4° (feels 21.1°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
58%

Where to watch · 13

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 6510 22715 16 WWWWW
2 AZ Alkmaar 6510 17611 16 WWWWD
3 Feyenoord 6420 20713 14 DWDWW
4 Ajax 6411 19712 13 DWLWW
5 FC Twente 6411 1257 13 WWDWW
6 Excelsior 6312 1376 10 LWWDL
7 Fortuna Sittard 6312 1214-2 10 WLWWL
8 Go Ahead Eagles 6231 15132 9 DWLDD
9 FC Groningen 6222 1213-1 8 WLLDD
10 NEC Nijmegen 6213 1112-1 7 WWLDL
11 SC Heerenveen 6132 79-2 6 DLDLD
12 Sparta Rotterdam 6123 1013-3 5 WDLDL
13 Telstar 6123 511-6 5 LLDLD
14 FC Utrecht 6123 1119-8 5 LDLDW
15 SC Cambuur 6114 918-9 4 LLLDW
16 PEC Zwolle 6114 617-11 4 LWLDL
17 Willem II 6024 619-13 2 LDLDL
18 ADO Den Haag 6015 616-10 1 LLDLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

FC Groningen

LWWLL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 9 GA 12 · xG 6.76–9.19 · xPts 6.03

  • L H Fortuna Sittard 2–3 xG 1.89–0.93 NLD E
  • L A PSV 1–5 xG 0.94–3.87 NLD E
  • W A ADO Den Haag 4–1 xG 2.09–1.03 NLD E
  • W H FC Utrecht 2–1 xG 1.6–1.54 NLD E
  • L A Ajax 0–2 xG 0.24–1.82 NLD E

FC Twente

DWLWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 14 GA 7 · xG 11.03–3.74 · xPts 11.26

  • W A SC Cambuur 4–1 xG 1.96–0.61 NLD E
  • W A Qarabağ 4–1 aet xG 3.08–0.56 UEFA ECL
  • L H Qarabağ 0–1 xG 1.3–0.46 UEFA ECL
  • W H PEC Zwolle 3–1 xG 2.69–0.56 NLD E
  • D A Dunajská Streda 3–3 xG 2.0–1.56 UEFA ECL

No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).

All meetings · 41 matches since 2005

FC Groningen 515 draws21 FC Twente

Goals 43–88 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 68% · over 2.5 56%

Last 10 · 10 matches

FC Groningen 06 draws4 FC Twente

Goals 9–18 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

FC Groningen 03 draws2 FC Twente

Goals 5–8 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D FC Groningen 2–2 FC Twente NLD E · Regular Season
  • L FC Twente 2–1 FC Groningen NLD E · Regular Season
  • D FC Groningen 1–1 FC Twente NLD E · Regular Season
  • D FC Groningen 1–1 FC Twente NLD E · Regular Season
  • L FC Twente 2–0 FC Groningen NLD E · Regular Season
  • D FC Groningen 1–1 FC Twente neutral NLD E · Regular Season
  • L FC Twente 3–0 FC Groningen NLD E · Regular Season
  • L FC Twente 3–0 FC Groningen neutral NLD E · Regular Season
  • D FC Groningen 1–1 FC Twente neutral NLD E · Regular Season
  • D FC Groningen 2–2 FC Twente neutral NLD E · Regular Season
MetricFC Groningen all · 6FC Groningen at home · 3FC Twente all · 6FC Twente away · 3
Results
Matches66
Points per game1.332.17
W / D / L2 / 2 / 24 / 1 / 1
Goals for / match2.002.00
Goals against / match2.170.83
Clean sheets0%33%
Failed to score0%17%
Both teams scored100%50%
Over 2.583%50%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.412.55
xG against / match2.010.69
xG difference-0.601.87
Finishing vs xG0.59-0.55
xPts / match1.162.43
Points vs xPts0.18-0.27
Game state
Scored first67%67%
PPG when scoring first1.752.50
PPG when conceding first0.501.50
Came back from behind33%67%
Leads held40%80%
Minutes leading41%31%
Minutes level34%57%
Minutes trailing25%12%
First goal (min)1738
First goal conceded (min)4145
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half25%58%
Goals conceded in 2nd half46%40%
Late goals for (76'+)0.330.17
Late goals against0.330.17
Style
Possession49%61%
Shots14.521.7
On target5.28.0
Shot conversion14%9%
Shots inside box71%68%
Big chances created3.03.7
Corners4.37.7
xG from set plays10%28%
Goals from headers17%9%
Pressure index12.821.6
Dominant minutes46.868.3
Pass accuracy80%87%
Fouls8.79.8
Cards1.000.83

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

FC Groningen

0–15'33
16–30'41
31–45'23
46–60'13
61–75'01
76–90'22

FC Twente

0–15'10
16–30'23
31–45'20
46–60'21
61–75'40
76–90'11

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

FC Groningen · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.08) · stands out: when behind +0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.086
Early press (0-15, level)+0.316
Late push (76+, level)-0.562

Game state

When ahead-0.085
When level+0.016
When behind+0.543
10 min after conceding-0.076
10 min after scoring+0.506

Situations

At home+0.243
Away-0.133
4+ days rest+0.086

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.142
v mid-tier opponents-0.262
v bottom-tier opponents+0.662
Evenly matched-0.083
As underdog-0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.206
Conceded when ahead+0.395
Conceded late (76+)+0.105

Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.53

FC Twente · 12 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.46) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.79

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.4612
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3612
Late push (76+, level)+0.545
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.586

Game state

When ahead+0.687
When level+0.3812
When behind+0.458
10 min after conceding+0.018
10 min after scoring+0.7910

Situations

At home+0.616
Away+0.326
3 days rest or fewer+0.735
4+ days rest+0.287

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.735
As favourite+0.5010
Evenly matched+0.312

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.3212
Conceded when ahead-0.217
Conceded late (76+)-0.5310

Congested vs rested +0.45 · Ahead vs level +0.31 · Behind vs level +0.08

FC Groningen

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 4 · scoring 6 · conceding 11

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-16 100%1.332.02.171.412.01

FC Twente

Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 2 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-16 100%2.172.00.832.550.69

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: home +1.6 pts at 5m

3.49Home 28% ▼ -1.0 ptsopened 3.324.15Draw 23% ▼ -1.8 ptsopened 3.81.97Away 49% ▲ +2.8 ptsopened 2.06
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 30%40%50%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle3.49 ▼ -1.04.15 ▼ -1.81.97 ▲ +2.85m
bet3653.5 ▼ -1.54.0 · -0.71.9 ▲ +2.25m
Betfair3.2 · -0.73.9 · +0.22.0 · +0.45m
BetVictor3.4 ▼ -1.34.2 ▼ -2.31.93 ▲ +3.65m
Coral3.4 ▼ -1.73.9 · -0.61.95 ▲ +2.45m
Ladbrokes3.4 ▼ -1.73.9 · -0.61.95 ▲ +2.45m
Unibet3.35 · +0.53.75 · +0.41.98 · -0.95m
WilliamHill3.25 ▼ -1.23.7 ▼ -1.31.95 ▲ +2.55m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.5Home 27% P 28%4.0Draw 24% P 23%1.9Away 50% P 49%

Double Chance

1.8FC Groningen or Draw 26%1.25FC Groningen or FC Twente 38%1.33Draw or FC Twente 36%

Draw No Bet

2.621 35%1.442 65%

Both Teams To Score

1.4Yes 66%2.75No 34%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.44Over 65% P 69%2.7Under 35% P 31%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–30% · away 45–50% · 1,022 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home28%27%27%+0.5
Draw23%26%27%+0.4
Away49%47%46%-1.0

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 54%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.569%69%69%+0.6

Danny Desmond Makkelie

Career
495 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.47 (3.26 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
18.2 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.34
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 127 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.323.32-0.0936
Fouls / match21.020.3+0.23
Fouls per card6.56.2+0.13 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.240.24+0.1559
Time added6.06.4-0.829
First card
36' on average
Card timing
19% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.09

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-27 81 503 50'7
2026-08-23 10 271 66'18
2026-08-15 60 370 23'7
2026-05-10 40 170 43'5
2026-04-29 10 181 78'9
2026-04-25 · FC Groningen 20 251 21'4
2026-04-16 41 270 8'10
2026-04-11 30 140 38'5
2026-04-05 10 250 36'3
2026-03-22 40 281 60'8