Rating 6.89 (36th pct) · G+A 3 + 0 (50% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Eredivisie · Matchweek 5
Momentum
– Willem IIExcelsior –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Willem II | at home | Stat | league | away | Excelsior |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37.3 #17 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 44.5 #13 |
| 11.3 #14 | – | Shots total | 15.0 | – | 12.7 #11 |
| 2.7 #17 | – | Shots on target | 5.4 | – | 5.2 #8 |
| 3.8 #13 | – | Corners | 5.3 | – | 5.0 #8 |
| 9.0 #12 | – | Fouls | 10.3 | – | 12.0 #3 |
| 1.2 #13 | – | Offsides | 1.4 | – | 0.5 #18 |
| 13.2 #12 | – | Tackles | 14.7 | – | 15.7 #8 |
| 80.5 #13 | – | Attacks | 94.5 | – | 86.7 #10 |
| 33.0 #15 | – | Dangerous attacks | 48.9 | – | 38.3 #11 |
| 338.8 #16 | – | Passes | 445.6 | – | 405.2 #11 |
| 0.8 #14 | – | Yellowcards | 1.3 | – | 1.5 #6 |
| 1.0 #12 | – | Assists | 1.5 | – | 2.0 #5 |
| – #5 | – | Btts | 74.1 | – | – #9 |
| – #10 | – | Cleansheet | 13.9 | – | – #1 |
| – #3 | – | Draw | 25.9 | – | – #9 |
| 1.4 #13 | – | Expected goals | 1.8 | – | 1.6 #9 |
| -0.4 #16 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.2 | – | 0.6 #4 |
| – #5 | – | Failed to score | 13.9 | – | – #11 |
| 1.0 #15 | 1.0 | Goals | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.2 #6 |
| 3.2 #1 | 3.0 | Goals conceded | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.2 #13 |
| 0.2 #13 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.5 #6 |
| 9.7 #4 | – | Interceptions | 8.5 | – | 8.8 #8 |
| – #2 | – | Lost | 37.0 | – | – #9 |
| 6.6 #18 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.9 #6 |
| 3.8 #9 | – | Shots blocked | 4.0 | – | 3.7 #10 |
| 7.8 #14 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.9 | – | 9.0 #9 |
| 4.8 #10 | – | Shots off target | 5.7 | – | 3.8 #16 |
| 3.5 #16 | – | Shots outsidebox | 5.0 | – | 3.7 #13 |
| – #17 | – | Win | 37.0 | – | – #6 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 53 of 306
- Goals / match
- 3.91 (home 1.64 · away 2.26)
- Home / draw / away
- 26% · 26% · 47%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 74% · 79%
- Cards / match
- 2.75 (reds 0.06)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Willem II · 2026/2027 · Eredivisie
Rating 6.88 (39th pct) · G+A 1 + 2 (50% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 6.8 (54th pct) · G+A 0 + 2 (33% of team goals) · 95% of minutes
Excelsior · 2026/2027 · Eredivisie
Rating 7.62 (96th pct) · G+A 2 + 4 (46% of team goals) · 97% of minutes
Rating 6.95 (56th pct) · G+A 3 + 0 (23% of team goals) · 79% of minutes
Rating 6.99 (65th pct) · G+A 0 + 1 (8% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Absences
Willem II
- injury Amine Lachkar midfielder · Groin Injury · 53 missed
- injury Anass Zarrouk midfielder · Surgery · 19 missed
- injury Armin Culum attacker · Foot Injury · 7 missed
- injury Jari Schuurman midfielder · Back Injury · 33 missed
- injury Thomas Didillon-Hödl goalkeeper · Hamstring Injury · 2 missed
Excelsior
- injury Noah Naujoks #14 key player midfielder · Minor Knock · 2 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 5
Venue
- Stadium
- Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg
- Capacity
- 14,700
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 14,600
Teams
- Coaches
- John Stegeman · Ruben den Uil
- Position
- 15 · 9
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 5-4-1
Referee
Robin Hensgens
Weather
- Conditions
- broken clouds
- Temperature
- 13.6° (feels 13.2°)
- Wind
- 0.5
- Humidity
- 85%
Where to watch · 6
Netherlands
Canal+ · Canal+ Netherlands · ESPN 2 · ESPN 2 Netherlands · ESPN Extra · Watch ESPN
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 7 | 15 | 16 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  AZ Alkmaar |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 16 | WWWWD |
| 3 |  Feyenoord |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 14 | DWDWW |
| 4 |  Ajax |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 13 | DWLWW |
| 5 |  FC Twente |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 13 | WWDWW |
| 6 |  Excelsior |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 10 | LWWDL |
| 7 |  Fortuna Sittard |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 | WLWWL |
| 8 |  Go Ahead Eagles |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 9 | DWLDD |
| 9 |  FC Groningen |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 8 | WLLDD |
| 10 |  NEC Nijmegen |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 7 | WWLDL |
| 11 |  SC Heerenveen |
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 6 | DLDLD |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 5 | WDLDL |
| 13 |  Telstar |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 5 | LLDLD |
| 14 |  FC Utrecht |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 5 | LDLDW |
| 15 |  SC Cambuur |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 4 | LLLDW |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 17 |  Willem II |
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 18 |  ADO Den Haag |
6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Twente |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 9 | WWDWW |
| 2 | PSV |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 7 | WWWWW |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 7 | WWWWD |
| 4 | Go Ahead Eagles |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 7 | DWLDD |
| 5 | Ajax |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 4 | DWLWW |
| 6 | FC Groningen |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 | WLLDD |
| 7 | SC Heerenveen |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | DLDLD |
| 8 | Excelsior |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 | LWWDL |
| 9 | Fortuna Sittard |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | WLWWL |
| 10 | SC Cambuur |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LLLDW |
| 11 | Feyenoord |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DWDWW |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 2 | WDLDL |
| 13 | NEC Nijmegen |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 | WWLDL |
| 14 | Telstar |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LLDLD |
| 15 | Willem II |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LDLDL |
| 16 | FC Utrecht |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 1 | LDLDW |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 0 | LLDLL |
| 18 | PEC Zwolle |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | -11 | 0 | LWLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 12 | DWDWW |
| 2 | Ajax |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 9 | DWLWW |
| 3 | PSV |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 4 | AZ Alkmaar |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 9 | WWWWD |
| 5 | Excelsior |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 7 | LWWDL |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 7 | WLWWL |
| 7 | NEC Nijmegen |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 6 | WWLDL |
| 8 | FC Twente |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 | WWDWW |
| 9 | FC Utrecht |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 | LDLDW |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 11 | Telstar |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | LLDLD |
| 12 | FC Groningen |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 4 | WLLDD |
| 13 | Sparta Rotterdam |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 | WDLDL |
| 14 | SC Heerenveen |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DLDLD |
| 15 | Go Ahead Eagles |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 2 | DWLDD |
| 16 | SC Cambuur |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 1 | LLLDW |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LLDLL |
| 18 | Willem II |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 | LDLDL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Willem II
LLD 0W 1D 2L · 1 pts (0.33 ppg) · GF 4 GA 10 · xG 4.71–7.04 · xPts 2.93
- D
H
SC Heerenveen
2–2
xG 1.69–1.83
NLD E
- L
H
NEC Nijmegen
1–4
xG 1.42–2.78
NLD E
- L
A
Go Ahead Eagles
1–4
xG 1.6–2.43
NLD E
LLD 0W 1D 2L · 1 pts (0.33 ppg) · GF 4 GA 10 · xG 4.71–7.04 · xPts 2.93
- D
H
SC Heerenveen
2–2
xG 1.69–1.83
NLD E
- L
H
NEC Nijmegen
1–4
xG 1.42–2.78
NLD E
- L
A
Go Ahead Eagles
1–4
xG 1.6–2.43
NLD E
Excelsior
DWWLW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 11 GA 6 · xG 7.31–5.61 · xPts 7.82
- W
H
Sparta Rotterdam
2–1
xG 1.71–0.8
NLD E
- L
H
PSV
1–2
xG 0.68–1.96
NLD E
- W
A
SC Cambuur
4–0
xG 2.56–0.84
NLD E
- W
A
Sparta Rotterdam
3–2
xG 1.91–1.57
NLD E
- D
H
FC Volendam
1–1
xG 0.45–0.42
NLD E
DWWLW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 11 GA 6 · xG 7.31–5.61 · xPts 7.82
- W
H
Sparta Rotterdam
2–1
xG 1.71–0.8
NLD E
- L
H
PSV
1–2
xG 0.68–1.96
NLD E
- W
A
SC Cambuur
4–0
xG 2.56–0.84
NLD E
- W
A
Sparta Rotterdam
3–2
xG 1.91–1.57
NLD E
- D
H
FC Volendam
1–1
xG 0.45–0.42
NLD E
No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).
All meetings · 17 matches since 2006
Goals 25–26 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 65% · over 2.5 59%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 13–16 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 60%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 5–10 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%
Recent meetings
- L Willem II 0–3 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
- D Excelsior 1–1 Willem II NLD E · Regular Season
- D Willem II 2–2 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
- L Excelsior 2–1 Willem II NLD E · Regular Season
- L Willem II 1–2 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
- W Excelsior 0–2 Willem II NLD E · Regular Season
- D Willem II 1–1 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
- D Excelsior 0–0 Willem II NLD E · Regular Season
- L Willem II 2–3 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
- W Excelsior 2–3 Willem II NLD E · Regular Season
| Metric | Willem II all · 6 | Willem II at home · 3 | Excelsior all · 6 | Excelsior away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | 6 | – |
| Points per game | 0.33 | – | 1.67 | – |
| W / D / L | 0 / 2 / 4 | – | 3 / 1 / 2 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.00 | – | 2.17 | – |
| Goals against / match | 3.17 | – | 1.17 | – |
| Clean sheets | 0% | – | 33% | – |
| Failed to score | 17% | – | 0% | – |
| Both teams scored | 83% | – | 67% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 83% | – | 100% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.35 | – | 1.56 | – |
| xG against / match | 2.42 | – | 1.22 | – |
| xG difference | -1.07 | – | 0.34 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.35 | – | 0.61 | – |
| xPts / match | 0.83 | – | 1.58 | – |
| Points vs xPts | -0.49 | – | 0.09 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 33% | – | 50% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 0.50 | – | 3.00 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.25 | – | 0.33 | – |
| Came back from behind | 33% | – | 33% | – |
| Leads held | 0% | – | 75% | – |
| Minutes leading | 4% | – | 36% | – |
| Minutes level | 48% | – | 35% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 48% | – | 29% | – |
| First goal (min) | 62 | – | 37 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 37 | – | 25 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 83% | – | 46% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 63% | – | 57% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.67 | – | 0.50 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.50 | – | 0.33 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 37% | – | 44% | – |
| Shots | 11.3 | – | 12.5 | – |
| On target | 2.7 | – | 5.2 | – |
| Shot conversion | 9% | – | 17% | – |
| Shots inside box | 69% | – | 72% | – |
| Big chances created | 2.2 | – | 2.8 | – |
| Corners | 3.8 | – | 5.0 | – |
| xG from set plays | 12% | – | 21% | – |
| Goals from headers | 0% | – | 38% | – |
| Pressure index | 6.3 | – | 10.8 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 24.3 | – | 48.7 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 76% | – | 78% | – |
| Fouls | 9.0 | – | 11.7 | – |
| Cards | 0.83 | – | 1.50 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Willem II
0–15'11
16–30'01
31–45'05
46–60'01
61–75'18
76–90'43
Excelsior
0–15'12
16–30'20
31–45'41
46–60'12
61–75'20
76–90'32
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Willem II · 6 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.53
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.226
Early press (0-15, level)-0.406
Late push (76+, level)-0.642
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.433
Game state
When ahead+0.062
When level-0.376
When behind-0.026
10 min after conceding-0.536
10 min after scoring-0.323
Situations
At home-0.083
Away-0.363
4+ days rest-0.226
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.402
v mid-tier opponents-0.083
As underdog-0.375
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.716
Conceded when ahead+0.892
Conceded late (76+)+0.943
Ahead vs level +0.43 · Behind vs level +0.35
Excelsior · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.36
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)+0.056
Late push (76+, level)+0.203
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.692
Game state
When ahead+0.114
When level+0.026
When behind-0.243
10 min after conceding-0.134
10 min after scoring+0.366
Situations
At home-0.153
Away+0.103
4+ days rest-0.025
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.072
v bottom-tier opponents+0.143
Evenly matched+0.094
As underdog-0.262
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.066
Conceded when ahead+0.194
Conceded late (76+)+0.285
Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level -0.26
Willem II
Current: winless 23 · scoring 2 · conceding 24
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 67% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.75 | 1.28 | 2.33 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 17% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.42 | 2.78 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 17% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 2.43 |
Excelsior
Current: winless 2 · scoring 11 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 2 33% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.38 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.56 | 0.84 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.69 | 1.06 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 17% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.89 | 1.46 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 17% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.84 | 1.21 |
| Metric | Willem II all · 10 | Willem II at home · 10 | Excelsior all · 10 | Excelsior away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.40 | 0.10 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| W / D / L | 0 / 4 / 6 | 0 / 1 / 9 | 6 / 2 / 2 | 5 / 3 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 1.00 | 0.90 | 2.50 | 2.20 |
| Goals against / match | 2.50 | 2.50 | 1.20 | 1.30 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% | 30% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 30% | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 90% | 70% | 70% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 80% | 90% | 80% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.20 | 0.99 | 1.69 | 1.76 |
| xG against / match | 2.36 | 2.19 | 1.12 | 1.57 |
| xG difference | -1.16 | -1.20 | 0.57 | 0.19 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.20 | -0.09 | 0.81 | 0.44 |
| xPts / match | 0.77 | 0.73 | 1.71 | 1.51 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.37 | -0.63 | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 30% | 30% | 50% | 50% |
| PPG when scoring first | 0.67 | 0.33 | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.29 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | 10% | 60% | 67% |
| Leads held | 0% | 0% | 86% | 71% |
| Minutes leading | 11% | 10% | 39% | 39% |
| Minutes level | 45% | 35% | 33% | 35% |
| Minutes trailing | 44% | 55% | 28% | 26% |
| First goal (min) | 53 | 53 | 33 | 32 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 37 | 34 | 22 | 28 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 70% | 78% | 52% | 46% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 60% | 56% | 58% | 62% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 41% | 46% | 48% | 47% |
| Shots | 11.3 | 11.2 | 13.5 | 14.1 |
| On target | 3.3 | 3.8 | 5.5 | 5.3 |
| Shot conversion | 9% | 8% | 18% | 16% |
| Shots inside box | 67% | 61% | 67% | 64% |
| Big chances created | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3.3 | 3.1 |
| Corners | 3.7 | 4.4 | 4.8 | 4.2 |
| xG from set plays | 19% | 15% | 22% | 25% |
| Goals from headers | 11% | 11% | 33% | 27% |
| Pressure index | 5.4 | 8.7 | 11.5 | 10.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 27.7 | 34.7 | 50.8 | 45.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 77% | 77% | 79% | 76% |
| Fouls | 8.9 | 9.6 | 11.7 | 13.4 |
| Cards | 1.10 | 1.60 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Willem II
0–15'21
16–30'04
31–45'15
46–60'11
61–75'29
76–90'45
Excelsior
0–15'34
16–30'20
31–45'71
46–60'34
61–75'50
76–90'53
Willem II
Current: winless 23 · scoring 2 · conceding 24
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 50% | 0.4 | 1.0 | 2.6 | 1.17 | 2.33 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 30% | 0.67 | 1.0 | 1.33 | 1.05 | 2.25 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 2.43 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.42 | 2.78 |
Excelsior
Current: winless 2 · scoring 11 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 6 60% | 2.17 | 2.5 | 1.33 | 1.65 | 1.1 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.89 | 1.46 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.84 | 1.21 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.69 | 1.06 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.56 | 0.84 |
| Metric | Willem II all · 6 | Willem II at home · 3 | Excelsior all · 35 | Excelsior away · 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | 35 | 18 |
| Points per game | 0.33 | – | 1.29 | 1.50 |
| W / D / L | 0 / 2 / 4 | – | 12 / 9 / 14 | 7 / 6 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 1.00 | – | 1.51 | 1.72 |
| Goals against / match | 3.17 | – | 1.46 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | – | 20% | 22% |
| Failed to score | 17% | – | 14% | 11% |
| Both teams scored | 83% | – | 69% | 72% |
| Over 2.5 | 83% | – | 69% | 72% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.35 | – | 1.51 | 1.58 |
| xG against / match | 2.42 | – | 1.56 | 1.70 |
| xG difference | -1.07 | – | -0.05 | -0.13 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.35 | – | 0.01 | 0.14 |
| xPts / match | 0.83 | – | 1.33 | 1.29 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.49 | – | -0.05 | 0.21 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 33% | – | 46% | 44% |
| PPG when scoring first | 0.50 | – | 2.06 | 2.25 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.25 | – | 0.61 | 0.89 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | – | 39% | 54% |
| Leads held | 0% | – | 67% | 70% |
| Minutes leading | 4% | – | 29% | 32% |
| Minutes level | 48% | – | 43% | 41% |
| Minutes trailing | 48% | – | 28% | 27% |
| First goal (min) | 62 | – | 36 | 34 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 37 | – | 39 | 37 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 83% | – | 49% | 45% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 63% | – | 61% | 56% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.67 | – | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| Late goals against | 0.50 | – | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 37% | – | 48% | 46% |
| Shots | 11.3 | – | 12.7 | 12.7 |
| On target | 2.7 | – | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| Shot conversion | 9% | – | 12% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 69% | – | 67% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 2.2 | – | 2.8 | 2.5 |
| Corners | 3.8 | – | 4.3 | 4.4 |
| xG from set plays | 12% | – | 28% | 28% |
| Goals from headers | 0% | – | 28% | 26% |
| Pressure index | 6.3 | – | 8.9 | 7.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 24.3 | – | 41.6 | 37.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 76% | – | 78% | 77% |
| Fouls | 9.0 | – | 11.9 | 13.1 |
| Cards | 0.83 | – | 1.29 | 1.28 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Willem II
0–15'11
16–30'01
31–45'05
46–60'01
61–75'18
76–90'43
Excelsior
0–15'87
16–30'76
31–45'127
46–60'515
61–75'87
76–90'139
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Willem II · 6 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.53
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.226
Early press (0-15, level)-0.406
Late push (76+, level)-0.642
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.433
Game state
When ahead+0.062
When level-0.376
When behind-0.026
10 min after conceding-0.536
10 min after scoring-0.323
Situations
At home-0.083
Away-0.363
4+ days rest-0.226
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.402
v mid-tier opponents-0.083
As underdog-0.375
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.716
Conceded when ahead+0.892
Conceded late (76+)+0.943
Ahead vs level +0.43 · Behind vs level +0.35
Excelsior · 35 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: v top-tier opponents -0.36
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1535
Early press (0-15, level)-0.0635
Late push (76+, level)-0.2517
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1617
Game state
When ahead-0.3018
When level-0.1535
When behind+0.0022
10 min after conceding-0.2528
10 min after scoring+0.0629
Situations
Against ten men-0.492
At home-0.1717
Away-0.1418
3 days rest or fewer-0.272
4+ days rest-0.1433
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.369
v mid-tier opponents-0.038
v bottom-tier opponents-0.0112
As favourite-0.144
Evenly matched-0.0315
As underdog-0.2616
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2035
Conceded when ahead+0.3618
Conceded late (76+)+0.2132
Congested vs rested -0.13 · Ahead vs level -0.15 · Behind vs level +0.15
Willem II
Current: winless 23 · scoring 2 · conceding 24
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 67% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.75 | 1.28 | 2.33 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 17% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 2.43 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 17% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.42 | 2.78 |
Excelsior
Current: winless 2 · scoring 11 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 13 37% | 1.77 | 1.46 | 1.23 | 1.42 | 1.75 |
| 4-3-3 | 11 31% | 1.27 | 1.82 | 1.64 | 1.83 | 1.45 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 4 11% | 0.5 | 1.25 | 1.75 | 1.05 | 1.52 |
| 5-4-1 | 3 9% | 1.33 | 2.0 | 1.33 | 1.55 | 1.77 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.26 | 0.87 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home -1.4 pts at 20m
3.05Home 32% ▼ -1.6 ptsopened 2.863.76Draw 26% · -0.3 ptsopened 3.662.27Away 43% ▲ +1.9 ptsopened 2.34
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.05 ▼ -1.6 | 3.76 · -0.3 | 2.27 ▲ +1.9 | 10m |
| bet365 | 3.1 ▼ -3.6 | 3.5 · +0.7 | 2.2 ▲ +2.9 | 10m |
| Betfair | 2.8 · +0.1 | 3.75 · -0.3 | 2.25 · +0.1 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 3.0 ▼ -1.4 | 3.8 · -0.7 | 2.25 ▲ +2.1 | 10m |
| Coral | 3.0 ▼ -2.1 | 3.6 · +0.1 | 2.2 ▲ +2.0 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 3.0 ▼ -2.1 | 3.6 · +0.1 | 2.2 ▲ +2.0 | 10m |
| Unibet | 2.95 · -0.4 | 3.45 · +0.1 | 2.28 · +0.2 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 2.88 · -0.7 | 3.5 · -0.6 | 2.2 ▲ +1.2 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: yes +1.9 pts at 2.5d
1.53Yes 61% ▲ +1.9 ptsopened 1.572.37No 39% ▼ -1.9 ptsopened 2.25
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.53 ▲ +1.9 | 2.37 ▼ -1.9 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.53 · +0.0 | 2.45 · +0.0 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.47 ▲ +1.6 | 2.5 ▼ -1.6 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.5 · +0.0 | 2.4 · +0.0 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.55 · +0.0 | 2.3 · +0.0 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off
1.64Over 59% ▲ +1.9 ptsopened 1.682.34Under 41% ▼ -1.9 ptsopened 2.22
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.64 ▲ +1.9 | 2.34 ▼ -1.9 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.6 ▲ +2.5 | 2.3 ▼ -2.5 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.62 · +0.0 | 2.25 · +0.0 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.56 ▲ +2.5 | 2.23 ▼ -2.5 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.64 · +0.4 | 2.2 · -0.4 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
3.1Home 30% P 32%3.5Draw 27% P 26%2.2Away 43% P 43%
Double Chance
1.61Willem II or Draw 29%1.28Willem II or Excelsior 37%1.36Draw or Excelsior 34%
Draw No Bet
2.21 42%1.612 58%
Both Teams To Score
1.53Yes 61%2.37No 39%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.6Over 59% P 59%2.3Under 41% P 41%
Total Corners
10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 30–32.5% · away 42.5–45% · 201 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 32% | 31% | 31% | -0.1 |
| Draw | 26% | 26% | 26% | +0.2 |
| Away | 43% | 43% | 43% | -0.1 |
In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 65% · over 2.5 64%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 59% | 60% | +0.8 |
Robin Hensgens
- Career
- 40 matches · 5 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.6 (3.4 yellow · 0.13 red)
- Fouls / match
- 22.4 · 6.2 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.1
- Cards to home side
- 40%
Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 39 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.62 | 3.32 | +0.54 | 86 |
| Fouls / match | 22.4 | 20.3 | +0.94 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.2 | 6.2 | -0.32 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.1 | 0.24 | -1.64 | 9 |
| Time added | 6.5 | 6.4 | +0.08 | 59 |
- First card
- 39' on average
- Card timing
- 17% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 40% (league 44%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.22
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 57' | 6 |
| 2026-08-08 · Willem II | 3 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 19' | 5 |
| 2026-07-23 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 36' | 6 |
| 2026-04-10 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 23' | 4 |
| 2026-04-05 | 4 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 11' | 5 |
| 2026-03-15 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 43' | 8 |
| 2026-02-22 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 0 | 65' | 7 |
| 2026-02-11 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 42' | 8 |
| 2026-01-25 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 26' | 5 |
| 2026-01-10 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 53' | 6 |