Rating 7.56 (92th pct) · G+A 1 + 3 (21% of team goals) · 66% of minutes
Eredivisie · Matchweek 5
Momentum
– AjaxPSV –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| Ajax | at home | Stat | league | away | PSV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61.5 #3 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 64.3 #1 |
| 23.3 #1 | – | Shots total | 15.0 | – | 22.7 #2 |
| 7.8 #2 | – | Shots on target | 5.4 | – | 9.2 #1 |
| 7.8 #3 | – | Corners | 5.3 | – | 8.0 #2 |
| 9.2 #11 | – | Fouls | 10.3 | – | 8.2 #17 |
| 1.3 #8 | – | Offsides | 1.4 | – | 1.3 #8 |
| 13.7 #12 | – | Tackles | 14.8 | – | 17.2 #4 |
| 118.3 #3 | – | Attacks | 94.8 | – | 125.5 #2 |
| 72.8 #4 | – | Dangerous attacks | 49.0 | – | 78.7 #1 |
| 582.2 #2 | – | Passes | 447.1 | – | 617.2 #1 |
| 2.3 #1 | – | Yellowcards | 1.3 | – | 1.7 #4 |
| 2.2 #3 | – | Assists | 1.5 | – | 2.5 #1 |
| – #9 | – | Btts | 72.9 | – | – #1 |
| – #1 | – | Cleansheet | 14.5 | – | – #11 |
| – #9 | – | Draw | 25.5 | – | – #9 |
| 2.6 #4 | – | Expected goals | 1.8 | – | 2.9 #1 |
| 0.6 #6 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.2 | – | 0.7 #3 |
| – #11 | – | Failed to score | 14.4 | – | – #11 |
| 3.2 #3 | 2.7 | Goals | 2.0 | 3.7 | 3.7 #1 |
| 1.2 #13 | 2.0 | Goals conceded | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 #13 |
| 0.7 #2 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.7 #2 |
| 7.7 #12 | – | Interceptions | 8.5 | – | 9.7 #4 |
| – #13 | – | Lost | 37.0 | – | – #16 |
| – | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #3 |
| 7.1 #2 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 7.1 #1 |
| 7.0 #1 | – | Shots blocked | 4.0 | – | 5.5 #3 |
| 16.2 #1 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.9 | – | 15.7 #2 |
| 8.5 #2 | – | Shots off target | 5.6 | – | 8.0 #4 |
| 7.2 #2 | – | Shots outsidebox | 5.1 | – | 7.0 #4 |
| – #3 | – | Win | 37.4 | – | – #1 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 53 of 306
- Goals / match
- 3.91 (home 1.64 · away 2.26)
- Home / draw / away
- 26% · 26% · 47%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 74% · 79%
- Cards / match
- 2.75 (reds 0.06)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Ajax · 2026/2027 · Eredivisie
Rating 7.5 (86th pct) · G+A 1 + 3 (21% of team goals) · 75% of minutes
Rating 7.18 (91th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (5% of team goals) · 88% of minutes
PSV · 2026/2027 · Eredivisie
Rating 7.81 (100th pct) · G+A 2 + 2 (18% of team goals) · 83% of minutes
Rating 7.64 (95th pct) · G+A 2 + 2 (18% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Rating 7.24 (93th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (9% of team goals) · 94% of minutes
Absences
Ajax
- injury Daley Blind defender · Unknown Injury · 4 missed
- injury Rayane Bounida midfielder · Unknown Injury · 6 missed
- injury Simon Adingra attacker · Ankle Injury · until 2026-09-28
PSV
- injury Alassane Pléa attacker · Unknown Injury · 3 missed
- injury Dennis Man attacker · Unknown Injury · 1 missed
- injury Kiliann Sildillia defender · Unknown Injury · 1 missed
- injury Sami Ouaissa attacker · Hamstring Injury · 3 missed
- suspension Adamo Nagalo defender · No Eligibility · until 2027-01-28
- suspension Mikkel Bro Hansen attacker · No Eligibility · until 2027-01-28
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 5
Venue
- Stadium
- Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
- Capacity
- 55,885
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 53,332
Teams
- Coaches
- Míchel · Peter Bosz
- Position
- 4 · 2
- Formation
- 4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Sander van der Eijk
Weather
- Conditions
- broken clouds
- Temperature
- 14.6° (feels 14.1°)
- Wind
- 1.5
- Humidity
- 75%
Where to watch · 16
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Arena Cloud · Arena Sport 5 · Moja TV
Cyprus
Cablenet Sports 3 · Cablenet TV Go · Cytavision on the Go · Nova Sports 2
Greece
Nova Sports 2
Israel
Sport 2
Netherlands
Canal+ · ESPN · ESPN Extra · Watch ESPN
Romania
Orange TV Go · Prima Sport 4 · Prima TV
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 7 | 15 | 16 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  AZ Alkmaar |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 16 | WWWWD |
| 3 |  Feyenoord |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 14 | DWDWW |
| 4 |  Ajax |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 13 | DWLWW |
| 5 |  FC Twente |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 13 | WWDWW |
| 6 |  FC Groningen |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 11 | LLDDW |
| 7 |  Excelsior |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 10 | LWWDL |
| 8 |  Fortuna Sittard |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 | WLWWL |
| 9 |  Go Ahead Eagles |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 9 | DWLDD |
| 10 |  NEC Nijmegen |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 7 | WWLDL |
| 11 |  SC Heerenveen |
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 6 | DLDLD |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 5 | WDLDL |
| 13 |  Telstar |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 5 | LLDLD |
| 14 |  FC Utrecht |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 5 | LDLDW |
| 15 |  SC Cambuur |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 4 | LLLDW |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 4 | WLDLL |
| 17 |  Willem II |
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 18 |  ADO Den Haag |
6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Twente |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 9 | WWDWW |
| 2 | PSV |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 7 | WWWWW |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 7 | WWWWD |
| 4 | Go Ahead Eagles |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 7 | DWLDD |
| 5 | FC Groningen |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 7 | LLDDW |
| 6 | Ajax |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 4 | DWLWW |
| 7 | SC Heerenveen |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | DLDLD |
| 8 | Excelsior |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 | LWWDL |
| 9 | Fortuna Sittard |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | WLWWL |
| 10 | SC Cambuur |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LLLDW |
| 11 | Feyenoord |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DWDWW |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 2 | WDLDL |
| 13 | NEC Nijmegen |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 | WWLDL |
| 14 | Telstar |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LLDLD |
| 15 | Willem II |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LDLDL |
| 16 | FC Utrecht |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 1 | LDLDW |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 0 | LLDLL |
| 18 | PEC Zwolle |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | -11 | 0 | WLDLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 12 | DWDWW |
| 2 | Ajax |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 9 | DWLWW |
| 3 | PSV |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 4 | AZ Alkmaar |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 9 | WWWWD |
| 5 | Excelsior |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 7 | LWWDL |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 7 | WLWWL |
| 7 | NEC Nijmegen |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 6 | WWLDL |
| 8 | FC Twente |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 | WWDWW |
| 9 | FC Utrecht |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 | LDLDW |
| 10 | Telstar |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | LLDLD |
| 11 | FC Groningen |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 4 | LLDDW |
| 12 | PEC Zwolle |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 | WLDLL |
| 13 | Sparta Rotterdam |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 | WDLDL |
| 14 | SC Heerenveen |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DLDLD |
| 15 | Go Ahead Eagles |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 2 | DWLDD |
| 16 | SC Cambuur |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 1 | LLLDW |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LLDLL |
| 18 | Willem II |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 | LDLDL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Ajax
DDWWW 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 17 GA 9 · xG 12.49–6.85 · xPts 10.01
- W
A
Telstar
4–0
xG 2.14–0.88
NLD E
- W
H
Sion
5–3
xG 4.1–1.66
UEFA ECL - W
A
Sion
4–2
xG 2.82–2.02
UEFA ECL
- D
H
SC Heerenveen
2–2
xG 2.11–1.45
NLD E
- D
A
Shelbourne
2–2
xG 1.33–0.84
UEFA ECL
DWWWWDDWWW 7W 3D 0L · 24 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 31 GA 13 · xG 31.88–13.48 · xPts 21.76
- W
A
Telstar
4–0
xG 2.14–0.88
NLD E
- W
H
Sion
5–3
xG 4.1–1.66
UEFA ECL
- W
A
Sion
4–2
xG 2.82–2.02
UEFA ECL
- D
H
SC Heerenveen
2–2
xG 2.11–1.45
NLD E
- D
A
Shelbourne
2–2
xG 1.33–0.84
UEFA ECL
- W
A
PEC Zwolle
2–0
xG 1.97–0.49
NLD E
- W
H
Shelbourne
3–1
xG 6.61–0.2
UEFA ECL
- W
H
Vojvodina
4–1
xG 4.17–0.25
UEFA ECL - W
A
Vojvodina
4–1
xG 1.71–0.82
UEFA ECL
- D
H
FC Utrecht
1–1 won on pens None–None
xG 4.92–4.87
NLD E
PSV
WDWWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 20 GA 6 · xG 13.99–4.19 · xPts 12.08
- W
A
FC Utrecht
6–1
xG 3.16–0.22
NLD E
- W
H
FC Groningen
5–1
xG 3.87–0.94
NLD E
- W
A
Excelsior
2–1
xG 1.96–0.68
NLD E
- D
H
Fortuna Sittard
2–2
xG 2.65–0.71
NLD E
- W
H
FC Twente
5–1
xG 2.35–1.64
NLD E
WWDWWW 5W 1D 0L · 16 pts (2.67 ppg) · GF 24 GA 7 · xG 16.75–5.38 · xPts 14.35
- W
A
FC Utrecht
6–1
xG 3.16–0.22
NLD E
- W
H
FC Groningen
5–1
xG 3.87–0.94
NLD E
- W
A
Excelsior
2–1
xG 1.96–0.68
NLD E
- D
H
Fortuna Sittard
2–2
xG 2.65–0.71
NLD E
- W
H
FC Twente
5–1
xG 2.35–1.64
NLD E
- W
A
Go Ahead Eagles
4–1
xG 2.76–1.19
NLD E
No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).
All meetings · 43 matches since 2005
Goals 69–66 · 3.14 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 60%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 16–21 · 3.7 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 10–9 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%
Recent meetings
- L Ajax 1–3 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
- D Ajax 2–2 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
- D PSV 2–2 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
- W PSV 0–2 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
- W Ajax 3–2 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
- D Ajax 1–1 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
- L PSV 5–2 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
- L PSV 3–0 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
- L Ajax 1–2 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
- W PSV 1–2 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
| Metric | Ajax all · 6 | Ajax at home · 3 | PSV all · 6 | PSV away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | 6 | – |
| Points per game | 2.17 | – | 2.67 | – |
| W / D / L | 4 / 1 / 1 | – | 5 / 1 / 0 | – |
| Goals for / match | 3.17 | – | 3.67 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.17 | – | 1.17 | – |
| Clean sheets | 33% | – | 0% | – |
| Failed to score | 0% | – | 0% | – |
| Both teams scored | 67% | – | 100% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 83% | – | 100% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.51 | – | 2.98 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.18 | – | 1.07 | – |
| xG difference | 1.33 | – | 1.90 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.66 | – | 0.69 | – |
| xPts / match | 2.12 | – | 2.37 | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.05 | – | 0.30 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 83% | – | 33% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.60 | – | 3.00 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | – | 2.50 | – |
| Came back from behind | 0% | – | 100% | – |
| Leads held | 80% | – | 83% | – |
| Minutes leading | 44% | – | 58% | – |
| Minutes level | 45% | – | 37% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 12% | – | 5% | – |
| First goal (min) | 36 | – | 18 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 44 | – | 25 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 63% | – | 54% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 57% | – | 29% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 1.00 | – | 1.00 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.50 | – | 0.17 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 62% | – | 64% | – |
| Shots | 23.3 | – | 22.7 | – |
| On target | 8.0 | – | 9.2 | – |
| Shot conversion | 14% | – | 16% | – |
| Shots inside box | 69% | – | 69% | – |
| Big chances created | 3.7 | – | 5.0 | – |
| Corners | 7.8 | – | 8.0 | – |
| xG from set plays | 18% | – | 23% | – |
| Goals from headers | 22% | – | 14% | – |
| Pressure index | 23.0 | – | 26.0 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 66.2 | – | 71.5 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 89% | – | 89% | – |
| Fouls | 9.2 | – | 7.7 | – |
| Cards | 2.17 | – | 1.67 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Ajax
0–15'11
16–30'10
31–45'52
46–60'21
61–75'40
76–90'63
PSV
0–15'43
16–30'11
31–45'51
46–60'41
61–75'20
76–90'61
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Ajax · 12 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.65) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.90
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.6512
Early press (0-15, level)+0.9012
Late push (76+, level)+0.053
Game state
When ahead+0.6811
When level+0.8012
When behind-0.184
10 min after conceding-0.219
10 min after scoring+0.8112
Situations
At home+0.686
Away+0.626
3 days rest or fewer+0.544
4+ days rest+0.708
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.735
As favourite+0.7311
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1912
Conceded when ahead-0.2911
Conceded late (76+)-0.399
Congested vs rested -0.17 · Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level -0.98
PSV · 7 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.66) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.23
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.667
Early press (0-15, level)+0.067
Late push (76+, level)-0.192
Game state
When ahead+0.576
When level+0.787
When behind+0.335
10 min after conceding+0.457
10 min after scoring+1.237
Situations
At home+0.604
Away+0.723
4+ days rest+0.606
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.112
v mid-tier opponents+0.933
v bottom-tier opponents+0.882
As favourite+0.726
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.327
Conceded when ahead-0.386
Conceded late (76+)-0.466
Congested vs rested +0.35 · Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level -0.44
Ajax
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 14 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 3 50% | 2.0 | 3.67 | 1.67 | 2.95 | 1.43 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 33% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.04 | 0.97 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.14 | 0.88 |
PSV
Current: unbeaten 13 · wins 1 · scoring 23 · conceding 11
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 3 50% | 3.0 | 3.67 | 1.0 | 3.21 | 1.18 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 33% | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2.53 | 1.34 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 3.16 | 0.22 |
| Metric | Ajax all · 10 | Ajax at home · 10 | PSV all · 10 | PSV away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.30 | 1.80 | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| W / D / L | 7 / 2 / 1 | 5 / 3 / 2 | 7 / 3 / 0 | 7 / 1 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 3.30 | 2.60 | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals against / match | 1.50 | 1.60 | 1.20 | 1.30 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 10% | 0% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 90% | 100% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 90% | 80% | 90% | 90% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.99 | 3.14 | 2.53 | 2.52 |
| xG against / match | 1.18 | 1.59 | 1.09 | 1.14 |
| xG difference | 1.81 | 1.55 | 1.44 | 1.38 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.31 | -0.54 | 0.87 | 0.08 |
| xPts / match | 2.17 | 1.97 | 2.14 | 2.14 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.13 | -0.18 | 0.26 | 0.06 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 80% | 60% | 50% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.50 | 2.33 | 2.60 | 2.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.50 | 1.00 | 2.20 | 1.50 |
| Came back from behind | 67% | 60% | 100% | 50% |
| Leads held | 78% | 71% | 78% | 88% |
| Minutes leading | 51% | 41% | 48% | 45% |
| Minutes level | 40% | 48% | 48% | 44% |
| Minutes trailing | 9% | 10% | 3% | 11% |
| First goal (min) | 30 | 34 | 19 | 29 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 42 | 51 | 25 | 37 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 58% | 48% | 56% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 53% | 53% | 25% | 54% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.70 | 0.40 | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| Late goals against | 0.60 | 0.90 | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 63% | 61% | 60% | 59% |
| Shots | 24.0 | 22.4 | 19.1 | 18.9 |
| On target | 8.9 | 8.2 | 7.6 | 7.7 |
| Shot conversion | 14% | 12% | 18% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 67% | 69% | 69% | 71% |
| Big chances created | 4.5 | 4.3 | 4.9 | 4.5 |
| Corners | 8.4 | 7.1 | 7.0 | 7.0 |
| xG from set plays | 18% | 28% | 24% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 19% | 12% | 21% | 31% |
| Pressure index | 23.7 | 22.1 | 20.9 | 19.2 |
| Dominant minutes | 66.4 | 69.2 | 62.6 | 61.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 90% | 88% | 88% | 87% |
| Fouls | 9.3 | 9.0 | 8.8 | 9.3 |
| Cards | 2.00 | 1.30 | 1.60 | 2.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Ajax
0–15'31
16–30'32
31–45'84
46–60'71
61–75'51
76–90'76
PSV
0–15'64
16–30'23
31–45'72
46–60'71
61–75'30
76–90'92
Ajax
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 14 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 6 60% | 2.17 | 3.67 | 2.0 | 2.85 | 1.47 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 20% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.04 | 0.97 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.14 | 0.88 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 6.61 | 0.2 |
PSV
Current: unbeaten 13 · wins 1 · scoring 23 · conceding 11
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 50% | 2.2 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 1.33 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 40% | 2.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.54 | 1.02 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 3.16 | 0.22 |
| Metric | Ajax all · 50 | Ajax at home · 25 | PSV all · 43 | PSV away · 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 50 | 25 | 43 | 22 |
| Points per game | 1.68 | 1.56 | 2.26 | 2.32 |
| W / D / L | 23 / 15 / 12 | 11 / 6 / 8 | 30 / 7 / 6 | 16 / 3 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 2.08 | 1.96 | 2.84 | 2.41 |
| Goals against / match | 1.48 | 1.40 | 1.35 | 1.14 |
| Clean sheets | 22% | 20% | 14% | 18% |
| Failed to score | 12% | 12% | 2% | 4% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 68% | 84% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 64% | 86% | 77% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.92 | 2.29 | 2.18 | 1.88 |
| xG against / match | 1.51 | 1.43 | 1.19 | 1.18 |
| xG difference | 0.42 | 0.86 | 0.98 | 0.71 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.16 | -0.33 | 0.66 | 0.53 |
| xPts / match | 1.57 | 1.75 | 1.91 | 1.76 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.11 | -0.19 | 0.34 | 0.55 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 52% | 60% | 56% | 59% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.31 | 2.33 | 2.63 | 2.85 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | 0.40 | 1.79 | 1.56 |
| Came back from behind | 50% | 27% | 71% | 67% |
| Leads held | 70% | 69% | 86% | 94% |
| Minutes leading | 35% | 40% | 44% | 42% |
| Minutes level | 44% | 43% | 40% | 44% |
| Minutes trailing | 21% | 17% | 15% | 14% |
| First goal (min) | 35 | 31 | 29 | 31 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 39 | 45 | 33 | 32 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 52% | 42% | 54% | 55% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 56% | 59% | 45% | 44% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.42 | 0.28 | 0.79 | 0.73 |
| Late goals against | 0.38 | 0.52 | 0.21 | 0.14 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 57% | 58% | 60% | 58% |
| Shots | 16.2 | 17.6 | 16.7 | 15.2 |
| On target | 6.2 | 6.7 | 6.8 | 6.5 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 11% | 17% | 16% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 69% | 68% | 70% |
| Big chances created | 3.0 | 3.4 | 4.3 | 4.0 |
| Corners | 5.5 | 5.8 | 6.8 | 6.4 |
| xG from set plays | 20% | 21% | 24% | 26% |
| Goals from headers | 14% | 10% | 20% | 23% |
| Pressure index | 16.4 | 18.7 | 21.5 | 19.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 54.7 | 60.4 | 64.0 | 59.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 87% | 86% | 86% |
| Fouls | 9.9 | 10.0 | 9.8 | 9.7 |
| Cards | 1.82 | 1.48 | 1.84 | 1.86 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Ajax
0–15'1311
16–30'139
31–45'2412
46–60'2215
61–75'118
76–90'2018
PSV
0–15'1910
16–30'179
31–45'2013
46–60'197
61–75'1310
76–90'349
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Ajax · 50 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.24) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.62
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2450
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2750
Late push (76+, level)-0.1719
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.3115
Game state
When ahead+0.4232
When level+0.1650
When behind+0.1324
10 min after conceding-0.1336
10 min after scoring+0.6243
Situations
Against ten men+0.195
At home+0.2425
Away+0.2425
3 days rest or fewer+0.288
4+ days rest+0.2342
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1212
v mid-tier opponents+0.1712
v bottom-tier opponents+0.4213
As favourite+0.4032
Evenly matched+0.0510
As underdog-0.228
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0650
Conceded when ahead-0.1632
Conceded late (76+)-0.0542
Congested vs rested +0.04 · Ahead vs level +0.26 · Behind vs level -0.03
PSV · 43 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.56) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.88
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.5643
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2843
Late push (76+, level)+0.3814
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.317
Game state
When ahead+0.6335
When level+0.5443
When behind+0.4621
10 min after conceding+0.2436
10 min after scoring+0.8841
Situations
With ten men+0.013
Against ten men+0.132
At home+0.5521
Away+0.5722
3 days rest or fewer+0.675
4+ days rest+0.5538
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0514
v mid-tier opponents+0.7111
v bottom-tier opponents+0.8110
As favourite+0.7832
Evenly matched-0.047
As underdog-0.064
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2543
Conceded when ahead-0.3635
Conceded late (76+)-0.3634
Congested vs rested +0.12 · Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level -0.07
Ajax
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 14 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 33 66% | 1.76 | 2.3 | 1.42 | 2.01 | 1.49 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 11 22% | 1.0 | 1.27 | 2.0 | 1.46 | 1.79 |
| 5-4-1 | 2 4% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.26 | 1.64 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 4% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3.68 | 0.56 |
| 4-3-2-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.84 | 1.02 |
PSV
Current: unbeaten 13 · wins 1 · scoring 23 · conceding 11
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 25 58% | 2.32 | 2.92 | 1.32 | 2.15 | 1.09 |
| 4-3-3 | 11 26% | 2.36 | 2.73 | 1.45 | 2.33 | 1.31 |
| 4-4-2 | 6 14% | 1.67 | 2.17 | 1.33 | 1.83 | 1.54 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 3.16 | 0.22 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: away +2.8 pts at 20m
2.71Home 36% · -0.9 ptsopened 2.63.83Draw 25% ▲ +1.5 ptsopened 4.02.48Away 39% · -0.6 ptsopened 2.4
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.71 · -0.9 | 3.83 ▲ +1.5 | 2.48 · -0.6 | 10m |
| bet365 | 2.62 · -0.7 | 3.75 · +1.0 | 2.45 · -0.3 | 10m |
| Betfair | 2.55 · +0.0 | 4.0 · +0.5 | 2.38 · -0.5 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 2.55 · +0.4 | 4.2 · -0.9 | 2.38 · +0.4 | 10m |
| Coral | 2.45 ▲ +2.2 | 4.0 · -0.0 | 2.5 ▼ -2.1 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 2.4 ▲ +2.7 | 4.0 · -0.2 | 2.5 ▼ -2.4 | 10m |
| Unibet | 2.65 · -0.4 | 3.75 · +0.6 | 2.32 · -0.2 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 2.5 · +0.4 | 3.75 · -0.8 | 2.3 · +0.4 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off
1.3Yes 72% · +0.0 ptsopened 1.33.4No 28% · +0.0 ptsopened 3.4
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.3 · +0.0 | 3.4 · +0.0 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.29 · +0.7 | 3.5 · -0.7 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.25 ▲ +2.1 | 3.5 ▼ -2.1 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.29 · +0.3 | 3.3 · -0.3 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.3 · +0.0 | 3.25 · +0.0 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: over +1.6 pts at 34.0h
1.32Over 73% ▲ +2.0 ptsopened 1.343.52Under 27% ▼ -2.0 ptsopened 3.24
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.32 ▲ +2.0 | 3.52 ▼ -2.0 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.33 · +0.0 | 3.4 · +0.0 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.29 · +0.7 | 3.5 · -0.7 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.29 ▲ +1.1 | 3.4 ▼ -1.1 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.32 · +0.3 | 3.3 · -0.3 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.62Home 36% P 36%3.75Draw 25% P 25%2.45Away 39% P 39%
Double Chance
1.5Ajax or Draw 31%1.25Ajax or PSV 38%1.5Draw or PSV 31%
Draw No Bet
1.831 50%1.832 50%
Both Teams To Score
1.3Yes 72%3.4No 28%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.33Over 72% P 73%3.4Under 28% P 27%
Total Corners
13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 25%2.629 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 24%8.0Over 14 11%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 37.5–40% · 154 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 36% | 36% | 35% | -0.9 |
| Draw | 25% | 26% | 30% | +4.1 |
| Away | 39% | 38% | 35% | -3.3 |
In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 53%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 72.5–75% · 217 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 73% | 73% | 74% | +0.3 |
Sander van der Eijk
- Career
- 117 matches · 8 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.73 (3.4 yellow · 0.2 red)
- Fouls / match
- 21.2 · 5.7 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.23
- Cards to home side
- 47%
Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 81 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.83 | 3.32 | +0.97 | 90 |
| Fouls / match | 20.7 | 20.3 | +0.03 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.5 | 6.2 | -1.43 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.2 | 0.24 | -0.53 | 29 |
| Time added | 6.5 | 6.4 | +0.25 | 62 |
- First card
- 37' on average
- Card timing
- 15% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 46% (league 44%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.52
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 44' | 7 |
| 2026-08-23 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 44' | 5 |
| 2026-08-13 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 34' | 4 |
| 2026-08-09 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 39' | 9 |
| 2026-05-17 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 48' | 8 |
| 2026-05-11 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 80' | 2 |
| 2026-05-03 | – | – | 23 | – | – | 6 |
| 2026-04-26 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 29' | 6 |
| 2026-04-04 · Ajax | 6 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 41' | 7 |
| 2026-03-19 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 1 | 49' | 9 |