Rating 7.4 (94th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (40% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Eredivisie · Matchweek 4
Momentum
– TelstarAjax –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Telstar | at home | Stat | league | away | Ajax |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41.5 #15 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 61.5 #3 |
| 8.5 #18 | – | Shots total | 15.0 | – | 23.3 #1 |
| 2.3 #18 | – | Shots on target | 5.4 | – | 7.8 #2 |
| 4.5 #11 | – | Corners | 5.3 | – | 7.8 #3 |
| 10.7 #7 | – | Fouls | 10.3 | – | 9.2 #11 |
| 1.2 #13 | – | Offsides | 1.4 | – | 1.3 #8 |
| 13.0 #14 | – | Tackles | 14.8 | – | 13.7 #12 |
| 82.7 #11 | – | Attacks | 94.8 | – | 118.3 #3 |
| 37.2 #13 | – | Dangerous attacks | 49.0 | – | 72.8 #4 |
| 356.7 #15 | – | Passes | 447.1 | – | 582.2 #2 |
| 1.5 #6 | – | Yellowcards | 1.3 | – | 2.3 #1 |
| 0.2 #1 | – | Redcards | 0.2 | – | – |
| 0.5 #18 | – | Assists | 1.5 | – | 2.2 #3 |
| – #15 | – | Btts | 72.9 | – | – #9 |
| – #7 | – | Cleansheet | 14.5 | – | – #1 |
| – #3 | – | Draw | 25.5 | – | – #9 |
| 1.3 #15 | – | Expected goals | 1.8 | – | 2.6 #4 |
| -0.4 #17 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.2 | – | 0.6 #6 |
| – #1 | – | Failed to score | 14.4 | – | – #11 |
| 0.8 #18 | 1.0 | Goals | 2.0 | 3.7 | 3.2 #3 |
| 1.8 #11 | 3.0 | Goals conceded | 2.0 | 0.3 | 1.2 #13 |
| 0.3 #10 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.7 #2 |
| 7.7 #12 | – | Interceptions | 8.5 | – | 7.7 #12 |
| – #5 | – | Lost | 37.0 | – | – #13 |
| 0.3 #1 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | – |
| 6.7 #14 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 7.1 #2 |
| 2.3 #17 | – | Shots blocked | 4.0 | – | 7.0 #1 |
| 6.2 #15 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.9 | – | 16.2 #1 |
| 3.8 #16 | – | Shots off target | 5.6 | – | 8.5 #2 |
| 2.3 #18 | – | Shots outsidebox | 5.1 | – | 7.2 #2 |
| – #11 | – | Win | 37.4 | – | – #3 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 53 of 306
- Goals / match
- 3.91 (home 1.64 · away 2.26)
- Home / draw / away
- 26% · 26% · 47%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 74% · 79%
- Cards / match
- 2.75 (reds 0.06)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Telstar · 2026/2027 · Eredivisie
Rating 7.1 (87th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (40% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 6.92 (51th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (40% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Ajax · 2026/2027 · Eredivisie
Rating 7.56 (92th pct) · G+A 1 + 3 (21% of team goals) · 66% of minutes
Rating 7.5 (86th pct) · G+A 1 + 3 (21% of team goals) · 75% of minutes
Rating 7.18 (91th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (5% of team goals) · 88% of minutes
Absences
Ajax
- injury Amourricho van Axel Dongen attacker · Thigh Problems · 21 missed
- injury Daley Blind defender · Unknown Injury · 3 missed
- injury Maher Carrizo attacker · Ankle Injury · 2 missed
- injury Rayane Bounida midfielder · Unknown Injury · 6 missed
- injury Viktor Tsygankov attacker · Fitness · 1 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 4
Venue
- Stadium
- BUKO Stadion, Velsen
- Capacity
- 3,200
- Surface
- artificial turf
- Attendance
- 5,146
Teams
- Coaches
- Hendrikus Albertus Brugge · Míchel
- Position
- 13 · 9
- Formation
- 3-4-2-1 · 4-4-1-1
Referee
Dennis Higler
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 20.6° (feels 20.6°)
- Wind
- 6.7
- Humidity
- 73%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 7 | 15 | 16 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  AZ Alkmaar |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 16 | WWWWD |
| 3 |  Feyenoord |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 14 | DWDWW |
| 4 |  Ajax |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 13 | DWLWW |
| 5 |  FC Twente |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 13 | WWDWW |
| 6 |  FC Groningen |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 11 | LLDDW |
| 7 |  Excelsior |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 10 | LWWDL |
| 8 |  Fortuna Sittard |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 | WLWWL |
| 9 |  Go Ahead Eagles |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 9 | DWLDD |
| 10 |  NEC Nijmegen |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 7 | WWLDL |
| 11 |  SC Heerenveen |
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 6 | DLDLD |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 5 | WDLDL |
| 13 |  Telstar |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 5 | LLDLD |
| 14 |  FC Utrecht |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 5 | LDLDW |
| 15 |  SC Cambuur |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 4 | LLLDW |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 4 | WLDLL |
| 17 |  Willem II |
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 18 |  ADO Den Haag |
6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Twente |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 9 | WWDWW |
| 2 | PSV |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 7 | WWWWW |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 7 | WWWWD |
| 4 | Go Ahead Eagles |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 7 | DWLDD |
| 5 | FC Groningen |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 7 | LLDDW |
| 6 | Ajax |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 4 | DWLWW |
| 7 | SC Heerenveen |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | DLDLD |
| 8 | Excelsior |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 | LWWDL |
| 9 | Fortuna Sittard |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | WLWWL |
| 10 | SC Cambuur |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LLLDW |
| 11 | Feyenoord |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DWDWW |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 2 | WDLDL |
| 13 | NEC Nijmegen |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 | WWLDL |
| 14 | Telstar |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LLDLD |
| 15 | Willem II |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LDLDL |
| 16 | FC Utrecht |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 1 | LDLDW |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 0 | LLDLL |
| 18 | PEC Zwolle |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | -11 | 0 | WLDLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 12 | DWDWW |
| 2 | Ajax |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 9 | DWLWW |
| 3 | PSV |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 4 | AZ Alkmaar |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 9 | WWWWD |
| 5 | Excelsior |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 7 | LWWDL |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 7 | WLWWL |
| 7 | NEC Nijmegen |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 6 | WWLDL |
| 8 | FC Twente |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 | WWDWW |
| 9 | FC Utrecht |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 | LDLDW |
| 10 | Telstar |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | LLDLD |
| 11 | FC Groningen |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 4 | LLDDW |
| 12 | PEC Zwolle |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 | WLDLL |
| 13 | Sparta Rotterdam |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 | WDLDL |
| 14 | SC Heerenveen |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DLDLD |
| 15 | Go Ahead Eagles |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 2 | DWLDD |
| 16 | SC Cambuur |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 1 | LLLDW |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LLDLL |
| 18 | Willem II |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 | LDLDL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Telstar
DWWWL 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 6 · xG 7.53–9.02 · xPts 6.1
- L
H
Sparta Rotterdam
1–3
xG 1.43–2.13
NLD E
- W
A
NEC Nijmegen
2–1
xG 1.37–2.5
NLD E
- W
A
FC Volendam
2–1
xG 1.48–1.72
NLD E - W
H
Heracles Almelo
3–0
xG 2.2–0.8
NLD E - D
A
NEC Nijmegen
1–1
xG 1.06–1.87
NLD E
DWWWL 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 6 · xG 7.53–9.02 · xPts 6.1
- L
H
Sparta Rotterdam
1–3
xG 1.43–2.13
NLD E
- W
A
NEC Nijmegen
2–1
xG 1.37–2.5
NLD E
- W
A
FC Volendam
2–1
xG 1.48–1.72
NLD E
- W
H
Heracles Almelo
3–0
xG 2.2–0.8
NLD E
- D
A
NEC Nijmegen
1–1
xG 1.06–1.87
NLD E
Ajax
WDDWW 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 15 GA 9 · xG 12.32–6.45 · xPts 10.21
- W
H
Sion
5–3
xG 4.1–1.66
UEFA ECL - W
A
Sion
4–2
xG 2.82–2.02
UEFA ECL
- D
H
SC Heerenveen
2–2
xG 2.11–1.45
NLD E
- D
A
Shelbourne
2–2
xG 1.33–0.84
UEFA ECL - W
A
PEC Zwolle
2–0
xG 1.97–0.49
NLD E
WDWWWWDDWW 7W 3D 0L · 24 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 29 GA 13 · xG 31.56–12.83 · xPts 22.08
- W
H
Sion
5–3
xG 4.1–1.66
UEFA ECL
- W
A
Sion
4–2
xG 2.82–2.02
UEFA ECL
- D
H
SC Heerenveen
2–2
xG 2.11–1.45
NLD E
- D
A
Shelbourne
2–2
xG 1.33–0.84
UEFA ECL
- W
A
PEC Zwolle
2–0
xG 1.97–0.49
NLD E
- W
H
Shelbourne
3–1
xG 6.61–0.2
UEFA ECL
- W
H
Vojvodina
4–1
xG 4.17–0.25
UEFA ECL - W
A
Vojvodina
4–1
xG 1.71–0.82
UEFA ECL
- D
H
FC Utrecht
1–1 won on pens None–None
xG 4.92–4.87
NLD E
- W
H
FC Groningen
2–0
xG 1.82–0.24
NLD E
All meetings · 3 matches since 2025
Goals 2–9 · 3.67 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 67%
Last 10 · 3 matches
Goals 2–9 · 3.67 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 67%
Last 5 · 3 matches
Goals 2–9 · 3.67 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 67%
Recent meetings
- L Telstar 0–4 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
- L Telstar 2–3 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
- L Ajax 2–0 Telstar NLD E · Regular Season
| Metric | Telstar all · 6 | Telstar at home · 3 | Ajax all · 6 | Ajax away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | 6 | – |
| Points per game | 0.83 | – | 2.17 | – |
| W / D / L | 1 / 2 / 3 | – | 4 / 1 / 1 | – |
| Goals for / match | 0.83 | – | 3.17 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.83 | – | 1.17 | – |
| Clean sheets | 17% | – | 33% | – |
| Failed to score | 50% | – | 0% | – |
| Both teams scored | 50% | – | 67% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | – | 83% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.20 | – | 2.51 | – |
| xG against / match | 2.09 | – | 1.18 | – |
| xG difference | -0.89 | – | 1.33 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.37 | – | 0.66 | – |
| xPts / match | 0.92 | – | 2.12 | – |
| Points vs xPts | -0.09 | – | 0.05 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 17% | – | 83% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | – | 2.60 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.25 | – | 0.00 | – |
| Came back from behind | 25% | – | 0% | – |
| Leads held | 100% | – | 80% | – |
| Minutes leading | 16% | – | 44% | – |
| Minutes level | 47% | – | 45% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 37% | – | 12% | – |
| First goal (min) | 51 | – | 36 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 49 | – | 44 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 60% | – | 63% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 82% | – | 57% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.33 | – | 1.00 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.50 | – | 0.50 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 39% | – | 62% | – |
| Shots | 8.7 | – | 23.3 | – |
| On target | 2.3 | – | 8.0 | – |
| Shot conversion | 10% | – | 14% | – |
| Shots inside box | 78% | – | 69% | – |
| Big chances created | 1.2 | – | 3.7 | – |
| Corners | 4.5 | – | 7.8 | – |
| xG from set plays | 52% | – | 18% | – |
| Goals from headers | 0% | – | 22% | – |
| Pressure index | 7.3 | – | 23.0 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 31.3 | – | 66.2 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 77% | – | 89% | – |
| Fouls | 11.2 | – | 9.2 | – |
| Cards | 1.67 | – | 2.17 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Telstar
0–15'11
16–30'10
31–45'01
46–60'05
61–75'11
76–90'23
Ajax
0–15'11
16–30'10
31–45'52
46–60'21
61–75'40
76–90'63
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Telstar · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.47
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.076
Early press (0-15, level)-0.476
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.052
Game state
When level-0.026
When behind+0.084
10 min after conceding+0.015
10 min after scoring+0.532
Situations
At home+0.263
Away-0.303
4+ days rest+0.055
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.402
v bottom-tier opponents+0.293
As underdog-0.284
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.296
Conceded late (76+)+0.354
Congested vs rested -0.60 · Ahead vs level -0.39 · Behind vs level +0.11
Ajax · 12 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.65) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.90
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.6512
Early press (0-15, level)+0.9012
Late push (76+, level)+0.053
Game state
When ahead+0.6811
When level+0.8012
When behind-0.184
10 min after conceding-0.219
10 min after scoring+0.8112
Situations
At home+0.686
Away+0.626
3 days rest or fewer+0.544
4+ days rest+0.708
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.735
As favourite+0.7311
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1912
Conceded when ahead-0.2911
Conceded late (76+)-0.399
Congested vs rested -0.17 · Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level -0.98
Telstar
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 67% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.75 | 1.1 | 1.98 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 33% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 2.31 |
Ajax
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 14 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 3 50% | 2.0 | 3.67 | 1.67 | 2.95 | 1.43 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 33% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.04 | 0.97 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.14 | 0.88 |
| Metric | Telstar all · 10 | Telstar at home · 10 | Ajax all · 10 | Ajax away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 1.40 | 2.30 | 2.40 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 3 / 3 | 4 / 2 / 4 | 7 / 2 / 1 | 7 / 3 / 0 |
| Goals for / match | 1.50 | 1.70 | 3.30 | 2.70 |
| Goals against / match | 1.40 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 0.70 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% | 50% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 30% | 0% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 50% | 80% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 70% | 90% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.33 | 1.46 | 2.99 | 1.88 |
| xG against / match | 1.81 | 1.51 | 1.18 | 1.26 |
| xG difference | -0.48 | -0.05 | 1.81 | 0.62 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.17 | 0.24 | 0.31 | 0.82 |
| xPts / match | 1.14 | 1.36 | 2.17 | 1.74 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.36 | 0.04 | 0.13 | 0.67 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 30% | 40% | 80% | 80% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.33 | 2.50 | 2.50 | 2.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.17 | 0.67 | 1.50 | 3.00 |
| Came back from behind | 50% | 33% | 67% | 100% |
| Leads held | 80% | 80% | 78% | 78% |
| Minutes leading | 20% | 20% | 51% | 49% |
| Minutes level | 53% | 52% | 40% | 49% |
| Minutes trailing | 27% | 27% | 9% | 2% |
| First goal (min) | 48 | 51 | 30 | 35 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 45 | 46 | 42 | 45 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 67% | 76% | 58% | 63% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 71% | 73% | 53% | 57% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.60 | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.50 | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 40% | 48% | 63% | 59% |
| Shots | 9.2 | 11.7 | 24.0 | 17.9 |
| On target | 3.1 | 4.3 | 8.9 | 7.1 |
| Shot conversion | 16% | 14% | 14% | 15% |
| Shots inside box | 76% | 68% | 67% | 63% |
| Big chances created | 2.1 | 2.9 | 4.5 | 3.1 |
| Corners | 3.9 | 5.2 | 8.4 | 6.7 |
| xG from set plays | 47% | 38% | 18% | 16% |
| Goals from headers | 20% | 18% | 19% | 18% |
| Pressure index | 7.7 | 10.6 | 23.7 | 16.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 35.5 | 44.5 | 66.4 | 54.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 74% | 78% | 90% | 87% |
| Fouls | 12.2 | 11.2 | 9.3 | 10.3 |
| Cards | 1.70 | 1.30 | 2.00 | 2.30 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Telstar
0–15'12
16–30'10
31–45'32
46–60'05
61–75'41
76–90'64
Ajax
0–15'31
16–30'32
31–45'84
46–60'71
61–75'51
76–90'76
Telstar
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 7 70% | 1.29 | 1.43 | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.68 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 2.31 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.48 | 1.72 |
Ajax
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 14 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 6 60% | 2.17 | 3.67 | 2.0 | 2.85 | 1.47 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 20% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.04 | 0.97 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 6.61 | 0.2 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.14 | 0.88 |
| Metric | Telstar all · 35 | Telstar at home · 17 | Ajax all · 50 | Ajax away · 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 35 | 17 | 50 | 25 |
| Points per game | 1.09 | 1.18 | 1.68 | 1.80 |
| W / D / L | 9 / 11 / 15 | 5 / 5 / 7 | 23 / 15 / 12 | 12 / 9 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.40 | 1.82 | 2.08 | 2.20 |
| Goals against / match | 1.63 | 1.76 | 1.48 | 1.56 |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 12% | 22% | 24% |
| Failed to score | 26% | 18% | 12% | 12% |
| Both teams scored | 66% | 71% | 70% | 72% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 76% | 70% | 76% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.41 | 1.65 | 1.92 | 1.56 |
| xG against / match | 1.99 | 1.74 | 1.51 | 1.58 |
| xG difference | -0.58 | -0.09 | 0.42 | -0.03 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.01 | 0.17 | 0.16 | 0.64 |
| xPts / match | 1.09 | 1.35 | 1.57 | 1.38 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.00 | -0.17 | 0.11 | 0.42 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 43% | 47% | 52% | 44% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.87 | 2.00 | 2.31 | 2.27 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.44 | 0.44 | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Came back from behind | 21% | 22% | 50% | 69% |
| Leads held | 53% | 56% | 70% | 71% |
| Minutes leading | 23% | 27% | 35% | 30% |
| Minutes level | 46% | 43% | 44% | 45% |
| Minutes trailing | 31% | 30% | 21% | 25% |
| First goal (min) | 47 | 47 | 35 | 39 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 44 | 43 | 39 | 33 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 65% | 68% | 52% | 60% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 60% | 60% | 56% | 54% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.43 | 0.71 | 0.42 | 0.56 |
| Late goals against | 0.46 | 0.47 | 0.38 | 0.24 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | 45% | 57% | 57% |
| Shots | 11.8 | 12.4 | 16.2 | 14.7 |
| On target | 4.3 | 4.6 | 6.2 | 5.6 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 15% | 13% | 15% |
| Shots inside box | 67% | 69% | 66% | 62% |
| Big chances created | 2.6 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.5 |
| Corners | 4.4 | 5.1 | 5.5 | 5.2 |
| xG from set plays | 34% | 36% | 20% | 19% |
| Goals from headers | 20% | 23% | 14% | 17% |
| Pressure index | 8.0 | 8.8 | 16.4 | 14.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 35.5 | 39.0 | 54.7 | 49.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 76% | 77% | 86% | 86% |
| Fouls | 11.1 | 10.2 | 9.9 | 9.8 |
| Cards | 1.37 | 1.18 | 1.82 | 2.16 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Telstar
0–15'66
16–30'47
31–45'710
46–60'68
61–75'1110
76–90'1516
Ajax
0–15'1311
16–30'139
31–45'2412
46–60'2215
61–75'118
76–90'2018
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Telstar · 35 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: with ten men +0.52
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1535
Early press (0-15, level)-0.2335
Late push (76+, level)-0.4713
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.3114
Game state
When ahead-0.1217
When level-0.1635
When behind-0.1619
10 min after conceding-0.2730
10 min after scoring+0.1225
Situations
With ten men+0.523
At home-0.1717
Away-0.1318
4+ days rest-0.1434
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.3610
v mid-tier opponents-0.2611
v bottom-tier opponents+0.059
As favourite+0.064
Evenly matched+0.0210
As underdog-0.2721
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2535
Conceded when ahead+0.2117
Conceded late (76+)+0.2331
Congested vs rested -0.41 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level +0.00
Ajax · 50 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.24) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.62
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2450
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2750
Late push (76+, level)-0.1719
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.3115
Game state
When ahead+0.4232
When level+0.1650
When behind+0.1324
10 min after conceding-0.1336
10 min after scoring+0.6243
Situations
Against ten men+0.195
At home+0.2425
Away+0.2425
3 days rest or fewer+0.288
4+ days rest+0.2342
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1212
v mid-tier opponents+0.1712
v bottom-tier opponents+0.4213
As favourite+0.4032
Evenly matched+0.0510
As underdog-0.228
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0650
Conceded when ahead-0.1632
Conceded late (76+)-0.0542
Congested vs rested +0.04 · Ahead vs level +0.26 · Behind vs level -0.03
Telstar
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 27 77% | 0.93 | 1.37 | 1.7 | 1.4 | 2.03 |
| 3-4-3 | 5 14% | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.41 | 1.68 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 6% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 2.31 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.66 | 1.7 |
Ajax
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 14 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 33 66% | 1.76 | 2.3 | 1.42 | 2.01 | 1.49 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 11 22% | 1.0 | 1.27 | 2.0 | 1.46 | 1.79 |
| 5-4-1 | 2 4% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.26 | 1.64 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 4% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3.68 | 0.56 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.14 | 0.88 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 45m before kick-off · biggest step: away +2.5 pts at 7.8h
6.8Home 14% ▼ -5.5 ptsopened 4.825.48Draw 18% ▼ -2.9 ptsopened 4.611.41Away 68% ▲ +8.4 ptsopened 1.58
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 6.8 ▼ -5.5 | 5.48 ▼ -2.9 | 1.41 ▲ +8.4 | 45m |
| bet365 | 6.25 ▼ -5.5 | 5.25 ▼ -2.7 | 1.4 ▲ +8.2 | 45m |
| Betfair | 6.5 ▼ -5.6 | 5.0 ▼ -2.4 | 1.36 ▲ +8.0 | 45m |
| BetVictor | 7.0 ▼ -6.3 | 5.25 ▼ -2.9 | 1.36 ▲ +9.3 | 45m |
| Coral | 6.0 ▼ -5.2 | 5.25 ▼ -3.4 | 1.44 ▲ +8.6 | 45m |
| Ladbrokes | 6.0 ▼ -4.9 | 5.25 ▼ -3.1 | 1.44 ▲ +8.0 | 45m |
| Unibet | 6.4 ▼ -4.5 | 5.1 ▼ -2.9 | 1.38 ▲ +7.4 | 45m |
| WilliamHill | 6.0 ▼ -5.2 | 4.8 ▼ -2.8 | 1.4 ▲ +8.0 | 45m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 45m before kick-off · biggest step: no -1.7 pts at 6.8h
1.5Yes 62% · +0.0 ptsopened 1.52.5No 38% · +0.0 ptsopened 2.5
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.5 · +0.0 | 2.5 · +0.0 | 45m |
| Betfair | 1.44 ▲ +1.1 | 2.7 ▼ -1.1 | 45m |
| BetVictor | 1.44 ▼ -1.9 | 2.55 ▲ +1.9 | 45m |
| Unibet | 1.45 · +0.0 | 2.55 · +0.0 | 45m |
| WilliamHill | 1.44 · +0.0 | 2.62 · +0.0 | 45m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 45m before kick-off · biggest step: under -2.1 pts at 8.8h
1.32Over 73% ▲ +4.0 ptsopened 1.383.5Under 27% ▼ -4.0 ptsopened 3.01
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.32 ▲ +4.0 | 3.5 ▼ -4.0 | 45m |
| bet365 | 1.33 ▲ +4.7 | 3.4 ▼ -4.7 | 45m |
| Betfair | 1.3 ▲ +2.8 | 3.4 ▼ -2.8 | 45m |
| BetVictor | 1.29 ▲ +4.4 | 3.4 ▼ -4.4 | 45m |
| Unibet | 1.3 ▲ +4.6 | 3.35 ▼ -4.6 | 45m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.8h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
6.25Home 15% P 14%5.25Draw 18% P 18%1.4Away 67% P 68%
Double Chance
2.75Telstar or Draw 17%1.16Telstar or Ajax 41%1.12Draw or Ajax 42%
Draw No Bet
5.51 17%1.142 83%
Both Teams To Score
1.5Yes 62%2.5No 38%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.33Over 72% P 73%3.4Under 28% P 27%
Total Corners
15.0Under 6 6%4.06 - 8 22%2.629 - 11 33%3.412 - 14 25%6.0Over 14 14%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 12.5–15% · away 67.5–70% · 116 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 14% | 13% | 18% | +4.8 |
| Draw | 18% | 18% | 15% | -3.5 |
| Away | 68% | 69% | 67% | -1.3 |
In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 61%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 72.5–75% · 217 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 73% | 73% | 74% | +0.3 |
Dennis Higler
- Career
- 328 matches · 16 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.25 (3.07 yellow · 0.13 red)
- Fouls / match
- 19.5 · 5.9 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.3
- Cards to home side
- 49%
Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 98 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.52 | 3.32 | +0.33 | 67 |
| Fouls / match | 22.2 | 20.3 | +0.80 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.6 | 6.2 | +0.28 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.29 | 0.24 | +0.70 | 71 |
| Time added | 6.7 | 6.4 | +0.69 | 76 |
- First card
- 42' on average
- Card timing
- 11% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 48% (league 44%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.14
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | – | – | 23 | – | – | 11 |
| 2026-02-21 | 4 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 37' | 5 |
| 2026-02-08 · Telstar | 1 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 70' | 7 |
| 2026-01-24 | 7 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 41' | 8 |
| 2026-01-17 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 23' | 7 |
| 2025-12-21 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 0 | 65' | 6 |
| 2025-11-08 | 6 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 27' | 7 |
| 2025-11-01 | 6 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 36' | 8 |
| 2025-10-19 · Telstar | 3 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 4' | 6 |
| 2025-09-27 | – | – | 13 | – | – | 4 |