Rating 6.89 (36th pct) · G+A 3 + 0 (50% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Eredivisie · Matchweek 4
Momentum
– Willem IIHEE –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Willem II | at home | Stat | league | away | SC Heerenveen |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37.3 #17 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 54.0 #7 |
| 11.3 #14 | – | Shots total | 15.0 | – | 14.7 #8 |
| 2.7 #17 | – | Shots on target | 5.4 | – | 5.3 #7 |
| 3.8 #13 | – | Corners | 5.3 | – | 5.0 #8 |
| 9.0 #12 | – | Fouls | 10.3 | – | 8.3 #16 |
| 1.2 #13 | – | Offsides | 1.4 | – | 1.3 #9 |
| 13.2 #12 | – | Tackles | 14.7 | – | 11.5 #16 |
| 80.5 #13 | – | Attacks | 94.5 | – | 107.7 #6 |
| 33.0 #15 | – | Dangerous attacks | 48.9 | – | 54.3 #7 |
| 338.8 #16 | – | Passes | 445.6 | – | 505.0 #7 |
| 0.8 #14 | – | Yellowcards | 1.3 | – | 1.2 #10 |
| 1.0 #12 | – | Assists | 1.5 | – | 1.0 #12 |
| – #5 | – | Btts | 74.1 | – | – #15 |
| – #10 | – | Cleansheet | 13.9 | – | – #1 |
| – #3 | – | Draw | 25.9 | – | – #1 |
| 1.4 #13 | – | Expected goals | 1.8 | – | 1.3 #14 |
| -0.4 #16 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.2 | – | -0.2 #15 |
| – #5 | – | Failed to score | 13.9 | – | – #2 |
| 1.0 #15 | 1.0 | Goals | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.2 #14 |
| 3.2 #1 | 3.0 | Goals conceded | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 #12 |
| 0.2 #13 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | – |
| 9.7 #4 | – | Interceptions | 8.5 | – | 6.8 #16 |
| – #2 | – | Lost | 37.0 | – | – #9 |
| 6.6 #18 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.9 #7 |
| 3.8 #9 | – | Shots blocked | 4.0 | – | 4.7 #4 |
| 7.8 #14 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.9 | – | 8.5 #12 |
| 4.8 #10 | – | Shots off target | 5.7 | – | 4.7 #13 |
| 3.5 #16 | – | Shots outsidebox | 5.0 | – | 6.2 #6 |
| – #17 | – | Win | 37.0 | – | – #11 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 53 of 306
- Goals / match
- 3.91 (home 1.64 · away 2.26)
- Home / draw / away
- 26% · 26% · 47%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 74% · 79%
- Cards / match
- 2.75 (reds 0.06)
Trends
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Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Willem II · 2026/2027 · Eredivisie
Rating 6.88 (39th pct) · G+A 1 + 2 (50% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 6.8 (54th pct) · G+A 0 + 2 (33% of team goals) · 95% of minutes
SC Heerenveen · 2026/2027 · Eredivisie
Rating 7.28 (81th pct) · G+A 2 + 1 (43% of team goals) · 97% of minutes
Rating 6.91 (44th pct) · G+A 0 + 2 (29% of team goals) · 96% of minutes
Rating 6.99 (53th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (14% of team goals) · 85% of minutes
Absences
Willem II
- injury Amine Lachkar midfielder · Groin Injury · 52 missed
- injury Anass Zarrouk midfielder · Surgery · 18 missed
- injury Armin Culum attacker · Foot Injury · 6 missed
- injury Jari Schuurman midfielder · Back Injury · 32 missed
- injury Lasse Abildgaard attacker · Unknown Injury · 2 missed
- injury Thomas Didillon-Hödl goalkeeper · Hamstring Injury · 1 missed
- injury Tonny Vilhena #12 key player midfielder · Fitness
SC Heerenveen
- injury Marcus Linday #11 key player midfielder · Knee Injury
- injury Mats Egbring defender · Ankle Injury · 2 missed
Commentary
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In-Play Odds
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Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 4
Venue
- Stadium
- Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg
- Capacity
- 14,700
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 15,000
Teams
- Coaches
- John Stegeman · Robin Veldman
- Position
- 16 · 11
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
Referee
Jannick van der Laan
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 22.2° (feels 22.3°)
- Wind
- 4.0
- Humidity
- 70%
Where to watch · 4
Netherlands
Canal+ · ESPN 3 · ESPN Extra · Watch ESPN
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 7 | 15 | 16 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  AZ Alkmaar |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 16 | WWWWD |
| 3 |  Feyenoord |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 14 | DWDWW |
| 4 |  Ajax |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 13 | DWLWW |
| 5 |  FC Twente |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 13 | WWDWW |
| 6 |  Excelsior |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 10 | LWWDL |
| 7 |  Fortuna Sittard |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 | WLWWL |
| 8 |  Go Ahead Eagles |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 9 | DWLDD |
| 9 |  FC Groningen |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 8 | WLLDD |
| 10 |  NEC Nijmegen |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 7 | WWLDL |
| 11 |  SC Heerenveen |
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 6 | DLDLD |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 5 | WDLDL |
| 13 |  Telstar |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 5 | LLDLD |
| 14 |  FC Utrecht |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 5 | LDLDW |
| 15 |  SC Cambuur |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 4 | LLLDW |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 17 |  Willem II |
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 18 |  ADO Den Haag |
6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Twente |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 9 | WWDWW |
| 2 | PSV |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 7 | WWWWW |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 7 | WWWWD |
| 4 | Go Ahead Eagles |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 7 | DWLDD |
| 5 | Ajax |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 4 | DWLWW |
| 6 | FC Groningen |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 | WLLDD |
| 7 | SC Heerenveen |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | DLDLD |
| 8 | Excelsior |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 | LWWDL |
| 9 | Fortuna Sittard |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | WLWWL |
| 10 | SC Cambuur |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LLLDW |
| 11 | Feyenoord |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DWDWW |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 2 | WDLDL |
| 13 | NEC Nijmegen |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 | WWLDL |
| 14 | Telstar |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LLDLD |
| 15 | Willem II |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LDLDL |
| 16 | FC Utrecht |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 1 | LDLDW |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 0 | LLDLL |
| 18 | PEC Zwolle |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | -11 | 0 | LWLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 12 | DWDWW |
| 2 | Ajax |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 9 | DWLWW |
| 3 | PSV |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 4 | AZ Alkmaar |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 9 | WWWWD |
| 5 | Excelsior |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 7 | LWWDL |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 7 | WLWWL |
| 7 | NEC Nijmegen |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 6 | WWLDL |
| 8 | FC Twente |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 | WWDWW |
| 9 | FC Utrecht |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 | LDLDW |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 11 | Telstar |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | LLDLD |
| 12 | FC Groningen |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 4 | WLLDD |
| 13 | Sparta Rotterdam |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 | WDLDL |
| 14 | SC Heerenveen |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DLDLD |
| 15 | Go Ahead Eagles |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 2 | DWLDD |
| 16 | SC Cambuur |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 1 | LLLDW |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LLDLL |
| 18 | Willem II |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 | LDLDL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Willem II
LL 0W 0D 2L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 2 GA 8 · xG 3.01–5.21 · xPts 1.63
- L
H
NEC Nijmegen
1–4
xG 1.42–2.78
NLD E
- L
A
Go Ahead Eagles
1–4
xG 1.6–2.43
NLD E
LL 0W 0D 2L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 2 GA 8 · xG 3.01–5.21 · xPts 1.63
- L
H
NEC Nijmegen
1–4
xG 1.42–2.78
NLD E
- L
A
Go Ahead Eagles
1–4
xG 1.6–2.43
NLD E
SC Heerenveen
DLWDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 7 · xG 6.78–9.69 · xPts 5.09
- L
H
PEC Zwolle
0–2
xG 1.06–1.62
NLD E
- D
A
Ajax
2–2
xG 1.45–2.11
NLD E
- W
H
FC Twente
1–0
xG 0.58–2.01
NLD E
- L
A
FC Utrecht
2–3
xG 1.29–2.19
NLD E
- D
H
Ajax
0–0
xG 2.41–1.77
NLD E
WLDLWDL 2W 2D 3L · 8 pts (1.14 ppg) · GF 7 GA 9 · xG 10.02–13.21 · xPts 7.73
- L
H
PEC Zwolle
0–2
xG 1.06–1.62
NLD E
- D
A
Ajax
2–2
xG 1.45–2.11
NLD E
- W
H
FC Twente
1–0
xG 0.58–2.01
NLD E
- L
A
FC Utrecht
2–3
xG 1.29–2.19
NLD E
- D
H
Ajax
0–0
xG 2.41–1.77
NLD E
- L
A
NAC Breda
0–2
xG 1.24–2.18
NLD E - W
A
FC Volendam
2–0
xG 2.0–1.33
NLD E
All meetings · 32 matches since 2005
Goals 49–75 · 3.88 per match · BTTS 78% · over 2.5 81%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 13–22 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 5–9 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%
Recent meetings
- D Willem II 2–2 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
- L SC Heerenveen 3–1 Willem II NLD E · Regular Season
- L Willem II 1–2 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
- D Willem II 0–0 SC Heerenveen neutral NLD E · Regular Season
- L SC Heerenveen 2–1 Willem II NLD E · Regular Season
- W Willem II 3–1 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
- L SC Heerenveen 2–0 Willem II NLD E · Regular Season
- W SC Heerenveen 1–2 Willem II NLD E · Regular Season
- L SC Heerenveen 4–2 Willem II NLD E · Regular Season
- L Willem II 1–5 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
| Metric | Willem II all · 6 | Willem II at home · 3 | SC Heerenveen all · 6 | SC Heerenveen away · 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | 6 | – |
| Points per game | 0.33 | – | 1.00 | – |
| W / D / L | 0 / 2 / 4 | – | 1 / 3 / 2 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.00 | – | 1.17 | – |
| Goals against / match | 3.17 | – | 1.50 | – |
| Clean sheets | 0% | – | 33% | – |
| Failed to score | 17% | – | 33% | – |
| Both teams scored | 83% | – | 50% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 83% | – | 50% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.35 | – | 1.32 | – |
| xG against / match | 2.42 | – | 1.66 | – |
| xG difference | -1.07 | – | -0.34 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.35 | – | -0.15 | – |
| xPts / match | 0.83 | – | 1.17 | – |
| Points vs xPts | -0.49 | – | -0.17 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 33% | – | 17% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 0.50 | – | 3.00 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.25 | – | 0.50 | – |
| Came back from behind | 33% | – | 50% | – |
| Leads held | 0% | – | 33% | – |
| Minutes leading | 4% | – | 15% | – |
| Minutes level | 48% | – | 59% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 48% | – | 26% | – |
| First goal (min) | 62 | – | 46 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 37 | – | 31 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 83% | – | 57% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 63% | – | 67% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.67 | – | 0.33 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.50 | – | 0.33 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 37% | – | 54% | – |
| Shots | 11.3 | – | 14.8 | – |
| On target | 2.7 | – | 5.5 | – |
| Shot conversion | 9% | – | 8% | – |
| Shots inside box | 69% | – | 58% | – |
| Big chances created | 2.2 | – | 1.8 | – |
| Corners | 3.8 | – | 5.0 | – |
| xG from set plays | 12% | – | 17% | – |
| Goals from headers | 0% | – | 0% | – |
| Pressure index | 6.3 | – | 12.0 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 24.3 | – | 45.8 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 76% | – | 85% | – |
| Fouls | 9.0 | – | 8.2 | – |
| Cards | 0.83 | – | 1.17 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Willem II
0–15'11
16–30'01
31–45'05
46–60'01
61–75'18
76–90'43
SC Heerenveen
0–15'02
16–30'20
31–45'11
46–60'11
61–75'13
76–90'22
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Willem II · 6 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.53
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.226
Early press (0-15, level)-0.406
Late push (76+, level)-0.642
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.433
Game state
When ahead+0.062
When level-0.376
When behind-0.026
10 min after conceding-0.536
10 min after scoring-0.323
Situations
At home-0.083
Away-0.363
4+ days rest-0.226
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.402
v mid-tier opponents-0.083
As underdog-0.375
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.716
Conceded when ahead+0.892
Conceded late (76+)+0.943
Ahead vs level +0.43 · Behind vs level +0.35
SC Heerenveen · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.36
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.046
Early press (0-15, level)+0.106
Late push (76+, level)+0.054
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.363
Game state
When ahead-0.303
When level+0.206
When behind-0.124
10 min after conceding+0.124
10 min after scoring+0.274
Situations
At home-0.064
Away+0.252
4+ days rest+0.046
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.243
v bottom-tier opponents+0.323
As favourite+0.323
As underdog-0.243
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.186
Conceded when ahead+0.933
Conceded late (76+)+0.256
Ahead vs level -0.51 · Behind vs level -0.32
Willem II
Current: winless 23 · scoring 2 · conceding 24
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 67% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.75 | 1.28 | 2.33 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 17% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 2.43 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 17% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.42 | 2.78 |
SC Heerenveen
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 67% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.75 | 1.38 | 1.56 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.58 | 2.01 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 17% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.83 | 1.69 |
| Metric | Willem II all · 10 | Willem II at home · 10 | SC Heerenveen all · 10 | SC Heerenveen away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.40 | 0.10 | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| W / D / L | 0 / 4 / 6 | 0 / 1 / 9 | 2 / 4 / 4 | 3 / 3 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.00 | 0.90 | 1.10 | 1.60 |
| Goals against / match | 2.50 | 2.50 | 1.40 | 1.90 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% | 40% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 90% | 70% | 40% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 80% | 40% | 80% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.20 | 0.99 | 1.49 | 1.54 |
| xG against / match | 2.36 | 2.19 | 1.74 | 2.18 |
| xG difference | -1.16 | -1.20 | -0.26 | -0.64 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.20 | -0.09 | -0.39 | 0.06 |
| xPts / match | 0.77 | 0.73 | 1.23 | 1.07 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.37 | -0.63 | -0.23 | 0.13 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 30% | 30% | 20% | 30% |
| PPG when scoring first | 0.67 | 0.33 | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.29 | 0.00 | 0.33 | 0.86 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | 10% | 33% | 50% |
| Leads held | 0% | 0% | 50% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 11% | 10% | 18% | 22% |
| Minutes level | 45% | 35% | 56% | 42% |
| Minutes trailing | 44% | 55% | 26% | 36% |
| First goal (min) | 53 | 53 | 41 | 41 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 37 | 34 | 34 | 39 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 70% | 78% | 64% | 62% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 60% | 56% | 71% | 63% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| Late goals against | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 41% | 46% | 54% | 49% |
| Shots | 11.3 | 11.2 | 14.2 | 12.5 |
| On target | 3.3 | 3.8 | 5.0 | 4.9 |
| Shot conversion | 9% | 8% | 8% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 67% | 61% | 62% | 70% |
| Big chances created | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.1 |
| Corners | 3.7 | 4.4 | 5.4 | 4.6 |
| xG from set plays | 19% | 15% | 21% | 15% |
| Goals from headers | 11% | 11% | 11% | 7% |
| Pressure index | 5.4 | 8.7 | 11.2 | 9.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 27.7 | 34.7 | 47.6 | 42.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 77% | 77% | 83% | 80% |
| Fouls | 8.9 | 9.6 | 9.1 | 9.5 |
| Cards | 1.10 | 1.60 | 1.20 | 0.90 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Willem II
0–15'21
16–30'04
31–45'15
46–60'11
61–75'29
76–90'45
SC Heerenveen
0–15'12
16–30'20
31–45'12
46–60'24
61–75'14
76–90'42
Willem II
Current: winless 23 · scoring 2 · conceding 24
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 50% | 0.4 | 1.0 | 2.6 | 1.17 | 2.33 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 30% | 0.67 | 1.0 | 1.33 | 1.05 | 2.25 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.42 | 2.78 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 2.43 |
SC Heerenveen
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 8 80% | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.56 | 1.72 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.58 | 2.01 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.83 | 1.69 |
| Metric | Willem II all · 6 | Willem II at home · 3 | SC Heerenveen all · 36 | SC Heerenveen away · 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | 36 | 18 |
| Points per game | 0.33 | – | 1.53 | 1.28 |
| W / D / L | 0 / 2 / 4 | – | 15 / 10 / 11 | 6 / 5 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 1.00 | – | 1.69 | 1.61 |
| Goals against / match | 3.17 | – | 1.58 | 1.83 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | – | 19% | 17% |
| Failed to score | 17% | – | 25% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 83% | – | 61% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 | 83% | – | 69% | 78% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.35 | – | 1.70 | 1.52 |
| xG against / match | 2.42 | – | 1.64 | 2.03 |
| xG difference | -1.07 | – | 0.06 | -0.51 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.35 | – | 0.00 | 0.09 |
| xPts / match | 0.83 | – | 1.45 | 1.17 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.49 | – | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 33% | – | 36% | 33% |
| PPG when scoring first | 0.50 | – | 2.46 | 2.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.25 | – | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | – | 52% | 46% |
| Leads held | 0% | – | 68% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 4% | – | 26% | 24% |
| Minutes level | 48% | – | 47% | 44% |
| Minutes trailing | 48% | – | 27% | 32% |
| First goal (min) | 62 | – | 39 | 41 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 37 | – | 39 | 38 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 83% | – | 59% | 62% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 63% | – | 58% | 58% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.67 | – | 0.39 | 0.39 |
| Late goals against | 0.50 | – | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 37% | – | 51% | 50% |
| Shots | 11.3 | – | 14.7 | 13.7 |
| On target | 2.7 | – | 5.6 | 5.3 |
| Shot conversion | 9% | – | 12% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 69% | – | 65% | 65% |
| Big chances created | 2.2 | – | 2.4 | 2.3 |
| Corners | 3.8 | – | 5.4 | 5.1 |
| xG from set plays | 12% | – | 21% | 19% |
| Goals from headers | 0% | – | 3% | 4% |
| Pressure index | 6.3 | – | 12.6 | 11.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 24.3 | – | 47.6 | 47.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 76% | – | 81% | 80% |
| Fouls | 9.0 | – | 10.5 | 11.1 |
| Cards | 0.83 | – | 1.42 | 1.33 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Willem II
0–15'11
16–30'01
31–45'05
46–60'01
61–75'18
76–90'43
SC Heerenveen
0–15'17
16–30'1010
31–45'147
46–60'1113
61–75'1110
76–90'1410
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Willem II · 6 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.53
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.226
Early press (0-15, level)-0.406
Late push (76+, level)-0.642
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.433
Game state
When ahead+0.062
When level-0.376
When behind-0.026
10 min after conceding-0.536
10 min after scoring-0.323
Situations
At home-0.083
Away-0.363
4+ days rest-0.226
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.402
v mid-tier opponents-0.083
As underdog-0.375
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.716
Conceded when ahead+0.892
Conceded late (76+)+0.943
Ahead vs level +0.43 · Behind vs level +0.35
SC Heerenveen · 36 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.07) · stands out: as favourite +0.29
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0736
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0236
Late push (76+, level)-0.0512
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1912
Game state
When ahead-0.0522
When level+0.1436
When behind+0.0723
10 min after conceding-0.1329
10 min after scoring+0.1927
Situations
At home+0.0318
Away+0.1218
4+ days rest+0.0736
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1611
v mid-tier opponents+0.099
v bottom-tier opponents+0.1711
As favourite+0.2914
Evenly matched+0.1110
As underdog-0.2112
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0636
Conceded when ahead+0.1222
Conceded late (76+)+0.0431
Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level -0.07
Willem II
Current: winless 23 · scoring 2 · conceding 24
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 67% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.75 | 1.28 | 2.33 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 17% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.42 | 2.78 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 17% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 2.43 |
SC Heerenveen
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 34 94% | 1.5 | 1.71 | 1.62 | 1.73 | 1.63 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.58 | 2.01 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.83 | 1.69 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 30m before kick-off
4.02Home 24% · -0.7 ptsopened 3.844.26Draw 23% · +0.7 ptsopened 4.311.81Away 53% · +0.0 ptsopened 1.78
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 4.02 · -0.7 | 4.26 · +0.7 | 1.81 · +0.0 | 30m |
| bet365 | 3.9 · +0.6 | 4.33 ▼ -1.8 | 1.75 ▲ +1.3 | 30m |
| Betfair | 3.8 · +0.1 | 4.2 · -0.4 | 1.75 · +0.3 | 30m |
| BetVictor | 3.9 · +0.0 | 4.1 · +0.0 | 1.75 · +0.0 | 30m |
| Coral | 3.9 · +0.0 | 4.0 · +0.0 | 1.8 · +0.0 | 30m |
| Ladbrokes | 3.9 · -0.5 | 4.0 · +0.1 | 1.8 · +0.3 | 30m |
| Unibet | 3.95 ▼ -1.6 | 3.9 · -0.0 | 1.77 ▲ +1.7 | 30m |
| WilliamHill | 3.8 ▼ -1.2 | 3.9 · -0.5 | 1.75 ▲ +1.7 | 30m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 30m before kick-off · biggest step: no -2.0 pts at 2.1d
1.44Yes 65% · +0.0 ptsopened 1.442.62No 35% · +0.0 ptsopened 2.62
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.44 · +0.0 | 2.62 · +0.0 | 30m |
| Betfair | 1.44 ▼ -1.4 | 2.7 ▲ +1.4 | 30m |
| BetVictor | 1.4 · +0.0 | 2.7 · +0.0 | 30m |
| Unibet | 1.43 · +0.8 | 2.6 · -0.8 | 30m |
| WilliamHill | 1.44 · +0.0 | 2.6 · +0.0 | 30m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 30m before kick-off · biggest step: over +1.2 pts at 4.6d
1.47Over 65% · -0.5 ptsopened 1.442.79Under 35% · +0.5 ptsopened 2.79
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.47 · -0.5 | 2.79 · +0.5 | 30m |
| bet365 | 1.44 · +0.0 | 2.7 · +0.0 | 30m |
| Betfair | 1.4 · +0.0 | 2.88 · +0.0 | 30m |
| BetVictor | 1.4 · +0.0 | 2.75 · +0.0 | 30m |
| Unibet | 1.48 · +0.9 | 2.63 · -0.9 | 30m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.5h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
3.9Home 24% P 24%4.33Draw 22% P 23%1.75Away 54% P 53%
Double Chance
2.0Willem II or Draw 23%1.2Willem II or Heerenveen 39%1.25Draw or Heerenveen 38%
Draw No Bet
3.01 31%1.362 69%
Both Teams To Score
1.44Yes 65%2.62No 35%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.44Over 65% P 65%2.7Under 35% P 35%
Total Corners
13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.629 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 22.5–25% · away 52.5–55% · 125 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 24% | 23% | 21% | -2.5 |
| Draw | 23% | 23% | 20% | -3.2 |
| Away | 53% | 54% | 59% | +5.7 |
In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 62%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 65% | 66% | 69% | +3.2 |
Jannick van der Laan
- Career
- 63 matches · 7 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.22 (3.08 yellow · 0.14 red)
- Fouls / match
- 22.1 · 6.9 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.24
- Cards to home side
- 45%
Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 56 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.11 | 3.32 | -0.54 | 23 |
| Fouls / match | 21.7 | 20.3 | +0.59 | |
| Fouls per card | 7.2 | 6.2 | +1.27 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.18 | 0.24 | -0.67 | 18 |
| Time added | 7.0 | 6.4 | +0.98 | 86 |
- First card
- 41' on average
- Card timing
- 12% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 45% (league 44%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.0
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 33' | 12 |
| 2026-05-21 · SC Heerenveen | 1 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 49' | 6 |
| 2026-05-10 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 17' | 4 |
| 2026-04-26 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 87' | 16 |
| 2026-04-04 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 12' | 10 |
| 2026-03-06 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 61' | 7 |
| 2026-03-01 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 28' | 7 |
| 2026-02-17 | 7 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 28' | – |
| 2026-02-01 · SC Heerenveen | 3 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 47' | 7 |
| 2026-01-24 | 4 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 59' | 5 |