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Eredivisie · Matchweek 4

Momentum

AZ AlkmaarGAE
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
4

Venue

Stadium
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
Capacity
19,500
Surface
grass
Attendance
18,213

Teams

Coaches
Leeroy Echteld · Joseph Oosting
Position
1 · 2
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Alex Bos

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
18.2° (feels 18.5°)
Wind
7.1
Humidity
91%

Where to watch · 6

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 6510 22715 16 WWWWW
2 AZ Alkmaar 6510 17611 16 WWWWD
3 Feyenoord 6420 20713 14 DWDWW
4 Ajax 6411 19712 13 DWLWW
5 FC Twente 6411 1257 13 WWDWW
6 Excelsior 6312 1376 10 LWWDL
7 Fortuna Sittard 6312 1214-2 10 WLWWL
8 Go Ahead Eagles 6231 15132 9 DWLDD
9 FC Groningen 6222 1213-1 8 WLLDD
10 NEC Nijmegen 6213 1112-1 7 WWLDL
11 SC Heerenveen 6132 79-2 6 DLDLD
12 Sparta Rotterdam 6123 1013-3 5 WDLDL
13 Telstar 6123 511-6 5 LLDLD
14 FC Utrecht 6123 1119-8 5 LDLDW
15 SC Cambuur 6114 918-9 4 LLLDW
16 PEC Zwolle 6114 617-11 4 LWLDL
17 Willem II 6024 619-13 2 LDLDL
18 ADO Den Haag 6015 616-10 1 LLDLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

AZ Alkmaar

DDWWW 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 12 GA 5 · xG 12.25–5.41 · xPts 9.83

  • W A Fortuna Sittard 2–0 xG 4.65–0.28 NLD E
  • W A FC Utrecht 4–1 xG 2.5–0.95 NLD E
  • W H ADO Den Haag 2–0 xG 2.72–1.04 NLD E
  • D H NAC Breda 3–3 xG 1.46–2.03 NLD E
  • D A Feyenoord 1–1 xG 0.92–1.1 NLD E

Go Ahead Eagles

LLWDW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 11 GA 10 · xG 6.61–13.04 · xPts 4.63

  • W H ADO Den Haag 3–1 xG 0.99–0.84 NLD E
  • D A Feyenoord 2–2 xG 1.32–2.72 NLD E
  • W H Willem II 4–1 xG 2.43–1.6 NLD E
  • L A NEC Nijmegen 1–2 xG 0.69–5.12 NLD E
  • L H PSV 1–4 xG 1.19–2.76 NLD E

All meetings · 17 matches since 2013

AZ Alkmaar 124 draws1 Go Ahead Eagles

Goals 48–14 · 3.65 per match · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 76%

Last 10 · 10 matches

AZ Alkmaar 73 draws0 Go Ahead Eagles

Goals 30–9 · 3.9 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

AZ Alkmaar 23 draws0 Go Ahead Eagles

Goals 12–6 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W AZ Alkmaar 5–2 Go Ahead Eagles NLD E · Regular Season
  • D Go Ahead Eagles 0–0 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
  • D AZ Alkmaar 2–2 Go Ahead Eagles NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Go Ahead Eagles 0–3 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
  • D AZ Alkmaar 2–2 Go Ahead Eagles NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Go Ahead Eagles 0–3 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
  • W AZ Alkmaar 5–1 Go Ahead Eagles NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Go Ahead Eagles 1–4 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
  • W AZ Alkmaar 2–0 Go Ahead Eagles NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Go Ahead Eagles 1–4 AZ Alkmaar NLD E · Regular Season
MetricAZ Alkmaar all · 6AZ Alkmaar at home · 3Go Ahead Eagles all · 6Go Ahead Eagles away · 3
Results
Matches66
Points per game2.671.50
W / D / L5 / 1 / 02 / 3 / 1
Goals for / match2.832.50
Goals against / match1.002.17
Clean sheets33%0%
Failed to score0%0%
Both teams scored67%100%
Over 2.550%83%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.781.77
xG against / match1.051.81
xG difference1.73-0.04
Finishing vs xG0.060.73
xPts / match2.221.42
Points vs xPts0.450.08
Game state
Scored first100%33%
PPG when scoring first2.672.00
PPG when conceding first1.25
Came back from behind100%75%
Leads held83%67%
Minutes leading46%28%
Minutes level47%37%
Minutes trailing7%34%
First goal (min)3542
First goal conceded (min)4638
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half71%73%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.670.67
Late goals against0.330.67
Style
Possession58%53%
Shots19.815.3
On target7.56.3
Shot conversion14%16%
Shots inside box64%68%
Big chances created3.03.3
Corners9.25.3
xG from set plays21%25%
Goals from headers0%13%
Pressure index22.115.1
Dominant minutes66.846.3
Pass accuracy86%82%
Fouls10.27.7
Cards0.830.83

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

AZ Alkmaar

0–15'20
16–30'03
31–45'30
46–60'40
61–75'41
76–90'42

Go Ahead Eagles

0–15'02
16–30'30
31–45'14
46–60'21
61–75'52
76–90'44

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

AZ Alkmaar · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.37) · stands out: at home +0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.377
Early press (0-15, level)-0.017
Late push (76+, level)+0.702

Game state

When ahead+0.366
When level+0.327
When behind+0.632
10 min after conceding+0.305
10 min after scoring+0.396

Situations

At home+0.573
Away+0.224
4+ days rest+0.377

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.223
v bottom-tier opponents+0.464
As favourite+0.465

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.177
Conceded when ahead-0.286
Conceded late (76+)-0.316

Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level +0.31

Go Ahead Eagles · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.16) · stands out: at home +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.166
Early press (0-15, level)+0.096
Late push (76+, level)+0.293
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.072

Game state

When ahead-0.033
When level+0.236
When behind+0.234
10 min after conceding-0.366
10 min after scoring+0.326

Situations

At home+0.533
Away-0.213
4+ days rest+0.166

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.362
v mid-tier opponents+0.462
v bottom-tier opponents+0.342
As favourite+0.342
As underdog-0.213

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.206
Conceded when ahead+0.323
Conceded late (76+)+0.014

Ahead vs level -0.26 · Behind vs level -0.00

AZ Alkmaar

Current: winless 2 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-16 100%2.672.831.02.781.05

Go Ahead Eagles

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 9 · conceding 9

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-16 100%1.52.52.171.771.81

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 45m before kick-off · biggest step: home +1.5 pts at 6.8h

1.38Home 70% ▲ +1.7 ptsopened 1.395.73Draw 17% · -1.0 ptsopened 5.327.23Away 13% · -0.7 ptsopened 6.77
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 10%20%30%40%50%60%70%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.38 ▲ +1.75.73 · -1.07.23 · -0.745m
bet3651.36 ▲ +2.85.25 ▼ -1.48.0 ▼ -1.445m
Betfair1.33 ▲ +1.35.0 · +0.37.5 ▼ -1.645m
BetVictor1.33 ▲ +1.15.25 · -0.17.5 · -1.045m
Coral1.36 ▲ +1.95.5 · -0.87.0 ▼ -1.145m
Ladbrokes1.36 ▲ +1.95.5 · -0.87.0 ▼ -1.145m
Unibet1.35 ▲ +1.35.5 · -0.97.0 · -0.445m
WilliamHill1.35 · +0.75.0 · -0.76.5 · +0.045m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.8h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.36Home 70% P 70%5.25Draw 18% P 17%8.0Away 12% P 13%

Double Chance

1.08AZ or Draw 44%1.16AZ or Go Ahead Eagles 41%3.0Draw or Go Ahead Eagles 16%

Draw No Bet

1.121 84%6.02 16%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61%2.37No 39%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.33Over 72% P 71%3.4Under 28% P 29%

Total Corners

19.0Under 6 5%4.56 - 8 19%2.759 - 11 32%3.2512 - 14 27%5.0Over 14 17%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 67.5–70% · away 12.5–15% · 243 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home70%68%68%-0.1
Draw17%18%18%-0.3
Away13%13%14%+0.4

In those fixtures: 3.4 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 65%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 70–72.5% · 477 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.571%71%70%-1.4

Alex Bos

Career
61 matches · 6 seasons
Cards / match
3.0 (2.8 yellow · 0.11 red)
Fouls / match
21.8 · 7.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 57 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.353.32-0.0341
Fouls / match21.720.3+0.59
Fouls per card7.06.2+0.99 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.350.24+1.5296
Time added6.26.4-0.4641
First card
42' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.19

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-16 40 180 51'5
2026-08-08 20 150 33'4
2026-05-10 30 280 44'8
2026-05-02 21 250 35'13
2026-04-11 70 180 7'5
2026-04-04 17 4
2026-03-13 30 220 19'6
2026-03-08 · Go Ahead Eagles 10 161 73'5
2026-02-07 40 230 83'7
2026-01-31 27 11