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Eredivisie · Matchweek 4

Momentum

ExcelsiorSPR
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
4

Venue

Stadium
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Rotterdam
Capacity
4,500
Surface
artificial turf
Attendance
4,600

Teams

Coaches
Ruben den Uil · Rogier Meijer
Position
10 · 8
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Serdar Gozubuyuk

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
18.9° (feels 19.2°)
Wind
6.7
Humidity
90%

Where to watch · 6

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 6510 22715 16 WWWWW
2 AZ Alkmaar 6510 17611 16 WWWWD
3 Feyenoord 6420 20713 14 DWDWW
4 Ajax 6411 19712 13 DWLWW
5 FC Twente 6411 1257 13 WWDWW
6 Excelsior 6312 1376 10 LWWDL
7 Fortuna Sittard 6312 1214-2 10 WLWWL
8 Go Ahead Eagles 6231 15132 9 DWLDD
9 FC Groningen 6222 1213-1 8 WLLDD
10 NEC Nijmegen 6213 1112-1 7 WWLDL
11 SC Heerenveen 6132 79-2 6 DLDLD
12 Sparta Rotterdam 6123 1013-3 5 WDLDL
13 Telstar 6123 511-6 5 LLDLD
14 FC Utrecht 6123 1119-8 5 LDLDW
15 SC Cambuur 6114 918-9 4 LLLDW
16 PEC Zwolle 6114 617-11 4 LWLDL
17 Willem II 6024 619-13 2 LDLDL
18 ADO Den Haag 6015 616-10 1 LLDLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Excelsior

WDWWL 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 12 GA 7 · xG 8.01–5.75 · xPts 8.08

  • L H PSV 1–2 xG 0.68–1.96 NLD E
  • W A SC Cambuur 4–0 xG 2.56–0.84 NLD E
  • W A Sparta Rotterdam 3–2 xG 1.91–1.57 NLD E
  • D H FC Volendam 1–1 xG 0.45–0.42 NLD E
  • W A FC Groningen 3–2 xG 2.42–0.95 NLD E

Sparta Rotterdam

LLLWD 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 8 GA 12 · xG 6.82–13.76 · xPts 4.33

  • D H FC Utrecht 3–3 xG 1.41–2.13 NLD E
  • W A Telstar 3–1 xG 2.13–1.43 NLD E
  • L H Feyenoord 0–1 xG 1.09–3.75 NLD E
  • L H Excelsior 2–3 xG 1.57–1.91 NLD E
  • L A FC Twente 0–4 xG 0.62–4.54 NLD E

All meetings · 15 matches since 2006

Excelsior 91 draws5 Sparta Rotterdam

Goals 29–27 · 3.73 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 73%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Excelsior 51 draws4 Sparta Rotterdam

Goals 17–19 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Excelsior 30 draws2 Sparta Rotterdam

Goals 9–9 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Excelsior 2–1 Sparta Rotterdam NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Sparta Rotterdam 2–3 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Excelsior 0–1 Sparta Rotterdam NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Sparta Rotterdam 4–2 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Excelsior 2–1 Sparta Rotterdam NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Excelsior 1–4 Sparta Rotterdam NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Sparta Rotterdam 1–0 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Sparta Rotterdam 2–3 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
  • D Excelsior 1–1 Sparta Rotterdam NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Sparta Rotterdam 2–3 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
MetricExcelsior all · 6Excelsior at home · 3Sparta Rotterdam all · 6Sparta Rotterdam away · 3
Results
Matches66
Points per game1.670.83
W / D / L3 / 1 / 21 / 2 / 3
Goals for / match2.171.67
Goals against / match1.172.17
Clean sheets33%0%
Failed to score0%17%
Both teams scored67%83%
Over 2.5100%83%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.561.74
xG against / match1.222.36
xG difference0.34-0.61
Finishing vs xG0.61-0.08
xPts / match1.581.13
Points vs xPts0.09-0.29
Game state
Scored first50%33%
PPG when scoring first3.001.50
PPG when conceding first0.330.50
Came back from behind33%40%
Leads held75%33%
Minutes leading36%19%
Minutes level35%44%
Minutes trailing29%36%
First goal (min)3728
First goal conceded (min)2535
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half46%60%
Goals conceded in 2nd half57%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.500.33
Late goals against0.330.83
Style
Possession44%48%
Shots12.513.5
On target5.25.0
Shot conversion17%12%
Shots inside box72%80%
Big chances created2.83.3
Corners5.06.5
xG from set plays21%26%
Goals from headers38%30%
Pressure index10.89.0
Dominant minutes48.731.8
Pass accuracy78%82%
Fouls11.79.5
Cards1.501.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Excelsior

0–15'12
16–30'20
31–45'41
46–60'12
61–75'20
76–90'32

Sparta Rotterdam

0–15'20
16–30'14
31–45'12
46–60'21
61–75'21
76–90'25

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Excelsior · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)+0.056
Late push (76+, level)+0.203
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.692

Game state

When ahead+0.114
When level+0.026
When behind-0.243
10 min after conceding-0.134
10 min after scoring+0.366

Situations

At home-0.153
Away+0.103
4+ days rest-0.025

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.072
v bottom-tier opponents+0.143
Evenly matched+0.094
As underdog-0.262

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.066
Conceded when ahead+0.194
Conceded late (76+)+0.285

Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level -0.26

Sparta Rotterdam · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.14) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.146
Early press (0-15, level)-0.496
Late push (76+, level)-0.483
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.314

Game state

When ahead-0.043
When level-0.086
When behind-0.245
10 min after conceding-0.315
10 min after scoring+0.485

Situations

At home-0.063
Away-0.253
4+ days rest-0.146

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.292
v mid-tier opponents-0.202
v bottom-tier opponents+0.152
Evenly matched-0.243
As underdog-0.292

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.336
Conceded when ahead-0.293
Conceded late (76+)+0.285

Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level -0.16

Excelsior

Current: winless 2 · scoring 11 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-32 33%1.51.51.51.21.38
4-1-4-11 17%0.01.02.00.891.46
4-2-3-11 17%3.04.00.02.560.84
3-4-31 17%1.02.02.01.841.21
5-4-11 17%3.03.00.01.691.06

Sparta Rotterdam

Current: winless 4 · scoring 5 · conceding 11

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 67%1.01.51.51.792.05
3-4-2-11 17%0.01.04.01.913.8
3-4-31 17%1.03.03.01.412.13

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 30m before kick-off · biggest step: away -2.4 pts at 5.5h

2.17Home 45% ▲ +5.8 ptsopened 2.463.81Draw 25% · -0.5 ptsopened 3.693.21Away 30% ▼ -5.3 ptsopened 2.69
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 25%30%35%40%45%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle2.17 ▲ +5.83.81 · -0.53.21 ▼ -5.330m
bet3652.25 · +0.13.75 · +0.32.9 · -0.430m
Betfair2.1 ▲ +3.53.6 ▲ +1.13.0 ▼ -4.630m
BetVictor2.1 ▲ +5.33.7 · +0.03.1 ▼ -5.330m
Coral2.2 ▲ +3.43.7 · +0.93.1 ▼ -4.330m
Ladbrokes2.15 ▲ +3.83.6 · +0.93.0 ▼ -4.730m
Unibet2.18 ▲ +3.23.65 · +0.42.95 ▼ -3.530m
WilliamHill2.1 ▲ +4.93.5 · -0.13.0 ▼ -4.830m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.5h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.25Home 42% P 45%3.75Draw 25% P 25%2.9Away 33% P 30%

Double Chance

1.36Excelsior or Draw 34%1.25Excelsior or Sparta Rotterdam 37%1.66Draw or Sparta Rotterdam 28%

Draw No Bet

1.571 59%2.252 41%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61%2.37No 39%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.61Over 58% P 59%2.25Under 42% P 41%

Total Corners

17.0Under 6 5%4.336 - 8 20%2.629 - 11 33%3.412 - 14 26%5.5Over 14 16%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 30–32.5% · 232 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home45%43%45%+1.8
Draw25%26%25%-0.8
Away30%31%30%-1.1

In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 66%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.559%59%60%+0.8

Serdar Gozubuyuk

Career
18 matches · 3 seasons
Cards / match
3.28 (3.17 yellow · 0.11 red)
Fouls / match
21.2 · 6.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.11
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 17 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.413.32+0.1050
Fouls / match21.420.3+0.40
Fouls per card6.36.2-0.20 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.060.24-2.200
Time added6.36.4-0.2850
First card
33' on average
Card timing
22% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-22 11 200 5'6
2026-08-18 20 220 65'7
2026-08-15 10 240 16'6
2026-05-10 41 240 27'5
2026-05-03 60 220 6'9
2026-04-25 20 170 78'6
2026-04-12 70 310 40'10
2026-04-04 10 160 71'9
2026-03-15 · Excelsior 40 220 27'6
2026-03-07 20 120 90'7