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Eredivisie · Matchweek 4

Momentum

FC GroningenFOR
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
4

Venue

Stadium
Euroborg, Groningen
Capacity
22,525
Surface
grass
Attendance
22,000

Teams

Coaches
Dick Lukkien · Danny Buijs
Position
5 · 8
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 5-3-2

Referee

Martijn Vos

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
16.5° (feels 16.6°)
Wind
4.6
Humidity
91%

Where to watch · 6

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 6510 22715 16 WWWWW
2 AZ Alkmaar 6510 17611 16 WWWWD
3 Feyenoord 6420 20713 14 DWDWW
4 Ajax 6411 19712 13 DWLWW
5 FC Twente 6411 1257 13 WWDWW
6 FC Groningen 7322 15132 11 LLDDW
7 Excelsior 6312 1376 10 LWWDL
8 Fortuna Sittard 6312 1214-2 10 WLWWL
9 Go Ahead Eagles 6231 15132 9 DWLDD
10 NEC Nijmegen 6213 1112-1 7 WWLDL
11 SC Heerenveen 6132 79-2 6 DLDLD
12 Sparta Rotterdam 6123 1013-3 5 WDLDL
13 Telstar 6123 511-6 5 LLDLD
14 FC Utrecht 6123 1119-8 5 LDLDW
15 SC Cambuur 6114 918-9 4 LLLDW
16 PEC Zwolle 7115 620-14 4 WLDLL
17 Willem II 6024 619-13 2 LDLDL
18 ADO Den Haag 6015 616-10 1 LLDLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

FC Groningen

WLWWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 9 GA 10 · xG 6.58–9.25 · xPts 5.88

  • L A PSV 1–5 xG 0.94–3.87 NLD E
  • W A ADO Den Haag 4–1 xG 2.09–1.03 NLD E
  • W H FC Utrecht 2–1 xG 1.6–1.54 NLD E
  • L A Ajax 0–2 xG 0.24–1.82 NLD E
  • W A Heracles Almelo 2–1 xG 1.71–0.99 NLD E

Fortuna Sittard

WLDWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 9 · xG 5.0–12.53 · xPts 3.95

  • L H AZ Alkmaar 0–2 xG 0.28–4.65 NLD E
  • W H SC Cambuur 3–1 xG 1.92–2.08 NLD E
  • D A PSV 2–2 xG 0.71–2.65 NLD E
  • L A FC Utrecht 0–2 xG 0.6–2.35 NLD E
  • W H PEC Zwolle 3–2 xG 1.5–0.8 NLD E

All meetings · 14 matches since 2018

FC Groningen 61 draws7 Fortuna Sittard

Goals 20–17 · 2.64 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 57%

Last 10 · 10 matches

FC Groningen 40 draws6 Fortuna Sittard

Goals 14–15 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

FC Groningen 20 draws3 Fortuna Sittard

Goals 6–7 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L FC Groningen 2–3 Fortuna Sittard NLD E · Regular Season
  • L FC Groningen 1–2 Fortuna Sittard NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Fortuna Sittard 1–2 FC Groningen NLD E · Regular Season
  • W FC Groningen 1–0 Fortuna Sittard NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Fortuna Sittard 1–0 FC Groningen NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Fortuna Sittard 3–1 FC Groningen NLD E · Regular Season
  • L FC Groningen 2–3 Fortuna Sittard neutral NLD E · Regular Season
  • L FC Groningen 0–1 Fortuna Sittard neutral NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Fortuna Sittard 1–4 FC Groningen NLD E · Regular Season
  • W FC Groningen 1–0 Fortuna Sittard neutral NLD E · Regular Season
MetricFC Groningen all · 7FC Groningen at home · 4Fortuna Sittard all · 6Fortuna Sittard away · 3
Results
Matches76
Points per game1.571.67
W / D / L3 / 2 / 23 / 1 / 2
Goals for / match2.142.00
Goals against / match1.862.33
Clean sheets14%0%
Failed to score0%17%
Both teams scored86%83%
Over 2.586%83%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.400.85
xG against / match1.802.61
xG difference-0.40-1.76
Finishing vs xG0.741.15
xPts / match1.270.63
Points vs xPts0.301.04
Game state
Scored first71%67%
PPG when scoring first2.002.50
PPG when conceding first0.500.00
Came back from behind33%33%
Leads held50%75%
Minutes leading46%42%
Minutes level32%41%
Minutes trailing22%17%
First goal (min)1728
First goal conceded (min)4141
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half27%42%
Goals conceded in 2nd half46%79%
Late goals for (76'+)0.290.33
Late goals against0.290.83
Style
Possession50%33%
Shots14.99.0
On target5.44.8
Shot conversion14%22%
Shots inside box67%59%
Big chances created2.91.2
Corners4.42.0
xG from set plays11%13%
Goals from headers13%17%
Pressure index13.34.7
Dominant minutes48.325.8
Pass accuracy81%74%
Fouls8.48.8
Cards0.861.67

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

FC Groningen

0–15'33
16–30'51
31–45'33
46–60'13
61–75'11
76–90'22

Fortuna Sittard

0–15'30
16–30'22
31–45'21
46–60'13
61–75'23
76–90'25

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

FC Groningen · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.08) · stands out: when behind +0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.087
Early press (0-15, level)+0.377
Late push (76+, level)-0.562

Game state

When ahead-0.096
When level+0.057
When behind+0.543
10 min after conceding-0.076
10 min after scoring+0.467

Situations

At home+0.204
Away-0.133
4+ days rest+0.087

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.142
v mid-tier opponents-0.262
v bottom-tier opponents+0.483
As favourite+0.512
Evenly matched-0.083
As underdog-0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.187
Conceded when ahead+0.356
Conceded late (76+)+0.105

Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level +0.49

Fortuna Sittard · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.30) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.306
Early press (0-15, level)-0.376
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.253

Game state

When ahead-0.284
When level-0.316
When behind-0.313
10 min after conceding-0.396
10 min after scoring-0.065

Situations

At home-0.223
Away-0.373
4+ days rest-0.306

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.313
v bottom-tier opponents-0.192
As underdog-0.335

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.616
Conceded when ahead+0.524
Conceded late (76+)-0.086

Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level +0.00

FC Groningen

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 7 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-17 100%1.572.141.861.41.8

Fortuna Sittard

Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 28

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
5-3-23 50%2.332.672.00.741.77
4-3-31 17%0.00.02.00.284.65
5-4-11 17%0.01.05.00.653.59
3-4-2-11 17%3.03.01.01.922.08

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: home -2.3 pts at 1.0h

1.53Home 63% ▼ -1.3 ptsopened 1.474.63Draw 21% ▲ +1.2 ptsopened 4.835.93Away 16% · +0.1 ptsopened 5.84
5d4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 20%30%40%50%60%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.53 ▼ -1.34.63 ▲ +1.25.93 · +0.11.0h
bet3651.5 ▲ +2.54.5 · -0.45.75 ▼ -2.11.0h
Betfair1.47 ▼ -2.14.5 · +0.85.5 ▲ +1.21.0h
BetVictor1.44 · +0.04.75 · +0.06.0 · +0.01.0h
Coral1.5 · +0.44.6 · +1.05.75 ▼ -1.41.0h
Ladbrokes1.5 · +0.44.6 · +1.05.75 ▼ -1.41.0h
Unibet1.46 · -0.94.6 ▲ +1.15.8 · -0.21.0h
WilliamHill1.44 · -0.34.4 · +0.45.5 · -0.11.0h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 1.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.5Home 63% P 63%4.5Draw 21% P 21%5.75Away 16% P 16%

Double Chance

1.12FC Groningen or Draw 42%1.18FC Groningen or Fortuna Sittard 40%2.62Draw or Fortuna Sittard 18%

Draw No Bet

1.161 81%5.02 19%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58%2.2No 42%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.5Over 62% P 64%2.5Under 38% P 36%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.629 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 62.5–65% · away 15–17.5% · 339 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home63%63%64%+0.8
Draw21%21%19%-2.1
Away16%16%17%+1.3

In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 62%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.564%64%63%-0.4

Martijn Vos

Career
20 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
4.4 (4.0 yellow · 0.15 red)
Fouls / match
23.5 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.3
Cards to home side
42%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 20 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.73.32+2.76100
Fouls / match23.520.3+1.50
Fouls per card5.06.2-2.13 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.30.24+0.8981
Time added6.46.4+0.0357
First card
36' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 44% in last 15'
Cards to home side
42% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.29

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-08 40 260 57'7
2026-05-03 61 200 35'6
2026-04-12 10 230 53'5
2026-03-22 · FC Groningen 20 241 79'3
2026-02-28 50 160 7'5
2026-02-01 101 230 13'6
2025-12-05 · FC Groningen 52 191 21'7
2025-11-07 62 170 33'10
2025-10-05 61 310 29'9
2025-09-14 · Fortuna Sittard 10 310 44'7