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Eredivisie · Matchweek 2

Momentum

AjaxHEE
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
2

Venue

Stadium
Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
Capacity
55,885
Surface
grass
Attendance
54,239

Teams

Coaches
Míchel · Robin Veldman
Position
8 · 10
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Alex Bos

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
20.9° (feels 20.6°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
60%

Where to watch · 55

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 6510 22715 16 WWWWW
2 AZ Alkmaar 6510 17611 16 WWWWD
3 Feyenoord 6420 20713 14 DWDWW
4 Ajax 6411 19712 13 DWLWW
5 FC Twente 6411 1257 13 WWDWW
6 FC Groningen 7322 15132 11 LLDDW
7 Excelsior 6312 1376 10 LWWDL
8 Fortuna Sittard 6312 1214-2 10 WLWWL
9 Go Ahead Eagles 6231 15132 9 DWLDD
10 NEC Nijmegen 6213 1112-1 7 WWLDL
11 SC Heerenveen 6132 79-2 6 DLDLD
12 Sparta Rotterdam 6123 1013-3 5 WDLDL
13 Telstar 6123 511-6 5 LLDLD
14 FC Utrecht 6123 1119-8 5 LDLDW
15 SC Cambuur 6114 918-9 4 LLLDW
16 PEC Zwolle 7115 620-14 4 WLDLL
17 Willem II 6024 619-13 2 LDLDL
18 ADO Den Haag 6015 616-10 1 LLDLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Ajax

WWWWD 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 15 GA 5 · xG 15.8–2.6 · xPts 12.03

  • D A Shelbourne 2–2 xG 1.33–0.84 UEFA ECL
  • W A PEC Zwolle 2–0 xG 1.97–0.49 NLD E
  • W H Shelbourne 3–1 xG 6.61–0.2 UEFA ECL
  • W H Vojvodina 4–1 xG 4.17–0.25 UEFA ECL
  • W A Vojvodina 4–1 xG 1.71–0.82 UEFA ECL

SC Heerenveen

WLDLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 5 · xG 7.52–9.47 · xPts 5.74

  • W H FC Twente 1–0 xG 0.58–2.01 NLD E
  • L A FC Utrecht 2–3 xG 1.29–2.19 NLD E
  • D H Ajax 0–0 xG 2.41–1.77 NLD E
  • L A NAC Breda 0–2 xG 1.24–2.18 NLD E
  • W A FC Volendam 2–0 xG 2.0–1.33 NLD E

All meetings · 47 matches since 2005

Ajax 338 draws6 SC Heerenveen

Goals 133–50 · 3.89 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 70%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Ajax 63 draws1 SC Heerenveen

Goals 26–9 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Ajax 23 draws0 SC Heerenveen

Goals 6–3 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • D Ajax 2–2 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
  • D SC Heerenveen 0–0 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
  • D Ajax 1–1 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
  • W SC Heerenveen 0–2 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Ajax 1–0 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
  • L SC Heerenveen 3–2 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Ajax 4–1 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
  • W SC Heerenveen 2–4 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Ajax 5–0 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Ajax 5–0 SC Heerenveen neutral NLD E · Regular Season
MetricAjax all · 6Ajax at home · 3SC Heerenveen all · 6SC Heerenveen away · 2
Results
Matches66
Points per game2.171.00
W / D / L4 / 1 / 11 / 3 / 2
Goals for / match3.171.17
Goals against / match1.171.50
Clean sheets33%33%
Failed to score0%33%
Both teams scored67%50%
Over 2.583%50%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.511.32
xG against / match1.181.66
xG difference1.33-0.34
Finishing vs xG0.66-0.15
xPts / match2.121.17
Points vs xPts0.05-0.17
Game state
Scored first83%17%
PPG when scoring first2.603.00
PPG when conceding first0.000.50
Came back from behind0%50%
Leads held80%33%
Minutes leading44%15%
Minutes level45%59%
Minutes trailing12%26%
First goal (min)3646
First goal conceded (min)4431
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half63%57%
Goals conceded in 2nd half57%67%
Late goals for (76'+)1.000.33
Late goals against0.500.33
Style
Possession62%54%
Shots23.314.8
On target8.05.5
Shot conversion14%8%
Shots inside box69%58%
Big chances created3.71.8
Corners7.85.0
xG from set plays18%17%
Goals from headers22%0%
Pressure index23.012.0
Dominant minutes66.245.8
Pass accuracy89%85%
Fouls9.28.2
Cards2.171.17

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Ajax

0–15'11
16–30'10
31–45'52
46–60'21
61–75'40
76–90'63

SC Heerenveen

0–15'02
16–30'20
31–45'11
46–60'11
61–75'13
76–90'22

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Ajax · 12 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.65) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.90

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.6512
Early press (0-15, level)+0.9012
Late push (76+, level)+0.053

Game state

When ahead+0.6811
When level+0.8012
When behind-0.184
10 min after conceding-0.219
10 min after scoring+0.8112

Situations

At home+0.686
Away+0.626
3 days rest or fewer+0.544
4+ days rest+0.708

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.735
As favourite+0.7311

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.1912
Conceded when ahead-0.2911
Conceded late (76+)-0.399

Congested vs rested -0.17 · Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level -0.98

SC Heerenveen · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.046
Early press (0-15, level)+0.106
Late push (76+, level)+0.054
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.363

Game state

When ahead-0.303
When level+0.206
When behind-0.124
10 min after conceding+0.124
10 min after scoring+0.274

Situations

At home-0.064
Away+0.252
4+ days rest+0.046

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.243
v bottom-tier opponents+0.323
As favourite+0.323
As underdog-0.243

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.186
Conceded when ahead+0.933
Conceded late (76+)+0.256

Ahead vs level -0.50 · Behind vs level -0.32

Ajax

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 14 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-33 50%2.03.671.672.951.43
4-2-3-12 33%2.02.01.02.040.97
4-4-1-11 17%3.04.00.02.140.88

SC Heerenveen

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 67%0.51.01.751.381.56
4-1-4-11 17%3.01.00.00.582.01
4-4-21 17%1.02.02.01.831.69

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.42Home 67% P 66%4.75Draw 20% P 19%7.0Away 14% P 15%

Double Chance

1.11Ajax or Draw 42%1.18Ajax or Heerenveen 40%2.62Draw or Heerenveen 18%

Draw No Bet

1.161 81%5.02 19%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61%2.37No 39%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.4Over 67% P 68%2.87Under 33% P 32%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 13%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 60–70% · away 10–20% · 3,667 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home66%65%66%+1.3
Draw19%21%21%-0.5
Away15%14%13%-0.9

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 57%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.568%69%69%+0.6

Alex Bos

Career
61 matches · 6 seasons
Cards / match
3.0 (2.8 yellow · 0.11 red)
Fouls / match
21.8 · 7.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 57 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.353.32-0.0243
Fouls / match21.720.3+0.57
Fouls per card7.06.2+0.94 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.350.24+1.61100
Time added6.26.4-0.4143
First card
42' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.19

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-08 20 150 33'4
2026-05-10 30 280 44'8
2026-05-02 21 250 35'13
2026-04-11 70 180 7'5
2026-04-04 17 4
2026-03-13 30 220 19'6
2026-03-08 10 161 73'5
2026-02-07 40 230 83'7
2026-01-31 27 11
2026-01-21 40 180 67'7