Rating 7.62 (96th pct) · G+A 2 + 4 (46% of team goals) · 97% of minutes
Eredivisie · Matchweek 2
Momentum
– ExcelsiorPSV –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Excelsior | at home | Stat | league | away | PSV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.5 #13 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 64.3 #1 |
| 12.7 #11 | – | Shots total | 15.0 | – | 22.7 #2 |
| 5.2 #9 | – | Shots on target | 5.4 | – | 9.2 #1 |
| 5.0 #8 | – | Corners | 5.3 | – | 8.0 #2 |
| 12.0 #3 | – | Fouls | 10.3 | – | 8.2 #17 |
| 0.5 #18 | – | Offsides | 1.4 | – | 1.3 #8 |
| 15.7 #8 | – | Tackles | 14.8 | – | 17.2 #4 |
| 86.7 #10 | – | Attacks | 94.8 | – | 125.5 #2 |
| 38.3 #11 | – | Dangerous attacks | 49.0 | – | 78.7 #1 |
| 405.2 #11 | – | Passes | 447.1 | – | 617.2 #1 |
| 1.5 #6 | – | Yellowcards | 1.3 | – | 1.7 #4 |
| 2.0 #5 | – | Assists | 1.5 | – | 2.5 #1 |
| – #9 | – | Btts | 72.9 | – | – #1 |
| – #1 | – | Cleansheet | 14.5 | – | – #11 |
| – #9 | – | Draw | 25.5 | – | – #9 |
| 1.6 #9 | – | Expected goals | 1.8 | – | 2.9 #1 |
| 0.6 #5 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.2 | – | 0.7 #3 |
| – #11 | – | Failed to score | 14.4 | – | – #11 |
| 2.2 #6 | 1.3 | Goals | 2.0 | 3.7 | 3.7 #1 |
| 1.2 #13 | 1.7 | Goals conceded | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 #13 |
| 0.5 #6 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.7 #2 |
| 8.8 #8 | – | Interceptions | 8.5 | – | 9.7 #4 |
| – #9 | – | Lost | 37.0 | – | – #16 |
| – | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #3 |
| 6.9 #6 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 7.1 #1 |
| 3.7 #10 | – | Shots blocked | 4.0 | – | 5.5 #3 |
| 9.0 #9 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.9 | – | 15.7 #2 |
| 3.8 #16 | – | Shots off target | 5.6 | – | 8.0 #4 |
| 3.7 #13 | – | Shots outsidebox | 5.1 | – | 7.0 #4 |
| – #6 | – | Win | 37.4 | – | – #1 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 53 of 306
- Goals / match
- 3.91 (home 1.64 · away 2.26)
- Home / draw / away
- 26% · 26% · 47%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 74% · 79%
- Cards / match
- 2.75 (reds 0.06)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Excelsior · 2026/2027 · Eredivisie
Rating 6.95 (56th pct) · G+A 3 + 0 (23% of team goals) · 79% of minutes
Rating 6.99 (65th pct) · G+A 0 + 1 (8% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
PSV · 2026/2027 · Eredivisie
Rating 7.81 (100th pct) · G+A 2 + 2 (18% of team goals) · 83% of minutes
Rating 7.64 (94th pct) · G+A 2 + 2 (18% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Rating 7.24 (93th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (9% of team goals) · 94% of minutes
Absences
Excelsior
- injury Kasey Bos #16 key player defender · Shoulder Injury · 21 missed
- injury Noah Naujoks #14 key player midfielder · Minor Knock · 1 missed
PSV
- injury Alassane Pléa attacker · Unknown Injury · 1 missed
- injury Filip Kostic defender · Fitness · 1 missed
- injury Noah Fernandez #15 key player midfielder · Minor Knock · 1 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 2
Venue
- Stadium
- Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Rotterdam
- Capacity
- 4,500
- Surface
- artificial turf
- Attendance
- 4,600
Teams
- Coaches
- Ruben den Uil · Peter Bosz
- Position
- 1 · 10
- Formation
- 4-3-3 · 4-3-3
Referee
Marc Nagtegaal
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 20.8° (feels 21.2°)
- Wind
- 4.6
- Humidity
- 85%
Where to watch · 20
Andorra
DAZN
Austria
SportDigital
Croatia
MAX To Go
Cyprus
Cytavision on the Go · Nova Sports Prime
France
DAZN
Germany
SportDigital
Greece
Nova Sports Prime
Indonesia
Vidio · Vidio TV
Italy
Como TV
Liechtenstein
Blue Sport
Monaco
DAZN
Montenegro
Arena Cloud
Netherlands
Canal+ · ESPN 2 · Watch ESPN
North Macedonia
Arena Cloud
Serbia
Arena Cloud
Switzerland
SportDigital
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 7 | 15 | 16 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  AZ Alkmaar |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 16 | WWWWD |
| 3 |  Feyenoord |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 14 | DWDWW |
| 4 |  Ajax |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 13 | DWLWW |
| 5 |  FC Twente |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 13 | WWDWW |
| 6 |  FC Groningen |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 11 | LLDDW |
| 7 |  Excelsior |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 10 | LWWDL |
| 8 |  Fortuna Sittard |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 | WLWWL |
| 9 |  Go Ahead Eagles |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 9 | DWLDD |
| 10 |  NEC Nijmegen |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 7 | WWLDL |
| 11 |  SC Heerenveen |
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 6 | DLDLD |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 5 | WDLDL |
| 13 |  Telstar |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 5 | LLDLD |
| 14 |  FC Utrecht |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 5 | LDLDW |
| 15 |  SC Cambuur |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 4 | LLLDW |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 20 | -14 | 4 | WLDLL |
| 17 |  Willem II |
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 18 |  ADO Den Haag |
6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Twente |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 9 | WWDWW |
| 2 | PSV |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 7 | WWWWW |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 7 | WWWWD |
| 4 | Go Ahead Eagles |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 7 | DWLDD |
| 5 | FC Groningen |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 7 | LLDDW |
| 6 | Ajax |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 4 | DWLWW |
| 7 | SC Heerenveen |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | DLDLD |
| 8 | Excelsior |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 | LWWDL |
| 9 | Fortuna Sittard |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | WLWWL |
| 10 | SC Cambuur |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LLLDW |
| 11 | Feyenoord |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DWDWW |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 2 | WDLDL |
| 13 | NEC Nijmegen |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 | WWLDL |
| 14 | Telstar |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LLDLD |
| 15 | Willem II |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LDLDL |
| 16 | FC Utrecht |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 1 | LDLDW |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 0 | LLDLL |
| 18 | PEC Zwolle |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | -11 | 0 | WLDLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 12 | DWDWW |
| 2 | Ajax |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 9 | DWLWW |
| 3 | PSV |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 4 | AZ Alkmaar |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 9 | WWWWD |
| 5 | Excelsior |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 7 | LWWDL |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 7 | WLWWL |
| 7 | NEC Nijmegen |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 6 | WWLDL |
| 8 | FC Twente |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 | WWDWW |
| 9 | FC Utrecht |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 | LDLDW |
| 10 | Telstar |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | LLDLD |
| 11 | FC Groningen |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 4 | LLDDW |
| 12 | PEC Zwolle |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 | WLDLL |
| 13 | Sparta Rotterdam |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 | WDLDL |
| 14 | SC Heerenveen |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DLDLD |
| 15 | Go Ahead Eagles |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 2 | DWLDD |
| 16 | SC Cambuur |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 1 | LLLDW |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LLDLL |
| 18 | Willem II |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 | LDLDL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Excelsior
WWDWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 16 GA 5 · xG 10.09–4.66 · xPts 9.96
- W
A
SC Cambuur
4–0
xG 2.56–0.84
NLD E
- W
A
Sparta Rotterdam
3–2
xG 1.91–1.57
NLD E
- D
H
FC Volendam
1–1
xG 0.45–0.42
NLD E - W
A
FC Groningen
3–2
xG 2.42–0.95
NLD E
- W
H
FC Utrecht
5–0
xG 2.76–0.87
NLD E
WWDWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 16 GA 5 · xG 10.09–4.66 · xPts 9.96
- W
A
SC Cambuur
4–0
xG 2.56–0.84
NLD E
- W
A
Sparta Rotterdam
3–2
xG 1.91–1.57
NLD E
- D
H
FC Volendam
1–1
xG 0.45–0.42
NLD E
- W
A
FC Groningen
3–2
xG 2.42–0.95
NLD E
- W
H
FC Utrecht
5–0
xG 2.76–0.87
NLD E
PSV
WDWWD 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 19 GA 7 · xG 11.48–5.1 · xPts 10.79
- D
H
Fortuna Sittard
2–2
xG 2.65–0.71
NLD E
- W
H
FC Twente
5–1
xG 2.35–1.64
NLD E
- W
A
Go Ahead Eagles
4–1
xG 2.76–1.19
NLD E
- D
A
Ajax
2–2
xG 1.81–1.13
NLD E
- W
H
PEC Zwolle
6–1
xG 1.91–0.44
NLD E
WDWWD 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 19 GA 7 · xG 11.48–5.1 · xPts 10.79
- D
H
Fortuna Sittard
2–2
xG 2.65–0.71
NLD E
- W
H
FC Twente
5–1
xG 2.35–1.64
NLD E
- W
A
Go Ahead Eagles
4–1
xG 2.76–1.19
NLD E
- D
A
Ajax
2–2
xG 1.81–1.13
NLD E
- W
H
PEC Zwolle
6–1
xG 1.91–0.44
NLD E
All meetings · 25 matches since 2006
Goals 19–76 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 76%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 5–33 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 70%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 4–14 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%
Recent meetings
- L Excelsior 1–2 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
- L PSV 5–1 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
- L Excelsior 1–2 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
- L Excelsior 0–2 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
- L PSV 3–1 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
- L PSV 4–0 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
- L Excelsior 1–6 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
- L Excelsior 0–2 PSV NLD E · Regular Season
- L PSV 6–0 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
- L PSV 1–0 Excelsior NLD E · Regular Season
| Metric | Excelsior all · 6 | Excelsior at home · 3 | PSV all · 6 | PSV away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | 6 | – |
| Points per game | 1.67 | – | 2.67 | – |
| W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 2 | – | 5 / 1 / 0 | – |
| Goals for / match | 2.17 | – | 3.67 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.17 | – | 1.17 | – |
| Clean sheets | 33% | – | 0% | – |
| Failed to score | 0% | – | 0% | – |
| Both teams scored | 67% | – | 100% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 100% | – | 100% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.56 | – | 2.98 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.22 | – | 1.07 | – |
| xG difference | 0.34 | – | 1.90 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.61 | – | 0.69 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.58 | – | 2.37 | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.09 | – | 0.30 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | – | 33% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | – | 3.00 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.33 | – | 2.50 | – |
| Came back from behind | 33% | – | 100% | – |
| Leads held | 75% | – | 83% | – |
| Minutes leading | 36% | – | 58% | – |
| Minutes level | 35% | – | 37% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 29% | – | 5% | – |
| First goal (min) | 37 | – | 18 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 25 | – | 25 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 46% | – | 54% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 57% | – | 29% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.50 | – | 1.00 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.33 | – | 0.17 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | – | 64% | – |
| Shots | 12.5 | – | 22.7 | – |
| On target | 5.2 | – | 9.2 | – |
| Shot conversion | 17% | – | 16% | – |
| Shots inside box | 72% | – | 69% | – |
| Big chances created | 2.8 | – | 5.0 | – |
| Corners | 5.0 | – | 8.0 | – |
| xG from set plays | 21% | – | 23% | – |
| Goals from headers | 38% | – | 14% | – |
| Pressure index | 10.8 | – | 26.0 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 48.7 | – | 71.5 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 78% | – | 89% | – |
| Fouls | 11.7 | – | 7.7 | – |
| Cards | 1.50 | – | 1.67 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Excelsior
0–15'12
16–30'20
31–45'41
46–60'12
61–75'20
76–90'32
PSV
0–15'43
16–30'11
31–45'51
46–60'41
61–75'20
76–90'61
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Excelsior · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.36
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)+0.056
Late push (76+, level)+0.203
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.692
Game state
When ahead+0.114
When level+0.026
When behind-0.243
10 min after conceding-0.134
10 min after scoring+0.366
Situations
At home-0.153
Away+0.103
4+ days rest-0.025
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.072
v bottom-tier opponents+0.143
Evenly matched+0.094
As underdog-0.262
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.066
Conceded when ahead+0.194
Conceded late (76+)+0.285
Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level -0.26
PSV · 7 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.66) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.23
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.667
Early press (0-15, level)+0.077
Late push (76+, level)-0.192
Game state
When ahead+0.566
When level+0.787
When behind+0.335
10 min after conceding+0.467
10 min after scoring+1.237
Situations
At home+0.604
Away+0.723
4+ days rest+0.616
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.122
v mid-tier opponents+0.933
v bottom-tier opponents+0.882
As favourite+0.726
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.327
Conceded when ahead-0.386
Conceded late (76+)-0.466
Congested vs rested +0.34 · Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level -0.44
Excelsior
Current: winless 2 · scoring 11 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 2 33% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.38 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.56 | 0.84 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 17% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.89 | 1.46 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 17% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.84 | 1.21 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.69 | 1.06 |
PSV
Current: unbeaten 13 · wins 1 · scoring 23 · conceding 11
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 3 50% | 3.0 | 3.67 | 1.0 | 3.21 | 1.18 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 33% | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2.53 | 1.34 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 3.16 | 0.22 |
| Metric | Excelsior all · 10 | Excelsior at home · 10 | PSV all · 10 | PSV away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 0.80 | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| W / D / L | 6 / 2 / 2 | 2 / 2 / 6 | 7 / 3 / 0 | 7 / 1 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 2.50 | 1.40 | 3.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals against / match | 1.20 | 1.50 | 1.20 | 1.30 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 10% | 0% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 70% | 100% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 90% | 70% | 90% | 90% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.69 | 1.32 | 2.53 | 2.52 |
| xG against / match | 1.12 | 1.19 | 1.09 | 1.14 |
| xG difference | 0.57 | 0.13 | 1.44 | 1.38 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.81 | 0.08 | 0.87 | 0.08 |
| xPts / match | 1.71 | 1.41 | 2.14 | 2.14 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.29 | -0.61 | 0.26 | 0.06 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 30% | 50% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 2.00 | 2.60 | 2.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | 0.29 | 2.20 | 1.50 |
| Came back from behind | 60% | 25% | 100% | 50% |
| Leads held | 86% | 67% | 78% | 88% |
| Minutes leading | 39% | 16% | 48% | 45% |
| Minutes level | 33% | 43% | 48% | 44% |
| Minutes trailing | 28% | 41% | 3% | 11% |
| First goal (min) | 33 | 50 | 19 | 29 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 22 | 36 | 25 | 37 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 52% | 64% | 56% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 58% | 53% | 25% | 54% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 48% | 52% | 60% | 59% |
| Shots | 13.5 | 12.6 | 19.1 | 18.9 |
| On target | 5.5 | 4.5 | 7.6 | 7.7 |
| Shot conversion | 18% | 11% | 18% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 67% | 70% | 69% | 71% |
| Big chances created | 3.3 | 2.7 | 4.9 | 4.5 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 4.5 | 7.0 | 7.0 |
| xG from set plays | 22% | 24% | 24% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 33% | 31% | 21% | 31% |
| Pressure index | 11.5 | 12.6 | 20.9 | 19.2 |
| Dominant minutes | 50.8 | 52.9 | 62.6 | 61.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 81% | 88% | 87% |
| Fouls | 11.7 | 9.5 | 8.8 | 9.3 |
| Cards | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.60 | 2.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Excelsior
0–15'34
16–30'20
31–45'71
46–60'34
61–75'50
76–90'53
PSV
0–15'64
16–30'23
31–45'72
46–60'71
61–75'30
76–90'92
Excelsior
Current: winless 2 · scoring 11 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 6 60% | 2.17 | 2.5 | 1.33 | 1.65 | 1.1 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.89 | 1.46 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.84 | 1.21 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.69 | 1.06 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 2.56 | 0.84 |
PSV
Current: unbeaten 13 · wins 1 · scoring 23 · conceding 11
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 50% | 2.2 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 1.33 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 40% | 2.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2.54 | 1.02 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 3.16 | 0.22 |
| Metric | Excelsior all · 35 | Excelsior at home · 17 | PSV all · 43 | PSV away · 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 35 | 17 | 43 | 22 |
| Points per game | 1.29 | 1.06 | 2.26 | 2.32 |
| W / D / L | 12 / 9 / 14 | 5 / 3 / 9 | 30 / 7 / 6 | 16 / 3 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 1.51 | 1.29 | 2.84 | 2.41 |
| Goals against / match | 1.46 | 1.41 | 1.35 | 1.14 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 18% | 14% | 18% |
| Failed to score | 14% | 18% | 2% | 4% |
| Both teams scored | 69% | 65% | 84% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 65% | 86% | 77% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.51 | 1.43 | 2.18 | 1.88 |
| xG against / match | 1.56 | 1.41 | 1.19 | 1.18 |
| xG difference | -0.05 | 0.02 | 0.98 | 0.71 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.01 | -0.14 | 0.66 | 0.53 |
| xPts / match | 1.33 | 1.38 | 1.91 | 1.76 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.05 | -0.32 | 0.34 | 0.55 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 46% | 47% | 56% | 59% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.06 | 1.88 | 2.63 | 2.85 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.61 | 0.33 | 1.79 | 1.56 |
| Came back from behind | 39% | 25% | 71% | 67% |
| Leads held | 67% | 62% | 86% | 94% |
| Minutes leading | 29% | 26% | 44% | 42% |
| Minutes level | 43% | 45% | 40% | 44% |
| Minutes trailing | 28% | 30% | 15% | 14% |
| First goal (min) | 36 | 39 | 29 | 31 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 39 | 40 | 33 | 32 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 49% | 54% | 54% | 55% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 61% | 67% | 45% | 44% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.37 | 0.35 | 0.79 | 0.73 |
| Late goals against | 0.26 | 0.29 | 0.21 | 0.14 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 48% | 50% | 60% | 58% |
| Shots | 12.7 | 12.6 | 16.7 | 15.2 |
| On target | 4.5 | 4.4 | 6.8 | 6.5 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 10% | 17% | 16% |
| Shots inside box | 67% | 69% | 68% | 70% |
| Big chances created | 2.8 | 3.0 | 4.3 | 4.0 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 4.1 | 6.8 | 6.4 |
| xG from set plays | 28% | 29% | 24% | 26% |
| Goals from headers | 28% | 30% | 20% | 23% |
| Pressure index | 8.9 | 10.4 | 21.5 | 19.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 41.6 | 45.9 | 64.0 | 59.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 78% | 79% | 86% | 86% |
| Fouls | 11.9 | 10.8 | 9.8 | 9.7 |
| Cards | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.84 | 1.86 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Excelsior
0–15'87
16–30'76
31–45'127
46–60'515
61–75'87
76–90'139
PSV
0–15'1910
16–30'179
31–45'2013
46–60'197
61–75'1310
76–90'349
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Excelsior · 35 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: v top-tier opponents -0.36
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1535
Early press (0-15, level)-0.0635
Late push (76+, level)-0.2517
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1617
Game state
When ahead-0.3018
When level-0.1535
When behind+0.0022
10 min after conceding-0.2528
10 min after scoring+0.0629
Situations
Against ten men-0.492
At home-0.1717
Away-0.1418
3 days rest or fewer-0.272
4+ days rest-0.1433
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.369
v mid-tier opponents-0.038
v bottom-tier opponents-0.0112
As favourite-0.144
Evenly matched-0.0315
As underdog-0.2616
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2035
Conceded when ahead+0.3618
Conceded late (76+)+0.2132
Congested vs rested -0.13 · Ahead vs level -0.15 · Behind vs level +0.15
PSV · 43 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.56) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.88
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.5643
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2843
Late push (76+, level)+0.3814
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.317
Game state
When ahead+0.6335
When level+0.5443
When behind+0.4721
10 min after conceding+0.2436
10 min after scoring+0.8841
Situations
With ten men+0.023
Against ten men+0.132
At home+0.5521
Away+0.5722
3 days rest or fewer+0.675
4+ days rest+0.5538
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0614
v mid-tier opponents+0.7111
v bottom-tier opponents+0.8110
As favourite+0.7832
Evenly matched-0.047
As underdog-0.064
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2543
Conceded when ahead-0.3635
Conceded late (76+)-0.3634
Congested vs rested +0.12 · Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level -0.07
Excelsior
Current: winless 2 · scoring 11 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 13 37% | 1.77 | 1.46 | 1.23 | 1.42 | 1.75 |
| 4-3-3 | 11 31% | 1.27 | 1.82 | 1.64 | 1.83 | 1.45 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 4 11% | 0.5 | 1.25 | 1.75 | 1.05 | 1.52 |
| 5-4-1 | 3 9% | 1.33 | 2.0 | 1.33 | 1.55 | 1.77 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.26 | 0.87 |
PSV
Current: unbeaten 13 · wins 1 · scoring 23 · conceding 11
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 25 58% | 2.32 | 2.92 | 1.32 | 2.15 | 1.09 |
| 4-3-3 | 11 26% | 2.36 | 2.73 | 1.45 | 2.33 | 1.31 |
| 4-4-2 | 6 14% | 1.67 | 2.17 | 1.33 | 1.83 | 1.54 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 3.16 | 0.22 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line -0.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
6.5Home 15% P 15%5.0Draw 19% P 19%1.44Away 66% P 66%
Double Chance
2.5Excelsior or Draw 19%1.18Excelsior or PSV 40%1.12Draw or PSV 42%
Draw No Bet
4.51 21%1.182 79%
Both Teams To Score
1.44Yes 65%2.62No 35%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.33Over 72% P 73%3.4Under 28% P 27%
Total Corners
13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 24%2.629 - 11 33%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 12%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 10–20% · away 60–70% · 1,586 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 15% | 14% | 14% | -0.1 |
| Draw | 19% | 21% | 20% | -1.0 |
| Away | 66% | 65% | 66% | +1.1 |
In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 58%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 72.5–75% · 217 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 73% | 73% | 74% | +0.3 |
Marc Nagtegaal
- Career
- 90 matches · 8 seasons
- Cards / match
- 2.73 (2.63 yellow · 0.04 red)
- Fouls / match
- 19.5 · 7.2 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.24
- Cards to home side
- 44%
Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 69 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 2.71 | 3.32 | -1.38 | 9 |
| Fouls / match | 19.1 | 20.3 | -0.80 | |
| Fouls per card | 7.5 | 6.2 | +1.59 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.29 | 0.24 | +0.74 | 77 |
| Time added | 6.2 | 6.4 | -0.46 | 41 |
- First card
- 42' on average
- Card timing
- 18% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 43% (league 44%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.38
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 75' | 7 |
| 2026-08-06 | 4 | 0 | 34 | 2 | 4' | 4 |
| 2026-07-30 | 4 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 11' | 6 |
| 2026-05-21 | 5 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 40' | 7 |
| 2026-05-17 | 4 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 27' | 12 |
| 2026-05-10 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 30' | 5 |
| 2026-04-23 · PSV | 2 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 41' | 2 |
| 2026-04-12 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 42' | 6 |
| 2026-03-22 · PSV | 2 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 39' | 7 |
| 2026-03-15 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 18' | 6 |