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Eredivisie · Matchweek 2

Momentum

Willem IINEC Nijmegen
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
2

Venue

Stadium
Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg
Capacity
14,700
Surface
grass
Attendance
14,600

Teams

Coaches
John Stegeman · Dick Schreuder
Position
17 · 13
Formation
4-4-1-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Serdar Gozubuyuk

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
25.0° (feels 25.3°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
69%

Where to watch · 5

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 6510 22715 16 WWWWW
2 AZ Alkmaar 6510 17611 16 WWWWD
3 Feyenoord 6420 20713 14 DWDWW
4 Ajax 6411 19712 13 DWLWW
5 FC Twente 6411 1257 13 WWDWW
6 FC Groningen 7322 15132 11 LLDDW
7 Excelsior 6312 1376 10 LWWDL
8 Fortuna Sittard 6312 1214-2 10 WLWWL
9 Go Ahead Eagles 6231 15132 9 DWLDD
10 NEC Nijmegen 6213 1112-1 7 WWLDL
11 SC Heerenveen 6132 79-2 6 DLDLD
12 Sparta Rotterdam 6123 1013-3 5 WDLDL
13 Telstar 6123 511-6 5 LLDLD
14 FC Utrecht 6123 1119-8 5 LDLDW
15 SC Cambuur 6114 918-9 4 LLLDW
16 PEC Zwolle 7115 620-14 4 WLDLL
17 Willem II 6024 619-13 2 LDLDL
18 ADO Den Haag 6015 616-10 1 LLDLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Willem II

L 0W 0D 1L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 1 GA 4 · xG 1.6–2.43 · xPts 0.94

  • L A Go Ahead Eagles 1–4 xG 1.6–2.43 NLD E

NEC Nijmegen

DLWLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 7 · xG 12.68–5.87 · xPts 9.92

  • W H Olympiacos F.C. 2–1 aet xG 1.91–0.94 UEFA CL
  • L H Telstar 1–2 xG 2.5–1.37 NLD E
  • W H Go Ahead Eagles 2–1 xG 5.12–0.69 NLD E
  • L A FC Groningen 1–2 xG 1.27–1.82 NLD E
  • D H Telstar 1–1 xG 1.87–1.06 NLD E

All meetings · 23 matches since 2005

Willem II 47 draws12 NEC Nijmegen

Goals 23–32 · 2.39 per match · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 44%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Willem II 13 draws6 NEC Nijmegen

Goals 8–13 · 2.1 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Willem II 12 draws2 NEC Nijmegen

Goals 6–7 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Willem II 1–4 NEC Nijmegen NLD E · Regular Season
  • D NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Willem II NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Willem II 4–1 NEC Nijmegen NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Willem II 0–1 NEC Nijmegen neutral NLD E · Regular Season
  • D NEC Nijmegen 0–0 Willem II neutral NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Willem II 0–1 NEC Nijmegen NLD E · Regular Season
  • D NEC Nijmegen 0–0 Willem II neutral NLD E · Regular Season
  • L NEC Nijmegen 1–0 Willem II NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Willem II 0–1 NEC Nijmegen NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Willem II 2–3 NEC Nijmegen NLD E · Regular Season
MetricWillem II all · 6Willem II at home · 3NEC Nijmegen all · 6NEC Nijmegen away · 3
Results
Matches66
Points per game0.331.17
W / D / L0 / 2 / 42 / 1 / 3
Goals for / match1.001.83
Goals against / match3.172.00
Clean sheets0%0%
Failed to score17%17%
Both teams scored83%83%
Over 2.583%100%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.351.75
xG against / match2.421.84
xG difference-1.07-0.10
Finishing vs xG-0.350.09
xPts / match0.831.35
Points vs xPts-0.49-0.19
Game state
Scored first33%50%
PPG when scoring first0.502.33
PPG when conceding first0.250.00
Came back from behind33%25%
Leads held0%67%
Minutes leading4%30%
Minutes level48%32%
Minutes trailing48%38%
First goal (min)6239
First goal conceded (min)3740
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half83%64%
Goals conceded in 2nd half63%58%
Late goals for (76'+)0.670.50
Late goals against0.500.33
Style
Possession37%64%
Shots11.314.8
On target2.74.0
Shot conversion9%12%
Shots inside box69%60%
Big chances created2.22.7
Corners3.85.0
xG from set plays12%24%
Goals from headers0%18%
Pressure index6.314.6
Dominant minutes24.357.2
Pass accuracy76%81%
Fouls9.011.5
Cards0.831.83

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Willem II

0–15'11
16–30'01
31–45'05
46–60'01
61–75'18
76–90'43

NEC Nijmegen

0–15'21
16–30'12
31–45'12
46–60'22
61–75'23
76–90'32

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Willem II · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.226
Early press (0-15, level)-0.406
Late push (76+, level)-0.642
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.433

Game state

When ahead+0.062
When level-0.386
When behind-0.026
10 min after conceding-0.536
10 min after scoring-0.323

Situations

At home-0.083
Away-0.363
4+ days rest-0.226

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.402
v mid-tier opponents-0.083
As underdog-0.375

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.716
Conceded when ahead+0.892
Conceded late (76+)+0.943

Ahead vs level +0.43 · Behind vs level +0.35

NEC Nijmegen · 10 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.11) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.1110
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1410
Late push (76+, level)+0.172
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.245

Game state

When ahead+0.093
When level-0.1810
When behind+0.398
10 min after conceding+0.029
10 min after scoring+0.537

Situations

At home+0.195
Away+0.015
3 days rest or fewer+0.022
4+ days rest+0.148

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.054
v bottom-tier opponents+0.284
As favourite+0.185
Evenly matched+0.083
As underdog-0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.0510
Conceded when ahead-0.033
Conceded late (76+)-0.427

Congested vs rested -0.12 · Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level +0.57

Willem II

Current: winless 23 · scoring 2 · conceding 24

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 67%0.51.02.751.282.33
4-4-1-11 17%0.01.04.01.422.78
4-4-21 17%0.01.04.01.62.43

NEC Nijmegen

Current: winless 4 · conceding 15

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-14 67%1.01.752.01.81.91
3-4-1-22 33%1.52.02.01.641.7

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.75Home 20% P 20%4.75Draw 20% P 21%1.6Away 60% P 59%

Double Chance

2.1Willem II or Draw 22%1.18Willem II or NEC 40%1.22Draw or NEC 38%

Draw No Bet

3.41 28%1.32 72%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61%2.37No 39%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.47Over 64% P 65%2.6Under 36% P 35%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 24%2.629 - 11 33%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 12%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 17.5–20% · away 57.5–60% · 326 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home20%19%15%-3.2
Draw21%23%21%-1.4
Away59%59%63%+4.6

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 59%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.565%66%69%+3.2

Serdar Gozubuyuk

Career
18 matches · 3 seasons
Cards / match
3.28 (3.17 yellow · 0.11 red)
Fouls / match
21.2 · 6.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.11
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 17 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.413.32+0.1152
Fouls / match21.420.3+0.38
Fouls per card6.36.2-0.24 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.060.24-2.470
Time added6.36.4-0.1952
First card
33' on average
Card timing
22% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-05-10 41 240 27'5
2026-05-03 60 220 6'9
2026-04-25 20 170 78'6
2026-04-12 · NEC Nijmegen 70 310 40'10
2026-04-04 10 160 71'9
2026-03-15 40 220 27'6
2026-03-07 20 120 90'7
2026-02-27 50 240 26'5
2026-02-22 40 200 19'3
2026-02-14 10 180 9'6