Rating 7.28 (81th pct) · G+A 2 + 1 (43% of team goals) · 97% of minutes
Eredivisie · Matchweek 1
Momentum
– HEEFC Twente –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
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Stats
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Season context
| SC Heerenveen | at home | Stat | league | away | FC Twente |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54.0 #7 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 60.8 #4 |
| 14.7 #8 | – | Shots total | 15.0 | – | 21.3 #4 |
| 5.3 #7 | – | Shots on target | 5.4 | – | 7.8 #2 |
| 5.0 #8 | – | Corners | 5.3 | – | 7.7 #4 |
| 8.3 #16 | – | Fouls | 10.3 | – | 10.2 #9 |
| 1.3 #9 | – | Offsides | 1.4 | – | 1.3 #9 |
| 11.5 #16 | – | Tackles | 14.7 | – | 12.5 #15 |
| 107.7 #6 | – | Attacks | 94.5 | – | 126.2 #1 |
| 54.3 #7 | – | Dangerous attacks | 48.9 | – | 76.8 #3 |
| 505.0 #7 | – | Passes | 445.6 | – | 562.2 #3 |
| 1.2 #10 | – | Yellowcards | 1.3 | – | 0.8 #14 |
| 1.0 #12 | – | Assists | 1.5 | – | 1.5 #8 |
| – #15 | – | Btts | 74.1 | – | – #15 |
| – #1 | – | Cleansheet | 13.9 | – | – #1 |
| – #1 | – | Draw | 25.9 | – | – #9 |
| 1.3 #14 | – | Expected goals | 1.8 | – | 2.5 #5 |
| -0.2 #15 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.2 | – | -0.5 #18 |
| – #2 | – | Failed to score | 13.9 | – | – #5 |
| 1.2 #14 | 0.8 | Goals | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 #7 |
| 1.5 #12 | 1.2 | Goals conceded | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 #18 |
| 6.8 #16 | – | Interceptions | 8.5 | – | 9.2 #7 |
| – #9 | – | Lost | 37.0 | – | – #13 |
| – | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #3 |
| 6.9 #7 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 7.0 #5 |
| 4.7 #4 | – | Shots blocked | 4.0 | – | 4.0 #8 |
| 8.5 #12 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.9 | – | 14.5 #4 |
| 4.7 #13 | – | Shots off target | 5.7 | – | 9.5 #1 |
| 6.2 #6 | – | Shots outsidebox | 5.0 | – | 6.8 #5 |
| – #11 | – | Win | 37.0 | – | – #3 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 53 of 306
- Goals / match
- 3.91 (home 1.64 · away 2.26)
- Home / draw / away
- 26% · 26% · 47%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 74% · 79%
- Cards / match
- 2.75 (reds 0.06)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
SC Heerenveen · 2026/2027 · Eredivisie
Rating 6.91 (44th pct) · G+A 0 + 2 (29% of team goals) · 96% of minutes
Rating 6.99 (53th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (14% of team goals) · 85% of minutes
FC Twente · 2026/2027 · Eredivisie
Rating 7.26 (83th pct) · G+A 3 + 1 (33% of team goals) · 96% of minutes
Rating 7.28 (84th pct) · G+A 0 + 1 (8% of team goals) · 98% of minutes
Rating 7.58 (94th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (17% of team goals) · 71% of minutes
Absences
SC Heerenveen
- injury Oliver Braude #5 key player defender · Unknown Injury · 73 missed
FC Twente
- injury Issam El Maach goalkeeper · Muscle Injury · 192 missed
- injury Mees Hilgers defender · Hamstring Injury · 63 missed
- injury Stav Lemkin defender · Unknown Injury · 2 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 1
Venue
- Stadium
- Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen
- Capacity
- 27,224
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 21,022
Teams
- Coaches
- Robin Veldman · John van den Brom
- Position
- 11 · 12
- Formation
- 4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Marc Nagtegaal
Weather
- Conditions
- scattered clouds
- Temperature
- 27.6° (feels 27.4°)
- Wind
- 4.0
- Humidity
- 41%
Where to watch · 1
Netherlands
ESPN 2
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 7 | 15 | 16 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  AZ Alkmaar |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 16 | WWWWD |
| 3 |  Feyenoord |
6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 14 | DWDWW |
| 4 |  Ajax |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 13 | DWLWW |
| 5 |  FC Twente |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 13 | WWDWW |
| 6 |  Excelsior |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 10 | LWWDL |
| 7 |  Fortuna Sittard |
6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 | WLWWL |
| 8 |  Go Ahead Eagles |
6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 9 | DWLDD |
| 9 |  FC Groningen |
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 8 | WLLDD |
| 10 |  NEC Nijmegen |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 7 | WWLDL |
| 11 |  SC Heerenveen |
6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 6 | DLDLD |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 5 | WDLDL |
| 13 |  Telstar |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 5 | LLDLD |
| 14 |  FC Utrecht |
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 5 | LDLDW |
| 15 |  SC Cambuur |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 4 | LLLDW |
| 16 |  PEC Zwolle |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 17 |  Willem II |
6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 18 |  ADO Den Haag |
6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Twente |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 9 | WWDWW |
| 2 | PSV |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 7 | WWWWW |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 7 | WWWWD |
| 4 | Go Ahead Eagles |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 7 | DWLDD |
| 5 | Ajax |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 4 | DWLWW |
| 6 | FC Groningen |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 | WLLDD |
| 7 | SC Heerenveen |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | DLDLD |
| 8 | Excelsior |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 | LWWDL |
| 9 | Fortuna Sittard |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | WLWWL |
| 10 | SC Cambuur |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LLLDW |
| 11 | Feyenoord |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DWDWW |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 2 | WDLDL |
| 13 | NEC Nijmegen |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 | WWLDL |
| 14 | Telstar |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LLDLD |
| 15 | Willem II |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LDLDL |
| 16 | FC Utrecht |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 1 | LDLDW |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 0 | LLDLL |
| 18 | PEC Zwolle |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | -11 | 0 | LWLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 12 | DWDWW |
| 2 | Ajax |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 9 | DWLWW |
| 3 | PSV |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 4 | AZ Alkmaar |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 9 | WWWWD |
| 5 | Excelsior |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 7 | LWWDL |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 7 | WLWWL |
| 7 | NEC Nijmegen |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 6 | WWLDL |
| 8 | FC Twente |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 4 | WWDWW |
| 9 | FC Utrecht |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 4 | LDLDW |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 11 | Telstar |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | LLDLD |
| 12 | FC Groningen |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 4 | WLLDD |
| 13 | Sparta Rotterdam |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 | WDLDL |
| 14 | SC Heerenveen |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DLDLD |
| 15 | Go Ahead Eagles |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 2 | DWLDD |
| 16 | SC Cambuur |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 1 | LLLDW |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 1 | LLDLL |
| 18 | Willem II |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 | LDLDL |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
SC Heerenveen
WWLDL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 6 · xG 9.39–8.21 · xPts 7.66
- L
A
FC Utrecht
2–3
xG 1.29–2.19
NLD E
- D
H
Ajax
0–0
xG 2.41–1.77
NLD E
- L
A
NAC Breda
0–2
xG 1.24–2.18
NLD E - W
A
FC Volendam
2–0
xG 2.0–1.33
NLD E - W
H
Fortuna Sittard
2–1
xG 2.45–0.74
NLD E
LWWLDL 2W 1D 3L · 7 pts (1.17 ppg) · GF 6 GA 9 · xG 10.13–10.6 · xPts 8.11
- L
A
FC Utrecht
2–3
xG 1.29–2.19
NLD E
- D
H
Ajax
0–0
xG 2.41–1.77
NLD E
- L
A
NAC Breda
0–2
xG 1.24–2.18
NLD E
- W
A
FC Volendam
2–0
xG 2.0–1.33
NLD E
- W
H
Fortuna Sittard
2–1
xG 2.45–0.74
NLD E
- L
A
AZ Alkmaar
0–3
xG 0.73–2.4
NLD E
FC Twente
WLLDW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 14 GA 9 · xG 8.61–3.45 · xPts 6.43
- W
H
Dunajská Streda
6–0
xG 2.43–0.49
UEFA ECL - D
A
Ferencvárosi
2–2
UEFA EL - L
H
Ferencvárosi
1–2
UEFA EL
- L
A
PSV
1–5
xG 1.64–2.35
NLD E
- W
H
Sparta Rotterdam
4–0
xG 4.54–0.62
NLD E
DDWLLDW 2W 3D 2L · 9 pts (1.29 ppg) · GF 17 GA 12 · xG 10.92–6.4 · xPts 8.74
- W
H
Dunajská Streda
6–0
xG 2.43–0.49
UEFA ECL
- D
A
Ferencvárosi
2–2
UEFA EL
- L
H
Ferencvárosi
1–2
UEFA EL
- L
A
PSV
1–5
xG 1.64–2.35
NLD E
- W
H
Sparta Rotterdam
4–0
xG 4.54–0.62
NLD E
- D
A
AZ Alkmaar
2–2
xG 0.88–1.6
NLD E
- D
H
NEC Nijmegen
1–1
xG 1.43–1.34
NLD E
All meetings · 45 matches since 2005
Goals 62–82 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 58%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 12–25 · 3.7 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 70%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 5–12 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- W SC Heerenveen 1–0 FC Twente NLD E · Regular Season
- L FC Twente 5–0 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
- L SC Heerenveen 1–2 FC Twente NLD E · Regular Season
- D SC Heerenveen 3–3 FC Twente NLD E · Regular Season
- L FC Twente 2–0 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
- D SC Heerenveen 3–3 FC Twente NLD E · Regular Season
- L FC Twente 1–0 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
- L FC Twente 4–0 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Conference League Play-offs - Semi-finals · leg 2/2
- L SC Heerenveen 1–2 FC Twente NLD E · Conference League Play-offs - Semi-finals · leg 1/2
- D FC Twente 3–3 SC Heerenveen NLD E · Regular Season
| Metric | SC Heerenveen all · 6 | SC Heerenveen at home · 4 | FC Twente all · 6 | FC Twente away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | 6 | – |
| Points per game | 1.00 | – | 2.17 | – |
| W / D / L | 1 / 3 / 2 | – | 4 / 1 / 1 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.17 | – | 2.00 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.50 | – | 0.83 | – |
| Clean sheets | 33% | – | 33% | – |
| Failed to score | 33% | – | 17% | – |
| Both teams scored | 50% | – | 50% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | – | 50% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.32 | – | 2.55 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.66 | – | 0.69 | – |
| xG difference | -0.34 | – | 1.87 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.15 | – | -0.55 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.17 | – | 2.43 | – |
| Points vs xPts | -0.17 | – | -0.27 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 17% | – | 67% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | – | 2.50 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.50 | – | 1.50 | – |
| Came back from behind | 50% | – | 67% | – |
| Leads held | 33% | – | 80% | – |
| Minutes leading | 15% | – | 31% | – |
| Minutes level | 59% | – | 57% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 26% | – | 12% | – |
| First goal (min) | 46 | – | 38 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 31 | – | 45 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 57% | – | 58% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 67% | – | 40% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.33 | – | 0.17 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.33 | – | 0.17 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 54% | – | 61% | – |
| Shots | 14.8 | – | 21.7 | – |
| On target | 5.5 | – | 8.0 | – |
| Shot conversion | 8% | – | 9% | – |
| Shots inside box | 58% | – | 68% | – |
| Big chances created | 1.8 | – | 3.7 | – |
| Corners | 5.0 | – | 7.7 | – |
| xG from set plays | 17% | – | 28% | – |
| Goals from headers | 0% | – | 9% | – |
| Pressure index | 12.0 | – | 21.6 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 45.8 | – | 68.3 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | – | 87% | – |
| Fouls | 8.2 | – | 9.8 | – |
| Cards | 1.17 | – | 0.83 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
SC Heerenveen
0–15'02
16–30'20
31–45'11
46–60'11
61–75'13
76–90'22
FC Twente
0–15'10
16–30'23
31–45'20
46–60'21
61–75'40
76–90'11
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
SC Heerenveen · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.36
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.046
Early press (0-15, level)+0.106
Late push (76+, level)+0.054
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.363
Game state
When ahead-0.303
When level+0.206
When behind-0.124
10 min after conceding+0.124
10 min after scoring+0.274
Situations
At home-0.064
Away+0.252
4+ days rest+0.046
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.243
v bottom-tier opponents+0.323
As favourite+0.323
As underdog-0.243
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.186
Conceded when ahead+0.933
Conceded late (76+)+0.256
Ahead vs level -0.51 · Behind vs level -0.32
FC Twente · 12 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.46) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.79
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.4612
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3612
Late push (76+, level)+0.545
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.586
Game state
When ahead+0.687
When level+0.3812
When behind+0.458
10 min after conceding+0.018
10 min after scoring+0.7910
Situations
At home+0.616
Away+0.326
3 days rest or fewer+0.735
4+ days rest+0.287
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.735
As favourite+0.5010
Evenly matched+0.312
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.3212
Conceded when ahead-0.217
Conceded late (76+)-0.5310
Congested vs rested +0.45 · Ahead vs level +0.31 · Behind vs level +0.08
SC Heerenveen
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 67% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.75 | 1.38 | 1.56 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 17% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.58 | 2.01 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 17% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.83 | 1.69 |
FC Twente
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 2 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 100% | 2.17 | 2.0 | 0.83 | 2.55 | 0.69 |
| Metric | SC Heerenveen all · 10 | SC Heerenveen at home · 10 | FC Twente all · 10 | FC Twente away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| W / D / L | 2 / 4 / 4 | 6 / 2 / 2 | 6 / 2 / 2 | 4 / 4 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 1.10 | 1.80 | 2.50 | 2.20 |
| Goals against / match | 1.40 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.90 |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 40% | 30% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 30% | 20% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 50% | 50% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 60% | 60% | 90% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.49 | 1.94 | 2.41 | 2.00 |
| xG against / match | 1.74 | 1.43 | 0.72 | 1.26 |
| xG difference | -0.26 | 0.52 | 1.70 | 0.74 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.39 | -0.14 | 0.09 | 0.23 |
| xPts / match | 1.23 | 1.64 | 2.35 | 1.83 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.23 | 0.36 | -0.35 | -0.16 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 20% | 30% | 60% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.33 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.33 | 1.80 | 1.50 | 1.33 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | 60% | 67% | 75% |
| Leads held | 50% | 86% | 75% | 57% |
| Minutes leading | 18% | 31% | 36% | 28% |
| Minutes level | 56% | 56% | 50% | 45% |
| Minutes trailing | 26% | 13% | 14% | 27% |
| First goal (min) | 41 | 31 | 36 | 35 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 34 | 32 | 49 | 36 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 64% | 56% | 65% | 60% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 71% | 50% | 70% | 58% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 54% | 53% | 61% | 56% |
| Shots | 14.2 | 15.6 | 22.4 | 18.3 |
| On target | 5.0 | 6.3 | 8.5 | 6.2 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 12% | 11% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 64% | 66% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 2.5 | 3.7 | 3.6 |
| Corners | 5.4 | 5.8 | 7.9 | 6.8 |
| xG from set plays | 21% | 20% | 26% | 18% |
| Goals from headers | 11% | 0% | 17% | 5% |
| Pressure index | 11.2 | 11.9 | 21.5 | 15.2 |
| Dominant minutes | 47.6 | 46.6 | 72.5 | 59.3 |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 83% | 87% | 84% |
| Fouls | 9.1 | 9.6 | 11.2 | 11.3 |
| Cards | 1.20 | 1.60 | 1.40 | 1.20 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
SC Heerenveen
0–15'12
16–30'20
31–45'12
46–60'24
61–75'14
76–90'42
FC Twente
0–15'40
16–30'23
31–45'20
46–60'54
61–75'51
76–90'52
SC Heerenveen
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 8 80% | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.56 | 1.72 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.58 | 2.01 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.83 | 1.69 |
FC Twente
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 2 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 8 80% | 2.13 | 2.38 | 1.13 | 2.55 | 0.78 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2.43 | 0.49 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.46 |
| Metric | SC Heerenveen all · 36 | SC Heerenveen at home · 18 | FC Twente all · 41 | FC Twente away · 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 36 | 18 | 41 | 20 |
| Points per game | 1.53 | 1.78 | 1.83 | 1.60 |
| W / D / L | 15 / 10 / 11 | 9 / 5 / 4 | 20 / 15 / 6 | 7 / 11 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 1.69 | 1.78 | 2.02 | 2.15 |
| Goals against / match | 1.58 | 1.33 | 1.15 | 1.55 |
| Clean sheets | 19% | 22% | 27% | 5% |
| Failed to score | 25% | 28% | 12% | 5% |
| Both teams scored | 61% | 61% | 66% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 61% | 56% | 65% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.70 | 1.87 | 2.20 | 2.09 |
| xG against / match | 1.64 | 1.25 | 1.05 | 1.32 |
| xG difference | 0.06 | 0.62 | 1.16 | 0.76 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.00 | -0.10 | -0.15 | 0.07 |
| xPts / match | 1.45 | 1.73 | 2.02 | 1.85 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.08 | 0.05 | -0.12 | -0.21 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 36% | 39% | 58% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.46 | 2.43 | 2.21 | 1.83 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | 1.44 | 1.33 | 1.25 |
| Came back from behind | 52% | 60% | 68% | 82% |
| Leads held | 68% | 75% | 67% | 47% |
| Minutes leading | 26% | 28% | 34% | 33% |
| Minutes level | 47% | 50% | 51% | 48% |
| Minutes trailing | 27% | 22% | 15% | 19% |
| First goal (min) | 39 | 37 | 38 | 38 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 39 | 40 | 44 | 43 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 59% | 56% | 63% | 63% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 58% | 58% | 64% | 64% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.39 | 0.39 | 0.46 | 0.65 |
| Late goals against | 0.28 | 0.28 | 0.22 | 0.35 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 51% | 53% | 56% | 53% |
| Shots | 14.7 | 15.8 | 19.1 | 18.0 |
| On target | 5.6 | 5.9 | 7.1 | 6.5 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 11% | 11% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 65% | 65% | 66% | 67% |
| Big chances created | 2.4 | 2.6 | 3.4 | 3.5 |
| Corners | 5.4 | 5.7 | 6.1 | 6.0 |
| xG from set plays | 21% | 23% | 24% | 26% |
| Goals from headers | 3% | 3% | 15% | 12% |
| Pressure index | 12.6 | 13.4 | 19.4 | 14.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 47.6 | 48.3 | 62.2 | 52.4 |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 82% | 82% | 81% |
| Fouls | 10.5 | 9.8 | 10.5 | 11.2 |
| Cards | 1.42 | 1.50 | 1.39 | 1.60 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
SC Heerenveen
0–15'17
16–30'1010
31–45'147
46–60'1113
61–75'1110
76–90'1410
FC Twente
0–15'84
16–30'127
31–45'106
46–60'2213
61–75'128
76–90'179
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
SC Heerenveen · 36 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.07) · stands out: as favourite +0.29
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0736
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0236
Late push (76+, level)-0.0512
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1912
Game state
When ahead-0.0522
When level+0.1436
When behind+0.0723
10 min after conceding-0.1329
10 min after scoring+0.1927
Situations
At home+0.0318
Away+0.1218
4+ days rest+0.0736
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1611
v mid-tier opponents+0.099
v bottom-tier opponents+0.1711
As favourite+0.2914
Evenly matched+0.1110
As underdog-0.2112
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0636
Conceded when ahead+0.1222
Conceded late (76+)+0.0431
Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level -0.07
FC Twente · 41 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.44) · stands out: 3 days rest or fewer +0.73
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.4441
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3641
Late push (76+, level)+0.3219
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.4612
Game state
When ahead+0.4829
When level+0.4541
When behind+0.3219
10 min after conceding-0.0329
10 min after scoring+0.6236
Situations
With ten men+0.312
Against ten men-0.073
At home+0.5821
Away+0.2820
3 days rest or fewer+0.735
4+ days rest+0.4036
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.537
v mid-tier opponents+0.2310
v bottom-tier opponents+0.6113
As favourite+0.4929
Evenly matched+0.1811
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2241
Conceded when ahead-0.2429
Conceded late (76+)-0.3234
Congested vs rested +0.33 · Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level -0.13
SC Heerenveen
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 5 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 34 94% | 1.5 | 1.71 | 1.62 | 1.73 | 1.63 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.83 | 1.69 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.58 | 2.01 |
FC Twente
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 2 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 29 71% | 1.79 | 1.97 | 1.21 | 2.33 | 1.04 |
| 4-3-3 | 10 24% | 2.3 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 1.12 |
| 4-2-1-3 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | – | – |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.46 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
3.25Home 30% P 30%3.9Draw 25% P 25%2.1Away 46% P 46%
Double Chance
1.66Heerenveen or Draw 28%1.25Heerenveen or FC Twente 37%1.36Draw or FC Twente 34%
Draw No Bet
2.21 42%1.612 58%
Both Teams To Score
1.44Yes 65%2.62No 35%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.47Over 64% P 64%2.6Under 36% P 36%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%
Number of Cards
2.51.57Over 59%2.25Under 41%
3.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 27.5–30% · away 45–47.5% · 218 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 30% | 28% | 34% | +6.0 |
| Draw | 25% | 26% | 22% | -3.6 |
| Away | 46% | 46% | 44% | -2.4 |
In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 59%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 64% | 63% | -0.4 |
Marc Nagtegaal
- Career
- 90 matches · 8 seasons
- Cards / match
- 2.73 (2.63 yellow · 0.04 red)
- Fouls / match
- 19.5 · 7.2 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.24
- Cards to home side
- 44%
Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 69 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 2.71 | 3.32 | -1.38 | 9 |
| Fouls / match | 19.1 | 20.3 | -0.80 | |
| Fouls per card | 7.5 | 6.2 | +1.59 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.29 | 0.24 | +0.74 | 77 |
| Time added | 6.2 | 6.4 | -0.46 | 41 |
- First card
- 42' on average
- Card timing
- 18% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 43% (league 44%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.38
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | 4 | 0 | 34 | 2 | 4' | 4 |
| 2026-07-30 | 4 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 11' | 6 |
| 2026-05-21 | 5 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 40' | 7 |
| 2026-05-17 | 4 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 27' | 12 |
| 2026-05-10 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 30' | 5 |
| 2026-04-23 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 41' | 2 |
| 2026-04-12 · SC Heerenveen | 2 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 42' | 6 |
| 2026-03-22 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 39' | 7 |
| 2026-03-15 · FC Twente | 4 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 18' | 6 |
| 2026-03-08 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 27' | 5 |