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Eredivisie · Matchweek 1

Momentum

PEC ZwolleAjax
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
1

Venue

Stadium
MAC³PARK Stadion, Zwolle
Capacity
14,000
Surface
artificial turf
Attendance
14,000

Teams

Coaches
Henry van der Vegt · Míchel
Position
7 · 12
Formation
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Jannick van der Laan

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
30.1° (feels 28.9°)
Wind
4.4
Humidity
31%

Where to watch · 30

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 6510 22715 16 WWWWW
2 AZ Alkmaar 6510 17611 16 WWWWD
3 Feyenoord 6420 20713 14 DWDWW
4 Ajax 6411 19712 13 DWLWW
5 FC Twente 6411 1257 13 WWDWW
6 Excelsior 6312 1376 10 LWWDL
7 Fortuna Sittard 6312 1214-2 10 WLWWL
8 Go Ahead Eagles 6231 15132 9 DWLDD
9 FC Groningen 6222 1213-1 8 WLLDD
10 NEC Nijmegen 6213 1112-1 7 WWLDL
11 SC Heerenveen 6132 79-2 6 DLDLD
12 Sparta Rotterdam 6123 1013-3 5 WDLDL
13 Telstar 6123 511-6 5 LLDLD
14 FC Utrecht 6123 1119-8 5 LDLDW
15 SC Cambuur 6114 918-9 4 LLLDW
16 PEC Zwolle 6114 617-11 4 LWLDL
17 Willem II 6024 619-13 2 LDLDL
18 ADO Den Haag 6015 616-10 1 LLDLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

PEC Zwolle

DLWLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 13 · xG 4.6–9.8 · xPts 3.74

  • L H Feyenoord 0–2 xG 0.45–2.76 NLD E
  • L A Fortuna Sittard 2–3 xG 0.8–1.5 NLD E
  • W H Heracles Almelo 1–0 xG 0.69–1.58 NLD E
  • L A PSV 1–6 xG 0.44–1.91 NLD E
  • D H Excelsior 2–2 xG 2.22–2.06 NLD E

Ajax

WDWWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 14 GA 4 · xG 19.23–6.38 · xPts 11.87

  • W H Shelbourne 3–1 xG 6.61–0.2 UEFA ECL
  • W H Vojvodina 4–1 xG 4.17–0.25 UEFA ECL
  • W A Vojvodina 4–1 xG 1.71–0.82 UEFA ECL
  • D H FC Utrecht 1–1 won on pens None–None xG 4.92–4.87 NLD E
  • W H FC Groningen 2–0 xG 1.82–0.24 NLD E

All meetings · 26 matches since 2012

PEC Zwolle 05 draws21 Ajax

Goals 15–62 · 2.96 per match · BTTS 46% · over 2.5 58%

Last 10 · 10 matches

PEC Zwolle 02 draws8 Ajax

Goals 4–20 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

PEC Zwolle 01 draws4 Ajax

Goals 1–8 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • L PEC Zwolle 0–2 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
  • D PEC Zwolle 0–0 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Ajax 3–1 PEC Zwolle NLD E · Regular Season
  • L PEC Zwolle 0–1 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Ajax 2–0 PEC Zwolle NLD E · Regular Season
  • L PEC Zwolle 1–3 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
  • D Ajax 2–2 PEC Zwolle NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Ajax 3–0 PEC Zwolle neutral NLD E · Regular Season
  • L PEC Zwolle 0–2 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
  • L PEC Zwolle 0–2 Ajax NLD E · Regular Season
MetricPEC Zwolle all · 6PEC Zwolle at home · 3Ajax all · 6Ajax away · 3
Results
Matches66
Points per game0.672.17
W / D / L1 / 1 / 44 / 1 / 1
Goals for / match1.003.17
Goals against / match2.831.17
Clean sheets17%33%
Failed to score33%0%
Both teams scored50%67%
Over 2.567%83%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.052.51
xG against / match2.441.18
xG difference-1.401.33
Finishing vs xG-0.050.66
xPts / match0.742.12
Points vs xPts-0.070.05
Game state
Scored first50%83%
PPG when scoring first1.332.60
PPG when conceding first0.000.00
Came back from behind20%0%
Leads held33%80%
Minutes leading11%44%
Minutes level49%45%
Minutes trailing39%12%
First goal (min)3436
First goal conceded (min)3244
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half50%63%
Goals conceded in 2nd half59%57%
Late goals for (76'+)0.171.00
Late goals against0.670.50
Style
Possession39%62%
Shots10.823.3
On target3.88.0
Shot conversion9%14%
Shots inside box57%69%
Big chances created1.23.7
Corners3.87.8
xG from set plays42%18%
Goals from headers17%22%
Pressure index6.323.0
Dominant minutes30.566.2
Pass accuracy74%89%
Fouls11.39.2
Cards1.332.17

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

PEC Zwolle

0–15'01
16–30'24
31–45'12
46–60'12
61–75'14
76–90'14

Ajax

0–15'11
16–30'10
31–45'52
46–60'21
61–75'40
76–90'63

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

PEC Zwolle · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.21) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.216
Early press (0-15, level)-0.226
Late push (76+, level)+0.462
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.494

Game state

When ahead+0.003
When level-0.246
When behind-0.225
10 min after conceding-0.485
10 min after scoring+0.074

Situations

At home-0.213
Away-0.213
4+ days rest-0.216

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.453
v bottom-tier opponents-0.062
As underdog-0.216

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.476
Conceded when ahead+0.393
Conceded late (76+)+0.085

Ahead vs level +0.24 · Behind vs level +0.02

Ajax · 12 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.65) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.90

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.6512
Early press (0-15, level)+0.9012
Late push (76+, level)+0.053

Game state

When ahead+0.6811
When level+0.8012
When behind-0.184
10 min after conceding-0.219
10 min after scoring+0.8112

Situations

At home+0.686
Away+0.626
3 days rest or fewer+0.544
4+ days rest+0.708

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.735
As favourite+0.7311

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.1912
Conceded when ahead-0.2911
Conceded late (76+)-0.399

Congested vs rested -0.17 · Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level -0.98

PEC Zwolle

Current: winless 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-15 83%0.81.23.01.162.54
4-4-21 17%0.00.02.00.491.97

Ajax

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 14 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-33 50%2.03.671.672.951.43
4-2-3-12 33%2.02.01.02.040.97
4-4-1-11 17%3.04.00.02.140.88

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

6.25Home 15% P 15%4.5Draw 21% P 20%1.48Away 64% P 64%

Double Chance

2.5PEC Zwolle or Draw 19%1.18PEC Zwolle or Ajax 40%1.12Draw or Ajax 42%

Draw No Bet

4.51 21%1.182 79%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59%2.25No 41%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.47Over 64% P 65%2.6Under 36% P 35%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

2.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
3.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 15–17.5% · away 62.5–65% · 188 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home15%16%17%+1.1
Draw20%21%26%+4.9
Away64%63%57%-6.0

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 53%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.565%64%63%-0.4

Jannick van der Laan

Career
63 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
3.22 (3.08 yellow · 0.14 red)
Fouls / match
22.1 · 6.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 56 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.113.32-0.5423
Fouls / match21.720.3+0.59
Fouls per card7.26.2+1.27 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.180.24-0.6718
Time added7.06.4+0.9886
First card
41' on average
Card timing
12% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-05-21 10 170 49'6
2026-05-10 20 150 17'4
2026-04-26 10 280 87'16
2026-04-04 30 220 12'10
2026-03-06 20 300 61'7
2026-03-01 20 170 28'7
2026-02-17 70 300 28'
2026-02-01 30 210 47'7
2026-01-24 · Ajax 40 230 59'5
2026-01-11 40 220 17'6