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Eredivisie · Matchweek 1

Momentum

GAEWillem II
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
1

Venue

Stadium
De Adelaarshorst, Deventer
Capacity
10,400
Surface
grass
Attendance
9,288

Teams

Coaches
Joseph Oosting · John Stegeman
Position
6 · 7
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

Robin Hensgens

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
23.4° (feels 23.1°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
51%

Where to watch

No broadcast listings.

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 PSV 6510 22715 16 WWWWW
2 AZ Alkmaar 6510 17611 16 WWWWD
3 Feyenoord 6420 20713 14 DWDWW
4 Ajax 6411 19712 13 DWLWW
5 FC Twente 6411 1257 13 WWDWW
6 FC Groningen 7322 15132 11 LLDDW
7 Excelsior 6312 1376 10 LWWDL
8 Fortuna Sittard 6312 1214-2 10 WLWWL
9 Go Ahead Eagles 6231 15132 9 DWLDD
10 NEC Nijmegen 6213 1112-1 7 WWLDL
11 SC Heerenveen 6132 79-2 6 DLDLD
12 Sparta Rotterdam 6123 1013-3 5 WDLDL
13 Telstar 6123 511-6 5 LLDLD
14 FC Utrecht 6123 1119-8 5 LDLDW
15 SC Cambuur 6114 918-9 4 LLLDW
16 PEC Zwolle 7115 620-14 4 WLDLL
17 Willem II 6024 619-13 2 LDLDL
18 ADO Den Haag 6015 616-10 1 LLDLL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers Play-off
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Go Ahead Eagles

DDDLL 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 4 GA 8 · xG 6.61–13.85 · xPts 4.1

  • L A NEC Nijmegen 1–2 xG 0.69–5.12 NLD E
  • L H PSV 1–4 xG 1.19–2.76 NLD E
  • D A Sparta Rotterdam 2–2 xG 2.02–2.31 NLD E
  • D H AZ Alkmaar 0–0 xG 1.55–1.49 NLD E
  • D A FC Groningen 0–0 xG 1.17–2.16 NLD E

Willem II

No recent played matches.

All meetings · 9 matches since 2014

Go Ahead Eagles 50 draws4 Willem II

Goals 11–7 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 11% · over 2.5 22%

Last 10 · 9 matches

Go Ahead Eagles 50 draws4 Willem II

Goals 11–7 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 11% · over 2.5 22%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Go Ahead Eagles 40 draws1 Willem II

Goals 10–3 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Go Ahead Eagles 4–1 Willem II NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Go Ahead Eagles 1–0 Willem II NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Willem II 2–0 Go Ahead Eagles NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Go Ahead Eagles 4–0 Willem II NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Willem II 0–1 Go Ahead Eagles neutral NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Willem II 2–0 Go Ahead Eagles NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Go Ahead Eagles 0–1 Willem II NLD E · Regular Season
  • L Willem II 1–0 Go Ahead Eagles NLD E · Regular Season
  • W Go Ahead Eagles 1–0 Willem II NLD E · Regular Season
MetricGo Ahead Eagles all · 6Go Ahead Eagles at home · 3Willem II all · 6Willem II away · 3
Results
Matches66
Points per game1.500.33
W / D / L2 / 3 / 10 / 2 / 4
Goals for / match2.501.00
Goals against / match2.173.17
Clean sheets0%0%
Failed to score0%17%
Both teams scored100%83%
Over 2.583%83%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.771.35
xG against / match1.812.42
xG difference-0.04-1.07
Finishing vs xG0.73-0.35
xPts / match1.420.83
Points vs xPts0.08-0.49
Game state
Scored first33%33%
PPG when scoring first2.000.50
PPG when conceding first1.250.25
Came back from behind75%33%
Leads held67%0%
Minutes leading28%4%
Minutes level37%48%
Minutes trailing34%48%
First goal (min)4262
First goal conceded (min)3837
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half73%83%
Goals conceded in 2nd half54%63%
Late goals for (76'+)0.670.67
Late goals against0.670.50
Style
Possession53%37%
Shots15.311.3
On target6.32.7
Shot conversion16%9%
Shots inside box68%69%
Big chances created3.32.2
Corners5.33.8
xG from set plays25%12%
Goals from headers13%0%
Pressure index15.16.3
Dominant minutes46.324.3
Pass accuracy82%76%
Fouls7.79.0
Cards0.830.83

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Go Ahead Eagles

0–15'02
16–30'30
31–45'14
46–60'21
61–75'52
76–90'44

Willem II

0–15'11
16–30'01
31–45'05
46–60'01
61–75'18
76–90'43

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Go Ahead Eagles · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.16) · stands out: at home +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.166
Early press (0-15, level)+0.096
Late push (76+, level)+0.293
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.072

Game state

When ahead-0.033
When level+0.236
When behind+0.234
10 min after conceding-0.366
10 min after scoring+0.326

Situations

At home+0.533
Away-0.213
4+ days rest+0.166

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.362
v mid-tier opponents+0.462
v bottom-tier opponents+0.342
As favourite+0.342
As underdog-0.213

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.206
Conceded when ahead+0.323
Conceded late (76+)+0.014

Ahead vs level -0.25 · Behind vs level -0.00

Willem II · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.226
Early press (0-15, level)-0.406
Late push (76+, level)-0.642
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.433

Game state

When ahead+0.062
When level-0.386
When behind-0.026
10 min after conceding-0.536
10 min after scoring-0.323

Situations

At home-0.083
Away-0.363
4+ days rest-0.226

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.402
v mid-tier opponents-0.083
As underdog-0.375

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.716
Conceded when ahead+0.892
Conceded late (76+)+0.943

Ahead vs level +0.43 · Behind vs level +0.35

Go Ahead Eagles

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 9 · conceding 9

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-16 100%1.52.52.171.771.81

Willem II

Current: winless 23 · scoring 2 · conceding 24

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 67%0.51.02.751.282.33
4-4-1-11 17%0.01.04.01.422.78
4-4-21 17%0.01.04.01.62.43

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.5Home 63% P 62%4.5Draw 21% P 23%6.0Away 16% P 15%

Double Chance

1.14Go Ahead Eagles or Draw 41%1.2Go Ahead Eagles or Willem II 39%2.37Draw or Willem II 20%

Draw No Bet

1.21 78%4.332 22%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.53Over 61% P 62%2.4Under 39% P 38%

Total Corners

17.0Under 6 5%4.336 - 8 20%2.759 - 11 32%3.412 - 14 26%5.5Over 14 16%

Number of Cards

3.52.25Over 41%1.57Under 59%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 60–62.5% · away 15–17.5% · 649 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home62%61%62%+0.4
Draw23%23%23%+0.7
Away15%16%15%-1.1

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 58%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,029 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.562%61%63%+1.6

Robin Hensgens

Career
40 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
3.6 (3.4 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match
22.4 · 6.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.1
Cards to home side
40%

Style in Eredivisie (5-year window · 39 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.623.32+0.5486
Fouls / match22.420.3+0.91
Fouls per card6.26.2-0.36 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.10.24-1.855
Time added6.56.4+0.2562
First card
39' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
40% (league 44%)
VAR events / match
1.22

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-07-23 30 220 36'6
2026-04-10 20 140 23'4
2026-04-05 40 310 11'5
2026-03-15 40 290 43'8
2026-02-22 11 280 65'7
2026-02-11 · Go Ahead Eagles 10 220 42'8
2026-01-25 30 290 26'5
2026-01-10 40 170 53'6
2025-12-14 30 250 24'4
2025-11-29 80 410 20'5