Rating 7.2 (93th pct) · G+A 4 + 5 (13% of team goals) · 91% of minutes
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 5
Momentum
– OMPSG –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Olympique Marseille | at home | Stat | league | away | Paris Saint Germain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60.8 #2 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 67.2 #1 |
| 13.5 #9 | – | Shots total | 13.9 | – | 18.8 #2 |
| 5.0 #8 | – | Shots on target | 4.8 | – | 6.5 #2 |
| 5.0 #10 | – | Corners | 4.8 | – | 5.8 #6 |
| 9.8 #15 | – | Fouls | 11.7 | – | 7.2 #18 |
| 1.0 #13 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 3.2 #1 |
| 14.5 #15 | – | Tackles | 16.7 | – | 16.8 #8 |
| 128.0 #2 | – | Attacks | 90.2 | – | 137.8 #1 |
| 66.2 #2 | – | Dangerous attacks | 45.2 | – | 82.8 #1 |
| 625.8 #3 | – | Passes | 482.2 | – | 737.5 #1 |
| 1.2 #10 | – | Yellowcards | 1.4 | – | 1.5 #7 |
| 0.5 #16 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 1.5 #1 |
| – #15 | – | Btts | 56.4 | – | – #3 |
| – #6 | – | Cleansheet | 27.2 | – | – #6 |
| – #17 | – | Draw | 35.6 | – | – #2 |
| 1.6 #6 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 1.6 #10 |
| -0.1 #8 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.2 | – | -0.1 #6 |
| – #2 | – | Failed to score | 27.5 | – | – #13 |
| 1.5 #7 | 3.0 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.5 #7 |
| 1.5 #7 | 1.5 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.5 #7 |
| 0.2 #7 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.5 #4 |
| 9.2 #14 | – | Interceptions | 10.8 | – | 8.8 #15 |
| – #1 | – | Lost | 32.5 | – | – #9 |
| 0.2 #3 | – | Penalties scored | 0.3 | – | – |
| 6.9 #8 | – | Rating | 6.9 | – | 7.0 #1 |
| 2.5 #11 | – | Shots blocked | 3.4 | – | 5.2 #2 |
| 8.5 #10 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.0 | – | 8.2 #11 |
| 6.0 #7 | – | Shots off target | 5.7 | – | 7.0 #3 |
| 5.0 #5 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.9 | – | 10.5 #1 |
| – #7 | – | Win | 31.9 | – | – #7 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 36 of 306
- Goals / match
- 2.75 (home 1.39 · away 1.36)
- Home / draw / away
- 28% · 36% · 36%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 56% · 53%
- Cards / match
- 3.03 (reds 0.11)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
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Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Olympique Marseille · Last 365 days
Rating 6.98 (75th pct) · G+A 10 + 6 (23% of team goals) · 71% of minutes
Team 1.7 ppg with (30) · 1.17 without (12)
Rating 7.12 (80th pct) · G+A 12 + 3 (21% of team goals) · 44% of minutes
Team 1.39 ppg with (18) · 1.67 without (24)
Paris Saint Germain · Last 365 days
Rating 7.52 (100th pct) · G+A 7 + 7 (12% of team goals) · 80% of minutes
Team 2.02 ppg with (42) · 2.2 without (10)
Rating 7.42 (94th pct) · G+A 18 + 11 (24% of team goals) · 59% of minutes
Team 2.06 ppg with (35) · 2.06 without (17)
Rating 7.35 (100th pct) · G+A 5 + 7 (10% of team goals) · 56% of minutes
Team 2.1 ppg with (30) · 2.0 without (22)
Commentary
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In-Play Odds
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Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 5
Venue
- Stadium
- Stade Vélodrome, Marseille
- Capacity
- 67,395
- Surface
- grass
Teams
- Coaches
- Bruno Génésio · Luis Enrique
- Position
- 13 · 7
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Referee
François Letexier
Weather
- Conditions
- few clouds
- Temperature
- 25.8° (feels 25.5°)
- Wind
- 3.0
- Humidity
- 40%
Where to watch · 80
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Monaco |
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 13 | WWWDW |
| 2 |  LOSC Lille |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 10 | WDWW |
| 3 |  Rennes |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | DWWW |
| 4 |  Paris |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | DWWD |
| 5 |  Olympique Lyonnais |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | WDWD |
| 6 |  Strasbourg |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 7 | LWWD |
| 7 |  Paris Saint Germain |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 | DDLW |
| 8 |  Brest |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 | DDWL |
| 9 |  Lorient |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | DLWD |
| 10 |  Lens |
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 4 | WLLDL |
| 11 |  Angers SCO |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 | LWLD |
| 12 |  Troyes |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 | DWLL |
| 13 |  Olympique Marseille |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | WLLL |
| 14 |  Le Mans |
4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 | DLDD |
| 15 |  Auxerre |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 | LLLW |
| 16 |  Le Havre |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | LDLD |
| 17 |  Toulouse |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 | LDLD |
| 18 |  Nice |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2 | DLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rennes |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | DWWW |
| 2 | Monaco |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 | WWWDW |
| 3 | Paris |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | DWWD |
| 4 | LOSC Lille |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | WDWW |
| 5 | Olympique Lyonnais |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | WDWD |
| 6 | Strasbourg |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | LWWD |
| 7 | Olympique Marseille |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | WLLL |
| 8 | Lens |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | WLLDL |
| 9 | Auxerre |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | LLLW |
| 10 | Le Mans |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DLDD |
| 11 | Nice |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | DLDL |
| 12 | Lorient |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | DLWD |
| 13 | Brest |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | DDWL |
| 14 | Le Havre |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | LDLD |
| 15 | Troyes |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 | DWLL |
| 16 | Paris Saint Germain |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | DDLW |
| 17 | Angers SCO |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LWLD |
| 18 | Toulouse |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | LDLD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | WWWDW |
| 2 | LOSC Lille |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | WDWW |
| 3 | Paris Saint Germain |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | DDLW |
| 4 | Angers SCO |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | LWLD |
| 5 | Olympique Lyonnais |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | WDWD |
| 6 | Brest |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | DDWL |
| 7 | Paris |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | DWWD |
| 8 | Lorient |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | DLWD |
| 9 | Rennes |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | DWWW |
| 10 | Strasbourg |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | LWWD |
| 11 | Troyes |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | DWLL |
| 12 | Toulouse |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | LDLD |
| 13 | Le Havre |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | LDLD |
| 14 | Le Mans |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | DLDD |
| 15 | Lens |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 | WLLDL |
| 16 | Olympique Marseille |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | WLLL |
| 17 | Nice |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | DLDL |
| 18 | Auxerre |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 0 | LLLW |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Olympique Marseille
WLLLL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 10 · xG 7.78–7.74 · xPts 7.0
- L
A
Beşiktaş
1–4
xG 0.98–1.84
UEFA EL - L
A
Rennes
0–1
xG 1.0–1.89
FRA L1
- L
H
Paris
2–3
xG 1.65–2.58
FRA L1
- L
A
Monaco
0–2
xG 1.87–1.14
FRA L1
- W
H
Strasbourg
4–0
xG 2.27–0.29
FRA L1
WLLLL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 10 · xG 7.78–7.74 · xPts 7.0
- L
A
Beşiktaş
1–4
xG 0.98–1.84
UEFA EL
- L
A
Rennes
0–1
xG 1.0–1.89
FRA L1
- L
H
Paris
2–3
xG 1.65–2.58
FRA L1
- L
A
Monaco
0–2
xG 1.87–1.14
FRA L1
- W
H
Strasbourg
4–0
xG 2.27–0.29
FRA L1
Paris Saint Germain
DDLWW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 12 GA 7 · xG 9.97–4.2 · xPts 9.96
- W
A
Brest
1–0
xG 0.9–0.97
FRA L1
- W
H
Slovan Bratislava
6–1
xG 3.98–0.79
UEFA CL - L
H
Monaco
1–2
xG 2.14–0.5
FRA L1
- D
A
LOSC Lille
2–2
xG 1.41–0.99
FRA L1
- D
A
Rennes
2–2
xG 1.55–0.95
FRA L1
DWDDLWW 3W 3D 1L · 12 pts (1.71 ppg) · GF 15 GA 9 · xG 12.14–4.63 · xPts 12.46
- W
A
Brest
1–0
xG 0.9–0.97
FRA L1
- W
H
Slovan Bratislava
6–1
xG 3.98–0.79
UEFA CL
- L
H
Monaco
1–2
xG 2.14–0.5
FRA L1
- D
A
LOSC Lille
2–2
xG 1.41–0.99
FRA L1
- D
A
Rennes
2–2
xG 1.55–0.95
FRA L1
- W
H
Aston Villa
2–1
UEFA S Cup - D
H
Arsenal
1–1 won on pens None–None
xG 2.17–0.43
UEFA CL
full sample 10 meetings 2021–2026 · 2 on neutral ground
Recurring referee: Clément Turpin · 3 of these meetings
Last 10
Goals 3–23 · Olympique Marseille hosting: 1W 1D 3L · Paris Saint Germain hosting: 3W 0D 0L
At Stade Vélodrome: 5 meetings · Olympique Marseille 1 · draws 1 · Paris Saint Germain 3 · 1.8 goals per match · last away win Oct 2024
All-time since 2005: 41 meetings · Olympique Marseille 10 · draws 7 · Paris Saint Germain 24
This fixture vs the league league = last 365 days
| Metric | Fixture | League | Δ | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals per match | 2.60 | 2.81 | -0.21 | 10 |
| Both teams score | 20% | 52% | -32% | 10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 53% | +7% | 10 |
| Corners | 8.7 | 9.5 | -0.8 | 10 |
| Cards | 3.2 | 4.1 | -0.9 | 10 |
1 goalless · 3 with 4+ goals · 1.60 first-half goals per match · red card in 4
How these games go · 10 with event data
| Olympique Marseille | Paris Saint Germain | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 1 of 10 | 8 of 10 |
| Scored first and won | 1 | 8 |
| Won from behind | 0 | 0 |
first goal on average in minute 20 · goal after the 75th minute in 3 · penalty scored in 1
When the goals come · all goals, 9 meetings
0-15'5
16-30'4
31-45'7
46-60'4
61-75'3
76-90'3
1 equaliser · 1 penalty · 3 own goals · 2 headers
Expected goals · last 4 with xG
Deserved on xG: Olympique Marseille 1 · level 0 · Paris Saint Germain 3 — actual wins in those games 1 / 3
Against the market · 10 with closing odds
Favourite won 8 (80%), drew 1, upset 1 · market favoured Olympique Marseille 0×, Paris Saint Germain 10× · avg favourite 60%, avg price of the actual result 53%
Fixture specialists
- 3 Ousmane Dembélé Paris Saint Germain · in 2 games · last Feb 2026
- 3 Gonçalo Ramos Paris Saint Germain · in 2 games · last Mar 2024
- 3 Kylian Mbappé Paris Saint Germain · in 2 games · last Feb 2023
- 2 Neymar Paris Saint Germain · in 2 games · last Oct 2022
- 1 Kang-in Lee Paris Saint Germain · last Feb 2026
Last meeting · 2026-02-08 · FRA L1
Paris Saint Germain 5-0 Olympique Marseille · ref Willy Delajod
- 12' Ousmane Dembélé assist Nuno Mendes 1–0
- 37' Ousmane Dembélé assist Senny Mayulu 2–0
- 64' Facundo Medina (og) 3–0
- 66' Khvicha Kvaratskhelia assist Ousmane Dembélé 4–0
- 74' Kang-in Lee assist Senny Mayulu 5–0
xG 3.03 – 0.84 · corners 7 · cards 4
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·
Match result
25.7%Olympique Marseille P 13%23.1%Draw P 17%51.1%Paris Saint Germain P 70%
Over / under 2.5
60.1%Over 2.5 P 69%39.9%Under 2.5 P 31%
Both teams to score
60.5%Yes39.5%No
Expected
- Olympique Marseille goals
- 1.26 (0–3)
- Paris Saint Germain goals
- 1.85 (0–4)
- Corners
- 7.31 (4–11)
- Cards
- 3.47 (1–6)
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
28.7%Olympique Marseille23.3%Draw47.9%Paris Saint Germain
Over / under 2.5
60.0%Over 2.540.0%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
60.2%Yes39.8%No
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 41 matches since 2005
Goals 39–75 · 2.78 per match · BTTS 46% · over 2.5 61%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 3–23 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 60%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 2–13 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- L Paris Saint Germain 5–0 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
- W Olympique Marseille 1–0 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
- L Paris Saint Germain 3–1 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
- L Olympique Marseille 0–3 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
- L Olympique Marseille 0–2 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
- L Paris Saint Germain 4–0 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
- L Olympique Marseille 0–3 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
- L Paris Saint Germain 1–0 Olympique Marseille neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
- L Paris Saint Germain 2–1 Olympique Marseille neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
- D Olympique Marseille 0–0 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
| Metric | Olympique Marseille all · 4 | Olympique Marseille at home · 2 | Paris Saint Germain all · 4 | Paris Saint Germain away · 3 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Olympique Marseille · 5 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.56
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.105
Early press (0-15, level)+0.435
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.064
Game state
When level+0.245
When behind-0.024
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.563
Situations
At home+0.282
Away-0.033
4+ days rest+0.105
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.173
As favourite+0.282
As underdog-0.172
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.065
Conceded late (76+)-0.325
Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level -0.27
Paris Saint Germain · 5 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.47) · stands out: when behind +0.67
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.475
Early press (0-15, level)+0.635
Late push (76+, level)-0.252
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.203
Game state
When ahead+0.283
When level+0.405
When behind+0.673
10 min after conceding+0.143
10 min after scoring+0.665
Situations
At home+0.582
Away+0.433
4+ days rest+0.475
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.232
v mid-tier opponents+0.472
As favourite+0.475
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.325
Conceded when ahead-0.223
Conceded late (76+)-0.424
Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level +0.26
Olympique Marseille
Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 50% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.07 | 0.71 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 50% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.33 | 2.24 |
Paris Saint Germain
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 36 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 3 75% | 1.67 | 1.67 | 1.33 | 1.29 | 0.97 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 1 25% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.14 | 0.5 |
| Metric | Olympique Marseille all · 10 | Olympique Marseille at home · 10 | Paris Saint Germain all · 10 | Paris Saint Germain away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 2.10 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 6 | 6 / 2 / 2 | 5 / 3 / 2 | 6 / 3 / 1 |
| Goals for / match | 1.20 | 2.30 | 1.90 | 2.10 |
| Goals against / match | 1.70 | 1.30 | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% | 30% | 60% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 80% | 70% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 80% | 60% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.71 | 1.70 | 1.78 | 1.46 |
| xG against / match | 1.71 | 1.22 | 1.09 | 1.51 |
| xG difference | 0.00 | 0.48 | 0.69 | -0.05 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.51 | 0.60 | 0.11 | 0.64 |
| xPts / match | 1.40 | 1.69 | 1.79 | 1.37 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.40 | 0.31 | -0.12 | 0.73 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 40% | 80% | 70% | 80% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.50 | 2.13 | 2.14 | 2.38 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | 33% | 60% | 67% |
| Leads held | 75% | 67% | 71% | 75% |
| Minutes leading | 21% | 46% | 36% | 55% |
| Minutes level | 45% | 43% | 40% | 30% |
| Minutes trailing | 34% | 11% | 24% | 16% |
| First goal (min) | 34 | 33 | 46 | 38 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 41 | 54 | 39 | 49 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 67% | 65% | 63% | 62% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 71% | 77% | 54% | 57% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.70 | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 57% | 56% | 67% | 61% |
| Shots | 15.9 | 16.5 | 18.5 | 14.0 |
| On target | 5.3 | 6.3 | 6.1 | 5.9 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 14% | 10% | 15% |
| Shots inside box | 65% | 64% | 54% | 61% |
| Big chances created | 2.8 | 3.2 | 3.0 | 3.5 |
| Corners | 4.9 | 5.6 | 6.0 | 4.5 |
| xG from set plays | 20% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Goals from headers | 8% | 4% | 17% | 14% |
| Pressure index | 14.5 | 17.3 | 17.8 | 12.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 56.1 | 58.6 | 64.7 | 49.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 87% | 90% | 87% |
| Fouls | 11.9 | 11.8 | 7.5 | 7.2 |
| Cards | 2.10 | 2.20 | 1.00 | 1.50 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Olympique Marseille
0–15'33
16–30'12
31–45'00
46–60'48
61–75'20
76–90'24
Paris Saint Germain
0–15'12
16–30'41
31–45'22
46–60'32
61–75'31
76–90'63
Olympique Marseille
Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.67 | 1.77 | 1.67 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 20% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.33 | 2.24 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.81 | 1.38 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.04 | 1.24 |
Paris Saint Germain
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 36 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 9 90% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.74 | 1.17 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.14 | 0.5 |
| Metric | Olympique Marseille all · 42 | Olympique Marseille at home · 21 | Paris Saint Germain all · 52 | Paris Saint Germain away · 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 42 | 21 | 52 | 26 |
| Points per game | 1.55 | 1.90 | 2.06 | 1.96 |
| W / D / L | 20 / 5 / 17 | 12 / 4 / 5 | 32 / 11 / 9 | 15 / 6 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 1.69 | 2.10 | 2.29 | 1.92 |
| Goals against / match | 1.50 | 1.24 | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheets | 24% | 29% | 38% | 38% |
| Failed to score | 26% | 14% | 6% | 12% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 57% | 58% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 71% | 67% | 58% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.55 | 1.63 | 1.96 | 1.67 |
| xG against / match | 1.23 | 1.19 | 1.06 | 1.20 |
| xG difference | 0.31 | 0.44 | 0.90 | 0.47 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.14 | 0.46 | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| xPts / match | 1.57 | 1.64 | 1.91 | 1.66 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.02 | 0.26 | 0.13 | 0.30 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 57% | 69% | 65% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.29 | 2.42 | 2.50 | 2.47 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.81 | 1.22 | 1.07 | 1.00 |
| Came back from behind | 29% | 50% | 50% | 44% |
| Leads held | 71% | 71% | 78% | 79% |
| Minutes leading | 34% | 40% | 41% | 36% |
| Minutes level | 38% | 42% | 43% | 48% |
| Minutes trailing | 28% | 18% | 16% | 16% |
| First goal (min) | 35 | 36 | 38 | 41 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 39 | 44 | 36 | 42 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 59% | 66% | 56% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 65% | 65% | 49% | 54% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.38 | 0.52 | 0.54 | 0.54 |
| Late goals against | 0.45 | 0.62 | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 56% | 57% | 66% | 65% |
| Shots | 14.8 | 15.6 | 18.4 | 16.6 |
| On target | 5.6 | 6.0 | 6.8 | 6.4 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 13% | 12% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 61% | 62% | 61% | 61% |
| Big chances created | 2.6 | 3.0 | 3.7 | 3.8 |
| Corners | 4.9 | 5.3 | 6.0 | 5.5 |
| xG from set plays | 20% | 20% | 26% | 20% |
| Goals from headers | 7% | 9% | 14% | 18% |
| Pressure index | 15.3 | 16.3 | 24.5 | 21.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 54.1 | 55.6 | 68.7 | 62.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 87% | 90% | 89% |
| Fouls | 12.3 | 12.3 | 9.2 | 8.5 |
| Cards | 2.40 | 2.29 | 1.19 | 1.23 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Olympique Marseille
0–15'1312
16–30'96
31–45'74
46–60'1613
61–75'109
76–90'1619
Paris Saint Germain
0–15'157
16–30'1211
31–45'2511
46–60'1610
61–75'238
76–90'2810
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Olympique Marseille · 42 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.23) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.58
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2342
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2742
Late push (76+, level)+0.1513
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.3017
Game state
When ahead+0.1328
When level+0.2242
When behind+0.3724
10 min after conceding-0.0130
10 min after scoring+0.5831
Situations
With ten men-0.254
Against ten men+0.392
At home+0.2021
Away+0.2821
3 days rest or fewer+0.375
4+ days rest+0.2237
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.1214
v mid-tier opponents+0.2712
v bottom-tier opponents+0.438
As favourite+0.3127
Evenly matched+0.319
As underdog-0.216
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1042
Conceded when ahead+0.0128
Conceded late (76+)-0.1037
Congested vs rested +0.15 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.15
Paris Saint Germain · 52 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.67) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +1.12
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.6752
Early press (0-15, level)+0.4252
Late push (76+, level)+1.0119
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.6412
Game state
When ahead+0.5340
When level+0.7952
When behind+0.6618
10 min after conceding+0.3831
10 min after scoring+0.7348
Situations
With ten men+0.062
Against ten men+0.578
At home+0.6826
Away+0.6626
3 days rest or fewer+0.6910
4+ days rest+0.6642
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.3925
v mid-tier opponents+0.8515
v bottom-tier opponents+1.128
As favourite+0.7545
Evenly matched+0.325
As underdog-0.252
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2652
Conceded when ahead-0.2140
Conceded late (76+)-0.3745
Congested vs rested +0.03 · Ahead vs level -0.25 · Behind vs level -0.13
Olympique Marseille
Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 21 50% | 2.0 | 2.19 | 1.33 | 1.78 | 1.17 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 10 24% | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.43 | 1.1 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 7% | 2.0 | 1.67 | 1.33 | 1.39 | 0.88 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 3 7% | 0.0 | 0.67 | 2.0 | 1.44 | 1.77 |
| 5-4-1 | 2 5% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.83 | 2.23 |
Paris Saint Germain
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 36 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 50 96% | 2.14 | 2.36 | 1.08 | 1.98 | 1.07 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.66 | 1.17 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.14 | 0.5 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 96 snapshots · last 24.8h before kick-off · biggest step: away +1.1 pts at 2.5d
7.5Home 13% ▼ -1.8 ptsopened 6.575.51Draw 17% · -0.9 ptsopened 5.241.38Away 70% ▲ +2.8 ptsopened 1.44
Home Draw Away consensus of 7 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 7.5 ▼ -1.8 | 5.51 · -0.9 | 1.38 ▲ +2.8 | 24.8h |
| bet365 | 7.5 ▼ -2.3 | 5.25 ▼ -1.6 | 1.36 ▲ +3.9 | 24.8h |
| Betfair | 7.0 · -0.9 | 5.0 · +0.2 | 1.36 · +0.7 | 24.8h |
| BetVictor | 7.0 ▼ -2.3 | 5.0 · -0.9 | 1.33 ▲ +3.1 | 24.8h |
| Coral | 6.5 ▼ -1.3 | 5.25 · -0.1 | 1.4 ▲ +1.4 | 24.8h |
| Ladbrokes | 6.5 ▼ -1.3 | 5.25 · -0.1 | 1.4 ▲ +1.4 | 24.8h |
| WilliamHill | 7.0 ▼ -2.0 | 4.8 · -0.6 | 1.36 ▲ +2.6 | 24.8h |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 96 snapshots · last 24.8h before kick-off · biggest step: yes -1.9 pts at 2.7d
1.57Yes 59% ▼ -1.9 ptsopened 1.532.25No 41% ▲ +1.9 ptsopened 2.37
Yes No consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.57 ▼ -1.9 | 2.25 ▲ +1.9 | 24.8h |
| Betfair | 1.53 ▲ +2.0 | 2.38 ▼ -2.0 | 24.8h |
| BetVictor | 1.53 ▼ -2.4 | 2.3 ▲ +2.4 | 24.8h |
| WilliamHill | 1.55 ▼ -1.7 | 2.4 ▲ +1.7 | 24.8h |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 96 snapshots · last 24.8h before kick-off · biggest step: under -1.0 pts at 3.1d
1.38Over 69% ▲ +1.1 ptsopened 1.43.1Under 31% ▼ -1.1 ptsopened 2.99
Over Under consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.38 ▲ +1.1 | 3.1 ▼ -1.1 | 24.8h |
| bet365 | 1.36 · +0.0 | 3.2 · +0.0 | 24.8h |
| Betfair | 1.4 · -0.6 | 2.88 · +0.6 | 24.8h |
| BetVictor | 1.36 · +0.2 | 2.82 · -0.2 | 24.8h |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 24.8h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
7.5Home 13% P 13%5.25Draw 18% P 17%1.36Away 69% P 70%
Double Chance
3.0Marseille or Draw 16%1.16Marseille or PSG 41%1.1Draw or PSG 43%
Draw No Bet
6.01 16%1.122 84%
Both Teams To Score
1.57Yes 59%2.25No 41%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.36Over 70% P 69%3.2Under 30% P 31%
Total Corners
6.0Under 6 15%2.66 - 8 33%2.759 - 11 32%6.012 - 14 15%15.0Over 14 6%
Number of Cards
3.51.66Over 56% P 56%2.1Under 44% P 44%
4.52.0Over 46% P 40%1.72Under 54% P 60%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 12.5–15% · away 67.5–70% · 116 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 13% | 13% | 18% | +4.8 |
| Draw | 17% | 18% | 15% | -3.5 |
| Away | 70% | 69% | 67% | -1.3 |
In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 61%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 67.5–70% · 626 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 69% | 69% | +0.6 |
François Letexier
- Career
- 253 matches · 12 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.35 (4.09 yellow · 0.17 red)
- Fouls / match
- 23.3 · 5.3 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.39
- Cards to home side
- 47%
Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 86 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.44 | 4.06 | +0.71 | 84 |
| Fouls / match | 22.9 | 24.3 | -0.68 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.2 | 6.0 | -1.21 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.38 | 0.36 | +0.19 | 56 |
| Time added | 7.2 | 6.7 | +0.44 | 72 |
- First card
- 31' on average
- Card timing
- 19% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 46% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.36
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 44' | 9 |
| 2026-08-29 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 41' | 8 |
| 2026-08-19 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 43' | 6 |
| 2026-05-20 | 4 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 5' | 4 |
| 2026-05-17 | 5 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 5' | 8 |
| 2026-05-10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 90' | 7 |
| 2026-04-26 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 47' | 12 |
| 2026-04-15 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 70' | 5 |
| 2026-04-04 | 5 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 45' | 14 |
| 2026-03-22 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 1 | 40' | 10 |