Rating 7.28 (97th pct) · G+A 2 + 6 (18% of team goals) · 87% of minutes
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 5
Momentum
– ToulouseLe Havre –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Toulouse | at home | Stat | league | away | Le Havre |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52.5 #5 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 48.8 #9 |
| 15.0 #6 | – | Shots total | 14.0 | – | 15.0 #6 |
| 4.5 #9 | – | Shots on target | 4.8 | – | 4.5 #9 |
| 4.2 #11 | – | Corners | 4.8 | – | 5.2 #9 |
| 16.8 #1 | – | Fouls | 11.7 | – | 14.8 #3 |
| 1.5 #12 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 2.0 #8 |
| 15.5 #11 | – | Tackles | 16.7 | – | 19.8 #2 |
| 89.0 #7 | – | Attacks | 90.1 | – | 74.8 #15 |
| 49.0 #5 | – | Dangerous attacks | 45.5 | – | 44.8 #9 |
| 512.5 #5 | – | Passes | 480.4 | – | 397.0 #15 |
| 1.2 #10 | – | Yellowcards | 1.4 | – | 2.0 #2 |
| – | – | Redcards | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #1 |
| 1.0 #9 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 0.2 #17 |
| – #8 | – | Btts | 55.6 | – | – #8 |
| – #14 | – | Cleansheet | 27.8 | – | – #6 |
| – #2 | – | Draw | 36.1 | – | – #2 |
| 1.8 #4 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 1.4 #13 |
| -0.8 #16 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.2 | – | -0.9 #17 |
| – #2 | – | Failed to score | 27.8 | – | – #2 |
| 1.0 #13 | 0.0 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.5 #17 |
| 1.8 #5 | 1.5 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.0 #13 |
| 0.2 #7 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | – |
| 9.8 #12 | – | Interceptions | 10.8 | – | 13.5 #3 |
| – #3 | – | Lost | 31.9 | – | – #3 |
| – | – | Penalties scored | 0.3 | – | 0.2 #3 |
| 6.8 #13 | – | Rating | 6.9 | – | 6.9 #6 |
| 2.5 #11 | – | Shots blocked | 3.4 | – | 4.0 #7 |
| 10.8 #4 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.1 | – | 9.8 #7 |
| 8.0 #2 | – | Shots off target | 5.8 | – | 6.5 #4 |
| 4.2 #11 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.9 | – | 5.2 #4 |
| – #15 | – | Win | 31.9 | – | – #15 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 36 of 306
- Goals / match
- 2.75 (home 1.39 · away 1.36)
- Home / draw / away
- 28% · 36% · 36%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 56% · 53%
- Cards / match
- 3.03 (reds 0.11)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Toulouse · Last 365 days
Rating 7.31 (99th pct) · G+A 4 + 4 (18% of team goals) · 69% of minutes
Team 1.25 ppg with (24) · 1.11 without (9)
Rating 6.75 (32th pct) · G+A 5 + 4 (20% of team goals) · 47% of minutes
Team 1.56 ppg with (16) · 0.88 without (17)
Le Havre · Last 365 days
Rating 6.99 (66th pct) · G+A 2 + 4 (21% of team goals) · 83% of minutes
Rating 6.84 (55th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 88% of minutes
Rating 6.74 (28th pct) · G+A 3 + 1 (14% of team goals) · 52% of minutes
Team 0.94 ppg with (18) · 1.06 without (16)
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 5
Venue
- Stadium
- Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse
- Capacity
- 33,150
Teams
- Coaches
- Jens Askou · Didier Digard
- Position
- 17 · 16
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Referee
Hakim Ben El Hadj
Weather
- Conditions
- few clouds
- Temperature
- 22.9° (feels 22.4°)
- Wind
- 2.7
- Humidity
- 43%
Where to watch · 68
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  LOSC Lille |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 10 | WDWW |
| 2 |  Monaco |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 10 | WWWD |
| 3 |  Rennes |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | DWWW |
| 4 |  Paris |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | DWWD |
| 5 |  Olympique Lyonnais |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | WDWD |
| 6 |  Strasbourg |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 7 | LWWD |
| 7 |  Paris Saint Germain |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 | DDLW |
| 8 |  Brest |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 | DDWL |
| 9 |  Lorient |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | DLWD |
| 10 |  Lens |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 4 | WLLD |
| 11 |  Angers SCO |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 | LWLD |
| 12 |  Troyes |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 | DWLL |
| 13 |  Olympique Marseille |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | WLLL |
| 14 |  Le Mans |
4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 | DLDD |
| 15 |  Auxerre |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 | LLLW |
| 16 |  Le Havre |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | LDLD |
| 17 |  Toulouse |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 | LDLD |
| 18 |  Nice |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2 | DLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rennes |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | DWWW |
| 2 | Paris |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | DWWD |
| 3 | LOSC Lille |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | WDWW |
| 4 | Olympique Lyonnais |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | WDWD |
| 5 | Strasbourg |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | LWWD |
| 6 | Olympique Marseille |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | WLLL |
| 7 | Lens |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | WLLD |
| 8 | Monaco |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | WWWD |
| 9 | Auxerre |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | LLLW |
| 10 | Le Mans |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DLDD |
| 11 | Nice |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | DLDL |
| 12 | Lorient |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | DLWD |
| 13 | Brest |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | DDWL |
| 14 | Le Havre |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | LDLD |
| 15 | Troyes |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 | DWLL |
| 16 | Paris Saint Germain |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | DDLW |
| 17 | Angers SCO |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LWLD |
| 18 | Toulouse |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | LDLD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | WWWD |
| 2 | LOSC Lille |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | WDWW |
| 3 | Paris Saint Germain |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | DDLW |
| 4 | Angers SCO |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | LWLD |
| 5 | Olympique Lyonnais |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | WDWD |
| 6 | Brest |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | DDWL |
| 7 | Paris |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | DWWD |
| 8 | Lorient |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | DLWD |
| 9 | Rennes |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | DWWW |
| 10 | Strasbourg |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | LWWD |
| 11 | Troyes |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | DWLL |
| 12 | Toulouse |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | LDLD |
| 13 | Le Havre |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | LDLD |
| 14 | Le Mans |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | DLDD |
| 15 | Lens |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | WLLD |
| 16 | Olympique Marseille |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | WLLL |
| 17 | Nice |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | DLDL |
| 18 | Auxerre |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 0 | LLLW |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Toulouse
LDLD 0W 2D 2L · 2 pts (0.5 ppg) · GF 4 GA 7 · xG 7.17–6.09 · xPts 6.43
- D
A
Lorient
2–2
xG 1.51–0.92
FRA L1
- L
H
LOSC Lille
0–1
xG 2.94–1.17
FRA L1
- D
A
Brest
2–2
xG 0.72–2.93
FRA L1
- L
H
Olympique Lyonnais
0–2
xG 1.99–1.06
FRA L1
LDLD 0W 2D 2L · 2 pts (0.5 ppg) · GF 4 GA 7 · xG 7.17–6.09 · xPts 6.43
- D
A
Lorient
2–2
xG 1.51–0.92
FRA L1
- L
H
LOSC Lille
0–1
xG 2.94–1.17
FRA L1
- D
A
Brest
2–2
xG 0.72–2.93
FRA L1
- L
H
Olympique Lyonnais
0–2
xG 1.99–1.06
FRA L1
Le Havre
LDLD 0W 2D 2L · 2 pts (0.5 ppg) · GF 2 GA 4 · xG 5.79–6.41 · xPts 5.15
- D
H
Angers SCO
0–0
xG 1.69–0.63
FRA L1
- L
H
Brest
1–2
xG 2.39–2.59
FRA L1
- D
A
Olympique Lyonnais
1–1
xG 0.74–1.71
FRA L1
- L
H
Monaco
0–1
xG 0.97–1.47
FRA L1
LDLD 0W 2D 2L · 2 pts (0.5 ppg) · GF 2 GA 4 · xG 5.79–6.41 · xPts 5.15
- D
H
Angers SCO
0–0
xG 1.69–0.63
FRA L1
- L
H
Brest
1–2
xG 2.39–2.59
FRA L1
- D
A
Olympique Lyonnais
1–1
xG 0.74–1.71
FRA L1
- L
H
Monaco
0–1
xG 0.97–1.47
FRA L1
full sample 6 meetings 2023–2026
Last 6
Goals 8–6 · Toulouse hosting: 1W 1D 1L · Le Havre hosting: 2W 0D 1L
At Stadium de Toulouse: 3 meetings · Toulouse 1 · draws 1 · Le Havre 1 · 1.67 goals per match · last away win Nov 2023
All-time since 2008: 8 meetings · Toulouse 4 · draws 1 · Le Havre 3
This fixture vs the league league = last 365 days
| Metric | Fixture | League | Δ | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals per match | 2.33 | 2.81 | -0.48 | 6 |
| Both teams score | 50% | 52% | -2% | 6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 53% | -3% | 6 |
| Corners | 9.7 | 9.5 | +0.2 | 6 |
| Cards | 3.7 | 4.1 | -0.4 | 6 |
1 goalless · 1 with 4+ goals · 0.50 first-half goals per match · red card in 2
How these games go · 6 with event data
| Toulouse | Le Havre | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 3 of 6 | 2 of 6 |
| Scored first and won | 2 | 2 |
| Won from behind | 0 | 1 |
first goal on average in minute 46 · a side came back in 1 · goal after the 75th minute in 3 · penalty scored in 1
When the goals come · all goals, 5 meetings
0-15'1
16-30'0
31-45'2
46-60'5
61-75'2
76-90'4
3 equalisers · 1 penalty · 1 header
Expected goals · last 4 with xG
Deserved on xG: Toulouse 4 · level 0 · Le Havre 0 — actual wins in those games 2 / 1
Against the market · 6 with closing odds
Favourite won 2 (33%), drew 1, upset 3 · market favoured Toulouse 6×, Le Havre 0× · avg favourite 46%, avg price of the actual result 34%
Fixture specialists
- 3 Issa Soumaré Le Havre · in 2 games · last Feb 2026
- 2 Mohamed Bayo Le Havre · last Nov 2023
- 1 Djibril Sidibé Toulouse · last Feb 2026
- 1 Vincent Sierro Toulouse · last Feb 2025
- 1 Aron Dønnum Toulouse · last Feb 2025
Last meeting · 2026-02-15 · FRA L1
Le Havre 2-1 Toulouse · ref Jérôme Brisard
- 43' Issa Soumaré 1–0
- 45+3' Djibril Sidibé assist Charlie Cresswell 1–1
- 53' Issa Soumaré assist Sofiane Boufal 2–1
xG 0.55 – 2.29 · corners 11 · cards 7 · reds 1
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·
Match result
49.9%Toulouse P 56%26.5%Draw P 24%23.6%Le Havre P 20%
Over / under 2.5
44.4%Over 2.5 P 56%55.6%Under 2.5 P 44%
Both teams to score
47.9%Yes52.1%No
Expected
- Toulouse goals
- 1.5 (0–3)
- Le Havre goals
- 0.95 (0–2)
- Corners
- 9.32 (5–14)
- Cards
- 4.22 (2–7)
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
43.0%Toulouse27.9%Draw29.2%Le Havre
Over / under 2.5
45.4%Over 2.554.6%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
49.9%Yes50.1%No
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 8 matches since 2008
Goals 11–7 · 2.25 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%
Last 10 · 8 matches
Goals 11–7 · 2.25 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 7–4 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%
Recent meetings
- L Le Havre 2–1 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
- D Toulouse 0–0 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
- W Le Havre 1–4 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
- W Toulouse 2–0 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
- L Le Havre 1–0 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
- L Toulouse 1–2 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
- W Le Havre 0–1 Toulouse neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
- W Toulouse 2–1 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
| Metric | Toulouse all · 4 | Toulouse at home · 2 | Le Havre all · 4 | Le Havre away · 1 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Toulouse · 4 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.20) · stands out: when level +0.35
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.204
Early press (0-15, level)+0.014
Late push (76+, level)+0.262
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.182
Game state
When level+0.354
When behind+0.033
10 min after conceding-0.264
10 min after scoring+0.392
Situations
At home+0.422
Away-0.012
4+ days rest+0.204
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.422
v mid-tier opponents-0.012
Evenly matched+0.063
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.044
Conceded late (76+)+0.104
Ahead vs level -0.73 · Behind vs level -0.32
Le Havre · 4 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: at home +0.15
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.144
Early press (0-15, level)-0.064
Late push (76+, level)-0.302
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.102
Game state
When level+0.084
When behind+0.212
10 min after conceding+0.113
10 min after scoring+0.212
Situations
At home+0.153
4+ days rest+0.144
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.102
Evenly matched+0.182
As underdog+0.102
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.054
Conceded late (76+)-0.364
Ahead vs level -0.02 · Behind vs level +0.12
Toulouse
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 10
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 100% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.75 | 1.79 | 1.52 |
Le Havre
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 75% | 0.33 | 0.67 | 1.33 | 1.37 | 1.93 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 25% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.69 | 0.63 |
| Metric | Toulouse all · 10 | Toulouse at home · 10 | Le Havre all · 10 | Le Havre away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.90 | 1.20 | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| W / D / L | 2 / 3 / 5 | 3 / 3 / 4 | 1 / 6 / 3 | 1 / 5 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.30 | 1.10 | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| Goals against / match | 2.10 | 1.30 | 1.20 | 1.30 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 20% | 20% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 50% | 30% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 40% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 40% | 20% | 10% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.35 | 1.73 | 1.44 | 1.10 |
| xG against / match | 1.60 | 1.19 | 1.55 | 1.71 |
| xG difference | -0.25 | 0.54 | -0.11 | -0.61 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.05 | -0.63 | -0.34 | -0.20 |
| xPts / match | 1.31 | 1.70 | 1.30 | 0.97 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.41 | -0.49 | -0.40 | -0.17 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 30% | 30% | 50% | 50% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.33 | 3.00 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.71 | 0.33 | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| Came back from behind | 38% | 33% | 25% | 20% |
| Leads held | 50% | 100% | 20% | 20% |
| Minutes leading | 20% | 18% | 18% | 13% |
| Minutes level | 47% | 47% | 60% | 60% |
| Minutes trailing | 33% | 34% | 21% | 27% |
| First goal (min) | 29 | 49 | 40 | 46 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 41 | 43 | 37 | 46 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 54% | 73% | 46% | 56% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 57% | 62% | 50% | 38% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.30 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Late goals against | 0.50 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 43% | 47% | 48% | 51% |
| Shots | 12.7 | 16.3 | 12.0 | 10.3 |
| On target | 3.9 | 5.4 | 4.5 | 3.7 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 7% | 9% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 61% | 63% | 67% | 68% |
| Big chances created | 2.6 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| Corners | 3.8 | 5.5 | 4.1 | 3.9 |
| xG from set plays | 28% | 30% | 29% | 16% |
| Goals from headers | 38% | 9% | 18% | 44% |
| Pressure index | 10.7 | 13.5 | 10.3 | 9.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 42.8 | 50.1 | 45.1 | 41.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 84% | 81% | 81% |
| Fouls | 16.0 | 14.2 | 15.0 | 14.3 |
| Cards | 2.50 | 2.40 | 2.40 | 2.20 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Toulouse
0–15'41
16–30'15
31–45'13
46–60'12
61–75'35
76–90'35
Le Havre
0–15'33
16–30'02
31–45'31
46–60'14
61–75'30
76–90'12
Toulouse
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 10
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 6 60% | 1.17 | 1.5 | 2.33 | 1.05 | 1.65 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 40% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.75 | 1.79 | 1.52 |
Le Havre
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 40% | 1.25 | 1.75 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.44 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 30% | 0.33 | 0.67 | 1.33 | 1.37 | 1.93 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 2 20% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.68 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.69 | 0.63 |
| Metric | Toulouse all · 33 | Toulouse at home · 17 | Le Havre all · 34 | Le Havre away · 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 33 | 17 | 34 | 16 |
| Points per game | 1.21 | 1.24 | 1.00 | 0.81 |
| W / D / L | 10 / 10 / 13 | 5 / 6 / 6 | 6 / 16 / 12 | 2 / 7 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 1.33 | 1.18 | 0.85 | 0.75 |
| Goals against / match | 1.36 | 1.24 | 1.21 | 1.44 |
| Clean sheets | 21% | 29% | 26% | 25% |
| Failed to score | 36% | 47% | 44% | 44% |
| Both teams scored | 48% | 35% | 47% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 47% | 26% | 19% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.44 | 1.71 | 1.20 | 1.05 |
| xG against / match | 1.23 | 1.05 | 1.57 | 1.93 |
| xG difference | 0.21 | 0.66 | -0.37 | -0.88 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.11 | -0.54 | -0.34 | -0.30 |
| xPts / match | 1.53 | 1.78 | 1.19 | 0.88 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.31 | -0.54 | -0.19 | -0.07 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 33% | 29% | 35% | 44% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.36 | 3.00 | 1.92 | 1.43 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.60 | 0.40 | 0.31 | 0.14 |
| Came back from behind | 41% | 40% | 29% | 12% |
| Leads held | 77% | 100% | 50% | 29% |
| Minutes leading | 23% | 21% | 12% | 12% |
| Minutes level | 47% | 49% | 62% | 63% |
| Minutes trailing | 30% | 30% | 26% | 25% |
| First goal (min) | 37 | 41 | 45 | 44 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 43 | 37 | 44 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 54% | 70% | 59% | 58% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 53% | 67% | 46% | 56% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.39 | 0.47 | 0.18 | 0.13 |
| Late goals against | 0.27 | 0.24 | 0.26 | 0.44 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | 45% | 47% | 48% |
| Shots | 13.5 | 15.9 | 11.3 | 10.1 |
| On target | 4.4 | 5.0 | 3.6 | 3.6 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 7% | 8% | 8% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 68% | 63% | 63% |
| Big chances created | 2.1 | 2.3 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| Corners | 4.4 | 5.3 | 4.5 | 3.8 |
| xG from set plays | 37% | 36% | 34% | 22% |
| Goals from headers | 18% | 10% | 24% | 33% |
| Pressure index | 10.2 | 11.7 | 10.8 | 8.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 42.3 | 46.0 | 45.2 | 38.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 83% | 81% | 80% |
| Fouls | 15.1 | 14.5 | 13.6 | 13.9 |
| Cards | 2.45 | 2.24 | 2.06 | 2.19 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Toulouse
0–15'102
16–30'410
31–45'69
46–60'47
61–75'78
76–90'139
Le Havre
0–15'37
16–30'46
31–45'59
46–60'56
61–75'64
76–90'69
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Toulouse · 33 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.09) · stands out: with ten men -0.35
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0933
Early press (0-15, level)-0.0433
Late push (76+, level)-0.2416
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0617
Game state
When ahead-0.2612
When level-0.0533
When behind-0.0222
10 min after conceding-0.2826
10 min after scoring+0.1020
Situations
With ten men-0.354
Against ten men-0.203
At home-0.0217
Away-0.1516
4+ days rest-0.0933
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1412
v mid-tier opponents-0.0411
v bottom-tier opponents+0.007
As favourite-0.0613
Evenly matched-0.0810
As underdog-0.1210
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1133
Conceded when ahead+0.4312
Conceded late (76+)+0.0630
Ahead vs level -0.20 · Behind vs level +0.03
Le Havre · 34 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.00) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.30
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0034
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1034
Late push (76+, level)-0.1717
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0114
Game state
When ahead+0.0712
When level-0.0334
When behind+0.0117
10 min after conceding-0.2725
10 min after scoring+0.2018
Situations
With ten men+0.095
Against ten men+0.103
At home+0.0618
Away-0.0716
4+ days rest+0.0133
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1812
v mid-tier opponents+0.0012
v bottom-tier opponents+0.306
As favourite+0.153
Evenly matched+0.1011
As underdog-0.0920
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0434
Conceded when ahead-0.0012
Conceded late (76+)-0.1034
Congested vs rested -0.37 · Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level +0.04
Toulouse
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 10
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 23 70% | 1.0 | 1.04 | 1.39 | 1.25 | 1.2 |
| 3-4-3 | 6 18% | 2.5 | 2.67 | 1.0 | 1.93 | 1.12 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 12% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.75 | 1.79 | 1.52 |
Le Havre
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 8 24% | 0.88 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.28 | 1.23 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 6 18% | 1.0 | 0.67 | 1.17 | 1.36 | 1.68 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 15% | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.51 | 1.35 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 4 12% | 0.75 | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.19 | 1.9 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 12% | 0.25 | 0.5 | 1.25 | 1.2 | 2.27 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 99 snapshots · last 21.8h before kick-off · biggest step: home +1.8 pts at 2.9d
1.72Home 56% ▲ +3.6 ptsopened 1.844.08Draw 24% ▼ -2.2 ptsopened 3.744.73Away 20% ▼ -1.4 ptsopened 4.44
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.72 ▲ +3.6 | 4.08 ▼ -2.2 | 4.73 ▼ -1.4 | 21.8h |
| bet365 | 1.72 ▲ +3.2 | 3.9 ▼ -2.4 | 4.75 · -0.8 | 21.8h |
| Betfair | 1.7 ▲ +4.0 | 4.0 ▼ -1.8 | 4.75 ▼ -2.2 | 21.8h |
| BetVictor | 1.67 ▲ +2.8 | 3.8 ▼ -1.9 | 4.4 · -0.9 | 21.8h |
| Coral | 1.73 ▲ +3.6 | 4.0 ▼ -2.6 | 4.4 ▼ -1.0 | 21.8h |
| Ladbrokes | 1.73 ▲ +3.1 | 4.0 ▼ -2.5 | 4.33 · -0.6 | 21.8h |
| Unibet | 1.7 · +0.0 | 3.8 · +0.0 | 4.6 · +0.0 | 21.8h |
| WilliamHill | 1.73 ▲ +3.5 | 3.7 ▼ -1.9 | 4.33 ▼ -1.5 | 21.8h |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 99 snapshots · last 21.8h before kick-off · biggest step: yes +2.7 pts at 26.8h
1.66Yes 56% ▲ +3.9 ptsopened 1.82.1No 44% ▼ -3.9 ptsopened 1.95
Yes No consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.66 ▲ +3.9 | 2.1 ▼ -3.9 | 21.8h |
| Betfair | 1.67 ▲ +6.3 | 2.15 ▼ -6.3 | 21.8h |
| BetVictor | 1.62 ▲ +5.0 | 2.15 ▼ -5.0 | 21.8h |
| WilliamHill | 1.67 ▲ +4.7 | 2.15 ▼ -4.7 | 21.8h |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 99 snapshots · last 21.8h before kick-off · biggest step: under -2.5 pts at 26.8h
1.72Over 56% ▲ +6.5 ptsopened 1.952.21Under 44% ▼ -6.5 ptsopened 1.93
Over Under consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.72 ▲ +6.5 | 2.21 ▼ -6.5 | 21.8h |
| bet365 | 1.66 ▲ +7.0 | 2.2 ▼ -7.0 | 21.8h |
| Betfair | 1.67 ▲ +8.5 | 2.15 ▼ -8.5 | 21.8h |
| BetVictor | 1.65 ▲ +6.1 | 2.07 ▼ -6.1 | 21.8h |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 21.8h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.72Home 55% P 56%3.9Draw 24% P 24%4.75Away 20% P 20%
Double Chance
1.18Toulouse or Draw 40%1.25Toulouse or Le Havre 38%2.1Draw or Le Havre 22%
Draw No Bet
1.281 73%3.52 27%
Both Teams To Score
1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.66Over 57% P 56%2.2Under 43% P 44%
Total Corners
10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%
Number of Cards
4.52.1Over 44% P 44%1.66Under 56% P 56%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 20–22.5% · 298 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 56% | 56% | 60% | +4.1 |
| Draw | 24% | 23% | 21% | -1.7 |
| Away | 20% | 21% | 18% | -2.4 |
In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 59%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 56% | 56% | -0.2 |
Hakim Ben El Hadj
- Career
- 153 matches · 13 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.07 (3.86 yellow · 0.12 red)
- Fouls / match
- 25.9 · 5.7 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.26
- Cards to home side
- 48%
Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 70 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.06 | 4.06 | -0.07 | 56 |
| Fouls / match | 24.5 | 24.3 | +0.15 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.2 | 6.0 | +0.23 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.24 | 0.36 | -1.14 | 8 |
| Time added | 6.9 | 6.7 | +0.23 | 52 |
- First card
- 32' on average
- Card timing
- 17% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 49% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.29
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | 5 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 15' | 7 |
| 2026-08-29 | 5 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 28' | 12 |
| 2026-05-10 | 5 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 2' | 14 |
| 2026-04-12 · Toulouse | 2 | 1 | 25 | 1 | 48' | 7 |
| 2026-03-21 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 6' | 11 |
| 2026-03-01 | 8 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 19' | 6 |
| 2026-02-14 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 12' | 5 |
| 2026-01-25 | 6 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 9' | 10 |
| 2026-01-04 · Le Havre | 2 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 47' | 8 |
| 2025-12-07 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 53' | 6 |