Rating 7.03 (80th pct) · G+A 1 + 6 (18% of team goals) · 78% of minutes
Team 0.7 ppg with (33) · 0.89 without (9)
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 5
Momentum
– NiceLOSC Lille –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Nice | at home | Stat | league | away | LOSC Lille |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60.2 #3 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 44.8 #15 |
| 12.2 #12 | – | Shots total | 14.0 | – | 10.8 #15 |
| 2.8 #17 | – | Shots on target | 4.8 | – | 6.0 #4 |
| 6.5 #4 | – | Corners | 4.8 | – | 1.8 #18 |
| 8.2 #16 | – | Fouls | 11.7 | – | 11.0 #12 |
| 2.2 #5 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 2.5 #3 |
| 14.2 #17 | – | Tackles | 16.7 | – | 14.0 #18 |
| 114.5 #3 | – | Attacks | 90.1 | – | 85.2 #9 |
| 58.8 #3 | – | Dangerous attacks | 45.5 | – | 32.2 #17 |
| 626.2 #2 | – | Passes | 480.4 | – | 443.0 #10 |
| 1.2 #10 | – | Yellowcards | 1.4 | – | 1.2 #10 |
| 0.2 #17 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 1.2 #6 |
| – #15 | – | Btts | 55.6 | – | – #15 |
| – #6 | – | Cleansheet | 27.8 | – | – #1 |
| – #2 | – | Draw | 36.1 | – | – #10 |
| 0.9 #18 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 1.2 #16 |
| -0.6 #15 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.2 | – | 0.6 #2 |
| – #1 | – | Failed to score | 27.8 | – | – #13 |
| 0.2 #18 | 0.5 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.8 #4 |
| 1.2 #10 | 0.5 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.5 #15 |
| – | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.8 #1 |
| 11.2 #7 | – | Interceptions | 10.8 | – | 8.5 #16 |
| – #3 | – | Lost | 31.9 | – | – #14 |
| 6.7 #16 | – | Rating | 6.9 | – | 6.9 #4 |
| 4.2 #6 | – | Shots blocked | 3.4 | – | 2.0 #16 |
| 7.2 #15 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.1 | – | 7.5 #12 |
| 5.2 #11 | – | Shots off target | 5.8 | – | 2.8 #18 |
| 5.0 #5 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.9 | – | 3.2 #18 |
| – #15 | – | Win | 31.9 | – | – #1 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 36 of 306
- Goals / match
- 2.75 (home 1.39 · away 1.36)
- Home / draw / away
- 28% · 36% · 36%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 56% · 53%
- Cards / match
- 3.03 (reds 0.11)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Nice · Last 365 days
Rating 6.95 (66th pct) · G+A 8 + 4 (30% of team goals) · 66% of minutes
Team 0.74 ppg with (31) · 0.73 without (11)
Rating 6.72 (24th pct) · G+A 6 + 1 (18% of team goals) · 30% of minutes
Team 0.77 ppg with (13) · 0.72 without (29)
LOSC Lille · Last 365 days
Rating 7.0 (79th pct) · G+A 8 + 4 (19% of team goals) · 79% of minutes
Team 1.68 ppg with (40) · 1.29 without (7)
Rating 7.16 (91th pct) · G+A 4 + 2 (10% of team goals) · 67% of minutes
Team 1.62 ppg with (32) · 1.6 without (15)
Rating 6.94 (76th pct) · G+A 2 + 3 (8% of team goals) · 70% of minutes
Team 1.44 ppg with (34) · 2.08 without (13)
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 5
Venue
- Stadium
- Allianz Riviera, Nice
- Capacity
- 36,178
- Surface
- grass
Teams
- Coaches
- Olivier Pantaloni · Davide Ancelotti
- Position
- 18 · 1
- Formation
- 3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Willy Delajod
Weather
- Conditions
- few clouds
- Temperature
- 26.8° (feels 26.9°)
- Wind
- 3.0
- Humidity
- 43%
Where to watch · 68
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Mexico
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  LOSC Lille |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 10 | WDWW |
| 2 |  Monaco |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 10 | WWWD |
| 3 |  Rennes |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | DWWW |
| 4 |  Paris |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | DWWD |
| 5 |  Olympique Lyonnais |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | WDWD |
| 6 |  Strasbourg |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 7 | LWWD |
| 7 |  Paris Saint Germain |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 | DDLW |
| 8 |  Brest |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 | DDWL |
| 9 |  Lorient |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | DLWD |
| 10 |  Lens |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 4 | WLLD |
| 11 |  Angers SCO |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 | LWLD |
| 12 |  Troyes |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 | DWLL |
| 13 |  Olympique Marseille |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | WLLL |
| 14 |  Le Mans |
4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 | DLDD |
| 15 |  Auxerre |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 | LLLW |
| 16 |  Le Havre |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | LDLD |
| 17 |  Toulouse |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 | LDLD |
| 18 |  Nice |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2 | DLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rennes |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | DWWW |
| 2 | Paris |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | DWWD |
| 3 | LOSC Lille |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | WDWW |
| 4 | Olympique Lyonnais |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | WDWD |
| 5 | Strasbourg |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | LWWD |
| 6 | Olympique Marseille |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | WLLL |
| 7 | Lens |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | WLLD |
| 8 | Monaco |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | WWWD |
| 9 | Auxerre |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | LLLW |
| 10 | Le Mans |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DLDD |
| 11 | Nice |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | DLDL |
| 12 | Lorient |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | DLWD |
| 13 | Brest |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | DDWL |
| 14 | Le Havre |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | LDLD |
| 15 | Troyes |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 | DWLL |
| 16 | Paris Saint Germain |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | DDLW |
| 17 | Angers SCO |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LWLD |
| 18 | Toulouse |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | LDLD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | WWWD |
| 2 | LOSC Lille |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | WDWW |
| 3 | Paris Saint Germain |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | DDLW |
| 4 | Angers SCO |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | LWLD |
| 5 | Olympique Lyonnais |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | WDWD |
| 6 | Brest |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | DDWL |
| 7 | Paris |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | DWWD |
| 8 | Lorient |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | DLWD |
| 9 | Rennes |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | DWWW |
| 10 | Strasbourg |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | LWWD |
| 11 | Troyes |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | DWLL |
| 12 | Toulouse |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | LDLD |
| 13 | Le Havre |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | LDLD |
| 14 | Le Mans |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | DLDD |
| 15 | Lens |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | WLLD |
| 16 | Olympique Marseille |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | WLLL |
| 17 | Nice |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | DLDL |
| 18 | Auxerre |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 0 | LLLW |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Nice
DLDL 0W 2D 2L · 2 pts (0.5 ppg) · GF 1 GA 5 · xG 3.33–5.84 · xPts 3.91
- L
A
Auxerre
0–1
xG 0.94–1.15
FRA L1
- D
H
Le Mans
1–1
xG 0.64–0.67
FRA L1
- L
A
Paris
0–3
xG 0.71–2.5
FRA L1
- D
H
Lorient
0–0
xG 1.05–1.51
FRA L1
DLDL 0W 2D 2L · 2 pts (0.5 ppg) · GF 1 GA 5 · xG 3.33–5.84 · xPts 3.91
- L
A
Auxerre
0–1
xG 0.94–1.15
FRA L1
- D
H
Le Mans
1–1
xG 0.64–0.67
FRA L1
- L
A
Paris
0–3
xG 0.71–2.5
FRA L1
- D
H
Lorient
0–0
xG 1.05–1.51
FRA L1
LOSC Lille
WDWLW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 5 · xG 5.55–8.83 · xPts 5.19
- W
H
Troyes
2–0
xG 1.47–0.45
FRA L1
- L
H
Real Betis
2–3
xG 0.96–1.75
UEFA CL - W
A
Toulouse
1–0
xG 1.17–2.94
FRA L1
- D
H
Paris Saint Germain
2–2
xG 0.99–1.41
FRA L1
- W
A
Angers SCO
2–0
xG 0.96–2.28
FRA L1
WDWLW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 5 · xG 5.55–8.83 · xPts 5.19
- W
H
Troyes
2–0
xG 1.47–0.45
FRA L1
- L
H
Real Betis
2–3
xG 0.96–1.75
UEFA CL
- W
A
Toulouse
1–0
xG 1.17–2.94
FRA L1
- D
H
Paris Saint Germain
2–2
xG 0.99–1.41
FRA L1
- W
A
Angers SCO
2–0
xG 0.96–2.28
FRA L1
full sample 9 meetings 2022–2026
Recurring referee: Bastien Dechepy · 2 of these meetings
Last 9
Goals 12–11 · Nice hosting: 2W 2D 1L · LOSC Lille hosting: 1W 2D 1L
At Allianz Riviera: 5 meetings · Nice 2 · draws 2 · LOSC Lille 1 · 2.6 goals per match · last away win May 2022
All-time since 2005: 41 meetings · Nice 13 · draws 19 · LOSC Lille 9
This fixture vs the league league = last 365 days
| Metric | Fixture | League | Δ | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals per match | 2.56 | 2.81 | -0.25 | 9 |
| Both teams score | 67% | 52% | +15% | 9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 53% | +2% | 9 |
| Corners | 10.3 | 9.5 | +0.8 | 9 |
| Cards | 4.8 | 4.1 | +0.7 | 9 |
1 goalless · 3 with 4+ goals · 1.11 first-half goals per match
How these games go · 9 with event data
| Nice | LOSC Lille | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 6 of 9 | 2 of 9 |
| Scored first and won | 2 | 0 |
| Won from behind | 1 | 2 |
first goal on average in minute 24 · a side came back in 6 · goal after the 75th minute in 5 · penalty scored in 2
When the goals come · all goals, 8 meetings
0-15'1
16-30'7
31-45'2
46-60'4
61-75'4
76-90'5
8 equalisers · 3 penalties
Expected goals · last 5 with xG
Deserved on xG: Nice 2 · level 1 · LOSC Lille 2 — actual wins in those games 1 / 1
Against the market · 9 with closing odds
Favourite won 1 (11%), drew 4, upset 4 · market favoured Nice 3×, LOSC Lille 6× · avg favourite 50%, avg price of the actual result 28%
Fixture specialists
- 3 Sofiane Diop Nice · in 3 games · last Oct 2025
- 3 Gaëtan Laborde Nice · in 3 games · last May 2024
- 2 Hákon Arnar Haraldsson LOSC Lille · in 2 games · last Jan 2025
- 2 Bafodé Diakité LOSC Lille · in 2 games · last Jan 2025
- 2 J. David LOSC Lille · last May 2022
Last meeting · 2026-04-18 · FRA L1
LOSC Lille 0-0 Nice · ref Bastien Dechepy
xG 0.70 – 0.18 · corners 8 · cards 4
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·
Match result
24.4%Nice P 26%27.0%Draw P 28%48.6%LOSC Lille P 46%
Over / under 2.5
43.4%Over 2.5 P 50%56.6%Under 2.5 P 50%
Both teams to score
47.4%Yes52.6%No
Expected
- Nice goals
- 0.95 (0–2)
- LOSC Lille goals
- 1.46 (0–3)
- Corners
- 9.53 (5–14)
- Cards
- 3.95 (1–7)
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
33.3%Nice27.2%Draw39.5%LOSC Lille
Over / under 2.5
49.7%Over 2.550.3%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
53.1%Yes46.9%No
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 41 matches since 2005
Goals 48–45 · 2.27 per match · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 32%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 16–11 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 7–6 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- D LOSC Lille 0–0 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
- W Nice 2–0 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
- L LOSC Lille 2–1 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
- D Nice 2–2 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
- D LOSC Lille 2–2 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
- D Nice 1–1 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
- W Nice 1–0 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
- W LOSC Lille 1–2 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
- L Nice 1–3 LOSC Lille FRA L1 · Regular Season
- W LOSC Lille 0–4 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
| Metric | Nice all · 4 | Nice at home · 2 | LOSC Lille all · 4 | LOSC Lille away · 2 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Nice · 4 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: when behind +0.40
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.254
Early press (0-15, level)+0.014
Late push (76+, level)-0.292
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.092
Game state
When level+0.174
When behind+0.403
10 min after conceding+0.023
Situations
At home+0.252
Away+0.242
4+ days rest+0.254
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.432
v bottom-tier opponents+0.082
Evenly matched+0.272
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.204
Conceded late (76+)-0.084
Behind vs level +0.23
LOSC Lille · 5 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.05) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.38
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.055
Early press (0-15, level)+0.255
Game state
When ahead-0.065
When level+0.025
10 min after conceding-0.522
10 min after scoring+0.385
Situations
At home+0.023
Away-0.172
4+ days rest-0.055
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.182
As favourite+0.053
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.265
Conceded when ahead+0.155
Conceded late (76+)-0.155
Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level -0.26
Nice
Current: winless 12 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 100% | 0.5 | 0.25 | 1.25 | 0.83 | 1.46 |
LOSC Lille
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 100% | 2.5 | 1.75 | 0.5 | 1.15 | 1.77 |
| Metric | Nice all · 10 | Nice at home · 10 | LOSC Lille all · 10 | LOSC Lille away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.70 | 0.80 | 1.80 | 2.70 |
| W / D / L | 0 / 7 / 3 | 0 / 8 / 2 | 5 / 3 / 2 | 9 / 0 / 1 |
| Goals for / match | 0.50 | 0.80 | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals against / match | 1.00 | 1.60 | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% | 60% | 70% |
| Failed to score | 50% | 50% | 20% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% | 30% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 | 20% | 40% | 20% | 30% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.14 | 1.28 | 1.18 | 1.28 |
| xG against / match | 1.31 | 1.60 | 1.14 | 1.34 |
| xG difference | -0.17 | -0.32 | 0.05 | -0.06 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.64 | -0.48 | 0.02 | 0.32 |
| xPts / match | 1.25 | 1.20 | 1.47 | 1.35 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.55 | -0.40 | 0.33 | 1.35 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 10% | 10% | 80% | 80% |
| PPG when scoring first | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.13 | 3.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.00 | 1.50 |
| Came back from behind | 57% | 67% | 0% | 50% |
| Leads held | 0% | 0% | 62% | 100% |
| Minutes leading | 2% | 9% | 40% | 54% |
| Minutes level | 76% | 63% | 50% | 42% |
| Minutes trailing | 22% | 28% | 11% | 4% |
| First goal (min) | 57 | 52 | 33 | 34 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 43 | 33 | 47 | 52 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 60% | 62% | 33% | 53% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 60% | 50% | 62% | 75% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.10 | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | 47% | 52% | 48% |
| Shots | 11.5 | 12.4 | 10.9 | 10.9 |
| On target | 3.1 | 3.2 | 4.7 | 5.1 |
| Shot conversion | 4% | 6% | 11% | 15% |
| Shots inside box | 64% | 65% | 68% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 2.5 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 2.3 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 6.2 | 4.0 | 3.8 |
| xG from set plays | 35% | 31% | 20% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 0% | 12% | 25% | 20% |
| Pressure index | 10.5 | 10.3 | 14.2 | 9.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 46.0 | 44.8 | 54.0 | 48.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 81% | 86% | 84% |
| Fouls | 10.1 | 12.2 | 10.2 | 10.1 |
| Cards | 1.20 | 2.10 | 2.10 | 1.90 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Nice
0–15'11
16–30'02
31–45'11
46–60'12
61–75'03
76–90'21
LOSC Lille
0–15'20
16–30'40
31–45'23
46–60'02
61–75'20
76–90'23
Nice
Current: winless 12 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 5 50% | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 1.04 | 1.38 |
| 5-4-1 | 4 40% | 0.75 | 0.75 | 1.0 | 0.98 | 1.02 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.28 | 2.11 |
LOSC Lille
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.18 | 1.14 |
| Metric | Nice all · 42 | Nice at home · 20 | LOSC Lille all · 47 | LOSC Lille away · 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 42 | 20 | 47 | 23 |
| Points per game | 0.74 | 0.95 | 1.62 | 1.74 |
| W / D / L | 6 / 13 / 23 | 3 / 10 / 7 | 23 / 7 / 17 | 13 / 1 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 0.95 | 1.05 | 1.32 | 1.09 |
| Goals against / match | 1.79 | 1.65 | 1.06 | 0.96 |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 20% | 40% | 48% |
| Failed to score | 38% | 35% | 32% | 39% |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 60% | 32% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 45% | 34% | 30% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.22 | 1.35 | 1.39 | 1.29 |
| xG against / match | 1.68 | 1.68 | 1.14 | 1.38 |
| xG difference | -0.46 | -0.33 | 0.24 | -0.08 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.27 | -0.30 | -0.07 | -0.21 |
| xPts / match | 1.12 | 1.22 | 1.53 | 1.33 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.38 | -0.27 | 0.09 | 0.41 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 31% | 30% | 53% | 52% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.62 | 1.83 | 2.64 | 3.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.24 | 0.45 | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| Came back from behind | 21% | 42% | 23% | 18% |
| Leads held | 46% | 50% | 85% | 100% |
| Minutes leading | 15% | 19% | 30% | 34% |
| Minutes level | 47% | 48% | 48% | 42% |
| Minutes trailing | 38% | 32% | 23% | 23% |
| First goal (min) | 41 | 44 | 43 | 36 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 35 | 36 | 46 | 42 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 42% | 52% | 62% | 58% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 48% | 48% | 62% | 64% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.17 | 0.15 | 0.49 | 0.39 |
| Late goals against | 0.26 | 0.30 | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 46% | 45% | 55% | 54% |
| Shots | 11.3 | 12.4 | 12.7 | 12.0 |
| On target | 3.6 | 3.9 | 4.6 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 8% | 10% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 65% | 66% | 67% | 63% |
| Big chances created | 2.4 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 2.0 |
| Corners | 5.1 | 5.4 | 5.4 | 4.8 |
| xG from set plays | 30% | 28% | 25% | 23% |
| Goals from headers | 10% | 14% | 18% | 17% |
| Pressure index | 9.3 | 10.2 | 14.9 | 13.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 39.3 | 40.1 | 57.6 | 54.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 81% | 85% | 85% |
| Fouls | 11.5 | 11.2 | 10.7 | 10.6 |
| Cards | 2.05 | 1.90 | 2.19 | 2.57 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Nice
0–15'512
16–30'710
31–45'1117
46–60'612
61–75'413
76–90'711
LOSC Lille
0–15'84
16–30'76
31–45'89
46–60'911
61–75'79
76–90'2211
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Nice · 42 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.08) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.34
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0842
Early press (0-15, level)-0.0942
Late push (76+, level)-0.2415
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.3420
Game state
When ahead-0.3013
When level-0.1042
When behind+0.0528
10 min after conceding-0.0835
10 min after scoring-0.0125
Situations
With ten men-0.134
Against ten men-0.522
At home-0.1720
Away-0.0022
3 days rest or fewer-0.179
4+ days rest-0.0633
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.2717
v mid-tier opponents+0.0715
v bottom-tier opponents+0.016
As favourite-0.147
Evenly matched-0.0316
As underdog-0.1119
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2642
Conceded when ahead+0.7013
Conceded late (76+)+0.2738
Congested vs rested -0.12 · Ahead vs level -0.20 · Behind vs level +0.15
LOSC Lille · 47 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.17) · stands out: against ten men +0.49
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1747
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1947
Late push (76+, level)+0.0715
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1917
Game state
When ahead+0.0727
When level+0.2247
When behind+0.2022
10 min after conceding-0.0127
10 min after scoring+0.4231
Situations
With ten men-0.197
Against ten men+0.494
At home+0.1724
Away+0.1723
3 days rest or fewer+0.1613
4+ days rest+0.1734
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.0014
v mid-tier opponents+0.1311
v bottom-tier opponents+0.3910
As favourite+0.2827
Evenly matched+0.1614
As underdog-0.286
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1247
Conceded when ahead-0.1127
Conceded late (76+)-0.2541
Congested vs rested -0.01 · Ahead vs level -0.15 · Behind vs level -0.01
Nice
Current: winless 12 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 21% | 1.0 | 1.33 | 1.67 | 1.43 | 1.64 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 7 17% | 0.43 | 0.43 | 1.71 | 1.28 | 1.53 |
| 3-5-2 | 5 12% | 0.2 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 1.22 | 1.59 |
| 5-4-1 | 5 12% | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.89 | 1.23 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 10% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.5 | 1.44 | 1.42 |
LOSC Lille
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 37 79% | 1.68 | 1.35 | 0.92 | 1.38 | 1.1 |
| 4-4-2 | 4 8% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.75 | 1.94 | 1.33 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 4% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.86 | 1.28 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 1 2% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.64 | 0.59 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 1.96 | 3.0 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 73 snapshots · last 47.2h before kick-off
3.69Home 26% · +0.3 ptsopened 3.733.49Draw 28% · +0.1 ptsopened 3.52.1Away 46% · -0.4 ptsopened 2.08
Home Draw Away consensus of 7 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.69 · +0.3 | 3.49 · +0.1 | 2.1 · -0.4 | 47.2h |
| bet365 | 3.7 · +0.8 | 3.5 · -0.3 | 2.0 · -0.4 | 47.2h |
| Betfair | 3.5 · +0.5 | 3.6 · -0.2 | 2.05 · -0.3 | 47.2h |
| BetVictor | 3.4 · +0.9 | 3.4 · +0.1 | 2.0 · -1.0 | 47.2h |
| Coral | 3.5 · +0.0 | 3.5 · +0.0 | 2.05 · +0.0 | 47.2h |
| Ladbrokes | 3.5 · +0.0 | 3.5 · +0.0 | 2.05 · +0.0 | 47.2h |
| WilliamHill | 3.5 · +0.0 | 3.3 · +0.0 | 2.0 · +0.0 | 47.2h |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 73 snapshots · last 47.2h before kick-off
1.75Yes 53% · +0.0 ptsopened 1.752.0No 47% · +0.0 ptsopened 2.0
Yes No consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.75 · +0.0 | 2.0 · +0.0 | 47.2h |
| Betfair | 1.73 · +0.6 | 2.05 · -0.6 | 47.2h |
| BetVictor | 1.7 · +0.0 | 2.0 · +0.0 | 47.2h |
| WilliamHill | 1.75 · +0.0 | 2.05 · +0.0 | 47.2h |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 73 snapshots · last 47.2h before kick-off
1.95Over 50% · +0.0 ptsopened 1.951.93Under 50% · +0.0 ptsopened 1.93
Over Under consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.95 · +0.0 | 1.93 · +0.0 | 47.2h |
| bet365 | 1.9 · +0.0 | 1.9 · +0.0 | 47.2h |
| Betfair | 1.9 · +0.0 | 1.9 · +0.0 | 47.2h |
| BetVictor | 1.83 · +0.3 | 1.84 · -0.3 | 47.2h |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 47.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
3.7Home 26% P 26%3.5Draw 27% P 28%2.0Away 47% P 46%
Double Chance
1.72Nice or Draw 27%1.28Nice or Lille 36%1.28Draw or Lille 36%
Draw No Bet
2.621 35%1.442 65%
Both Teams To Score
1.75Yes 53%2.0No 47%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.9Over 50% P 50%1.9Under 50% P 50%
Total Corners
10.0Under 6 9%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%10.0Over 14 9%
Number of Cards
3.51.72Over 54% P 54%2.0Under 46% P 46%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 45–47.5% · 466 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 26% | 26% | 26% | -0.3 |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 28% | +0.2 |
| Away | 46% | 46% | 46% | +0.1 |
In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 51%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 49% | 50% | +1.3 |
Willy Delajod
- Career
- 170 matches · 9 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.05 (3.76 yellow · 0.17 red)
- Fouls / match
- 25.5 · 6.3 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.43
- Cards to home side
- 46%
Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 92 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.98 | 4.06 | -0.23 | 36 |
| Fouls / match | 24.8 | 24.3 | +0.33 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.3 | 6.0 | +0.38 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.41 | 0.36 | +0.48 | 68 |
| Time added | 6.9 | 6.7 | +0.23 | 52 |
- First card
- 37' on average
- Card timing
- 15% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 44% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.14
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 30' | 8 |
| 2026-09-10 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 62' | 5 |
| 2026-08-30 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 42' | 7 |
| 2026-08-20 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 56' | 5 |
| 2026-08-11 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 8' | 5 |
| 2026-05-17 · LOSC Lille | 5 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 40' | 6 |
| 2026-04-26 · Nice | 5 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 29' | 9 |
| 2026-04-11 | 4 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 4' | 9 |
| 2026-03-21 · Nice | 2 | 1 | 17 | 1 | 16' | 5 |
| 2026-03-07 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 47' | 7 |