KickoffDNA
0 live
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 5

Momentum

MonacoLens
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
5

Venue

Stadium
Stade Louis II., Monaco
Capacity
18,523
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Filipe Luís · Dino Toppmöller
Position
2 · 10
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Clément Turpin

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
24.5° (feels 24.4°)
Wind
2.7
Humidity
55%

Where to watch · 290

  • Albania Super Sport 2 HD · SuperSport 2 Digitalb
  • Algeria Bein Sports 4 · beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports HD 4 · TOD
  • Andorra DAZN · DAZN France · DAZN Spain
  • Angola DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1
  • Anguilla Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Antigua and Barbuda Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Argentina Disney+ Premium · Disney+ Premium Argentina · ESPN 4 · ESPN 4 Argentina
  • Armenia Fast Sports 2
  • Aruba Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Austria DAZN · DAZN 2 DE · DAZN Austria
  • Azerbaijan TV NET
  • Bahrain Bein Sports 4 · beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports HD 4 · TOD
  • Barbados Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Belgium DAZN · DAZN 1 · DAZN 1 HD · DAZN1 Belgium · Proximus
  • Bolivia Disney+ Premium · Disney+ Premium Chile · ESPN 4 Sur
  • Bosnia and Herzegovina Arena Cloud · Arena Premium 5 · Moja TV
  • Botswana DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1
  • Brazil CazeTV
  • British Virgin Islands Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Bulgaria Max Sport 3 · Nova Sport · Nova Sport Bulgaria · Nova Sport HD
  • Cameroon Canal+ Sport 2 Afrique · DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1
  • Canada beIN Sports Canada · beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN SPORTS en Español · Fanatiz · fuboTV Canada
  • Cape Verde Canal+ Sport 2 Afrique · DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1
  • Cayman Islands Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Chile Disney+ Premium · Disney+ Premium Chile · ESPN 4
  • China Migu
  • Colombia Disney+ Premium Sur · ESPN 4 Sur
  • Costa Rica Disney+ Premium Norte · ESPN 5
  • Croatia Arena sport 2 · Arena Sport 2 Croatia · MAX To Go · MAXtv To Go
  • Cuba Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Cyprus Cablenet Sports 2 · Cablenet Sports 2 HD · Cablenet TV Go · Cytavision on the Go
  • Czech Republic Nova Sport 4 · Oneplay
  • Denmark Viaplay · Viaplay Denmark
  • Dominican Republic Disney+ Premium Caribbean · Disney+ Premium Norte
  • DR Congo Canal+ Sport 2 Afrique · DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1
  • Ecuador Disney+ Premium Sur · ESPN 4 Sur
  • Egypt Bein Sports 4 · beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports HD 4 · TOD
  • El Salvador Disney+ Premium Norte · ESPN 5
  • England Amazon Prime Video · Ligue 1+
  • Ethiopia DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1
  • Finland Elisa Viihde Viaplay · V Sport 1 Finland · Viaplay
  • France DAZN · DAZN France · Ligue 1+ · Molotov
  • Georgia Setanta Sports 3
  • Germany DAZN · DAZN 2 · DAZN 2 DE · DAZN Germany
  • Ghana Canal+ Sport 2 Afrique · DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1
  • Grenada Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Guadeloupe Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Guatemala Disney+ Premium Norte · ESPN 5
  • Haiti Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Honduras Disney+ Premium Norte · ESPN 5
  • Hong Kong beIN Sports 3 Hong Kong · beIN Sports Connect Hong Kong
  • Indonesia Vidio
  • International OneFootball
  • Iran Bein Sports 4 · beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports HD 4
  • Iraq beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports HD 4 · TOD
  • Israel 5 Live · 5 Plus
  • Italy Ligue 1+
  • Ivory Coast Canal+ Sport 2 Afrique · DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1
  • Jamaica Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Japan DAZN Japan
  • Jordan Bein Sports 4 · beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports HD 4 · TOD
  • Kazakhstan Setanta Sports Kazakhstan
  • Kenya DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1
  • Kosovo Arena Premium 4
  • Kuwait Bein Sports 4 · beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports HD 4 · TOD
  • Lebanon Bein Sports 4 · beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports HD 4 · TOD
  • Libya beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports HD 4 · TOD
  • Liechtenstein DAZN Germany
  • Luxembourg DAZN1 Belgium
  • Mexico Fox One · Tubi Mexico
  • Monaco DAZN · DAZN France
  • Montenegro Arena 4 · Arena Cloud · Arena Premium 4
  • Morocco Bein Sports 4 · beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports HD 4 · TOD
  • Netherlands Viaplay · Viaplay Netherlands
  • Nicaragua Disney+ Premium Norte · ESPN 5
  • Nigeria Canal+ Sport 2 Afrique · DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1
  • North Macedonia Arena 4 · Arena Cloud · Arena Premium 4
  • Northern Ireland Amazon Prime Video · Ligue 1+
  • Norway Viaplay · Viaplay Norway
  • Oman Bein Sports 4 · beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports HD 4 · TOD
  • Palestine Bein Sports 4 · beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports HD 4 · TOD
  • Panama Disney+ Premium Norte · ESPN 5
  • Paraguay Disney+ Premium · Disney+ Premium Argentina · ESPN 4 Argentina · ESPN 4 Sur
  • Peru Disney+ Premium · Disney+ Premium Chile · ESPN 4 Sur
  • Poland Canal+ · Eleven Sports 3
  • Portugal Sport TV 1 · Sport TV 1 HD · Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1
  • Puerto Rico Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Qatar Bein Sports 4 · beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports HD 4 · TOD
  • Republic of Ireland Amazon Prime Video · Ligue 1+
  • Romania Voyo
  • Rwanda Canal+ Sport 2 Afrique · SuperSport MaXimo 1
  • Réunion SuperSport MaXimo 1
  • Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Disney+ Caribbean
  • Saudi Arabia Bein Sports 4 · beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports HD 4 · TOD
  • Scotland Amazon Prime Video · Ligue 1+
  • Senegal Canal+ Sport 2 Afrique · DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1
  • Serbia Arena 4 · Arena Cloud · Arena Premium 4
  • Slovakia Nova Sport 4 · Voyo
  • Slovenia Arena Sport 1
  • South Africa DStv App · SuperSport MaXimo 1
  • South Korea Coupang Play
  • Spain DAZN
  • Sweden V Sport 1 Sweden · Viaplay · Viaplay Sweden
  • Switzerland DAZN Switzerland
  • Syria beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports HD 4 · TOD
  • Tanzania DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1
  • Togo Canal+ Sport 2 Afrique · DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1
  • Trinidad and Tobago Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Tunisia Bein Sports 4 · beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports HD 4 · TOD
  • Turkey beIN CONNECT Turkey · Bein Sports 4 · beIN SPORTS CONNECT · Digiturk Play · TOD
  • Uganda DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1
  • Ukraine Megogo · MEGOGO Football 1
  • United Arab Emirates Bein Sports 4 · beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports HD 4 · TOD
  • United States beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN SPORTS en Español · beIN Sports USA · fuboTV
  • Uruguay Disney+ Premium · Disney+ Premium Argentina · ESPN 4 Argentina · ESPN 4 Sur
  • US Virgin Islands Disney+ Caribbean · Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Venezuela Disney+ Premium Sur · ESPN 4 Sur · inter
  • Vietnam ON Plus · On Sports+ · TV 360
  • Wales Amazon Prime Video · Ligue 1+
  • Yemen Bein Sports 4 · beIN SPORTS CONNECT
  • Zambia SuperSport MaXimo 1
  • Zimbabwe DStv Now · SuperSport MaXimo 1

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 LOSC Lille 4310 725 10 WDWW
2 Monaco 4310 624 10 WWWD
3 Rennes 4310 853 10 DWWW
4 Paris 4220 624 8 DWWD
5 Olympique Lyonnais 4220 624 8 WDWD
6 Strasbourg 4211 981 7 LWWD
7 Paris Saint Germain 4121 660 5 DDLW
8 Brest 4121 660 5 DDWL
9 Lorient 4121 440 5 DLWD
10 Lens 4112 871 4 WLLD
11 Angers SCO 4112 45-1 4 LWLD
12 Troyes 4112 49-5 4 DWLL
13 Olympique Marseille 4103 660 3 WLLL
14 Le Mans 4031 78-1 3 DLDD
15 Auxerre 4103 511-6 3 LLLW
16 Le Havre 4022 24-2 2 LDLD
17 Toulouse 4022 47-3 2 LDLD
18 Nice 4022 15-4 2 DLDL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Monaco

WWWWD 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 10 GA 3 · xG 6.19–6.71 · xPts 6.7

  • D A Strasbourg 1–1 xG 1.21–0.77 FRA L1
  • W A Paris Saint Germain 2–1 xG 0.5–2.14 FRA L1
  • W H Olympique Marseille 2–0 xG 1.14–1.87 FRA L1
  • W H Górnik Zabrze 4–1 xG 1.86–0.97 UEFA ECL
  • W A Le Havre 1–0 xG 1.47–0.97 FRA L1

Lens

WLLWD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 11 GA 9 · xG 10.07–9.07 · xPts 7.22

  • D A Le Mans 2–2 xG 1.01–2.42 FRA L1
  • W A Slavia Praha 3–2 xG 1.49–1.76 UEFA CL
  • L H Lorient 0–1 xG 1.04–1.22 FRA L1
  • L A Strasbourg 1–2 xG 2.63–1.86 FRA L1
  • W H Auxerre 5–2 xG 3.89–1.81 FRA L1

full sample 9 meetings 2022–2026

Recurring referee: Willy Delajod · 4 of these meetings

Last 9

Monaco 32 draws4 Lens

Goals 14–22 · Monaco hosting: 1W 1D 2L · Lens hosting: 2W 1D 2L

At Stade Louis II.: 4 meetings · Monaco 1 · draws 1 · Lens 2 · 3.75 goals per match · last away win Nov 2025

All-time since 2005: 24 meetings · Monaco 7 · draws 9 · Lens 8

  • Over 2.5 goals in the last 3 meetings

This fixture vs the league league = last 365 days

MetricFixtureLeagueΔn
Goals per match4.002.81+1.199
Both teams score67%52%+15%9
Over 2.5 goals89%53%+36%9
Corners10.29.5+0.79
Cards4.84.1+0.79

6 with 4+ goals · 2.00 first-half goals per match · red card in 3

How these games go · 9 with event data

MonacoLens
Scored first3 of 96 of 9
Scored first and won24
Won from behind10

first goal on average in minute 24 · a side came back in 3 · goal after the 75th minute in 5 · penalty scored in 3

When the goals come · all goals, 9 meetings

0-15'3
16-30'7
31-45'8
46-60'6
61-75'5
76-90'7

6 equalisers · 3 penalties · 1 own goal · 4 headers

Expected goals · last 4 with xG

Monaco 1.54 xGper match2.03 xG Lens

Deserved on xG: Monaco 0 · level 2 · Lens 2 — actual wins in those games 1 / 2

Against the market · 9 with closing odds

Favourite won 2 (22%), drew 2, upset 5 · market favoured Monaco 6×, Lens 3× · avg favourite 47%, avg price of the actual result 32%

Fixture specialists

  • 3 Folarin Balogun Monaco · in 3 games · last Feb 2026
  • 3 Wesley Saïd  Lens · in 2 games · last Nov 2025
  • 3 Loïs Openda Lens · in 2 games · last Apr 2023
  • 2 Denis Zakaria Monaco · in 2 games · last Feb 2026
  • 2 Odsonne Édouard Lens · in 2 games · last Feb 2026

Last meeting · 2026-02-21 · FRA L1

Lens 2-3 Monaco · ref Willy Delajod

  • 3' Odsonne Édouard assist Adrien Thomasson  1–0
  • 56' Florian Thauvin 2–0
  • 62' Folarin Balogun assist Mamadou Coulibaly 2–1
  • 70' Denis Zakaria assist Caio Henrique 2–2
  • 72' Ansu Fati 2–3

xG 1.67 – 1.46 · corners 9 · cards 4

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·

Match result

45.9%Monaco P 47%22.8%Draw P 25%31.3%Lens P 27%

Over / under 2.5

65.6%Over 2.5 P 60%34.4%Under 2.5 P 40%

Both teams to score

66.1%Yes33.9%No

Expected

Monaco goals
1.87 (0–4)
Lens goals
1.51 (0–3)
Corners
9.89 (6–14)
Cards
4.56 (2–7)

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

42.5%Monaco23.9%Draw33.6%Lens

Over / under 2.5

64.6%Over 2.535.4%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

64.6%Yes35.4%No

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 24 matches since 2005

Monaco 79 draws8 Lens

Goals 27–35 · 2.58 per match · BTTS 38% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Monaco 32 draws5 Lens

Goals 14–24 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Monaco 21 draws2 Lens

Goals 8–13 · 4.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Lens 2–3 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Monaco 1–4 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lens 4–0 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Monaco 1–1 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Lens 2–3 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Monaco 3–0 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lens 3–0 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Monaco 1–4 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Lens 2–2 Monaco FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Monaco 0–2 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricMonaco all · 4Monaco at home · 1Lens all · 4Lens away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Monaco · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.00) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.41

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.006
Early press (0-15, level)+0.306

Game state

When ahead-0.165
When level+0.216
When behind+0.122
10 min after conceding-0.413
10 min after scoring+0.236

Situations

At home-0.072
Away+0.024
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest+0.024

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.242
As favourite+0.013
Evenly matched+0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.235
Conceded late (76+)+0.025

Congested vs rested -0.07 · Ahead vs level -0.37 · Behind vs level -0.10

Lens · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: when ahead -0.48

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.015
Early press (0-15, level)-0.195
Late push (76+, level)+0.023
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.043

Game state

When ahead-0.483
When level+0.055
When behind+0.274
10 min after conceding-0.155
10 min after scoring-0.234

Situations

Against ten men+0.012
At home-0.112
Away+0.083
4+ days rest-0.044

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.073
v bottom-tier opponents-0.102
As favourite-0.054

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.115
Conceded when ahead+0.513
Conceded late (76+)-0.365

Congested vs rested +0.22 · Ahead vs level -0.54 · Behind vs level +0.22

Monaco

Current: unbeaten 6 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 100%2.51.50.51.081.44

Lens

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-14 100%1.02.01.752.151.83

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 116 snapshots · last 4.8h before kick-off · biggest step: home -1.6 pts at 8.8h

2.05Home 47% ▲ +3.5 ptsopened 2.23.82Draw 25% · -0.1 ptsopened 3.783.59Away 27% ▼ -3.3 ptsopened 3.18
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 25%30%35%40%45%50%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle2.05 ▲ +3.53.82 · -0.13.59 ▼ -3.34.8h
bet3651.95 ▲ +5.53.75 · -0.33.6 ▼ -5.24.8h
Betfair2.0 ▲ +7.23.6 · +0.73.6 ▼ -7.94.8h
BetVictor1.95 ▲ +5.63.8 · -0.73.5 ▼ -4.94.8h
Coral1.95 ▲ +6.63.75 · -0.33.6 ▼ -6.34.8h
Ladbrokes1.95 ▲ +6.23.7 · -0.13.5 ▼ -6.04.8h
Unibet1.96 ▲ +1.33.6 · +0.93.45 ▼ -2.24.8h
WilliamHill1.95 ▲ +5.03.5 · -0.23.4 ▼ -4.94.8h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 4.8h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.95Home 49% P 47%3.75Draw 25% P 25%3.6Away 26% P 27%

Double Chance

1.3Monaco or Draw 36%1.28Monaco or Lens 37%1.72Draw or Lens 27%

Draw No Bet

1.441 65%2.622 35%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61%2.37No 39%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.61Over 59% P 60%2.3Under 41% P 40%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.9Over 49% P 46%1.8Under 51% P 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 25–27.5% · 853 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home47%46%44%-1.8
Draw25%28%30%+1.8
Away27%26%26%+0.0

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 48%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.560%61%63%+1.5

Clément Turpin

Career
413 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.74 (3.47 yellow · 0.21 red)
Fouls / match
21.9 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.39
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 90 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.494.06-1.2412
Fouls / match23.724.3-0.25
Fouls per card6.96.0+1.14 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.290.36-0.7016
Time added6.16.7-0.3524
First card
33' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.11

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-09-06 20 221 65'8
2026-08-26 30 251 51'5
2026-05-17 30 221 41'7
2026-05-10 · Monaco 40 230 23'8
2026-05-03 30 241 23'13
2026-04-25 · Monaco 50 270 31'5
2026-04-22 30 191 35'6
2026-04-14 11 230 69'12
2026-04-05 · Monaco 40 230 8'7
2026-03-22 11 220 55'7