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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 5

Momentum

Le MansLorient
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
5

Venue

Stadium
Stade de La Pincenardière, Mulsanne
Capacity
25,000
Surface
artificial turf

Teams

Coaches
Patrick Videira · Alexandre Dujeux
Position
14 · 9
Formation
3-5-2 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Geoffrey Kubler

Weather

Conditions
sky is clear
Temperature
20.3° (feels 19.8°)
Wind
3.0
Humidity
55%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 LOSC Lille 4310 725 10 WDWW
2 Monaco 4310 624 10 WWWD
3 Rennes 4310 853 10 DWWW
4 Paris 4220 624 8 DWWD
5 Olympique Lyonnais 4220 624 8 WDWD
6 Strasbourg 4211 981 7 LWWD
7 Paris Saint Germain 4121 660 5 DDLW
8 Brest 4121 660 5 DDWL
9 Lorient 4121 440 5 DLWD
10 Lens 4112 871 4 WLLD
11 Angers SCO 4112 45-1 4 LWLD
12 Troyes 4112 49-5 4 DWLL
13 Olympique Marseille 4103 660 3 WLLL
14 Le Mans 4031 78-1 3 DLDD
15 Auxerre 4103 511-6 3 LLLW
16 Le Havre 4022 24-2 2 LDLD
17 Toulouse 4022 47-3 2 LDLD
18 Nice 4022 15-4 2 DLDL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Le Mans

DLDD 0W 3D 1L · 3 pts (0.75 ppg) · GF 7 GA 8 · xG 6.34–7.73 · xPts 5.0

  • D H Lens 2–2 xG 2.42–1.01 FRA L1
  • D A Nice 1–1 xG 0.67–0.64 FRA L1
  • L A Rennes 2–3 xG 2.51–3.04 FRA L1
  • D H Brest 2–2 xG 0.73–3.04 FRA L1

Lorient

DLWD 1W 2D 1L · 5 pts (1.25 ppg) · GF 4 GA 4 · xG 5.0–5.31 · xPts 5.28

  • D H Toulouse 2–2 xG 0.92–1.51 FRA L1
  • W A Lens 1–0 xG 1.22–1.04 FRA L1
  • L H Troyes 1–2 xG 1.35–1.71 FRA L1
  • D A Nice 0–0 xG 1.51–1.05 FRA L1

first meeting No meetings in the last five years

All-time since 2006: 8 meetings · Le Mans 0 · draws 4 · Lorient 4

  • Le Mans have never beaten Lorient in 8 meetings
  • Lorient unbeaten in the last 8 meetings

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·

Match result

39.3%Le Mans P 36%24.4%Draw P 28%36.3%Lorient P 37%

Over / under 2.5

59.4%Over 2.5 P 53%40.6%Under 2.5 P 47%

Both teams to score

61.8%Yes38.2%No

Expected

Le Mans goals
1.57 (0–3)
Lorient goals
1.5 (0–3)
Corners
8.49 (5–13)
Cards
3.72 (1–6)

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

35.0%Le Mans30.3%Draw34.6%Lorient

Over / under 2.5

40.4%Over 2.559.6%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

47.2%Yes52.8%No

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 8 matches since 2006

Le Mans 04 draws4 Lorient

Goals 3–9 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 38% · over 2.5 25%

Last 10 · 8 matches

Le Mans 04 draws4 Lorient

Goals 3–9 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 38% · over 2.5 25%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Le Mans 02 draws3 Lorient

Goals 1–6 · 1.4 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • L Le Mans 0–3 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lorient 1–0 Le Mans FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Lorient 1–1 Le Mans neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Le Mans 0–1 Lorient neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Lorient 0–0 Le Mans FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Le Mans 0–0 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lorient 2–1 Le Mans neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Le Mans 1–1 Lorient neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricLe Mans all · 4Le Mans at home · 2Lorient all · 4Lorient away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Le Mans · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.17) · stands out: when ahead -0.41

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.174
Early press (0-15, level)-0.104
Late push (76+, level)-0.354

Game state

When ahead-0.413
When level-0.164
When behind-0.012
10 min after conceding-0.234
10 min after scoring-0.054

Situations

At home-0.242
Away-0.112
4+ days rest-0.174

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
As underdog-0.073

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.284
Conceded when ahead+0.393
Conceded late (76+)+0.294

Ahead vs level -0.25 · Behind vs level +0.15

Lorient · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.96

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.124
Early press (0-15, level)+0.374
Late push (76+, level)-0.152

Game state

When ahead-0.322
When level-0.144
10 min after conceding-0.522
10 min after scoring+0.963

Situations

At home-0.072
Away-0.182
4+ days rest-0.124

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.022
Evenly matched-0.232

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.214
Conceded when ahead+0.162
Conceded late (76+)-0.064

Ahead vs level -0.18 · Behind vs level +0.28

Le Mans

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 4 · scoring 4 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-1-4-23 75%0.671.672.01.871.56
3-5-21 25%1.02.02.00.733.04

Lorient

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-14 100%1.251.01.01.251.33

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 93 snapshots · last 27.8h before kick-off · biggest step: away -2.1 pts at 4.3d

2.72Home 36% ▲ +2.5 ptsopened 2.933.47Draw 28% · -0.3 ptsopened 3.432.65Away 37% ▼ -2.2 ptsopened 2.5
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 25%30%35%40%

Home Draw Away consensus of 7 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle2.72 ▲ +2.53.47 · -0.32.65 ▼ -2.227.8h
bet3652.7 ▲ +2.23.3 · +0.12.62 ▼ -2.327.8h
Betfair2.7 ▲ +2.13.4 ▲ +1.52.63 ▼ -3.627.8h
BetVictor2.55 ▲ +2.83.4 · +0.22.5 ▼ -3.027.8h
Coral2.62 ▲ +3.13.4 · -0.02.6 ▼ -3.127.8h
Ladbrokes2.62 ▲ +3.33.4 · +0.12.6 ▼ -3.427.8h
WilliamHill2.62 ▲ +2.03.2 · -0.22.5 ▼ -1.827.8h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 27.8h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.7Home 35% P 36%3.3Draw 29% P 28%2.62Away 36% P 37%

Double Chance

1.44Le Mans or Draw 32%1.33Le Mans or Lorient 35%1.44Draw or Lorient 32%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58%2.2No 42%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 53%2.0Under 47% P 47%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56% P 59%2.1Under 44% P 41%
4.52.1Over 44% P 40%1.66Under 56% P 60%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 35–37.5% · 584 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home36%36%35%-0.6
Draw28%28%28%+0.2
Away37%36%36%+0.4

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 53%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.553%54%54%+0.8

Geoffrey Kubler

No career statistics.

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 1 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 2.0 cards, 24.0 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-09-06 20 240 58'9