Rating 7.2 (84th pct) · G+A 22 + 5 (44% of team goals) · 90% of minutes
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 4
Momentum
– RennesOM –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Rennes | at home | Stat | league | away | Olympique Marseille |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.0 #7 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 60.8 #2 |
| 17.0 #3 | – | Shots total | 14.0 | – | 13.5 #9 |
| 5.8 #5 | – | Shots on target | 4.8 | – | 5.0 #8 |
| 4.2 #11 | – | Corners | 4.8 | – | 5.0 #10 |
| 13.0 #6 | – | Fouls | 11.7 | – | 9.8 #15 |
| 1.0 #13 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 1.0 #13 |
| 15.2 #12 | – | Tackles | 16.7 | – | 14.5 #15 |
| 98.8 #4 | – | Attacks | 90.1 | – | 128.0 #2 |
| 48.2 #6 | – | Dangerous attacks | 45.5 | – | 66.2 #2 |
| 466.2 #9 | – | Passes | 480.4 | – | 625.8 #3 |
| 1.8 #4 | – | Yellowcards | 1.4 | – | 1.2 #10 |
| 1.5 #1 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 0.5 #16 |
| – #2 | – | Btts | 55.6 | – | – #15 |
| – #6 | – | Cleansheet | 27.8 | – | – #6 |
| – #10 | – | Draw | 36.1 | – | – #17 |
| 1.9 #3 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 1.6 #6 |
| 0.1 #5 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.2 | – | -0.1 #8 |
| – #13 | – | Failed to score | 27.8 | – | – #2 |
| 2.0 #2 | 2.0 | Goals | 1.4 | 0.0 | 1.5 #6 |
| 1.2 #10 | 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.5 #7 |
| – | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.2 #7 |
| 12.5 #5 | – | Interceptions | 10.8 | – | 9.2 #14 |
| – #14 | – | Lost | 31.9 | – | – #1 |
| 0.2 #3 | – | Penalties scored | 0.3 | – | 0.2 #3 |
| 6.9 #5 | – | Rating | 6.9 | – | 6.9 #8 |
| 4.8 #3 | – | Shots blocked | 3.4 | – | 2.5 #11 |
| 12.0 #2 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.1 | – | 8.5 #10 |
| 6.5 #4 | – | Shots off target | 5.8 | – | 6.0 #7 |
| 5.0 #5 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.9 | – | 5.0 #5 |
| – #1 | – | Win | 31.9 | – | – #7 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 36 of 306
- Goals / match
- 2.75 (home 1.39 · away 1.36)
- Home / draw / away
- 28% · 36% · 36%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 56% · 53%
- Cards / match
- 3.03 (reds 0.11)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
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Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Rennes · Last 365 days
Rating 7.27 (95th pct) · G+A 3 + 5 (13% of team goals) · 87% of minutes
Rating 6.94 (65th pct) · G+A 3 + 1 (6% of team goals) · 93% of minutes
Olympique Marseille · Last 365 days
Rating 7.2 (93th pct) · G+A 4 + 5 (13% of team goals) · 91% of minutes
Rating 6.98 (75th pct) · G+A 10 + 6 (23% of team goals) · 71% of minutes
Team 1.7 ppg with (30) · 1.17 without (12)
Rating 7.12 (80th pct) · G+A 12 + 3 (21% of team goals) · 44% of minutes
Team 1.39 ppg with (18) · 1.67 without (24)
Absences
Olympique Marseille
- injury Tochukwu Nnadi #13 key player midfielder · Knee Injury · 1 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 4
Venue
- Stadium
- Roazhon Park, Rennes
- Capacity
- 29,778
- Surface
- grass
Teams
- Coaches
- Franck Haise · Bruno Génésio
- Position
- 5 · 11
- Formation
- 4-1-4-1 · 4-1-4-1
Referee
Jeremy Stinat
Weather
- Conditions
- few clouds
- Temperature
- 16.9° (feels 16.8°)
- Wind
- 1.5
- Humidity
- 82%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  LOSC Lille |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 10 | WDWW |
| 2 |  Monaco |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 10 | WWWD |
| 3 |  Rennes |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | DWWW |
| 4 |  Paris |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | DWWD |
| 5 |  Olympique Lyonnais |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | WDWD |
| 6 |  Strasbourg |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 7 | LWWD |
| 7 |  Paris Saint Germain |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 | DDLW |
| 8 |  Brest |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 | DDWL |
| 9 |  Lorient |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | DLWD |
| 10 |  Lens |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 4 | WLLD |
| 11 |  Angers SCO |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 | LWLD |
| 12 |  Troyes |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 | DWLL |
| 13 |  Olympique Marseille |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | WLLL |
| 14 |  Le Mans |
4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 | DLDD |
| 15 |  Auxerre |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 | LLLW |
| 16 |  Le Havre |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | LDLD |
| 17 |  Toulouse |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 | LDLD |
| 18 |  Nice |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2 | DLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rennes |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | DWWW |
| 2 | Paris |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | DWWD |
| 3 | LOSC Lille |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | WDWW |
| 4 | Olympique Lyonnais |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | WDWD |
| 5 | Strasbourg |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | LWWD |
| 6 | Olympique Marseille |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | WLLL |
| 7 | Lens |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | WLLD |
| 8 | Monaco |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | WWWD |
| 9 | Auxerre |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | LLLW |
| 10 | Le Mans |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DLDD |
| 11 | Nice |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | DLDL |
| 12 | Lorient |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | DLWD |
| 13 | Brest |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | DDWL |
| 14 | Le Havre |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | LDLD |
| 15 | Troyes |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 | DWLL |
| 16 | Paris Saint Germain |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | DDLW |
| 17 | Angers SCO |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LWLD |
| 18 | Toulouse |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | LDLD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | WWWD |
| 2 | LOSC Lille |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | WDWW |
| 3 | Paris Saint Germain |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | DDLW |
| 4 | Angers SCO |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | LWLD |
| 5 | Olympique Lyonnais |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | WDWD |
| 6 | Brest |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | DDWL |
| 7 | Paris |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | DWWD |
| 8 | Lorient |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | DLWD |
| 9 | Rennes |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | DWWW |
| 10 | Strasbourg |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | LWWD |
| 11 | Troyes |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | DWLL |
| 12 | Toulouse |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | LDLD |
| 13 | Le Havre |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | LDLD |
| 14 | Le Mans |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | DLDD |
| 15 | Lens |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | WLLD |
| 16 | Olympique Marseille |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | WLLL |
| 17 | Nice |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | DLDL |
| 18 | Auxerre |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 0 | LLLW |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Rennes
LDWW 2W 1D 1L · 7 pts (1.75 ppg) · GF 8 GA 8 · xG 8.24–8.94 · xPts 5.08
- W
A
Angers SCO
2–1
xG 1.72–2.01
FRA L1
- W
H
Le Mans
3–2
xG 3.04–2.51
FRA L1
- D
H
Paris Saint Germain
2–2
xG 0.95–1.55
FRA L1
- L
A
Olympique Marseille
1–3
xG 2.53–2.87
FRA L1
LDWW 2W 1D 1L · 7 pts (1.75 ppg) · GF 8 GA 8 · xG 8.24–8.94 · xPts 5.08
- W
A
Angers SCO
2–1
xG 1.72–2.01
FRA L1
- W
H
Le Mans
3–2
xG 3.04–2.51
FRA L1
- D
H
Paris Saint Germain
2–2
xG 0.95–1.55
FRA L1
- L
A
Olympique Marseille
1–3
xG 2.53–2.87
FRA L1
Olympique Marseille
WWLL 2W 0D 2L · 6 pts (1.5 ppg) · GF 9 GA 6 · xG 8.66–6.54 · xPts 6.95
- L
H
Paris
2–3
xG 1.65–2.58
FRA L1
- L
A
Monaco
0–2
xG 1.87–1.14
FRA L1
- W
H
Strasbourg
4–0
xG 2.27–0.29
FRA L1
- W
H
Rennes
3–1
xG 2.87–2.53
FRA L1
WWLL 2W 0D 2L · 6 pts (1.5 ppg) · GF 9 GA 6 · xG 8.66–6.54 · xPts 6.95
- L
H
Paris
2–3
xG 1.65–2.58
FRA L1
- L
A
Monaco
0–2
xG 1.87–1.14
FRA L1
- W
H
Strasbourg
4–0
xG 2.27–0.29
FRA L1
- W
H
Rennes
3–1
xG 2.87–2.53
FRA L1
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
37.6%Rennes P 47%23.0%Draw P 25%39.4%Olympique Marseille P 28%
Over / under 2.5
66.0%Over 2.5 P 64%34.0%Under 2.5 P 36%
Both teams to score
66.9%Yes33.1%No
Expected
- Rennes goals
- 1.68 (0–3)
- Olympique Marseille goals
- 1.72 (0–3)
- Corners
- 10.62 (6–15)
- Cards
- 4.15 (2–7)
Earlier: day before — 37.6% / 23.0% / 39.4%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
42.8%Rennes22.8%Draw34.5%Olympique Marseille
Over / under 2.5
60.2%Over 2.539.8%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
58.8%Yes41.2%No
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | home | 0.979 | 0.598 |
| btts | no | 1.107 | 0.896 |
| ou_2_5 | under | 1.078 | 0.871 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 43 matches since 2005
Goals 48–67 · 2.67 per match · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 42%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 11–13 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 30%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 6–9 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- W Rennes 1–0 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
- L Olympique Marseille 3–1 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
- W Rennes 1–0 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
- L Olympique Marseille 4–2 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
- L Rennes 1–2 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
- W Rennes 2–0 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
- L Olympique Marseille 2–0 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
- L Rennes 0–1 Olympique Marseille FRA L1 · Regular Season
- D Olympique Marseille 1–1 Rennes FRA L1 · Regular Season
- W Rennes 2–0 Olympique Marseille neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
| Metric | Rennes all · 4 | Rennes at home · 3 | Olympique Marseille all · 4 | Olympique Marseille away · 2 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Rennes · 5 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.27) · stands out: when level +0.55
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.275
Early press (0-15, level)+0.245
Late push (76+, level)-0.093
Game state
When ahead+0.014
When level+0.555
10 min after conceding-0.423
10 min after scoring-0.024
Situations
At home-0.123
Away+0.832
4+ days rest+0.275
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.252
v bottom-tier opponents+0.142
As favourite+0.444
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.105
Conceded when ahead+0.174
Conceded late (76+)-0.155
Ahead vs level -0.54
Olympique Marseille · 5 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.56
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.105
Early press (0-15, level)+0.435
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.064
Game state
When level+0.245
When behind-0.024
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.563
Situations
At home+0.282
Away-0.033
4+ days rest+0.105
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.173
As favourite+0.282
As underdog-0.172
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.065
Conceded late (76+)-0.325
Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level -0.27
Rennes
Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-1-4-1 | 3 75% | 2.33 | 1.67 | 1.0 | 1.52 | 1.52 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 25% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3.04 | 2.51 |
Olympique Marseille
Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 50% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.33 | 2.24 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 50% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.07 | 0.71 |
| Metric | Rennes all · 10 | Rennes at home · 10 | Olympique Marseille all · 10 | Olympique Marseille away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.30 | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| W / D / L | 6 / 2 / 2 | 7 / 2 / 1 | 3 / 1 / 6 | 2 / 0 / 8 |
| Goals for / match | 1.80 | 1.70 | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals against / match | 1.40 | 1.00 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 10% | 40% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 70% | 40% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 70% | 50% | 40% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.89 | 1.57 | 1.71 | 1.36 |
| xG against / match | 1.71 | 1.58 | 1.71 | 1.61 |
| xG difference | 0.19 | -0.01 | 0.00 | -0.25 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.09 | 0.13 | -0.51 | -0.96 |
| xPts / match | 1.48 | 1.42 | 1.40 | 1.26 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.52 | 0.88 | -0.40 | -0.66 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 70% | 70% | 40% | 20% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.29 | 2.71 | 2.50 | 3.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.50 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | 50% | 0% | 0% |
| Leads held | 75% | 88% | 75% | 100% |
| Minutes leading | 43% | 45% | 21% | 12% |
| Minutes level | 40% | 43% | 45% | 38% |
| Minutes trailing | 17% | 12% | 34% | 50% |
| First goal (min) | 30 | 31 | 34 | 47 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 47 | 41 | 30 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | 47% | 67% | 50% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 70% | 71% | 67% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| Late goals against | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 53% | 54% | 57% | 54% |
| Shots | 17.9 | 15.3 | 15.9 | 13.5 |
| On target | 5.7 | 5.2 | 5.3 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 11% | 8% | 3% |
| Shots inside box | 70% | 59% | 65% | 61% |
| Big chances created | 3.2 | 2.7 | 2.8 | 2.0 |
| Corners | 6.0 | 6.0 | 4.9 | 4.4 |
| xG from set plays | 26% | 26% | 20% | 25% |
| Goals from headers | 11% | 19% | 8% | 0% |
| Pressure index | 16.2 | 13.9 | 14.5 | 11.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 55.3 | 56.4 | 56.1 | 50.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 83% | 87% | 85% |
| Fouls | 12.2 | 12.2 | 11.9 | 13.6 |
| Cards | 1.50 | 1.30 | 2.10 | 2.40 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Rennes
0–15'52
16–30'31
31–45'14
46–60'44
61–75'22
76–90'31
Olympique Marseille
0–15'33
16–30'12
31–45'00
46–60'48
61–75'20
76–90'24
Rennes
Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-1-4-1 | 5 50% | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.78 | 1.65 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 30% | 2.0 | 2.33 | 1.67 | 1.92 | 1.66 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 2.15 | 1.93 |
Olympique Marseille
Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.67 | 1.77 | 1.67 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 20% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.33 | 2.24 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.04 | 1.24 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.81 | 1.38 |
| Metric | Rennes all · 35 | Rennes at home · 18 | Olympique Marseille all · 42 | Olympique Marseille away · 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 35 | 18 | 42 | 21 |
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.94 | 1.55 | 1.19 |
| W / D / L | 18 / 9 / 8 | 10 / 5 / 3 | 20 / 5 / 17 | 8 / 1 / 12 |
| Goals for / match | 1.77 | 1.78 | 1.69 | 1.29 |
| Goals against / match | 1.40 | 1.11 | 1.50 | 1.76 |
| Clean sheets | 31% | 22% | 24% | 19% |
| Failed to score | 17% | 17% | 26% | 38% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 72% | 50% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 67% | 67% | 62% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.64 | 1.75 | 1.55 | 1.47 |
| xG against / match | 1.49 | 1.35 | 1.23 | 1.27 |
| xG difference | 0.15 | 0.40 | 0.31 | 0.19 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.13 | 0.02 | 0.14 | -0.18 |
| xPts / match | 1.48 | 1.66 | 1.57 | 1.49 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.32 | 0.28 | -0.02 | -0.30 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 60% | 50% | 50% | 43% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.33 | 2.78 | 2.29 | 2.11 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | 1.14 | 0.81 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 38% | 57% | 29% | 14% |
| Leads held | 72% | 83% | 71% | 73% |
| Minutes leading | 42% | 39% | 34% | 28% |
| Minutes level | 39% | 43% | 38% | 34% |
| Minutes trailing | 19% | 18% | 28% | 37% |
| First goal (min) | 32 | 34 | 35 | 34 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 41 | 45 | 39 | 35 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 48% | 53% | 59% | 48% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 61% | 60% | 65% | 65% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.26 | 0.33 | 0.38 | 0.24 |
| Late goals against | 0.31 | 0.22 | 0.45 | 0.29 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 54% | 55% | 56% | 56% |
| Shots | 14.8 | 15.8 | 14.8 | 14.0 |
| On target | 5.1 | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.2 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 11% | 11% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 64% | 60% | 61% | 60% |
| Big chances created | 2.6 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 2.2 |
| Corners | 6.0 | 6.4 | 4.9 | 4.5 |
| xG from set plays | 28% | 27% | 20% | 20% |
| Goals from headers | 16% | 26% | 7% | 4% |
| Pressure index | 15.2 | 16.4 | 15.3 | 14.2 |
| Dominant minutes | 54.5 | 56.3 | 54.1 | 52.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 84% | 87% | 87% |
| Fouls | 12.4 | 12.8 | 12.3 | 12.4 |
| Cards | 1.71 | 1.56 | 2.40 | 2.52 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Rennes
0–15'107
16–30'162
31–45'610
46–60'1310
61–75'89
76–90'911
Olympique Marseille
0–15'1312
16–30'96
31–45'74
46–60'1613
61–75'109
76–90'1619
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Rennes · 35 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.19) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.48
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1935
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0535
Late push (76+, level)+0.1311
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.386
Game state
When ahead+0.1325
When level+0.1735
When behind+0.4013
10 min after conceding+0.1122
10 min after scoring+0.4829
Situations
Against ten men+0.145
At home+0.1318
Away+0.2617
4+ days rest+0.2134
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.0512
v mid-tier opponents+0.219
v bottom-tier opponents+0.289
As favourite+0.3017
Evenly matched+0.249
As underdog-0.079
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0635
Conceded when ahead-0.0425
Conceded late (76+)-0.2627
Congested vs rested -0.53 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.23
Olympique Marseille · 42 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.23) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.58
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2342
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2742
Late push (76+, level)+0.1513
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.3017
Game state
When ahead+0.1328
When level+0.2242
When behind+0.3724
10 min after conceding-0.0130
10 min after scoring+0.5831
Situations
With ten men-0.254
Against ten men+0.392
At home+0.1921
Away+0.2821
3 days rest or fewer+0.375
4+ days rest+0.2237
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.1214
v mid-tier opponents+0.2712
v bottom-tier opponents+0.438
As favourite+0.3127
Evenly matched+0.319
As underdog-0.216
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1042
Conceded when ahead+0.0128
Conceded late (76+)-0.1037
Congested vs rested +0.15 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.15
Rennes
Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 15 43% | 1.53 | 1.6 | 1.67 | 1.41 | 1.55 |
| 4-3-3 | 6 17% | 2.17 | 1.83 | 0.83 | 1.74 | 1.31 |
| 4-4-2 | 6 17% | 2.0 | 2.33 | 1.83 | 2.0 | 1.29 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 5 14% | 1.6 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.78 | 1.65 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 6% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 1.35 | 2.23 |
Olympique Marseille
Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 21 50% | 2.0 | 2.19 | 1.33 | 1.78 | 1.17 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 10 24% | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.43 | 1.1 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 3 7% | 0.0 | 0.67 | 2.0 | 1.44 | 1.77 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 7% | 2.0 | 1.67 | 1.33 | 1.39 | 0.88 |
| 5-4-1 | 2 5% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.83 | 2.23 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: home -3.5 pts at 11.8h · late move: home +2.7 pts inside the final hour
2.04Home 47% ▲ +5.4 ptsopened 2.33.9Draw 25% · +0.2 ptsopened 3.933.5Away 28% ▼ -5.6 ptsopened 2.91
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.04 ▲ +5.4 | 3.9 · +0.2 | 3.5 ▼ -5.6 | 5m |
| bet365 | 2.05 ▲ +6.6 | 3.8 · -0.9 | 3.2 ▼ -5.8 | 5m |
| Betfair | 2.1 ▲ +4.3 | 3.9 · +0.2 | 3.25 ▼ -4.5 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 2.0 ▲ +6.3 | 3.9 ▼ -1.4 | 3.3 ▼ -4.9 | 5m |
| Coral | 2.0 ▲ +7.6 | 3.9 · -0.5 | 3.4 ▼ -7.1 | 5m |
| Ladbrokes | 1.95 ▲ +8.0 | 3.9 ▼ -1.3 | 3.3 ▼ -6.7 | 5m |
| Unibet | 2.1 ▲ +3.1 | 3.75 ▼ -1.7 | 3.05 ▼ -1.5 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 2.0 ▲ +6.1 | 3.6 · +0.1 | 3.2 ▼ -6.2 | 5m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: no -2.0 pts at 8.8h · late move: no -1.7 pts inside the final hour
1.4Yes 66% ▲ +3.8 ptsopened 1.52.75No 34% ▼ -3.8 ptsopened 2.5
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.4 ▲ +3.8 | 2.75 ▼ -3.8 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.44 · +0.0 | 2.63 · +0.0 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.4 ▲ +1.9 | 2.7 ▼ -1.9 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.44 ▲ +1.8 | 2.63 ▼ -1.8 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 1.44 ▲ +2.2 | 2.75 ▼ -2.2 | 5m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: over +1.4 pts at 4.8h · late move: under +1.5 pts inside the final hour
1.51Over 64% ▲ +2.3 ptsopened 1.572.65Under 36% ▼ -2.3 ptsopened 2.5
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.51 ▲ +2.3 | 2.65 ▼ -2.3 | 5m |
| bet365 | 1.44 ▲ +5.5 | 2.75 ▼ -5.5 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.5 ▲ +1.4 | 2.55 ▼ -1.4 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.46 ▲ +2.8 | 2.47 ▼ -2.8 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.49 ▲ +4.4 | 2.55 ▼ -4.4 | 5m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.05Home 46% P 47%3.8Draw 25% P 25%3.2Away 29% P 28%
Double Chance
1.33Rennes or Draw 36%1.25Rennes or Marseille 38%1.8Draw or Marseille 26%
Draw No Bet
1.51 62%2.52 38%
Both Teams To Score
1.4Yes 66%2.75No 34%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.44Over 66% P 64%2.75Under 34% P 36%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%
Number of Cards
3.51.61Over 58% P 58%2.2Under 42% P 42%
4.52.1Over 44% P 40%1.66Under 56% P 60%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 27.5–30% · 305 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 47% | 46% | 50% | +4.6 |
| Draw | 25% | 26% | 23% | -2.4 |
| Away | 28% | 28% | 26% | -2.2 |
In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 55%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 64% | 63% | -0.4 |
Jeremy Stinat
- Career
- 134 matches · 9 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.1 (3.85 yellow · 0.16 red)
- Fouls / match
- 25.3 · 6.2 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.34
- Cards to home side
- 47%
Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 90 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.1 | 4.06 | +0.01 | 60 |
| Fouls / match | 24.3 | 24.3 | +0.08 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.1 | 6.0 | +0.05 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.3 | 0.36 | -0.60 | 20 |
| Time added | 7.2 | 6.7 | +0.44 | 72 |
- First card
- 33' on average
- Card timing
- 17% in first 30' · 29% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 46% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.18
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 18' | 8 |
| 2026-08-23 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 22' | 6 |
| 2026-05-10 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 9' | 14 |
| 2026-04-25 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 10' | 7 |
| 2026-04-19 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 13' | 10 |
| 2026-03-15 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 42' | 5 |
| 2026-03-01 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 0 | 22' | 8 |
| 2026-02-22 | 5 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 29' | 11 |
| 2026-01-30 | 3 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 49' | 13 |
| 2026-01-04 | 5 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 13' | 7 |