Rating 6.94 (63th pct) · G+A 2 + 6 (17% of team goals) · 87% of minutes
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 4
Momentum
– LorientToulouse –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Stats
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Season context
| Lorient | at home | Stat | league | away | Toulouse |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.8 #11 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 52.5 #5 |
| 10.8 #15 | – | Shots total | 14.0 | – | 15.0 #6 |
| 3.5 #15 | – | Shots on target | 4.8 | – | 4.5 #9 |
| 2.2 #16 | – | Corners | 4.8 | – | 4.2 #11 |
| 7.8 #17 | – | Fouls | 11.7 | – | 16.8 #1 |
| 0.5 #18 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 1.5 #12 |
| 16.8 #8 | – | Tackles | 16.7 | – | 15.5 #11 |
| 70.2 #17 | – | Attacks | 90.1 | – | 89.0 #7 |
| 34.5 #15 | – | Dangerous attacks | 45.5 | – | 49.0 #5 |
| 499.2 #6 | – | Passes | 480.4 | – | 512.5 #5 |
| 0.5 #18 | – | Yellowcards | 1.4 | – | 1.2 #10 |
| 0.8 #12 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 1.0 #9 |
| – #8 | – | Btts | 55.6 | – | – #8 |
| – #3 | – | Cleansheet | 27.8 | – | – #14 |
| – #2 | – | Draw | 36.1 | – | – #2 |
| 1.2 #15 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 1.8 #4 |
| -0.2 #11 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.2 | – | -0.8 #16 |
| – #8 | – | Failed to score | 27.8 | – | – #2 |
| 1.0 #13 | 1.5 | Goals | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.0 #13 |
| 1.0 #13 | 2.0 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.8 #5 |
| – | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.2 #7 |
| 14.0 #1 | – | Interceptions | 10.8 | – | 9.8 #12 |
| – #9 | – | Lost | 31.9 | – | – #3 |
| 6.9 #10 | – | Rating | 6.9 | – | 6.8 #13 |
| 2.2 #15 | – | Shots blocked | 3.4 | – | 2.5 #11 |
| 7.0 #16 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.1 | – | 10.8 #4 |
| 5.0 #13 | – | Shots off target | 5.8 | – | 8.0 #2 |
| 3.8 #15 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.9 | – | 4.2 #11 |
| – #7 | – | Win | 31.9 | – | – #15 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 36 of 306
- Goals / match
- 2.75 (home 1.39 · away 1.36)
- Home / draw / away
- 28% · 36% · 36%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 56% · 53%
- Cards / match
- 3.03 (reds 0.11)
Trends
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Lineups
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Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Lorient · Last 365 days
Rating 6.97 (64th pct) · G+A 5 + 2 (15% of team goals) · 69% of minutes
Team 1.46 ppg with (26) · 1.12 without (8)
Rating 6.88 (53th pct) · G+A 3 + 1 (9% of team goals) · 72% of minutes
Team 1.48 ppg with (23) · 1.18 without (11)
Toulouse · Last 365 days
Rating 7.28 (97th pct) · G+A 2 + 6 (18% of team goals) · 87% of minutes
Rating 7.31 (99th pct) · G+A 4 + 4 (18% of team goals) · 69% of minutes
Team 1.25 ppg with (24) · 1.11 without (9)
Rating 6.75 (32th pct) · G+A 5 + 4 (20% of team goals) · 47% of minutes
Team 1.56 ppg with (16) · 0.88 without (17)
Absences
Lorient
- injury Mohamed Bamba #12 key player attacker · Ill · 18 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
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Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 4
Venue
- Stadium
- Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir, Lorient
- Capacity
- 18,110
- Surface
- artificial turf
- Attendance
- 13,549
Teams
- Coaches
- Alexandre Dujeux · Jens Askou
- Position
- 8 · 17
- Formation
- 3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Aurélien Petit
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 16.6° (feels 16.4°)
- Wind
- 1.5
- Humidity
- 80%
Where to watch · 144
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  LOSC Lille |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 10 | WDWW |
| 2 |  Monaco |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 10 | WWWD |
| 3 |  Rennes |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | DWWW |
| 4 |  Paris |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | DWWD |
| 5 |  Olympique Lyonnais |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | WDWD |
| 6 |  Strasbourg |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 7 | LWWD |
| 7 |  Paris Saint Germain |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 | DDLW |
| 8 |  Brest |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 | DDWL |
| 9 |  Lorient |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | DLWD |
| 10 |  Lens |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 4 | WLLD |
| 11 |  Angers SCO |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 | LWLD |
| 12 |  Troyes |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 | DWLL |
| 13 |  Olympique Marseille |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | WLLL |
| 14 |  Le Mans |
4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 | DLDD |
| 15 |  Auxerre |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 | LLLW |
| 16 |  Le Havre |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | LDLD |
| 17 |  Toulouse |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 | LDLD |
| 18 |  Nice |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2 | DLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rennes |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | DWWW |
| 2 | Paris |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | DWWD |
| 3 | LOSC Lille |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | WDWW |
| 4 | Olympique Lyonnais |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | WDWD |
| 5 | Strasbourg |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | LWWD |
| 6 | Olympique Marseille |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | WLLL |
| 7 | Lens |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | WLLD |
| 8 | Monaco |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | WWWD |
| 9 | Auxerre |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | LLLW |
| 10 | Le Mans |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DLDD |
| 11 | Nice |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | DLDL |
| 12 | Lorient |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | DLWD |
| 13 | Brest |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | DDWL |
| 14 | Le Havre |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | LDLD |
| 15 | Troyes |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 | DWLL |
| 16 | Paris Saint Germain |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | DDLW |
| 17 | Angers SCO |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LWLD |
| 18 | Toulouse |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | LDLD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | WWWD |
| 2 | LOSC Lille |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | WDWW |
| 3 | Paris Saint Germain |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | DDLW |
| 4 | Angers SCO |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | LWLD |
| 5 | Olympique Lyonnais |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | WDWD |
| 6 | Brest |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | DDWL |
| 7 | Paris |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | DWWD |
| 8 | Lorient |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | DLWD |
| 9 | Rennes |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | DWWW |
| 10 | Strasbourg |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | LWWD |
| 11 | Troyes |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | DWLL |
| 12 | Toulouse |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | LDLD |
| 13 | Le Havre |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | LDLD |
| 14 | Le Mans |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | DLDD |
| 15 | Lens |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | WLLD |
| 16 | Olympique Marseille |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | WLLL |
| 17 | Nice |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | DLDL |
| 18 | Auxerre |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 0 | LLLW |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Lorient
LDLW 1W 1D 2L · 4 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 2 GA 4 · xG 5.49–4.75 · xPts 6.03
- W
A
Lens
1–0
xG 1.22–1.04
FRA L1
- L
H
Troyes
1–2
xG 1.35–1.71
FRA L1
- D
A
Nice
0–0
xG 1.51–1.05
FRA L1
- L
H
Le Havre
0–2
xG 1.41–0.95
FRA L1
LDLW 1W 1D 2L · 4 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 2 GA 4 · xG 5.49–4.75 · xPts 6.03
- W
A
Lens
1–0
xG 1.22–1.04
FRA L1
- L
H
Troyes
1–2
xG 1.35–1.71
FRA L1
- D
A
Nice
0–0
xG 1.51–1.05
FRA L1
- L
H
Le Havre
0–2
xG 1.41–0.95
FRA L1
Toulouse
LDL 0W 1D 2L · 1 pts (0.33 ppg) · GF 2 GA 5 · xG 5.65–5.17 · xPts 4.64
- L
H
LOSC Lille
0–1
xG 2.94–1.17
FRA L1
- D
A
Brest
2–2
xG 0.72–2.93
FRA L1
- L
H
Olympique Lyonnais
0–2
xG 1.99–1.06
FRA L1
LDL 0W 1D 2L · 1 pts (0.33 ppg) · GF 2 GA 5 · xG 5.65–5.17 · xPts 4.64
- L
H
LOSC Lille
0–1
xG 2.94–1.17
FRA L1
- D
A
Brest
2–2
xG 0.72–2.93
FRA L1
- L
H
Olympique Lyonnais
0–2
xG 1.99–1.06
FRA L1
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
39.8%Lorient P 40%27.0%Draw P 29%33.1%Toulouse P 31%
Over / under 2.5
47.3%Over 2.5 P 52%52.7%Under 2.5 P 48%
Both teams to score
52.3%Yes47.7%No
Expected
- Lorient goals
- 1.35 (0–3)
- Toulouse goals
- 1.21 (0–3)
- Corners
- 8.73 (5–13)
- Cards
- 4.06 (2–7)
Earlier: day before — 39.8% / 27.0% / 33.1%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
41.7%Lorient26.4%Draw31.9%Toulouse
Over / under 2.5
50.3%Over 2.549.7%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
55.2%Yes44.8%No
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | draw | 1.308 | 0.801 |
| ou_2_5 | over | 0.749 | 0.556 |
| btts | yes | 0.647 | 0.454 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 29 matches since 2006
Goals 26–31 · 1.97 per match · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 28%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 11–15 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 40%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 5–7 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 40%
Recent meetings
- D Lorient 2–2 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
- L Toulouse 1–0 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
- D Lorient 1–1 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
- L Lorient 1–2 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
- D Toulouse 1–1 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
- L Lorient 0–1 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
- D Toulouse 2–2 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
- D Lorient 1–1 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
- L Toulouse 3–2 Lorient neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
- D Lorient 1–1 Toulouse FRA L1 · Regular Season
| Metric | Lorient all · 4 | Lorient at home · 2 | Toulouse all · 4 | Toulouse away · 2 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Lorient · 4 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.96
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.124
Early press (0-15, level)+0.374
Late push (76+, level)-0.152
Game state
When ahead-0.322
When level-0.144
10 min after conceding-0.522
10 min after scoring+0.963
Situations
At home-0.072
Away-0.182
4+ days rest-0.124
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents-0.022
Evenly matched-0.232
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.214
Conceded when ahead+0.162
Conceded late (76+)-0.064
Ahead vs level -0.18 · Behind vs level +0.28
Toulouse · 4 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.20) · stands out: when level +0.35
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.204
Early press (0-15, level)+0.014
Late push (76+, level)+0.262
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.182
Game state
When level+0.354
When behind+0.033
10 min after conceding-0.264
10 min after scoring+0.392
Situations
At home+0.422
Away-0.012
4+ days rest+0.204
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.422
v mid-tier opponents-0.012
Evenly matched+0.063
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.044
Conceded late (76+)+0.104
Ahead vs level -0.73 · Behind vs level -0.32
Lorient
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 100% | 1.25 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.25 | 1.33 |
Toulouse
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 10
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 100% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.75 | 1.79 | 1.52 |
| Metric | Lorient all · 10 | Lorient at home · 10 | Toulouse all · 10 | Toulouse away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.50 | 0.90 | 1.10 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 3 / 4 | 4 / 3 / 3 | 2 / 3 / 5 | 3 / 2 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 1.40 | 1.60 | 1.30 | 1.60 |
| Goals against / match | 1.30 | 1.40 | 2.10 | 1.80 |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 10% | 30% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 70% | 70% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 60% | 80% | 70% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.33 | 1.34 | 1.35 | 0.97 |
| xG against / match | 1.49 | 1.36 | 1.60 | 1.45 |
| xG difference | -0.15 | -0.02 | -0.25 | -0.49 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.07 | 0.26 | -0.05 | 0.63 |
| xPts / match | 1.33 | 1.35 | 1.31 | 1.13 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.13 | 0.15 | -0.41 | -0.03 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 70% | 30% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | 2.00 | 1.33 | 1.75 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.25 | 0.33 | 0.71 | 0.67 |
| Came back from behind | 20% | 25% | 38% | 29% |
| Leads held | 60% | 57% | 50% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 29% | 40% | 20% | 26% |
| Minutes level | 51% | 45% | 47% | 50% |
| Minutes trailing | 20% | 16% | 33% | 23% |
| First goal (min) | 33 | 30 | 29 | 26 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 46 | 41 | 39 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 57% | 44% | 54% | 31% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 69% | 64% | 57% | 44% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.10 | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 46% | 50% | 43% | 45% |
| Shots | 11.1 | 10.6 | 12.7 | 11.8 |
| On target | 4.2 | 3.8 | 3.9 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 15% | 10% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 61% | 61% | 55% |
| Big chances created | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2.6 | 1.7 |
| Corners | 3.6 | 3.4 | 3.8 | 3.3 |
| xG from set plays | 33% | 38% | 28% | 28% |
| Goals from headers | 0% | 7% | 38% | 25% |
| Pressure index | 9.8 | 10.7 | 10.7 | 9.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 42.1 | 45.7 | 42.8 | 41.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 85% | 82% | 82% |
| Fouls | 8.5 | 8.7 | 16.0 | 15.3 |
| Cards | 0.90 | 1.20 | 2.50 | 2.40 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Lorient
0–15'11
16–30'31
31–45'22
46–60'43
61–75'04
76–90'42
Toulouse
0–15'41
16–30'15
31–45'13
46–60'12
61–75'35
76–90'35
Lorient
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 9 90% | 1.0 | 1.33 | 1.44 | 1.34 | 1.42 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.24 | 2.04 |
Toulouse
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 10
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 6 60% | 1.17 | 1.5 | 2.33 | 1.05 | 1.65 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 40% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.75 | 1.79 | 1.52 |
| Metric | Lorient all · 34 | Lorient at home · 17 | Toulouse all · 33 | Toulouse away · 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 33 | 16 |
| Points per game | 1.38 | 1.65 | 1.21 | 1.19 |
| W / D / L | 11 / 14 / 9 | 7 / 7 / 3 | 10 / 10 / 13 | 5 / 4 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 1.38 | 1.71 | 1.33 | 1.50 |
| Goals against / match | 1.26 | 1.29 | 1.36 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 24% | 18% | 21% | 12% |
| Failed to score | 26% | 6% | 36% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 76% | 48% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 | 41% | 53% | 54% | 62% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.31 | 1.45 | 1.44 | 1.15 |
| xG against / match | 1.37 | 1.24 | 1.23 | 1.41 |
| xG difference | -0.06 | 0.22 | 0.21 | -0.27 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.07 | 0.25 | -0.11 | 0.35 |
| xPts / match | 1.34 | 1.49 | 1.53 | 1.26 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.05 | 0.15 | -0.31 | -0.07 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 65% | 33% | 38% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.12 | 2.00 | 2.36 | 1.83 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.60 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Came back from behind | 47% | 62% | 41% | 42% |
| Leads held | 61% | 58% | 77% | 62% |
| Minutes leading | 27% | 36% | 23% | 24% |
| Minutes level | 51% | 49% | 47% | 45% |
| Minutes trailing | 22% | 14% | 30% | 31% |
| First goal (min) | 37 | 35 | 37 | 34 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 45 | 46 | 40 | 38 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 55% | 48% | 54% | 42% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 63% | 59% | 53% | 42% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.38 | 0.24 | 0.39 | 0.31 |
| Late goals against | 0.29 | 0.24 | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 46% | 47% | 44% | 43% |
| Shots | 11.2 | 11.8 | 13.5 | 10.9 |
| On target | 4.0 | 4.4 | 4.4 | 3.8 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 14% | 10% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 64% | 66% | 63% |
| Big chances created | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| Corners | 3.5 | 3.2 | 4.4 | 3.5 |
| xG from set plays | 30% | 31% | 37% | 37% |
| Goals from headers | 4% | 7% | 18% | 25% |
| Pressure index | 10.3 | 10.9 | 10.2 | 8.6 |
| Dominant minutes | 43.7 | 45.2 | 42.3 | 38.4 |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 84% | 81% | 80% |
| Fouls | 8.9 | 8.6 | 15.1 | 15.6 |
| Cards | 1.32 | 1.24 | 2.45 | 2.69 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Lorient
0–15'45
16–30'76
31–45'105
46–60'99
61–75'48
76–90'1310
Toulouse
0–15'102
16–30'410
31–45'69
46–60'47
61–75'78
76–90'139
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Lorient · 34 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.31
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0734
Early press (0-15, level)-0.0934
Late push (76+, level)-0.2918
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1413
Game state
When ahead-0.0418
When level-0.1334
When behind+0.0217
10 min after conceding-0.2525
10 min after scoring+0.3125
Situations
Against ten men-0.143
At home-0.1217
Away-0.0217
4+ days rest-0.0633
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.2111
v mid-tier opponents-0.1910
v bottom-tier opponents+0.099
As favourite+0.106
Evenly matched+0.0111
As underdog-0.1917
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1334
Conceded when ahead+0.0518
Conceded late (76+)-0.0533
Congested vs rested -0.60 · Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level +0.14
Toulouse · 33 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.09) · stands out: with ten men -0.35
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0933
Early press (0-15, level)-0.0433
Late push (76+, level)-0.2416
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0617
Game state
When ahead-0.2612
When level-0.0533
When behind-0.0222
10 min after conceding-0.2826
10 min after scoring+0.1020
Situations
With ten men-0.354
Against ten men-0.203
At home-0.0217
Away-0.1516
4+ days rest-0.0933
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.1412
v mid-tier opponents-0.0411
v bottom-tier opponents+0.007
As favourite-0.0613
Evenly matched-0.0810
As underdog-0.1210
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1133
Conceded when ahead+0.4312
Conceded late (76+)+0.0630
Ahead vs level -0.20 · Behind vs level +0.03
Lorient
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 30 88% | 1.37 | 1.4 | 1.33 | 1.38 | 1.4 |
| 5-4-1 | 2 6% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.41 | 0.96 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 6% | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.26 | 1.26 |
Toulouse
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 10
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 23 70% | 1.0 | 1.04 | 1.39 | 1.25 | 1.2 |
| 3-4-3 | 6 18% | 2.5 | 2.67 | 1.0 | 1.93 | 1.12 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 12% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.75 | 1.79 | 1.52 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: home +1.9 pts at 8.8h
2.45Home 40% ▲ +3.1 ptsopened 2.643.37Draw 29% · -0.3 ptsopened 3.323.1Away 31% ▼ -2.8 ptsopened 2.83
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.45 ▲ +3.1 | 3.37 · -0.3 | 3.1 ▼ -2.8 | 5m |
| bet365 | 2.3 ▲ +4.4 | 3.3 · -0.2 | 3.1 ▼ -4.2 | 5m |
| Betfair | 2.38 ▲ +2.7 | 3.25 ▲ +1.0 | 3.0 ▼ -3.7 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 2.3 ▲ +4.0 | 3.5 ▼ -1.5 | 2.9 ▼ -2.6 | 5m |
| Coral | 2.37 ▲ +3.5 | 3.3 · -0.0 | 3.0 ▼ -3.5 | 5m |
| Ladbrokes | 2.37 ▲ +3.1 | 3.3 · -0.3 | 2.9 ▼ -2.8 | 5m |
| Unibet | 2.55 ▲ +1.3 | 3.2 · -0.3 | 2.75 ▼ -1.1 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 2.3 ▲ +4.3 | 3.1 ▼ -1.4 | 2.9 ▼ -2.8 | 5m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: no -1.3 pts at 3.0d
1.66Yes 56% ▲ +2.5 ptsopened 1.752.1No 44% ▼ -2.5 ptsopened 2.0
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.66 ▲ +2.5 | 2.1 ▼ -2.5 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.6 ▲ +5.7 | 2.25 ▼ -5.7 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.65 ▲ +1.9 | 2.1 ▼ -1.9 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.74 · +0.7 | 2.0 · -0.7 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 1.67 ▲ +2.3 | 2.15 ▼ -2.3 | 5m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: over +3.1 pts at 8.8h
1.88Over 52% ▲ +3.8 ptsopened 2.032.02Under 48% ▼ -3.8 ptsopened 1.87
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.88 ▲ +3.8 | 2.02 ▼ -3.8 | 5m |
| bet365 | 1.8 ▲ +5.3 | 2.0 ▼ -5.3 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.85 ▲ +4.4 | 1.91 ▼ -4.4 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.79 ▲ +3.1 | 1.88 ▼ -3.1 | 5m |
| Unibet | 2.0 ▲ +1.2 | 1.77 ▼ -1.2 | 5m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.3Home 41% P 40%3.3Draw 29% P 29%3.1Away 30% P 31%
Double Chance
1.36Lorient or Draw 34%1.33Lorient or Toulouse 35%1.53Draw or Toulouse 31%
Draw No Bet
1.611 58%2.22 42%
Both Teams To Score
1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.8Over 53% P 52%2.0Under 47% P 48%
Total Corners
8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%
Number of Cards
3.51.83Over 50% P 46%1.83Under 50% P 54%
4.52.2Over 42% P 31%1.61Under 58% P 69%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 30–32.5% · 800 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 40% | 39% | 39% | -0.2 |
| Draw | 29% | 30% | 31% | +1.5 |
| Away | 31% | 31% | 30% | -1.3 |
In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 44%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 51% | 51% | -0.1 |
Aurélien Petit
- Career
- 17 matches · 2 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.29 (3.94 yellow · 0.29 red)
- Fouls / match
- 27.5 · 6.4 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.65
- Cards to home side
- 56%
Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 2 matches)
Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 1.5 cards, 26.0 fouls per match.
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 43' | 8 |