Rating 7.33 (88th pct) · G+A 3 + 1 (57% of team goals) · 92% of minutes
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 4
Momentum
– Le MansLens –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Le Mans | at home | Stat | league | away | Lens |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.0 #14 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 51.5 #6 |
| 10.0 #18 | – | Shots total | 14.0 | – | 15.5 #5 |
| 4.2 #11 | – | Shots on target | 4.8 | – | 7.0 #1 |
| 3.0 #14 | – | Corners | 4.8 | – | 6.8 #2 |
| 14.2 #4 | – | Fouls | 11.7 | – | 11.5 #9 |
| 2.0 #8 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 2.2 #5 |
| 17.0 #7 | – | Tackles | 16.7 | – | 17.5 #5 |
| 85.8 #8 | – | Attacks | 90.1 | – | 91.0 #6 |
| 27.0 #18 | – | Dangerous attacks | 45.5 | – | 46.8 #7 |
| 392.0 #16 | – | Passes | 480.4 | – | 474.8 #8 |
| 1.8 #4 | – | Yellowcards | 1.4 | – | 2.2 #1 |
| 0.2 #1 | – | Redcards | 0.2 | – | – |
| 1.2 #6 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 1.2 #6 |
| – #1 | – | Btts | 55.6 | – | – #2 |
| – #14 | – | Cleansheet | 27.8 | – | – #14 |
| – #1 | – | Draw | 36.1 | – | – #10 |
| 1.6 #8 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 2.2 #2 |
| 0.1 #4 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.2 | – | -0.2 #9 |
| – #13 | – | Failed to score | 27.8 | – | – #8 |
| 1.8 #4 | 2.0 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2.0 #2 |
| 2.0 #3 | 2.0 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.8 #5 |
| 0.5 #4 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.2 #7 |
| 11.5 #6 | – | Interceptions | 10.8 | – | 14.0 #1 |
| – #9 | – | Lost | 31.9 | – | – #3 |
| 0.2 #3 | – | Penalties scored | 0.3 | – | 0.8 #1 |
| 6.7 #16 | – | Rating | 6.9 | – | 6.9 #11 |
| 2.0 #16 | – | Shots blocked | 3.4 | – | 3.2 #9 |
| 6.5 #17 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.1 | – | 11.0 #3 |
| 3.8 #16 | – | Shots off target | 5.8 | – | 5.2 #11 |
| 3.5 #17 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.9 | – | 4.5 #10 |
| – #15 | – | Win | 31.9 | – | – #7 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 36 of 306
- Goals / match
- 2.75 (home 1.39 · away 1.36)
- Home / draw / away
- 28% · 36% · 36%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 56% · 53%
- Cards / match
- 3.03 (reds 0.11)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Le Mans · Last 365 days
Rating 7.14 (88th pct) · G+A 2 + 2 (57% of team goals) · 87% of minutes
Rating 7.15 · G+A 1 + 1 (29% of team goals) · 68% of minutes
Lens · Last 365 days
Rating 7.42 (94th pct) · G+A 14 + 8 (31% of team goals) · 85% of minutes
Rating 7.06 (90th pct) · G+A 1 + 7 (11% of team goals) · 96% of minutes
Rating 6.99 (86th pct) · G+A 4 + 0 (6% of team goals) · 75% of minutes
Team 1.93 ppg with (27) · 2.38 without (8)
Commentary
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In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 4
Venue
- Stadium
- Stade de La Pincenardière, Mulsanne
- Capacity
- 25,000
- Surface
- artificial turf
- Attendance
- 22,622
Teams
- Coaches
- Patrick Videira · Dino Toppmöller
- Position
- 15 · 11
- Formation
- 3-1-4-2 · 3-4-2-1
Referee
Hakim Ben El Hadj
Weather
- Conditions
- broken clouds
- Temperature
- 28.9° (feels 27.7°)
- Wind
- 3.1
- Humidity
- 28%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  LOSC Lille |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 10 | WDWW |
| 2 |  Monaco |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 10 | WWWD |
| 3 |  Rennes |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | DWWW |
| 4 |  Paris |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | DWWD |
| 5 |  Olympique Lyonnais |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | WDWD |
| 6 |  Strasbourg |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 7 | LWWD |
| 7 |  Paris Saint Germain |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 | DDLW |
| 8 |  Brest |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 | DDWL |
| 9 |  Lorient |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | DLWD |
| 10 |  Lens |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 4 | WLLD |
| 11 |  Angers SCO |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 | LWLD |
| 12 |  Troyes |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 | DWLL |
| 13 |  Olympique Marseille |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | WLLL |
| 14 |  Le Mans |
4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 | DLDD |
| 15 |  Auxerre |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 | LLLW |
| 16 |  Le Havre |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | LDLD |
| 17 |  Toulouse |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 | LDLD |
| 18 |  Nice |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2 | DLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rennes |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | DWWW |
| 2 | Paris |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | DWWD |
| 3 | LOSC Lille |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | WDWW |
| 4 | Olympique Lyonnais |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | WDWD |
| 5 | Strasbourg |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | LWWD |
| 6 | Olympique Marseille |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | WLLL |
| 7 | Lens |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | WLLD |
| 8 | Monaco |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | WWWD |
| 9 | Auxerre |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | LLLW |
| 10 | Le Mans |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DLDD |
| 11 | Nice |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | DLDL |
| 12 | Lorient |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | DLWD |
| 13 | Brest |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | DDWL |
| 14 | Le Havre |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | LDLD |
| 15 | Troyes |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 | DWLL |
| 16 | Paris Saint Germain |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | DDLW |
| 17 | Angers SCO |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LWLD |
| 18 | Toulouse |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | LDLD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | WWWD |
| 2 | LOSC Lille |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | WDWW |
| 3 | Paris Saint Germain |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | DDLW |
| 4 | Angers SCO |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | LWLD |
| 5 | Olympique Lyonnais |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | WDWD |
| 6 | Brest |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | DDWL |
| 7 | Paris |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | DWWD |
| 8 | Lorient |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | DLWD |
| 9 | Rennes |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | DWWW |
| 10 | Strasbourg |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | LWWD |
| 11 | Troyes |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | DWLL |
| 12 | Toulouse |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | LDLD |
| 13 | Le Havre |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | LDLD |
| 14 | Le Mans |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | DLDD |
| 15 | Lens |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | WLLD |
| 16 | Olympique Marseille |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | WLLL |
| 17 | Nice |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | DLDL |
| 18 | Auxerre |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 0 | LLLW |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Le Mans
DLD 0W 2D 1L · 2 pts (0.67 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 3.92–6.72 · xPts 2.78
- D
A
Nice
1–1
xG 0.67–0.64
FRA L1
- L
A
Rennes
2–3
xG 2.51–3.04
FRA L1
- D
H
Brest
2–2
xG 0.73–3.04
FRA L1
DLD 0W 2D 1L · 2 pts (0.67 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 3.92–6.72 · xPts 2.78
- D
A
Nice
1–1
xG 0.67–0.64
FRA L1
- L
A
Rennes
2–3
xG 2.51–3.04
FRA L1
- D
H
Brest
2–2
xG 0.73–3.04
FRA L1
Lens
WWLLW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 13 GA 7 · xG 10.9–8.93 · xPts 7.77
- W
A
Slavia Praha
3–2
xG 1.49–1.76
UEFA CL - L
H
Lorient
0–1
xG 1.04–1.22
FRA L1
- L
A
Strasbourg
1–2
xG 2.63–1.86
FRA L1
- W
H
Auxerre
5–2
xG 3.89–1.81
FRA L1
- W
A
Olympique Lyonnais
4–0
xG 1.84–2.28
FRA L1
WWLLW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 13 GA 7 · xG 10.9–8.93 · xPts 7.77
- W
A
Slavia Praha
3–2
xG 1.49–1.76
UEFA CL
- L
H
Lorient
0–1
xG 1.04–1.22
FRA L1
- L
A
Strasbourg
1–2
xG 2.63–1.86
FRA L1
- W
H
Auxerre
5–2
xG 3.89–1.81
FRA L1
- W
A
Olympique Lyonnais
4–0
xG 1.84–2.28
FRA L1
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
24.2%Le Mans P 19%21.2%Draw P 23%54.6%Lens P 59%
Over / under 2.5
67.7%Over 2.5 P 64%32.3%Under 2.5 P 36%
Both teams to score
65.7%Yes34.3%No
Expected
- Le Mans goals
- 1.37 (0–3)
- Lens goals
- 2.12 (0–4)
- Corners
- 10.73 (6–16)
- Cards
- 4.6 (2–8)
Earlier: day before — 24.2% / 21.2% / 54.6%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
30.8%Le Mans26.6%Draw42.6%Lens
Over / under 2.5
49.5%Over 2.550.5%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
53.8%Yes46.2%No
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | draw | 1.552 | 0.978 |
| ou_2_5 | over | 0.391 | 0.209 |
| btts | yes | 0.42 | 0.235 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 9 matches since 2005
Goals 13–12 · 2.78 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 56%
Last 10 · 9 matches
Goals 13–12 · 2.78 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 56%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 12–7 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 100%
Recent meetings
- D Le Mans 2–2 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
- L Lens 2–1 Le Mans FRA L1 · Regular Season
- W Le Mans 3–0 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
- W Le Mans 3–2 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
- W Lens 1–3 Le Mans FRA L1 · Regular Season
- L Lens 2–0 Le Mans neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
- D Le Mans 1–1 Lens neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
- D Le Mans 0–0 Lens neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
- L Lens 2–0 Le Mans neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
| Metric | Le Mans all · 4 | Le Mans at home · 2 | Lens all · 4 | Lens away · 2 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Le Mans · 4 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.17) · stands out: when ahead -0.41
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.174
Early press (0-15, level)-0.104
Late push (76+, level)-0.354
Game state
When ahead-0.413
When level-0.164
When behind-0.012
10 min after conceding-0.234
10 min after scoring-0.054
Situations
At home-0.242
Away-0.112
4+ days rest-0.174
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.222
As underdog-0.073
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.284
Conceded when ahead+0.393
Conceded late (76+)+0.294
Ahead vs level -0.25 · Behind vs level +0.15
Lens · 5 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: when ahead -0.48
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.015
Early press (0-15, level)-0.195
Late push (76+, level)+0.023
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.043
Game state
When ahead-0.483
When level+0.055
When behind+0.274
10 min after conceding-0.155
10 min after scoring-0.234
Situations
Against ten men+0.012
At home-0.112
Away+0.083
4+ days rest-0.044
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.073
v bottom-tier opponents-0.102
As favourite-0.054
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.115
Conceded when ahead+0.513
Conceded late (76+)-0.365
Congested vs rested +0.22 · Ahead vs level -0.54 · Behind vs level +0.22
Le Mans
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 4 · scoring 4 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-1-4-2 | 3 75% | 0.67 | 1.67 | 2.0 | 1.87 | 1.56 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 25% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.73 | 3.04 |
Lens
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 100% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.75 | 2.15 | 1.83 |
| Metric | Le Mans all · 4 | Le Mans at home · 2 | Lens all · 10 | Lens away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | – | – | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | – | – | 1.50 | 1.30 |
| W / D / L | – | – | 4 / 3 / 3 | 3 / 4 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | – | – | 2.00 | 2.10 |
| Goals against / match | – | – | 1.50 | 1.60 |
| Clean sheets | – | – | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to score | – | – | 20% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | – | – | 60% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | – | – | 60% | 80% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | – | – | 2.02 | 1.94 |
| xG against / match | – | – | 1.51 | 1.55 |
| xG difference | – | – | 0.51 | 0.40 |
| Finishing vs xG | – | – | -0.02 | 0.16 |
| xPts / match | – | – | 1.58 | 1.53 |
| Points vs xPts | – | – | -0.08 | -0.23 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | – | – | 50% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | – | – | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| PPG when conceding first | – | – | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Came back from behind | – | – | 50% | 57% |
| Leads held | – | – | 67% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | – | – | 21% | 19% |
| Minutes level | – | – | 53% | 50% |
| Minutes trailing | – | – | 25% | 31% |
| First goal (min) | – | – | 48 | 48 |
| First goal conceded (min) | – | – | 46 | 38 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | – | – | 70% | 67% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | – | – | 60% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | – | – | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Late goals against | – | – | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | – | – | 53% | 52% |
| Shots | – | – | 18.2 | 18.1 |
| On target | – | – | 6.6 | 5.4 |
| Shot conversion | – | – | 11% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | – | – | 65% | 69% |
| Big chances created | – | – | 4.1 | 3.5 |
| Corners | – | – | 7.2 | 7.2 |
| xG from set plays | – | – | 23% | 21% |
| Goals from headers | – | – | 21% | 14% |
| Pressure index | – | – | 15.9 | 15.0 |
| Dominant minutes | – | – | 57.1 | 52.7 |
| Pass accuracy | – | – | 84% | 84% |
| Fouls | – | – | 11.0 | 10.2 |
| Cards | – | – | 2.60 | 2.50 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Lens
0–15'11
16–30'12
31–45'43
46–60'63
61–75'32
76–90'54
Le Mans
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 4 · scoring 4 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-1-4-2 | 3 75% | 0.67 | 1.67 | 2.0 | 1.87 | 1.56 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 25% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.73 | 3.04 |
Lens
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 10 100% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2.02 | 1.51 |
| Metric | Le Mans all · 4 | Le Mans at home · 2 | Lens all · 35 | Lens away · 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | – | – | 35 | 18 |
| Points per game | – | – | 2.03 | 1.61 |
| W / D / L | – | – | 22 / 5 / 8 | 8 / 5 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | – | – | 2.06 | 1.94 |
| Goals against / match | – | – | 1.11 | 1.39 |
| Clean sheets | – | – | 34% | 22% |
| Failed to score | – | – | 14% | 17% |
| Both teams scored | – | – | 54% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | – | – | 69% | 78% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | – | – | 1.97 | 1.80 |
| xG against / match | – | – | 1.35 | 1.59 |
| xG difference | – | – | 0.62 | 0.22 |
| Finishing vs xG | – | – | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| xPts / match | – | – | 1.71 | 1.46 |
| Points vs xPts | – | – | 0.32 | 0.15 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | – | – | 60% | 50% |
| PPG when scoring first | – | – | 2.62 | 2.44 |
| PPG when conceding first | – | – | 1.15 | 0.75 |
| Came back from behind | – | – | 47% | 44% |
| Leads held | – | – | 88% | 80% |
| Minutes leading | – | – | 34% | 23% |
| Minutes level | – | – | 48% | 54% |
| Minutes trailing | – | – | 18% | 23% |
| First goal (min) | – | – | 40 | 46 |
| First goal conceded (min) | – | – | 40 | 43 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | – | – | 62% | 63% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | – | – | 54% | 52% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | – | – | 0.46 | 0.56 |
| Late goals against | – | – | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | – | – | 52% | 52% |
| Shots | – | – | 16.6 | 16.2 |
| On target | – | – | 5.8 | 5.3 |
| Shot conversion | – | – | 12% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | – | – | 69% | 70% |
| Big chances created | – | – | 3.8 | 3.6 |
| Corners | – | – | 6.2 | 6.5 |
| xG from set plays | – | – | 23% | 22% |
| Goals from headers | – | – | 21% | 17% |
| Pressure index | – | – | 16.8 | 15.8 |
| Dominant minutes | – | – | 55.8 | 52.1 |
| Pass accuracy | – | – | 84% | 84% |
| Fouls | – | – | 12.6 | 12.3 |
| Cards | – | – | 2.31 | 2.72 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Lens
0–15'66
16–30'76
31–45'146
46–60'185
61–75'119
76–90'167
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Le Mans · 4 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.17) · stands out: when ahead -0.41
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.174
Early press (0-15, level)-0.104
Late push (76+, level)-0.354
Game state
When ahead-0.413
When level-0.164
When behind-0.012
10 min after conceding-0.234
10 min after scoring-0.054
Situations
At home-0.242
Away-0.112
4+ days rest-0.174
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.222
As underdog-0.073
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.284
Conceded when ahead+0.393
Conceded late (76+)+0.294
Ahead vs level -0.25 · Behind vs level +0.15
Lens · 35 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.32) · stands out: against ten men +0.59
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.3235
Early press (0-15, level)+0.4535
Late push (76+, level)+0.1412
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.349
Game state
When ahead+0.2025
When level+0.3035
When behind+0.5415
10 min after conceding+0.1822
10 min after scoring+0.5430
Situations
With ten men+0.095
Against ten men+0.597
At home+0.2817
Away+0.3518
4+ days rest+0.3234
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.058
v mid-tier opponents+0.3914
v bottom-tier opponents+0.339
As favourite+0.4024
Evenly matched+0.087
As underdog+0.214
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1335
Conceded when ahead-0.1625
Conceded late (76+)-0.2928
Congested vs rested -0.14 · Ahead vs level -0.10 · Behind vs level +0.24
Le Mans
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 4 · scoring 4 · conceding 4
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-1-4-2 | 3 75% | 0.67 | 1.67 | 2.0 | 1.87 | 1.56 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 25% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.73 | 3.04 |
Lens
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 35 100% | 2.03 | 2.06 | 1.11 | 1.97 | 1.35 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: away +1.1 pts at 6.2h
5.11Home 19% ▼ -1.1 ptsopened 4.814.28Draw 23% · -0.3 ptsopened 4.211.65Away 59% ▲ +1.5 ptsopened 1.69
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 5.11 ▼ -1.1 | 4.28 · -0.3 | 1.65 ▲ +1.5 | 5m |
| bet365 | 4.75 ▲ +1.4 | 4.33 ▼ -1.3 | 1.61 · -0.1 | 5m |
| Betfair | 4.6 · +0.3 | 4.0 ▼ -1.7 | 1.6 ▲ +1.4 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 4.8 · -0.3 | 4.33 ▼ -1.8 | 1.6 ▲ +2.2 | 5m |
| Coral | 4.6 ▲ +1.5 | 4.2 · -0.2 | 1.67 ▼ -1.2 | 5m |
| Ladbrokes | 4.6 ▲ +1.0 | 4.2 · -0.9 | 1.67 · -0.1 | 5m |
| Unibet | 4.9 · -0.1 | 3.95 · -0.1 | 1.62 · +0.2 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 4.6 · -0.2 | 4.0 · -0.9 | 1.62 ▲ +1.1 | 5m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: yes +1.9 pts at 5.2h
1.57Yes 59% ▲ +4.2 ptsopened 1.72.25No 41% ▼ -4.2 ptsopened 2.05
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.57 ▲ +4.2 | 2.25 ▼ -4.2 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.44 ▲ +4.6 | 2.5 ▼ -4.6 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.5 ▲ +5.5 | 2.4 ▼ -5.5 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.71 · +0.4 | 2.04 · -0.4 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 1.55 ▲ +6.4 | 2.45 ▼ -6.4 | 5m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: over +2.1 pts at 2.2h · late move: under -1.4 pts inside the final hour
1.51Over 64% ▲ +7.2 ptsopened 1.72.68Under 36% ▼ -7.2 ptsopened 2.23
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.51 ▲ +7.2 | 2.68 ▼ -7.2 | 5m |
| bet365 | 1.53 ▲ +5.0 | 2.5 ▼ -5.0 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.45 ▲ +5.9 | 2.55 ▼ -5.9 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.47 ▲ +6.4 | 2.44 ▼ -6.4 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.71 · +0.3 | 2.08 · -0.3 | 5m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
4.75Home 20% P 19%4.33Draw 22% P 23%1.61Away 58% P 59%
Double Chance
2.2Le Mans or Draw 21%1.2Le Mans or Lens 39%1.18Draw or Lens 40%
Draw No Bet
3.751 25%1.252 75%
Both Teams To Score
1.57Yes 59%2.25No 41%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.53Over 62% P 64%2.5Under 38% P 36%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.629 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%
Number of Cards
3.51.61Over 58% P 57%2.2Under 42% P 43%
4.52.1Over 44% P 39%1.66Under 56% P 61%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 17.5–20% · away 57.5–60% · 326 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 19% | 19% | 15% | -3.2 |
| Draw | 23% | 23% | 21% | -1.4 |
| Away | 59% | 59% | 63% | +4.6 |
In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 59%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 64% | 63% | -0.4 |
Hakim Ben El Hadj
- Career
- 153 matches · 13 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.07 (3.86 yellow · 0.12 red)
- Fouls / match
- 25.9 · 5.7 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.26
- Cards to home side
- 48%
Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 70 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.06 | 4.06 | -0.07 | 56 |
| Fouls / match | 24.5 | 24.3 | +0.15 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.2 | 6.0 | +0.23 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.24 | 0.36 | -1.14 | 8 |
| Time added | 6.9 | 6.7 | +0.23 | 52 |
- First card
- 32' on average
- Card timing
- 17% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 49% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.29
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | 5 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 28' | 12 |
| 2026-05-10 | 5 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 2' | 14 |
| 2026-04-12 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 1 | 48' | 7 |
| 2026-03-21 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 6' | 11 |
| 2026-03-01 | 8 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 19' | 6 |
| 2026-02-14 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 12' | 5 |
| 2026-01-25 | 6 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 9' | 10 |
| 2026-01-04 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 47' | 8 |
| 2025-12-07 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 53' | 6 |
| 2025-11-22 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 1 | 19' | 7 |