KickoffDNA
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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 4

Momentum

Le HavreAngers SCO
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
4

Venue

Stadium
Stade Océane, Le Havre
Capacity
25,181
Surface
grass
Attendance
15,850

Teams

Coaches
Didier Digard · Stéphane Gilli
Position
16 · 12
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Ruddy Buquet

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
18.0° (feels 18.0°)
Wind
2.6
Humidity
83%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 LOSC Lille 4310 725 10 WDWW
2 Monaco 4310 624 10 WWWD
3 Rennes 4310 853 10 DWWW
4 Paris 4220 624 8 DWWD
5 Olympique Lyonnais 4220 624 8 WDWD
6 Strasbourg 4211 981 7 LWWD
7 Paris Saint Germain 4121 660 5 DDLW
8 Brest 4121 660 5 DDWL
9 Lorient 4121 440 5 DLWD
10 Lens 4112 871 4 WLLD
11 Angers SCO 4112 45-1 4 LWLD
12 Troyes 4112 49-5 4 DWLL
13 Olympique Marseille 4103 660 3 WLLL
14 Le Mans 4031 78-1 3 DLDD
15 Auxerre 4103 511-6 3 LLLW
16 Le Havre 4022 24-2 2 LDLD
17 Toulouse 4022 47-3 2 LDLD
18 Nice 4022 15-4 2 DLDL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Le Havre

WLDL 1W 1D 2L · 4 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 4 · xG 5.05–7.19 · xPts 4.05

  • L H Brest 1–2 xG 2.39–2.59 FRA L1
  • D A Olympique Lyonnais 1–1 xG 0.74–1.71 FRA L1
  • L H Monaco 0–1 xG 0.97–1.47 FRA L1
  • W A Lorient 2–0 xG 0.95–1.41 FRA L1

Angers SCO

DLWL 1W 1D 2L · 4 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 6.46–6.2 · xPts 5.65

  • L H Rennes 1–2 xG 2.01–1.72 FRA L1
  • W A Auxerre 3–1 xG 1.65–1.59 FRA L1
  • L H LOSC Lille 0–2 xG 2.28–0.96 FRA L1
  • D A Brest 1–1 xG 0.52–1.93 FRA L1

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·

Match result

42.0%Le Havre P 36%28.3%Draw P 29%29.7%Angers SCO P 35%

Over / under 2.5

41.5%Over 2.5 P 50%58.5%Under 2.5 P 50%

Both teams to score

47.4%Yes52.6%No

Expected

Le Havre goals
1.3 (0–3)
Angers SCO goals
1.04 (0–2)
Corners
10.31 (6–15)
Cards
3.95 (1–7)

Earlier: day before — 42.0% / 28.3% / 29.7%

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

32.3%Le Havre26.6%Draw41.0%Angers SCO

Over / under 2.5

46.7%Over 2.553.3%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

51.1%Yes48.9%No

Scored

MarketObservedLog lossBrier
1x2draw1.2620.779
bttsno0.6420.449
ou_2_5under0.5360.345

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 5 matches since 2024

Le Havre 13 draws1 Angers SCO

Goals 4–4 · 1.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 20%

Last 10 · 5 matches

Le Havre 13 draws1 Angers SCO

Goals 4–4 · 1.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 20%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Le Havre 13 draws1 Angers SCO

Goals 4–4 · 1.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • D Le Havre 0–0 Angers SCO FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Angers SCO 1–1 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Le Havre 2–1 Angers SCO FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Angers SCO 1–1 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Le Havre 0–1 Angers SCO FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricLe Havre all · 4Le Havre at home · 3Angers SCO all · 4Angers SCO away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Le Havre · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: at home +0.15

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.144
Early press (0-15, level)-0.064
Late push (76+, level)-0.302
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.102

Game state

When level+0.084
When behind+0.212
10 min after conceding+0.113
10 min after scoring+0.212

Situations

At home+0.153
4+ days rest+0.144

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.102
Evenly matched+0.182
As underdog+0.102

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.054
Conceded late (76+)-0.364

Ahead vs level -0.02 · Behind vs level +0.12

Angers SCO · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.52

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.044
Early press (0-15, level)+0.524
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.412

Game state

When level+0.304
When behind-0.122
10 min after conceding-0.173
10 min after scoring+0.122

Situations

At home-0.052
Away+0.122
4+ days rest+0.044

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.122
As underdog+0.013

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.054
Conceded late (76+)-0.274

Ahead vs level -0.51 · Behind vs level -0.42

Le Havre

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-13 75%0.330.671.331.371.93
4-3-31 25%1.00.00.01.690.63

Angers SCO

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 100%1.01.01.251.641.49

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: home -3.7 pts at 2.1d

2.67Home 36% ▼ -7.0 ptsopened 2.253.32Draw 29% · +0.5 ptsopened 3.42.75Away 35% ▲ +6.5 ptsopened 3.4
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 30%35%40%45%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle2.67 ▼ -7.03.32 · +0.52.75 ▲ +6.55m
bet3652.6 ▼ -6.03.4 ▼ -1.32.62 ▲ +7.45m
Betfair2.63 ▼ -8.23.25 · +0.52.7 ▲ +7.75m
BetVictor2.55 ▼ -5.63.5 ▼ -1.72.63 ▲ +7.35m
Coral2.6 ▼ -6.13.3 · +0.42.75 ▲ +5.75m
Ladbrokes2.5 ▼ -5.23.3 · -0.12.7 ▲ +5.35m
Unibet2.45 ▼ -4.23.15 · +0.12.9 ▲ +4.05m
WilliamHill2.5 ▼ -5.13.1 · -0.12.7 ▲ +5.25m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.6Home 36% P 36%3.4Draw 28% P 29%2.62Away 36% P 35%

Double Chance

1.44Le Havre or Draw 33%1.3Le Havre or Angers 36%1.5Draw or Angers 31%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 50%1.9Under 50% P 50%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54% P 51%2.0Under 46% P 49%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 32.5–35% · 702 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home36%36%35%-1.6
Draw29%30%32%+2.1
Away35%34%33%-0.6

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 46%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.550%51%51%-0.1

Ruddy Buquet

Career
355 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
4.37 (4.08 yellow · 0.17 red)
Fouls / match
20.3 · 3.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.31
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 76 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.334.06+0.4880
Fouls / match24.024.3-0.08
Fouls per card5.56.0-0.66 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.350.36-0.0736
Time added7.16.7+0.3764
First card
33' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.26

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-09-04 40 180 26'11
2026-08-21 31 181 48'9
2026-05-17 40 210 49'9
2026-05-02 20 250 62'9
2026-04-25 30 260 52'11
2026-04-19 10 220 44'6
2026-04-05 · Angers SCO 30 270 46'7
2026-03-06 40 180 45'16
2026-03-01 40 210 20'9
2026-02-22 30 231 54'13