Rating 7.23 (86th pct) · G+A 9 + 9 (41% of team goals) · 92% of minutes
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 4
Momentum
– BrestPSG –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Brest | at home | Stat | league | away | Paris Saint Germain |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.5 #12 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 67.2 #1 |
| 22.0 #1 | – | Shots total | 14.0 | – | 18.8 #2 |
| 7.0 #1 | – | Shots on target | 4.8 | – | 6.5 #3 |
| 6.2 #5 | – | Corners | 4.8 | – | 5.8 #6 |
| 15.5 #2 | – | Fouls | 11.7 | – | 7.2 #18 |
| 2.5 #3 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 3.2 #1 |
| 18.5 #4 | – | Tackles | 16.7 | – | 16.8 #8 |
| 83.0 #11 | – | Attacks | 90.1 | – | 137.8 #1 |
| 40.2 #12 | – | Dangerous attacks | 45.5 | – | 82.8 #1 |
| 407.2 #14 | – | Passes | 480.4 | – | 737.5 #1 |
| 1.2 #10 | – | Yellowcards | 1.4 | – | 1.5 #7 |
| 1.0 #9 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 1.5 #1 |
| – #2 | – | Btts | 55.6 | – | – #2 |
| – #14 | – | Cleansheet | 27.8 | – | – #6 |
| – #2 | – | Draw | 36.1 | – | – #2 |
| 2.5 #1 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 1.6 #10 |
| -1.0 #18 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.2 | – | -0.1 #6 |
| – #8 | – | Failed to score | 27.8 | – | – #13 |
| 1.5 #6 | 1.0 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.5 #6 |
| 1.5 #7 | 1.5 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.5 #7 |
| 0.5 #4 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.5 #4 |
| 13.5 #3 | – | Interceptions | 10.8 | – | 8.8 #15 |
| – #9 | – | Lost | 31.9 | – | – #9 |
| 0.2 #3 | – | Penalties scored | 0.3 | – | – |
| 6.9 #6 | – | Rating | 6.9 | – | 7.0 #2 |
| 4.5 #4 | – | Shots blocked | 3.4 | – | 5.2 #2 |
| 14.8 #1 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.1 | – | 8.2 #11 |
| 10.5 #1 | – | Shots off target | 5.8 | – | 7.0 #3 |
| 7.2 #2 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.9 | – | 10.5 #1 |
| – #7 | – | Win | 31.9 | – | – #7 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 36 of 306
- Goals / match
- 2.75 (home 1.39 · away 1.36)
- Home / draw / away
- 28% · 36% · 36%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 56% · 53%
- Cards / match
- 3.03 (reds 0.11)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Brest · Last 365 days
Rating 6.91 (58th pct) · G+A 2 + 1 (7% of team goals) · 96% of minutes
Rating 7.05 (83th pct) · G+A 7 + 4 (25% of team goals) · 58% of minutes
Team 1.64 ppg with (22) · 0.58 without (12)
Paris Saint Germain · Last 365 days
Rating 7.52 (100th pct) · G+A 7 + 7 (12% of team goals) · 80% of minutes
Team 2.02 ppg with (42) · 2.2 without (10)
Rating 7.42 (92th pct) · G+A 18 + 11 (24% of team goals) · 59% of minutes
Team 2.06 ppg with (35) · 2.06 without (17)
Rating 7.35 (100th pct) · G+A 5 + 7 (10% of team goals) · 56% of minutes
Team 2.1 ppg with (30) · 2.0 without (22)
Absences
Brest
- injury Brendan Chardonnet #4 key player defender · Calf Injury · 3 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 4
Venue
- Stadium
- Stade Francis-Le Ble, Brest
- Capacity
- 15,097
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 14,944
Teams
- Coaches
- Julien Lachuer · Luis Enrique
- Position
- 7 · 14
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Referee
Willy Delajod
Weather
- Conditions
- scattered clouds
- Temperature
- 16.2° (feels 16.2°)
- Wind
- 2.1
- Humidity
- 88%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  LOSC Lille |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 10 | WDWW |
| 2 |  Monaco |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 10 | WWWD |
| 3 |  Rennes |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | DWWW |
| 4 |  Paris |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | DWWD |
| 5 |  Olympique Lyonnais |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | WDWD |
| 6 |  Strasbourg |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 7 | LWWD |
| 7 |  Paris Saint Germain |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 | DDLW |
| 8 |  Brest |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 | DDWL |
| 9 |  Lorient |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | DLWD |
| 10 |  Lens |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 4 | WLLD |
| 11 |  Angers SCO |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 | LWLD |
| 12 |  Troyes |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 | DWLL |
| 13 |  Olympique Marseille |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | WLLL |
| 14 |  Le Mans |
4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 | DLDD |
| 15 |  Auxerre |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 | LLLW |
| 16 |  Le Havre |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | LDLD |
| 17 |  Toulouse |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 | LDLD |
| 18 |  Nice |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2 | DLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rennes |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | DWWW |
| 2 | Paris |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | DWWD |
| 3 | LOSC Lille |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | WDWW |
| 4 | Olympique Lyonnais |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | WDWD |
| 5 | Strasbourg |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | LWWD |
| 6 | Olympique Marseille |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | WLLL |
| 7 | Lens |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | WLLD |
| 8 | Monaco |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | WWWD |
| 9 | Auxerre |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | LLLW |
| 10 | Le Mans |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DLDD |
| 11 | Nice |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | DLDL |
| 12 | Lorient |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | DLWD |
| 13 | Brest |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | DDWL |
| 14 | Le Havre |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | LDLD |
| 15 | Troyes |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 | DWLL |
| 16 | Paris Saint Germain |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | DDLW |
| 17 | Angers SCO |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LWLD |
| 18 | Toulouse |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | LDLD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | WWWD |
| 2 | LOSC Lille |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | WDWW |
| 3 | Paris Saint Germain |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | DDLW |
| 4 | Angers SCO |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | LWLD |
| 5 | Olympique Lyonnais |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | WDWD |
| 6 | Brest |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | DDWL |
| 7 | Paris |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | DWWD |
| 8 | Lorient |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | DLWD |
| 9 | Rennes |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | DWWW |
| 10 | Strasbourg |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | LWWD |
| 11 | Troyes |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | DWLL |
| 12 | Toulouse |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | LDLD |
| 13 | Le Havre |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | LDLD |
| 14 | Le Mans |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | DLDD |
| 15 | Lens |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | WLLD |
| 16 | Olympique Marseille |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | WLLL |
| 17 | Nice |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | DLDL |
| 18 | Auxerre |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 0 | LLLW |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Brest
DDDW 1W 3D 0L · 6 pts (1.5 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 10.49–4.37 · xPts 9.01
- W
A
Le Havre
2–1
xG 2.59–2.39
FRA L1
- D
H
Toulouse
2–2
xG 2.93–0.72
FRA L1
- D
A
Le Mans
2–2
xG 3.04–0.73
FRA L1
- D
H
Angers SCO
1–1
xG 1.93–0.52
FRA L1
DDDW 1W 3D 0L · 6 pts (1.5 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 10.49–4.37 · xPts 9.01
- W
A
Le Havre
2–1
xG 2.59–2.39
FRA L1
- D
H
Toulouse
2–2
xG 2.93–0.72
FRA L1
- D
A
Le Mans
2–2
xG 3.04–0.73
FRA L1
- D
H
Angers SCO
1–1
xG 1.93–0.52
FRA L1
Paris Saint Germain
WDDLW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 13 GA 8 · xG 9.07–3.23 · xPts 8.68
- W
H
Slovan Bratislava
6–1
xG 3.98–0.79
UEFA CL - L
H
Monaco
1–2
xG 2.14–0.5
FRA L1
- D
A
LOSC Lille
2–2
xG 1.41–0.99
FRA L1
- D
A
Rennes
2–2
xG 1.55–0.95
FRA L1
- W
H
Aston Villa
2–1
UEFA S Cup
LDWDDLW 2W 3D 2L · 9 pts (1.29 ppg) · GF 15 GA 11 · xG 12.08–5.7 · xPts 11.81
- W
H
Slovan Bratislava
6–1
xG 3.98–0.79
UEFA CL
- L
H
Monaco
1–2
xG 2.14–0.5
FRA L1
- D
A
LOSC Lille
2–2
xG 1.41–0.99
FRA L1
- D
A
Rennes
2–2
xG 1.55–0.95
FRA L1
- W
H
Aston Villa
2–1
UEFA S Cup
- D
H
Arsenal
1–1 won on pens None–None
xG 2.17–0.43
UEFA CL - L
A
Paris
1–2
xG 0.84–2.05
FRA L1
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
18.6%Brest P 8%20.5%Draw P 14%60.9%Paris Saint Germain P 78%
Over / under 2.5
63.5%Over 2.5 P 71%36.5%Under 2.5 P 29%
Both teams to score
59.6%Yes40.4%No
Expected
- Brest goals
- 1.12 (0–3)
- Paris Saint Germain goals
- 2.16 (0–4)
- Corners
- 8.4 (5–13)
- Cards
- 3.27 (1–6)
Earlier: day before — 18.6% / 20.5% / 61.0%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
19.3%Brest22.5%Draw58.1%Paris Saint Germain
Over / under 2.5
54.7%Over 2.545.3%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
51.9%Yes48.1%No
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | away | 0.495 | 0.229 |
| btts | no | 0.907 | 0.711 |
| ou_2_5 | under | 1.008 | 0.807 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 22 matches since 2010
Goals 15–57 · 3.27 per match · BTTS 46% · over 2.5 68%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 8–30 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 80%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 0–15 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- L Brest 0–1 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
- L Paris Saint Germain 1–0 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
- L Brest 0–3 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
- L Paris Saint Germain 7–0 Brest UEFA CL · Knockout Round Play-offs · leg 2/2
- L Brest 0–3 Paris Saint Germain neutral UEFA CL · Knockout Round Play-offs · leg 1/2
- L Brest 2–5 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
- L Paris Saint Germain 3–1 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
- D Paris Saint Germain 2–2 Brest neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
- L Brest 2–3 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
- L Brest 1–2 Paris Saint Germain FRA L1 · Regular Season
| Metric | Brest all · 4 | Brest at home · 2 | Paris Saint Germain all · 4 | Paris Saint Germain away · 3 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Brest · 4 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: when level +0.65
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.184
Early press (0-15, level)+0.434
Late push (76+, level)+1.122
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.012
Game state
When ahead-0.192
When level+0.654
When behind-0.073
10 min after conceding-0.204
10 min after scoring+0.453
Situations
At home+0.142
Away+0.212
4+ days rest+0.184
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.212
Evenly matched+0.313
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.124
Conceded when ahead+0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.204
Ahead vs level -0.84 · Behind vs level -0.72
Paris Saint Germain · 5 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.47) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.67
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.475
Early press (0-15, level)+0.635
Late push (76+, level)-0.252
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.203
Game state
When ahead+0.283
When level+0.405
When behind+0.673
10 min after conceding+0.143
10 min after scoring+0.675
Situations
At home+0.582
Away+0.433
4+ days rest+0.475
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.232
v mid-tier opponents+0.472
As favourite+0.475
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.315
Conceded when ahead-0.223
Conceded late (76+)-0.424
Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level +0.26
Brest
Current: winless 1 · conceding 13
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 100% | 1.25 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2.39 | 1.19 |
Paris Saint Germain
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 36 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 3 75% | 1.67 | 1.67 | 1.33 | 1.29 | 0.97 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 1 25% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.14 | 0.5 |
| Metric | Brest all · 10 | Brest at home · 10 | Paris Saint Germain all · 10 | Paris Saint Germain away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.20 | 1.80 | 2.10 |
| W / D / L | 1 / 5 / 4 | 3 / 3 / 4 | 5 / 3 / 2 | 6 / 3 / 1 |
| Goals for / match | 1.20 | 1.60 | 1.90 | 2.10 |
| Goals against / match | 1.80 | 1.50 | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 30% | 30% | 60% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 50% | 70% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 40% | 60% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.62 | 1.58 | 1.78 | 1.46 |
| xG against / match | 1.54 | 1.49 | 1.09 | 1.51 |
| xG difference | 0.08 | 0.09 | 0.69 | -0.05 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.42 | 0.02 | 0.11 | 0.64 |
| xPts / match | 1.43 | 1.53 | 1.79 | 1.37 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.63 | -0.33 | -0.12 | 0.73 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 40% | 60% | 70% | 80% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.50 | 1.83 | 2.14 | 2.38 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.33 | 0.25 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Came back from behind | 43% | 20% | 60% | 67% |
| Leads held | 25% | 50% | 71% | 75% |
| Minutes leading | 20% | 30% | 36% | 55% |
| Minutes level | 39% | 36% | 40% | 30% |
| Minutes trailing | 41% | 34% | 24% | 16% |
| First goal (min) | 32 | 25 | 46 | 38 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 37 | 27 | 39 | 49 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 42% | 44% | 63% | 62% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 56% | 47% | 54% | 57% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.10 | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 46% | 44% | 67% | 61% |
| Shots | 14.9 | 14.5 | 18.5 | 14.0 |
| On target | 4.7 | 4.6 | 6.1 | 5.9 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 11% | 10% | 15% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 63% | 54% | 61% |
| Big chances created | 2.9 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 3.5 |
| Corners | 4.1 | 3.8 | 6.0 | 4.5 |
| xG from set plays | 44% | 33% | 20% | 20% |
| Goals from headers | 33% | 38% | 17% | 14% |
| Pressure index | 11.8 | 11.7 | 17.8 | 12.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 47.6 | 44.6 | 64.7 | 49.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | 79% | 90% | 87% |
| Fouls | 12.3 | 12.3 | 7.5 | 7.2 |
| Cards | 1.20 | 1.80 | 1.00 | 1.50 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Brest
0–15'35
16–30'22
31–45'21
46–60'23
61–75'13
76–90'24
Paris Saint Germain
0–15'12
16–30'41
31–45'22
46–60'32
61–75'31
76–90'63
Brest
Current: winless 1 · conceding 13
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 7 70% | 1.0 | 1.29 | 1.43 | 2.13 | 1.15 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 20% | 0.5 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 0.51 | 2.69 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.27 | 1.95 |
Paris Saint Germain
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 36 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 9 90% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.74 | 1.17 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.14 | 0.5 |
| Metric | Brest all · 34 | Brest at home · 17 | Paris Saint Germain all · 52 | Paris Saint Germain away · 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 52 | 26 |
| Points per game | 1.26 | 1.53 | 2.06 | 1.96 |
| W / D / L | 11 / 10 / 13 | 7 / 5 / 5 | 32 / 11 / 9 | 15 / 6 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 1.29 | 1.53 | 2.29 | 1.92 |
| Goals against / match | 1.50 | 1.24 | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheets | 26% | 41% | 38% | 38% |
| Failed to score | 32% | 29% | 6% | 12% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 41% | 58% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 41% | 67% | 58% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.37 | 1.63 | 1.96 | 1.67 |
| xG against / match | 1.41 | 1.32 | 1.06 | 1.20 |
| xG difference | -0.04 | 0.30 | 0.90 | 0.47 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.07 | -0.10 | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| xPts / match | 1.37 | 1.63 | 1.91 | 1.66 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.10 | -0.10 | 0.13 | 0.30 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 59% | 69% | 65% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.06 | 2.30 | 2.50 | 2.47 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.40 | 0.20 | 1.07 | 1.00 |
| Came back from behind | 28% | 17% | 50% | 44% |
| Leads held | 58% | 70% | 78% | 79% |
| Minutes leading | 26% | 33% | 41% | 36% |
| Minutes level | 43% | 43% | 43% | 48% |
| Minutes trailing | 31% | 24% | 16% | 16% |
| First goal (min) | 33 | 23 | 38 | 41 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 33 | 26 | 36 | 42 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 48% | 46% | 56% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 49% | 43% | 49% | 54% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.26 | 0.29 | 0.54 | 0.54 |
| Late goals against | 0.29 | 0.18 | 0.19 | 0.31 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | 44% | 66% | 65% |
| Shots | 11.9 | 13.9 | 18.4 | 16.6 |
| On target | 3.9 | 4.5 | 6.8 | 6.4 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 11% | 12% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 64% | 62% | 61% | 61% |
| Big chances created | 2.5 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 3.8 |
| Corners | 4.1 | 4.8 | 6.0 | 5.5 |
| xG from set plays | 36% | 32% | 26% | 20% |
| Goals from headers | 23% | 31% | 14% | 18% |
| Pressure index | 9.4 | 11.4 | 24.5 | 21.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 39.1 | 42.4 | 68.7 | 62.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 79% | 90% | 89% |
| Fouls | 13.2 | 13.2 | 9.2 | 8.5 |
| Cards | 1.79 | 1.82 | 1.19 | 1.23 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Brest
0–15'108
16–30'611
31–45'77
46–60'75
61–75'510
76–90'910
Paris Saint Germain
0–15'157
16–30'1211
31–45'2511
46–60'1610
61–75'238
76–90'2810
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Brest · 34 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.13) · stands out: against ten men -0.57
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1334
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0434
Late push (76+, level)-0.2113
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1913
Game state
When ahead-0.2419
When level-0.0234
When behind-0.1918
10 min after conceding-0.3125
10 min after scoring+0.1023
Situations
With ten men-0.363
Against ten men-0.574
At home-0.0817
Away-0.1717
4+ days rest-0.1333
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.4011
v mid-tier opponents-0.019
v bottom-tier opponents-0.0410
As favourite+0.246
Evenly matched-0.1012
As underdog-0.2916
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2534
Conceded when ahead+0.3719
Conceded late (76+)+0.1932
Congested vs rested +0.19 · Ahead vs level -0.23 · Behind vs level -0.17
Paris Saint Germain · 52 matches
Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.67) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +1.12
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.6752
Early press (0-15, level)+0.4252
Late push (76+, level)+1.0119
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.6412
Game state
When ahead+0.5440
When level+0.7952
When behind+0.6618
10 min after conceding+0.3831
10 min after scoring+0.7348
Situations
With ten men+0.062
Against ten men+0.578
At home+0.6826
Away+0.6626
3 days rest or fewer+0.6910
4+ days rest+0.6742
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.3925
v mid-tier opponents+0.8515
v bottom-tier opponents+1.128
As favourite+0.7545
Evenly matched+0.325
As underdog-0.252
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.2552
Conceded when ahead-0.2140
Conceded late (76+)-0.3745
Congested vs rested +0.03 · Ahead vs level -0.25 · Behind vs level -0.13
Brest
Current: winless 1 · conceding 13
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 28 82% | 1.39 | 1.39 | 1.43 | 1.5 | 1.35 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 1.5 | 3.5 | 0.51 | 2.69 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 3% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.79 | 1.34 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.43 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.52 | 0.91 |
Paris Saint Germain
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 36 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 50 96% | 2.14 | 2.36 | 1.08 | 1.98 | 1.07 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.66 | 1.17 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.14 | 0.5 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: away -1.2 pts at 8.8h
11.81Home 8% ▼ -3.1 ptsopened 8.496.99Draw 14% ▼ -2.0 ptsopened 6.051.24Away 78% ▲ +5.2 ptsopened 1.32
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 11.81 ▼ -3.1 | 6.99 ▼ -2.0 | 1.24 ▲ +5.2 | 5m |
| bet365 | 12.0 ▼ -4.4 | 6.5 ▼ -2.2 | 1.22 ▲ +6.6 | 5m |
| Betfair | 11.0 ▼ -2.1 | 6.5 ▼ -3.0 | 1.17 ▲ +5.2 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 13.0 ▼ -4.2 | 7.0 ▼ -3.9 | 1.2 ▲ +8.1 | 5m |
| Coral | 9.5 ▼ -1.9 | 7.0 ▼ -2.9 | 1.25 ▲ +4.8 | 5m |
| Ladbrokes | 9.5 ▼ -1.9 | 7.0 ▼ -3.8 | 1.22 ▲ +5.7 | 5m |
| Unibet | 9.0 · -0.6 | 5.8 · -0.9 | 1.27 ▲ +1.5 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 11.0 ▼ -3.7 | 6.0 ▼ -2.7 | 1.22 ▲ +6.3 | 5m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: no -3.3 pts at 2.4d · late move: no +1.3 pts inside the final hour
1.8Yes 52% ▼ -1.3 ptsopened 1.751.95No 48% ▲ +1.3 ptsopened 2.0
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.8 ▼ -1.3 | 1.95 ▲ +1.3 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.57 ▲ +2.4 | 2.2 ▼ -2.4 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.62 ▲ +1.9 | 2.15 ▼ -1.9 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.72 · +0.1 | 2.02 · -0.1 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 1.67 ▲ +2.6 | 2.2 ▼ -2.6 | 5m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: under -1.2 pts at 1.1h
1.34Over 71% ▲ +4.2 ptsopened 1.423.33Under 29% ▼ -4.2 ptsopened 2.9
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.34 ▲ +4.2 | 3.33 ▼ -4.2 | 5m |
| bet365 | 1.33 ▲ +6.2 | 3.4 ▼ -6.2 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.25 ▲ +6.3 | 3.6 ▼ -6.3 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.22 ▲ +11.1 | 3.8 ▼ -11.1 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.41 ▲ +1.8 | 2.85 ▼ -1.8 | 5m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
12.0Home 8% P 8%6.5Draw 15% P 14%1.22Away 78% P 78%
Double Chance
4.0Brest or Draw 12%1.1Brest or PSG 43%1.06Draw or PSG 45%
Draw No Bet
10.01 10%1.062 90%
Both Teams To Score
1.8Yes 52%1.95No 48%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.33Over 72% P 71%3.4Under 28% P 29%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.629 - 11 33%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%
Number of Cards
2.52.0Over 46% P 44%1.72Under 54% P 56%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 5–10% · away 75–80% · 344 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8% | 8% | 7% | -1.0 |
| Draw | 14% | 15% | 12% | -3.0 |
| Away | 78% | 77% | 81% | +4.1 |
In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 64%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 70–72.5% · 477 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 71% | 70% | -1.4 |
Willy Delajod
- Career
- 170 matches · 9 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.05 (3.76 yellow · 0.17 red)
- Fouls / match
- 25.5 · 6.3 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.43
- Cards to home side
- 46%
Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 92 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.98 | 4.06 | -0.23 | 36 |
| Fouls / match | 24.8 | 24.3 | +0.33 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.3 | 6.0 | +0.38 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.41 | 0.36 | +0.48 | 68 |
| Time added | 6.9 | 6.7 | +0.23 | 52 |
- First card
- 37' on average
- Card timing
- 15% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 44% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.14
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 62' | 5 |
| 2026-08-30 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 42' | 7 |
| 2026-08-20 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 56' | 5 |
| 2026-08-11 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 8' | 5 |
| 2026-05-17 | 5 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 40' | 6 |
| 2026-04-26 | 5 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 29' | 9 |
| 2026-04-11 | 4 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 4' | 9 |
| 2026-03-21 · Paris Saint Germain | 2 | 1 | 17 | 1 | 16' | 5 |
| 2026-03-07 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 47' | 7 |
| 2026-02-21 | 4 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 74' | 5 |