KickoffDNA
0 live
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 4

Momentum

AuxerreNice
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
4

Venue

Stadium
Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps, Auxerre
Capacity
18,541
Surface
grass
Attendance
15,656

Teams

Coaches
William Still · Olivier Pantaloni
Position
18 · 15
Formation
3-4-3 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

François Letexier

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
16.9° (feels 16.1°)
Wind
1.3
Humidity
59%

Where to watch · 164

  • Algeria beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports HD 5 · TOD
  • Andorra DAZN · DAZN France · DAZN Spain
  • Anguilla Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Antigua and Barbuda Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Argentina Disney+ Premium · Disney+ Premium Argentina
  • Aruba Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Austria DAZN Austria
  • Bahrain beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports HD 5 · TOD
  • Barbados Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Belgium DAZN1 Belgium
  • Bolivia Disney+ Premium · Disney+ Premium Chile
  • Bosnia and Herzegovina Arena Cloud · Arena Sport 5 · Moja TV
  • Brazil CazeTV
  • British Virgin Islands Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Canada beIN SPORTS XTRA · Fanatiz · fuboTV Canada
  • Cayman Islands Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Chile Disney+ Premium · Disney+ Premium Chile
  • China Migu
  • Colombia Disney+ Premium Sur
  • Costa Rica Disney+ Premium Norte
  • Croatia Arena Sport 5 · Arena Sport 5 Croatia · MAX To Go · MAXtv To Go
  • Cuba Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Czech Republic Nova Sport 5 · Oneplay
  • Denmark Viaplay · Viaplay Denmark
  • Dominican Republic Disney+ Premium Caribbean · Disney+ Premium Norte
  • Ecuador Disney+ Premium Sur
  • Egypt beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports HD 5 · TOD
  • El Salvador Disney+ Premium Norte
  • England Ligue 1+
  • Finland Elisa Viihde Viaplay · Viaplay
  • France DAZN · DAZN France · Ligue 1+ · Molotov
  • Germany DAZN
  • Grenada Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Guadeloupe Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Guatemala Disney+ Premium Norte
  • Haiti Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Honduras Disney+ Premium Norte
  • Hong Kong beIN Sports MAX Hong Kong
  • Indonesia Vidio
  • International OneFootball
  • Iran beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports HD 5
  • Iraq beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports HD 5 · TOD
  • Israel 5 Live · 5 Plus
  • Italy Ligue 1+
  • Jamaica Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Japan DAZN Japan
  • Jordan beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports HD 5 · TOD
  • Kuwait beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports HD 5 · TOD
  • Lebanon beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports HD 5 · TOD
  • Libya beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports HD 5 · TOD
  • Liechtenstein DAZN Germany
  • Mexico Fox One
  • Monaco DAZN · DAZN France
  • Montenegro Arena Cloud
  • Morocco beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports HD 5 · TOD
  • Netherlands Viaplay · Viaplay Netherlands
  • Nicaragua Disney+ Premium Norte
  • North Macedonia Arena Cloud
  • Northern Ireland Ligue 1+
  • Norway Viaplay · Viaplay Norway
  • Oman beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports HD 5 · TOD
  • Palestine beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports HD 5 · TOD
  • Panama Disney+ Premium Norte
  • Paraguay Disney+ Premium · Disney+ Premium Argentina
  • Peru Disney+ Premium · Disney+ Premium Chile
  • Poland Canal+ · Eleven Sports 4
  • Puerto Rico Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Qatar beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports HD 5 · TOD
  • Republic of Ireland Ligue 1+
  • Romania Voyo
  • Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Disney+ Caribbean
  • Saudi Arabia beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports HD 5 · TOD
  • Scotland Ligue 1+
  • Serbia Arena Cloud · Arena Sport 6 Serbia
  • Slovakia Nova Sport 5 · Voyo
  • South Korea Coupang Play
  • Spain DAZN
  • Sweden Viaplay · Viaplay Sweden
  • Switzerland DAZN Switzerland
  • Syria beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports HD 5 · TOD
  • Trinidad and Tobago Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Tunisia beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports HD 5 · TOD
  • Turkey beIN CONNECT Turkey · beIN SPORTS CONNECT · TOD
  • Ukraine Megogo · Megogo Football 5
  • United Arab Emirates beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports HD 5 · TOD
  • United States beIN SPORTS XTRA · fuboTV · Tubi
  • Uruguay Disney+ Premium · Disney+ Premium Argentina
  • US Virgin Islands Disney+ Caribbean · Disney+ Premium Caribbean
  • Venezuela Disney+ Premium Sur
  • Vietnam ON Plus · On Sports+ · TV 360 · VTVcab ON
  • Wales Ligue 1+
  • Yemen beIN SPORTS CONNECT

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 LOSC Lille 4310 725 10 WDWW
2 Monaco 4310 624 10 WWWD
3 Rennes 4310 853 10 DWWW
4 Paris 4220 624 8 DWWD
5 Olympique Lyonnais 4220 624 8 WDWD
6 Strasbourg 4211 981 7 LWWD
7 Paris Saint Germain 4121 660 5 DDLW
8 Brest 4121 660 5 DDWL
9 Lorient 4121 440 5 DLWD
10 Lens 4112 871 4 WLLD
11 Angers SCO 4112 45-1 4 LWLD
12 Troyes 4112 49-5 4 DWLL
13 Olympique Marseille 4103 660 3 WLLL
14 Le Mans 4031 78-1 3 DLDD
15 Auxerre 4103 511-6 3 LLLW
16 Le Havre 4022 24-2 2 LDLD
17 Toulouse 4022 47-3 2 LDLD
18 Nice 4022 15-4 2 DLDL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Auxerre

WLLL 1W 0D 3L · 3 pts (0.75 ppg) · GF 6 GA 11 · xG 4.51–9.92 · xPts 2.69

  • L A Olympique Lyonnais 1–3 xG 0.73–2.7 FRA L1
  • L H Angers SCO 1–3 xG 1.59–1.65 FRA L1
  • L A Lens 2–5 xG 1.81–3.89 FRA L1
  • W A LOSC Lille 2–0 xG 0.38–1.68 FRA L1

Nice

DDLD 0W 3D 1L · 3 pts (0.75 ppg) · GF 1 GA 4 · xG 4.28–5.75 · xPts 4.64

  • D H Le Mans 1–1 xG 0.64–0.67 FRA L1
  • L A Paris 0–3 xG 0.71–2.5 FRA L1
  • D H Lorient 0–0 xG 1.05–1.51 FRA L1
  • D H Metz 0–0 xG 1.89–1.07 FRA L1

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·

Match result

42.2%Auxerre P 33%26.0%Draw P 29%31.8%Nice P 39%

Over / under 2.5

51.2%Over 2.5 P 50%48.8%Under 2.5 P 50%

Both teams to score

55.2%Yes44.8%No

Expected

Auxerre goals
1.48 (0–3)
Nice goals
1.25 (0–3)
Corners
11.18 (7–16)
Cards
4.29 (2–7)

Earlier: day before — 42.2% / 26.0% / 31.8%

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

40.2%Auxerre27.6%Draw32.2%Nice

Over / under 2.5

48.3%Over 2.551.7%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

52.7%Yes47.3%No

Scored

MarketObservedLog lossBrier
1x2home0.8630.503
bttsno0.8040.61
ou_2_5under0.7180.525

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 21 matches since 2005

Auxerre 105 draws6 Nice

Goals 22–16 · 1.81 per match · BTTS 38% · over 2.5 24%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Auxerre 43 draws3 Nice

Goals 11–11 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Auxerre 31 draws1 Nice

Goals 7–6 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Auxerre 1–0 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Auxerre 2–1 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nice 3–1 Auxerre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nice 1–1 Auxerre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Auxerre 2–1 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Nice 1–1 Auxerre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Auxerre 1–1 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nice 1–0 Auxerre neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Auxerre 2–1 Nice neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Nice 1–0 Auxerre FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricAuxerre all · 4Auxerre at home · 2Nice all · 4Nice away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Auxerre · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.00) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.44

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.004
Early press (0-15, level)+0.074
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.443

Game state

When level-0.114
When behind+0.133
10 min after conceding+0.043
10 min after scoring+0.074

Situations

At home-0.012
Away+0.022
4+ days rest+0.004

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.022
v bottom-tier opponents-0.012
As underdog+0.022

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.054
Conceded late (76+)-0.094

Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level +0.24

Nice · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: when behind +0.40

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.254
Early press (0-15, level)+0.014
Late push (76+, level)-0.292
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.092

Game state

When level+0.174
When behind+0.403
10 min after conceding+0.023

Situations

At home+0.252
Away+0.242
4+ days rest+0.254

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.432
v bottom-tier opponents+0.082
Evenly matched+0.272

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.204
Conceded late (76+)-0.084

Behind vs level +0.23

Auxerre

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 9 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-32 50%0.01.54.01.72.77
3-4-31 25%3.01.00.01.150.94
4-2-3-11 25%0.01.03.00.732.7

Nice

Current: winless 12 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-14 100%0.50.251.250.831.46

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: away +1.5 pts at 9.8h

2.99Home 33% ▼ -5.4 ptsopened 2.553.41Draw 29% · +0.5 ptsopened 3.452.5Away 39% ▲ +5.0 ptsopened 2.85
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 25%30%35%40%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle2.99 ▼ -5.43.41 · +0.52.5 ▲ +5.05m
bet3652.9 ▼ -4.93.4 · -0.52.4 ▲ +5.45m
Betfair2.88 ▼ -4.33.3 · +0.12.45 ▲ +4.25m
BetVictor2.88 ▼ -4.43.4 · -0.32.4 ▲ +4.75m
Coral2.8 ▼ -2.63.4 · -0.92.45 ▲ +3.55m
Ladbrokes2.8 ▼ -2.93.4 ▼ -1.12.4 ▲ +4.05m
Unibet2.5 · -0.43.2 · +0.42.8 · -0.05m
WilliamHill2.75 ▼ -3.43.2 · -0.02.45 ▲ +3.45m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.9Home 33% P 33%3.4Draw 28% P 29%2.4Away 39% P 39%

Double Chance

1.5Auxerre or Draw 31%1.33Auxerre or Nice 35%1.4Draw or Nice 33%

Draw No Bet

2.01 46%1.722 54%

Both Teams To Score

1.7Yes 55%2.05No 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 50%1.9Under 50% P 50%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 24%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 53%1.83Under 50% P 47%
4.52.2Over 42% P 37%1.61Under 58% P 63%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 37.5–40% · 491 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home33%34%31%-2.8
Draw29%28%28%-0.1
Away39%39%42%+3.0

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 53%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.550%51%51%-0.1

François Letexier

Career
253 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
4.35 (4.09 yellow · 0.17 red)
Fouls / match
23.3 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.39
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 86 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.444.06+0.7184
Fouls / match22.924.3-0.68
Fouls per card5.26.0-1.21 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.380.36+0.2056
Time added7.26.7+0.4472
First card
31' on average
Card timing
19% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.36

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-29 20 230 41'8
2026-08-19 30 211 43'6
2026-05-20 40 300 5'4
2026-05-17 50 210 5'8
2026-05-10 · Auxerre · Nice 10 240 90'7
2026-04-26 40 242 47'12
2026-04-15 10 180 70'5
2026-04-04 50 221 45'14
2026-03-22 31 301 40'10
2026-03-18 40 221 17'18