Rating 7.0 · G+A 1 + 1 (50% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 3
Momentum
– TroyesStrasbourg –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Stats
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Season context
| Troyes | at home | Stat | league | away | Strasbourg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.2 #18 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 46.0 #13 |
| 13.8 #8 | – | Shots total | 14.0 | – | 13.2 #10 |
| 2.8 #17 | – | Shots on target | 4.8 | – | 5.8 #5 |
| 6.8 #2 | – | Corners | 4.8 | – | 2.2 #16 |
| 11.2 #11 | – | Fouls | 11.7 | – | 11.8 #8 |
| 2.2 #5 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 1.0 #13 |
| 19.8 #2 | – | Tackles | 16.7 | – | 16.2 #10 |
| 83.2 #10 | – | Attacks | 90.1 | – | 70.0 #18 |
| 51.5 #4 | – | Dangerous attacks | 45.5 | – | 38.2 #13 |
| 373.0 #18 | – | Passes | 480.4 | – | 434.5 #11 |
| 0.8 #17 | – | Yellowcards | 1.4 | – | 1.5 #7 |
| – | – | Redcards | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #1 |
| 0.8 #12 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 1.5 #1 |
| – #8 | – | Btts | 55.6 | – | – #2 |
| – #6 | – | Cleansheet | 27.8 | – | – #14 |
| – #10 | – | Draw | 36.1 | – | – #10 |
| 1.5 #12 | – | Expected goals | 1.6 | – | 1.5 #11 |
| -0.5 #13 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.2 | – | 0.8 #1 |
| – #2 | – | Failed to score | 27.8 | – | – #8 |
| 1.0 #13 | 1.0 | Goals | 1.4 | 3.0 | 2.2 #1 |
| 2.2 #2 | 3.0 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 3.0 | 2.0 #3 |
| 0.8 #1 | – | Injury time goals | 0.5 | – | 0.8 #1 |
| 9.5 #13 | – | Interceptions | 10.8 | – | 8.5 #16 |
| – #3 | – | Lost | 31.9 | – | – #9 |
| 0.2 #3 | – | Penalties scored | 0.3 | – | – |
| 6.7 #15 | – | Rating | 6.9 | – | 6.8 #13 |
| 4.5 #4 | – | Shots blocked | 3.4 | – | 2.5 #11 |
| 10.0 #6 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.1 | – | 9.2 #8 |
| 6.5 #4 | – | Shots off target | 5.8 | – | 5.0 #13 |
| 3.8 #15 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.9 | – | 4.0 #13 |
| – #7 | – | Win | 31.9 | – | – #4 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 36 of 306
- Goals / match
- 2.75 (home 1.39 · away 1.36)
- Home / draw / away
- 28% · 36% · 36%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 56% · 53%
- Cards / match
- 3.03 (reds 0.11)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Troyes · Last 365 days
Rating 6.91 (71th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 6.96 · G+A 1 + 0 (25% of team goals) · 70% of minutes
Strasbourg · Last 365 days
Rating 7.14 (82th pct) · G+A 15 + 1 (20% of team goals) · 52% of minutes
Team 1.48 ppg with (23) · 1.74 without (23)
Rating 7.01 (68th pct) · G+A 14 + 4 (22% of team goals) · 58% of minutes
Team 1.89 ppg with (28) · 1.17 without (18)
Rating 7.02 (72th pct) · G+A 9 + 7 (20% of team goals) · 44% of minutes
Team 2.1 ppg with (20) · 1.23 without (26)
Absences
Troyes
- injury Ismaël Boura defender · Hip Injury · 3 missed
Strasbourg
- injury Joaquín Panichelli #1 key player attacker · Cruciate Ligament Tear · 22 missed · until 2026-12-31
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
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Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 3
Venue
- Stadium
- Complexe Sportif de l'Aube N° 2 - Terrain du Bas, Troyes
- Capacity
- 20,400
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 12,260
Teams
- Coaches
- Stéphane Dumont · Hugo Filipe Carvalho Oliveira
- Position
- 7 · 12
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Referee
Guillaume Paradis
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 29.0° (feels 27.8°)
- Wind
- 1.5
- Humidity
- 28%
Where to watch · 78
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  LOSC Lille |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 10 | WDWW |
| 2 |  Monaco |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 10 | WWWD |
| 3 |  Rennes |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | DWWW |
| 4 |  Paris |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | DWWD |
| 5 |  Olympique Lyonnais |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | WDWD |
| 6 |  Strasbourg |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 7 | LWWD |
| 7 |  Paris Saint Germain |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 | DDLW |
| 8 |  Brest |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 5 | DDWL |
| 9 |  Lorient |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | DLWD |
| 10 |  Lens |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 4 | WLLD |
| 11 |  Angers SCO |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 | LWLD |
| 12 |  Troyes |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 | DWLL |
| 13 |  Olympique Marseille |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | WLLL |
| 14 |  Le Mans |
4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 | DLDD |
| 15 |  Auxerre |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 3 | LLLW |
| 16 |  Le Havre |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | LDLD |
| 17 |  Toulouse |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 | LDLD |
| 18 |  Nice |
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2 | DLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rennes |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 | DWWW |
| 2 | Paris |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | DWWD |
| 3 | LOSC Lille |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | WDWW |
| 4 | Olympique Lyonnais |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | WDWD |
| 5 | Strasbourg |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | LWWD |
| 6 | Olympique Marseille |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | WLLL |
| 7 | Lens |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | WLLD |
| 8 | Monaco |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | WWWD |
| 9 | Auxerre |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | LLLW |
| 10 | Le Mans |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | DLDD |
| 11 | Nice |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | DLDL |
| 12 | Lorient |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | DLWD |
| 13 | Brest |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | DDWL |
| 14 | Le Havre |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 | LDLD |
| 15 | Troyes |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 | DWLL |
| 16 | Paris Saint Germain |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 | DDLW |
| 17 | Angers SCO |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 | LWLD |
| 18 | Toulouse |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | LDLD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | WWWD |
| 2 | LOSC Lille |
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | WDWW |
| 3 | Paris Saint Germain |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | DDLW |
| 4 | Angers SCO |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | LWLD |
| 5 | Olympique Lyonnais |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | WDWD |
| 6 | Brest |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | DDWL |
| 7 | Paris |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | DWWD |
| 8 | Lorient |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | DLWD |
| 9 | Rennes |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | DWWW |
| 10 | Strasbourg |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | LWWD |
| 11 | Troyes |
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 | DWLL |
| 12 | Toulouse |
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | LDLD |
| 13 | Le Havre |
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | LDLD |
| 14 | Le Mans |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | DLDD |
| 15 | Lens |
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 1 | WLLD |
| 16 | Olympique Marseille |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | WLLL |
| 17 | Nice |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | DLDL |
| 18 | Auxerre |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 0 | LLLW |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Troyes
DW 1W 1D 0L · 4 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 2 GA 1 · xG 2.24–2.73 · xPts 2.32
- W
A
Lorient
2–1
xG 1.71–1.35
FRA L1
- D
H
Paris
0–0
xG 0.53–1.38
FRA L1
DW 1W 1D 0L · 4 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 2 GA 1 · xG 2.24–2.73 · xPts 2.32
- W
A
Lorient
2–1
xG 1.71–1.35
FRA L1
- D
H
Paris
0–0
xG 0.53–1.38
FRA L1
Strasbourg
DWWLW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 10 GA 11 · xG 7.64–10.37 · xPts 5.63
- W
H
Lens
2–1
xG 1.86–2.63
FRA L1
- L
A
Olympique Marseille
0–4
xG 0.29–2.27
FRA L1
- W
H
Monaco
5–4
xG 1.77–1.57
FRA L1
- W
A
Brest
2–1
xG 1.82–3.08
FRA L1
- D
A
Angers SCO
1–1
xG 1.89–0.82
FRA L1
DWWLW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 10 GA 11 · xG 7.64–10.37 · xPts 5.63
- W
H
Lens
2–1
xG 1.86–2.63
FRA L1
- L
A
Olympique Marseille
0–4
xG 0.29–2.27
FRA L1
- W
H
Monaco
5–4
xG 1.77–1.57
FRA L1
- W
A
Brest
2–1
xG 1.82–3.08
FRA L1
- D
A
Angers SCO
1–1
xG 1.89–0.82
FRA L1
No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).
All meetings · 9 matches since 2005
Goals 13–16 · 3.22 per match · BTTS 78% · over 2.5 44%
Last 10 · 9 matches
Goals 13–16 · 3.22 per match · BTTS 78% · over 2.5 44%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 8–11 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 40%
Recent meetings
- L Troyes 2–6 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
- D Troyes 1–1 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
- W Strasbourg 2–3 Troyes FRA L1 · Regular Season
- D Troyes 1–1 Strasbourg FRA L1 · Regular Season
- D Strasbourg 1–1 Troyes FRA L1 · Regular Season
- L Strasbourg 2–1 Troyes FRA L1 · Regular Season
- W Troyes 3–0 Strasbourg neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
- L Strasbourg 2–0 Troyes neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
- D Troyes 1–1 Strasbourg neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
| Metric | Troyes all · 4 | Troyes at home · 2 | Strasbourg all · 4 | Strasbourg away · 2 |
|---|
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Troyes · 4 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.64
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.014
Early press (0-15, level)-0.214
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.192
Game state
When ahead+0.272
When level-0.074
When behind-0.092
10 min after conceding-0.643
10 min after scoring+0.542
Situations
At home+0.142
Away-0.112
4+ days rest+0.014
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.063
As underdog-0.073
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.244
Conceded when ahead+0.052
Conceded late (76+)+0.074
Ahead vs level +0.35 · Behind vs level -0.01
Strasbourg · 4 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.02
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.044
Early press (0-15, level)+0.114
Late push (76+, level)-0.532
Game state
When ahead+0.393
When level-0.044
When behind-0.063
10 min after conceding-0.144
10 min after scoring+1.023
Situations
At home+0.082
Away+0.002
4+ days rest+0.044
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.053
Evenly matched-0.022
As underdog+0.112
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.214
Conceded when ahead+0.053
Conceded late (76+)+0.044
Ahead vs level +0.43 · Behind vs level -0.02
Troyes
Current: winless 2 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 75% | 1.0 | 1.33 | 3.0 | 1.55 | 1.86 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 25% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.53 | 1.38 |
Strasbourg
Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 12
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 3 75% | 2.33 | 3.0 | 1.33 | 1.8 | 2.11 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 25% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 0.29 | 2.27 |
| Metric | Troyes all · 4 | Troyes at home · 2 | Strasbourg all · 10 | Strasbourg away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | – | – | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | – | – | 1.40 | 1.70 |
| W / D / L | – | – | 4 / 2 / 4 | 5 / 2 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | – | – | 1.80 | 1.70 |
| Goals against / match | – | – | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Clean sheets | – | – | 0% | 10% |
| Failed to score | – | – | 30% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | – | – | 70% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | – | – | 60% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | – | – | 1.34 | 1.50 |
| xG against / match | – | – | 1.87 | 1.79 |
| xG difference | – | – | -0.53 | -0.29 |
| Finishing vs xG | – | – | 0.46 | 0.20 |
| xPts / match | – | – | 1.04 | 1.21 |
| Points vs xPts | – | – | 0.36 | 0.49 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | – | – | 40% | 30% |
| PPG when scoring first | – | – | 1.25 | 2.33 |
| PPG when conceding first | – | – | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Came back from behind | – | – | 43% | 50% |
| Leads held | – | – | 57% | 83% |
| Minutes leading | – | – | 21% | 26% |
| Minutes level | – | – | 53% | 39% |
| Minutes trailing | – | – | 25% | 35% |
| First goal (min) | – | – | 36 | 34 |
| First goal conceded (min) | – | – | 40 | 35 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | – | – | 61% | 59% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | – | – | 56% | 62% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | – | – | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| Late goals against | – | – | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | – | – | 49% | 57% |
| Shots | – | – | 11.8 | 11.3 |
| On target | – | – | 4.8 | 5.2 |
| Shot conversion | – | – | 15% | 15% |
| Shots inside box | – | – | 65% | 66% |
| Big chances created | – | – | 2.3 | 3.0 |
| Corners | – | – | 3.3 | 3.5 |
| xG from set plays | – | – | 22% | 20% |
| Goals from headers | – | – | 6% | 12% |
| Pressure index | – | – | 11.5 | 10.3 |
| Dominant minutes | – | – | 44.9 | 43.7 |
| Pass accuracy | – | – | 85% | 86% |
| Fouls | – | – | 10.2 | 13.1 |
| Cards | – | – | 1.90 | 2.40 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Strasbourg
0–15'13
16–30'20
31–45'45
46–60'43
61–75'23
76–90'54
Troyes
Current: winless 2 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 75% | 1.0 | 1.33 | 3.0 | 1.55 | 1.86 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 25% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.53 | 1.38 |
Strasbourg
Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 12
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 50% | 1.4 | 1.6 | 2.2 | 1.21 | 1.8 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 30% | 2.33 | 3.0 | 1.33 | 1.8 | 2.11 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.46 | 2.1 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.45 | 1.29 |
| Metric | Troyes all · 4 | Troyes at home · 2 | Strasbourg all · 46 | Strasbourg away · 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | – | – | 46 | 23 |
| Points per game | – | – | 1.61 | 1.52 |
| W / D / L | – | – | 21 / 11 / 14 | 10 / 5 / 8 |
| Goals for / match | – | – | 1.74 | 1.65 |
| Goals against / match | – | – | 1.37 | 1.61 |
| Clean sheets | – | – | 17% | 9% |
| Failed to score | – | – | 22% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | – | – | 67% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | – | – | 65% | 65% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | – | – | 1.55 | 1.38 |
| xG against / match | – | – | 1.44 | 1.69 |
| xG difference | – | – | 0.11 | -0.30 |
| Finishing vs xG | – | – | 0.19 | 0.27 |
| xPts / match | – | – | 1.41 | 1.17 |
| Points vs xPts | – | – | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | – | – | 50% | 44% |
| PPG when scoring first | – | – | 2.13 | 2.30 |
| PPG when conceding first | – | – | 1.10 | 0.92 |
| Came back from behind | – | – | 42% | 38% |
| Leads held | – | – | 70% | 71% |
| Minutes leading | – | – | 30% | 31% |
| Minutes level | – | – | 47% | 39% |
| Minutes trailing | – | – | 23% | 31% |
| First goal (min) | – | – | 36 | 34 |
| First goal conceded (min) | – | – | 42 | 40 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | – | – | 56% | 50% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | – | – | 60% | 65% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | – | – | 0.39 | 0.48 |
| Late goals against | – | – | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | – | – | 54% | 54% |
| Shots | – | – | 11.4 | 10.3 |
| On target | – | – | 4.7 | 4.4 |
| Shot conversion | – | – | 15% | 16% |
| Shots inside box | – | – | 70% | 70% |
| Big chances created | – | – | 3.2 | 2.9 |
| Corners | – | – | 4.1 | 3.3 |
| xG from set plays | – | – | 20% | 21% |
| Goals from headers | – | – | 13% | 16% |
| Pressure index | – | – | 14.9 | 10.7 |
| Dominant minutes | – | – | 52.3 | 46.4 |
| Pass accuracy | – | – | 87% | 87% |
| Fouls | – | – | 10.8 | 12.2 |
| Cards | – | – | 1.96 | 2.61 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Strasbourg
0–15'68
16–30'138
31–45'169
46–60'1416
61–75'137
76–90'1815
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Troyes · 4 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.64
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.014
Early press (0-15, level)-0.214
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.192
Game state
When ahead+0.272
When level-0.074
When behind-0.092
10 min after conceding-0.643
10 min after scoring+0.542
Situations
At home+0.142
Away-0.112
4+ days rest+0.014
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.063
As underdog-0.073
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.244
Conceded when ahead+0.052
Conceded late (76+)+0.074
Ahead vs level +0.35 · Behind vs level -0.01
Strasbourg · 46 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.19) · stands out: as favourite +0.50
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1946
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1546
Late push (76+, level)+0.1022
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.2116
Game state
When ahead+0.2330
When level+0.2146
When behind+0.1024
10 min after conceding-0.1537
10 min after scoring+0.4235
Situations
With ten men+0.164
Against ten men-0.122
At home+0.3023
Away+0.0823
3 days rest or fewer+0.2712
4+ days rest+0.1634
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.0514
v mid-tier opponents+0.1415
v bottom-tier opponents+0.299
As favourite+0.5018
Evenly matched-0.0216
As underdog+0.0112
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0146
Conceded when ahead+0.0130
Conceded late (76+)+0.0140
Congested vs rested +0.11 · Ahead vs level +0.02 · Behind vs level -0.11
Troyes
Current: winless 2 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 75% | 1.0 | 1.33 | 3.0 | 1.55 | 1.86 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 25% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.53 | 1.38 |
Strasbourg
Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 12
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 23 50% | 1.61 | 1.65 | 1.39 | 1.56 | 1.42 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 9 20% | 1.22 | 1.67 | 1.33 | 1.62 | 1.31 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 9% | 2.5 | 2.75 | 1.25 | 1.57 | 2.12 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 6% | 2.33 | 2.0 | 1.33 | 1.82 | 1.16 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 3 6% | 1.0 | 1.33 | 2.0 | 1.04 | 1.67 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: away +1.8 pts at 7.0h
3.0Home 32% ▲ +1.6 ptsopened 3.133.43Draw 28% · +0.5 ptsopened 3.472.49Away 39% ▼ -2.1 ptsopened 2.35
Home Draw Away consensus of 6 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.0 ▲ +1.6 | 3.43 · +0.5 | 2.49 ▼ -2.1 | 10m |
| bet365 | 2.87 ▲ +3.0 | 3.4 · -0.3 | 2.4 ▼ -2.7 | 10m |
| Betfair | 3.1 · -0.4 | 3.4 ▲ +1.4 | 2.3 · -1.0 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 2.8 ▲ +2.1 | 3.5 · -0.8 | 2.4 ▼ -1.4 | 10m |
| Unibet | 3.0 · -0.6 | 3.3 · +0.4 | 2.28 · +0.3 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 2.8 ▲ +1.9 | 3.3 · -0.7 | 2.3 ▼ -1.2 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: yes +3.1 pts at 7.0h
1.66Yes 56% ▲ +1.2 ptsopened 1.72.1No 44% ▼ -1.2 ptsopened 2.05
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.66 ▲ +1.2 | 2.1 ▼ -1.2 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.62 ▲ +1.6 | 2.2 ▼ -1.6 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.6 ▲ +1.3 | 2.15 ▼ -1.3 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.67 · +0.1 | 2.1 · -0.1 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.67 ▲ +2.6 | 2.2 ▼ -2.6 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: over +3.2 pts at 7.0h
1.85Over 53% ▲ +1.7 ptsopened 1.92.06Under 47% ▼ -1.7 ptsopened 1.98
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.85 ▲ +1.7 | 2.06 ▼ -1.7 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.8 ▲ +2.6 | 2.0 ▼ -2.6 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.9 · +0.0 | 1.9 · +0.0 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.74 ▲ +2.3 | 1.94 ▼ -2.3 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.88 · +0.0 | 1.91 · +0.0 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.87Home 33% P 32%3.4Draw 28% P 28%2.4Away 39% P 39%
Double Chance
1.53Troyes or Draw 31%1.3Troyes or Strasbourg 36%1.4Draw or Strasbourg 33%
Draw No Bet
2.01 46%1.722 54%
Both Teams To Score
1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.8Over 53% P 53%2.0Under 47% P 47%
Total Corners
5.0Under 6 17%2.56 - 8 35%2.879 - 11 30%7.012 - 14 12%17.0Over 14 5%
Number of Cards
3.51.8Over 51% P 56%1.9Under 49% P 44%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 30–32.5% · away 37.5–40% · 556 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 32% | 31% | 31% | -0.2 |
| Draw | 28% | 30% | 31% | +1.5 |
| Away | 39% | 39% | 38% | -1.3 |
In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 44%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 54% | 54% | +0.8 |
Guillaume Paradis
- Career
- 17 matches · 2 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.94 (3.82 yellow · 0.06 red)
- Fouls / match
- 24.5 · 6.2 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.06
- Cards to home side
- 51%
Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 17 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.82 | 4.06 | -0.56 | 20 |
| Fouls / match | 24.5 | 24.3 | +0.15 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.4 | 6.0 | +0.50 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.06 | 0.36 | -2.90 | 0 |
| Time added | 8.9 | 6.7 | +1.67 | 96 |
- First card
- 30' on average
- Card timing
- 15% in first 30' · 25% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 51% (league 47%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.17
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | 3 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 31' | 7 |
| 2026-05-17 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 66' | 5 |
| 2026-05-03 | 5 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 5' | 8 |
| 2026-04-19 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 0 | 41' | 12 |
| 2026-03-21 | 5 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 5' | 9 |
| 2026-02-28 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 45' | 7 |
| 2026-02-06 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 7' | 10 |
| 2026-01-25 | 5 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 15' | 9 |
| 2026-01-04 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 45' | 8 |
| 2025-11-30 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 48' | 8 |