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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 3

Momentum

LensLorient
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
3

Venue

Stadium
Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens
Capacity
38,223
Surface
grass
Attendance
37,356

Teams

Coaches
Dino Toppmöller · Alexandre Dujeux
Position
7 · 14
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Eric Wattellier

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
22.0° (feels 21.6°)
Wind
3.5
Humidity
52%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 LOSC Lille 4310 725 10 WDWW
2 Monaco 4310 624 10 WWWD
3 Rennes 4310 853 10 DWWW
4 Paris 4220 624 8 DWWD
5 Olympique Lyonnais 4220 624 8 WDWD
6 Strasbourg 4211 981 7 LWWD
7 Paris Saint Germain 4121 660 5 DDLW
8 Brest 4121 660 5 DDWL
9 Lorient 4121 440 5 DLWD
10 Lens 4112 871 4 WLLD
11 Angers SCO 4112 45-1 4 LWLD
12 Troyes 4112 49-5 4 DWLL
13 Olympique Marseille 4103 660 3 WLLL
14 Le Mans 4031 78-1 3 DLDD
15 Auxerre 4103 511-6 3 LLLW
16 Le Havre 4022 24-2 2 LDLD
17 Toulouse 4022 47-3 2 LDLD
18 Nice 4022 15-4 2 DLDL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Lens

WLWWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 11 GA 6 · xG 12.29–8.34 · xPts 8.87

  • L A Strasbourg 1–2 xG 2.63–1.86 FRA L1
  • W H Auxerre 5–2 xG 3.89–1.81 FRA L1
  • W A Olympique Lyonnais 4–0 xG 1.84–2.28 FRA L1
  • L H Paris Saint Germain 0–2 xG 2.9–1.11 FRA L1
  • W H Nantes 1–0 xG 1.03–1.28 FRA L1

Lorient

WLDL 1W 1D 2L · 4 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 4 · xG 5.66–4.44 · xPts 6.4

  • L H Troyes 1–2 xG 1.35–1.71 FRA L1
  • D A Nice 0–0 xG 1.51–1.05 FRA L1
  • L H Le Havre 0–2 xG 1.41–0.95 FRA L1
  • W A Metz 4–0 xG 1.39–0.73 FRA L1

No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).

All meetings · 21 matches since 2006

Lens 66 draws9 Lorient

Goals 28–26 · 2.57 per match · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 43%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Lens 52 draws3 Lorient

Goals 20–11 · 3.1 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Lens 21 draws2 Lorient

Goals 6–3 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Lens 0–1 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lorient 2–1 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Lens 3–0 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Lens 2–0 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Lorient 0–0 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Lorient 1–3 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Lens 5–2 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Lorient 2–0 Lens FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • D Lens 2–2 Lorient FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Lens 4–1 Lorient neutral FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricLens all · 4Lens at home · 2Lorient all · 4Lorient away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Lens · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: when ahead -0.48

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.015
Early press (0-15, level)-0.195
Late push (76+, level)+0.023
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.043

Game state

When ahead-0.483
When level+0.055
When behind+0.274
10 min after conceding-0.155
10 min after scoring-0.234

Situations

Against ten men+0.012
At home-0.112
Away+0.083
4+ days rest-0.044

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.073
v bottom-tier opponents-0.102
As favourite-0.054

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.115
Conceded when ahead+0.513
Conceded late (76+)-0.365

Congested vs rested +0.22 · Ahead vs level -0.54 · Behind vs level +0.22

Lorient · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.96

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.124
Early press (0-15, level)+0.374
Late push (76+, level)-0.152

Game state

When ahead-0.322
When level-0.144
10 min after conceding-0.522
10 min after scoring+0.963

Situations

At home-0.072
Away-0.182
4+ days rest-0.124

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.022
Evenly matched-0.232

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.214
Conceded when ahead+0.162
Conceded late (76+)-0.064

Ahead vs level -0.18 · Behind vs level +0.28

Lens

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-14 100%1.02.01.752.151.83

Lorient

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-14 100%1.251.01.01.251.33

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: home -2.2 pts at 9.2h

1.57Home 62% ▼ -3.8 ptsopened 1.474.53Draw 21% ▲ +1.3 ptsopened 4.795.65Away 17% ▲ +2.6 ptsopened 6.62
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 20%30%40%50%60%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.57 ▼ -3.84.53 ▲ +1.35.65 ▲ +2.65m
bet3651.5 · -0.64.33 · +0.96.25 · -0.35m
Betfair1.47 · -0.84.6 · +0.36.5 · +0.55m
BetVictor1.53 ▼ -3.54.33 ▲ +1.15.75 ▲ +2.45m
Coral1.55 ▼ -2.64.4 ▲ +1.05.5 ▲ +1.55m
Ladbrokes1.53 ▼ -2.34.4 · +0.95.5 ▲ +1.45m
Unibet1.44 · -1.04.4 · +0.56.5 · +0.55m
WilliamHill1.55 ▼ -4.94.0 ▲ +1.95.0 ▲ +2.95m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.5Home 63% P 62%4.33Draw 22% P 21%6.25Away 15% P 17%

Double Chance

1.12Lens or Draw 42%1.22Lens or Lorient 38%2.37Draw or Lorient 20%

Draw No Bet

1.21 78%4.332 22%

Both Teams To Score

1.7Yes 55%2.05No 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 59%2.2Under 43% P 41%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

2.51.57Over 59% P 62%2.25Under 41% P 38%
3.52.0Over 46% P 39%1.72Under 54% P 61%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 60–62.5% · away 15–17.5% · 649 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home62%61%62%+0.4
Draw21%23%23%+0.7
Away17%16%15%-1.1

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 58%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.559%59%60%+0.8

Eric Wattellier

Career
147 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
3.39 (3.16 yellow · 0.18 red)
Fouls / match
21.6 · 6.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.4
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 94 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.434.06-1.368
Fouls / match20.624.3-1.90
Fouls per card6.16.0+0.05 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.430.36+0.6076
Time added6.36.7-0.2132
First card
40' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.33

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-28 30 180 39'5
2026-08-06 50 220 11'10
2026-07-23 41 220 7'7
2026-05-03 61 142 45'7
2026-04-18 · Lorient 30 160 57'6
2026-04-10 10 110 59'7
2026-04-03 10 170 36'4
2026-03-08 20 161 27'9
2026-02-13 71 230 45'8
2026-02-01 11 141 75'11