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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 3

Momentum

Le HavreBrest
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
3

Venue

Stadium
Stade Océane, Le Havre
Capacity
25,181
Surface
grass
Attendance
15,984

Teams

Coaches
Didier Digard · Julien Lachuer
Position
15 · 11
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Marc Bollengier

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
15.5° (feels 15.2°)
Wind
1.5
Humidity
77%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 LOSC Lille 4310 725 10 WDWW
2 Monaco 4310 624 10 WWWD
3 Rennes 4310 853 10 DWWW
4 Paris 4220 624 8 DWWD
5 Olympique Lyonnais 4220 624 8 WDWD
6 Strasbourg 4211 981 7 LWWD
7 Paris Saint Germain 4121 660 5 DDLW
8 Brest 4121 660 5 DDWL
9 Lorient 4121 440 5 DLWD
10 Lens 4112 871 4 WLLD
11 Angers SCO 4112 45-1 4 LWLD
12 Troyes 4112 49-5 4 DWLL
13 Olympique Marseille 4103 660 3 WLLL
14 Le Mans 4031 78-1 3 DLDD
15 Auxerre 4103 511-6 3 LLLW
16 Le Havre 4022 24-2 2 LDLD
17 Toulouse 4022 47-3 2 LDLD
18 Nice 4022 15-4 2 DLDL
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Le Havre

LWLD 1W 1D 2L · 4 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 3 · xG 4.19–5.7 · xPts 4.41

  • D A Olympique Lyonnais 1–1 xG 0.74–1.71 FRA L1
  • L H Monaco 0–1 xG 0.97–1.47 FRA L1
  • W A Lorient 2–0 xG 0.95–1.41 FRA L1
  • L H Olympique Marseille 0–1 xG 1.53–1.11 FRA L1

Brest

LLDDD 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 8 · xG 11.26–5.75 · xPts 9.86

  • D H Toulouse 2–2 xG 2.93–0.72 FRA L1
  • D A Le Mans 2–2 xG 3.04–0.73 FRA L1
  • D H Angers SCO 1–1 xG 1.93–0.52 FRA L1
  • L H Strasbourg 1–2 xG 3.08–1.82 FRA L1
  • L A Paris Saint Germain 0–1 xG 0.27–1.95 FRA L1

No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).

All meetings · 7 matches since 2023

Le Havre 10 draws6 Brest

Goals 3–10 · 1.86 per match · BTTS 29% · over 2.5 29%

Last 10 · 7 matches

Le Havre 10 draws6 Brest

Goals 3–10 · 1.86 per match · BTTS 29% · over 2.5 29%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Le Havre 10 draws4 Brest

Goals 2–7 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • L Le Havre 1–2 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Brest 2–0 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • W Le Havre 1–0 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Le Havre 0–1 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Brest 2–0 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Brest 1–0 Le Havre FRA L1 · Regular Season
  • L Le Havre 1–2 Brest FRA L1 · Regular Season
MetricLe Havre all · 4Le Havre at home · 3Brest all · 4Brest away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Le Havre · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: at home +0.15

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.144
Early press (0-15, level)-0.064
Late push (76+, level)-0.302
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.102

Game state

When level+0.084
When behind+0.212
10 min after conceding+0.113
10 min after scoring+0.212

Situations

At home+0.153
4+ days rest+0.144

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.102
Evenly matched+0.182
As underdog+0.102

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.054
Conceded late (76+)-0.364

Ahead vs level -0.02 · Behind vs level +0.12

Brest · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: when level +0.65

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.184
Early press (0-15, level)+0.434
Late push (76+, level)+1.122
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.012

Game state

When ahead-0.192
When level+0.654
When behind-0.073
10 min after conceding-0.204
10 min after scoring+0.453

Situations

At home+0.142
Away+0.212
4+ days rest+0.184

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.212
Evenly matched+0.313

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.124
Conceded when ahead+0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.204

Ahead vs level -0.84 · Behind vs level -0.72

Le Havre

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 4 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-13 75%0.330.671.331.371.93
4-3-31 25%1.00.00.01.690.63

Brest

Current: winless 1 · conceding 13

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 100%1.251.51.52.391.19

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: away +1.2 pts at 25m · late move: home -2.9 pts inside the final hour

3.0Home 32% ▼ -3.7 ptsopened 2.683.25Draw 30% · +0.9 ptsopened 3.332.59Away 38% ▲ +2.8 ptsopened 2.78
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 30%35%40%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle3.0 ▼ -3.73.25 · +0.92.59 ▲ +2.85m
bet3652.8 ▼ -2.53.25 · -0.42.5 ▲ +2.95m
Betfair2.7 ▼ -1.43.3 ▲ +1.12.7 · +0.45m
BetVictor2.7 · -0.93.3 · -0.62.6 ▲ +1.55m
Coral2.8 ▼ -2.73.3 · -0.62.5 ▲ +3.35m
Ladbrokes2.75 ▼ -3.23.3 · -0.32.5 ▲ +3.65m
Unibet2.6 · +0.03.25 · +0.02.65 · +0.05m
WilliamHill2.62 ▼ -1.53.1 · +0.12.6 ▲ +1.45m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.8Home 34% P 32%3.25Draw 29% P 30%2.5Away 38% P 38%

Double Chance

1.44Le Havre or Draw 32%1.33Le Havre or Brest 35%1.44Draw or Brest 32%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.75Yes 53%2.0No 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 46%1.8Under 53% P 54%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.52.2Over 42% P 38%1.61Under 58% P 62%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 30–32.5% · away 37.5–40% · 556 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home32%31%31%-0.2
Draw30%30%31%+1.5
Away38%39%38%-1.3

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 44%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.546%46%45%-1.2

Marc Bollengier

Career
69 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
3.99 (3.7 yellow · 0.16 red)
Fouls / match
25.9 · 6.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.43
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 68 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.04.06-0.1944
Fouls / match25.924.3+0.92
Fouls per card6.66.0+0.75 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.440.36+0.7580
Time added6.76.7+0.0840
First card
37' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.24

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-22 30 220 56'14
2026-05-03 · Brest 30 180 24'5
2026-04-18 · Le Havre 41 350 34'8
2026-04-04 · Brest 60 242 34'12
2026-03-13 60 290 22'7
2026-02-28 · Le Havre 30 221 31'7
2026-02-15 40 250 6'5
2026-01-24 · Le Havre 30 290 21'8
2026-01-04 52 371 26'10
2025-12-14 · Le Havre 60 321 24'8