Paris v Nice · KickoffDNA

Ligue 1 · Matchweek 2

ParisParis

3–0

NiceNice

Momentum

– ParisNice –

now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Stats

Loading statistics…

Season context

Paris	at home	Stat	league	away	Nice
49.5 #8	–	Ball possession	50.0	–	60.2 #3
12.2 #12	–	Shots total	13.9	–	12.2 #12
4.0 #13	–	Shots on target	4.8	–	2.8 #17
3.0 #14	–	Corners	4.8	–	6.5 #4
13.0 #6	–	Fouls	11.7	–	8.2 #16
1.8 #11	–	Offsides	1.8	–	2.2 #5
17.5 #5	–	Tackles	16.7	–	14.2 #17
83.0 #11	–	Attacks	90.2	–	114.5 #3
33.0 #16	–	Dangerous attacks	45.2	–	58.8 #3
570.0 #4	–	Passes	482.2	–	626.2 #2
1.2 #10	–	Yellowcards	1.4	–	1.2 #10
1.0 #9	–	Assists	1.0	–	0.2 #17
– #15	–	Btts	56.4	–	– #15
– #1	–	Cleansheet	27.2	–	– #6
– #2	–	Draw	35.6	–	– #2
1.8 #5	–	Expected goals	1.6	–	0.9 #18
-0.3 #12	–	Expected goals difference	-0.2	–	-0.6 #15
– #2	–	Failed to score	27.5	–	– #1
1.5 #7	1.5	Goals	1.4	0.0	0.2 #18
0.5 #16	0.0	Goals conceded	1.4	2.0	1.2 #10
11.2 #7	–	Interceptions	10.8	–	11.2 #7
– #14	–	Lost	32.5	–	– #4
0.5 #2	–	Penalties scored	0.3	–	–
7.0 #1	–	Rating	6.9	–	6.7 #16
2.8 #10	–	Shots blocked	3.4	–	4.2 #6
7.5 #12	–	Shots insidebox	9.0	–	7.2 #15
5.5 #9	–	Shots off target	5.7	–	5.2 #11
4.8 #8	–	Shots outsidebox	4.9	–	5.0 #5
– #4	–	Win	31.9	–	– #15

Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.

League this season · 2026/2027

Played: 36 of 306
Goals / match: 2.75 (home 1.39 · away 1.36)
Home / draw / away: 28% · 36% · 36%
BTTS · over 2.5: 56% · 53%
Cards / match: 3.03 (reds 0.11)

Lineups

Waiting for lineups…

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Paris · Last 365 days

Ilan Kebbal 10 · Right Wing

Starts

Rating 7.27 (96th pct) · G+A 6 + 4 (22% of team goals) · 72% of minutes

Team 1.31 ppg with (26) · 1.5 without (8)

Pierre Lees-Melou 33 · Defensive Midfield

Starts

Rating 6.98 (73th pct) · G+A 1 + 3 (9% of team goals) · 66% of minutes

Team 1.39 ppg with (23) · 1.27 without (11)

Moustapha Mbow 5 · Centre Back

On the bench

Rating 6.95 (77th pct) · G+A 0 + 1 (2% of team goals) · 80% of minutes

Team 1.22 ppg with (27) · 1.86 without (7)

All key players

Nice · Last 365 days

Jonathan Clauss 92 · Right Back

Starts

Rating 7.03 (80th pct) · G+A 1 + 6 (18% of team goals) · 78% of minutes

Team 0.7 ppg with (33) · 0.89 without (9)

Sofiane Diop 10 · Left Wing

Starts

Rating 6.95 (68th pct) · G+A 8 + 4 (30% of team goals) · 66% of minutes

Team 0.74 ppg with (31) · 0.73 without (11)

Elye Wahi 11 · Centre Forward

On the bench

Rating 6.72 (24th pct) · G+A 6 + 1 (18% of team goals) · 30% of minutes

Team 0.77 ppg with (13) · 0.72 without (29)

All key players

Competition

Stage: Regular Season
Round: 2

Venue

Stadium: Stade Jean Bouin, Paris
Capacity: 15,097
Surface: artificial turf
Attendance: 16,373

Teams

Coaches: Liam Rosenior · Olivier Pantaloni
Position: 14 · 13
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Jeremy Stinat

Weather

Conditions: overcast clouds
Temperature: 24.1° (feels 24.0°)
Wind: 7.7
Humidity: 54%

Where to watch · 90

Algeria beIN SPORTS CONNECT
Andorra DAZN
Anguilla Disney+ Premium Caribbean
Antigua and Barbuda Disney+ Premium Caribbean
Argentina Disney+ Premium
Aruba Disney+ Premium Caribbean
Austria DAZN Austria
Bahrain beIN SPORTS CONNECT
Barbados Disney+ Premium Caribbean
Bolivia Disney+ Premium
Bosnia and Herzegovina Arena Cloud
British Virgin Islands Disney+ Premium Caribbean
Canada beIN SPORTS CONNECT · Fanatiz · fuboTV Canada
Cayman Islands Disney+ Premium Caribbean
Chile Disney+ Premium
China Migu
Colombia Disney+ Premium Sur
Costa Rica Disney+ Premium Norte
Croatia Arena Sport 4 · MAX To Go
Cuba Disney+ Premium Caribbean
Cyprus Cablenet Sports 2 · Cablenet Sports 2 HD · Cablenet TV Go · Cytavision on the Go
Czech Republic Nova Sport 1 · Oneplay
Denmark Viaplay · Viaplay Denmark
Dominican Republic Disney+ Premium Caribbean · Disney+ Premium Norte
Ecuador Disney+ Premium Sur
Egypt beIN SPORTS CONNECT
El Salvador Disney+ Premium Norte
England Ligue 1+
Finland Viaplay
France DAZN · Ligue 1+
Grenada Disney+ Premium Caribbean
Guadeloupe Disney+ Premium Caribbean
Guatemala Disney+ Premium Norte
Haiti Disney+ Premium Caribbean
Honduras Disney+ Premium Norte
Indonesia Vidio
Iran beIN SPORTS CONNECT
Iraq beIN SPORTS CONNECT
Italy Ligue 1+
Jamaica Disney+ Premium Caribbean
Jordan beIN SPORTS CONNECT
Kuwait beIN SPORTS CONNECT
Lebanon beIN SPORTS CONNECT
Libya beIN SPORTS CONNECT
Mexico Fox One
Monaco DAZN
Morocco beIN SPORTS CONNECT
Netherlands Viaplay · Viaplay Netherlands
Northern Ireland Ligue 1+
Norway Viaplay
Oman beIN SPORTS CONNECT
Palestine beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN SPORTS CONNECT Arabia
Panama Disney+ Premium Norte
Paraguay Disney+ Premium
Peru Disney+ Premium
Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen
Puerto Rico Disney+ Premium Caribbean
Qatar beIN SPORTS CONNECT
Republic of Ireland Ligue 1+
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines Disney+ Caribbean
Saudi Arabia beIN SPORTS CONNECT
Scotland Ligue 1+
South Korea Coupang Play
Spain DAZN
Sweden Viaplay · Viaplay Sweden
Syria beIN SPORTS CONNECT
Trinidad and Tobago Disney+ Premium Caribbean
Tunisia beIN SPORTS CONNECT
Turkey beIN SPORTS CONNECT
United Arab Emirates beIN SPORTS CONNECT
Uruguay Disney+ Premium
US Virgin Islands Disney+ Caribbean · Disney+ Premium Caribbean
Venezuela Disney+ Premium Sur · inter
Wales Ligue 1+
Yemen beIN SPORTS CONNECT

2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	5	13	WWWDW
2	LOSC Lille	4	3	1	0	7	2	5	10	WDWW
3	Rennes	4	3	1	0	8	5	3	10	DWWW
4	Paris	4	2	2	0	6	2	4	8	DWWD
5	Olympique Lyonnais	4	2	2	0	6	2	4	8	WDWD
6	Strasbourg	4	2	1	1	9	8	1	7	LWWD
7	Paris Saint Germain	4	1	2	1	6	6	0	5	DDLW
8	Brest	4	1	2	1	6	6	0	5	DDWL
9	Lorient	4	1	2	1	4	4	0	5	DLWD
10	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4	WLLDL
11	Angers SCO	4	1	1	2	4	5	-1	4	LWLD
12	Troyes	4	1	1	2	4	9	-5	4	DWLL
13	Olympique Marseille	4	1	0	3	6	6	0	3	WLLL
14	Le Mans	4	0	3	1	7	8	-1	3	DLDD
15	Auxerre	4	1	0	3	5	11	-6	3	LLLW
16	Le Havre	4	0	2	2	2	4	-2	2	LDLD
17	Toulouse	4	0	2	2	4	7	-3	2	LDLD
18	Nice	4	0	2	2	1	5	-4	2	DLDL

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Rennes	3	2	1	0	6	4	2	7	DWWW
2	Monaco	2	2	0	0	4	1	3	6	WWWDW
3	Paris	2	1	1	0	3	0	3	4	DWWD
4	LOSC Lille	2	1	1	0	4	2	2	4	WDWW
5	Olympique Lyonnais	2	1	1	0	4	2	2	4	WDWD
6	Strasbourg	2	1	1	0	3	2	1	4	LWWD
7	Olympique Marseille	2	1	0	1	6	3	3	3	WLLL
8	Lens	2	1	0	1	5	3	2	3	WLLDL
9	Auxerre	2	1	0	1	2	3	-1	3	LLLW
10	Le Mans	2	0	2	0	4	4	0	2	DLDD
11	Nice	2	0	2	0	1	1	0	2	DLDL
12	Lorient	2	0	1	1	3	4	-1	1	DLWD
13	Brest	2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1	DDWL
14	Le Havre	3	0	1	2	1	3	-2	1	LDLD
15	Troyes	2	0	1	1	2	6	-4	1	DWLL
16	Paris Saint Germain	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0	DDLW
17	Angers SCO	2	0	0	2	1	4	-3	0	LWLD
18	Toulouse	2	0	0	2	0	3	-3	0	LDLD

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Monaco	3	2	1	0	4	2	2	7	WWWDW
2	LOSC Lille	2	2	0	0	3	0	3	6	WDWW
3	Paris Saint Germain	3	1	2	0	5	4	1	5	DDLW
4	Angers SCO	2	1	1	0	3	1	2	4	LWLD
5	Olympique Lyonnais	2	1	1	0	2	0	2	4	WDWD
6	Brest	2	1	1	0	4	3	1	4	DDWL
7	Paris	2	1	1	0	3	2	1	4	DWWD
8	Lorient	2	1	1	0	1	0	1	4	DLWD
9	Rennes	1	1	0	0	2	1	1	3	DWWW
10	Strasbourg	2	1	0	1	6	6	0	3	LWWD
11	Troyes	2	1	0	1	2	3	-1	3	DWLL
12	Toulouse	2	0	2	0	4	4	0	2	LDLD
13	Le Havre	1	0	1	0	1	1	0	1	LDLD
14	Le Mans	2	0	1	1	3	4	-1	1	DLDD
15	Lens	3	0	1	2	4	6	-2	1	WLLDL
16	Olympique Marseille	2	0	0	2	0	3	-3	0	WLLL
17	Nice	2	0	0	2	0	4	-4	0	DLDL
18	Auxerre	2	0	0	2	3	8	-5	0	LLLW

UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Paris

WLWD 2W 1D 1L · 7 pts (1.75 ppg) · GF 7 GA 3 · xG 6.46–3.31 · xPts 7.69

D A Troyes 0–0 xG 1.38–0.53 FRA L1
W H Paris Saint Germain 2–1 xG 2.05–0.84 FRA L1
L A Rennes 1–2 xG 1.34–1.25 FRA L1
W H Brest 4–0 xG 1.69–0.68 FRA L1

Nice

DLDD 0W 3D 1L · 3 pts (0.75 ppg) · GF 2 GA 3 · xG 5.28–4.15 · xPts 6.27

D H Lorient 0–0 xG 1.05–1.51 FRA L1
D H Metz 0–0 xG 1.89–1.07 FRA L1
L A Auxerre 1–2 xG 1.34–0.89 FRA L1
D H Lens 1–1 xG 1.0–0.69 FRA L1

All meetings · 3 matches since 2025

Paris 21 draws0 Nice

Goals 5–1 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 33%

Last 10 · 3 matches

Paris 21 draws0 Nice

Goals 5–1 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 33%

Last 5 · 3 matches

Paris 21 draws0 Nice

Goals 5–1 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 33%

Recent meetings

W Paris 3–0 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
W Paris 1–0 Nice FRA L1 · Regular Season
D Nice 1–1 Paris FRA L1 · Regular Season

Metric	Paris all · 4	Paris at home · 2	Nice all · 4	Nice away · 2

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Paris · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.124

Early press (0-15, level)-0.364

Late push (76+, level)-0.313

Game state

When ahead-0.062

When level-0.154

10 min after scoring-0.242

Situations

At home-0.212

Away-0.042

4+ days rest-0.124

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.082

v bottom-tier opponents-0.162

As favourite-0.162

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.104

Conceded when ahead+0.222

Conceded late (76+)-0.194

Ahead vs level +0.09

Nice · 4 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.25) · stands out: when behind +0.41

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.254

Early press (0-15, level)+0.014

Late push (76+, level)-0.292

Late chase (76+, behind)+0.082

Game state

When level+0.174

When behind+0.413

10 min after conceding+0.023

Situations

At home+0.262

Away+0.242

4+ days rest+0.254

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.432

v bottom-tier opponents+0.082

Evenly matched+0.272

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.204

Conceded late (76+)-0.084

Behind vs level +0.23

Paris

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · clean sheets 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	3 75%	1.67	1.0	0.0	1.49	0.67
3-4-2-1	1 25%	3.0	3.0	2.0	2.58	1.65

Nice

Current: winless 12 · conceding 3

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-2-1	4 100%	0.5	0.25	1.25	0.83	1.46

Metric	Paris all · 10	Paris at home · 10	Nice all · 10	Nice away · 10
Results
Matches	10	10	10	10
Points per game	2.00	2.00	0.70	0.50
W / D / L	6 / 2 / 2	6 / 2 / 2	0 / 7 / 3	1 / 2 / 7
Goals for / match	2.00	1.90	0.50	0.50
Goals against / match	0.80	1.20	1.00	1.40
Clean sheets	40%	40%	30%	20%
Failed to score	30%	30%	50%	60%
Both teams scored	50%	40%	50%	30%
Over 2.5	70%	70%	20%	30%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.73	1.54	1.14	0.99
xG against / match	1.12	1.70	1.31	1.48
xG difference	0.61	-0.16	-0.17	-0.48
Finishing vs xG	0.27	0.36	-0.64	-0.49
xPts / match	1.76	1.38	1.25	1.09
Points vs xPts	0.24	0.62	-0.55	-0.59
Game state
Scored first	60%	50%	10%	20%
PPG when scoring first	2.50	3.00	0.00	1.50
PPG when conceding first	1.50	1.00	0.67	0.14
Came back from behind	33%	50%	57%	12%
Leads held	86%	100%	0%	50%
Minutes leading	37%	40%	2%	5%
Minutes level	52%	35%	76%	57%
Minutes trailing	12%	25%	22%	38%
First goal (min)	27	36	57	61
First goal conceded (min)	38	36	43	41
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	55%	53%	60%	80%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	50%	58%	60%	43%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.60	0.70	0.20	0.30
Late goals against	0.00	0.30	0.10	0.10
Style
Possession	47%	46%	50%	49%
Shots	12.8	12.5	11.5	10.7
On target	4.9	5.3	3.1	3.8
Shot conversion	16%	15%	4%	5%
Shots inside box	69%	70%	64%	61%
Big chances created	3.3	3.1	2.5	2.1
Corners	3.7	4.8	5.3	5.2
xG from set plays	27%	32%	35%	31%
Goals from headers	5%	5%	0%	0%
Pressure index	9.6	9.6	10.5	9.0
Dominant minutes	43.1	46.6	46.0	42.8
Pass accuracy	84%	82%	83%	83%
Fouls	10.6	10.2	10.1	10.1
Cards	2.20	2.70	1.20	1.40

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Paris

0–15'41

16–30'51

31–45'02

46–60'22

61–75'32

76–90'60

Nice

0–15'11

16–30'02

31–45'11

46–60'12

61–75'03

76–90'21

Paris

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · clean sheets 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	7 70%	1.57	1.57	0.57	1.47	0.94
4-4-2	1 10%	3.0	2.0	1.0	2.05	0.84
4-1-4-1	1 10%	3.0	4.0	1.0	2.44	2.15
3-4-2-1	1 10%	3.0	3.0	2.0	2.58	1.65

Nice

Current: winless 12 · conceding 3

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-2-1	5 50%	0.6	0.2	1.0	1.04	1.38
5-4-1	4 40%	0.75	0.75	1.0	0.98	1.02
3-5-2	1 10%	1.0	1.0	1.0	2.28	2.11

Metric	Paris all · 34	Paris at home · 18	Nice all · 42	Nice away · 22
Results
Matches	34	18	42	22
Points per game	1.35	1.44	0.74	0.55
W / D / L	11 / 13 / 10	7 / 5 / 6	6 / 13 / 23	3 / 3 / 16
Goals for / match	1.35	1.56	0.95	0.86
Goals against / match	1.26	1.39	1.79	1.91
Clean sheets	32%	33%	14%	9%
Failed to score	29%	33%	38%	41%
Both teams scored	56%	44%	57%	54%
Over 2.5	53%	61%	52%	59%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.34	1.44	1.22	1.10
xG against / match	1.49	1.50	1.68	1.69
xG difference	-0.15	-0.06	-0.46	-0.59
Finishing vs xG	0.01	0.11	-0.27	-0.23
xPts / match	1.33	1.39	1.12	1.03
Points vs xPts	0.02	0.05	-0.38	-0.48
Game state
Scored first	44%	39%	31%	32%
PPG when scoring first	2.20	2.71	1.62	1.43
PPG when conceding first	0.54	0.56	0.24	0.07
Came back from behind	33%	33%	21%	6%
Leads held	69%	88%	46%	43%
Minutes leading	24%	26%	15%	12%
Minutes level	54%	42%	47%	46%
Minutes trailing	22%	31%	38%	43%
First goal (min)	40	39	41	39
First goal conceded (min)	41	33	35	35
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	56%	54%	42%	32%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	58%	52%	48%	48%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.47	0.61	0.17	0.18
Late goals against	0.32	0.33	0.26	0.23
Style
Possession	50%	52%	46%	47%
Shots	11.5	12.6	11.3	10.3
On target	3.7	4.2	3.6	3.4
Shot conversion	12%	12%	8%	8%
Shots inside box	67%	67%	65%	64%
Big chances created	2.4	2.7	2.4	1.9
Corners	4.0	4.8	5.1	4.8
xG from set plays	27%	30%	30%	33%
Goals from headers	6%	7%	10%	5%
Pressure index	10.2	12.5	9.3	8.4
Dominant minutes	45.5	53.7	39.3	38.7
Pass accuracy	84%	85%	82%	82%
Fouls	11.1	11.4	11.5	11.8
Cards	2.32	2.72	2.05	2.18

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Paris

0–15'73

16–30'106

31–45'39

46–60'49

61–75'65

76–90'1611

Nice

0–15'512

16–30'710

31–45'1117

46–60'612

61–75'413

76–90'711

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Paris · 34 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) +0.30

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.0634

Early press (0-15, level)-0.1734

Late push (76+, level)-0.2717

Late chase (76+, behind)+0.3012

Game state

When ahead-0.0116

When level-0.1234

When behind+0.0615

10 min after conceding-0.1922

10 min after scoring+0.2424

Situations

With ten men-0.183

At home+0.0318

Away-0.1416

4+ days rest-0.0433

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.1713

v mid-tier opponents-0.039

v bottom-tier opponents-0.059

As favourite+0.158

Evenly matched-0.0511

As underdog-0.1715

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.0434

Conceded when ahead-0.0416

Conceded late (76+)-0.2330

Congested vs rested -0.37 · Ahead vs level +0.12 · Behind vs level +0.19

Nice · 42 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.08) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.34

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.0842

Early press (0-15, level)-0.0942

Late push (76+, level)-0.2415

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.3420

Game state

When ahead-0.3013

When level-0.1042

When behind+0.0528

10 min after conceding-0.0835

10 min after scoring-0.0125

Situations

With ten men-0.134

Against ten men-0.522

At home-0.1720

Away-0.0022

3 days rest or fewer-0.179

4+ days rest-0.0633

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.2717

v mid-tier opponents+0.0715

v bottom-tier opponents+0.016

As favourite-0.147

Evenly matched-0.0316

As underdog-0.1119

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.2642

Conceded when ahead+0.7013

Conceded late (76+)+0.2738

Congested vs rested -0.12 · Ahead vs level -0.20 · Behind vs level +0.15

Paris

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · clean sheets 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	10 29%	1.5	1.4	0.7	1.38	0.97
5-4-1	8 24%	1.0	0.75	0.88	1.04	1.42
4-3-3	8 24%	1.5	1.75	1.63	1.29	1.71
3-4-2-1	2 6%	1.5	1.5	3.5	1.61	2.82
4-5-1	2 6%	0.5	0.0	1.5	1.05	2.0

Nice

Current: winless 12 · conceding 3

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	9 21%	1.0	1.33	1.67	1.43	1.64
3-4-2-1	7 17%	0.43	0.43	1.71	1.28	1.53
5-4-1	5 12%	0.6	0.6	1.0	0.89	1.23
3-5-2	5 12%	0.2	0.6	2.0	1.22	1.59
4-3-3	4 10%	0.0	0.5	2.5	1.44	1.42

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off

2.1Home 46% · +0.1 ptsopened 2.093.42Draw 28% · +0.1 ptsopened 3.413.85Away 25% · -0.2 ptsopened 3.79

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away	Last
Pinnacle	2.1 · +0.1	3.42 · +0.1	3.85 · -0.2	1.0h
bet365	2.05 ▲ +1.5	3.3 · +0.5	3.8 ▼ -2.0	1.0h
Betfair	2.0 ▲ +1.4	3.4 · -0.9	3.9 · -0.6	1.0h
BetVictor	2.05 · +0.1	3.4 · -0.1	3.6 · -0.0	1.0h
Coral	2.05 · +0.6	3.4 · -0.3	3.6 · -0.3	1.0h
Ladbrokes	2.05 · -0.0	3.3 · +0.8	3.6 · -0.8	1.0h
Unibet	2.02 · +1.0	3.3 · +0.1	3.65 ▼ -1.0	1.0h
WilliamHill	2.05 ▲ +1.1	3.25 · -0.4	3.6 · -0.7	1.0h

bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: no -2.0 pts at 3.0d

1.8Yes 52% ▲ +2.0 ptsopened 1.91.95No 48% ▼ -2.0 ptsopened 1.9

Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Last
bet365	1.8 ▲ +2.0	1.95 ▼ -2.0	1.0h
Betfair	1.75 · +0.6	2.0 · -0.6	1.0h
BetVictor	1.78 · +0.7	1.93 · -0.7	1.0h
Unibet	1.82 · +0.0	1.9 · +0.0	1.0h
WilliamHill	1.8 ▲ +1.2	1.95 ▼ -1.2	1.0h

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: over +1.2 pts at 45.0h

2.09Over 46% · +0.1 ptsopened 2.091.81Under 54% · -0.1 ptsopened 1.8

Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Last
Pinnacle	2.09 · +0.1	1.81 · -0.1	1.0h
bet365	2.0 ▲ +2.3	1.8 ▼ -2.3	1.0h
Betfair	2.0 · +1.0	1.8 · -1.0	1.0h
BetVictor	1.94 · +0.9	1.74 · -0.9	1.0h
Unibet	2.07 · +0.0	1.72 · +0.0	1.0h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 1.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.05Home 46% P 46%3.3Draw 29% P 28%3.8Away 25% P 25%

Double Chance

1.25Paris FC or Draw 38%1.33Paris FC or Nice 35%1.72Draw or Nice 27%

Draw No Bet

1.441 65%2.622 35%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52%1.95No 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 46%1.8Under 53% P 54%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 24%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.8Over 51% P 57%1.9Under 49% P 43%

4.52.2Over 42% P 37%1.61Under 58% P 63%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 25–27.5% · 854 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Home	46%	46%	44%	-1.8
Draw	28%	28%	30%	+1.8
Away	25%	26%	26%	-0.0

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 48%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Over 2.5	46%	46%	45%	-1.2

Jeremy Stinat

Career: 134 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match: 4.1 (3.85 yellow · 0.16 red)
Fouls / match: 25.3 · 6.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match: 0.34
Cards to home side: 47%

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 90 matches)

Metric	Referee	League	vs peers	pct
Cards / match	4.1	4.06	+0.02	60
Fouls / match	24.3	24.3	+0.08
Fouls per card	6.1	6.0	+0.04 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match	0.3	0.36	-0.61	20
Time added	7.2	6.7	+0.44	72

First card: 33' on average
Card timing: 17% in first 30' · 29% in last 15'
Cards to home side: 46% (league 47%)
VAR events / match: 1.18

Recent matches

Date	Y	R	Fouls	Pens	1st card	+min
2026-08-23	4	0	24	0	22'	6
2026-05-10	4	0	16	0	9'	14
2026-04-25	2	1	12	0	10'	7
2026-04-19 · Paris	4	0	17	0	13'	10
2026-03-15	4	1	23	0	42'	5
2026-03-01	3	1	25	0	22'	8
2026-02-22 · Nice	5	0	19	1	29'	11
2026-01-30	3	0	30	0	49'	13
2026-01-04	5	0	25	0	13'	7
2025-11-28	–	–	17	–	–	7

Momentum

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Events

Stats

Season context

League this season · 2026/2027

Trends

Lineups

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Paris · Last 365 days

Nice · Last 365 days

Commentary

In-Play Odds

Competition

Venue

Teams

Referee

Weather

Where to watch · 90

Paris

Nice

All meetings · 3 matches since 2025

Last 10 · 3 matches

Last 5 · 3 matches

Recent meetings

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Paris · 4 matches

Nice · 4 matches

Paris

Nice

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Paris

Nice

Paris

Nice

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Paris

Nice

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Paris · 34 matches

Nice · 42 matches

Paris

Nice

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Latest prices

Fulltime Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Both Teams To Score

Goals Over/Under

Total Corners

Number of Cards

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 25–27.5% · 854 fixtures

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

Jeremy Stinat

Style in Ligue 1 (5-year window · 90 matches)

Recent matches